DOCSLIB.ORG

RISK MANAGEMENT in the FUNCTION of CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION Zoran Keković, Phd, Slavica Pavlović, Phd Student, Vladimir Ninković, Phd Student;

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
RISK MANAGEMENT in the FUNCTION of CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION Zoran Keković, Phd, Slavica Pavlović, Phd Student, Vladimir Ninković, Phd Student; МЕЃУНАРОДНА НАУЧНА КОНФЕРЕНЦИЈА БЕЗБЕДНОСТА КАКО ПРЕДМЕТ НА ИСТРАЖУВАЊЕ - ПРИСТАПИ, КОНЦЕПТИ И ПОЛИТИКИ INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE RESEARCHING SECURITY: APPROACHES, CONCEPTS AND POLICIES МЕЃУНАРОДНА НАУЧНА КОНФЕРЕНЦИЈА БЕЗБЕДНОСТА КАКО ПРЕДМЕТ НА ИСТРАЖУВАЊЕ - ПРИСТАПИ, КОНЦЕПТИ И ПОЛИТИКИ 2-3 Јуни 2015, Охрид Tом IV СКОПЈЕ, 2015 INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE RESEARCHING SECURITY: APPROACHES, CONCEPTS AND POLICIES 2 - 3 June 2015 Ohrid, Republic of Macedonia Volume IV SKOPJE, 2015 Издавачи: Publishers: Универзитет „Св. Климент University “St. Kliment Охридски“ Битола Ohridski”- Bitola Факултет за безбедност – Faculty of Security- Skopje Скопје За издавачите: For the Publishers: проф. д-р Сашо Коруновски, Sašo Korunovski, PhD Rector of ректор на Универзитетот „Св. the University “St. Kliment Климент Охридски“ – Скопје Ohridski”- Bitola проф. д-р Оливер Бачановиќ, Oliver Bačanović, PhD Dean of декан на Факултетот за the Faculty of Security- Skopje безбедност – Скопје Уредник на изданието: Editor in Chief: Проф. д-р Цане Т.Мојаноски Cane T.Mojanoski, PhD Преведувачи: Proofreading: Анче Белада Anče Belada м-р Даниела Јосифова Daniela Josifova, MA Марија Рашковска Marija Raškovska Марија Вучкова Marija Vučkova Компјутерска обработка: Computer Processing:: Проф. д-р Цане Т. Мојаноски Cane T.Mojanoski, PhD Кемал Рушид Kemal Rushid Печати: Print: АД „Ван Гог“ - Скопје “Van Gog” - LTD Skopje Адреса на издавачите: Address of the Publishers: Факултет за безбедност Faculty of Security 1000 Скопје 1000 Skopje П. Фах 103 P.O. Box 103 тел: 022546211 tel: ++389(0)22546211 Универзитет „Св. Климент University “St. Kliment Охридски“ Ohridski” 1ви Maj б.б. 1 Maj b.b. 7000 Битола, 7000 Bitola тел: 047223788 tel: +++389(0) 47223788 ПРОГРАМСКИ ОДБОР PROGRAMME COMMITTEE д-р Оливер Бачановиќ, декан, Факултет за безбедност –Скопје, Оliver Bačanović, PhD., Dean of the Република Македонија Faculty of Security д-р Младен Бајагиќ, декан, Mladen Bajagć, PhD , Dean of the Криминалистичко-полициска Academy of Criminalistics and Police академија, (КПА), Србија Studies, Serbia Хелен Мартини, претседател на Helene Martini, President of the Асоцијацијата на европските Association of European Police Colleges полициски колеџи Gorazd Meško, PhD , Dean of the Faculty д-р Горазд Мешко, декан на of Criminal Justice and Security, Slovenia Факултетот за криминална правдаи Nedelčo Lazarov Stojčev, PhD , Rector of безбедност, Словенија the Academy of the Ministry of Interior, д-р Неделчо Лазаров Стојчев, Ректор Bulgaria на Академијата при Министерството Radomir Milašinović, PhD, Dean of the за внатрешни работи, Софија Faculty of Security Studies, University of д-р Радомир Mилашиновиќ, Декан Belgrade, Serbia на Факултетот за безбедност, Remzi Findikli, PhD, Director of the Универзитет во Белград, Србија Turkish National Police Academy, Turkey д-р Ремзи Финдикли, Директор на Mile Šikman, PhD, Head of the турската национална Полициска Administration for Police Education of академија, Турција Republika Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina д-р Миле Шикман, началник, Ivan Toth, PhD, University of Applied Директорат за полициска едукација, Sciences - VVG, Croatia МВР, Република Српска, Босна и Rajko Pekovic, Police Academy, Херцеговина Montenegro д-р Иван Тош, Универзитет на Troje Daniel Kostel, PhD, Rector of the применет науки, Хрватска Police Academy ”Alexandru Ioan Cuza”, Рајко Пековиќ, Полициска академија, Romania Црна Гора Nedžad Korajlić, PhD, Dean of the д-р Трое Даниел Костел, ректор на Faculty of Criminalistics, Criminology and Полициска академија Alexandru Ioan Security Studies, University of Sarajevo, Cuza“, Романија Bosnia and Herzegovina д-р Неџад Корајлиќ, декан, Факултет Ferenc Banfi, PhD, Director of CEPOL за криминалистика, криминологија и (European Police College) безбедносни студии, Босна и AljošaKandzic, PhD, President of the Херцеговина Council, Institute for Corporate Security д-р Ференц Банфи, Директор во Studies ICS Ljubljana, Slovenia ЦЕПОЛ (Европски полициски колеџи) д-р Аљоша Канџиќ,Институт за корпоративнни студии ИЦС, Љубљана, SECRETARY Словенија Vesna Трајкovska, PhD Secretary of the International Programme СЕКРЕТАР Committee д-р Весна Трајковска, Секретар на Програмскиот одбор ОРГАНИЗАЦИОНЕН ОДБОР ORGANIZING COMMITTEE проф. д-р Цане T. Мојаноски, Cane Mojanoski, PhD, Chairman претседател вон. проф. д-р Марјан Николовски Marjan Nikolovski, PhD вон.проф.д-р Светлана Николовска Snežana Mojsoska, Dr. Sc доц. д-р Снежана Мојсоска Nikola Dujovski, PhD доц. д-р Никола Дујовски Ljupčo Todorovski, PhD. доц. д-р Љупчо Тодоровски Rade Rajkovčevski, PhD доц. д-р Раде Рајковчевски Marjan Gjurovski, PhD доц. д-р Весна Стефановска Vesna Stefanovska, PhD СЕКРЕТАР SECRETARY доц. д-р Марјан Ѓуровски Marjan Gjurovski, PhD CONTENTS SECURITY AND RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE SECURITY SERVICES RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE FUNCTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION Zoran Keković, PhD, Slavica Pavlović, PhD student, Vladimir Ninković, PhD student; .................................................................................................... 7 NORMATIVE FRAMEWORK FOR MONITORING THE QUALITY OF EXPERTS' WORK Milan Žarković, PhD, Tanja Kesić, PhD, Ivana Bjelovuk, PhD .................. 17 THE INFLUENCE OF THE LEADERSHIP PERSONAL VALUES ON THE MANAGEMENT OF THE SECURITY CHALLENGES Lazar Gjurov, PhD, Ljubomir Drakulevski, PhD, Angelina Taneva Veshovska, PhD ............................................................................................ 34 REFORMS AIMED AT SERVICE ORIENTATION OF SECURITY SERVICES Milko Menkinoski, MA, Dejan Vitanski, PhD ............................................. 50 THE IMPACT OF MILITARY EDUCATION ON THE QUALITY OF DECISION MAKING OF THE MILITARY LEADERS Kemo Djozo, MA, Aleksandra Dimitrovska, PhD, Slavko Angeleski, PhD 65 BORDER RISK MANAGEMENT Zafircho Panchev, MA. ................................................................................. 80 DETERMINANTS IN SHAPING CRISIS MANAGEMENT IN THE FRAMEWORK OF SECURITY POLICY Marjan Gjurovski, PhD ................................................................................. 93 SECURITY AND SECURITY SYSTEMS TODAY THE OPINION OF THE CITIZENS ON SAFETY IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA Cane T. Mojanoski, PhD ............................................................................. 105 PEACE AND SECURITY: IS CONFLICT PREVENTION STILL A NORM OF SECURITY POLICY? Lidija Georgieva,PhD, Marina Mitrevska,PhD .......................................... 124 ECONOMIC SECURITY AS A STRUCTURAL COMPONENT OF SECURITY Metodija Angeleski, PhD, Nikolina Gaberova, Martina Nedelkovska ...... 138 COMMUNICATION AND SECURITY – A WAY OF THINKING Nikolay Palashev, PhD ............................................................................... 147 NATIONAL SECURITY IN SERBIA – DE LEGE LATA ET DE LEGE FERENDA Zoran Pavlovic, Dalibor Krstinic ................................................................ 157 SECURITY SCIENCE PARADIGMS IN THE TIME OF EXPANDED APPROACH TO SECURITY: WHEN TO START AND WHEN TO FINISH A SECURITY SECTOR REFORM IN A CONFLICT / POSTCONFLICT SOCIETY? Dimitar Kirkovski, Rade Rajkovcevski, PhD ............................................. 173 CRISIS IN UKRAINE: THREAT OF INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT Sinisha Daskalovski, PhD ........................................................................... 187 SECURITY CHALLENGES AND TREATS TO THE NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL PEACE AND SECURITY THE SECURITY THREATS AND THE NEED FOR CREATING A REGIONAL SECURITY CENTRE IN THE WESTERN BALKAN REGION Tome Batkovski, PhD ................................................................................. 201 EXTREME CASE OF INSECURITY: VIOLENCE NARRATIVES OF SURVIVORS FROM THE WAR IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA ... Goran Basic, PhD........................................................................................ 216 ADVERSE RISK AND NATURAL PROCESSES AND PHENOMENA AND NATIONAL SECURITY OF THE REPUBLIC OF BULGARIA Tihomir Lichev ........................................................................................... 234 II THE WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION AS A SECURITY THREAT IN THE FUNCTION OF REALIZATION OF TERRORISTIC AIMS Ice Ilijevski, PhD, Zlate Dimovski, PhD, Kire Babanoski, PhD ................ 243 CONTRIBUTION OF THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA IN THE FIGHT AGAINST INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM Muhamed Racaj, PhD, Sevilj Muaremoska Abduli, PhD Candidate ......... 255 RECONCEPTION OF TRANSNATIONAL ORGANIZED CRIME AS A SECURITY THREAT-EXPANDED APPROACH TO SECURITY Tanja Milosevska, PhD .............................................................................. 270 THE ISLAMIC STATE AS A GLOBAL CHALLENGE TO THE INTERNATIONAL PEACE AND SECURITY Nenad Taneski, PhD, Metodi Hadji-Janev, PhD, Rina Kirkova, PhD........ 282 REGIONAL SECURITY CHALLENGES PROJECTED IN THE MODERN SECURITY THREATS Mile Petrovski, PhD, Zoran Cikarski, MA. ................................................ 292 SECURITY AND RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE SECURITY SERVICES UDK:327.36:005.334]:338.49 (497.11) RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE FUNCTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION* Zoran Keković, PhD; Faculty of Security Studies, Belgrade, Serbia Email: [email protected] Slavica Pavlović, PhD student; Faculty of Security Studies, Belgrade, Serbia Email: [email protected] Vladimir Ninković, PhD student; Faculty of Security Studies, Belgrade, Serbia Email: [email protected] Abstract We are witnessing the emergence of a large number of emergency situations as a consequence of technical, technological and natural hazards, terrorist attacks
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Federal Research Division Country Profile: Bulgaria, October 2006
    Library of Congress – Federal Research Division Country Profile: Bulgaria, October 2006 COUNTRY PROFILE: BULGARIA October 2006 COUNTRY Formal Name: Republic of Bulgaria (Republika Bŭlgariya). Short Form: Bulgaria. Term for Citizens(s): Bulgarian(s). Capital: Sofia. Click to Enlarge Image Other Major Cities (in order of population): Plovdiv, Varna, Burgas, Ruse, Stara Zagora, Pleven, and Sliven. Independence: Bulgaria recognizes its independence day as September 22, 1908, when the Kingdom of Bulgaria declared its independence from the Ottoman Empire. Public Holidays: Bulgaria celebrates the following national holidays: New Year’s (January 1); National Day (March 3); Orthodox Easter (variable date in April or early May); Labor Day (May 1); St. George’s Day or Army Day (May 6); Education Day (May 24); Unification Day (September 6); Independence Day (September 22); Leaders of the Bulgarian Revival Day (November 1); and Christmas (December 24–26). Flag: The flag of Bulgaria has three equal horizontal stripes of white (top), green, and red. Click to Enlarge Image HISTORICAL BACKGROUND Early Settlement and Empire: According to archaeologists, present-day Bulgaria first attracted human settlement as early as the Neolithic Age, about 5000 B.C. The first known civilization in the region was that of the Thracians, whose culture reached a peak in the sixth century B.C. Because of disunity, in the ensuing centuries Thracian territory was occupied successively by the Greeks, Persians, Macedonians, and Romans. A Thracian kingdom still existed under the Roman Empire until the first century A.D., when Thrace was incorporated into the empire, and Serditsa was established as a trading center on the site of the modern Bulgarian capital, Sofia.
    [Show full text]
  • Challenges of Forced Migration in Serbia Position of Refugees, Internally Displaced Persons, Returnees and Asylum Seekers
    CHALLENGES OF FORCED MIGRATION IN SERBIA POSITION OF REFUGEES, INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS, RETURNEES AND ASYLUM SEEKERS June 2011 The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of Group 484 and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union 1 2 The goal of this publication is to raise the level of understanding of the complex problems of forced migration in Serbia in the territory of the former Yugoslavia in the context of the obligations in the process of European integrations, as well as to encourage cooperation and exchange of knowledge and experience among national and international institutions, civil society, the academic community and interested individuals. The policy paper on the status and problems of refugees, internally displaced persons, asylum seekers and returnees under readmission agreements, "The Challenges of Forced Migration in Serbia", coordinated by Group 484, was developed by a team composed of representatives of NGOs dealing with these issues: Humanitarian Centre for Integration and Tolerance, Praxis, Society for Peace, Development and Ecology, International Aid Network, Ecumenical Humanitarian Organization, the Red Cross of Serbia, the “Protecta” Centre for Civil Society Development , Serbian Democratic Forum, Novi Sad Humanitarian Centre, Union, Educational Centre Leskovac, Balkan Centre for Migration and Humanitarian Activities, Belgrade Centre for Human Rights, Belgrade Centre for Security Policy, and the Initiative for Development and Cooperation. NGO representatives participated in four working groups to agree on a common policy paper that should also be the basis for advocating for the rights of forced migrants in the state institutions of Serbia and the EU bodies.
    [Show full text]
  • English and INTRODACTION
    CHANGES AND CONTINUITY IN EVERYDAY LIFE IN ALBANIA, BULGARIA AND MACEDONIA 1945-2000 UNDERSTANDING A SHARED PAST LEARNING FOR THE FUTURE 1 This Teacher Resource Book has been published in the framework of the Stability Pact for South East Europe CONTENTS with financial support from the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs. It is available in Albanian, Bulgarian, English and INTRODACTION..............................................3 Macedonian language. POLITICAL LIFE...........................................17 CONSTITUTION.....................................................20 Title: Changes and Continuity in everyday life in Albania, ELECTIONS...........................................................39 Bulgaria and Macedonia POLITICAL PERSONS..............................................50 HUMAN RIGHTS....................................................65 Author’s team: Terms.................................................................91 ALBANIA: Chronology........................................................92 Adrian Papajani, Fatmiroshe Xhemali (coordinators), Agron Nishku, Bedri Kola, Liljana Guga, Marie Brozi. Biographies........................................................96 BULGARIA: Bibliography.......................................................98 Rumyana Kusheva, Milena Platnikova (coordinators), Teaching approches..........................................101 Bistra Stoimenova, Tatyana Tzvetkova,Violeta Stoycheva. ECONOMIC LIFE........................................103 MACEDONIA: CHANGES IN PROPERTY.......................................104
    [Show full text]
  • Bulgaria Page 1 of 14
    2005 Country Report on Human Rights in Bulgaria Page 1 of 14 Facing the Threat Posed by Iranian Regime | Daily Press Briefing | Other News... Bulgaria Country Reports on Human Rights Practices - 2005 Released by the Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor March 8, 2006 Bulgaria is a parliamentary democracy of approximately 7.7 million persons, and is ruled by a coalition government headed by Prime Minister Sergei Stanishev. Multiparty parliamentary elections in June were deemed generally free and fair despite some reported irregularities. While civilian authorities generally maintained effective control of law enforcement officers, there were some instances in which law enforcement officers acted independently of government authority. The government generally respected the human rights of its citizens; however, there were problems in several areas. The following human rights problems were reported: police abuses, including beatings and mistreatment, of criminal suspects, prison inmates, and members of minorities harsh conditions in prisons and detention facilities arbitrary arrest and detention impunity limitations on freedom of the press some restrictions on freedom of religion discrimination against certain religious minorities widespread corruption in executive and judicial branches violence and discrimination against women, children, and minority groups, particularly the Roma trafficking in persons discrimination against persons with disabilities child labor RESPECT FOR HUMAN RIGHTS Section 1 Respect for the Integrity of the Person, Including Freedom From: a. Arbitrary or Unlawful Deprivation of Life Neither the government nor its agents committed any politically motivated killings; however, there were reports that police killed two persons during the year. On November 10, Anguel Dimitrov died while being arrested in a nationwide operation against organized crime.
    [Show full text]
  • Blood Ties: Religion, Violence, and the Politics of Nationhood in Ottoman Macedonia, 1878
    BLOOD TIES BLOOD TIES Religion, Violence, and the Politics of Nationhood in Ottoman Macedonia, 1878–1908 I˙pek Yosmaog˘lu Cornell University Press Ithaca & London Copyright © 2014 by Cornell University All rights reserved. Except for brief quotations in a review, this book, or parts thereof, must not be reproduced in any form without permission in writing from the publisher. For information, address Cornell University Press, Sage House, 512 East State Street, Ithaca, New York 14850. First published 2014 by Cornell University Press First printing, Cornell Paperbacks, 2014 Printed in the United States of America Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Yosmaog˘lu, I˙pek, author. Blood ties : religion, violence,. and the politics of nationhood in Ottoman Macedonia, 1878–1908 / Ipek K. Yosmaog˘lu. pages cm Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-8014-5226-0 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN 978-0-8014-7924-3 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. Macedonia—History—1878–1912. 2. Nationalism—Macedonia—History. 3. Macedonian question. 4. Macedonia—Ethnic relations. 5. Ethnic conflict— Macedonia—History. 6. Political violence—Macedonia—History. I. Title. DR2215.Y67 2013 949.76′01—dc23 2013021661 Cornell University Press strives to use environmentally responsible suppliers and materials to the fullest extent possible in the publishing of its books. Such materials include vegetable-based, low-VOC inks and acid-free papers that are recycled, totally chlorine-free, or partly composed of nonwood fibers. For further information, visit our website at www.cornellpress.cornell.edu. Cloth printing 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Paperback printing 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 To Josh Contents Acknowledgments ix Note on Transliteration xiii Introduction 1 1.
    [Show full text]
  • Serbia in 2001 Under the Spotlight
    1 Human Rights in Transition – Serbia 2001 Introduction The situation of human rights in Serbia was largely influenced by the foregoing circumstances. Although the severe repression characteristic especially of the last two years of Milosevic’s rule was gone, there were no conditions in place for dealing with the problems accumulated during the previous decade. All the mechanisms necessary to ensure the exercise of human rights - from the judiciary to the police, remained unchanged. However, the major concern of citizens is the mere existential survival and personal security. Furthermore, the general atmosphere in the society was just as xenophobic and intolerant as before. The identity crisis of the Serb people and of all minorities living in Serbia continued. If anything, it deepened and the relationship between the state and its citizens became seriously jeopardized by the problem of Serbia’s undefined borders. The crisis was manifest with regard to certain minorities such as Vlachs who were believed to have been successfully assimilated. This false belief was partly due to the fact that neighbouring Romania had been in a far worse situation than Yugoslavia during the past fifty years. In considerably changed situation in Romania and Serbia Vlachs are now undergoing the process of self identification though still unclear whether they would choose to call themselves Vlachs or Romanians-Vlachs. Considering that the international factor has become the main generator of change in Serbia, the Helsinki Committee for Human Rights in Serbia believes that an accurate picture of the situation in Serbia is absolutely necessary. It is essential to establish the differences between Belgrade and the rest of Serbia, taking into account its internal diversities.
    [Show full text]
  • UNDP RS NARS and Indepen
    The National Assembly of the Republic of Serbia Serbia AND INDEPENDENT BODIES SERBIA THE REPUBLIC OF OF ASSEMBLY NATIONAL NATIONAL ASSEMBLY OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA AND INDEPENDENT BODIES 253 NATIONAL ASSEMBLY OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA AND INDEPENDENT BODIES NATIONAL ASSEMBLY OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA AND INDEPENDENT BODIES Materials from the Conference ”National Assembly of the Republic of Serbia and Independent Bodies” Belgrade, 26-27 November 2009 and an Overview of the Examples of International Practice Olivera PURIĆ UNDP Deputy Resident Representative a.i. Edited by Boris ČAMERNIK, Jelena MANIĆ and Biljana LEDENIČAN The following have participated: Velibor POPOVIĆ, Maja ŠTERNIĆ, Jelena MACURA MARINKOVIĆ Translated by: Novica PETROVIĆ Isidora VLASAK English text revised by: Charles ROBERTSON Design and layout Branislav STANKOVIĆ Copy editing Jasmina SELMANOVIĆ Printing Stylos, Novi Sad Number of copies 150 in English language and 350 in Serbian language For the publisher United Nations Development Programme, Country Office Serbia Internacionalnih brigada 69, 11000 Beograd, +381 11 2040400, www.undp.org.rs ISBN – 978-86-7728-125-0 The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations and the United Nations Development Programme. Acknowledgement We would like to thank all those whose hard work has made this publication possible. We are particularly grateful for the guidance and support of the National Assembly of the Republic of Serbia, above all from the Cabinet of the Speaker and the Secretariat. A special debt of gratitude is owed to the representatives of the independent regulatory bodies; the Commissioner for Information of Public Importance and Personal Data Protection, the State Audit Institution, the Ombudsman of the Republic of Serbia and the Anti-corruption Agency.
    [Show full text]
  • Forest Fires in Europe, Middle East and North Africa 2013 Joint Report of JRC and Directorate-General Environment
    Forest Fires in Europe, Middle East and North Africa 2013 Joint report of JRC and Directorate-General Environment 2 0 1 4 Report EUR 26791 EN European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute for Environment and Sustainability Contact information Address: Joint Research Centre, Via Enrico Fermi 2749, TP 261, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy E-mail: [email protected] Tel.: +39 0332 78 6138 Fax: +39 0332 78 5500 http://ies.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ http://www.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ This publication is a Technical Report by the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission. Legal Notice This publication is a Technical Report by the Joint Research Centre, the European Commission’s in-house science service. It aims to provide evidence-based scientific support to the European policy-making process. The scientific output expressed does not imply a policy position of the European Commission. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this publication. JRC91373 EUR 26791 EN ISBN 978-92-79-39628-1 (print) ISBN 978-92-79-39627-4 (pdf) ISSN 1018-5593 (print) ISSN 1831-9424 (online) doi:10.2788/99870 (online) Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2014 © European Union, 2014 Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. Printed in Italy Forest Fires in Europe, Middle East and North Africa 2013 Contacts: JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE Institute for Environment and Sustainability Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit Guido Schmuck [email protected]
    [Show full text]
  • COVID-19 and Immigration Tracker
    Mobility: Immigration Tracker Impact of COVID-19 on global immigration 18 November 2020 Important notes • This document provides a snapshot of the policy changes that have been announced in jurisdictions around the world in response to the COVID-19 crisis. It is designed to support conversations about policies that have been proposed or implemented in key jurisdictions • Policy changes across the globe are being proposed and implemented on a daily basis. This document is updated on an ongoing basis but not all entries will be up-to-date as the process moves forward. In addition, not all jurisdictions are reflected in this document • Find the most current version of this tracker on ey.com • Please consult with your EY engagement team to check for new updates and new developments EY teams have developed additional trackers to help you follow changes: ► Force Majeure ► Global Mobility ► Global Tax Policy ► Global Trade Considerations ► Labor and Employment Law ► Tax Controversy ► US State and Local Taxes EY professionals are updating the trackers regularly as the situation continues to develop. Page 2 Impact of COVID-19 on Global Immigration Overview/key issues • With the crisis evolving at different stages globally, government authorities continue to implement immigration-related measures to limit the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and protect the health and safety of individuals in and outside of their jurisdictions. • Measures to stem the spread of COVID-19 include the following: • Entry restrictions and heightened admission criteria
    [Show full text]
  • National Intelligence Council's Global Trends 2040
    A PUBLICATION OF THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL MARCH 2021 2040 GLOBAL TRENDS A MORE CONTESTED WORLD A MORE CONTESTED WORLD a Image / Bigstock “Intelligence does not claim infallibility for its prophecies. Intelligence merely holds that the answer which it gives is the most deeply and objectively based and carefully considered estimate.” Sherman Kent Founder of the Office of National Estimates Image / Bigstock Bastien Herve / Unsplash ii GLOBAL TRENDS 2040 Pierre-Chatel-Innocenti / Unsplash 2040 GLOBAL TRENDS A MORE CONTESTED WORLD MARCH 2021 NIC 2021-02339 ISBN 978-1-929667-33-8 To view digital version: www.dni.gov/nic/globaltrends A PUBLICATION OF THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL Pierre-Chatel-Innocenti / Unsplash TABLE OF CONTENTS v FOREWORD 1 INTRODUCTION 1 | KEY THEMES 6 | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 11 | THE COVID-19 FACTOR: EXPANDING UNCERTAINTY 14 STRUCTURAL FORCES 16 | DEMOGRAPHICS AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT 23 | Future Global Health Challenges 30 | ENVIRONMENT 42 | ECONOMICS 54 | TECHNOLOGY 66 EMERGING DYNAMICS 68 | SOCIETAL: DISILLUSIONED, INFORMED, AND DIVIDED 78 | STATE: TENSIONS, TURBULENCE, AND TRANSFORMATION 90 | INTERNATIONAL: MORE CONTESTED, UNCERTAIN, AND CONFLICT PRONE 107 | The Future of Terrorism: Diverse Actors, Fraying International Efforts 108 SCENARIOS FOR 2040 CHARTING THE FUTURE AMID UNCERTAINTY 110 | RENAISSANCE OF DEMOCRACIES 112 | A WORLD ADRIFT 114 | COMPETITIVE COEXISTENCE 116 | SEPARATE SILOS 118 | TRAGEDY AND MOBILIZATION 120 REGIONAL FORECASTS 141 TABLE OF GRAPHICS 142 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS iv GLOBAL TRENDS 2040 FOREWORD elcome to the 7th edition of the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends report. Published every four years since 1997, Global Trends assesses the key Wtrends and uncertainties that will shape the strategic environment for the United States during the next two decades.
    [Show full text]
  • The Structural Position of Female Journalists in the Macedonian Media
    The structural position of female journalists in the Macedonian media THE STRUCTURAL POSITION OF FEMALE JOURNALISTS IN THE MACEDONIAN MEDIA Author: Sonja Trajkovska Dimitrovska 1. INTRODUCTION Gender equality reflects the respect for human rights, democracy and social justice in a society. In that respect, free media, editorial independence and freedom, media pluralism and gender equality in the media are prerequisites for ensuring the advancement of women in the newsroom, and their adequate representation in the media content. In Macedonia there is a legal framework guaranteeing gender equality and representation in all areas of society, including the media. The international recommendations that address this issue have been integrated into the legislation. However, the general worldwide trend that despite the fact that women are more numerous in the newsrooms, the editorial, managerial and executive positions in the media are dominated by men is reflected in practice. Research shows that this is also reflected in the media products, where there is gender asymmetry in terms of represented opinions and consulted protagonists. The reasons for this situation are complex and should be saught in the individual, organizational, social and cultural factors in society. The aim of the research is to determine the position of women in the media structure in Macedonia, considering their representation in various levels of the governing structures of some of the most influential media in Macedonia, their educational background, opportunities for professional development, as well as their economic and security standing. Although we have encountered difficulties in collecting data, all these elements made it possible to get a general idea of the position and role of women working in the media industry.
    [Show full text]
  • Crooked Kaleidoscope Organized Crime in the Balkans
    CrookedCrooked KaleidoscopeKaleidoscope OrganizedOrganized CrimeCrime inin thethe BalkansBalkans June 2017 A NETWORK TO COUNTER NETWORKS A NETWORK TO COUNTER NETWORKS Crooked Kaleidoscope Organized Crime in the Balkans June 2017 © 2017 Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Global Initiative. Please direct inquiries to: The Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime WMO Building, 2nd Floor 7bis, Avenue de la Paix CH-1211 Geneva 1 Switzerland www.GlobalInitiative.net Acknowledgements The author would like to thank, among others, Erhard Busek, Tim Del Vecchio, Odd Berner Malme, Goran Svilanovic, Ivan Krastev, Guy Vinet and colleagues in the OSCE Strategic Police Matters Unit, Gerald Tatzgern, Robert Hampshire, Christian Jechoutek, Norbert Mappes-Niediek, Thomas Pietschmann, Svein Eriksen, Ugi Zvekic, as well as colleagues at EUROPOL, the OSCE, UNHCR and UNODC. A big thank you to Sharon Wilson for layout, Sebastian Ballard for the maps, and to Ray Bartkus as always for a fantastic cover. A special tribute to the many brave journalists and members of civil society, particularly in Macedonia and Montenegro, who would prefer to remain anonymous. Thanks to Mark Shaw and Tuesday Reitano at the Global Initiative for their support and encouragement to make this paper possible. The Global Initiative would like to thank the Government of Norway for the funding provided for catalytic research on illicit flows and zones of fragility that made this study possible. About the Author Walter Kemp is a Senior Fellow at the Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime.
    [Show full text]