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Security Transitions Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro Cl Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde, Austin Wright
Security Transitions Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro Cl Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde, Austin Wright To cite this version: Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro Cl Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde, Austin Wright. Security Transitions. 2020. halshs-02518234 HAL Id: halshs-02518234 https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-02518234 Preprint submitted on 25 Mar 2020 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. WORKING PAPER N° 2020 – 13 Security Transitions Thiemo Fetzer Pedro CL Souza Oliver Vanden Eynde Austin L. Wright JEL Codes: D72, D74, L23 Keywords: Counterinsurgency, Civil Conflict, Public Goods Provision Security Transitions∗ Thiemo Fetzery Pedro CL Souzaz Oliver Vanden Eyndex Austin L. Wright{ March 23, 2020 Abstract How do foreign powers disengage from a conflict? We study the recent large- scale security transition from international troops to local forces in the context of the ongoing civil conflict in Afghanistan. We construct a new dataset that com- bines information on this transition process with declassified conflict outcomes and previously unreleased quarterly survey data. Our empirical design leverages the staggered roll-out of the transition onset, together with a novel instrumental variables approach to estimate the impact of the two-phase security transition. -
Wonder Wheel Metropole Press Kit.Pdf
Amazon Studios présente En association avec Gravier Productions Une production Perdido Durée : 1h41 AU CINÉMA DÈS LE 15 DÉCEMBRE DISTRIBUTION PRESSE MÉTROPOLE FILMS STAR PR 5360 St-Laurent Bonne Smith Montréal, QC H1T 2S1 Tel: 416-488-4436 Twitter: info@métropolefilms.com Bonne@starpr2 [email protected] Photos, vidéos et dossier de presse téléchargeables sur www.métropolefilms.com SYNOPSIS WONDER WHEEL croise les trajectoires de quatre personnages, dans l’effervescence du parc d’attraction de Coney Island, dans les années 50 : Ginny, ex-actrice lunatique reconvertie serveuse ; Humpty, opérateur de manège marié à Ginny ; Mickey, séduisant maître- nageur aspirant à devenir dramaturge ; et Carolina, fille de Humpty longtemps disparue de la circulation qui se réfugie chez son père pour fuir les gangsters à ses trousses. NOTES DE PRODUCTION Woody Allen a toujours éprouvé une grande tendresse pour Coney Island. des situations, à la fois complexes, profondes, intenses, déroutantes et fortes. Ce n’est d’ailleurs pas un hasard si, dans ANNIE HALL, le petit Alvy Singer Je me suis toujours intéressé aux problèmes des femmes. Au fil des siècles, les grandit à proximité du parc d’attraction. Le cinéaste en garde des souvenirs hommes ont eu tendance à exprimer moins volontiers leurs souffrances : le d’enfance joyeux : « Quand je suis né, l’époque florissante de Coney Island était mot d’ordre masculin consiste à ne pas avouer qu’on souffre. C’est comme dans déjà révolue depuis un bon moment, mais c’était encore un endroit magique le base-ball où, quand un “batteur” est touché par un “lanceur”, il est censé ne pour moi, confie-t-il. -
Dossier De Presse Wonder Wheel
Amazon Studios présente En association avec Gravier Productions Une production Perdido Durée : 1h41 "6$*/²."%µ4 -& %²$&.#3& DISTRIBUTION PRESSE .²53010-&'*-.4 45"313 4U-BVSFOU #POOF4NJUI .POUSÏBM 2$)54 5FM5XJUUFS JOGP@NÏUSPQPMFGJMNTDPN #POOF!TUBSQS TUBSQS!TZNQBUJDPDB 1IPUPT WJEÏPTFUEPTTJFSEFQSFTTFUÏMÏDIBSHFBCMFTTVSXXXNÏUSPQPMFGJMNTDPN SYNOPSIS WONDER WHEEL croise les trajectoires de quatre personnages, dans l’effervescence du parc d’attraction de Coney Island, dans les années 50 : Ginny, ex-actrice lunatique reconvertie serveuse ; Humpty, opérateur de manège marié à Ginny ; Mickey, séduisant maître- nageur aspirant à devenir dramaturge ; et Carolina, fille de Humpty longtemps disparue de la circulation qui se réfugie chez son père pour fuir les gangsters à ses trousses. NOTES DE PRODUCTION Woody Allen a toujours éprouvé une grande tendresse pour Coney Island. des situations, à la fois complexes, profondes, intenses, déroutantes et fortes. Ce n’est d’ailleurs pas un hasard si, dans ANNIE HALL, le petit Alvy Singer Je me suis toujours intéressé aux problèmes des femmes. Au fil des siècles, les grandit à proximité du parc d’attraction. Le cinéaste en garde des souvenirs hommes ont eu tendance à exprimer moins volontiers leurs souffrances : le d’enfance joyeux : « Quand je suis né, l’époque florissante de Coney Island était mot d’ordre masculin consiste à ne pas avouer qu’on souffre. C’est comme dans déjà révolue depuis un bon moment, mais c’était encore un endroit magique le base-ball où, quand un “batteur” est touché par un “lanceur”, il est censé ne pour moi, confie-t-il. Ce lieu m’a toujours impressionné. Il y avait là une faune pas montrer qu’il a mal. -
Security Transitions∗
Security Transitions∗ Thiemo Fetzery Pedro CL Souzaz Oliver Vanden Eyndex Austin L. Wright{ March 18, 2020 Abstract How do foreign powers disengage from a conflict? We study the recent large- scale security transition from international troops to local forces in the context of the ongoing civil conflict in Afghanistan. We construct a new dataset that com- bines information on this transition process with declassified conflict outcomes and previously unreleased quarterly survey data. Our empirical design leverages the staggered roll-out of the transition onset, together with a novel instrumental variables approach to estimate the impact of the two-phase security transition. We find that the initial security transfer to Afghan forces is marked by a significant, sharp and timely decline in insurgent violence. This effect reverses with the ac- tual physical withdrawal of foreign troops. We argue that this pattern is consistent with a signaling model, in which the insurgents reduce violence strategically to facilitate the foreign military withdrawal. Our findings clarify the destabilizing consequences of withdrawal in one of the costliest conflicts in modern history and yield potentially actionable insights for designing future security transitions. Keywords:Counterinsurgency,Civil Conflict,Public Goods Provision JEL Classification: D72, D74, L23 ∗We thank Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Wioletta Dziuda, Anthony Fowler, Hannes Mueller, Christo- pher Price, Jacob Shapiro, and audiences at the Chicago Harris Political Economy, ESOC Annual Con- ference, University of Warwick, IAE Barcelona Workshop on Prediction for Prevention, HiCN confer- ence, CREST Political Economy Workshop, and Labex OSE Aussois Days. Manh Duc Nguyen provided excellent research assistance. Support from the Pearson Institute for the Study and Resolution of Con- flicts is gratefully acknowledged. -
DIGITAL ORIGINAL SERIES Global Demand Report
DIGITAL ORIGINAL SERIES Global Demand Report Trends in 2016 Copyright © 2017 Parrot Analytics. All rights reserved. Digital Original Series — Global Demand Report | Trends in 2016 Executive Summary } This year saw the release of several new, popular digital } The release of popular titles such as The Grand Tour originals. Three first-season titles — Stranger Things, and The Man in the High Castle caused demand Marvel’s Luke Cage, and Gilmore Girls: A Year in the for Amazon Video to grow by over six times in some Life — had the highest peak demand in 2016 in seven markets, such as the UK, Sweden, and Japan, in Q4 of out of the ten markets. All three ranked within the 2016, illustrating the importance of hit titles for SVOD top ten titles by peak demand in nine out of the ten platforms. markets. } Drama series had the most total demand over the } As a percentage of all demand for digital original series year in these markets, indicating both the number and this year, Netflix had the highest share in Brazil and popularity of titles in this genre. third-highest share in Mexico, suggesting that the other platforms have yet to appeal to Latin American } However, some markets had preferences for other markets. genres. Science fiction was especially popular in Brazil, while France, Mexico, and Sweden had strong } Non-Netflix platforms had the highest share in Japan, demand for comedy-dramas. where Hulu and Amazon Video (as well as Netflix) have been available since 2015. Digital Original Series with Highest Peak Demand in 2016 Orange Is Marvels Stranger Things Gilmore Girls Club De Cuervos The New Black Luke Cage United Kingdom France United States Germany Mexico Brazil Sweden Russia Australia Japan 2 Copyright © 2017 Parrot Analytics. -
WOODY ALLEN Produttori LETTY ARONSON, P.G.A
CON JIM BELUSHI JUNO TEMPLE JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE KATE WINSLET durata 101 minuti USCITA 28 DICEMBRE 2017 Foto e altro materiale stampa: ep.frenetic.ch/fr/1100 UFFICIO STAMPA DISTRIBUZIONE Sarah Hubmann FRENETIC FILMS AG Tel. 044 488 44 03 Lagerstrasse 102 • 8004 Zürich [email protected] Tél. 044 488 44 00 • Fax 044 488 44 11 www.frenetic.ch 2 CAST ARTISTICO Humpty JIM BELUSHI Carolina JUNO TEMPLE Mickey JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE Ginny KATE WINSLET Con (in ordine alfabetico) Ryan MAX CASELLA Richie JACK GORE Jake DAVID KRUMHOLTZ E con (in ordine di apparizione) Venditore ambulante ROBERT C. KIRK Amico di Humpty TOMMY NOHILLY Angelo TONY SIRICO Nick STEVEN R. SCHIRRIPA Barista da Ruby’s JOHN DOUMANIAN Uomo che flirta da Ruby’s THOMAS GUIRY Compagni di pesca GREGORY DANN, BOBBY SLAYTON, MICHAEL ZEGARSKI Amica di Ginny GENEVA CARR Cliente da Ruby’s ED JEWETT Ospiti della festa di compleanno DEBI MAZAR, DANIELLE FERLAND Psichiatra MADDIE CORMAN Rappresentante di orologi JACOB BERGER Tiny JENNA STERN Marinaio al telefono MICHAEL STRIANO John JOHN MAINIERI 3 CAST TECNICO Sceneggiatura/Regia WOODY ALLEN Produttori LETTY ARONSON, p.g.a. ERIKA ARONSON, p.g.a. EDWARD WALSON Co-Produttore HELEN ROBIN Produttori esecutivi ADAM B. STERN MARK ATTANASIO Produttore esecutivo RONALD L. CHEZ Cinematografia VITTORIO STORARO AIC, ASC Scene SANTO LOQUASTO Montaggio ALISA LEPSELTER ACE Costumi SUZY BENZINGER Casting PATRICIA DiCERTO Effetti speciali visivi BRAINSTORM DIGITAL Supervisione effetti visivi ERAN DINUR Supervisore/Produttore effetti speciali sul set RICHARD FRIEDLANDER Produttore effetti speciali GLENN ALLEN 4 SINOSSI Tra fragili speranze e nuovi sogni, le vite di quattro personaggi si intrecciano nel frenetico mondo del parco divertimenti. -
SNEAKY PETE : La Série Amazon Original Sera Disponible Exclusivement Sur Prime Video Le 27 Janvier 2017
SNEAKY PETE : la série Amazon Original sera disponible exclusivement sur Prime Video le 27 janvier 2017 La série Amazon Original Sneaky Pete, produite par Graham Yost et Bryan Cranston tous deux nominés aux Golden Globes et aux Emmy Awards, arrive en exclusivité sur Amazon Prime Video en France et en Belgique le 27 janvier. Récemment reconduite pour une seconde saison, la série a été la deuxième série la plus regardée en streaming le jour de son lancement aux Etats-Unis et au Royaume- Uni, derrière The Man in the High Castle. Les visuels de la série Sneaky Pete sont disponibles ici. Seattle, le 25 janvier - Avec la participation de Giovanni Ribisi (Avatar), Marin Ireland (Effets secondaires), Margo Martindale, actrice trois fois récompensée aux Emmy Awards (The Americans), Peter Gerety (Suspect numéro 1), Libe Barer (Parenthood), Shane McRae (Still Alice) and Michael Drayer (Mr. Robot), Sneaky Pete raconte l’histoire d'un escroc, Marius (Ribisi), qui, à sa sortie de prison, est traqué par le gangster vicieux qu'il a autrefois volé. Co-produite avec Sony Pictures Television, la série rassemble un grand nombre de producteurs exécutifs reconnus : Graham Yost (The Americans), Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad), Michael Dinner et Fred Golan (Justified), James Degus (All The Way) et Seth Gordon (Comment tuer son Boss?). Dans Sneaky Pete, Marius est un escroc qui n’a personne vers qui se tourner. Pour échapper à son passé, il usurpe l’identité de Pete - son camarade de cellule - et prend sa place au sein de son étrange famille, qui n’a aucune raison de se douter qu’il n’est pas le proche qu’ils ont perdu de vue. -
Annual Report 2019
Annual Report 2019 Contents Abbreviations ______________________________________________________________________________ 3 Foreword _________________________________________________________________________________ 4 I. Summary Reporting Period __________________________________________________________________ 5 II. Pakistan-Afghanistan-Tajikistan Region: Overview 2019 ___________________________________________ 8 III. Pakistan-Afghanistan-Tajikistan Region: Project Implementation in 2019 _____________________________ 9 IV. West African Region: Overview 2019 ________________________________________________________ 14 V. West African Region: Project Implementation in 2019 ___________________________________________ 15 VI. Selection of Projects Completed in 2019 _____________________________________________________ 17 Contact __________________________________________________________________________________ 28 Source of title photo: Project monitoring visit, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. © GFC 2 Abbreviations AKF Aga Khan Foundation EU European Union EUR Euro GFC Georg Fiebig Consultants GFFO German Federal Foreign Office I.C.I. Initiatives Conseil International KfW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau NCE No Cost Extension PAT Pakistan-Afghanistan-Tajikistan Project Region PATRIP PATRIP Foundation SCORED Supporting Cooperation and Opportunities for Regional Economic Development SRSP Sarhad Rural Support Programme UK United Kingdom WA West Africa Project Region WI Wish International 3 Foreword Dear Friends of PATRIP, As 2019 has passed, we continue -
Country of Origin Report Afghanistan
Country of Origin Report Afghanistan March 2019 Page 1 of 124 Country of Origin Report Afghanistan| March 2019 Publication details The Hague Text by: Department for Country of Origin Information Reports (CAB) Disclaimer: The Dutch version of this report is leading. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands cannot be held accountable for misinterpretations based on the English version of the report. Page 2 of 124 Country of Origin Report Afghanistan| March 2019 Table of contents Publication details ............................................................................................2 Table of contents .............................................................................................3 Introduction ....................................................................................................5 1 Country information .................................................................................... 7 1.1 Political developments ......................................................................................7 1.1.1 Government of National Unity ...........................................................................7 1.1.2 Elections ........................................................................................................8 1.1.3 Corruption in government ............................................................................... 16 1.2 High Peace Council (HPC) ............................................................................... 17 1.2.1 Peace talks with the Taliban ........................................................................... -
20 ISIL Terrorists Killed in Airstrike East of Afghanistan
2 Main News Page Nangarharis Face Unruly Traffic after 20 ISIL Terrorists Killed in Roads Closure JALALABAD - Residents say several roads have been closed Airstrike East of Afghanistan in the capital of eastern Nan- JALALABAD - At least twenty garhar province for security rea- insurgents affiliated with the ISIL sons, creating inconvenience for terrorist group were killed in an local residents and commuters. airstrike in Eastern Nangarhar Passengers on the Jalalabad- province of Afghanistan. Torkham highway and residents The Afghan Defense Ministry said of 11 districts of Nangarhar com- in a statement that the airstrike plain the closure of the airport was carried out during the past road has created problems for 24 hours, supporting the ongoing them. offensive to eliminate the threats The road was closed after a car posed by the terror group, Khaama suicide bombing targeted a se- press reported. curity post at the airport about a A statement said the insurgents month ago. were targeted in the vicinity of Another road leading to the Achin district, one of the main ar- governor’s house in Jalalabad eas in Nangarhar where the ISIL city has also been closed since loyalists are active in some of its a month following threats of at- parts.The anti-government armed tack. militant groups have not com- An elderly woman, who walked mented regarding the report so far. several kilometers on a hot Nangarhar is among the relatively summer day to reach Torkham calm ...(More on P4)...(17) border town, angrily criticized government officials, saying the ISIS Militants Suffer Casualties Bid to Kidnap Afghan government was only concerned Mattis Says US ‘may have Pulled our about itself. -
EU Envoy NATO Supports 4-Year Afghan Security
Eye on the News [email protected] Truthful, Factual and Unbiased Vol:XI Issue No:321 Price: Afs.20 www.afghanistantimes.af www.facebook.com/ afghanistantimeswww.twitter.com/ afghanistantimes SATURDAY . JULY 01. 2017 -Saratan 10, 1396 HS AT Monitoring Desk he United Kingdom’s Defense Secretary, T Michael Fallon has announced that Britain has taken a formal decision to deploy 100 more soldiers to Afghanistan in a bid to help, and train the Afghan on war, war is a fundamentally Support Mission beyond 2017. security forces. While talking to unpredictable phenomenon," Speaking at a press conference after KABUL: Former President Hamid media on his arrival to NATO Mattis told reporters after meeting Thursday’s defense ministers Karzai has opposed the info-icon defense ministers his counterparts from the 29- meeting in Brussels, he said: “Our deployment of more US soldiers meeting at Brussels, he said the nation alliance. "The bottom line military authorities have requested in Afghanistaninfo-icon and UK soldiers would be used to is that NATO has made a a few thousand more troops for warned the move may have enhance war skills and capabilities commitment to Afghanistan for the mission and today, I can negative consequences. Karzai of the Afghan soldiers and air force freedom from fear and terror, and confirm that we will increase our expressed the view during his pilots rather than any direct freedom from terror demands that presence in Afghanistan.” “We address on International Peace at combat role. He vowed the UK you can't let this be undone,” he have recently seen brutal attacks one of the Chinese university in would continue its military and added. -
AMAZON PRIME VIDEO OFFICIALLY COMING to CANADA Author: BILL HARRIS and MARK DANIELL Source: Toronto Sun Date: 14/12/2016
IN THE NEWS AMAZON PRIME VIDEO OFFICIALLY COMING TO CANADA Author: BILL HARRIS AND MARK DANIELL Source: Toronto Sun Date: 14/12/2016 TORONTO - The Amazon has overflowed, all the way up into Canada. Canadians now have a new option when it comes to streaming, thanks to Amazon Prime Video. Amazon announced Wednesday that it is bringing its video streaming service north of the border as part of a rollout in more than 200 countries and territories. Amazon Prime Video is the home of such shows as the Emmy-winning Transparent, Mozart in the Jungle, The Man in the High Castle, The Grand Tour, Woody Allen’s Crisis in Six Scenes and David E. Kelley’s Goliath featuring Billy Bob Thornton, among others. And the Seattle-based company is promising even more original programming in 2017. If you already are a member of Amazon Prime in Canada, you will be able to access the streaming service at no additional cost. If you’re new, membership will set you back $79 per year after a 30-day free trial. The service also includes free same-day shipping for some orders (you know, books, Blu-rays, doodads) in Toronto and Vancouver. The announcement comes after Shomi, the short-lived streaming service initiated by Rogers and Shaw, shuttered at the end of November. Shomi, which launched in 2014, was the Canadian outlet for Amazon’s Transparent and Mozart in the Jungle. But many of the shows on the Amazon docket — including some that are filmed in Canada — have not been available here previously.