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STUDY #544

Results from the /Bloomberg Poll (Stat Sheet) April 5-9, 2007 (2008 Presidential match-ups, economy, , Gonzales)

Guide to Column Headings

AMONG ALL RESPONDENTS, PLUS A COLUMN OF REGISTERED VOTERS (Questions: 1-5, 44-53)

ALL All adults REG Registered voters LIB Self-described Liberals MOD Self-described Moderates CON Self-described Conservatives DEM Self-described Democrats IND Self-described Independents REP Self-described Republicans WHT Whites (non-) BLK Blacks (non-Hispanic)

AMONG ALL (Economic Questions: 6-10 40-43)

ALL All adults MEN Males WOM Females <40K Respondents with annual household income of less than $40K 40-60K Respondents with annual household income between $40K to $60K 60-100K Respondents with annual household income between $60K to $100K >100K Respondents with annual household income of more than $100K OWN Homeowners WHT Whites (non-Hispanic) BLK Blacks (non-Hispanic) OTHR Other race/Ethnicities (including Hispanic)

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AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS (Questions: 13, 29-39)

REG Registered voters DEM Self-described Democrats IND Self-described Independents REP Self-described Republicans LIB Self-described Liberals MOD Self-described Moderates CON Self-described Conservatives MEN Males WOM Females WHT Whites (non-Hispanic) BLK Blacks (non-Hispanic)

AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS (Questions:14-20)

DEM Democratic primary voters LIB Self-described liberals M/C Self-described moderates and conservatives MEN Males WOM Females WHT Whites (non-Hispanic) BLK Blacks (non-Hispanic)

AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS (Questions: 21-28)

REP Republican primary voters L/M Self-described liberals and moderates CON Self-described conservatives MEN Males WOM Females RELIG Religious right

Note: -Trend questions with four-way responses do not include the don’t knows. Don’t knows of such questions are in the combined responses. (vol.) indicates a volunteered response ‘–‘ indicates of less than 0.5% Poll **543 was a Bloomberg only study

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 2 544/Stat Sheet 2007

(ASKED OF RESPONDENTS IN SAMPLE 1 AND BLACK/NON-LATINO RESPONDENTS IN SAMPLE 2) Q1. Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Right direction 25 27 12 19 40 11 22 48 27 13 Wrong track 66 65 83 73 48 83 69 41 65 77 Don’t know 9 8 5 8 12 6 9 11 8 10

TREND FOR Q1 AMONG ALL

POLL/QNO DATE Right direction Wrong track Don’t know **543/Q1 03/07 23 70 7 540/Q1 01/07 31 61 8 539/Q1 12/06 28 62 10 534/Q1 09/06 31 61 8 533/Q1 08/06 31 63 6 532/Q1 06/06 30 63 7 526/Q1 04/06 26 65 9 525/Q1 03/06 30 64 6 524/Q1 01/06 32 61 7 514/Q1 01/05 40 48 12 510/Q1 10/04 38 53 9 507/Q1 09/04 37 55 8 505/Q1 08/04 40 51 9 504/Q1 07/04 37 52 11 503/Q1 06/04 33 59 8 501/Q1 03/04 36 55 9 491/Q1 11/03 40 50 10 484/Q1 04/03 57 33 10 481/Q1 02/03 39 50 11 480/Q2 12/02 44 47 9 473/Q1 08/02 45 45 10 465/Q1 02/02 65 26 9 463/Q1 11/01 65 22 13 462/Q1 09/01 60 28 12 458/Q1 04/01 44 43 13 455/Q1 03/01 49 40 11 450/Q1 12/00 49 41 10 442/Q1 06/00 42 46 12 441/Q1 05/00 44 46 10 425/Q5 03/99 43 48 9 423/Q5 02/99 45 42 13 422/Q5 02/99 49 42 9 421/Q5 01/99 53 37 10 417/Q5 09/98 56 38 6 414/Q5 08/98 53 39 8 406/Q5 01/98 53 38 9 405/Q5 01/98 45 44 11 398/Q6 09/97 42 47 11 391/Q8 02/97 41 51 8 387/Q6 10/96 37 54 9 384/Q6 10/96 35 57 8 382/Q6 09/96 42 48 10 380/Q6 08/96 31 59 10 375/Q8 04/96 29 61 10 369/Q6 10/95 27 66 7

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POLL/QNO DATE Right direction Wrong track Don’t know 366/Q8 09/95 25 68 7 360/Q8 06/95 31 58 11 357/Q5 04/95 33 56 11 356/Q9 03/95 30 60 10 353/Q7 01/95 37 51 12 352/Q6 01/95 35 55 10 347/Q5 10/94 26 66 8 345/Q7 09/94 30 62 8 341/Q8 07/94 27 64 9 334/Q6 04/94 28 64 8 328/Q9 01/94 36 54 10 327/Q6 12/93 37 52 11 322/Q8 09/93 35 54 11 317/Q6 06/93 24 68 8 308/Q5 02/93 45 45 10 305/Q6 01/93 36 53 11 302/Q5 10/92 22 70 8 299/Q6 10/92 17 75 8 296/Q6 08/92 23 68 9 294/Q6 08/92 16 77 7 291/Q5 07/92 19 74 7 290/Q5 07/92 17 75 8 275/Q6 03/92 20 72 8 268/Q6 02/92 23 70 7 263/Q6 11/91 23 67 10 259/Q9 09/91 40 49 11 253/Q6 06/91 38 52 10 250/Q8 04/91 48 43 9 246/Q9 03/91 55 34 11

Q2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or do you (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Approve (net) 36 37 11 26 63 9 26 81 41 8 Approve strongly 17 18 3 8 34 4 6 45 20 4 Approve somewhat 19 19 8 17 28 5 20 36 21 4 Disapprove (net) 62 61 87 70 36 90 70 17 57 88 Disapprove somewhat 16 14 16 18 13 17 20 9 15 15 Disapprove strongly 46 47 71 52 24 73 50 8 42 73 Don’t know 2 2 2 4 1 1 4 2 2 4

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TREND FOR Q2 AMONG ALL

POLL/QN DATE Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly **543/Q2 03/07 17 20 17 44 540/Q2 01/07 20 19 15 45 539/Q2 12/06 21 20 14 43 534/Q2 09/06 23 22 13 40 533/Q2 08/06 20 20 14 43 532/Q4 06/06 18 23 16 40 526/Q4 04/06 19 20 15 42 525/Q2 03/06 20 18 16 42 524/Q5 01/06 25 18 15 39 514/Q2 01/05 32 18 10 36 501/Q3 03/04 28 23 11 32 491/Q3 11/03 32 22 14 27 484/Q2 04/03 45 24 9 19 481/Q3 02/03 33 23 14 25 480/Q1 12/02 38 25 13 20 473/Q3 08/02 35 34 12 15 465/Q2 02/02 51 29 6 9 463/Q2 11/01 59 27 6 5 462/Q4 09/01 49 28 8 9 458/Q3 04/01 29 28 12 21 455/Q7 03/01 38 25 6 12

COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QN DATE Approve Disapprove Don’t know **543/C2 03/07 38 60 2 540/C2 01/07 39 59 2 539/C2 12/06 42 56 2 534/C2 09/06 45 52 3 533/C2 08/06 40 58 2 532/C4 06/06 41 56 3 526/C4 04/06 39 57 4 525/C2 03/06 38 58 4 524/C5 01/06 43 54 3 514/C2 01/05 50 47 3 501/C3 03/04 51 44 5 491/C3 11/03 54 41 5 484/C2 04/03 68 28 4 481/C3 02/03 56 39 5 480/C1 12/02 63 33 4 473/C3 08/02 68 27 5 465/C2 02/02 80 15 5 463/C2 11/01 86 10 4 462/C4 09/01 77 17 6 458/C3 04/01 57 33 10 455/C7 03/01 62 18 20

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 5 544/Stat Sheet 2007

(ORDER OF NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or do you (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Approve (net) 38 40 11 26 68 12 29 80 43 12 Approve strongly 19 20 3 8 40 3 8 51 22 1 Approve somewhat 19 19 8 18 27 9 21 29 21 11 Disapprove (net) 57 56 85 69 28 83 65 17 53 83 Disapprove somewhat 19 19 28 23 11 24 23 11 20 24 Disapprove strongly 38 38 57 46 17 59 42 6 33 59 Don’t know 5 4 4 5 4 5 6 3 4 5

TREND FOR Q3 AMONG ALL

POLL/QN DATE Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly **543/Q4 03/07 21 22 19 34 540/Q3 01/07 23 22 18 31 539/Q3 12/06 26 23 15 33 534/Q3 09/06 21 23 17 34 533/Q4 08/06 21 17 16 43 532/Q9 06/06 16 23 17 36 526/Q7 04/06 17 22 19 38 525/Q5 03/06 17 19 20 40 524/Q8 01/06 20 18 18 40 514/Q5 01/05 25 24 10 35 501/Q6 03/04 20 23 15 38 491/Q7 11/03 21 23 16 35 484/Q4 04/03 22 34 11 27 481/Q6 02/03 20 26 18 28 480/Q4 12/02 19 32 17 26 473/Q4 08/02 24 32 19 19 465/Q3 02/02 32 34 11 17 463/Q3 11/01 36 30 13 12

COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QNO DATE Approve Disapprove Don’t know **543/C4 03/07 43 53 4 540/C3 01/07 45 49 6 539/C3 12/06 48 48 4 534/Q3 09/06 43 51 6 533/Q4 08/06 38 59 3 532/Q9 06/06 39 54 7 526/Q7 04/06 39 57 4 525/Q5 03/06 36 60 4 524/c8 01/06 37 59 4 514/c5 01/05 49 46 5 501/C6 03/04 43 53 4 491/C7 11/03 44 50 6 484/C4 04/03 55 39 6 481/C6 02/03 45 47 8 480/C4 12/02 51 43 6 473/C4 08/02 56 38 6 465/C3 02/02 66 28 6 463/C3 11/01 66 25 9

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 6 544/Stat Sheet 2007

Q4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation in ? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or do you (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Approve (net) 33 34 9 24 57 6 27 74 38 4 Approve strongly 20 21 7 10 37 3 12 48 22 2 Approve somewhat 13 13 2 14 20 3 15 26 15 2 Disapprove (net) 65 64 91 73 40 92 71 23 59 93 Disapprove somewhat 13 12 13 15 12 13 13 12 14 10 Disapprove strongly 52 52 78 58 28 79 58 11 46 83 Don’t know 2 2 – 3 3 2 2 3 3 3

TREND FOR Q4 AMONG ALL

POLL/QN DATE Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly **543/Q3 03/07 17 13 12 55 540/Q4 01/07 18 15 11 55 539/Q4 12/06 17 19 13 48 534/Q4 09/06 22 19 11 45 533/Q5 08/06 22 16 11 49 532/Q7 06/06 20 20 12 44 526/Q5 04/06 21 16 12 48 525/Q3 03/06 18 15 16 48 524/Q6 01/06 26 15 12 45 514/Q3 01/05 28 13 11 44 501/Q4 03/04 30 19 14 33 491/Q5 11/03 24 21 16 36

COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QNO DATE Approve Disapprove Don’t know **543/C3 03/07 30 67 3 540/C4 01/07 33 65 2 539/C4 12/06 35 62 3 534/Q4 09/06 40 56 4 533/c5 08/06 38 60 2 532/Q7 06/06 40 56 4 526/Q5 04/06 37 59 4 525/c3 03/06 34 63 3 524/C6 01/06 41 56 3 514/C3 01/05 42 54 4 501/C4 03/04 49 46 5 491/C5 11/03 45 51 4

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 7 544/Stat Sheet 2007

Q5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or do you (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Approve (net) 34 35 45 37 24 45 35 24 34 40 Approve strongly 8 8 11 9 7 10 10 5 8 7 Approve somewhat 26 27 33 29 18 35 25 19 26 33 Disapprove (net) 58 58 46 56 68 45 56 74 59 46 Disapprove somewhat 26 25 28 25 25 24 24 30 27 22 Disapprove strongly 32 33 19 31 43 21 32 44 32 24 Don’t know 8 7 9 7 8 10 9 2 7 14

TREND FOR Q5 AMONG ALL

POLL/QN DATE Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly 540/Q17 01/07 6 29 21 24 534/Q52 09/06 4 26 29 28 526/Q9 04/06 5 23 29 32 524/Q12 01/06 7 28 28 27 514/Q12 01/05 9 36 21 22 480/Q8 12/02 11 38 21 18 473/Q9 08/02 11 42 21 16 465/Q7 02/02 16 43 17 15 463/Q7 11/01 25 43 11 9 421/Q11 01/99 11 35 18 28 406/Q7 01/98 13 40 20 17 398/Q9 09/97 7 39 21 23 391/Q10 02/97 6 40 22 25 387/Q8 10/96 9 28 27 28 382/Q12 09/96 11 28 22 30 380/Q15 08/96 8 26 25 31

COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QNO DATE Approve Disapprove Don’t know 540/C17 01/07 36 44 20 534/C52 09/06 30 57 13 526/C9 04/06 28 61 11 524/C12 01/06 35 55 10 514/C12 01/05 45 43 12 480/C8 12/02 49 39 12 473/C9 08/02 53 36 11 465/C7 02/02 59 32 9 463/C7 11/01 69 20 11 421/C11 01/99 46 46 8 406/C7 01/98 53 37 10 398/C9 09/97 46 44 10 391/C10 02/97 46 46 8 387/C8 10/96 37 55 8 382/C12 09/96 39 52 9 380/C15 08/96 35 56 9

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 8 544/Stat Sheet 2007

Q6. Generally speaking, do you think 's economy these days is doing very well, or fairly well, or fairly badly, or very badly?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Well (net) 57 67 49 43 53 65 76 62 60 41 54 Very well 9 11 7 4 8 12 13 11 10 4 6 Fairly well 48 56 43 40 45 54 63 52 51 37 48 Badly (net) 42 33 50 56 47 35 23 37 39 57 46 Fairly badly 27 24 29 31 30 26 19 24 26 30 27 Very badly 15 9 20 24 16 8 4 13 12 26 19 Don’t know 1 – 1 1 – – 1 1 1 2 –

TREND FOR Q6 AMONG ALL

POLL/QN DATE Very well Fairly well Fairly badly Very badly **543/Q15 03/07 7 55 26 10 540/Q24 01/07 11 57 18 13 539/Q25 12/06 12 49 23 15 534/Q27 09/06 9 45 27 17 533/Q15 08/06 9 42 26 22 532/Q12 06/06 9 41 28 19 526/Q3 04/06 10 42 30 16 525/Q10 03/06 11 45 25 17 524/Q24 01/06 7 48 30 14 514/Q9 01/05 5 55 26 13 501/Q7 03/04 6 43 29 20 491/Q15 11/03 5 44 31 19 484/Q7 04/03 3 46 31 17 481/Q21 02/03 4 31 40 24 480/Q9 12/02 2 43 36 19 473/Q20 08/02 3 51 33 12 462/Q3 09/01 6 65 19 6 455/Q14 03/01 7 57 25 9 450/Q3 12/00 19 63 11 6 441/Q15 05/00 25 60 8 5 421/Q15 01/99 32 57 5 3 417/Q8 09/98 28 59 8 4 406/Q9 01/98 26 59 8 5 398/Q11 09/97 16 57 18 7

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COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QN DATE Well Badly Don’t know **543/C15 03/07 62 36 2 540/C24 01/07 68 31 1 539/C25 12/06 61 38 1 534/c27 09/06 54 44 2 533/C15 08/06 50 49 1 532/C12 06/06 50 47 3 526/C3 04/06 52 46 2 525/C10 03/06 56 42 2 524/C24 01/06 55 44 1 514/C9 01/05 60 39 1 501/C7 03/04 49 49 2 491/C15 11/03 50 49 1 484/C7 04/03 50 47 3 481/C21 02/03 35 64 1 480/C9 12/02 45 55 – 473/C20 08/02 54 45 1 462/C3 09/01 71 25 4 455/C14 03/01 64 34 2 450/C3 12/00 82 17 1 441/C15 05/00 84 14 2 421/C15 01/99 89 8 3 417/C8 09/98 88 11 1 406/C9 01/98 86 12 2 398/C11 09/97 73 25 2

Q7. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as very secure, fairly secure, fairly shaky or very shaky?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Secure (net) 64 67 61 45 57 81 88 70 70 32 61 Very secure 19 22 16 8 11 23 41 21 20 9 16 Fairly secure 45 46 45 37 46 58 47 49 49 23 45 Shaky (net) 35 32 38 54 43 19 12 29 29 68 39 Fairly shaky 22 23 20 28 33 15 11 19 20 34 23 Very shaky 13 8 18 26 10 4 1 10 10 34 15 Don’t know 1 1 1 1 – – – 1 1 – –

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TREND FOR Q7 AMONG ALL

POLL/QN DATE Very secure Fairly secure Fairly shaky Very shaky **543/Q21 03/07 14 54 19 11 540/Q27 01/07 15 56 16 12 539/Q27 12/06 15 53 18 13 532/Q15 06/06 18 48 18 13 525/Q23 03/06 17 55 15 12 524/Q25 01/06 15 47 21 16 514/Q11 01/05 16 54 15 15 482/Q23 02/03 15 50 22 12 480/Q13 12/02 15 51 21 12 473/Q24 08/02 10 55 21 13 465/Q22 02/02 19 58 16 7 463/Q21 11/01 21 54 16 7 462/Q43 09/01 19 57 15 7 455/Q15 03/01 13 55 18 12 441/Q19 05/00 15 57 17 10 421/Q16 01/99 15 59 16 8 398/Q14 09/97 14 51 19 14 387/Q58 10/96 13 55 18 12 382/Q64 09/96 14 54 21 11 380/Q50 08/96 13 54 18 14 375/Q17 04/96 13 54 21 11 369/Q22 10/95 11 54 20 13 356/Q15 03/95 13 54 19 12 353/Q12 01/95 12 55 21 11 347/Q15 10/94 12 57 16 13 341/Q28 07/94 14 49 23 12 334/Q19 04/94 10 50 23 15 327/Q17 12/93 10 50 23 16 322/Q18 09/93 11 52 19 17 317/Q19 06/93 10 50 23 16 308/Q12 02/93 9 52 23 14 305/Q25 01/93 9 48 24 18 290/Q57 07/92 13 51 21 13 275/Q56 03/92 13 54 19 12 268/Q21 02/92 13 49 22 15 263/Q30 11/91 11 52 22 14 259/Q20 09/91 11 54 22 11 253/Q25 06/91 11 53 21 14 250/Q26 04/91 13 55 20 11

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COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QN DATE Secure Shaky Don’t know **543/C21 03/07 68 30 2 540/C27 01/07 71 28 1 539/C27 12/06 68 31 1 532/C15 06/06 67 31 2 525/C23 03/06 71 27 2 524/C25 01/06 61 38 1 514/C11 01/05 70 29 1 482/C23 02/03 65 34 1 480/C13 12/02 65 34 1 465/C22 02/02 77 22 1 463/C21 11/01 75 23 2 462/C43 09/01 76 22 2 455/C15 03/01 68 30 2 441/C19 05/00 72 27 1 421/C16 01/99 74 24 2 398/C14 09/97 66 33 1 387/C58 10/96 68 30 2 382/C64 09/96 67 32 1 380/C50 08/96 67 32 1 375/C17 04/96 66 32 2 369/C22 10/95 66 33 1 356/C15 03/95 68 31 1 353/C12 01/95 67 32 1 347/C15 10/94 69 29 2 334/C19 04/94 61 38 1 328/C33 01/94 60 39 1 327/C17 12/93 60 39 1 322/C18 09/93 63 36 1 317/C19 06/93 60 39 1 308/C12 02/93 62 37 1 305/C25 01/93 57 42 1 290/C57 07/92 63 35 2 275/C56 03/92 67 32 1 268/C21 02/92 62 37 1 263/C30 11/91 63 36 1 259/C20 09/91 65 33 2 253/C25 06/91 64 35 1 250/C26 04/91 68 31 1

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 12 544/Stat Sheet 2007

(ORDER OF ARGUMENTS IS ROTATED) Q8. As you may know, President Bush's tax cuts are scheduled to expire in 2010. Those who want to make the tax cuts permanent say they stimulate the economy and provide more long term growth. Those who oppose making the tax cuts permanent say they increase the budget deficit at a time when billions of dollars are being spent on the war in Iraq. Are you in favor of, or opposed to, making Bush's tax cuts permanent? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE) Would you (favor/oppose) that strongly or only somewhat?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Favor (net) 44 53 36 39 49 44 51 47 49 21 36 Favor strongly 29 38 21 25 30 33 33 32 33 13 21 Favor somewhat 15 15 15 14 19 11 17 15 16 8 15 Oppose (net) 41 39 43 40 41 44 40 39 38 60 44 Oppose somewhat 16 17 15 11 18 21 17 15 15 17 15 Oppose strongly 25 22 28 29 23 23 23 24 22 43 29 Don’t know 15 8 21 21 10 12 9 14 13 19 20

Q9. In your opinion, how likely is it that the nation could face an economic recession sometime in the next year? Would you say it is very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely or not likely at all?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Likely (net) 60 50 69 71 62 55 51 58 58 71 59 Very likely 16 12 20 20 21 13 12 16 14 32 18 Somewhat likely 44 38 48 51 41 42 39 42 45 40 41 Not likely (net) 37 47 28 25 35 42 48 39 39 24 37 Not very likely 26 30 23 17 23 32 33 28 31 12 10 Not likely at all 11 17 6 8 12 10 15 11 8 11 27 Don’t know 3 3 3 4 3 3 1 3 3 5 4

TREND FOR Q9 AMONG ALL

Study/Question No. 450/Q4 Date 12/16/00

Likely 64 Very likely 20 Somewhat likely 44 Not likely 32 Not very likely 22 Not likely at all 10 Don’t know 4

(ARGUMENTS ARE ROTATED) Q10. As you may know the Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady since last July. Some economists say the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates to help the economy grow faster. Some economists say the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates to counter the threat of inflation. What do you think the Federal Reserve should do: Cut interest rates or raise interest rates, or hold the interest rate steady?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Cut interest rates 29 25 32 34 26 24 23 26 25 55 27 Raise interest rates 6 8 4 5 7 7 6 6 5 9 6 Hold rates steady 58 62 55 53 63 63 63 62 62 32 59 Don’t know 7 5 9 8 4 6 8 6 8 4 8

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 13 544/Stat Sheet 2007

(ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Q13. What do you think should be the most important issue for the presidential candidates to address when campaigning? (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED )

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK (net) 51 60 57 38 59 56 44 47 54 53 52 Iraq war/situation in Iraq 41 46 48 31 42 47 36 39 42 42 39 Set a timetable in Iraq/withdraw troops 8 13 7 3 16 6 4 6 10 8 12 Support Bush strategy/ troop surge 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 1 2 2 – Economic growth 25 22 28 26 17 32 25 27 24 28 18 /universal health care 19 20 22 13 25 21 12 16 21 19 15 Education 9 13 4 7 11 11 6 4 13 8 16 Jobs/unemployment 7 8 8 4 7 7 5 7 6 5 18 6 5 5 7 6 7 6 9 4 7 5 Stronger immigration laws 6 – 4 14 1 1 13 8 3 5 – 5 1 2 13 1 1 12 8 3 6 – Budget deficit 4 6 3 3 5 3 4 4 5 5 1 Social security 4 4 4 6 4 6 3 4 5 4 3 Restore trust and honesty in government 4 4 5 3 7 2 3 3 5 3 10 Immigration reform (create guest worker program/path to citizenship) 4 1 5 8 1 3 8 6 3 5 1 Environmental protections/ Global warming/ clean water and air 3 5 3 1 9 2 1 4 3 4 – Family/moral values 3 2 2 4 2 1 4 3 2 3 – 3 4 1 4 4 2 3 2 3 2 6 Poverty and homelessness 3 4 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 6 Mideast foreign policy 2 3 2 2 5 1 2 3 2 3 1 Foreign trade policy 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 Tax cuts 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 Tax reform (overall) 2 1 2 2 1 – 2 2 1 2 – 2 – 3 5 – 2 4 2 3 2 2 Energy policy 2 2 2 3 1 3 2 3 2 3 3 Bi-partisanship/work with Congress 1 – – 2 – – 2 1 1 1 – Income gap 1 2 1 – 1 2 – 1 1 1 1 Veteran's benefits 1 1 – 1 2 1 – 1 – – 3 increase 1 1 – – 3 – 1 – 1 – 6 Strategy change 1 1 1 – 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 Gay rights – – 1 – – – 1 – – – – Prescription drug prices – 1 – – – – – – 1 – 1 Restore checks/balances in government – – 1 – – – 1 – – – – Homeland security – – 1 – – 1 – – 1 1 – Nothing in particular 2 2 1 3 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 Other 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 4 Don’t know 2 1 3 – – 2 1 1 1 1 –

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 14 544/Stat Sheet 2007

Q14-20 ARE AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Q14. If the Democratic primary or caucus for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Connecticut Senator , former Senator , Delaware Senator , New Governor , Illinois Senator and former Vice President , for whom would you vote: Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama or Gore? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Clinton 33 35 32 27 36 30 41 Obama 23 26 21 26 21 20 34 Edwards 14 9 18 12 15 19 3 Gore 13 16 9 16 11 12 9 Richardson 3 3 4 6 2 4 – Biden 1 1 1 1 1 2 – Dodd – – – 1 – – 1 Someone else (vol) – – – 1 – 1 – Don’t know 13 10 15 10 14 12 12

(ORDER OF STATEMENTS ARE ROTATED) Q15. When you decide which candidate to support for your party's presidential nomination, which of the following is most important to you: The kind of person the candidate is, or where the candidate stands on the issues, or whether the candidate can win, or how much he or she represents what the party stands for, or whether the candidate will support the concerns of your area, or the candidate's abilities, or what?

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Where they stands on issues 56 56 54 46 61 61 52 The kind of person 14 15 14 16 13 16 12 Supports local concerns 13 10 16 18 10 10 15 Represents party values 7 8 6 8 6 4 6 Can candidate win 6 7 4 7 5 5 8 Fundraising abilities 2 3 1 2 2 1 3 Some other reason 1 1 2 2 1 2 – Don’t know 1 – 3 1 2 1 4

(ORDER OF CANDIDATES' NAMES IS ROTATED) Q16. What if the primary or caucus in your state was narrowed down to Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards and Barack Obama? Regardless of your choice for president, if the election were being held today for whom would you vote: Clinton, Edwards or Obama? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Clinton 42 38 45 37 44 37 50 Obama 32 39 26 37 29 31 41 Edwards 20 15 24 20 21 27 1 Someone else (vol) – 1 – 1 – – 1 Don’t know 6 7 5 5 6 5 7

© Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll 2007. All rights reserved. page 15 544/Stat Sheet 2007

(ORDER OF CANDIDATES' NAMES IS ROTATED) Q17. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Democratic presidential candidate do you think would be the strongest one to beat the Republican candidate in November 2008: Is it Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards or Barack Obama?

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Hillary Rodham Clinton 42 37 47 37 45 36 58 Barack Obama 27 29 25 31 26 27 27 John Edwards 22 25 20 24 21 26 10 No one in particular / all (vol) 2 1 2 3 1 2 4 Someone else (vol) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Don’t know 6 7 5 4 6 8 –

(NEXT THREE QUESTIONS AND ORDER OF NAMES WITHIN EACH QUESTION ARE ROTATED) Q18. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Democratic presidential candidate do you think is the best qualified to be president: Is it Joe Biden, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, or is there someone else who you think is the best qualified?

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Hillary Rodham Clinton 38 39 38 32 42 36 51 Al Gore 24 27 21 28 21 23 20 Barack Obama 11 11 11 12 11 9 17 John Edwards 8 7 9 8 8 10 2 Joe Biden 4 3 3 5 3 5 – Bill Richardson 3 4 2 5 2 4 – Someone else 3 – 5 – 4 3 – Chris Dodd – 1 – 1 – 1 1 No one in particular / all (vol) 2 1 3 2 2 2 – Don’t know 7 7 8 7 7 7 9

Q19. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Democratic presidential candidate do you think is the most ethical or truthful: Is it Joe Biden, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, or is there someone else who you think is the most ethical or truthful?

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Barack Obama 22 22 23 23 22 21 30 Hillary Rodham Clinton 21 19 23 17 23 17 36 John Edwards 18 17 19 12 21 24 4 Al Gore 15 18 11 22 11 12 15 Bill Richardson 4 5 4 7 3 5 – Joe Biden 2 3 2 1 3 3 1 Chris Dodd – – – 1 – – 1 No one in particular / all (vol) 6 5 6 8 4 4 8 Someone else 1 – 2 1 1 2 – Don’t know 11 11 10 8 12 12 5

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Q20. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Democratic presidential candidate do you think cares more about people like you: Is it Joe Biden, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Barack Obama , Bill Richardson, or is there someone else who you think cares more about people like you?

DEM LIB M/C MEN WOM WHT BLK Hillary Rodham Clinton 30 32 29 25 33 27 43 Barack Obama 24 29 20 33 19 19 42 John Edwards 16 15 17 13 19 23 2 Al Gore 8 5 10 7 8 8 6 Bill Richardson 3 2 3 6 1 3 – Joe Biden 1 1 1 1 1 1 – Chris Dodd – – – – – – 1 No one in particular / all (vol) 4 4 5 6 3 3 1 Someone else 1 – 3 2 1 2 – Don’t know 13 12 12 7 15 14 5

Q21-28 ARE AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

(ORDER OF CANDIDATE NAMES IS ROTATED) Q21. If the Republican primary or caucus for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were Senator , former House Majority Leader , former Mayor , former Arkansas Governor , California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Senator John McCain, former Governor , Congressman , former governor of , and former Senator and actor , for whom would you vote: Brownback, Gingrich, Giuliani, Hucakabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Tancredo, Tommy Thompson or Fred Thompson? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Rudy Giuliani 29 31 28 26 32 17 Fred Thompson 15 8 18 18 12 21 John McCain 12 11 12 15 8 10 Mitt Romney 8 8 9 10 7 6 Newt Gingrich 7 6 8 9 5 9 Mike Hucakabee 3 1 4 2 4 6 Tommy Thompson 3 7 2 2 5 1 Sam Brownback 2 1 2 2 2 2 Duncan Hunter 2 3 1 – 3 – Tom Tancredo 2 3 1 2 2 2 Someone else (vol) 3 5 2 3 3 6 Don’t know 14 16 13 11 17 20

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(ORDER OF STATEMENTS ARE ROTATED) Q22. When you decide which candidate to support for your party's presidential nomination, which of the following is most important to you: The kind of person the candidate is, or where the candidate stands on the issues, or whether the candidate can win, or how much he or she represents what the party stands for, or whether the candidate will support the concerns of your area, or the candidate's fundraising abilities, or what?

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Where they stand on issues 56 58 55 57 55 61 The kind of person 23 26 22 24 22 21 Represents party values 10 1 13 11 9 8 Support local concerns 6 8 5 6 7 3 Fundraising abilities 1 1 1 – 2 2 Some other reason 1 – 1 – 1 1 Don’t know – 1 1 – 1 1

(ORDER OF CANDIDATES' NAMES IS ROTATED) Q23. What if the primary or caucus in your state was narrowed down to Rudy Giuliani, John McCain and Mitt Romney? Regardless of your choice for president, if the election were being held today, for whom would you vote: Giuliani, McCain or Romney? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Giuliani 48 46 49 51 45 50 McCain 25 28 24 23 27 20 Romney 20 16 21 20 19 22 Someone else (vol) 3 3 3 2 4 2 Don’t know 4 7 3 4 5 6

(NEXT FOUR QUESTIONS AND ORDER OF NAMES WITHIN EACH QUESTION IS ROTATED) Q24. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Republican presidential candidate do you think would be the strongest one to beat the Democratic candidate in November 2008: Is it Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani , Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, Tommy Thompson or is there someone else who you think is the strongest one to beat the Democrat in November 2008?

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Rudy Giuliani 41 45 40 37 46 36 John McCain 20 17 21 25 15 20 Mitt Romney 9 12 7 11 6 5 Fred Thompson 7 4 9 8 6 9 Newt Gingrich 4 2 5 3 5 7 Tommy Thompson 2 3 2 3 2 2 Duncan Hunter 1 – 1 – 2 – Sam Brownback 1 1 – 1 – – Mike Huckabee – – 1 – 1 – Someone else 3 2 3 4 1 4 No one in particular / all (vol) 3 4 2 – 5 3 Don’t know 9 10 9 8 11 14

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Q25. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Republican presidential candidate do you think is the best qualified to be president: Is it Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, Tommy Thompson or is there someone else who you think is the best qualified to be president?

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Rudy Giuliani 30 34 28 29 30 20 John McCain 20 17 21 25 16 19 Newt Gingrich 11 5 13 9 12 15 Mitt Romney 9 15 7 8 10 5 Fred Thompson 8 3 10 11 5 12 Tommy Thompson 2 4 1 2 3 1 Mike Huckabee 2 – 3 1 4 5 Duncan Hunter 1 – 1 – 2 – Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 1 – 2 Sam Brownback 1 – 2 1 1 1 Someone else 2 4 2 1 3 4 No one in particular / all (vol) 3 4 2 1 4 3 Don’t know 10 13 9 11 10 13

Q26. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Republican presidential candidate do you think is the most ethical or truthful: Is it Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, Tommy Thompson or is there someone else who you think is the most ethical or truthful?

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Rudy Giuliani 21 25 19 20 22 14 John McCain 15 11 17 18 13 11 Fred Thompson 11 8 12 11 10 15 Mitt Romney 10 7 11 11 8 10 Newt Gingrich 5 3 7 6 5 10 Tommy Thompson 4 4 4 5 3 3 Sam Brownback 3 1 4 4 2 6 Duncan Hunter 3 2 3 3 3 – Mike Huckabee 2 2 2 2 2 1 Tom Tancredo 1 2 1 2 – 2 Someone else 1 1 1 1 2 3 No one in particular / all (vol) 7 10 5 4 9 4 Don’t know 17 24 14 13 21 21

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Q27. Regardless of your choice for president at this time, which Republican presidential candidate do you think cares more about people like you: Is it Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, Tommy Thompson or is there someone else who you think cares more about people like you?

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Rudy Giuliani 26 27 25 22 30 25 John McCain 14 13 14 13 14 11 Fred Thompson 12 9 13 14 9 17 Mitt Romney 8 7 8 9 6 6 Newt Gingrich 5 3 6 6 4 9 Tommy Thompson 3 4 2 3 2 – Sam Brownback 2 1 2 2 2 2 Duncan Hunter 2 – 3 2 2 – Mike Huckabee 1 3 1 – 3 – Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 2 1 2 Someone else 2 2 2 3 2 5 No one in particular / all (vol) 7 8 7 6 8 5 Don’t know 17 22 16 18 17 18

Q28. In your opinion, should whoever becomes the next Republican nominee campaign on a platform of continuing the policies of George W. Bush, or should he talk about moving the country in a new direction?

REP L/M CON MEN WOM RELIG Continue Bush policies 30 15 36 31 29 41 Move in a new direction 61 79 54 59 64 48 Don’t know 9 6 10 10 7 11

(ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS) (ORDER OF PARTIES ROTATED) Q29. Thinking ahead to the 2008 presidential election, if the November general election for president were being held today, which party would you like to see win: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Democratic 49 95 45 2 82 55 21 42 54 45 82 Republican 39 2 29 93 9 28 70 47 33 44 10 Other party (vol) 1 – 3 – – 1 – 2 – 1 – Neither (vol) 2 – 7 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 Don’t know 9 3 16 4 8 13 7 7 11 8 6

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ASKED OF FIRST SPLIT SAMPLE (ORDER OF NEXT FIVE QUESTIONS AND CANDIDATES WITHIN EACH QUESTION IS ROTATED) Q30. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Clinton or McCain, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK HR Clinton 45 93 30 8 84 42 22 35 52 38 88 McCain 42 4 45 84 5 40 68 48 37 49 7 Someone else (vol) 10 2 16 7 6 14 9 14 7 10 5 Don’t know 3 1 9 1 5 4 1 3 4 3 –

Q31. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Clinton or Romney, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK HR Clinton 44 93 29 6 83 46 18 37 51 39 86 Romney 37 1 43 77 4 31 65 43 32 42 4 Someone else (vol) 11 3 17 9 7 14 10 14 8 11 10 Don’t know 8 3 11 8 6 9 7 6 9 8 –

Q32. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Clinton or Giuliani, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Giuliani 48 5 53 88 10 45 74 54 42 54 4 HR Clinton 42 91 26 3 82 40 18 35 48 35 90 Someone else (vol) 6 2 13 6 4 10 4 8 4 7 6 Don’t know 4 2 8 3 4 5 4 3 6 4 –

Q33. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were John Edwards, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Edwards or McCain, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Edwards 44 88 34 5 85 38 23 41 47 41 67 McCain 40 5 38 84 5 35 68 47 33 45 8 Someone else (vol) 9 6 13 4 4 17 4 7 11 7 21 Don’t know 7 1 15 7 6 10 5 5 9 7 4

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Q34. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were John Edwards, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Edwards or Romney, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Edwards 50 91 43 13 85 47 29 45 54 46 84 Romney 30 1 28 68 3 27 51 34 28 34 2 Someone else (vol) 9 4 13 8 4 13 9 11 7 9 9 Don’t know 11 4 16 11 8 13 11 10 11 11 5

ASKED OF SECOND SPLIT SAMPLE (ORDER OF NEXT FOUR QUESTIONS AND CANDIDATES WITHIN EACH QUESTION IS ROTATED) Q35. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were John Edwards, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Edwards or Giuliani, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Giuliani 45 18 40 80 26 46 57 48 42 47 20 Edwards 43 74 47 12 67 42 30 40 47 42 69 Someone else (vol) 6 6 6 1 4 7 6 6 5 6 9 Don’t know 6 2 7 7 3 5 7 6 6 5 2

Q36. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Barack Obama , the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Obama or McCain, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Obama 48 84 42 9 76 60 19 41 54 42 88 McCain 40 11 37 81 13 27 70 47 35 46 5 Someone else (vol) 5 2 11 5 3 6 6 7 3 5 2 Don’t know 7 3 10 5 8 7 5 5 8 7 5

Q37. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Obama or Romney, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Obama 50 84 44 13 79 57 25 44 56 46 85 Romney 31 7 23 70 11 21 53 33 28 36 5 Someone else (vol) 7 3 14 4 5 7 9 9 5 9 3 Don’t know 12 6 19 13 5 15 13 14 11 9 7

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Q38. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Obama or Giuliani, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Obama 46 81 49 3 75 54 22 41 50 40 84 Giuliani 42 13 36 88 19 34 63 43 41 48 5 Someone else (vol) 6 3 7 4 1 4 11 8 4 6 7 Don’t know 6 3 8 5 5 8 4 8 5 6 4

(ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS) (ORDER OF CANDIDATES ROTATED) Q39. Suppose your party nominated a presidential candidate who is in general agreement with you on most issues, and is either a woman, or an African- American, or a Mormon, or 72 years old, or twice divorced. Could you vote for a presidential candidate who is a woman, or an African-American, or a Mormon, or 72 years old, or twice divorced, or are there any of these candidates that you could not vote for? (IF COULD NOT VOTE FOR) Which of them could you not vote for? (UP TO FOUR REPLIES ACCEPTED)

REG DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM WHT BLK Could vote for all (vol) 68 64 69 70 65 74 67 68 68 71 56 Not for a woman 4 2 3 10 2 3 8 5 4 5 2 Not for an African-American 2 3 1 2 2 – 3 2 2 2 2 Not for a Mormon 11 15 8 10 17 9 11 7 15 11 16 Not for a 72 year old 14 19 12 10 15 14 12 12 15 12 18 Not for a candidate twice divorced 6 9 6 6 4 6 8 5 8 5 14 Not for any of them (vol) 2 – 4 1 1 1 2 2 – 1 3 Don’t know 4 2 5 4 3 3 3 5 3 3 7

ASKED OF EVERYONE Q40. Six months from now, do you expect housing values to increase in your neighborhood, or to decrease, or do you think housing values in your neighborhood will remain about the same?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Increase 32 35 29 29 30 36 35 31 29 36 39 Decrease 16 14 17 16 12 18 13 14 15 16 20 Remain about the same 51 51 51 52 57 46 52 54 54 45 41 Don’t know 1 – 3 3 1 – – 1 2 3 –

TREND FOR Q40 AMONG ALL

Study/Question No. 534/Q30 532/Q21 525/Q12 524/Q27 Date 09/06 06/27/06 03/05/06 01/25/06

Increase 27 33 36 38 Decrease 19 15 14 13 Remain the same 53 49 49 48 Don’t know 1 3 1 1

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Q41. As you may know, there has been a slowdown in new home sales nationwide, to the lowest level in seven years. Do you think the decline in new home sales will have a positive or a negative effect on the nation's economy, or won't it affect the nation's economy one way or the other?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR No effect 27 28 26 33 16 28 27 27 26 20 40 Positive effect 11 12 10 12 15 8 7 10 9 19 13 Negative effect 54 55 54 48 64 57 63 55 58 51 35 Don’t know 8 5 10 7 5 7 3 8 7 10 12

As you may know, a growing number of homeowners with sub-prime mortgages are finding it difficult to make payments and are going into default. These sub-prime mortgages, which usually have an adjustable interest rate, were typically sold to people with credit problems or other issues that barred them from getting lower -cost loans.

(ORDER OF BLAME STATEMENTS IS ROTATED) Q42. Who or what do you think is mostly to blame for borrowers with sub-prime mortgages who are going into default? Is it: The sub- prime mortgage borrowers who should not have taken out loans they would have trouble paying if the interest rate went up, or The sub-prime mortgage lenders who approved mortgages to people who could not afford higher interest rates, or Government regulators who should have been monitoring the sub-prime mortgage market more closely?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Borrower 28 31 26 23 21 38 28 30 30 26 19 Lender 39 40 39 36 39 40 50 41 40 25 47 Government regulators 20 17 22 29 27 12 11 17 17 38 21 All (vol.) 9 10 8 7 12 8 7 9 9 5 9 Don’t know 4 2 5 5 1 2 4 3 4 6 4

Q43. Do you think the government should or should not intervene to assist low income borrowers who are facing foreclosure?

ALL MEN WOM <40K 40-60K 60-100K >$100K OWN WHT BLK OTHR Should intervene 50 47 52 63 52 42 36 46 43 85 53 Should not intervene 41 47 36 26 41 50 58 44 47 12 35 Don’t know 9 6 12 11 7 8 6 10 10 3 12

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Q44. As you may know, Attorney General first said that he did not discuss the firings of some U.S. Attorneys, but documents released showed that he had attended meetings and saw recommendations on the subject. Based on what you know about the matter, do you think Alberto Gonzales should resign his post as Attorney General, or not? (IF RESIGN/NOT) Do you feel strongly about that, or not?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Resign (net) 53 53 71 52 41 68 57 33 51 67 Resign, strongly 39 39 50 41 31 52 40 24 38 46 Resign, not strongly 13 13 21 11 10 16 16 9 13 21 Not resign (net) 29 30 16 25 44 17 22 52 32 14 Not resign, strongly 15 15 9 15 19 10 12 20 16 8 Not resign, not strongly 15 16 7 10 25 7 10 32 16 6 Don’t know 18 17 13 23 15 15 21 15 17 19

Q45. As you may also know, Alberto Gonzales' chief of staff had conversations with several of George W. Bush's staff to discuss the firing of some U.S. Attorneys. The Senate Judiciary Committee wants these staff members to testify under oath. The Bush administration says the staff members could have a conversation with the committee, but not under oath. What do you think? Should the staff members testify under oath or not testify under oath?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Testify under oath 74 74 91 84 53 91 77 49 72 85 Not testify under oath 20 21 5 11 40 6 16 43 22 10 Don’t know 6 5 4 5 7 3 7 7 6 5

Q46. As you may also know, Democrats in Congress have launched investigations into other Bush administration actions including: the leak of the name of a CIA operative to the press; unauthorized wiretapping of U.S. citizens; substandard conditions at Walter Reed Army Medical Center; as well as the firing of U.S. Attorneys. In your opinion, is Congress investigating these issues out of concern over government ethics and oversights, or out of a desire to gain political advantage?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Concern over ethics 28 28 45 28 17 41 28 14 28 35 Political advantage 63 63 41 62 77 49 60 79 64 56 Don’t know 9 9 14 10 6 10 12 7 8 9

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Q47. As you may know, in addition to sending more troops, the recent Bush administration plan for Iraq includes funding for reconstruction and jobs programs, and increasing pressure on the Iraqi government to stabilize the country. In your opinion, has Bush's plan made the situation in Iraq better, or worse, or hasn't it changed the situation one way or the other? (IF BETTER/WORSE) Is the situation much (better/worse) as a result of Bush's plan, or somewhat (better/worse)?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Better (net) 22 23 7 16 38 7 14 49 25 5 Much better 6 6 2 3 12 3 1 17 7 3 Somewhat better 15 16 5 13 25 5 12 33 18 2 Worse (net) 36 35 56 38 20 56 40 7 30 60 Somewhat worse 12 11 18 13 7 17 13 4 11 18 Much worse 24 24 38 25 13 39 28 3 19 43 No change 37 38 35 42 36 33 40 36 39 31 Don’t know 5 4 2 4 7 4 6 7 6 4

Q48. Generally speaking, do you think setting a timetable for withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq hurts or helps U.S. troops serving in Iraq right now, or doesn't it affect the troops one way or the other?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK No effect 15 14 21 18 8 19 15 12 16 11 Hurts 50 51 33 44 67 36 47 69 49 50 Helps 27 28 41 27 20 36 29 15 28 31 Don’t know 8 7 5 11 5 9 9 4 7 8

Q49. As you may know, Democrats in both houses of Congress passed legislation that ties further funding of the war in Iraq to targeted dates for withdrawal of combat troops from Iraq. Bush says he will any measure that sets such a timetable because he believes it would tie the hands of battlefield commanders and make defeat in Iraq more likely. Do you think that Bush should sign a funding authorization that includes a timetable for withdrawal, or should he veto that legislation?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Pass legislation 48 48 76 52 26 74 48 15 46 63 Veto it 43 44 17 39 67 18 39 80 47 26 Don’t know 9 8 7 9 7 8 13 5 7 11

Q50. If George W. Bush vetoes the legislation, do you think Congress should pass another version of the bill that provides funding for the war without any conditions for troop withdrawal, or should Congress refuse to pass any funding bill until Bush agrees to accept conditions for withdrawal?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Fund the war without conditions 43 44 23 41 60 24 40 73 47 25 Withhold funding until bush signs 45 45 64 51 28 66 43 21 43 58 Don’t know 12 11 13 8 12 10 17 6 10 17

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Q51. Generally speaking, do you think that illegal immigrants help or harm the nation's economy, or do you think they neither help nor harm the nation's economy? (IF HELP OR HARM) Do illegal immigrants (help/harm) the economy a lot or only a little?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Help (net) 24 24 35 20 21 33 21 16 23 28 Help a lot 12 12 18 11 10 16 12 9 10 19 Help a little 12 12 17 9 11 17 9 7 13 9 Harm (net) 54 54 40 57 60 44 55 66 56 53 Harm a little 12 12 9 12 15 9 16 14 13 10 Harm a lot 42 43 31 45 45 34 39 52 44 43 Neither help nor harm 17 16 19 20 13 18 21 12 16 16 Don’t know 5 6 6 3 6 5 3 6 5 3

(ORDER OF STATEMENTS ROTATED) Q52. When it comes to dealing with illegal immigration, do you favor an approach that focuses only on tougher enforcement of immigration laws, or an approach that includes both tougher enforcement of immigration laws and also creates a guest worker program that allows undocumented workers to work legally in the U.S. on temporary visas?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Only tougher enforcement of laws 40 39 35 37 44 40 37 41 41 51 Tougher enforcement and guest worker program 55 56 58 59 52 53 58 56 55 38 Don’t know 5 5 7 4 4 7 5 3 4 11

Q53. Generally speaking, do you believe employers who knowingly hire illegal immigrants should or should not be punished for their actions?

ALL REG LIB MOD CON DEM IND REP WHT BLK Should be punished 77 78 73 74 83 72 78 87 82 65 Should not be punished 18 17 21 22 14 23 19 11 14 28 Don’t know 5 5 6 4 3 5 3 2 4 7

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METHODOLOGY

This Los Angeles Times/ poll is the 544th in a series of opinion studies designed to measure public attitudes on a number of issues. This survey provides a benchmark for the 2008 Democratic and Republican presidential primaries. Also included are sections on the economy and other political issues like the Iraq war funding, the controversy surrounding the firings of certain U.S. attorneys and immigration.

The sampling frame for this survey is all telephone residences in the nation. One thousand three hundred seventy-three men and women 18 years of age or older were contacted by telephone April 5-9, 2007. Included are 1,246 registered voters of which 557 are Democratic primary voters, and 437 are Republican voters. Democratic and Republican primary voters were defined by whether they were registered in either party, and if not, would they usually vote for a Democratic or a Republican candidate. The 2008 presidential election match-up questions were split among two random sub-groups of 603 and 643 registered voters respectively.

Areas with higher concentration of African American households were disproportionately contacted in a separate random national sample to allow a more accurate analysis of that subgroup and weighted to be representative of adults nationwide.

Random selections of telephone numbers were chosen among all working banks of land-line exchanges in the nation, including Alaska and Hawaii. Working banks are 100 contiguous numbers containing one or more residential listings. The use of random samples of telephone exchanges such as these allow researchers to contact both listed and unlisted numbers. Sampled numbers are released in representative replicates to ensure an appropriate regional distribution, and multiple attempts were made to contact each number.

Both samples of adults were evaluated against the most recent Census Bureau's Current Population Survey demographic estimates of sex, ethnicity, age, education and national region and a weight was calculated to bring the sample proportions into alignment with their respective census proportions, if necessary, for analysis.

For results based on the entire sample, one can say with 95% confidence that error attributable to sampling for this survey among all adults and registered voters is at most plus or minus 3 percentage points. For Democratic primary voters, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 points and for Republican primary voters, it is plus or minus 5. For each of the split subgroups, the margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points. For other subgroups, the error margin may be somewhat higher. Weights such as these are used to account for error introduced when respondents to the survey may differ from those who refused to be interviewed or who were never home during the interviewing period.

While every precaution has been taken to avoid error and increase accuracy, surveys such as this one may be subject to inaccuracies for which precise estimates cannot be calculated and which may, in some cases, contribute to errors of greater or lesser extent than the effects associated with sampling procedures. For example, findings may be influenced by events which take place while the survey is in the field and, of course, events occurring since the time the interviews were conducted could have changed the opinions reported here. In addition, inadvertently biased question wordings and the order in which they are asked may influence results. Such errors and others are the result of the various practical difficulties associated with taking any survey of public opinion.

Susan Pinkus directs the Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg News Poll. Jill Darling is the associate director, Roger Richardson is the field director, Claudia Vaughn is the data management supervisor and Farnaz Calafi is the publications coordinator.

Further information regarding this study is available by writing to the Los Angeles Times Poll, 202 West 1st Street, Los Angeles, California 90012, or by calling (213) 237-2027 or by emailing [email protected]. In addition, poll data can now be found on the World Wide Web. Visit us at http://www.latimes.com/timespoll

This report is consistent with the standards of the National Council on Public Polls and the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

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