` ` 4/2018 INDIA Contact: Rajesh Nath, Managing Director Please Note: Jamly John, General Manager Telephone: +91 33 40602364 1 crore = 10 000 000 Fax: +91 33 2321 7073 1 lakh = 100 000 E-mail:
[email protected] 1 Euro = Rs.78 The Economic Scenario Economic Growth The World Bank has forecasted a growth rate of 7.3% for India this year and 7.5% for the next two years, making it the fastest growing country among major emerging economies. India's economy is beleived to be robust, resilient and has the potential to deliver sustained growth. Growth in India is projected to advance 7.3% in Fiscal Year (FY) 2018/19 (April 1, 2018-March 31, 2019) and 7.5% in FY 2019/20, reflecting robust private consumption and strengthening investment. The growth in South Asia is projected to strengthen to 6.9% in 2018 and to 7.1% in 2019, mainly as factors holding back growth in India fade. India retains the tag of the fastest growing country among the world's major emerging economies. India's growth projections remain unchanged since its January 2018 forecast. China is expected to slow down slightly from 6.9% in 2017 to 6.5% in 2018, 6.3% in 2019 and 6.2% in 2020. India's growth potential is about 7%, and it is currently growing at a pace above its potential attributing it to the major economic reforms and fiscal measures undertaken by the government. Noting that India's growth prospects are strong, the potential growth rate of India is around 7%.