Annual Report ais des relations internationales ç institut fran

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Tél.: 33 (0)1 40 61 60 00 • Fax: 33 (0)1 40 61 60 60 • www.ifri.org Annual Report institut français des relations internationales annual report

message from the president ...... 3 mission statement ...... 4 research ...... 5 Europe ...... 6 the French Center on the United States (CFE) ...... 13 transatlantic relations and ESPD ...... 18 Centre asie ifri ...... 20 Middle East, North Africa ...... 27 security ...... 30 global economy ...... 34

Ifri and the corporate sector ...... 41 conferences and debates ...... 47 publications ...... 51 the library and the document center ...... 55 the team ...... 57 board of directors ...... 59 financial annex ...... 61

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 1

which isnowoneofournewchannelscommunication. The ments thatcanbeconsultedonIfri’swebsite, , ofnumerousanalyticaldocu- These worksborefruitintheform lateral tradenegotiations. global economicroleofemerging countriesandthefutureofmulti- and thecapacityofeconomiestobenefitfromit; andthegrowing economic dimensionsofglobalization,suchas popular resistance someofthekeypolitical and “revolution inmilitaryaffairs”; proliferation andthegrowingasymmetrybrought aboutbythe aspects oftheveryrealproblemsweaponsmassdestruction developments, notablyintheMaghrebandAsia;various and theirimpactondomainssuchasspaceenergy; regional European Constitution;thestructureofUSpolicy-makingsystems issues suchasEuropeanenlargement andthedevelopment ofthe of theseissuessimultaneouslycontinuingtoworkonpersisting Throughout theyear, Ifricontributedactivelytothedebateonall circumstances. ideals, butthe“neo-conservatives”arenolongerfavoredby administration ofpresidentGeorge W. Bushremainsloyal to its once crucialandsecondary.AyearafterthewarinIraqbegan, the UnitedNationsOrganization, itselfnotunscathed, toaroleat andreturned victory forcedallpartiestosubduetheirdifferences coalition experiencedfollowingitscrushingandswiftmilitary the – bothofwhichweresorelytested.Ultimately,thedifficulties most notablyasregardstransatlanticrelationsandEuropeanunity Saddam Hussein’sregime,andthoseevents’manifoldconsequence, The year2003wasdominatedbythewarinIraq,collapseof message fromthepresident étrangère RAMSES market”. “ideas strengthen itspositiononanevermoreinternational team, Ifriismovingforwardalongapaththatwillfurther With thesupportofourpartnersandcommitmentall expertise,and researchrigor.international to makeitsmark:independence,opennessatthehighestlevel the sametimepreservingcharacteristicsthathaveenabledIfri willbolsterourinstitute’sskillspotentialand utility,whileat effort Ifri continuestoundergo fromwithin.Ourreform vigorousreform issues andregionaldevelopments. expert viewpointsonmajorinternational abroadspectrumof publications offered ments ofcommunication:thisyear, member ofthe annual reportandthe review remainourkey Académie dessciencesmoralesetpolitiques Politique instru- both Thierry deMontbrial, Ifri, 2003annual report president ofIfri, ❘ 3

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector The Institut français des relations internationales (Ifri) is ’s Ifri relies on a team of around thirty researchers and on a broad network foremost independent research and debate center. Ifri is a key contributor of outside specialists both in France and abroad. Ifri works in close collab- to today’s debate on European issues. oration with a number of research institutes in Europe, and runs perma- nent exchange programs with its counterparts in other parts of the world, Ifri was founded in 1979 by Thierry de Montbrial. Its aims are: most notably in the United States, Asia, and the Middle East. Ifri also works – to provide public and private sector decision makers with insight, to instill in young researchers a fresh and more global view of interna- choices, and proposals; tional relations, and to provide France with skilled researchers specializing in the major issues that shape the evolution of the international system. – to facilitate constructive collaboration between French and overseas researchers and policymakers; As a meeting venue, Ifri is a forum for frank discussion open to French – to foster and structure the debate on international issues and to and foreign figures. Through its independence, Ifri offers an informal, non- contribute to keeping society informed and responsible. partisan and uniquely appropriate framework for discussion between public and private policymakers, analysts, and French and foreign specialists. Ifri’s Ifri’s independent status is written into its charter. This independence is closed meetings provide opportunities to identify and assess points of underpinned by the Institute’s non-reliance on any single source of agreement and divergence. When needed, Ifri also plays the role of financing, and it ensures the Institute’s total freedom in the selection and “dialogue facilitator”. orientation of its projects. Information on upcoming conferences is sent monthly to Ifri members.

As a multidisciplinary research Publications center, Ifri conducts research Ifri’s works are available in several programs on the international collections: “Les notes de l’Ifri”, “Travaux economy (the impact of global- et recherches de l’Ifri”, “Cahiers et ization, the dynamics of multina- conférences de l’Ifri”, “Cahiers d’Asie” tional corporations, trade policy, (published by the Centre asie ifri), and direct investment, emerging eco- “Policy Papers” (published by the French nomies); political and strategic Center on the United States). These developments and transatlantic works are distributed within France and relations; regional issues, with a abroad to those who should be aware of particular focus on Europe, the the analysis and proposals produced at United States, East Asia, the Ifri. They are also distributed by the Middle East and Maghreb, and Documentation française. Russia; and global issues (inter- Ifri also publishes the quarterly review national governance, resource “Politique étrangère”, and since 1981, the management and energy in partic- RAMSES report, a yearly survey of major ular; the environment; the impact world trends. The new Ifri website can of migration in Europe, etc.). be visited at .

4 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report research research

The objective of research led at Ifri is to provide both private and public decision-makers within France and Europe with policy-oriented analyses. Ifri and Ifri’s research programs are based on intensive international networking and have promoted a multidisciplinary and comparative approach. the corporate sector In 2003, Ifri research focused on:

– European construction. Key issues such as the debate over the Constitution, the enlargement and integration problems were deeply conferences conferences reviewed. Sensitive topics such as the enlargement’s consequences, its extension to the Balkans and the Turkish membership were also and debates addressed;

– Transatlantic relations and US domestic and external evolutions. In addition to its usual activities, the French Center on the United States reinforced its programs on climate change and on space-related issues;

– Economic and social dimensions of globalization, the world economy governance and the integration of emerging economies in an publications increasingly globalized world. A long term research program on governance and multilateral commercial negotiations after Cancun has been launched;

– Security issues. The different forms of conflict as well as the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction continued to be focused;

– The Asia Center continued to specifically concentrate on the rise of China and its regional implications. In addition, it focused on the the library and evolutions within South East Asia and on multilateral approaches to security in Northern Asia. Studies on energy-related security issues were the document center also carried out. A new program was launched aimed at studying the regional integration process in Asia and the role of China.

– Middle East. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict and its regional implications were addressed. A special attention was also paid to Arab public opinions, especially in the countries of North Africa. The meaning and significance of Islam in France was consistently studied. the team and the board of directors the board As in previous years, Ifri moreover consulted and debated extensively with its European, American and Russian counterparts. financial annex

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 5 Europe

2003 was an eventful year for Europe. The Iraq crisis sparked a deep divide between European countries and led the European Union to debate a new “European security strategy”; the Convention on the Future of Europe put the finishing touches on a draft of the European Constitution; and the accession treaties of the ten new EU member States were signed. Ifri, which gained a new European affairs expert in Maxime Lefebvre, contributed to the debates on these issues. The Cerfa and the French-Austrian Centre also made their respective contributions.

Ifri’s focus was threefold: Foreign Affairs adviser, member of the European • the debate on the European Constitution, in which Convention Secretariat. Ifri participated in the context of the EPIN (European Policy Institutes Network), which brings December 19 together a large number of European institutes The Constitution: A Step Forward for Europe? Philippe Moreau Defarges, Maxime Lefebvre around the Center for European Policy Studies Pascale Andréani, European Affairs adviser to the (CEPS). Several round tables were conducted (see Prime minister, former assistant representative of the Cerfa); French government at the Convention, Pervenche • the preparation for enlargement to twenty-five Bérès, member of the European Parliament, presi- member States, the outstanding candidate countries, dent of the French Socialist delegation to the and partnership with countries lying on the European Parliament, former representative of the periphery of the European Union (see conferences/ Parliament at the Convention, Jean-Louis Quermonne, breakfasts and debate dinners, Cerfa and CFA); professor emeritus. • external and common security policy and the development of an European defense (see confer- Enlargement Conferences ences and Cerfa, trilateral seminar of November 27-28, One conference was held to discuss enlargement in “The Global Role of Europe: Challenges, Responsi- the Baltic States and another to address the Turkey bilities and Instruments”). enlargement issue: April 29 European Constitution Meetings Europe and the Baltic States After the Prague La France, l’Allemagne, l’Europe. Perspectives (1), May 14 and Copenhagen Summits Karl Kaiser and Thierry de Montbrial (eds.), Where Is the Convention Going? Co-organized with the embassies of , Latvia with Ulrike Guerot, Martin Koopmann, A debate with Robert Badinter and Pierre Lequiller and Lithuania and inaugurated by Christian Poncelet, Maxime Lefebvre, Philippe Moreau Defarges president of the , this eminently constructive and Hans Stark, “Les Notes de l’Ifri”, n° 53, 2003. September 30 conference was an occasion for the young Foreign From the Convention to the IGC: What Kind of La France et la Convention : entre les intérêts Affairs ministers of the three Baltic States, Sandra Constitution for Europe? nationaux et une vision européenne, Maxime Kalniete (Latvia), Kristiina Ojuland (Estonia) and Lefebvre, Ifri/EPIN, Policy Brief, February 2003. Maxime Lefebvre, researcher, Ifri, Philippe Moreau Antanas Valionis (Lithuania), to focus attention on Defarges, researcher, Ifri, Etienne de Poncins, their countries’ potential and to express their expec-

6 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Senate), andby the France-BalticStatesfriendshipgroupat Ambassador toFrance, animated discussion. and theCaucasus),werealsosubjectof Turkey (particularlytheBalkans,MiddleEast toboththeEuropeanUnionand common concern mattersof and aTurkish Cypriot,andinternational Cypriot question,whichwasaddressedbyaGreek and theroleofTurkish communitiesinEurope.The accession, theadvancesmadebyTurkish society, economic andfinancialaspectsofTurkey’s possible (notably inthelightofCopenhagencriteria), opportunity toassesstheTurkey’s candidacy an Thierry deMontbrial ministerandmemberofParliament, former in Franceandinauguratedby Co-organized IfriandtheTurkish Embassy byCerfa, Union andthe European Turkey December 2 Commission attheNationalAssembly. Balladur Edouard Montbrial The conference,whichwaschairedby to Latvia. the EuropeanUnion,and president oftheNationalAssemblydelegationfor mentary delegationattheSenate, Haenel towards thesituationinBalticregion( three parliamentarianswithaparticularawareness Baltic States.TheFrenchpositionwasexpressedby underlined theregionalintegrationofthree (TUSIAD) andBilgiUniversity,Istanbul, Soli Özel politician, Other speakers: and minister, Carsten Sondergaard became aremarkablyspontaneousexchange. tations ofandcommitmenttoEuropeinwhat Stiftung Wissenschaft undPolitik (SWP),Berlin, Commission, University, Istanbul, Demetriades P. Pekka Orbana , presidentoftheEuropeanUnionparlia- , Turkish Industrialists’andBusinessmen’sAssociation Hans Magnusson and Fabrizio Barbaso Gilles Bertrand , GreekCypriotengineer, Michel Foucher Dominique Moïsi Kenan Atakol , presidentoftheForeignAffairs , theircounterpartforFinland, Maxime Lefebvre , Denmark’sForeignAffairs , thiscolloquiumpresented Faruk Sen , hisSwedishcounterpart, Denis Badré , IEP, Paris, , DGEnlargement, European , Turkish Cypriotengineer and , Frenchambassador Hervé deCharette , ZentrumfürTürkeistudien, , wasclosedby Pierre Lequiller Pierre , Ifri, , presidentof Uluc Ozülker Thierry de Marie-Janine Calic Ferhat Kentel Ferhat Rémy Leveau Hubert , , , Turkish , Bilgi Lellos , Ifri, (meeting organized withthesupportofCEA). Studies CenterattheBogaziçiUniversityofIstanbul anddirectoroftheEuropean European Affairs, relations,JeanMonnetprofessorof international oldest Franco-German institutions.The oldest Franco-German with Between MiddleEastandEurope Turkey December 12 Established in1954,the Relations,Cerfa Franco-German on The CenterforResearch tions, theBalkans,andTurkey. toRussia, transatlanticrela- position withrespect dialoguealsoworked toachieveacommon German Franco- government. launched bytheGerman The ofEurope. context oftheConventiononFuture notablyinthe relations, has infusedFranco-German the Treaty, In 2003,fortyyearsafterthesigningofElysée ofcommoninterest. into areas conducted thetwocountries,aswell asresearch from between seniorcivilservants,experts,andjournalists meetingsandseminars translates intoregular betweenthetwocountries.This nizing relations suggestions withaviewtodeepeningandharmo- and practicalproposals level; andtoformulate raiseatagovernmental relations Franco-German that issuesandproblems light ontheconcrete tothrow spheres; ical, economic,andinternational inthepolit- relations and stateofFranco-German its missionistoanalyzetheprinciples,conditions to politicalandeconomicmatters.Withthisinmind, approach understanding ofeachcountry’srespective The tatives. represen- andGerman an equalnumberofFrench ofmanagementhas Auswärtiges Amt,anditsboard andbyGermany’s Affairs ministryofForeign French The for Germany. Deutsche GesellschaftfürAuswärtigePolitik(DGAP) byIfriforFranceandthe jointly administered , Cerfa Cerfa Cerfa’ Kemal Kirisçi Paris, University ofDuisburg-Essen, s objectiveistocontributeabetter also looked at the social reform process also lookedatthesocialreform Cerfa Yves Zlotowski focused onthenewdynamismthat , professorofpoliticalscienceand Cerfa is financedonparitybythe Cerfa , Coface,Paris. is todayoneofthe Charles Urjewicz Cerfa is Hans Stark,ClaireDemesmay INALCO, , “Au-delà desapparencesouleslentsprogrès sur l’identitéeuropéenne”,ClaireDemesmay, Documents. Revuedesquestionsallemandes pour l’Europeélargie”, MaximeLefebvre, “L’Allemagne entre affirmation nationale “L’Allemagne entreaffirmation TrueErp : ledébatallemand “Turquie-Europe et ancragemultilatéral”,HansStark, Politique étrangère Politique étrangère Politique étrangère elaPESD”,JolyonHoworth, de “Un programmegéopolitique Ifri, 2003annual report °3-4/2003. , n° 3-4/2003. , n° °3-4/2003. , n° su ,2003. 2, issue ❘ , 7

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector also dealt with ways of stabilizing the world seminar took place in the context of the annual economy (and therefore economic governance and trilateral meetings between Ifri, the DGAP and the globalization), and with North-South relations. RIIA, which alternate between Paris, Berlin and European Policy on Security and Defense (ESDP), London. This year, it was the turn of the RIIA to the Convention on the Future of Europe, and the host the event. partnership between the European Union and Russia The seminar dealt with the role that the European were also discussed. Union can/should play in the international arena, Other speakers: Hannes Adomeit, SWP, Berlin, Vladimir and in particular addressed the challenges with Baranowsky, IMEMO, Moscow, Olga Butorina, Mgimo, Dmitri which the Union is confronted, its responsibilities, Danilov, Institute of Europe, Moscow, Jean-Jacques Gabas, and the instruments of power it has or could have IEP, Paris and XI, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, available to it. Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Kiel, Camille Grand, French Participants: Gilles Andréani, CAP, French ministry of Foreign ministry of Defense, Andrei Granovski, Russian ministry of Affairs, Victor Bulmer Thomas, RIIA, Robert Cooper, European Foreign Affairs, Leonid Grigoriev, Mgimo, Alexander Konovalov, Union Council, , Timothy Garden, Kings College, Mgimo, Alexei Mechkov, Russian deputy minister of Foreign London, Jean-Yves Haine, IES-UE, Christopher Hill, London Affairs, Andrei Melville, Mgimo, Peter Nunnenkamp, Institut School of Economics, Bernhard May, DGAP, Dominique Jean-Marie Paugam, Helga Haftendorn, Jens Van Scherpenberg für Wirtschaftsforschung, Kiel, Alexander Rahr, DGAP, Berlin, Moïsi, Ifri, Henning Riecke, DGAP, Eberhard Sandschneider, Peter Schmidt, SWP, Ulrich Schneckener, SWP, Thierry Tardy, DGAP, Lord Wallace of Saltaire, RIIA Council and London Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP), Geneva, Heinz School of Economics. Timmermann, SWP. November 25-26 October 7-10 The Balkans Within the European Security The Washington-Paris-Berlin Triangle: Architecture Lessons of the Iraq Crisis This seminar dealt with geopolitical trends in South- This Franco-German seminar, which brought together East Europe, specifically Bosnia-Herzegovina (the around twenty experts from France and Germany, Seminars and Conferences consolidation process and secessionist trends), looked at the future of the Washington-Paris-Berlin Albania (the status of Kosovo), Macedonia (attempts September 16-17 triangle in the light of the Iraq crisis. It considered at integration and the risk of disintegration), and The European Union and Russia the direction taken by US foreign policy, torn Serbia and Montenegro (internal democracy-building in the New World Order between the temptation of unilateralism and its and external ruptures). It also addressed relations This seminar, held in Moscow, was organized by the multilateral anchors, as well as transatlantic differ- between the European Union and the Balkans, Cerfa, the Russian State Institute for International ences over trade and monetary policy and the role notably the stability pact and the EU accession Relations (Mgimo), represented by the Institute’s of NATO following the Iraq crisis. prospects of the countries of South-East Europe. The rector Anatoli Torkounov, corresponding member of Speakers: Etienne de Durand, Ifri, Helga Haftendorn, the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ifri and the seminar was organized by Hans Stark and Claire professor emeritus, Free University of Berlin, Konrad Demesmay. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP, Berlin), in Scharinger, director of the United States department, German collaboration with the policy planning departments ministry of Foreign Affairs, Guillaume Parmentier,CFE-Ifri, Participants: Ylljet Alicka, European Commission delegation in of the Russian, French and German Foreign Affairs Jean-Marie Paugam, Ifri, Jens Van Scherpenberg, Stiftung Albania, Franz-Lothar Altmann, Stiftung Wissenschaft und ministries, represented by their respective directors, Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), Berlin, Peter Schmidt, SWP, Politik (SWP), Berlin, Dominique Chassard, French ministry Alexandre Kuznetsov, Gilles Andréani and Georges Berlin, Hans Stark, Cerfa-Ifri, Bruno Tertrais, Fondation pour of Foreign Affairs, Catherine Durandin, INALCO, Paris, Horst Dick. The Ifri delegation, led by Thierry de la recherche stratégique, Paris. Gödicke, UNESCO, Vladimir Gligorov, Vienna Institute Montbrial, comprised Dominique David, Thomas for International Economic Studies (WIIW), Vienna, Gerald Gomart, Maxime Lefebvre, Françoise Nicolas and November 27-28 (London) Knaus, European Stability Initiative (ESI), Berlin, Albin Kurti, Hans Stark (Cerfa). Europe’s Global Role: Challenges, politician, Kosovo, Ognyan Minchev, Institute for Regional The seminar addressed the issues of organizing a Responsibilities and Instruments and International Studies, Sofia, Christian Preda, University new multilateral system, of an expanded role for the Co-organized by the Cerfa-Ifri, the Deutsche of Bucharest, Reinhard Priebe, DG External Relations, United Nations Organization (UNO), and of multilat- Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP), and the European Commission, Nadège Ragaru, IRIS, Paris, Nano eral collaboration in the fight against new threats. It Royal Institute of International Affairs (RIIA), this Ruzin, Ambassador of the Former Yugoslav Republic of

8 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report of theBundeswehr. chiefofstaff Military Committee(1996-1999), former Klaus Naumann andNATOGermany aftertheIraqCrisis June 16 of Göttingen,expertonIslam. RelationsattheUniversity professor ofInternational expert onIslaminEurope,and Valérie Amiraux Perspective German Identity:aFranco- Islam, MigrationandEuropean May 22 Party (EPP)withintheConvention. member andcoordinatoroftheEuropeanPeople’s Elmar Brok forEurope? The Convention:WhatProject April 22 ssion, incharge ofenlargement. Günter Verheugen ChallengesandProspects Enlargement: UnionontheEveofanHistoric The European 13 March Foundation (Berlin). Sascha Müller-Krämer Relations on Transatlantic andSecurityPolicyitsImpact Common Foreign February 28 group attheBundestag. parliamentary president oftheFrance-Germany and GroupattheNationalAssembly, France-Germany secretary generaloftheElysée,member Jean-Louis Bianco for Europe? Dynamic:aDurableRenewal The Franco-German February 25 andDebates Conferences Podgorica (Montenegro). Miodrag Vlahovic Zagreb, Mladen Stanicic Macedonia toNATO, Andreas Schockenhoff Andreas Bela Szombati , memberoftheEuropeanParliament, , seniorresearchfellowattheCNRS, , Institute for International Relations(IMO), , InstituteforInternational , former presidentoftheNATO, former , CenterforRegionalandSecurityStudies, , memberoftheEuropeanCommi- , memberofParliament,former , directoroftheHeinrichBöll Predrag Simic Predrag , AmbassadorofHungarytotheU.K., , memberoftheBundestag, , UniversityofBelgrade, Bassam Tibi , the UniversityofBielefeld,November 2003. director oftheInstituteDemographic Researchof statistiques etconséquencespolitiques 6: N° October 2003. allemande 5: N° September 2003. Karl-Heinz Kamp,Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, Berlin, 4: N° May 2003. économique enAllemagne 3: N° Science (DIW),Berlin,April2003. InstituteofEconomic Camille Logeay,German etvolontéderéformes turelles 2: N° Security Policy,UniversityofHamburg, March2003. Georg Ehrhart, InstituteforPeaceResearchand ? ouavant-garde :vieilleEurope européenne 1: N° Notes duCerfa Philippe MoreauDefarges andHansStark,2003. Ulrike Guerot,MartinKoopmann,MaximeLefebvre, (1) 53: N° Notes del’Ifri publications Cerfa surl’économieallemande Regards research fellowattheCIRAC,editor-in-chief of of Cergy-Pontoise, and contemporaine (CIRAC),presidentoftheUniversity etderecherchesurl’Allemagne d’information René Lasserre under theSchröderGovernment Economy An EndinSighttotheRecession?Germany’s November 13 correspondantof permanent University ofTrier, and Hanns W. Maull Schröder under Gerhard Policy Foreign becomeMarginalized? Has Germany October 14 KarlKaiserandThierrydeMontbrial(eds.),with , Berlin-Washington durable -versunerupture Le Débat constitutionnel européen –unevision Le Débatconstitutionneleuropéen Le Déclindémographiqueallemand –données L’Économie allemande entre faiblessesstruc- L’Économie allemandeentre Recompositions politiquessurfonddecrise Paris-Berlin dans l’architecture desécurité Paris-Berlin dansl’architecture La France, l’Allemagne, l’Europe. Perspectives La France,l’Allemagne,l’Europe. , Jürgen Schwarze,UniversityofFreiburg, , professor, directoroftheCentre , professorofpoliticalscienceatthe (electronic publications) (electronic Jean-Paul Picaper Isabelle Bourgeois , HansStark,Ifri/Cerfa, aslKzleeand , CanselKiziltepe . ewgBirg, , Herwig in Germany. , former , senior , Hans- ?, Isabelle Bourgeois, HansStark,RenéLasserre LsErpeseitn-l ?”,ClaireDemesmay, “Les Européensexistent-ils de l’Allemagne”,HansStark, “Les dilemmesdelapolitiqueétrangère Politique étrangère, °4 january-february 2003. 4, n° Ifri, 2003annual report °3-4/2003. n° Documents ❘ , 9

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector N° 7: Le Nouvel Ordre mondial et les relations CFA Meetings June 26-27 transatlantiques, Karsten Voigt, co-ordinator of The reform of Healthcare Systems German-US cooperation at the German ministry of June 3 in the Enlarged Europe Foreign Affairs, Berlin, December 2003. After Visegrad? Organized in collaboration with the European Karoly Lodz, ambassador of Hungary to the OECD, Commission (TAIEX Agency, Technical assistance and Marjorie Jouen, head of the European Union- information exchange), this business forum took The Franco-Austrian Center for accession bureau, External Economic Relations place in Lille and was attended by the Health European Cooperation (CFA) Directorate (DREE), French ministry of the Economy, ministers of several Central European and Baltic Finance and Industry. countries, senior civil servants, and leaders of The Franco-Austrian Center for Economic Coopera- March 13 pharmaceutical companies from France, Austria and tion in Europe (CFA) – which has been renamed the The Czech Republic on the Eve of Accession the new member States. The participants looked at Franco-Austrian Center for European Cooperation in how healthcare systems in the European Union and 2003 in order to better correspond to the nature of Petr Janyska, ambassador of the Czech Republic to France, Jacques Rupnik, research director, Centre the accession States are evolving, the challenges they its activity – is an intergovernmental organization face (in particular social and economic inequality), created in 1978 with the aim of contributing to the d’études et de recherches internationales (CERI), and Joseph Poeschl, economist, WIIW, Vienna. healthcare cost evaluation, and the consequences of development of economic relations between the enlargement for the pharmaceutical industry. countries of Eastern and Western Europe. Its head- October 7 quarters is in Vienna. Following the events of 1989, Conferences the CFA which originally included France, Austria, Europe Between the Iraq Crisis and Enlargement In 2003, the meetings organized by the CFA addressed This French-Austrian bilateral conference took place Hungary and Poland, was expanded to take in the key challenges of the enlarged Europe: agricul- new Eastern countries. Thierry de Montbrial has in Vienna. It brought together French and Austrian ture, healthcare reform, and developing a common policy makers, defense and strategy specialists, and served as chairman since 1985. The center’s foreign policy. general secretary is ambassador Peter Jankowitsch experts on European affairs. The participants first (Vienna). April 3-4 analyzed the differences that emerged during the Agriculture and Sustainable Development Iraq crisis and the lessons to be learned from those In the early 1990s, the Center took on the role of differences for the Union as a whole and for the apoint of European Union information for the candi- in Europe on the Eve of Enlargement This conference, which was organized in partner- Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP). The date countries and a forum for sharing experiences participants then discussed the choices that need to during the transition phase. The accession of ten ship with the Vienna Eco-Social Forum, the National Institute for Agronomic Research (INRA) in Paris, be made by the enlarged Europe: deepening of inte- new countries to the European Union has modified gration mechanisms, a stronger role for Europe at the CFA’s role by shifting the center of gravity and the French and Austrian ministries of Agricul- ture, took place in Budapest and was attended by international institutions, and closer cooperation on towards the “new neighbors” of Eastern and economic and social policies. Ifri was represented Southern Europe. The Center intends to take this Franz Fischler, European Agriculture Commissioner. It brought together ministers from many countries by Dominique David, Thierry de Montbrial and new dimension into account, while continuing to Eliane Mossé. pave the way for the successful integration of the of Central Europe and from France and Austria, as new member countries. well as researchers and business leaders from food Other participants: Thomas Angerer, University of Vienne, and agriculture conglomerates. The extremely Elvire Fabry, Robert Schuman Foundation, Paris, Michael The special nature of the Franco-Austrian relation- useful debates enabled the participants to under- Gehler, University of Innsbruck, Hubert Heiss, Federal ship continues to hold: beyond the fact that Austria stand the new challenges posed by the Common Chancellery, Vienna, Peter Jankowitsch, secretary general of is closer both geographically and historically to the Agricultural Policy (CAP), the reforms that have the CFA, Herbert Krauss and Alfred Längle, Austrian ministry new member countries, the relationship reflects the already been accomplished, and the changes in the of Foreign Affairs, Bertrand de Largentaye, “Notre Europe”, diversity of Europe (“engaged” countries and neutral relationship between the European Union and the Paris, Pierre Lévy, French ministry of Foreign Affairs, Philippe countries, “large” and “small” countries, etc.), and, future new member States (who are progressing Marini, Senate, Paris, Thomas Mayr-Harting and Martin through those differences, permits a deeper reflec- towards open markets). The closing sessions focused Sajdik, Austrian ministry of Foreign Affairs, Franz Nauschnigg, tion on the conditions that will determine the on the demands of sustainable development, with National Bank of Austria, Vienna, Heinrich Neisser, University success of enlargement. notable contributions by Bertrand Hervieux, INRA, of Innsbruck, Werner Neudeck, Diplomatic Academy, Vienna, The Center marked its twenty-fifth anniversary in and Josef Riegler, Vienna Eco-Social Forum. Thierry Willibald Pahr, former federal minister, Vienna, Jean-Louis 2003 with an international conference patronized by de Montbrial also contributed actively to the Quermonne, National Foundation for Political Sciences the presidents of France and Austria. debates. (FNSP), Paris.

10 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Commission forEurope,UNO,Geneva, Bulgarian Physicians, tance ofthetimefactor. uniqueness oftheEuropeanprojectandimpor- Védrine the issueoffrontiersEurope,while Council ofEurope, National BankofLatvia, Europe”, Paris, Kouchner historical exposé, Bourlanges contribution wasmadebyEurodeputy enlarged Europemightbeshaped.Animportant tific domains,andtolookathowtheidentityof period inthepolitical,economic,culturalandscien- measure theprogressachievedduringtransition life. Theconferenceprovidedanopportunityto well asnumerousfiguresfrompoliticsandacademic Parliament, Delsol Paris, Other participants: as former Frenchministers as former Czech Republic, Prunskienne and various CentralEuropeancountries– from ministers andofForeignAffairs Prime was hostedatIfri.Itbroughttogetherformer attheFrenchministryofForeignAffairs, rity affairs secretary generalanddirectorofpoliticalsecu- and Foreign Affairs, Kyrle The conference,whichwasinauguratedby of Enlargement ontheEve SituationandProspects Current The Transition inEurope: Process Twenty-Fifth Anniversary November 27-28 Republic. Lemierre Academy ofthePolishministryForeignAffairs, Bernard Kasriel Bernard Dominique Giuliani secretary ofState,PolishministryEducation, Christi , secretarygeneraloftheAustrianministry Teodor Melescanu , UniversityofMarne-la-Vallée, Tonu Mertsina , NationalBankofAustria, , EBRD,London, and , Robert Badinter . Lookingtothefutureinabrilliant Zdenek Tuma for Lithuania, Thierry deMontbrial , Lafarge, Paris, Jacques Rupnik Alojz Peterle Hélène Carrère d’Encausse Hélène Carrère Gilles Chouraqui Stanislas deLaboulaye , Chancellery,Estonia, , RobertSchumanFoundation,Paris, Brigita Schmögnerova Istvan Szent-Ivanyi for Romania, , and Solomon Saltiel , NationalBankoftheCzech Serge Lemoine Serge Jiri Dienstbier Pierre Joxe Pierre for Slovenia,aswell , CERI,Paris, Roman Kuzniar Hubert Védrine , CouncilofEurope, spoke onthe Ewa Freyberg Petre Roman Petre Jean Nestor Jean-Louis , Walter Schwimmer Kazimira , assistant Johannes , Muséed’Orsay, Bernard , Associationof for the Hubert Chantal Million raised Andris Ruselis , Hungarian , as , Diplomatic , Economic , under- , “Notre Jean- Jean Josef son environnementanglo-saxon”, :L’Allemagneet “Berlin-Londres, Berlin-Washington Hans Stark Brief Quelles perspectivespourlaCIG Policy Brief Ifri/Centre forEuropeanStudiesStrasbourg (CEES), :unebrèveanalyse La Constitutioneuropéenne Paper Maxime LefebvreandTjarkEgenhoff, Convention”, withUlrikeGuerot,KirstyHugues, andthe UnitedKingdominthe “France, Germany 467,April2003. n° communetdel’Unioneuropéenne Revue duMarché :undéfiouunechance”, “L’élargissement àl’Est Policy Brief nationaux etunevisioneuropéenne lesintérêts :entre La FranceetlaConvention Maxime Lefebvre 3-4,fall-winter 2003. n° ?”, “Les Européensexistent-ils Bulletin Europe “Identita europea,identificazioneconl’Europa”, français obstacles d’unecitoyennetéeuropéenne”, “Les nouveauxespacesdelacitoyenneté.Enjeuxet Ifri-Dunod, 2003. :letempsdel’action”,in “Allemagne mandes européenne”, :ledébatallemandsurl’identité “Turquie-Europe 2003, RobertSchumanFoundation,Paris. to ?”,supplement d’intérêts oupolitiquedeconquête :rencontre “La présenceallemandeenEuropecentrale Demesmay Claire February 2003. , , La lettre delaFondation La lettre , November2003. , July2003. °2,2003. , n° °316,September-October 2003. , n° , November2003. , February2003. OTHER PUBLICATIONS Documents. Revuedesquestionsalle- °640,September 2003. , n° , Nr. 104,January13, Politique étrangère ?, Ifri/CEES, Défense RAMSES 2004 EPIN Working , Ifri/EPIN, , January- Cahiers Policy , , , d’aujourd’hui :leçonsdelacriseirakienne”, “Paris-Berlin multilatéral”, nationaleetancrage “L’Allemagne entreaffirmation 64,2003. n° Allemagne”, en économiques “Les enjeuxpolitiquesdesréformes tives d’éclatement”, : crises,violencesetperspec- “Serbie-Monténégro Revue desquestionsallemandes “Berlin, Washington etla crise irakienne”, sur l’économieallemande ?”, “Liquidation politiquedumodèlerhénan February-March 2003. Hubert Védrine,ThierrydeMontbrial, HélèneCarrèred’Encausse “Le tempsdesdivisions”, Politique étrangère °166,October-December 2003. , n° Regards surl’économieallemande Regards RAMSES 2004 La Lettre deconfrontations La Lettre °61,2003. , n° Ifri, 2003annual report °2,2003. , n° °3-4,2003. , n° , Ifri-Dunod,2003. Documents. Allemagne Regards ❘ 11 , ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector EXTERNAL EVENTS International Conference on Federalism in history, Philippe Moreau Defarges Institute of Central-East Europe (IESW), Lublin, “Great Europe”, AFCE, Nancy, June 26. April 25-28. Claire Demesmay Round Table Discussion on the “European Conven- Conference on the Future of Europe National Debates, tion: Franco-British Evaluation”, Trans-European “A Constitution without a people: the paradoxes of CEPS/European Institute, Sofia, May 31-June 2. Policy Studies Association (TEPSA, Brussels), Lille, European policy”, European Academy, Otzenhausen, EPIN Meeting on The New EU Constitution: Firm September 24. Saarbrucken, June 13. basis for the enlarged EU or weak compromise?, “Memory and tolerance in Europe: forty years of Brussels, June 25. Hans Stark Franco-German relations”, European Parliament, Speech, “What geopolitical role for the enlarged “The Balkans Policies of France and Germany”, Strasbourg, November 19. European Union?” Pierre Mendès France University, seminar on the European Union and South-East Jean Monnet European Hub, Grenoble, September 19. Europe organized by the OFAJ, Sète, March 15. Jean Klein Meeting on Old and New Europe, Friedrich-Ebert- “Germany and the Iraq crisis”, Maison de l’Europe, Participation to the international conference on The Stiftung, Budapest, October 9-10. Paris, March 20. Franco-German cooperation and the European Speech, “The Reform of the PESC/PESD”, CEES, “The Iraq crisis and Franco-US relations”, Amerika- Construction, European Academy, Otzenhausen, Strasbourg, October 16-17. Haus, Munich, April 28. Saarbrucken, March 24. Speech at the Colloquium on The European Union “Prevention and intervention. Franco-German expe- Presentation to the international conference The in multilateral negotiations, Strasbourg Research rience and perspectives for the CESP”, 5th Franco- European Security System, University Keimyung, Centre, Dubrovnik (Croatia), October 20-21. German Dialogue, European Academy, Otzenhausen, Séoul-Daegu (South Korea), May 23-24. Conference on the Prospects for the IGC, organized Saarbrucken, May 22-23. by Wilton Park, Madrid, October 27-28. “French Foreign and Security Policy”, Kiel University Maxime Lefebvre Conference on France and Europe, Diplomatic of Political Sciences, Kiel, June 5. Colloquium on The Franco-German Relationship, Academy, Vienna, November 22-25. “France, Germany and Poland during the Iraq crisis”, organized by the American Institute for Contempo- OFAJ, Paris, October 2. rary German Studies and the Embassies of France Thierry de Montbrial “French Foreign and Security Policy”, conference and Germany, Washington, January 16-17. Lecture, Where is the European Union going at the organized by Centra Technologies, Washington, EPIN meeting at the CEPS, Brussels, February 5-6. French Institute in Budapest, Budapest, February 12-13. November 10. Franco-German Seminar on The enlargement of Speech, “After Iraq and the Convention: Where is “The Weimar Triangle. Current Situation and Prospects”, the European Union, CEES, Strasbourg, February European Construction now?” at the conference on colloquium organized by the Centre Thucydide, 12-13. Thinking Europe, organized by the Romanian University of Paris II, the Deutsch-Französisches Workshop on “Neues” und “altes” Europa im Academy, UNESCO and the National Foundation for Institut (DFI) at Ludwigsburg and the Polish transatlantischen Verhältnis, Warsaw, March 23-24. Sciences and Arts of Romania, Brasov, October 2-3. Institute of International Relations, Paris, November 17.

12 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report the French Center on the United States (CFE) research

The French Center on the United States (CFE) was created in September 1999 along with the Ifri and Center on the US and France at the Brookings Institution in Washington. Its purpose is to contribute to a better understanding of the American political and economic system and to the corporate sector foster greater mutual understanding between France and the United States. CFE is supported by the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF). CFE conducts research on political, economic and social changes in the United States, as conferences conferences well as on Franco-American and transatlantic relations. It organizes regular meetings that and debates bring together public and private sector decision makers and publishes articles and policy papers. CFE’s programs cover periods of several years, and are defined in conjunction with the enterprises and partners that provide the Center’s support base. These programs are designed to spearhead in-depth research into issues of interest to business and political leaders in France and in the United States. During 2003, CFE focused its efforts on preparing two important documents for publication: publications an update by James Lindsay (Research Director at the Council on Foreign Relations) of his guide to the US Congress, “The International Leadership of the 108th Congress of the United Is America at a turning point in its history? Since the States”, and a collective work edited by Guillaume Parmentier, director of the CFE, in which events of September 11, 2001, Americans answer “yes” 10 high-profile analysts looked at the way in which the United States is changing today. without hesitation. But if they are right, how is the United States changing? Ten essays by renowned experts, for the most part the library and Americans with a wide variety of viewpoints, offer in- the document center depth analysis based on ten specific themes that are dividing America’s ruling elite, from balance of power and CFE’s Programs its political systems. Second, it plans to initiate methods of regulation to the United States’ role in the a program that will explore US and European world. Because above all, America is a place of pluralism! CFE’s activities are structured around four areas: approaches to risk policies. To gain a better understanding of the diversity and the team and domestic policy and decision making; foreign and complexity of the United States, which is all too often of directors the board security policy; energy and climate change policy; Foreign and Security Policy under-estimated in Europe. and space, aeronautical and defense policy. Given Edited by Guillaume Parmentier the recent crisis in transatlantic relations, which The consequences of the war in Iraq, and in partic- Contributions by Lionel Barber, Charles E. Cook, highlighted several area of mutual discord, CFE ular their impact on transatlantic relations, were natu- David S. Evans, David C. Gompert, Sylvie Kauffmann, plans to expand the scope of its activities. CFE first rally the chief focus of CFE’s activities in the Foreign Charles A. Kupchan, Thomas E. Mann, Vincent plans to take a more systematic look at the close and Security Policy Program. The transatlantic dimen- financial annex Michelot, Jeffrey Rosen, and Gary J. Schmitt. relationship between American judicial culture and sion was addressed through a series of seminars.

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 13 Seminars Numerous studies have already been conducted on “La ‘doctrine’ de sécurité d’un pays transformé”, these two topics. The program’s broad purpose is to January 22 Guillaume Parmentier familiarize the French public with the US approach Opening NATO’s Door: How the Alliance Remade Commentaire, winter 2003-2004. to pluralistic decision-making. In 2003, the program Itself for a New Era focused on the impact of the events of September 11, with Ron Asmus, GMF. the domestic US debate on the war in Iraq, the March 7 gubernatorial recall in , and the prepara- The Guardians of Freedom: Europe and the United tions for the 2004 presidential elections. States at the Start of the Twenty First Century Research fellow: François de Chantal with Laurent Cohen-Tanugi, Paris attorney, and Dick The program’s publications can be downloaded from Morris, US senator, and former advisor to President the CFE’s website, . William J. Clinton. July 22 Publications The Fight Against Terrorism and Transatlantic Cooperation Les élections de mi-mandat aux Etats-Unis, François de Chantal, Policy Brief, January 2003. with Christopher Makins, The Atlantic Council. L’économie du don et la philanthropie aux États-Unis September 10 et en France : analyse comparée, Pierre Buhler, Transatlantic Trends Overviews Paul C. Light, Francis Charhon, CFE Policy Paper, with Craig Kennedy, president of the GMF, and The Ifri, May 2003. Compagnia di San Paolo. Les libertés civiles et la lutte anti-terroriste aux États- October 14 Unis, François de Chantal, Policy Brief, June 2003. Domestic Imperatives in United States Policy on Israel La crise budgétaire des États fédérés, François de with Dana H. Allen, International Institute for Strategic Chantal, Policy Brief, August 2003. Studies (IISS), and Steven Simon, RAND Corporation. Après Enron. Wall Street et le gouvernement d’entre- October 17 prise, Yves-Marie Péréon, CFE Policy Paper, Ifri, Franco-German Security Relations in a Post-Iraq World October 2003. in collaboration with the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies. Energy and Climate Change December 2 The purpose of this program is to look at United Building a New Transatlantic Strategic Dialogue States policy on energy and climate change, and to with Senator Joseph R. Biden. help the French government and private sector to better understand its underlying issues, objectives, and international implications. Publication Research fellow: Pierre Noël Les Pouvoirs de guerre en débat à Washington, Barthélémy Courmont, CFE Policy Paper, Ifri, Climate Change September 2003. Seminar Domestic Policy and Decision Making January 14 Climate Change: the United States’ Position and the This program addresses the goals of bettering the Mobilization Prospects of Developing Countries European understanding of both the inner workings This seminar saw contributions from Odile Blanchard, of Congress and the American federal system. conference manager at the University of Grenoble

14 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report OECD, sector andonclimatechange policy. tation focusedontheliberalization oftheelectricity ment andtheindividualstates interact.Herpresen- with aparticularfocusonhow thefederalgovern- mental policiesaredeveloped intheUnitedStates, ment ofEnergy, lookedathowenergy andenviron- Sue Tierney Development Research(CIRED), Hourcade Toman with “Energy andEnvironmentalPolicyintheUS” September 23 Seminar Energy Carlo Carraro (MIT), (IEA), Solutions, Participants: logical transition. developing countries,andacceleratingthetechno- tainty, controllingimplementationcosts,mobilizing The participantslookedatwaysofreducinguncer- some ofthemorepromisingwaystomoveahead. talksandtodiscuss the currentstateofinternational twenty EuropeanandAmericanexpertstolookat (RFF, Washington, DC)broughttogetheraround move forward?CFEand tional systemregulatinggreenhousegasemissions How cantheprocessofimplementinganinterna- Climate Change:BeyondKyoto? 19 March Colloquium Burden Sharing”). Tower ofBabel:Kyoto,theTrans-Atlantic Divideand ment, CambridgeUniversity(“ClimateChange’s and from the MobilizationProspectsofDevelopingCountries”) (“Climate Change:theUnitedStates’Positionand CNRS), Criqui Patrick Watkinson Sue Tierney ila Pizer William en Ellerman Denny , RFF, David Victor Cédric Philibert David Reiner , Inter-ministerial mission(MIES), greenhouseeffect , International CenterforEnvironmentaland , International , formerly oftheUnitedStates Depart- , formerly Daniel Bodansky aePomerance Rafe Christopher Boyd , FondazioneEniEnricoMattei(FEEM), , Energy EconomicsandPolicyInstitute(IEPE- , TheAnalysisGroupInc. , RFF, , StandfordUniversity. , MassachusettsInstituteofTechnology , JudgeInstituteofManage- Laurent Viguier Laurent Resources forthe Future Resources , International Energy, International Agency , AmericansforEquitableClimate , Lafarge Group, , UniversityofGeorgia, Jonathan Pershing , UniversityofGeneva, Jean-Charles Michael , IEA/ 2003. andPaulJ.Hibbard, Tierney PolicyintheUS andEnvironmental Energy March 2003. and Reality Rhetoric The BushAdministrationClimateProposal: Policy Brief L’Amérique et le pétrole irakien L’Amérique etlepétrole October 2003. Moyen-Orient du La Stratégiedesécuritéaméricaineetlepétrole Publications March 2003. “The AfricanpolicyofUnitedStatesoilcompanies”, – of theUnitedStates’energy policy?”,January2003. ments intheworldlinkedwithimplementation “To whatextentareAmerica’smilitarydeploy- – French ministryofDefense: series ofresearchcontractscarriedoutforthe oilpolicyaspartofa United Statesinternational In 2003,CFE’steamconductedtwostudiesonthe Studies Research Foundation(FRS). Institute, and with Spaceflight Programs” Conference: “NASAandthe FutureofManned October 3 Seminars Research fellow: the aeronauticalanddefensesectors. been expandedandnowincludesissuesrelatedto has lantic context.Thescopeoftheprogram’seffort awareness ofspaceissues,particularlyinthetransat- players inthisarea;andtoincreaseEuropeanpublic dialogue betweenAmerican,FrenchandEuropean changes inAmericanspacepolicy;tofacilitate dataon provide precise,up-to-dateandlong-term This programisbasedonthreekeyobjectives:to andDefense Space, Aeronautical P. John Logsdon su 4,February2003. , issue , OdileBlanchard, Xavier Pasco , PierreNoël, Laurence Nardon Laurence , directoroftheSpacePolicy , researcherattheStrategic CFE PolicyPaper CFE Working Paper CFE Working Paper , PierreNoël, , June , Sue CFE , , CFE PolicyBrief Pierre Noël irakien L’Amérique etlepétrole , issue4,February2003. Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 15

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector December 18 IVth Annual Conference: Round table: “Galileo and GPS in 2004: What Way the United States After the War Forward for the Europeans?” in Iraq with European policymakers and Gérard Brachet, former director general of the National Center for Space Research (CNES). December 11-12 Organized in partnership with the GMF, this conference aimed at analyzing Franco-American Studies carried out for program partners relations at the end of 2003. Two sessions, one (Laurence Nardon) dealing with “American exceptionalism” and “the James Dobbins, Hubert Védrine, Guillaume Parmentier th French exception” (with Erik Izraelewicz, Les “The draft space budget 2004. The 108 Congress Echos, Stéphane Rozes, CSA, Bruce Stokes, and Space”, March 2003. National Journal, and Pierre Mélandri, Institut “The American View of China’s Space Program”, d’études politiques de Paris), and the other March 2003. dealing with Franco-American relations after “Controlling Commercial Space Imagery: Reconciling the crisis (with James Dobbins, The RAND Business and Security”, June 2003. Corporation, Guillaume Parmentier and Hubert Védrine, former minister of Foreign Affairs), “Export Controls: Major Changes, but not before focused specifically on bilateral relations. With 2004”, June 2003. one year to go before presidential elections in “United States/Japan: the Start of Commercial Space the United States, the debates also touched upon Cooperation”, November 2003. the evolution of United States domestic politics “India, the United States’ New Ally in Asia”, (with Adam Clymer, Annenberg Public Policy November 2003. Center, Norman J. Ornstein, American Enter- “The Proliferation Security Initiative, A Complemen- prise Institute (AEI), Stuart Rothenberg, The tary Mechanism to the MTCR”, November 2003. Rothenberg Report) as well as America’s foreign policy resources (with Michèle Fleurnoy, Center “Between NSC and National Policies Reports, the for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Tod Kevin Hassett, AEI White House’s Options Regarding Spacecraft and Lindberg, Policy review, Hoover Institution, and Manned Spaceflight”, December 2003. Gilles Andréani, policy planning directorate, French ministry of Foreign Affairs). The economic policy of the Bush administration was addressed in a highly stimulating debate by Christian de Publications Boissieu, president of the Economic Analysis Council, William Gale, Brookings Institution, Kevin Hassett, AEI, and Philippa Malmgren, Les Missiles portables et l’aviation civile : la réponse Canonbury Group. The future prospects of the des États-Unis à une “nouvelle” menace terror- Doha cycle were also debated by Christophe iste, Ch. Bolkcom and B. Elias, CFE Policy Paper, Padilla, Assistant US Trade representative, November 2003. William Antholis, GMF, and Kevin Nealer, The L’Observation de la Terre pour l’environnement : Scowcroft Group. les ambitions de l’Europe après le sommet de The participants were hosted at the ministry Washington, Gérard Brachet, CFE Policy Paper, of Foreign Affairs by Foreign Affairs minister November 2003. . The United States ambas- “Espace : le rôle moteur des acteurs et budgets sador in Paris, Howard Leach, also held a recep- Pierre Noël, François Vergniolle de Chantal, Laurence Nardon, publics”, Laurence Nardon, RAMSES 2004, Ifri/ tion in their honor. Anne-Lorraine Bujon de l’Estang Dunod, 2003.

16 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report la politique”, :lepétrolenefaitpas “États-Unis etMoyenOrient Noël Pierre 3. issue 9, vol. désarmement “Les systèmesspatiauxdanslemonde”, Nardon Laurence ment). published bytheFrenchministryofEnviron- tion actuelleetperspectivesd’évolution”(tobe :posi- “Les États-Unisetlechangementclimatique tionales “Les États-Unisetlepétrole”, Perspectives andResponses”, “The NewAmericanStrategicDoctrine:European Commentaire “La ‘doctrine’desécuritéd’unpaystransformé”, Real InstitutoElcano,February21,2003. “Le jeudelaFrancefaceàguerreannoncée”, Guillaume Parmentier 2003. 21,October fondements dumodèleaméricain”,n° : les (IEP deParis),“LaconventionPhiladelphie by FrançoisdeChantalandFlorenceDeloche-Gaudez et fédéralismeauxÉtats-UnisenEurope”,edited Special issueof crise budgétaire”, :lacrisepolitiquecacheuneprofonde “Californie Questions internationales septembre”, “La sociétéaméricaineaprèsle11 François deChantal , spring2003. °1/2003,March2003. , n° , winter2003-2004. Sociétal OTHER PUBLICATIONS Critique internationale Les Échos °42,4 n° , su 3,September2003. , issue , September4,2003. The Monitor th Questions interna- quarter 2003. , “Citoyenneté , fall2003, Forum du conference, conference, Relationship Going?”attheSecurityPolicyCenter Speech on“TheUSandEurope:Whereisthe AICGS-Brookings, Relations ofFranco-German theFuture Treaty: lantic Relationship”atthemeeting Presentation on“ESDP:ImplicationsfortheTransat- Guillaume Parmentier December 17,2003. ence Model”(withPatrickCriqui),confer- the POLES Market in2030:SomeLessonstobeDrawnfrom Presentation on“TheProspectsfortheWorld Oil November 6,2003. We Going? Presentation on“Transatlantic Whereare Difficulties: International Energy Policy Energy International Security Council Presentation attheannualconferenceofEnergy Paris deDéfense, colloquium attheCollègeInterarmé United StatesandChina”,duringthe Speech on“Energy Relations:the andInternational Noël Pierre February 27,2003. Forces, NationalDefenseUniversity, seminar attheIndustrialCollegeofArmed Industry Relationship”,duringthe Speech on“CommercialImageryandtheGovernment- through March2003). (Senior visitingfellow Nardon Laurence , March12,2003. Sensing the Future Energy Systems Energy Sensing theFuture ” Copenhagen Geneva at the Institute for International Studies at theInstituteforInternational EXTERNAL EVENTS US and European Approaches to Approaches US andEuropean Washington eray3,2003. , February at theCSISinWashington, DC, , April1,2003. , DC,January17,2003. , Houston Beyond theElysee Energy Geopolitics Energy Industry Studies Washington , (Texas), Cairo , DC , , , Internationales, Internationales, Relations andGlobalSecurity” Presentation on IDSS, Centreasieifri, ence, Participation intheSecondFrance-SingaporeConfer- DoWeWhere Stand? Young PoliticalLeaders, Participation intheFrench-AmericanFoundation DC How MuchCommonalityintheFuture? PolicyandSecurityRelationship: Surveys: TheForeign Participation intheGMFConference, DGAP, Presentation on“IsitUsefulStill?”,conferenceatthe Washington, DC MarshallFundoftheUS, German Summit Agenda”, “Transatlantic CooperationandCompetition:APre- Presentation attheChamberofRepresentativeson Initiative, Point”,NewAtlantic European RelationsataTurning Speech on“BeyondthePresentQuarrels:US- , September15,2003. The European SecurityandDefensePolicy The European NATO Budapest , Berlin Warsaw , June24,2003. “Europe andtheUS:Transatlantic “Europe , May15,2003. , July10,2003. , September17,2003. Singapore , November14,2003. Ifri, 2003annual report Security andAlliances: CentredesRelations , , November10,2003. Public Opinion , Washington, ❘ 17 ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector transatlantic relations and ESDP

Debates on the implications of the events in Iraq for transatlantic relations and for the the roots of the transatlantic crisis and to look at European Union’s foreign policy took the center stage once again this year. Beyond the ways of adopting a concerted approach to future challenges within existing modes of cooperation. simply how to restore the transatlantic link, the key issue is how to manage the international The participants expressed their respective stand- system using a set of rules on which Europe and the United States can agree, and how to points regarding the Middle East, and measured the prioritize the challenges that will arise in the future. This matter was addressed during two adequacy of the existing forums for concerted action conferences organized by Frédéric Bozo. between the two countries. The highly frank dialogue revealed numerous differences in opinion between the two parties. The conference was opened by Thierry de Montbrial and Radek Sikorski of October 2-3, London SWP was led by Christoph Bertram and the Ifri dele- the New Atlantic Initiative, with opening addresses Quadripartite Meeting – Ifri-RAND-SWP-RIIA/ gation was led Dominique Moïsi. The delegation by Richard Perle, AEI, and Alain Richard, former Chatham House sent by RIIA included Victor Bulmer-Thomas and Sir minister of Defense. The traditional “quad” annual meeting between Ifri, Tim Garden. The main speakers included: Reuel Gerecht, AEI, Philip its German (Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, Other participants included: RAND: Robert Bradtke, State Gordon, The Brookings Institution, William Kristol, “The SWP) and British counterpart (Chatham House) and Department, David Gompert, Jerrold Green, Center for Middle Weekly Standard”, Danielle Pletka, AEI; Gilles Andreani, CAP, RAND Corporation, which rotates between East Public Policy, Robert Hunter, James Thomson, Zalmay ministry of Foreign Affairs, Frédéric Bozo, Ifri, Pierre Hassner, Paris, Berlin, London, and Arlington (United Khalilzad, James Hoagland, Washington Post, Kori Schake, Centre d’études et de recherches internationales (CERI), States), was convened at Chatham House in 2003. In National Security Council; SWP: Muriel Asseburg, Jens van Dominique Moïsi, Ifri, Guillaume Parmentier, French Center the light of the political and military lessons to be Scherpenberg; Ifri: Guillaume Parmentier, Frédéric Bozo, on the United States/ifri, Olivier Roy, National Center for drawn from the lead-up to the war in Iraq, from the Thérèse Delpech, Atomic Energy Agency (CEA), Gilles Scientific Research (CNRS). war itself, and from the post-war situation, the Andréani, Analysis and Forecasting Center (CAP), ministry of purpose of the meeting was twofold: to look at the Foreign Affairs; RIIA: Chris Wright, Rosemary Hollis, Julie functioning of multilateral institutions – the United Smith, Lord Wallace of Saltaire, Council member, Mick Cox, Nations, NATO and the European Union (European London School of Economics (LSE), Simon Webb, ministry of EXTERNAL EVENTS Security and Defense Policy, ESDP) – and possibly Defense. to redefine their role and reflect on the capacity of Frédéric Bozo November 21-22 Europe and the United States to jointly and Participated in the conference on The Future Role of The United States and France Beyond Iraq – constructively manage the global strategic agenda NATO, Ditchely, February 21-23. (the fight against terrorism, weapons of mass Shared Threats, Shared Goals, Shared Policies? destruction proliferation, conflicts in Africa, etc.). Organized jointly by the New Atlantic Initiative/ Participated in a seminar on US-European Relations, The regional impact of the war and its implications American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Georgetown University, Fiesole, May 2-3. for the regimes in the neighboring countries and for Research (AEI) and Ifri, this conference took place the Israeli-Palestinian conflict were also discussed at the Château Mont-Royal, Chantilly. It brought Thierry de Montbrial during the meeting. The delegation from RAND was together representatives of the French and United Presentation, “Europe and the United States”, Franco- led by James Dobbins with the International Security States governments, researchers, and scholars. Once British colloquium organized by Saint-Gobain, and Defense Policy Center. The delegation from the again, the purpose of the conference was to identify Versailles, January 17-18.

18 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report organized by Britain:animpossibleménage-à-trois USA-Great Participation inaroundtablediscussionon January 29. War inIraq Lecture on June 5-6. France Lecture on French AmericanFoundation, andtheEuropeans W.George Bush,theFrench Guest speakeratabreakfastdiscussion, , atGeorgetown University, Europe andtheUnitedStatesAfter Europe , attheDialogoAssociation, The EvolvingImageoftheUSAin , Paris New York , March24. Washington , January28. President Madrid France- , atthe ?, , , Foreign Relations,. is availableonthewebsiteofCouncil force’s report, on May5,July22,andSeptember30.Thetask brought togethersome25expertsinNewYork director ofEuropeanstudiesattheCFR, which wasdirectedby Council onForeignRelations.Thetaskforce, Transatlantic Relations Participation inthe .Kissinger A. and Renewing theAtlanticPartnership Lawrence H.Summers Lawrence Independent Task Force on Independent Task Force co-chaired by Charles A.Kupchan Henry at the , , and the Future Worldand theFuture Order Participation inthesymposiumon 21 Presentation on“DrivingForcesofConflictinthe Shimbun Auswärtige Politik(DGAP), Transatlantic Relation Role intheWorld –ImplicationsforWorld and Order Hyperpower Livingwitha The BigFriendlyGiant:Europe “ClubofThree”, Participation inthemeetingof November 14-15. st Century” attheconference , Tokyo EmbassyoftheUnitedKingdom, , , October25. s, DeutscheGesellschfatfür Ifri, 2003annual report , organized bythe Berlin America’s Changing , June26-28. US Unilateralism Paris Asahi ❘ 19 ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Centre asie ifri

The Centre asie ifri, which was founded in September 2001, focuses mainly on East Asia. All of its researchers, whether staff or visiting fellows, maintain close relations with the leading international institutes, experts, and specialists on Asia. The Center is thus at the core of a broad academic network of international expertise. Together with its Asian, European and US counterparts, the Center offers a forum for dialogue that contributes research into multilateral and bilateral issues affecting North East and South East Asia. The Center hosts seminars, watchdog groups and analytical projects in conjunction with its public and private sector partners. The results of these works are published in Les Cahiers d’asie and are discussed at Ifri. The Centre asie ifri is run by François Godement, a historian specializing in East Asia and contemporary China. During 2003, the Center’s project work was coordinated by Régine Serra, a specialist on Japan and North East Asia. Other valued staff at the Center include Sophie Boisseau du Rocher, a researcher specializing in South East Asia and regional Rodolfo Severino, Abdurahman Wahid, François Godement, Sophie integration in Asia, and Françoise Nicolas, an emerging economies specialist and associate Boisseau du Rocher, Bertrand Fort (Asef), Edwina Moreton (The senior lecturer at the University of Marne-la-Vallée. During 2003, research assistant Christile Economist) Drulhe edited Les Nouvelles de Chine, a monthly review of the Chinese press. Hervé Dejean de la Bâtie worked at the Center through September 2003 as an associate researcher, while Fumihiko Yamada was a visiting research fellow at the Center through April 2003.

Multilateral Issues and Dialogue driving forces underpinning regional integration. The participants drew on their own respective experi- • Regional Integration in Asia ence to look at the challenges and issues raised by and in Europe integration as an organized form of interdepend- During 2003, the Center hosted a number of working- ence. Three major topics were examined in depth: papers-based meetings addressing the issue of rela- regional economic cooperation in the context of tions between Europe and Asia. The most important globalization (financial, trade and agricultural issues); of those, which was jointly organized with the Asia- the goals of a common approach to security; and Europe Foundation (ASEF), took place in Paris institutions, rules and cross-border exchange as between October 1-3. driving forces of regional integration. October 1-3 Sophie Boisseau du Rocher, a Centre asie ifri Regional Integration in Asia and Europe researcher, was in charge of this event, which culmi- Hong Zhou (China), Chul Koo Woo (South Korea), Françoise The purpose of this public conference was to nated in two days of uniquely useful and construc- Nicolas, Kanishka Jayasuriya (Malaysia) exchange viewpoints on the foundations, and the tive discussions.

20 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Southern Denmark, Southern Finn Laursen Foreign Affairs, Affairs, Foreign Nicolas Jabko Globalisation andRegionalisation,UniversityofWarwick, of Gothenburg, Carsten Hefeker Bunbongkarn Philippe Moreau Defarges Philippe Moreau CERI, Paris, Thailand, minister ofForeignAffairs, Institute for International EconomicPolicy, Institute forInternational University ofNanyang,Singapore, Abdurahman Wahid Indonesian president ingful speechbyformer of thedebate.Theconferenceclosedwithamean- Academy ofSocialSciences,cutstraighttothecore the EuropeanStudiesInstituteofChinese bution madebyChinesespecialist Mercado minister ofDefensethePhilippines, Timothy Huxley Studies,Jakarta, for StrategicandInternational Sciences (LIPI),Indonesia, Munich, Franco Algieri approach tosecurityissueswasaddressedby monetary issues.Theissueofbuildingacommon Sakakibara former JapanesedeputyministerofFinance. former Foundation,andfrom Reform the NationalInstituteforEconomicResearch,China Other participants: Lumpur, fromtheChinesespecialist Sundaram contributions fromMalaysianeconomist EvianGroup,Switzerland,andsawstimulating and tion wasopenedby Thedebateoneconomicintegra- of ForeignAffairs. Frenchministry director ofthePolicyPlanningStaff, Secretary generalofASEAN,and Other speakersincluded political willfortheendeavourtobesuccessful. ASEF, bothofwhomstressedtheimportance ( The conferencewasopenedby Bangkok, Centre asieifri Centre , delaSalleUniversity,Manila.Thecontri- Dewi Fortuna Surin Pitsuwan also chaireddiscussionsonfinancialand from theUniversityofMalaya,Kuala , CERI,Paris, , judgeattheConstitutionalCourtofThailand, Kumar Ramakrishna , AppliedPoliticsResearchCenter, , EuropeanStudiesCenter, Universityof , HWWA, Hamburg, Richard Higgott Richard ) and Amitav Acharya , IISS,London,andbyformer Edwina Moreton . Marc Abensour Marc Jean-Pierre Lehmann Jean-Pierre Delfin Colomé , IndonesianInstituteof , memberofParliamentandformer Rodolfo Severino , Ifri, Sahoko Kaji Jusuf Wanandi , ESRCCentrefortheStudyof Eisuke Sakakibara François Godement Don Pathan , IDSS,Singapore, Zhou Hong Gilles Andréani , Björn Hettne Björn , IDSS,Technological Yungong Wang The Economist Fan Gang , Frenchministryof Karoline Postel-Vinay Karoline , directorof Jomo Kwame , UniversityofKeio, Orlando , former , Center Charles Wyplosz , IMD Eisuke , from , The Nation , University of , , , London, , Korea Suchit (WISE), Paris, CAEC, Jacobs (JCIE), Tokyo. Takashi Yamamoto and Energy Security and Energy responsible forthisprogram. in ParisonOctober23-24. meeting Asian energy experts,convenedfora The taskforce,whichiscomposedofEuropeanand eration betweenEuropeandAsia. Europe andtoassesstheprospectsforenergy coop- task forcetolookatenergy securityinAsiaand Policy Studies(IIPS)inTokyo, setupanewCAEC in collaborationwiththeInstituteforInternational in Asiaandelsewhere.In2003,the security hasbecomeamatterofincreasingurgency provoked byChina’sincreasinginfluence,energy Given theaddedpressureonenergy markets published in Asia andcooperationbetweenthetworegionswere research intoemploymentpoliciesinEuropeand Meeting) summits.TheresultsoftheCenter’s2002 ings totheparticipantsinASEM(Asia-Europe conducts regulartaskforcesthatreporttheirfind- Europe Cooperation(CAEC),the As afoundingmemberoftheCouncilforAsia- • Philippine InstituteforDevelopmentStudies,MakatiCity. Studies,Geneva, Graduate InstituteofInternational Ehara Relations(IDDRI),Paris, Development andInternational (IEA), Paris, United Kingdom, Petroleum andMineralLawPolicy,UniversityofDundee, Participants: Potential andChallenges Asia-Europe Energy andSecurityCooperation meeting October 23-24:Task Force Godement Participants inthepreparatorymeetingofMarch3-4: School ofEconomics(LSE), Régine Serra für AuswärtigePolitik(DGAP),Berlin, , , , Europe-Asia Cooperation Europe-Asia , IEA,Paris, , IEA,Paris, Yves Marignac on March3-4,andhelditsplenarymeeting , Centre asieifri Centre , Les Cahiersd’asie Centre asieifri Centre Yuji Nakamura Philip Andrews-Speed Richard Baron Richard Jun Arima François Godement , Japan Center for International Exchange , JapanCenterforInternational Karl Kaiser , World ServiceonEnergy Information , Karl Kaiser , , IIPS,Tokyo, , International Energy, International Agency Jusuf Wanandi odWlimWallace William Lord Françoise Nicolas . , EuropeCoordinatorofthe , InstituteforSustainable Centre asieifri Centre Centre asieifri Centre , DeutscheGesellschaft , , CentreforEnergy, Françoise Nicolas Centre asie ifri Centre preparatory Françoise Nicolas , CSIS,Jakarta, is , oe Yap Josef , London François , Norio , Ifri, Brett Eisuke Sakakibara,FrançoisGodement , , Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 21

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Ifri, Pierre Noël, French Center on the United States/Ifri, working groups dealing with cross-border crime Michel Poireau, Research DG, European Commission, (Manila, June 27-28), confidence building measures Brussels, Frank Umbach, Deutsche Gesellschaft für (Singapore, August 11-12 ), and maritime coopera- Auswärtige Politik (DGAP), Berlin, Widhyawan (Wawan) tion (Singapore, September 6-7). The Centre asie ifri Prawiraatmadja, FACTS Inc., Indonesia, Taizo Yakushiji, IIPS, also hosted the annual general meeting of the Tokyo, Li ZhiDong, Technological University of Nagaoka, CSCAP Europe committee in Paris. The Center’s China, Bob van der Zwaan, Energy Research Centre of the CSCAP activities, which were coordinated in 2003 Netherlands (ECN), Amsterdam. by Régine Serra, place the Centre asie ifri at the core 2 of a network of European experts specializing in • Security and Cooperation Asia-Pacific security issues, experts whose work Unemployment provides a valuable analysis of the strategic issues in in East Asia and Europe in the Asia-Pacific Region Report of the Council the region. for Asia-Europe Cooperation (CAEC) Since 1999, the Centre asie ifri has acted as the Europe committee secretariat of the Council for Edited by November 7 Françoise Nicolas Security and Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific (CSCAP), Charit Tingsabadh 2003 General Meeting of the CSCAP Europe - which is co-chaired by François Godement. During Paris 2003, in its capacity as secretariat of the Council’s

CAEC centre asie The 2003 general meeting of the CSCAP Europe was les cahiers d’asie Europe committee, the Center assured a European presence at the meetings of the CSCAP’s steering held at the Centre asie ifri. The meeting, which was committee (Owen Greene represented the European opened by the three co-chairmen of the CSCAP committee at Kuala Lumpur on August 6 and at Europe, François Godement, Tom Hart and Frank Unemployment in East Asia and Europe, Jakarta on December 6-7, where François Godement Umbach, DGAP, Berlin, addressed developments on Report of the Council for Asia-Europe spoke of Europe’s stance regarding the international the Korean Peninsula and the prospects for reunifi- Cooperation (CAEC), Françoise Nicolas order after the war in Iraq). French and European cation. The meeting also addressed nuclear and and Charit Tingsabadh (eds.), Les Cahiers d’asie, delegates were also sent to the meetings of three social and economic matters, the role of external issue 2, 2003. participants in the “Six-party talks” launched in August 2003, and the European standpoint. Participants included: Gracia Abad Quintanal, UNISCI, The CSCAP and the CSCAP Europe Complutense University, Madrid, Marc Abensour, French ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ramses Amer, Uppsala University, The Council for Security and Cooperation in the Arnaud d’Andurain, French ministry of Foreign Affairs, Asia-Pacific, or CSCAP, was founded in 1993 by ten Matteo Benusiglio, ISESAO, Bocconi University, Italy, Axel Asia-Pacific countries determined to launch a structured regional process that would contribute to the discus- Berkofsky, European Institute for Asian Studies, Brussels, Any sion on confidence building measures in the region. Bourrier, RFI, Paris, Ruediger Frank, University of Vienna, Today, the Council’s members include all of the Asia- Christian Hauswedell, Federal ministry of Foreign Affairs, Pacific countries, including North Korea, plus the Berlin, James Hoare, former United Kingdom representative European Union, the United States, and Russia. in Pyongyang, Nathalie Hoffman, French ministry of Defense, Taiwan has been sending experts to the Council as Antonio Marquina, UNISCI, Madrid, Valérie Niquet, IRIS, Taiwanese delegates since the People’s Republic of Paris, Marianne Péron-Doise, French ministry of Defense, China joined the Council in 1996. The CSCAP serves Alberto Priego Moreno, UNISCI, Madrid, Pierre Rigoulot, as a channel for the exchange of information and Institute for Social History, Paris, Régine Serra, Centre asie proposals with the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF). The CSCAP Europe Committee, or CSCAP Europe brings ifri, Paris. together European institutes with a strong expertise on strategic issues related to the Asia-Pacific region. • Europe-US Dialogues on China The CSCAP Europe today has some 90 members and With a view to securing deeper analysis on China, is co-chaired by François Godement (Centre asie ifri, France), Tom Hart (Stockholm School of Asian the Centre asie ifri has decided to share its expertise Studies, Sweden) and Frank Umbach (DGAP, Berlin). with that of partner institutions in the United States by holding regular meetings.

22 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report European Commission, Systems, Germany, Institute forComparativeResearch into CulturalandEconomic Germany, of ForeignAffairs, Oxford, UnitedKingdom, Brookings Institution, Shambaugh David James Mulvenon Studies(SAIS), H. NitzeSchoolofAdvancedInternational of State,EastAsiaandPacific, Hon. DonaldW. Keyser tional Studies(CSIS), James Mulvenon Office, UnitedKingdom, Office, European participants: Georgetown. US participants: ized by States departmentofState.Theseminarwasorgan- andtheUnited French ministriesofForeignAffairs Britishand department headsfromtheGerman, Asian experts,aswellAsiaandregionalaffairs months,theybringtogether Europeanand Every 18 level meetingsistolookatWestern policyonChina. the UnitedStates(GMF).Thepurposeofthesehigh- MarshallFundof with thesupportofGerman Policy Program(George Washington University), China Affairs’ the ElliottSchoolofInternational US seminarsdealingwithChinaco-organized with This seminarwasthesecondinaseriesofEurope- Europe-United StatesSeminaronChina June 26-27 asieifri Centre Participants: Agency (CEA). program, whichissupportedbytheAtomicEnergy June 25seminarwasthefirstmeetinginthis Corporation’s CenterforAsia-PacificPolicy.The a frameworkfordialogueonChinawiththeRAND and regionalissues,the and theRANDCorporationdealingwithstrategic As partofanexchangeprogramlaunchedbyIfri or StrategicShift? China’s Current CooperativeStrategy:Tactical June 25 François Godement Thérèse Delpech , David Gompert , CenterforAsia-PacificPolicy,RAND. Bates Gill , CenterforAsia-PacificPolicy,RAND, , George Washington Universityand Robert Kapp James Moran Nigel Cox , principaldeputyassistantsecretary Centre asieifri Centre Volker Stanzel Rosemary Foot , CenterforStrategicandInterna- Peter Hauswedell . Robert Sutter , RAND, , CEA, David M.Lampton , ForeignandCommonwealth , US-ChinaBusinessCouncil, Carsten Herrmann-Pillath , External RelationsDG, , External Evan Medeiros , St.Antony’sCollege, , Federalministryof François Godement has created , Universityof , Federalministry , ThePaul , RAND, of Foreign Affairs, of ForeignAffairs, for ResearchonContemporaryChina, Rocher National CenterforScientificResearch (CNRS). bureau oftheICG, project directorandsenioranalyst, respectively,atTashkent the International CrisisGroup(ICG). the International Round tableco-organized bythe inCentralAsia Islam andextremism July 2 Singapore. Institute ofDefenceandStrategicStudies(IDSS), Perrin deBrichambaut VII, of Paris la Bâtie de Foreign Affairs, Among theFrenchparticipants: London SchoolofEconomics,UnitedKingdom. UnitedKingdom, and CommonwealthOffice, CFSP, Kees Van Rij Germany, Foreign Affairs, Speakers: Discussion with (In)stability: theSecurityofaRegion andPolitical South EastAsiabetweenTerrorism December 18 CDC-IXIS. Economic andFinancialResearchDepartmentof Ifri, andby was launchedby Brooks Lintjer A presentationonthereportwasgivenby the AsianDevelopmentBank’s(ADB)latestreport. Round tableontheoccasionofpublication Asian DevelopmentOutlook2003 April 28 Round Tables andConferences Christile Drulhe Centre asieifri Centre , , Adam Ward , thebank’schiefeconomist.Thediscussion , , vice-presidentoftheADB,and Centre asieifri Centre , ministry of Foreign Affairs, , ministryofForeignAffairs, David Lewis Marianne Péron , PolicyUnitoftheEUHighRepresentativefor Véronique Seltz Véronique . , Stéphanie Balme Amitav Acharya Centre asieifri Centre , IISS,UnitedKingdom, Françoise Nicolas Alain Dejammet Olivier Roy , , ministryofDefense, Jean-Pierre Cabestan Jean-Pierre and Franck Umbach , Asiaeconomistatthe - Doise Azizulla Ghazi , Centre asieifri Centre , assistantdirector, Marc Abensour Marc , CERI, , researchdirectoratthe Marie Holzman , ministryofDefense, , diplomat, , economistat Thierry Dana Thérèse Delpech oheBoisseaudu Sophie , DGAP, Germany, Rod Wye Douglas Michael Yahuda , FrenchCenter , CentralAsia John Régine Serra Hervé Dejean and , ministryof , University , ministry , Foreign , CEA, Marc North EastAsia Regional IssuesandDialogues The debate,chairedby and containedinthepost-ColdWar period? conflictbeprevented gration? Howcaninternational andsupranationalinte- phenomena ofinternational national communityexist?HowdoesChinaviewthe relations?Doestheinter- power playininternational issues wereaddressed:Whatroledoesthenotionof system.Fourmajor perception oftheinternational to facilitateabroaderunderstandingoftheChinese the “ChinaYear” eventsinFrance.Itspurposewas This publicconferencewasheldinthecontextof Society The ChinesePerception ofInternational November 13 Studies andMeetings Central School. the ScientificResearchDepartment oftheCCP together fourChineseexperts: Committee, CommissionStanding Policy oftheForeignAffairs ChinesePeople’sConsultativeConferenceon the DiplomaticInstituteandvice-presidentof the Party CentralSchool, Junru Li Forum(CRF), president oftheChineseReformers other hand. Chinese scientificandresearchcommunityonthe Europe-United Statesdialogue),andwiththe partnersontheonehand(see Center’s western is basedonregularin-depthexchangeswiththe national dimensiontotheCenter’sresearcheffort integration.Theinter- regional andinternational analysis ofpoliticalchangeinChinaandChina’s tory” whichhasadualfocus,centeringbothon research iscarriedoutbya“strategicobserva- asieifri’ Centre China hasalwaysfiguredhighonthelistof China , , , vice-presidentoftheChineseCommunist Zhang Boli s researchpriorities.In-house François Godement Wu Jianmin , professoranddirectorof Ifri, 2003annual report Ding Kuisong , presidentof , brought , vice- ❘ 23

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector November 13-14 Participants: Zhao Gancheng, SIIS, Lu Gang, SIIS, Charles- March 5 Sixth Round of Franco-Chinese Dialogue Philippe Godard, French ministry of Defense, François Relations Between the Two Koreas This closed seminar was co-hosted by the Chinese Godement, Centre asie ifri, Wu Jinan, SIIS, Françoise Mengin, Closed meeting with Park Jin, special advisor to the Reformers Forum (CRF) and the Centre asie ifri. The CERI, Paris, Zhang Pei, SIIS, Marianne Péron-Doise, French chairman of the Grand National Party (GNP), South discussions alternate between Beijing and Paris, and ministry of Defense, Wang Xiaoshu, SIIS, Zhang Zuqian, SIIS. Korea’s main opposition party: a spontaneous talk have been ongoing since 1999. These bilateral meet- on relations between the two Koreas and the future ings provide a forum for regular contact between of the sunshine policy after Kim Dae-jung. Chinese experts from a number of different institu- Publications November 21 tions, and facilitate informal political and economic The North Korean Nuclear Issue: how to Build Peace dialogue between France and China. China’s New Politics, François Godement (ed.), Les in North East Asia? Chinese participants: Ding Kuisong, CRF, He Dalong, Center Cahiers d’asie, issue 3, Paris, Centre asie ifri. Speaker: Yoon Young-Kwan, minister of Foreign for World Studies, Xinhua Agency, Hu Jun, CCP Central Les Nouvelles de Chine: this monthly China review, Affairs and Trade of the Republic of Korea, former School, Li Junru, CRF and CPP Central School, Pan Zhenqiang, edited by Christile Drulhe and François Godement, director of the Korean Institute for Future Strategies. Institute for Strategic Studies, National Defense University provides analysis on developments in political, Chair: Thierry de Montbrial. (NDU), Wang Liqiang, Institute for European Studies, The economic, social, strategic and international relations Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), Beijing, Wu in China. Les Nouvelles de Chine draws mainly from Japan Jianmin, Chinese People’s Consultative Conference on Policy Mandarin language press sources and presents the and Diplomatic Institute, Zhang Boli, CCP Central School, viewpoint of the People’s Republic of China and An end to the financial and economic crisis that Zhou Qiyuan, CRF. the Chinese world in general on current affairs. hit Japan following the stock market collapse French participants: Patrick Allard, ministry of Foreign Affairs, Launched in November 2002, Les Nouvelles de Chine finally came into sight at the end of 2003. The Gilles Andréani, CAP, ministry of Foreign Affairs, Pierre began publishing contributions from the French Centre asie ifri organized a public colloquium to Buhler, Institute for Political Studies (IEP), Paris, Jean-Pierre Center for Research on Contemporary China (CEFC, look at the structural reform progress already Cabestan, CNRS, Laurent Cohen-Tanugi, Clearly, Gottlieb, Hong Kong) in October 2003. achieved in Japan and the debates surrounding Steen & Hamilton, Françoise Colas, EDF, Beijing, René the reform process, a process that heralds the Consolo, ministry of Foreign Affairs, Hervé Dejean de la Bâtie, Korean Peninsula dawn of a new era in that country. Other publi- ministry of Foreign Affairs, Arnaud d’Andurain, CAP, ministry cations, including Asie orientale 2003 in partic- of Foreign Affairs, Bin Gao, AXA, Alain Lombard, commis- The launch of South Korea’s sunshine policy by ular, throw light on the changes that have taken sioner general, “Les années France/Chine 2002-2003”, Thierry Kim Dae-jung marked the resumption of dialogue place in Japan’s international policy. de Montbrial, Ifri, Valérie Niquet, IRIS, Arnaud Roux, between the two Koreas against a backdrop of ministry of Foreign Affairs, François Scheer, AREVA, renewed tension between the United States, Japan Alexandre Sheldon-Duplaix, French Navy History Service, and North Korea. The revelations of North Korea’s Bernard Sitt, CEA, François Godement and Régine Serra, persistent efforts to obtain nuclear capacity sparked Studies and Meetings Centre asie ifri. a new international crisis in October 2002. The March 6 research projects and meetings conducted by the Reform Prospects in Japan Centre asie ifri aim for a better understanding of This public conference, which was co-chaired by the complexity of the North Korean problem, its Round Tables and Conferences senator Xavier de Villepin and François Godement, international stakes, and the risks engendered by received the support of the Japanese Embassy in the ongoing tension. February 18 Paris. Kuniko Inoguchi, ambassador to the Conference The Modernization of China’s Armed Forces on Disarmament in Geneva, took part in the meeting Speaker: David Shambaugh, professor at George alongside Hiroshi Hirabayashi, Japan’s ambassador Washington University. Round Tables and Conferences to Paris. The conference set out to provide clarification on October 22 February 5 Japan’s international engagements now that the long China and European Policies North Korea: an Irrational Step Forward in a well post-war era has been finally consigned to the past, Closed meeting on the occasion of the visit of a Considered Strategy? on the contrast between Japan’s micro-economic delegation from the Shanghai Institute for Interna- Speaker: François Godement, director of the Centre upturn and the structural obstacles to growth, and tional Studies (SIIS). asie ifri. on the socio-political changes seen in the transfor-

24 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report asie ifri Geneva, Kuniko Inoguchi South EastAsia (CAE), Participants: Office, Office, Satoh Fumihiko Yamada Villepin technologies andmilitaryapplications. regional integration,andthe human factorofnew on IslaminFranceandSingapore), challengesof building ofnationalidentities (acomparativestudy addressed thefollowingissues: integrationandthe This meeting,whichwasco-hostedwiththeIDSS, Singapore Second RoundofFrance-Singapore Dialogue– November 10-11 Studies andColloquiums parties. growing detachmentfromthecountry’spolitical mation oflocaldemocracyandtheelectorate’s programs, the In ordertoexpandthescopeofitsresearch and Japan,inparticular),etc. bors (therecentfree-tradeagreementswithChina relations betweenASEANanditsclosestneigh- (notably, Malaysia,IndonesiaandThailand); tions takingplaceinkeycountriestheregion Nations (ASEAN);thesocialandpoliticaltransi- developed bytheAssociationofSouthEastAsian essentially focusesontheregionalizationmodel The eration inthefuture. common interestwithaviewtodevelopingcoop- purpose ofthepartnershipistoidentifyareas place inSingaporeonNovember10-11,2003.The took placeinParis.Thesecondmeeting The firstmeetingbetweenthetwoestablishments Strategic Studies(IDSS),Singapore,inJune2002. partnership withtheInstituteforDefenceand , Royal Institute of International Affairs (RIIA),Tokyo Affairs , RoyalInstituteofInternational Centre asieifri Centre Jean-Marie Bouissou , , senator, Hiroshi Takaku Hiroshi Hiroshi Hirabayashi Hiroshi Koichi Nishioka Christian deBoissieu , ambassador, ConferenceonDisarmement, Centre asieifri Centre , Katsuyuki Yakushiji Centre asieifri Centre , Takaku Associates,Inc., South EastAsiaprogram , “NihonKeizaiShimbun”, , CERI, , JapaneseambassadortoParis, , EconomicAnalysisCouncil launched anew François Godement . , “AsahiShimbun”, Xavier de , Haruko Centre Introductory remarks: oftheUnitedStates The EastAsianPerception May 23 Introductory remarks: Asia andtheWar inIraq 27 March researcher atthe Foreign Affairs of Taiwan.Foreign Affairs and theBureauofPolicyPlanning oftheministry Closed seminarco-organized bythe Security intheAsia-PacificRegion October 27 of the porary Chinacarriedoutbythe is acontributiontotheresearchworkoncontem- of Dundee(Scotland,UnitedKingdom).Thereport Petroleum andMineralLawPolicy,University X. Liao This meetingdiscussedareportpreparedby in Post-9.11Era Security Chinese IRThinkTanks andChina’sEnergy May 22 French ministryofDefense. Introductory remarks: Issue The NorthKorean April 24 of the asie ifri du Rocher The Frenchdelegationwasledby Introductory remarks: Malaysia: theMahathirLegacy January 30 representatives. sity researchersandgovernment discussionwithuniver- provide aforumforinformal The Centre asieifri States (CFE),Ifri, Guillaume Parmentier Etienne deDurand Jean-Louis Bruguière Centre asieifri Centre Centre asieifri Centre asieifri Centre . Participantsincluded (PhD), researcherattheCenterforEnergy, and François Godement Centre asieifri Centre Michel Pétré , Ifri, , Courtoffirstinstance,Paris, holds regularworkshopsthat . . Marianne Péron-Doise , FrenchCenterontheUnited François Godement François Godement Workshops Sophie BoisseauduRocher Claire deGalembert Claire Amélie Blom , ministryofDefense. . Centre asieifri Centre from the Sophie Boisseau Centre asieifri Centre , IEP, Paris, , director , director , analyst, , CNRS, Centre Janet . , for NationalPolicyResearch(INPR), the Asia-PacificSecurityForum(APSF),TheInstitute ofSecurity Developments intheArea intheLightofRecent Global Governance Environment. CrossStraitIssues”,attheconference Presentation on“AChangingRegionalSecurit ical StudiesInstitute, Responses”, BMWHerbertQuandtFoundation,Polit- Partnership: NewChallengesand Europe Participation inthe June 1. in Asia:Shangri-LaDialogue Participation inthe of ForeignAffairs, ministry policy planningdepartmentoftheGerman its Wider StrategicImplications”,roundtableatthe Presentation “SecuringEnergy –China’sPolicyand London InstituteforStrategicStudies(IISS), The International SecurityandEconomicCooperation”, International Presentation “ProspectsforDPRK-EURelations: Switzerland, April3. Committee oftheRedCross(ICRC), seminarattheInternational and EastAsia”,internal Presentation on“PoliticalDevelopmentsinChina Initiative, eralism”, 2003TheEvianGroupHongKong Economies –TheWTO,GreaterChinaandMultilat- “DirectionsforOpenGlobal Presentation on François Godement September 24-25. ASEAN”, AsiaNetworkgeneralconference, experiencedbythe Presentation on“Thedifficulties Sophie BoisseauduRocher conference oftheCSCAP, Europe’s View oftheGlobalOrderafter Iraq”,general Presentation on“StrategicPerspectives inAsiaPacific: national PolicyStudies(IIPS), Relations, SecurityandEconomy”, InstituteforInter- onEastAsia’sInternational Change anditsEffects Presentation on“Japan’sRegionalPolicy:Leadership November 30-December1. , May1-2. Hong Kong EXTERNAL EVENTS Berlin Sixth Europe-Asia Forum Sixth Europe-Asia Second Conference onSecurity Second Conference , March18-19. Brussels , May19-20. Jakarta Ifri, 2003annual report , IISS, , September19-20. Tokyo , December7-9. Singapore , December2-3. , organized by Taiwan , May30- Versoix , “Asia- Paris ❘ 25 , , ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Régine Serra “Les États-Unis en Asie : un empire sans mission”, in “Which Exchange Rate Policy to Help Boost FDI-led Presentation on Japan and North Korea at the Annuaire de l’Asie orientale 2003, Régine Serra and Growth in ASEAN?”, in Pierre-Bruno Ruffini (ed.), French Foreign Trade Center (CFCE), Paris, April 4. François Godement (eds.), Paris, La Documentation Economic Integration and Multinational Investment française. Behaviour, Cheltenham, Edward Elgar Publishing, “La Chine, puissance revendicatrice ou intégrée”, in Series on New Horizons in International Business La Chine aujourd’hui, Université de tous les savoirs, (forthcoming). OTHER PUBLICATIONS Yves Michaud (ed.), Paris, Odile Jacob. “Escaping the Merchant/Missionary Dilemma: an Sophie Boisseau du Rocher Imperial Policy for Asia-Pacific”, The Pacific Review, “La régionalisation en Asie orientale: aspects écono- Books vol. 16, n° 2/2003. miques et politiques”, in Annuaire de l’Asie orien- Annuaire de l’Asie orientale 2003, Régine Serra and “Will Asia’s Hot Spots Cool?” (with Sophie Boisseau du tale 2003, Régine Serra and François Godement François Godement (eds.), Paris, La Documentation Rocher), The World in 2003, London, The Economist. (eds.), Paris, La Documentation française. française. “Americans and Europeans Widened the Gulf before “L’Asie orientale : quelle régionalisation ?” (with the Iraq War”, Yale Global Online, March 19. François Godement), Le Moci, n° 1618, October. François Godement “L’Asie Orientale en 2003 : entre vulnérabilité et Régine Serra rééquilibrage” (with Régine Serra), in Annuaire de Françoise Nicolas “Chine-Japon, après trente années d’entente cordiale”, l’Asie orientale 2003, Régine Serra and François “East Asia, Production Base or Market Place? The in Annuaire de l’Asie orientale 2003, Régine Serra Godement (eds.), Paris, La Documentation fran- State of Play”, Communications and Strategies, and François Godement (eds.), Paris, La Documen- çaise. issue 52, 4th quarter of 2003. tation française.

26 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Middle East, North Africa research

The year was dominated by the war in Iraq, with its regional and transatlantic implications, and by the downward spiral of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Through a series of seminars, Ifri sought to refocus attention on the conflict, to look at how Franco-American action is proceeding, and at the regional impact of the shift in US policy. Ifri and the corporate sector

January 24 role of the European Union. The seminar was Ifri-ECFA - France-Egypt: Complementary opened by Esmat Abdel Meguid, former secretary conferences conferences Approaches to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict? general of the Arab League and former permanent and debates This seminar between Ifri and its Egyptian counter- representative for Egypt to the United National part, The Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs (ECFA), Organization (UNO) in New York, and by Thierry was the first in a cycle of regular Franco-Egyptian de Montbrial. Mohamed Sid-Ahmed, writer and colum- meetings whose purpose is to facilitate an open nist for the daily newspaper Al-Ahram, reported on debate on issues of common interest regarding the the meeting.

Middle East. Egypt and France share the same Other participants: Mohamed Abdellah, vice president of the publications Khadija Mohsen-Finan, Dorothée Schmid, Rémy Leveau, Jeanne Frey concern to contain the spread of conflict. The meeting, University of Alexandria, former president of the Foreign Affairs which was coordinated by May Chartouni-Dubarry, Commission at the Egyptian Parliament, Denis Bauchard, provided a forum for French and Egyptian public president of the Institut du monde arabe (IMA), Alain figures and specialists to present their viewpoints to Dieckhoff, Centre d’études et de recherches internationales/ a broad audience. The meeting focused on the Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CERI/CNRS), gravity of the regional consequence of the “declared Nassif Hitti, director, Mission of the League of Arab States to

war” in Iraq. The Egyptian delegation expressed the Paris, Agnès Levallois, Nord-Sud Export, Mona Makram-Ebeid, the library and bitterness felt in the Arab world at the tone of the professor at the American University of Cairo, former member the document center US discourse (the use of the term “crusade”) and of Parliament, Cairo, Hassan Nafaa, professor of political reaffirmed its condemnation of terrorism (suicide science at the University of Cairo, Alain Rémy, North Africa- bombings) while at the same time drawing a Middle East department, French ministry of Foreign Affairs, distinction between terrorism and “resistance of Patrick Seale, writer, journalist. occupation”.

Having noted the vacuum of debate created around November 2 the team and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the two parties agreed Ifri-RAND/CMEPP – Franco-American Conference of directors the board that this conflict should be prioritized. The parties on the Middle East, Washington agreed broadly on the need to involve a third party This one-day workshop, which was jointly organ- in solving the conflict. The debates highlighted the ized by the Center for Middle East Public Policy/ complementary approaches of France and Egypt in RAND Corporation directed by Jerrold Green, and the search for a solution: Egypt in light of its role Ifri, was the second bilateral meeting between the with regard to the Palestinian authorities, and France two institutions, to be held regularly in the future. financial annex as part of the Quartet, where it seeks to reaffirm the The French delegation was led by Olivier Roy,

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 27 research director at the CNRS. The participants took Daniel Brumberg, Georgetown University, Washington, senior Afrique du Nord, Moyen-Orient – Espace et conflits, a sweeping look at the key regional players and at associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2003, Rémy Leveau (ed.), Les Études de la Documen- the Israeli-Arab conflict. The French delegation Washington, Mohamed El Oifi, IEP, Paris, Akram Ellyas, La tation française, Paris, 2003. stressed at the outset that the differences in opinion Tribune, Paris, Gilles Kepel, IEP, Paris, Richard Labévière, between Europe and the US concerned timetable Radio France Internationale, Flynt Leverett, Brookings Rémy Leveau and priorities more than interpretation of the issues. Institution, Washington, Robert Malley, International Crisis Israéliens et Palestiniens: la guerre en partage, with The debate revealed significant differences of Group (ICG), Washington, Dominique Moïsi, Ifri, Pierre Alain Dieckhoff, Balland, Paris, 2003. opinion regarding the notion of regime change, Thénard, French Embassy in Washington, Justin Vaisse, CAP, which US neo-conservatives see as the panacea to French ministry of Foreign Affairs, Malika Zeghal,Centre all of the region’s problems. The French and the d’études interdisciplinaires des faits religieux, CNRS. Khadija Mohsen-Finan majority of Europeans, however, view the resolution Articles of the Israeli-Arab conflict as the key. The French “Maghreb : ce que voter veut dire”, Marchés tropi- delegation also questioned the notion of democrati- Round tables caux et méditerranéens, n° 3000, May 2003. zation of the Arab world from outside. “Sahara occidental : un conflit oublié”, Afrique du The main points of agreement concerned the situa- May 15 Nord, Moyen-Orient – Espace et conflits, 2003, tion in Iran and the mixed and mainly pessimistic The Representation of French Islam Rémy Leveau (ed.), Les Études de la Documentation views regarding the situation in Afghanistan. with Franck Frégosi, researcher at the CNRS, Rémy française, Paris, 2003. Participants: RAND delegation: Jim Thomson, president and Leveau, Ifri, Khadija Mohsen-Finan, Ifri, Catherine “Maghreb : vers un échec des transitions consen- CEO, Michael Rich, executive vice president, Jerrold Green, Wihtold de Wenden, research director at the CNRS/ suelles ?”, RAMSES 2004, Ifri-Dunod, 2003. director of the Center for Middle East Public Policy (CMEPP) CERI, and Xavier Ternisien, journalist, Le Monde. and International Programs, David Gompert, emeritus vice The purpose of this round table was to offer an president, Bruce Hoffman, director Washington Office of overview of the works published in the context of the New European Identity and Citizenship program External Affairs, Jim Dobbins, director of International EXTERNAL EVENTS Security and Defense Policy Center, Steve Larrabee, Corporate led by Rémy Leveau, Catherine Wihtold de Wenden Chair in European Security, Cheryl Bernard, senior political and Khadija Mohsen-Finan. scientist, John Parachini, policy analyst, Steven Simon, senior June 17 Rémy Leveau policy analyst. Ifri delegation: Olivier Roy, research director, Israelis and Palestinians: the Shared War CNRS, Alain Dieckhoff, research director, CERI, Farhad Participated in the conference on The Middle East Khosrokhavar, research director, Centre d’analyse et d’inter- with Alain Dieckhoff, research director, CERI/CNRS, on the Eve of US Intervention in Iraq, University of vention sociologiques (CADIS/Ecole des hautes études en and Rémy Leveau, professor emeritus at the IEP, Lausanne, Lausanne, January 6-7. sciences sociales [EHESS]), Rémy Leveau, professor emeritus, Paris, scientific adviser, Ifri. Mission on The Gulf Monarchies and the Iraq Crisis, IEP, scientific adviser, Ifri. Bahrein/Abu Dhabi, January 20-26. September 11 October 20 Political Authoritarianism: Reflexion Based on the Mission on The Middle East Crisis and conference on Space and Conflict in the Middle East – Muslim The New Dimension to Relations between Case of Tunisia Culture and Immigration in Europe, various research the United States and the Arab World with Michel Camau, professor, IEP, Aix-en-Provence, institutes, Beijing and Shanghai, March 3-7. Organized by Rémy Leveau and Khadija Mohsen- Vincent Geisser, research fellow at the CNRS, Aix- Finan, the purpose of this one-day workshop was en-Provence, Sadi Khiaru, University of Paris VIII. Conference on Muslim Communities in Europe, to re-evaluate the situation by looking at how the The Institute for the Transregional Study of the US has realigned its strategy in the Arab world. The Contemporary Middle East, North Africa and Central debates highlighted the emergence of Arab public Asia, Princeton, March 27. opinion, which is becoming ever more autonomous PUBLICATIONS Participation in the seminar on Europe and the of governments and spiritual leaders as it forms its Middle East, British Council, London, April 10. own perceptions of the democratization process. Collective Works Speech on “The Role and Impact of Arab Commu- Participants: Joseph Bahout, Center for Contemporary Middle De la citoyenneté locale, Rémy Leveau, Catherine nities in Europe”, international colloquium on East Studies and Research (CERMOC), Beirut, Yadh Ben Wihtold de Wenden and Khadija Mohsen-Finan (eds.), Relations between Europe and the Arab World, Achour, Tunis Faculty of Legal, Political and Social Sciences, Travaux et recherches de l’Ifri, Paris, 2003. Institut du monde arabe, Paris, June 26-27.

28 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Conference on US Intervention in Iraq, University ranean”, first Toulon and Var Euro-Mediterranean hautes études en sciences sociales/Institut d’études Institute of Development Studies (IUED), University Forum on Citizens and Territories, Conseil Général de l’islam et des sociétés du monde musulman of Geneva, Geneva, October 28. du Var, Toulon, January 31. (EHESS-IISMM), Paris, May 30. Speech on “Developments in and Algeria Participation in the MIM Master Programme, Univer- One week field research in Morocco, June. and their Implications for Western Sahara”, collo- sita “Ca” Foscari di Venezia, Venice, February 3-4. Visiting fellow at Princeton University, July. research quium on Western Sahara, Conflict Prevention and Participation in the XIVth National Congress of the Peace Forum, London, December 10. Participation in the conference on Religion and Istiqlal Party, Rabat, March 28-30. Terrorism, North Atlantic Treaty Organization Defense Speech on “Monarchies, Republics, Social and Poli- Presentation “The Emergence of a New Muslim College (NATO), Rome, September 17. tical Change and Institutionalization: A New Middle Leadership: Tariq Ramadan”, at the workshop East after the Iraq War?”, seminar on The Future of Presentation on “Developments in Morocco and Changes and Emerging Players in European Islam, Algeria and their Implications for Western Sahara”, Middle Eastern Societies, The Transregional Institute Robert Schuman University, Strasbourg, April 10. Ifri and Princeton University, Versailles, December 12-14. Western Sahara colloquium, Conflict Prevention and

Presentation “Socio-Economic and Cultural Aspects Peace Forum, London, December 10. the corporate sector of Migration” at the first workshop of the Groupe Khadija Mohsen-Finan d’études et de recherches interdisciplinaires sur la Speech on “The Perception of Europe in the Turquie (GERIT) on Young Researchers on the Countries on the Southern Shores of the Mediter- Ottoman Empire and Modern Turkey, École des conferences conferences and debates publications the library and the document center the team and the board of directors the board financial annex

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 29 security

During 2003, the security studies department focused its efforts on four major themes: how conflict is evolving (contemporary conflict classification, conflict containment, the evolution of terrorism); how weapons are transforming (new developments in the US and their lessons, the outlook for military/civilian relations in Russia); issues raised by the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their means of delivery (nuclear, chemical and biological, missiles) with a particular focus on the lessons to be drawn from the Iraq conflict; and, finally, approaches to collective international action (shifts in alliances, the role of the European Union, ad hoc coalitions, etc.).

Conflict, Weapons Proliferation on the Prohibition of the Development, Production and Stockpiling of Biological Weapons. The partici- March 20-21 pants surveyed the existing regulatory environment. What Future for Missile Proliferation Control? They also evaluated how the European Union has The purpose of this expert seminar, organized in adapted to post-September 11, and examined the collaboration with Unidir (United Nations Institute epidemiological surveillance instruments currently for Disarmament Research, Geneva), directed by available. Dominique David, was to measure the scope for the Participants: Malcolm Dando, Department of Peace Studies, Jean Klein, Thomas Gomart, Dominique David, Françoise Thomas, creation of a missile control plan, to identify the University of Bradford, Thérèse Delpech, director of long-range Etienne de Durand missiles and missile technologies that should be planning, CEA, Patrick Lamb, Counter-Proliferation Department, covered by such a control plan, to take stock of Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO), Graham Pearson, existing systems, to analyze the impact of anti- Department of Peace Studies, University of Bradford, missile defense efforts, and to evaluate proposals. Alexander Kelle, Department of Peace Studies, University of Participants: Christophe Carle, Unidir, Bernd Kubbig, Peace Bradford, René Van Sloten, European Chemical Industry Research Institute, Frankfurt, Dingli Shen, Center for American Council (CEFIC), Brussels, Ottorino Cosivi, World Health Studies, Fudan University, Shanghai, Aaron Karp, Old Organization (WHO), Geneva, David Franz, Vice President, Dominion University, Norfolk, Waheguru Pal Singh Sidhu, Chemical and Biological Defense Division, Southern Research University of Delhi, New Delhi, Mark Smith, Mountbatten Institute, Frederick, Maryland. Centre for International Studies, University of Southampton. The seminar was closed by Dominique Klein, assis- tant director, Strategic Affairs Delegation (DAS), April 9 ministry of Defense. Biotechnology, Biological Weapons and Biological Terrorism October 16-17 This seminar, which was organized with the support Proliferation Crisis Scenario Simulation of the ministry of Defense, the ministry of Foreign The purpose of this seminar, which was organized Affairs, and the French Atomic Energy Agency (CEA), for the Strategic Affairs Delegation by Etienne de and was directed by Dominique David, looked at Durand, was to test a simulated crisis scenario what the future might be for the 1972 Convention involving a proliferation country (a SICREP). The

30 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report non-proliferation andexportcontrols attheNational president William J.Clinton andseniordirectorfor specialassistantto proliferation expert,former with North Korea:NextCrisis? April 15 Chaired by Agency(CEA) AtomicEnergy with theFrench incollaboration Series ofseminarsorganized Environment New International of MassDestructioninthe andWeaponsNon-Proliferation Conflict Classification 2001 andMarch2002. several gamesessionsorganized betweenJanuary tion. TheSICREPwaslaunchedandtestedover the possiblescenariosfortypeofcrisisinques- encompassing setofrulesthatcoveredthebulk were requiredtomakedecisionswithinanall- accorded precisepoliticalandmilitaryfunctions power. Themembersoftherespective“camps”were representing animaginaryregionalproliferating pated, onerepresentingFrance,andtheother playing andwargame elements:twoteamspartici- seminar producedasimulationthatcombinedrole- focused ondirectconflictcontainment. operational secondpartofthestudy,more makers willfollowandmayleadintoamore An analysisofthespecificneedsFrenchpolicy study wasscheduledtocompleteinMarch2004. trends intheirevolution.Thefirstpartofthe ofconflictsandnew,hithertounseen, forms military policymakersconfrontedwithvarious aguideforpoliticaland tion; second,toperfect analysis matrixthatcanadapttoconflictevolu- Its purposeistwofold:first,tocreateageneral ofcontemporaryconflict. actors, causesandforms of Brustlein Corentin of theministryDefenseby This study,whichwascarriedoutattherequest Dominique David Gary Samore Dominique David , SouthAsiaandMiddleEast non- working underthesupervision , setsouttoclassifythemajor Aline Leboeuf and This seminarwasthe9 Experience Shared – Political SystemsandDefense Systems DialogueonSecurityIssues: French-Russian December 15-16 Transformations ofDefense Systems étrangère meeting arepublishedinissue1-2004of The textsofthespeechesgivenduringworking Studies. Monterey InstituteofInternational director oftheCentreforNonproliferationStudies, shop weresummedupby The conclusionsdrawnonthebasisofwork- Research Institute(Frankfurt) and member ofUnscom, and biologicalWMD,with and and of Defense;ballisticWMD,with Grand (United NationsSpecialCommission),and Relations (Mgimo), which are held alternately atthe Relations (Mgimo),whichare heldalternately Ifri andtheRussianStateInstitute ofInternational with weapons ofmassdestructionprograms:nuclearWMD, Delpech This one-dayworkshop,introducedby Weapons ofMassDestructioninIrak:AnAppraisal November 3 and latertheRussianministryofForeignAffairs. START IandSTART IInegotiationsfortheSoviet controlmattersandparticipatedinthe nuclear arms Studies.NikolaiSokovlookedafter International for NonproliferationStudies,MontereyInstituteof with Control Implications forArms Evolution ofNuclearStrategyintheUSandRussia: May 21 London. InstituteforStrategicStudies(IISS), International the SpreadofWeapons ofMassDestruction”atthe ConsensusonFighting on “FosteringanInternational Security Council.GarySamoredirectstheprogram Harald Muller Bruno Gruselle Christophe Carle Michel Saint Nikolaï Sokov , assistantdiplomaticadviserattheministry (CEA), wasdevotedtoevaluatingIraq’s . - Mleux , researchassociateattheCentre , executivedirectorofthePeace , former membersofUnscom, , former Patricia Lewis , assistantdirectorofUnidir; , former memberofUnscom , former th annual meetingbetween Leonard Spector Leonard . Tim Trevan , directorofUnidir, Fouad ElKhatib , assistant , former Politique Thérèse Camille Annuaire français de relations internationales françaisderelations Annuaire “Penser lasécuritédansunmondefluide” 2003, volumeIV, Bruylant,Brussels. Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 31 ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Ifri campus and at Mgimo headquarters in Moscow to rely upon cunning and deception, approaches “Vladimir Poutine ou les avatars de la politique and are attended by delegations from each of the which are now categorized as “assymetrical strate- étrangère russe” two establishments. In 2003, the Ifri/Mgimo seminar gies”. These strategies, as an adapted response to Thomas Gomart, Politique étrangère, was held in Moscow under the supervision of American supremacy, constitute a challenge that issue 3-4, fall-winter 2003. Dominique David. The opening session, which was dedicated to the RMA, which is concerned with “targeting “Les transformations de l’US Army” considering how military force has been used in the strategies”, is ill-suited to deal with. The purpose of Etienne de Durand, Les Études de l’Ifri, issue 1, post-Cold War period, with Thierry de Montbrial, this study, led by Etienne de Durand, is to look at July 2003 (available on ). director general of Ifri, and Andreï Kokochine, corre- the implications of these “assymetrical strategies”. sponding member of the Russian Academy of Sciences and State Duma deputy, was followed by a series of debates on the relationship between civil The Impact of the Concept of Coalitions authority and military authority in the political, of Circumstance on Defense Organizations strategic and economic domains in France and in (NATO, ESDP, etc.) Russia. The participants set out to evaluate the signif- icance of the armed forces in the Russian and French Led by Jolyon Howorth, professor at the University systems, the adaptation of operational concepts to of Bath and associate researcher at Ifri, the aim various strategy hypotheses, the influence of the mili- of this study is to evaluate the present and future tary industrial complex in Russia, and the prospects implications of coalitions of circumstance, a for industrial cooperation between Russia and Europe. concept which has emerged with the recent changes in US strategic thinking, for the North Other participants included: Nicolas de Chezelles, French Atlantic Alliance and for the European defense ministry of Defense (DGA), general Jean Coulloume-Labarthe, project and institutions. It sets out to analyze its commandant of the Écoles de Coëtquidan (Saint-Cyr), implications for political and strategic concepts, Dominique David, Ifri, commodore Jean Dufourcq, France’s operational choices, and institutions (armed assistant military representative to the European Union, forces and defense industries). Etienne de Durand, Ifri, general Vladimir Dvorkin, Russian ministry of Defense, Yuri Fedorov, Mgimo, Louis Gautier, former defense advisor to the Prime minister, Youri Hozainov, Comittee for Military and Technical Cooperation, Moscow, PUBLICATIONS Maxime Pyadushkin, Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST), Moscow, Ivan Safrantchouk, Center for Defense Information, Moscow, Colonel Vitaly Schlikov, Dominique David member of the presidium of the Foreign and Defense Policy Articles Council, Moscow. “Penser la sécurité dans un monde fluide”, Annuaire français de relations internationales, 2003, volume IV, Studies Bruylant, Brussels. The Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) “Pourquoi sommes-nous anti-américains ?”, Études, and Asymmetrical Strategies January 2003. “La Méditerranée à l’aube du IIIe millénaire: After more than ten years of heavy investment entre coopération et confrontation”, Transition and and spectacular technological advances the over- Perspectives, Algiers, Institut national d’études de whelming military superiority of the United States stratégie globale, issue 2-2002. today means that the U.S. adversaries can no longer give serious consideration to engaging Etienne de Durand with the United States today militarily using classical means. They are systematically forced “Les transformations de l’US Army”, Les Études de l’Ifri, issue 1, July 2003 (online publication).

32 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report the 7 during Speech, “CFSP/ESDP:AFrenchPerspective”, Dominique David Communisme algérien parladiplomatiesoviétique(1958-1962)”, :l’utilisationdudossier “Gêner sanspénaliser winter 2003. su 109,2 issue militaires”, “Révolution danslesaffaires étrangère russe”, “Vladimir Poutineoulesavatarsdelapolitique (1964-1968)”, “Le PCFaumiroirdesrelationsfranco-soviétiques 2004 Montbrial andP. MoreauDefarges (eds.), “Russie, VladimirPoutineauxcommandes”, Paris, 2003. in conflits, gestiondescrisesetrèglementconflits”, : prévention des “Les dilemmesdelacoopération Chapters andarticles 2003 (Jean-BaptisteDurosellePrize). 1958 à1964 franco-soviétiquesde Double détente.Lesrelations Books Thomas Gomart February 17. (ETC) oftheCentredepolitiquesécurité, D. Lynch, D. Lynch, , Ifri/Dunod,Paris,2003. th European SecurityPolicyTraining Course nd EU-Russian SecurityDimensions Relations internationales , winter2003. , PublicationsdelaSorbonne,Paris, quarter of2003. EXTERNAL EVENTS Politique étrangère , issue 3-4, fall- 3-4, , issue , summer2003. Hérodote , IES/UE, RAMSES in Geneva T. de T. , , the 3 Speech, “WhatPowerChoiceforEurope?”,during Iraq CrisisandEnlargement the Ifri/CFA bilateralcolloquium Military oraPoliticalPower?”,intheframeworkof Speech, “WhatChoicefortheFuture:Europe,a June 26. rité, Security Policy during thecycleofconferences Speech, “IraqandtheUSNationalSecurityStrategy”, European MilitarySchoolsandAcademies, Security?”, duringthesecondconferenceof “WhatScenariosfortheFutureofEuropean Speech, May 24. Russia? CooperationUSA-Europe- New ShapeofInternational Framework forSecurity?”,duringtheconference Speech, “Power, Asymetry,Multilateralims:ANew Freiburg/Düdingen corpscommandheadquarters, campaign army Domestic Security:NeedsandPriorities day Strategy”,duringtheinformation International Speech, “DomesticSecurity:AnUrgent Matterof Canadians inEuropegroup, Canada, FranceandtheWorld on Speech, “America’sGamble”,duringtheconference February 27. Mutation in on Speech, “Post-September11”,aspartofthecycle Europe at the ServiceofEuropeans Europe Community the ServiceofInternational October 25. The IraqQuestion:ConsequencesforSecurityin Terrorism, ConflictandViolence inaWorldTerrorism, Geneva rd , InstytutStudiowStrategicznych, European Interviews at Epernay, European InterviewsatEpernay, , March24. at theSociétédelecture, of theCentredepolitiquesécu- , April11. , Paris Vienna , organized bythe Europe Between the Europe , March12. Geneva Serieson , October7. , Europe at Europe Epernay Geneva Cracow Brussels at the and , , , , Versailles Bilderberg meetings.SpeechonNon-Proliferation, Participation intheannualconferenceof Policy, Participation intheMunichConferenceonSecurity Thierry deMontbrial “Putin’s ForeignPolicy”,IPI, Thomas Gomart November 10-11. of DefenceandStrategicStudies), annual meetingbetweenIfriandtheIDSS(Institute Speech, “TheRMAandMiddlePowers”,duringthe October.ministry ofForeignAffairs, the AnalysisandForecastingCenter(CAP),French Research tripto of InfluenceandPower politiques (IEP), Speech duringthecolloquiumatInstitutd’études Etienne deDurand November 8. ranean Colonialism andPost-ColonialismintheMediter- during the10 SidesoftheMediterranean?”, ship betweentheTwo Speech, “AftertheEmpire,WhatKindofRelation- Munich , organized byEspaceCulture, , May16-18. th , February8-9. Iraq edition oftheAverroès Meetings Transatlantic Relations:theStakes and preparationofareportfor , Paris Ifri, 2003annual report London , May27. , November6. Singapore Marseille ❘ 33 , ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector global economy

In 2003, Ifri focused on two major issues: the role played by national circumstances and policies in the ability of economies to benefit from the opportunities of globalization, and the growing integration of the emerging countries with the global economy. The program on reactions and responses to globalization, which was wound up in 2003, highlighted the uniqueness of France’s “altermondialiste” movement and its influence on political debate. More generally, it demonstrated that the growing integration of the global economy has not led to total convergence between capitalist systems, most strikingly between the United States and Europe. The research conducted on the influence of multinationals in developing countries threw light on the key role played by national contexts and policies in enabling countries to benefit from integration with the global economy. The various debates and studies conducted in 2003 with respect to global economic governance underlined both the importance of national circumstances and the need for harmonization, or at the very least the need for compatibility and dialogue, on the global Vincent Vasques, Luis Miotti, Frédérique Sachwald, Eddy Fougier, level. Ifri also set about looking at the consequences of the growing role of emerging countries Eliane Mossé, Françoise Nicolas, Jean-Marie Paugam in global economic governance, and, specifically, in multilateral trade negotiations.

2003 Programs February 24, Washington, DC Obstacles to Globalization: Reactions and Responses to Globalization Transatlantic Comparisons Led by Frédérique Sachwald, this program, completed This third Ifri-IIE-DGAP seminar, which was hosted in 2003, analyzed reactions to the globalization by the Institute for International Economics, was process and the responses that could be deployed. dedicated to comparing obstacles to globalization in The political debate at the international level has France, Germany and the United States, and to been dominated by global governance and the need understanding the clear differences between the to adapt existing institutions or even create new three countries. Eddy Fougier spoke on resistance to institutions. The program also highlighted the equal globalization in France at the session on anti- importance and urgency of internal economic and globalization movements; Frédérique Sachwald social reforms. Ifri is continuing to build on this dealt with changing inequalities in the globalization approach. context. The program was supported by the German Marshall Key participants: C. Fred Bergsten, IIE, Kimberly Elliot, IIE, Fund of the United States (GMF). It was conducted Eddy Fougier, Ifri, Phil Henderson, GMF, Karl Kaiser, Otto- jointly with the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Wolff-Stiftung and DGAP, Bernard May, DGAP, Reinhard Politik (DGAP, Berlin) and the Institute for Interna- Rode, University of Halle, Frédérique Sachwald, Ifri, John tional Economics (IIE, Washington, DC). Williamson, IIE.

34 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report in GlobalEconomicGovernance Shadow G8:TheRoleoftheG8 January 8 Global EconomicGovernance 51. Benghozi andThomasParis,n° France – la finance – Ifri website). 49(availableonthe Cardebat andEricMaurin,n° – Frédérique Sachwald: et réponsesàlamondialisation”,editedby Follow-up totheseries“Notesdel’Ifri”,“Réactions Publications from theIfriwebsite. translation ofthedocumentcanalsobedownloaded Mondialisation, innovationetinégalités 48, bution waspublishedin“Notedel’Ifri”n° from theIfriwebsite.FrédériqueSachwald’scontri- Eddy Fougier’scontributioncanbedownloaded a more effective waytoglobal economicgover- a moreeffective revert toitsoriginalroleinorder tocontributein the G8torefocusonitsinitial objectivesandto outcome ofthedebateshighlighted theneedfor and changeinthecontextof globalization.The more specifically,theneedforG8toevolve hosted atIfri,discussedtheroleofG8,and, The ShadowG8one-dayworkshop,whichwas eachsummit. before oftheG8countries submitted tothegovernments thatare The ShadowG8elaboratesproposals coincidedwiththeG8summitatEvian. which theShadowG8’s2003meeting, organized member.Thierry deMontbrialisaregular Ifri theG8countries. twentyexperts from around together onceayearsince2000 G8 hasbrought (IIE),theShadow Bergsten An initiativeofFred Mondialisation et diversité culturelle. Lecasdela Mondialisation etdiversitéculturelle. Mondialisation, innovationetemploi e uain ucptlsee rne:lerôlede Les MutationsducapitalismeenFrance , MaryvonnedeSaintPulgent,Pierre-Jean , Paris oiiu lhn °50. , DominiquePlihon,n° . AnEnglish , Jean-Marie Korea, HongKong,Indonesia,Japan, Malaysia,the Korea, Asiancountries(China, institutionsfrom ten research the Affairs Institute ofInternational Wirtschaftforschung Brookings Institution theG5countries, tions: fiveinstitutionsfrom institu- ofresearch foundation federatestwogroups The and debateonglobaleconomicgovernance. company established in1987byJapaneseinvestmentbanking International Affairs, HarvardUniversity, Affairs, International Montbrial Key participants,inadditionto The andFinancial Markets Governance Tokyo ClubWork onDigitalEconomy minister attheEmbassyofFranceinWashington. the OECD,and tries with economy andthepoliciesofindustrializedcoun- Shadow G8attheopeningofadebateonglobal at Ifri,presentedtheconclusionsdrawnby Frédérique Sachwald The RecommendationsoftheShadowG8 canSpurGrowth? Debate: WhatReforms May 22 Fund oftheUnitedStates. Marshall The meetingwassupportedbytheGerman Françoise Nicolas Toronto,Affairs, McDougall Barbara Presidium, CouncilonForeignandDefensePolicy,Moscow, DGAP, Bonn, Gyohten Paolo Guerrieri Russian ministerofFinance, Ruggiero Portes often usedasascapegoat. representation ofglobalization,whichisalltoo asregardstheiranalysisand by governments nance. Italsounderlinedtheresponsibilityborne Nomura ResearchInstitute Tokyo ClubFoundationforGlobalStudies , CentreforEconomicPolicyResearch,London, , Paris , Institute for Monetary Affairs, Tokyo,, InstituteforMonetaryAffairs, , EuropeanInvestmentBank.FromIfri: : Nomura Securities Jean-Philippe Cotis Richard N.Cooper Richard Sergei Karaganov Sergei Jacques Mistral , Istituto Affari Internazionali, Rome, Internazionali, , IstitutoAffari , Patrick Messerlin Pierre Noël Pierre , whoheadseconomicstudies , IFO (Germany), the , IFO(Germany), , CanadianInstituteofInternational (United States),the Yoichi Funabashi , chiefeconomistwith and , financialadvisorand to facilitateresearch (Japan) andIfri; , Wheatherhead Centerfor Fred Bergsten Fred (United Kingdom), , former president ofthe , former Frédérique Sachwald. , GERM,Paris, Boris Fedorov Institut für , AsahiShimbun, Royal and Pierre Lepetit Pierre was Karl Kaiser Thierry de Richard , former Renato Toyoo , , Restoring G-8LeadershipoftheWorld Economy. Eddy Fougier, Recommendations for the Evian Summit from Recommendations fortheEvianSummitfrom niodaiain so tpltsto » Antimondialisation.Essoretpolitisation « Frédérique Sachwald, the ShadowG-8 Eddy Fougier, in ubnuaed amnilsto » Dubonusagedelamondialisation « odaiain:lèedsrfs» :l’èredesrefus Mondialisation « Politique étrangère °2/2003,summer2003. n° , May2003,availableat Ifri, 2003annual report RAMSES 2004 Politique étrangère Ifri/Dunod, 2003. fall-winter 2003. °3-4/2003, , n° , Paris, ❘ 35 ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Taiwan). Its The working paper used as a basis for the discus- Debates purpose is to promote work conducted by these insti- sions was prepared by Nouriel Roubini, Stern School September 2, Paris tutions on issues that are defined jointly every year. of Business, New York University, and Brad Setser, Cancun: A Technical Phase or a Political Test for the Results of the work are published in the Tokyo Club Council on Foreign Relations. The paper can be Development Cycle? Papers and the Joint Policy Statement, which outline downloaded from the Ifri website. public policy recommendations. A round table with Paul-Henri Ravier, former assis- tant director general of the WTO, Jacques Desponts, The Tokyo Club hosted two workshops in 2002. president of the MEDEF and UNICE WTO Committee, Results were published in 2003. International Trade Tom Lines, Oxfam, and Hervé Jouanjean, European The first series of publications looked at governance and Trade Policy Commission Trade DG. issues raised by the digital economy (competition policy, intellectual property, etc.): April 25, Paris October 15, Paris The Failure of Cancun: A Turning Point? – Governance Issues in the Digital Economy, The Characteristics of Global Trade Frédérique Sachwald (ed.), Tokyo Club Papers 15, in the Twenty First Century. Scenarios A round table with Jacques Desponts, president of Ifri/Tokyo Club Foundation, 2003. for the Future of Europe the MEDEF and UNICE WTO Committee, Olivier The purpose of this roundtable was to present the Cattaneo from the French Development Agency The second series of publications looked at the Ifri report on The Characteristics of Global Trade in (AFD), Jean-Marie Paugam, researcher at Ifri. evolution of the financial markets since the 1980s, the Twenty First Century. Scenarios for the European and the regulatory problems posed by financial Union, carried out by Philippe Colombani. The Trade and Sustainable Development markets for national governments and at the inter- report was published at the end of 2002 (text avail- national level: able on the Ifri website). This program was elaborated in the context of – L’Émergence du capital-risque : la politique publique the SUSTRA (Sustainable Trade)1 network of Key participants: Hassan Abouyoub, ambassador of the française, Emmanuelle Dubocage and Dorothée multidisciplinary institutions. The member institu- Kingdom of Morocco in France, Jean-Claude Chesnais, Institut Rivaud-Danset, “Notes de l’Ifri”, n° 55, Paris, Ifri, tions organize conferences and foster expertise on national d’études démographiques (INED), Philippe Colombani, 2003. the interaction between trade and sustainable devel- Ifri, Jean-Pierre Lehmann, International Institute for Manage- – The Development of Capital Markets and Their opment. The purpose of the program is to analyze ment Development, founder of the Evian Group, Paul-Henri Governance: A Shift to Markets in Diverse National the nature of the links between trade and develop- Ravier, former director general of the WTO. Contexts, Policy Statement from the T-5 Members of ment. Ifri, represented by Jean-Marie Paugam, is the Tokyo Club Foundation for Global Studies (texts more specifically charged with providing geopolit- available at ). Launch of the program ical analysis and looking at how European gover- “Multilateral Trade Negotiations and the WTO” nance may impact external trade and sustainable March 9, Paris development. SUSTRA organized a conference in Restructuring Sovereign Debt The purpose of this applied research program on March 2003, the aim of which was to assess the political economy, launched in October 2003 by sustainability of trade liberalization. An e-forum was This workshop was organized at Ifri by Pierre Lepetit Jean-Marie Paugam, is to identify the basic held in September on trade and development from and Françoise Nicolas in partnership with the Institute “problems” confronted by the global economic a sustainable development perspective. Ifri will host for International Economics (Washington, DC), with system, and to carry out case studies that may the closing conference in June 2004 on European the support of the French ministry of the Economy, provide useful guidelines in the elaboration of governance in trade and sustainable development. Finance and Industry. The workshop, which took public policies and private strategies. The place on the eve of the IMF annual meetings, program focuses on short-term and medium-term brought together around fifty participants from the 1. ENSAM (École nationale supérieure d’agriculture de analysis of the forces at play and issues at stake Montpellier, France), École polytechnique (France), Centre central banks and ministries of Economy and in international economic confrontation, as well Finance of the G7 and G20 countries, as well as d’études et de recherches internationales (CERI, France), as obstacles to the system of governance. It will Ifri (France), Ecologic (FRG), Institute for Environmental representatives of international financial institutions focus initially on three topics: the multilateral (the IMF and the World Bank). The meeting was Studies (IVM, Netherlands), Sussex European Institute (SEI, system after Cancun; the transatlantic economic United Kingdom), Centre de philosophie du droit (CPDR, also attended by representatives of the banking partnership; and civil society and economic Université catholique de Louvain, ), Solagral sector and academics. The purpose of the meeting governance. These themes will be looked at in (France), FIELD (United Kingdom), Universidad politechnica was to discuss the various options for dealing with further detail during the first half of 2004. de Valencia (UPV, Spain). See .

36 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report sovereignty inachapterof Françoise Nicolas Developing EconomiesinGlobalization Countries intheGlobalEconomy RoleofEmerging The Growing souveraineté confisquée”,in :lemythedela “Économies endéveloppement institutions (IMF, World BankandWTO). economic by globalizationandtheinternational she lookedattherealityofconstraintsimposed Development Institute. Presentation byFrédériqueSachwald attheKorea Is Korea anException? Learning: FDI andInternational April 16 Debates promotion. from hostilitytowardsforeigninvestmenttoits development togrowththroughinnovationand seen theKoreaneconomyshiftfromimitation-based of foreigncorporationsinthe“realignment”thathas Korean economy.Itfocusesinparticularontherole the of majorindustrialgroupsandintransforming evolving andevaluatesitsroleintherestructuring how foreigndirectinvestmentinSouthKoreais supported bytheKoreaFoundation.Itlooksinto tiques nationales :lerôledespoli- Multinationales etdéveloppement policy recommendations. productivity, etc.)andsetsouttoprovidepublic nationals (technologytransfers,impactontradeand number ofempiricalstudiestheimpactmulti- ment. Thepublicationcontainsareviewoflarge tions madebyforeigndirectinvestmenttodevelop- Development Agency(AfD),analyzedthecontribu- This program,conductedjointlywiththeFrench Multinationals andDevelopment Ifri/Dunod, 2003. This program,runby in Korea Investment Direct The RoleofForeign Perrin, Paris,AFD/Ifri,2003. , Seoul , FrédériqueSachwaldandSerge analyzed thethemeofconfiscated Frédérique Sachwald ASS2004 RAMSES ASS2004 RAMSES , where Paris, , , is the People’sRepublicofChinainParis. nerships withFrenchcompanies. evolved andthepossibilityfortechnologicalpart- ence debatedhowChina’sinnovationsystemhas inpartnershipwithIfri,thisconfer- Research (ANRT) Organized bytheNationalAssociationforTechnical Innovation MilestonesinChina September 25 China’s AppealforHigh-Technology Activities the OECD. Discussion chairedby The outlookforforeigninvestors inKorea. Restructuring andcorporategovernance April 30 France’s Economic Growth Outlook France’s EconomicGrowth ANRT, Applied MathematicsLaboratory(LIAMA),DenisRandet, Technology,Franco-Chinese Information Automationand Gouiffès Pierre-François Kearney, Paris VII, Participants: RAMSES 2004 “Afrique etmondialisation.De l’échecàl’espoir”,in Philippe Colombani Ifri, and Graham Edward up sincethe1980s. standards intheUnitedStatesthathasopened potential andreversethegrowinggapwithliving steps thecountrycantaketorestoregrowth looks atavenuesthatFrancecanexploreandthe economic growthovertheperiod1950-2030.It and in conjunctionwith This program,whichisrunby Vincent Vasques Frédérique Sachwald , Paris Randall Jones Joëlle Gauthier Thierry Clerc Michel Ah-Fa , Paris , Paris,Ifri/Dunod,2003. , IIE,Washington, PUBLICATIONS Luis Miotti , Japan/Koreabureauchiefat , analyzestrendsinFrench , ThomsonMultimedia, Frédérique Sachwald , Thalès, , Alcatel, , Snecma, , Ifri, Frédérique Sachwald , Françoise Nicolas Françoise Nicolas Wang Shaoqi François Godement Bo Tao Fan Pascal Colombani , with Olivier Monga , Universityof , Embassyof , , A.T. , Ifri, , les économiesasiatiquesface aux nouveauxdéfis refonder leconsensusmultilatéralaprèsCancun refonder oruerlned yl udvlpeet: ducycledéveloppement Pour unerelance est-il hors sujet ? Mettre àjourlepartenariat ?Mettre est-il horssujet Korea EconomicInstitute,December2003. Jean-Marie Paugam,PolicyPaper1,Paris, Jean-Marie Paugam,PolicyPaper2,Paris, FDIandtheEconomicStatusofKorea: « financial sector–thefirststepstowards Le dialogueéconomiquetransatlantique Frédérique Sachwald,Washington, DC, de lamondialisation Françoise Nicolas,in .Hochraichand Ch.Milelli(eds.), D. “The restructuringofSouthKorea’s (texts availableontheIfriwebsite) h u taeyi esetv » The HubStrategyinPerspective a new form ofcapitalism” a newform Ifri, 2003annual report Paris, Karthala,2003. Ifri, December2003. Ifri, October2003. pour lerestaurer , J.M.Bouissou, pè acie: Après lacrise ❘ 37

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Eddy Fougier “Which exchange rate policy to help boost FDI-led “Mondialisation: l’ère des refus”, Politique étrangère, growth in ASEAN?”, in Economic Integration and n° 3-4/2003, fall-winter 2003. Multinational Investment Behaviour, Pierre-Bruno Ruffini (ed.), Edward Elgar Publishing, Series on “Antimondialisation. Essor et politisation”, RAMSES New Horizons in International Business (forth- 2004, Ifri/Dunod, Paris, 2003. coming). “La mondialisation en débat: l’après-11 septembre”, Le Débat, May-August 2003. Jean-Marie Paugam “Le mouvement alter-mondialiste”, Problèmes poli- “Pour une relance du cycle du développement : tiques et sociaux, n° 896, February 2004 (file in refonder le consensus multilatéral après Cancun”, preparation). Policy Paper 1, Paris, Ifri, October 2003 (available Michel Ah-Fa, Frédérique Sachwald, Wang Shaoqi, Fan Bo Tao, “L’entreprise à l’épreuve de la contestation”, Sociétal, on the Ifri website). st Thierry Clerc n° 43, 1 quarter of 2004. “Le dialogue économique transatlantique est-il hors sujet ? Mettre à jour le partenariat pour le restaurer”, Thierry de Montbrial Policy Paper 2, Paris, Ifri, December 2003 (available “Point de vue sur la gouvernance financière mondiale on the Ifri website). des années 1990”, Journal of the Association d’Économie Financière, n° 70, June 2003. Frédérique Sachwald “Du bon usage de la mondialisation”, Politique Françoise Nicolas étrangère, n° 2/2003, summer 2003. “East Asia, Production Base or Market Place? The “Governance Issues in the Digital Economy” (ed.), State of Play”, Communications & Strategies, n° 52, th Tokyo Club Papers 15, Ifri/Tokyo Club Foundation 4 quarter of 2003. for Global Studies, 2003. “La restructuration du secteur financier en Corée du “Multinationales et développement : le rôle des poli- Sud – Premiers pas vers une nouvelle forme de capi- tiques nationales” (with Serge Perrin), Paris, AFD/Ifri, talisme ”, in Après la crise : les économies asiatiques 2003. face aux nouveaux défis de la mondialisation, Jean- Marie Bouissou, Diana Hochraich and Christian Milelli “FDI and the Economic Status of Korea: The Hub (eds.), Paris, Karthala, 2003. Strategy in Perspective”, Washington, DC, Korea Economic Institute, December 2003. “Mondialisation et intégration régionale, des dyna- miques complémentaires”, in Comprendre l’économie “Cooperative R&D: who and with whom” (with Luis

n° 46 – 2. Problèmes et débats contemporains, Les Cahiers Miotti), Research Policy, 2003. français, n° 317, November-December 2003. “Les migrations de la recherche”, Sociétal, 4th quarter “Théorie de la croissance: les leçons pour les pays of 2003. les notes de l’ifri en développement – Revue sélective de la littérature Réactions et réponses à la mondialisation théorique et empirique” (with Nathalie Avallone), Reactions and Responses to Globalization

1. Working paper CDC-IXIS, Paris, 2003. La Contestation EXTERNAL EVENTS de la mondialisation : “FDI as a Factor of Economic Restructuring: The une nouvelle exception française ? Eddy Fougier Case of South Korea”, in International Trade, Capital was awarded the Flows and Economic Development in East Asia: The Pierre Lepetit “Young Researchers” Challenge in the 21st Century, Anthony Bende- Eddy FOUGIER Philippe Habert Prize Presentation on “Coal, gas, oil: strengths and weak- Nabende (ed.), London, Ashgate, 2003. th – – nesses, until when?”, during the 4 meeting of the Le Figaro for “Économies en développement : le mythe de la Débat national sur les énergies, chaired by Nicole the year 2002. souveraineté confisquée”, in RAMSES 2004, Ifri/ Fontaine, delegated minister of Industry, Bordeaux, Dunod, Paris, 2003. April 24.

38 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Presentation on Paris agricultural policies Presentation attheconferenceon (AFTP), Association ofOilTechnicians andProfessionals Challenges andPartnerships during theannualoilday, and HarvardUniversity, Agenda System: theUS,EUandDohaDevelopment tional conferenceon nance, servicesandmarketaccess Speech on Thierry deMontbrial secretary general, of theWTOConsultativeBoardsetupby Participation asboardmemberinthefirstmeeting InvestmentStrategies New International Jean-Pierre Delevoye,ministerofthePublicService, minister oftheEconomy,FinancesandIndustry, Investment Agency(AFII),withFrancisMer, French at theconventionofFrenchInternational Presentation on Architecture Report on Fran ESCP-EAP/Paris, Hanoi investmentflows direct The neweconomicconfigurationinAsiaandforeign , October2. ç oise Nicolas h EIE Uiest fPrsII)andthe , theCEDIMES(UniversityofParis Weatherhead Affairs CenterforInternational , Paris “ ” “ Key issuesontheDohaagenda:gover- attheFrance-Vietnam conferenceon East Asia , October8-9. “ Major Trends intheWorld Economy Hanoi “ Geneva Geostrategic balancefor2010 , organized by The Future oftheWorldThe Future Trade , co-organized bytheCVFG, , February13-14. ’ s FastChangingFinancial Talloires , December8. Oil andGas2010: , organized bythe , June13-15. Food balanceand ” , attheinterna- h Economist The , Paris , July3. ” ” , Participation inthe4 ofCapitalism New Form Korea CNRS-MSH. Reporton Participation inthefirstmeetingofAsiaNetwork, September 16-17. devolution sions ofregional Report on February 27-28. andinstitutions Development, growth tthe4 at Developing Countries Report on Russia intheNewWorld Order at theMgimo/Ifri/SWPmeetingon Report on June 15. Pierre Mend and Asianreferences Report on Asia anddevelopmentmodelsforTICin Market trends ical Milestones Presentation on Mai Initiative Economic Integration University(Incheon).Reporton Inha co-organized bytheUniversityofLeHavreand Regional CooperationandEconomicIntegration Asia: IsEurope talism? Sector: theFirstStepsTowards ofCapi- aNewForm 5 th study dayoftheCentreasieifri, , IDATE Foundation, ’ s FinancialSector ” atthecolloquiumon th “ “ “ “ university workshopoftheGRECOS Economic Governance ofGlobalization Economic Governance Monetary andTrade IntegrationinEast è The RestructuringofKorea Growth Profiles: A Typology Studyof Growth Profiles:ATypology ” s FranceUniversity(UPMF), , Incheon ” “ at the international seminaron attheinternational ’ East Asia:EconomicandGeopolit- s ExperienceRelevant? th , Centreasieifri/EPIID/LEPII, – ” “ (Korea), October7-9. international conferenceon international GoingBeyondtheChang ” (withNathalieAvallone) The RestructuringofSouth – , Montpellier theFirstStepsTowards a Paris The Aftermath ofCrisis: The Aftermath – Theoretical debates Theoretical , September24-25. , Mgimo, The newdimen- , November19. , Europe and Europe “ ’ Perpignan s Financial East Asian Grenoble ” Moscow , atthe ” , , , , Globalization the AsianEconomiesinFaceofChallenges Copenhagen tional BusinessAssociation,AnnualConference, The CaseofFrenchfirms Report on Developing Asia Development Bankon OECD DevelopmentCenterandtheAsian the of Invited speakeratthejointmeetingofexperts Presentation on Development, ofTrade,Governance EnvironmentandSustainable Participation intheConferenceonGlobal IOM, organized bytheOCDE,World Bankandthe Participation intheseminaron Jean-Marie Paugam gnafrAto,Geneva, Agenda forAction, meeting, Participation intheEvianGroup University ofOslo, Technology, InnovationandCultureCentre(TIK), FDI-Assisted EconomicDevelopment Invited speakerattheconferenceon Development Institute, Korea anException? Fr Berlin Concerted ActiononTrade andEnvironment(CAT&E), é d é Geneva , October30-31. rique Sachwald The Post-Canc “ , December11-13. Globalization ofinnovationnetworks: , November12-14. CERI, , , OECD, “ Moving forward from Canc from Moving forward FDI and International Learning: Is Learning: FDI andInternational Oslo ” uigasmnra h Korea , duringaseminaratthe Paris Seoul ú Foreign Direct Investmentin Direct Foreign , May22-25. n Crisis Paris , November20-21. Ifri, 2003annual report , April16. November 7-9 ” , November26-27. , EuropeanInterna- Trade andMigration – TheEvianGroup , TheCentrefor – Understanding VIIIPlenary . ú ❘ 39 n , ,

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector

advisors. handledby are Corporate relations businesses,butratherallbusinessesthatseektodevelop their businessinterna orEuropean French Ifri isnotjusttargeting Wi fullyinitsprojects. Ifri planstoexpanditscollaborationwithmember companiesbyinvitingthemtoparticipatemore adaptedto their by businesses,Ifrisetsupmeetingsandprojects Center ontheUnitedStates,CFE).Wheneverrequested French a bytheCentre thathaveimplicationsforthe privatesector(organized programs Business leadersalsoparticipateinresearch accession countries. continuedtopursuethatgoalbyfacilitatingexchangesbetweenthebusinessandeconomicsecto security integrationinEurope, economic, socia The Franco-AustrianCenter(CFA), whichworksinclosecollaborationwiththecorporatesectoronstrenghtening thepointofviewitsinstitutional,economicandpolitical discussedfrom wasalsobroadly ontheeveofenlargement Europe duringacycleofmeetings. addressed issueswere debatesontheIraqwarandpost-warIraq.Oil-related 2003 alsosawnumerous Tony Blair. SimonofHighbury,aclose generaloftheWTO;andLord ofSpain;SupachaiPanitchpakdi,director Affairs minister ofForeign This year, IfrihostedVaclas andIndustryofIndia;An oftheCzechRepublic;ArunJaitley,ministerTrade Klaus,president networkavailabletoitsmembers. its extensiveinternational links,Ifri community.Thankstoitsinternational research counterpartsandpolicy-makers,withtheinternational foreign contactwith theirpeers,withpublicsectorrepresen businessleadersmultipleopportunitiesforinformal exchange: theyoffer scene.Thesemeetingsfulfilladoublefunctionofinfo policy-makersandanalystsontheinternational andforeign with French dinn get-togethers, workinglunches,andoff-the-record informal meetings,inavarietyofformats: isbasedaround The program is togivebusinessescontextualclarityguidetheirstrategicchoices. thatfocusesparticularlyontheissuesmattertothem.Thegoal businessesaspecialprogram community. Ifrialsooffers tothebusines designedtobeofinterest atIfriare allofthedebatesorganized With theirdynamicandoperationalapproach, Ifri andthecorporatesector Dominique Letourneur , assistedby Jean-Louis Andreu , Aymar deLastours and Augustin Renaud Ifri, 2003annual report tionally. of thatprogram th thisinmind, s andfinancial is abletomake sie ifriandthe needs. er discussions rmation and rmation dimensions. tatives, with , corporate a Palacio, rs inthe dvisor to l and ❘ 41

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Meetings November 13 An end in sight to recession? The German economy Europe under the Schröder government René Lasserre, professor, director of the CIRAC, pres- February 19 ident of the University of Cergy-Pontoise, Isabelle Organizing France’s European and International Policy Bougeois, research fellow at the CIRAC. Admiral Jacques Lanxade, former French ambas- sador in Tunis, Nicolas Tenzer, policy officer at the December 19 Commissariat général du Plan. The Constitution: a step forward for Europe? February 24 Pascale Andréani, European affairs advisor to the Croatia and Europe Prime minister, former assistant representative of the Stipe Mesic, president of the Republic of Croatia. French government at the Convention, Pervenche Bérès, member of the European Parliament, presi- March 27 dent of the French socialist delegation at the Goran Svilanovic, minister of Foreign Affairs of Serbia European Parliament, former representative of the and Montenegro. European Parliament at the Convention, Jean-Louis April 30 Quermonne, Universities professor emeritus, author Where is the Convention going? of L’Europe en quête de légitimité, Presses de Dominique Letourneur, Augustin Renaud, Martine Breux, Sciences Po, 2001. Marie-Josèphe Turpault, Aymar de Lastours, Jean-Louis Andreu Robert Badinter, senator for the Hauts-de-Seine department, Pierre Lequiller, member of Parliament for the Yvelines department. Asia May 21 Islam, migration and European identity: a Franco- April 28 German perspective Asian Development Outlook 2003 Valérie Amiraux, research fellow, CNRS/CURAPP, John Lintjer, vice-president of the Asian Development Bassam Tibi, professor of international relations and Bank, Douglas Brooks, economist, BAD, Françoise specialist in Islam, University of Göttingen. Nicolas, economist, Ifri, Véronique Seltz, economist, CDC-IXIS, François Godement, director, Centre asie June 16 ifri. Germany and NATO after the Iraq crisis Klaus Naumann, former president of the NATO mili- April 29 tary committee. Corporate restructuring and governance in Korea. Prospects for foreign businesses September 30 From the Convention to the IGC: what kind of Edward Graham, Insitute for International Economics, constitution for Europe? Washington, Françoise Nicolas, researcher, Ifri, Philippe Moreau Defarges, researcher, Ifri, Etienne Randall Jones, Japan/Korea bureau chief, OECD, de Poncins, advisor at the ministry of Foreign Affairs, Bertrand Pointeau, director, Bain & Company, member of the European Convention Secretariat, Frédérique Sachwald, economic research director, Maxime Lefebvre, researcher, Ifri. Ifri. October 14 November 21 Is Germany marginalized? Foreign policy under The nuclear question in North Korea: How can peace Gerhard Schröder be achieved in North East Asia? Hanns W. Maull, professor of political science, Yoon Young-kwan, minister of Foreign Affairs and University of Trier, Jean-Paul Picaper, former Figaro Trade of the Republic of Korea, former director of Yoon Young-kwan and Thierry de Montbrial correspondent in Germany. the Korean Institute for Future Strategies.

42 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report in-chief, François Bakou The crisisinCôted’Ivoire 26 March Africa and StrategicStudies,Singapore. Amitav Acharya stability: thesecurityofaregion Southeast Asiabetweenterrorismandpolitical(in) December 18 Thierry deMontbrial Iraq: theWar andaftertheWar 27 March CrisisGroup. the International Loulouwa AlRachid Iraq: domesticissues 26 March Middle East Heirich François Bujondel’Estang Transatlantic relations testedbytheWar inIraq May 14 Transatlantic Relations Peter Harling Iraq: Alookatthechaoticpost-warsituation December 3 Cairo. dation, TheMiddleEastandNorthAfricaOffice, Bassma Kodmani world? Can democracybeimposedfromoutsideintheArab November 25 Parmentier with Iraq: thefirstLessonsofWar April 25 Héni, Durand, DominiqueMoïsi, Dominique Moïsi Thierry deMontbrial senior lectureratIEP, Paris. , presidentofthesurveillanceboard,GEOS. Afrique, Nord-Sud , Ifri. , independentresearcher, journalist. , assistantdirector, InstituteofDefence , OctideSA, , seniorprogramofficer, FordFoun- , , Iraqresearcherandanalystat , Pierre Noël Pierre Dominique David , Frenchambassador. , Nicole Chevillard ( Khadija Mohsen-Finan Le Monde Ifri , and and Fatiha Dazi- Group), , Guillaume Etienne de , editor- Jean , Lepetit Committee oftheMedefand theUnice, Agency, Olivier Cattaneo point? The failureofCancun:aturning October 15 department director, IMF. Kenneth Rogoff Are therelimitstofinancialglobalization? June 17 studies director, Ifri. France inWashington, Mistral London, Charles Grant Transatlantic rift:howtobringthetwosidestogether? September 24 researcher, Ifri. Jean-Philippe Cotis tions oftheShadowG8 willspurgrowth?Therecommenda- What reforms May 22 (1999-2002). Henri Ravier tional InstituteforManagementDevelopment, politicaleconomy,Interna- professor ofinternational Demographic Studies(INED), Trends andRenewalUnit,NationalInstituteof Paris, H.E. HassanAbouyoub for theFutureofEurope Global tradeinthetwenty-firstcentury–scenarios April 25 EconomyandTradeInternational Rights, UnitedNationsOrganization, Geneva. VieiraSergio deMello Past andPrioritiesfortheFuture The HumanRightsCommission:Lessonsfromthe February 6 Human Rights Foreign Affairs. , executivedirector, Ifri, Jean-Claude Chesnais , ministerfinancialcounsellor, Embassyof Gilles Andréani Jacques Desponts , assistantdirectorgeneraloftheWTO , director, CentreforEuropeanReform, , policyofficer, FrenchDevelopment , economicadvisorandresearch , chiefeconomist,OECD, , highcommissionerforHuman Frédérique Sachwald , ambassadorofMoroccoin , director, CAP, ministryof , presidentoftheWTO , director, Population Jean-Pierre Lehman Jean-Pierre Jean-Marie Paugam , economic Jacques Pierre Paul- , , Charles Grant,DominiqueMoïsiandGillesAndréani Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 43

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Energy March 27 The war underway and its consequences « Energie 2003 » cycle with Thierry de Montbrial and Etienne de Durand under the supervision and chairmanship invited by Jean-Claude Gruffat, CEO of Citigroup. of Philippe Colombani June 12 February 21 The globalization strategy of PSA group Iraq’s oil after Saddam Hussein: issues and scenarios with Jean-Martin Folz, chairman of PSA Peugeot Vera de Ladoucette, director Middle East Research, Citroën, in collaboration with the Harvard Business Cambridge Energy Research Associate, Paris, School Club de France. Valérie Marcel, senior Research Fellow, Royal June 23 Institute of International Affairs, London, Pierre with Conrad Black, chairman and CEO of Argus Noël, researcher, French Center on the United Corporation Ltd, Hollinger Inc, Canada, Hollinger States, Ifri. Inc, USA and chairman of Telegraph Group Ltd, March 18 London Europe’s energy markets invited by Anne-Claire Taittinger, chairman of the board of Groupe Taittinger and CEO of the Société Pierre de Gaulle, vice-president France and du Louvre. Belgium, RWTE Trading UK Ltd, Christiann Vroljik, Vaclav Klaus, president of the Czech Republic analyst, Natsource Tullet Europe. December 19 April 15 End of economic crisis and start of political crisis in Energy market regulation Germany? Raphaël Hadas-Lebel, commissioner, Energy Regu- with René Lasserre, director of the CIRAC and pres- lation Commission. ident of the University of Cergy-Pontoise, and Hans Stark, general secretary of the Cerfa June 6 invited by Benjamin Cohen, deputy chairman of the The opening of the Electricity Markets: the Role board of Accor. of network administrators André Merlin, director of the Electricity Transport Network administrator. Dinner Debates February 4 with Lord Simon of Highbury, adviser to Tony Blair. Lunch Debates February 19 with Pascal Couchepin, president of the Swiss January 22 Confederation. China: the consequences of a trend with François Godement, director of the Centre asie March 13 Ana Palacio, Spanish minister of Foreign Affairs ifri with Günter Verheugen, member of the European invited by Grégoire Olivier, chairman of the board Commission, in charge of enlargement. of directors of Sagem. April 28 January 29 with Supachai Panitchpakdi, director general of the Energy and sustainable development WTO. July 15 with Vaclav Klaus, president of the Czech Republic. with Thierry Desmarest, chairman and managing June 17 director of Total, in collaboration with the Harvard with Kenneth Rogoff, economic advisor and research September 4 Business School Club de France. director at the IMF. with Ana Palacio, Spanish minister of Foreign Affairs.

44 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report with December 18 with November 20 and Justice. with November 3 with RegionBuilding”colloquium. Ifri AsiaCenter’s“EastandEurope:Experimenting at theKeioUniversityofTokyo, inthecontextof professor affairs, minister ofFinanceforinternational with October 1 Arun Jaitley Ghassan Salame Ion Iliescu Eisuke Sakakibara , presidentofRomania. , IndianministerofTrade, Industry , UNspecialadvisoronIraq. , former Japanesedeputy former and Jean-JacquesTamburini, CIC Dominique Letourneur, IonIliescu,presidentofRomania, Michel François-Poncet,BNPParibas, Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 45

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Ifri’s corporate members

(as at 31 December 2003)

ABN-AMRO FRANCE CENTRE NATIONAL D’ÉTUDES ENTREPRISE MINIÈRE ET CHIMIQUE MAZARS ACCOR SPATIALES ERAMET MEDEF AGENCE FRANÇAISE CHAMBRE DE COMMERCE FÉDÉRATION DES INDUSTRIES MERRILL LYNCH FRANCE DE DÉVELOPPEMENT ET D’INDUSTRIE DE PARIS DE LA PARFUMERIE MONDIAL ASSISTANCE AIR FRANCE CHARBONNAGES DE FRANCE FÉDÉRATION FRANÇAISE MONITOR COMPANY AIR LIQUIDE CILAS DES SOCIÉTÉS D’ASSURANCES MORGAN STANLEY ALCATEL CITIGROUP FÉDÉRATION NATIONALE NATEXIS BANQUES POPULAIRES ALTADIS CLEARY, GOTTLIEB, STEEN DES TRAVAUX PUBLICS PSA PEUGEOT CITROËN AMERICAN EXPRESS & HAMILTON FIEEC RATP ANVAR CNP ASSURANCES FIMALAC RENAULT ARCELOR COFACE FONCIÈRE THERMALE RHODIA ARCHIBALD INTERNATIONAL COFIP FONDATION HIPPOCRENE ROLAND BERGER ET PARTNERS AREVA COLAS FRANCE TELECOM ROTHSCHILD & CIE BANQUE ARIANESPACE COMMISSARIAT GAZ DE FRANCE RTE AXA À L’ÉNERGIE ATOMIQUE GIMELEC SAGEM BANQUE DE FRANCE CRÉDIT AGRICOLE S.A. GLOBAL EQUITIES SANOFI-SYNTHELABO BANQUE FÉDÉRALE CRÉDIT AGRICOLE INDOSUEZ GROUPEMENT SIEMENS FRANCE DES BANQUES POPULAIRES CRÉDIT FONCIER DE FRANCE DES CARTES BANCAIRES SOCIÉTÉ DU LOUVRE BANQUE PATRIMOINE CRÉDIT INDUSTRIEL ET COMMERCIAL HSBC SOCIÉTÉ GÉNÉRALE ET IMMOBILIER CRÉDIT LYONNAIS IBM FRANCE SODEXHO ALLIANCE BARCLAYS BANK CRÉDIT MUTUEL INSTITUT FRANÇAIS DU PÉTROLE SOFIL’LIONE BAYARD PRESSE CRÉDIT SUISSE GROUP JEANTET & ASSOCIÉS SOFINNOVA PARTNERS BC PARTNERS DAIMLER CHRYSLER JP MORGAN CHASE BANK SOFRESA BESV KSB STARSEM BNP PARIBAS DEUTSCHE BANK L-A FINANCES SUEZ BOUYGUES DEXIA - CRÉDIT LOCAL DE FRANCE LA MONDIALE THALES BRGM DIRECTION GÉNÉRALE LA POSTE TOTAL BURELLE S.A. DE L’AVIATION CIVILE LABORATOIRES SERVIER UNION DES INDUSTRIES CABINET GIDE LOYRETTE NOUEL DRESDNER KLEINWORT LAFARGE MÉTALLURGIQUES ET MINIÈRES CAISSE DES DÉPÔTS WASSERSTEIN FRANCE LAZARD FRÈRES UNISTRAT ASSURANCES ET CONSIGNATIONS EADS LES ÉCHOS CAIXABANK EIFFAGE L’ORÉAL VIEL & CIE CARREFOUR ÉLECTRICITÉ DE FRANCE LVMH VIVENDI UNIVERSAL CCF ENTENIAL MARSH INVESTISSEMENT

46 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Stanley Hoffmann policy “Gulliver ontheRampage”.George W. Bush’sforeign June 19 Hassner Pierre Washington andtheworld:asuperpower’sdilemma April 24 New York. David Malone The UnitedStates,theNationsandIraq 12 March and Transatlantic Relations The UnitedStates George Washington University. David Shambaugh opments, obstaclesandoutlook forces:devel- ofChina’sarmed The modernization February 18 François Godement coherent strategy? North Korea:anirrationalstepforwardaspartofa February 5 Asia tripstoFrance. dignitariesonofficial many foreign As anindependentforumofdebate,Ifriisnowatthetoplistvenuesvisitedby thebusinesscommunity,andmedia. parliamentarydeputies,seniorofficials, representatives, partners:government atIfrimembersandtheorganization’s targeted are The conferences andanalysis. civilsocietywithfirst-handinformation issuesandtoprovide international thedebateon andstructure istoinform program The aimofthemonthlyconferences conferences anddebates , president, International PeaceAcademy, , president,International , emeritusdirectorofresearch, CERI. , professoratHarvardUniversity. , directoroftheCentreasieifri. , professorofpoliticalscience, Dominique Moïsi avoid divorce? The AmericanWest andtheEuropean West: howto November 12 André Glucksmann The West versustheWest October 15 Affairs. Hubert Védrine In thefaceofhyper-power: whatcanbedone? October 8 On theoccasionofpublication Defarges Philippe Moreau director ofstudies,EHESS, at BilgiUniversity,Istanbul. Soli Özel Copenhagen summit Turkey andtheEuropeanUnion in thewakeof January 22 Europe Thérèse Delpech rupture? September 11,2001andthewarinIraq:anhistoric September 17 , advisortothepresidentofTUSIAD, lecturer , seniorlecturer, CERI, , former FrenchministerofForeign , former , Ifri. , philosopherandwriter. , Ifri Thierry deMontbrial Marcel Gauchet Marcel RAMSES 2004 and . , Commission. Guy Legras What futurefortheCFSP? May 22 coordinator attheConvention. Elmar Brok The Convention:whatkindofprojectforEurope? April 22 Günter Verheugen ment: challengesandprospects The EuropeanUnionontheeveofanhistoricenlarge- 13 March the UniversityofOxfordandatKebleCollege. Larry Siedentop The democraticlegitimacyofEurope February 27 friendshipgroupattheNationalAssembly. Germany Jean-Louis Bianco groupattheBundestag,and France-Germany Schockenhoff Andreas for Europe? Dynamic:asustainablerecovery The Franco-German February 25 of Italy. Pera Marcello Italy andthetestofSecondRepublic February 3 , external relationsdirector,, external European , Europeandeputy,PPEmemberand , presidentoftheSenateRepublic , professorofpoliticalphilosophyat , Europeanenlargement commissioner. , deputy,memberoftheFrance- , deputy,presidentofthe Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 47

financial annex the team and the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debatesthe corporate sector June 23 June 3 July 2 The European Union after enlargement Egypt after the war Islam and extremism in Central Asia Edouard Kukan, Slovakian minister of Foreign Affairs. Xavier de Villepin, delegated vice-president of the David Lewis, Central Asia project director, Interna- centrist union group at the Senate. tional Crisis Group. September 4 The European Union and its neighbors: the Euro- June 4 Mediterranean partnership and Middle East rela- The experience of Kurdish self-government and the Russia tions Kurds in the Iraq of tomorrow Ana Palacio, Spanish minister of Foreign Affairs. Kendal Nezam, president if the Kurdish Institute in April 11 Paris. December 1 Chechnya after the March 23 referendum The marginalization of foreigners. The logic behind June 10 Alvaro Gil Gobles, human rights commissioner at the the Schengen visa The Iran of the new generations Council of Europe. Didier Bigo, senior lecturer, IEP, Paris. Farhad Khosrokhavar, director of studies, EHESS. December 3 June 17 International Trade – Globalization Roma minorities Israelis and Palestinians: a shared war? Prince Radu of Hohenzollern-Veringen, special repre- Alain Dieckhoff, director of research at the CERI, April 28 sentative of the Romanian government for integra- and Rémy Leveau, professor emeritus at the IEP, The WTO and regulations tion, cooperation and sustainable development. Paris, and scientific advisor at Ifri. Patrick Messerlin, professor of economics, IEP of Paris. September 11 September 2 Political authoritarianism: reflections based on Tunisia Cancun: a technical phase or a political test for the Middle East – North Africa Michel Camau, professor at the IEP, Aix-en-Provence, development cycle? Vincent Geisser, research fellow at the CNRS, Aix- Paul-Henri Ravier, former assistant director general January 30 en-Provence, and Sadri Khiari, political scientist, of the WTO, Jacques Desponts, president of the WTO Coalitions in conflicts: the lessons of the past (the University of Paris-VIII. Committee of the Medef and the Unice, Annick Jeantet, Advocacy Officer, Oxfam International, and Gulf, Kosovo, Afghanistan…) and the implications November 25 for Iraq Hervé Jouanjean, WTO and OECD director at the Can democracy be imposed from outside in the Arab European Commission Trade Directorate General. Andrew Pierre, associate professor, School of Foreign world? Service, and research fellow at the Institute for the Bassma Kodmani, senior program officer, Ford October 14 Study of Diplomacy, Georgetown University. Foundation, The Middle East and North Africa Office, Globalization: the democratic challenge March 26 Cairo. Samy Cohen, director of research, CERI, and Jan Iraq: domestic issues Aart Scholte, director of the Globalization and December 10 Regionalization Centre, University of Warwick. Loulouwa Al Rachid, Iraq researcher and analyst at Lessons to be learnt from Afghanistan for ending the International Crisis Group. the crisis in Iraq? March 27 Alain Boinet, director of Solidarités, and Olivier Roy, Global Issues Iraq: the war and the post-war period research director at the CNRS. Thierry de Montbrial, Dominique David, Etienne de October 21 Durand, Dominique Moïsi, Ifri, and Fatiha Dazi- The role of civilizations in the international system Héni, senior lecturer at the IEP, Paris. Islam Yadh Ben Achour, professor of international law, Tunis Social and Political Science Faculty, member April 25 of the International Law Institute. Iraq: the first lessons of war May 15 with Thierry de Montbrial, Khadija Mohsen-Finan, The representation of French Islam October 28 Dominique Moïsi, Pierre Noël and Guillaume Franck Frégosi, researcher at the CNRS, and Xavier 15 years that rocked the world Parmentier, Ifri. Ternisien, journalist at Le Monde. Thierry de Montbrial, director general of Ifri.

48 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report The “Globalization” Cycle “International Relations Theory directed by Thierry de Montbrial and Reality” Cycle as part of the CNAM – 2002/2003 directed by Thierry de Montbrial

(the conferences took place at Ifri) as part of the CNAM – 2003/2004 research (the conferences took place at Ifri) January 13 Globalization and trends in inequality November 20 Frédérique Sachwald, economic studies director, Power and the international system: the thirty Ifri. year outlook Etienne de Durand, Ifri researcher.

February 24 Ifri and The environmental impact of globalization. A case December 18

study on energy resources The end of the Rhine model? Reform issues in the corporate sector Pierre Noël, researcher at the CFE, Ifri. Germany Hans Stark, Ifri researcher. April 28 The WTO and regulations Patrick Messerlin, professor of economics at IEP conferences conferences of Paris, director of the World Economy Group at and debates Sciences Po. March 10 The IMF and the challenges of financial global- ization Françoise Nicolas, Ifri researcher. publications May 19 The social responsibility of corporations Ethan Kapstein, Harold Stassen Professor of Inter- national Peace, University of Minnesota, invited researcher at Ifri. June 16 The European Union and globalization the library and Philippe Moreau Defarges, Ifri researcher. the document center the team and the board of directors the board financial annex

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 49

Marielle Roubach lookedafter by Ifri’spublishingactivitiesare programs. research long-term updatesonmediumand Ifri alsodisseminatesitsworksviaotherchannels,whichprovides ofthepastyearandtheirimplications. events andtrends thematicanalysisof debates,whilethesecondsectionprovides andemerging trends broad onesection addresses approach: issuesusingacomplementary,two-pronged international eoz,See .Ceos lnBt hlp 6p Debouzy, StevenC.Clemons,AlanButtPhilip,96 lobbying àParis,Washington etBruxelles, 54 N° p.,February (eds.), 56 Perspectives (1), 53 N° 3 N° p.,April 295 Françoise NicolasandCharitTingsabadh(eds.), 2 N° RAMSES Ifri publishesthequarterlyreview publications able at Marie CardebatandEricMaurin, bilingualtextavail- Globalization, Innovationand Employment, 49 N° à lamondialisation” Series “Réactionsetréponses April, availableat e.,10p.,September (ed.), 170 Les Notesdel’Ifri Les Cahiersd’Asie – – – – – China’s NewPolitics, Unemployment inEastAsiaandEurope, Mondialisation, innovation etemploi, Entreprises et politique étrangère. Le etpolitiqueétrangère. Entreprises La France,l’Allemagneetl’Europe. (World AnnualReportontheEconomySystemandStrategies). Thierry deMontbrialandKarlKaiser and Delphine Renard François Godement Politique étrangère Olivier Jean- . . , °51 N° rôle delafinance, 50 N° étrangère enIran:delarévolution àl’“axedumal”, “L’adversaire irakien”, Autour delacriseirakienne Posen fondement del’hégémoniedesÉtats-Unis”, l’Occident”, Creveld “La puissancemilitaireenquestion”, Les États-Unis,lapuissanceetguerre 1/2003–January-March n° • de Wenden andKhadijaMohsen-Finan (eds.),February De lacitoyennetélocale, version availableat p.,April,English Jean BenghoziandThomasParis,90 de laFrance, Politique étrangère de l’Ifri Travaux etrecherches – – ; “Laguerreasymétriqueetl’avenirde Mondialisation et diversité culturelle: lecas Mondialisation etdiversitéculturelle: Les MutationsducapitalismeenFrance:le and theannualcollectivesurvey Steven Metz Maryvonne deSaintPulgent,Pierre- Dominique Plihon,71p.,January Rémy Leveau,CatherineWihtol David Baran ; “Lamaîtrisedesespaces, Christophe Jaquet, RAMSES ; “Lapolitique Martin van looks at Barry R. “Pour unenouvellelégitimitéduG-8”, globale et gouvernance Mondialisation, politiquesnationales 2/2003–April-June n° • Daniel Vernet “Mitterrand, l’Europeetlaréunificationallemande”, propos Libre déclin?”, Sud auxNationsunies:unanachronismesurle sation”, Dedieu diplomatie scientifiquedesEtats-Unis”, Maxime AitKaki “Le Maghrebfaceauxrevendicationsberbères”, Repères etforteresseassiégée”, régionale Khosrokhavar Farhad Sgard etlesfaillitesd’État”, financière internationale de négociations”, Sachwald “Du bonusagedelamondialisation”, ; “L’ASEANentreélargissement etmarginali- Eric Teo ChuCheow Eric Teo David M.Malone ; “DeDohaàCancun:lesenjeux ducycle ; “Lesélitesafricaines,enjeudela Paul-Henri Ravier L uqi:puissance Turquie: “La ; Ifri, 2003annual report ; “L’affrontement Nord- ; “L’affrontement Hamit Bozarslan ; “L’architecture Jean-Philippe Shadow G-8 Frédérique Jérôme ❘ 51 ;

financial annex the team and the library and publicationsconferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Afrique: conflits et développement Sécurité, terrorismes constituant pour l’Europe ?”, Thierry Chopin; “Au-delà “L’évolution des conflits en Afrique subsaharienne”, “Violence islamiste et terrorisme international”, Alain des apparences ou les lents progrès de la PESD”, Tom Porteous; “Le conflit ivoirien: les enjeux Chouet; “Les réseaux terroristes islamistes : moins Jolyon Howorth; “L’Allemagne entre affirmation régionaux du maintien de la paix”, Hugo Sada; “Le puissants, plus violents”, François Legaré; “SRAS nationale et ancrage multilatéral”, Hans Stark; “Les NEPAD entre partenariat économique et gestion des et bioterrorisme : au risque de la mondialisation”, Européens existent-ils ?”, Claire Demesmay; “Vladimir conflits”, Philippe Hugon Antoine Andremont Poutine ou les avatars de la politique étrangère russe”, Thomas Gomart Repères L’avenir des Nations unies Religions et histoire “La Chine sur la voie des réformes: métamorphose “Maintien de la paix : les nouveaux défis”, Jean- “Le retour du religieux dans la politique interna- économique ou suicide politique”, Jonathan Story; Marie Guéhenno; “L’ONU après la crise irakienne”, tionale”, Henri Madelin; « 2003 dans l’Histoire : “tour- “L’humanitaire non gouvernemental face à la guerre”, Alexandra Novosseloff nant’’, “rupture’’ ou “continuité’’ ? », Pierre Béatrice Pouligny; “Biodiversité et mondialisation: Grosser; “Plus rien ne sera comme avant”, Philippe défi global, réponses locales”, Michel Trommetter Europe(s) Moreau Defarges and Jacques Weber “Un programme géopolitique pour l’Europe élargie”, Maxime Lefebvre; “La Convention : un moment Libre propos : l’Irak “La guerre d’Irak, la stratégie du faible face à la puis- sance américaine”, David Baran; “Irak : et si la RAMSES France s’était trompée ?”, Pascal Cuche RAMSES is edited by Thierry de Montbrial and Philippe Moreau Defarges.

• n° 3-4/2003 – July-December RAMSES 2004 2003, une année tournant? Perspectives, by Thierry de Montbrial “L’Amérique a redécouvert les limites de la puis- sance”, interview with Thierry de Montbrial Part 1: After Iraq: new threats, new States, new justice L’Amérique et l’Occident Vers une nouvelle course aux armements non conventionnels ?, by Thérèse Delpech; Le state building au secours de la sécurité internationale ? by Béatrice Pouligny and Raphaël Pouyé; La justice pénale interna- “Pour une nouvelle politique américaine de paix et tionale: États et justice, by Philippe Moreau Defarges de sécurité”, Zbigniew Brzezinski; “Réinventer l’Occident”, Dominique Moïsi; “Gulliver au banc des Part 2: Europe confronts its future: three challenges for the continent accusés”, John G. Mason Quel avenir pour l’Union européenne ?, by Maxime Lefebvre; L’empire de la règle : De l’Irak à l’Afghanistan: le nouvel arc de crise l’intégration européenne en mal de démocratie, by Jean-Paul Fitoussi and Éloi Laurent; L’Union européenne face aux migrations, by Catherine Wihtol de Wenden “Vers un nouvel ordre régional au Moyen-Orient ?”, Volker Perthes; “Les dilemmes des régimes arabes”, Philippe Droz-Vincent; “Espérances et incertitudes Part 3: Adapting to globalization: Asia, Latin America, the Middle East en Iran”, Mohammad-Reza Djalili; “Un triangle Économies en développement : le mythe de la souveraineté confisquée, by dangereux : Inde-Pakistan-Afghanistan”, Gilbert Françoise Nicolas; L’Amérique latine entre démocratie et populisme, by Guy Etienne Hermet; Turquie : des crises aux réformes, by Gilles Dorronsoro; Iran : l’impossible transition, by Olivier Roy L’économie en questions “Y a-t-il un risque de déflation mondiale?”, Patrick Survey Artus; “Pétrole : mythe et réalité de l’hégémonie des Edited by Eddy Fougier and Christophe Jaquet, this part examines events and trends États-Unis”, Michel Chatelus; “Mondialisation : l’ère from the past year in around fifty essays written by top specialists in their field. des refus”, Eddy Fougier

52 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report L’action etlesystèmedumonde, Books Thierry deMontbrial September-October 2003. L’Ordre mondial L’Ordre “Points-Essais”, Seuil,Paris,5 Relations internationales Books Defarges Philippe Moreau Other publications At I:lsÉasUi evn-l anr?”, :lesÉtats-Unispeuvent-ilsgagner “Acte II August 2003. ?”, mondial “Quel gendarme gère “Plus rienneseracommeavant”, internationales, “Les ONGàlarecherched’unmondejuste”, RAMSES 2004. Étatsetjustice”, “La justicepénaleinternationale. Articles universitaires deFrance,Paris,2003. La gouvernance coming). Quadrige 2003,PUF(Severaltranslationsforth- 3-4, 2003,fall-winter2003. , Armand Colin,Paris,3 , Armand issue 4,November-December 2003. u asj °3676,Presses ?n° , Quesais-je I – Le Débat, th Questions régionales, ed., 2003. Politique étran- °125,May- n° 2 rd rd ed., 2003. Questions Le Débat edition, , national Security DismalSciencesareBetterthanOne”, “Two December 2003. “The BabyTrade”, Articles with BrankoMilanovic,RussellSage,2003 Reform When MarketsFail:SocialPolicyandEconomic with BrankoMilanovic,UpjohnInstitute,2003. Economies Income andInfluence Books Ethan Kapstein la sciencecontemporaine d’Espagnat(ed.), B. “Événements ettempsquasi-leibnitzien” Article à Bagdad, lemonde.DeBerlin Quinze ansquibouleversèrent 2003. :lecasdelaFrance révolutions Réformes, Dunod, 2003. , Winter 2003. Implications philosophiquesde Foreign Affairs, Foreign : Social PolicyinEmerging , vol.3,PUF, 2003. November/ (ed.), PUF, Inter- in Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 53

financial annex the team and the library and publicationsconferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector

Dominique Desgranges oftheboardIfri,isrun by chairman a former Library,namedafter The GuyLadreitdeLacharrière The Library the documentcenter the libraryand Carnegie Foundation Carnegie collection ofworksonWorld War Ifromthe subscribes tosome250Frenchandforeignjournals. relations.Italso nalists specializingininternational members, students,teachers,researchersandjour- Library serveslarge numbersofreaders,Ifri relationsissues.Everyyear,on international the possesses nearly32,000Frenchandforeignvolumes The Library,whichiscontinuallyupdated,today World War II. Survey News Bulletin ofInternational Affairs’ era (theRoyalInstituteofInternational fromthat the twentiethcenturyandforeignjournals includes remarkablecollectionsonthefirsthalfof Marx the etedéue epltqeétrangère d’étudesdepolitique Centre and , Pacific Affairs Olivier Javay and interestingdocumentson , etc.).Italsoholdsalarge whoisassistedby , . Itinheritedthelibraryof , the Far Eastern Dina and at Ifri. a keyroleinthemajorresearchprojectsconducted projects. TheCenter’sdocumentationspecialistsplay and carryoutindividualresearch mentary formats invariousdocu- They alsodisseminateinformation with themainsourcesofspecializedinformation. inordertokeepabreast (mostly viatheInternet) sourcesintheresearchers’ subjectareas information Azra Isakovic manager) and Banan-Bailey The Center’sdocumentationspecialists– and inpressfiles. databases papers, etc.),whichitstoresoninternal print sources(dailyandweeklypress,unofficial electronic sources(websites,pressagencies)and from Center compilesandprocessesinformation ismainlyreservedforIfri’sresearchers.The affairs, tional, economic,politicalandstrategiccurrent The DocumentationCenter, whichcoversinterna- The DocumentationCenter , Dominique Desgranges and Daniel Marier Gerardo Ramos Gerardo , andtwoassistants, – alsomonitor (documentation Guity Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 55

financial annex the team and the librarypublications and conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector

Marie-France Feigenbaum Dominique Moïsi Jeanne Frey Natacha Crance deSaint-Hilaire Marie-Claude Françoise Thomas Thérèse Vigne Marie-Claire Bani Marie-Claire Amer Assistants Secretarial Dominique Letourneur Development Department Lepetit Pierre deMontbrial, Thierry Direction the team Cécile Campagne Nicole Bedel Marie-Josèphe Turpault Breux, Martine Jean-Louis deLastour,Andreu,Aymar to theexecutivevice-president president president des sciencesmoralesetpolitiques, member oftheAcadémie for corporatemembers Augustin Renaud fordevelopment vice-president , , Middle East/NorthAfrica , , CFE executive vice-president assistant tothepresident , , membership assistant , , special advisor Asia andCerfa Security , advisors , , Europe , assistant , special assistanttothe , assistants (as at31December2003) Researchers’ biographies are availableontheIfriwebsite. biographiesare Researchers’ François Vergniolle deChantal Vincent Vasques Hans Stark Serra Régine Dorothée Schmid Frédérique SachwaldFrédérique Pierre Rainelli Pierre Jean-Marie Paugam Guillaume Parmentier Noël Pierre Françoise Nicolas Laurence Nardon Eliane Mossé Dominique Moïsi Khadija Mohsen-Finan Thomas Gomart Philippe Moreau Defarges Luis Miotti Rémy Leveau Guy Legras Jean Klein Jolyon Howorth François Godement Maxime Lefebvre Aline Leboeuf Eddy Fougier Etienne deDurand Drulhe Christile Claire Demesmay Dominique David Bujondel’Estang Anne-Lorraine Corentin Brustlein Bozo Frédéric Sophie BoisseauduRocher Florence Biot Research Christophe Bertossi Christophe , , , , , senior research associate senior research ertr eea fteCerfa generalofthe secretary senior fellow scientific advisor , research fellow research , , , , , , research fellow research , senior research fellow senior research research fellow research scientific adviser project co-ordinator of the Centre asieifri oftheCentre co-ordinator project research fellow research senior research associate senior research senior research fellow senior research , , , , , , , , senior research associate senior research research fellow research , , research assistant research research associate research , , special advisor research fellow research research associate research , research fellow research , senior research fellow senior research research fellow research head ofsecuritystudies , , research assistant research senior fellow research fellow research , director of the Centre asieifri oftheCentre director research fellow research , , head ofeconomicstudies director of the French CenterontheUnitedStates(CFE) oftheFrench director head ofMiddle-EastandNorthAfricastudies Economicgrowth,competitiveness , , senior research fellow senior research , UnitedStates , research associate research Asia-Pacific area , , Agriculturalpolicies Reactionstoglobalization,civilsociety , , , Securityandstrategicissues , Arabmuslimworld research fellow research , Asia-Pacificarea , , International trade,WTO International , Transatlantic relations,Europeanissues , CFE project co-ordinator CFE project , Europeanissues , Germany, Franco-German relations,Europe Franco-German Germany, , , Middle-East, Mediterranean Middle-East, , Economy , Strategicandmilitaryissues , , Russia , Central and Eastern Europe CentralandEastern , , Citizenship, Immigration Citizenship, , , Spacepoliciesandindustries , Agriculturalpolicies , , Securityandstrategicissues Germany , NATO, Europeansecurity Emerging economiesanddevelopment , , Franco-German relations,Europeanissues Franco-German , , Europeansecurity Securityandstrategicissues , UnitedStates(domesticpolicy) , Asia-Pacific area , , disarmament Globalization,innovation, corporate strategy , Globalization,European issues , , Asia-Pacificarea Immigration, IslaminEurope , Transatlantic relations,NATO , Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 57

financial annex thethe library team andand publications conferences Ifri and research thethe boarddocument of directors center and debates the corporate sector Administrative Staff Changes in the staff in 2003 Interns

Florent Baran, vice-president for finance Leaving Ifri: Germany and administration Jacques Beltran, research fellow, security Max Buege, IEP, Paris Corinne Bureau, assistant vice-president Timon Perabo, IEP, Rennes – Humboldt Universität, for finance and administration May Chartouni-Dubarry, research fellow, Middle East, Arab world, Mediterranean Berlin Bernadette Chartrin, accoounting Philippe Colombani, research fellow, geopolitics Sophie Hofmann, IEP, Paris Françoise Henry, secretary of resources Gerrit Schlomach, IEP, Paris Daniel Marier, webmaster Anita Tiraspolsky, senior research associate, Central Esther Moeller, Maison de Rhénanie-Palatinat Daniel Safon, information system supervisor and Eastern Europe, CEI Janine Ziegler, University of Munchen General services: Joining Ifri United States Nathalie Rivet, head of facilities Christophe Bertossi, research fellow Jessica Kraintz, American University of Paris Selim Bouabsa,Alex Maleau, Mustapha Zitouni Florence Biot, project co-ordinator, Centre asie ifri Sandra Gonzalez, IEP, Paris Reception: Anne-Lorraine Bujon de l’Estang, Timothy Campbell, IEP, Paris Dayra Gastine, Catherine Meniane CFE project co-ordinator Angela Wallace, University Jean Moulin, Lyon 3 Aline Leboeuf, research fellow Guy Legras, scientific advisor France Publications Luis Miotti, senior fellow Florian Kessler, University of Paris V Christophe Jaquet, head of publications Jean-Marie Paugam, senior fellow Guillaume Launay, University of Marne-la-Vallée Marielle Roubach, editorial assistant Pierre Rainelli, senior research fellow Linda Oulmane, University of Paris II Assas Delphine Renard, editorial assistant Dorothée Schmid, research fellow Marguerite Collignan, University of Paris X Nanterre Vincent Vasques, research assistant Carine Chichkowsky, University of Paris II Assas Benoît Aguelon, University of Paris I Panthéon Library, Documentation Center Valentine de Crévoisier d’Hurbache, IEP, Paris Dominique Desgranges, head of the library Visiting Fellows Fanny Blanchi, IEP, Grenoble and documentation Amélie Jacquet, ISIT, Paris Guity Banan-Bailey, political issues Ethan Kapstein (United States), Rachid Zairi, University of Paris XIII Nord Dina Degras-Marx, library Stassen professor of International Peace at the University of Minnesota, Benoît Auguste, IEP, Paris Daniel Marier, political issues guest professor at INSEAD, senior visiting Hélène Wulfman, IEP, Paris st Olivier Javay, library fellow at Ifri since July 1 2000 Marianne Kac-Vergne, École normale supérieure, Gaëlle Laudrin, economic issues Benoît de Tréglodé, research associate Cachan

Russia Ksenia Tratchouk, MGIMO-Moscow/IEP, Paris

Sri Lanka Eleanor Pavey, IEP, Paris

58 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report François Bujondel’Estang • Badinter Robert • Members ofBNPParibas Vice-Chairman Michel François-Poncet andTreasurer Deputy Chairman district inParis Member ofParliamentandMayorthe15th René Galy-Dejean andSecretary Deputy Chairman ofLafarge Chairman Collomb Bertrand Chairman (as at31December2003) board ofdirectors Chairman of Citigroup France ofCitigroup Chairman Ambassador ofFrance, Minister,Former Senator PhilippeMarini • Marceau Long • Jacques deLarosière • PhilippeJurgensen • •Pierre AlainDupont • Joxe Dufourcq Bertrand • Michel Camdessus • Senator oftheConseild’État Honorary vice-President et politiques Member oftheAcadémiedessciencesmorales oftheBanquedeFrance, Honorary Governor andCEOofAnvar President Member oftheConseilConstitutionnel Minister,Former andCEOofColas Chairman Ambassador ofFrance oftheIMF ManagingDirector former oftheBanquedeFrance, Honorary Governor Prosper Weil • de Xavier Villepin, • AndréVilleneuve • Védrine Hubert • Jean-François Trogrlic • • LouisSchweitzer • Jean Rannou • Jean Peyrelevade • et politiques Member oftheAcadémiedessciencesmorales ofEuronext.LIFFE Chairman Minister Former ofCFDT National Secretary Chairman andCEOofRenault Chairman Senior AdvisoroftheCourtAccounts ChiefofStaff, AirForce Former andCEOofCréditLyonnais Chairman Former of international affairs ofSuez affairs of international incharge Senior Executivevice-President Yves-Thibault deSilguy Senator Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 59

financial annex thethe library team andand publications conferences Ifri and research the documentboard of directors center and debates the corporate sector

Consolidated accounts(euros) financial annex e noefrteya 470Ntepniuefrteya 70695 49702 4612317 178519 5082282 64829 119150 fortheyear Netexpenditure Exceptionnalincome TOTAL INCOME Financialincome 18450 4612317 12410 2003 106825 5082 282 1625169 205629 1196 341205 1 24770 19555 2291085 2002 2122026 1382196 314686 214615 2613857 TOTAL EXPENDITURE Net incomefortheyear 20274 130339 1253 77726 Exceptionnal costs 369 036 101284 5 502742 109758 Financial costs 6177 148725 Operational activitiesexpenditures 13407 14648 86123 Researchfunding 105406 Deferred grantincome Publicgrants 89549 555388 534 214 140946 Depreciation andprovisions 27026 INCOME 1598282 13280 costs Staff 64950 18467 6706 Taxes 13618 94877 Sundry expenses 607168 2003 Postage andtelephone 749163 1 51594 General travelandmeetings 13715 18075 90090 Donations, membershipsubscription services Honoraria andprofessional Documentation Insurance 2002 Maintenance Rentals formachinery Printing Other expenditures Paper forIfri’sjournal Books Power andwater Stationary Expenditure EXPENDITURE 3 6 8 5 prtoa ciiisicm 9 0 4313401 4898303 Operational activitiesincome 4581457 036 761 (exercice 2003) te noe5 3 42541 52332 133934 123267 Other income 552 170 1 Subscriptions toIfri’sJournal 482 218 1 Donations and members subscriptions Ifri, 2003annual report ❘ 61

the teamfinancial and annex the library and publications conferences Ifri and research the board of directors the document center and debates the corporate sector Consolidated balance sheet (euros)

2002 2003

ASSETS Net value Cost Depreciation net value LIABILITIES 2002 2003 provisions

Fixed assets Funds Intangible assets 46 110 281 478 273 513 7 965 General Fund 8 470 553 8 470 553 Reserve 1 061 297 1 086 068 Tangible assets 8 495 342 10 783 780 2 518 517 8 265 263 Restricted fund 46 46 Deferred grant income 194 212 252 064 Financial assets 25 280 32 527 10 061 22 466 Net income for the year 24 770 –70 695

FIXED ASSETS 8 566 732 11 097 785 2 802 091 8 295 694 FUNDS 9 750 878 9 738 036

Current assets Provisions 252 669 205 681 Inventories 2 727 2 310 2 310 Creditors Prepayments and 50 743 29 575 29 575 accrued income Bank overdrafts 26 726 250 Accounts receivable 406 211 569 487 569 487 Accounts payable 472 301 438 864 Others debtors 34 630 27 324 27 324 and other liabilities Portfolio (fixed interests) 1 903 824 2 051 169 2 051 169 Taxes and social security 496 330 458 393 Bank balances 168 424 54 222 54 222 Prepayed costs 77 779 65 829 65 829 Accruals and deferred income 212 166 254 386

CURRENT ASSETS 2 644 338 2 799 916 2 799 916 CURRENT LIABILITIES 1 460 192 1 357 574

TOTAL ASSETS 11 211 070 13 897 701 2 802 091 11 095 610 TOTAL LIABILITIES 11 211 070 11 095 610

62 ❘ Ifri, 2003 annual report Ifri sponsors three associations:

• ADIFLOR (Association for the International Promotion of French Language Books,Works and Reviews): Founded in 1985 by Xavier Deniau, ADIFLOR distributes French language books in around one hundred countries that lack the material and financial infrastructure to ensure the adequate distribution of French language publications. Ifri has provided ADIFLOR with around one ton of books a year since 1995.

• ENFANCE ET PARTAGE: Founded in 1979, this association works to protect the rights of children. It deals with around 1000 cases a year of children subjected to physical and sexual abuse (legal aid, psychological aid, social assitance, and prevention).

• HANDISPORT – LES BOUCHONS DE L’ESPOIR: Founded in 1999, this association collects plastic bottle stoppers for recycling. The proceeds raised are used to buy specially adapted wheelchairs for disabled people wishing to take up a sport.

Ifri, 2003 annual report ❘ 63 Conception graphique, mise en page et impression : bialec, nancy (France) - Dépôt légal n° 61153 - août 2004 Annual Report ais des relations internationales ç institut fran

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