Changing Demographics of : Population Characteristics and Housing

Texas House of Representatives Urban Affairs Committee , Texas August 31, 2016

@TexasDemography Growing States, 2000-2015

Numeric Percent 2000 2010 2015 Change Change Population Population Population 2010-2015 2000-2010

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 321,418,820 12,673,282 4.1% Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 27,469,114 2,323,553 9.2% 33,871,648 37,253,956 39,144,818 1,890,862 5.1% Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 20,271,272 1,469,962 7.8%

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 10,214,860 527,207 5.4%

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 10,042,802 507,319 5.3%

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 6,828,065 436,048 6.8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2015 Population Estimates. 2 Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2014

Numeric Change (Millions) Population (Millions)

30.00

25.00

20.00

15.00

10.00

5.00

0.00 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

st All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2015

tl_2010_48_county10 Lipscomb Hansford Ochiltree Dallam Sherman POPESTIMATE2015 Moore Roberts Hartley Hutchinson Hemphill Gray 112 - 10,000 Oldham Potter Carson Wheeler Armstrong Collingsworth Deaf 10,001 - 50,000 Smith Randall Donley Parmer Castro Childress Swisher Hall Briscoe Hardeman 50,001 - 100,000 Wilbarger Bailey Lamb Floyd Motley Cottle Hale Foard Wichita Clay Montague Lubbock Dickens Grayson Red Lamar 100,001 - 500,000 Cochran King Knox Baylor Archer Fannin River Cooke Hockley Crosby Bowie Stonewall Haskell Young Delta Titus Jack Wise Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Kent Throckmorton Denton Collin Hunt Franklin Morris Cass 500,001 - 4,538,028 Hopkins Borden Scurry Jones Shackelford Tarrant Rockwall Rains Camp Dawson Palo Wood Gaines Fisher Parker Dallas Upshur Marion Stephens Pinto Van Kaufman Harrison Nolan Hood Zandt Taylor Eastland Erath Johnson Smith Gregg Andrews Martin Howard Mitchell Ellis Somervell Callahan Comanche Henderson Rusk Panola Glasscock Hill Navarro Bosque Coke El Paso Loving Winkler Midland Runnels Anderson Ector Sterling Brown Shelby Hamilton Freestone Ward Coleman McLennan Nacogdoches Hudspeth Crane Tom Mills Culberson Upton Coryell San Reagan Irion Green Concho Falls Leon Reeves San Augustine McCulloch Lampasas Saba Bell Robertson Trinity Angelina Burnet Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Polk Jeff Pecos Crockett Milam Tyler Mason Llano Williamson Walker Davis Brazos San Jasper Grimes Sutton Kimble Burleson Jacinto Travis Gillespie Blanco Lee Montgomery Hardin Terrell Orange Kerr Hays Bastrop Edwards Liberty Presidio Val Kendall Waller Fayette Austin Jefferson Brewster Verde Real Comal Caldwell Harris Bandera Chambers Guadalupe Fort Bexar Gonzales Bend Kinney Uvalde Medina Lavaca Galveston Wilson Wharton DeWitt Brazoria Zavala Maverick Karnes Jackson Frio Atascosa Matagorda Goliad Victoria Live Calhoun Dimmit Bee La Salle Oak Refugio McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Nueces Wells Kleberg Jim Brooks Hogg Zapata Kenedy

Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates 4 Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2015

tl_2010_48_county10 NPOPCH1015 99 counties lost -1,913 - 0 population over the five year period. 1 - 1,000 1,001 - 20,000 20,001 - 80,000 80,001 - 444,952

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2015 Vintage. 5 Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2015

tl_2010_48_county10 PctPOPCH1015 -14.9% - 0% 0.1% - 2.5% 2.6% - 5% 5.1% - 10% 10.1% - 36.6%

6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2015 Vintage. Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2014-2015

Percent of Percent Percent U.S. Rank Population Change from Change Change from County Population Change Natural from International Change Increase Migration Migration Harris 1 90,451 49.3% 50.7% 32.0% Bexar 5 37,479 41.2% 58.8% 17.0% Tarrant 6 36,152 46.3% 53.7% 20.2% Dallas 9 33,760 68.1% 31.9% 39.0% Fort Bend 13 29,437 20.7% 79.3% 16.5% Collin 14 28,075 24.8% 75.2% 15.8% Denton 16 25,820 25.5% 74.5% 11.7% Travis 17 25,562 42.5% 57.5% 22.9% Williamson 27 19,086 20.9% 79.1% 6.7% Montgomery 29 18,505 19.2% 80.8% 9.9% *Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2014-2015

2014-2015 Percent Percent Percent Change Change from County U.S. Population from International Rank Change Migration Migration Hays 1 5.2% 85.5% 1.9% Comal 2 4.5% 90.7% 2.1% Fort Bend 4 4.3% 79.3% 16.5% Williamson 7 3.9% 79.1% 6.7% Montgomery 10 3.6% 80.8% 9.9% Denton 12 3.4% 74.5% 11.7% Ector 18 3.3% 63.1% 3.1% Midland 19 3.3% 66.2% 3.2% Collin 23 3.2% 75.2% 15.8% Kaufman 25 3.1% 79.8% 3.2% Parker 29 2.8% 89.8% 2.2% Brazos 32 2.8% 69.2% 27.4% Guadalupe 38 2.7% 78.8% 4.6% Ellis 39 2.7% 77.2% 2.7% *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates Density by Census Tract, Metroplex Area, 1970-2010 1970 1980 1990

Montague Cooke Grayson Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Fannin Delta

Wise Denton Collin Jack Wise Denton Wise Collin Denton Collin

Hunt Hopkins Hunt Hunt

Rockwall Rockwall Rains Rockwall

Parker Tarrant Dallas Parker Tarrant Dallas Parker Tarrant Dallas

Van Zandt Kaufman Van Zandt Kaufman Van Zandt Kaufman

Hood Hood Hood Johnson Ellis Johnson Ellis Johnson Ellis Henderson Henderson Henderson Somervell Navarro Somervell Navarro Hill Somervell Navarro Erath Hill Hill Legend 2000 Montague Cooke Grayson Montague Cooke 2010 Grayson Fannin Fannin tl_2010_48_county10_dpsfPersons per Square Mile Pctch1013 Wise Wise Denton Denton Collin Collin -11-0%0 – 10 Hunt Hunt 0.1-2.5%11 – 50

Rockwall Rockwall 2.51-5%51 – 500

Parker Tarrant Dallas Parker Tarrant Dallas 5.1-10%501 – 4,000

Van Zandt Van Zandt 10.1-14.7%4,001 – 56,000 Kaufman Kaufman

Hood Hood Johnson Ellis Johnson Ellis

Henderson Henderson Somervell Navarro Somervell Navarro Hill Hill Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses. Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database Tract Data from 1970-2010 Percent of Housing Units Built Before 1960, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Legend tl_2010_48_tract10 PctHUBlt00plus 0% - 25% 25.1% - 45% 45.1% - 65% 65.1% - 80% 80.1% - 100%

Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom Percent of Housing Units Built Between 1960 and 1999, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Legend tl_2010_48_tract10 PctHUBlt00plus 0% - 25% 25.1% - 45% 45.1% - 65% 65.1% - 80% 80.1% - 100%

Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample Percent of Housing Units Built After 1999, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Legend tl_2010_48_tract10 PctHUBlt00plus 0% - 25% 25.1% - 45% 45.1% - 65% 65.1% - 80% 80.1% - 100%

Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom Percent of the population living below poverty, DFW area, 2009-2013

13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community Percent of the population that is Hispanic, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Wise Denton Collin

tl_2010_48_county10 tl_2010_48_tract10 PctHispanic 0% - 20% Rockwall 20.1% - 35%

35.1% - 50% Tarrant Parker Dallas 50.1% - 80% 80.1% - 100% World Street Map

Kaufman

Johnson Ellis Hood

Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom Kaufman Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2009-2013. 14 Percent of the population that is Black/African American, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin

Wise Denton Legend Collin

tl_2010_48_county10 Hunt tl_2010_48_tract10 PctBlack

0% - 5% Rockwall 5.1% - 15% Tarrant 15.1% - 30% Parker Dallas 30.1% - 60%

60.1% - 99.3% Kaufman

Hood

Johnson Ellis Henderson

Somervell Navarro Henderson Hill Bosque

Erath Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong),Hill Esri (Thailand), TomTom Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2009-2013. 15 Percent of the population that is Asian, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin

Legend Wise Denton Collin

tl_2010_48_county10 Hunt tl_2010_48_tract10 PctAsian Rockwall 0% - 2.5%

2.6% - 7.5% Tarrant Parker Dallas 7.6% - 15%

15.1% - 30% Kaufman 30.1% - 70.2%

Hood

Johnson Ellis Henderson

Somervell Navarro Henderson Hill Bosque

Erath Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2009-2013. China (Hong Kong),Hill Esri (Thailand), TomTom 16 Percentage of Population with Drive Times Longer than 25 Minutes, Texas Census Tracts, 1990 and 2010*

1990 2010*

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1990 decennial census and *American Community Survey, 2008-2012 5 Year Sample. Mean Commute Time (minutes) of workers, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin

Denton Wise Legend Collin tl_2010_48_tract10 commute Hunt MeanCommute 4.8 - 15 Rockwall 15.1 - 20

Parker Tarrant 20.1 - 25 Dallas 25.1 - 30 30.1 - 70 Kaufman

Hood

Johnson Ellis Henderson

Somervell Navarro

Bosque Hill 18 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2009-2013. Sources: Esri, DeLorme, HERE, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong),Hill Esri (Thailand), TomTom Percent of housing units valued at $200,000 or more, Census Tracts, MetroPlex area, 2010-2014

Legend tl_2016_48_tract DP04 ValGT200k14 0% - 10% 10.1% - 25% 25.1% - 50% 50.1% - 75% 75.1% - 100.1%

19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5-Year Samples

Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom, MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community Median Value of Owner Occupied Housing, Census Tracts, MetroPlex, 2010-2014

Legend tl_2016_48_tract DP04 MedValOwnOccHU14 $0.00 - $100,000.00 $100,000.01 - $150,000.00 $150,000.01 - $300,000.00 $300,000.01 - $500,000.00 $500,000.01 - $999,500.00

20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5-Year Samples Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom, MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community Percent Change Black Population, Census Tracts, South Dallas, TX, 2010-2014

Legend tl_2016_48_tract ChpctBlack -34.4% - -10% -9.9% - -5% -4.9% - 0% 0.1% - 7.5% 7.6% - 37%

21 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2006-2010 and 2010-2014 5-Year Samples

Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom, MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community Percent Change Black Population, Block Groups, South Dallas, TX (2000-2013)

http://www.city-data.com/neighborhood/South-Dallas-Dallas-TX.html 22 Percent Change Black Population, Block Groups, Third Ward, Houston, TX (2000-2103)

http://www.city-data.com/neighborhood/Third-Ward-Houston-TX.html 23 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014

Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Male Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic Female, Hispanic

85 + years 80 years 75 years 70 years 65 years 60 years 55 years 50 years 45 years 40 years 35 years 30 years 25 years 20 years 15 years 10 years 5 years Under 1 year 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates 24 Estimated number of persons aged 65 years and older, Texas Counties, 2010-2014 tl_2010_48_county10

Pop65P Lipscomb Hansford Ochiltree Dallam Sherman 6 - 4,999 Moore Roberts Hartley Hutchinson Hemphill Gray 5,000 - 14,999 Oldham Potter Carson Wheeler Armstrong Collingsworth Deaf 15,000 - 29,999 Smith Randall Donley Parmer Castro Childress Swisher Hall Briscoe Hardeman 30,000 - 74,999 Wilbarger Bailey Lamb Floyd Motley Cottle Hale Foard Wichita Clay Montague Lubbock Dickens Grayson Red Lamar 75,000 - 371,456 Cochran King Knox Baylor Archer Fannin River Crosby Cooke Bowie Hockley Stonewall Delta Titus Haskell Young Jack Wise Denton Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Kent Throckmorton Collin Hunt Franklin Morris Cass Hopkins Borden Scurry Jones Shackelford Tarrant Rockwall Rains Camp Dawson Palo Wood Gaines Fisher Parker Dallas Upshur Marion Stephens Pinto Van Kaufman Harrison Nolan Hood Zandt Taylor Eastland Erath Johnson Smith Gregg Andrews Martin Howard Mitchell Ellis Somervell Callahan Comanche Henderson Rusk Panola Glasscock Hill Navarro Bosque Coke El Paso Loving Winkler Midland Runnels Anderson Cherokee Ector Sterling Brown Shelby Hamilton Freestone Ward Coleman McLennan Nacogdoches Hudspeth Crane Tom Mills Culberson Upton Coryell San Reagan Irion Green Concho Falls Leon Houston Reeves San Augustine McCulloch Lampasas Saba Bell Robertson Trinity Angelina Burnet Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Polk Jeff Pecos Crockett Milam Tyler Mason Llano Williamson Walker Davis Brazos San Jasper Grimes Sutton Kimble Burleson Jacinto Travis Gillespie Blanco Lee Montgomery Hardin Terrell Washington Orange Kerr Hays Bastrop Edwards Liberty Presidio Val Kendall Waller Fayette Austin Jefferson Brewster Verde Real Comal Caldwell Harris Bandera Chambers Guadalupe Colorado Fort Bexar Gonzales Bend Kinney Uvalde Medina Lavaca Galveston Wilson Wharton DeWitt Brazoria Zavala Maverick Karnes Jackson Frio Atascosa Matagorda Goliad Victoria Live Calhoun Dimmit Bee La Salle Oak Refugio McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Nueces Wells Kleberg Jim Brooks Hogg Zapata Kenedy

Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5 Year Sample 25 Median Age, Texas Counties, 2010-2014

Lipscomb Hansford Ochiltree Dallam tl_2010_48_county10 Sherman Moore Roberts Hartley Hutchinson Hemphill MedAge Gray Oldham Potter Carson Wheeler Armstrong Collingsworth 25 - 34 Deaf Smith Randall Donley Parmer Castro Childress 35 - 39 Swisher Hall Briscoe Hardeman Wilbarger Bailey Lamb Floyd Motley Cottle 40 - 44 Hale Foard Wichita Clay Montague Lubbock Dickens Grayson Red Lamar 45 - 49 Cochran King Knox Baylor Archer Fannin River Crosby Cooke Bowie Hockley Stonewall Delta Titus Haskell Young Jack Wise Denton Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Kent Throckmorton Collin Hunt Franklin Morris Cass 50 - 56 Hopkins Borden Scurry Jones Shackelford Tarrant Rockwall Rains Camp Dawson Palo Wood Gaines Fisher Parker Dallas Upshur Marion Stephens Pinto Van Kaufman Harrison Nolan Hood Zandt Taylor Eastland Erath Johnson Smith Gregg Andrews Martin Howard Mitchell Ellis Somervell Callahan Comanche Henderson Rusk Panola Glasscock Hill Navarro Bosque Coke El Paso Loving Winkler Midland Runnels Anderson Cherokee Ector Sterling Brown Shelby Hamilton Freestone Ward Coleman McLennan Nacogdoches Hudspeth Crane Tom Mills Culberson Upton Coryell San Reagan Irion Green Concho Falls Leon Houston Reeves San Augustine McCulloch Lampasas Saba Bell Robertson Trinity Angelina Burnet Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Polk Jeff Pecos Crockett Milam Tyler Mason Llano Williamson Walker Davis Brazos San Jasper Grimes Sutton Kimble Burleson Jacinto Travis Gillespie Blanco Lee Montgomery Hardin Terrell Washington Orange Kerr Hays Bastrop Edwards Liberty Presidio Val Kendall Waller Fayette Austin Jefferson Brewster Verde Real Comal Caldwell Harris Bandera Chambers Guadalupe Colorado Fort Bexar Gonzales Bend Kinney Uvalde Medina Lavaca Galveston Wilson Wharton DeWitt Brazoria Zavala Maverick Karnes Jackson Frio Atascosa Matagorda Goliad Victoria Live Calhoun Dimmit Bee La Salle Oak Refugio McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Nueces Wells Kleberg Jim Brooks Hogg Zapata Kenedy

Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5 Year Sample 26 Change in Median Age, Texas Counties, 2000-2014

Lipscomb Dallam Hansford Ochiltree Sherman Hutchinson Hemphill Hartley Roberts Moore Change in Median Age, 2000-2014 Gray Oldham Potter Carson Wheeler 1 to 5 Years Younger (27 Counties) Armstrong Deaf Collingsworth Smith Randall Donley No Change (57 Counties) Swisher Briscoe Childress Parmer Castro Hall Hardeman Lamb Wilbarger Bailey Hale Cottle Floyd Motley Foard 2 to 3 Years Older (100 Counties) Wichita Clay Crosby Dickens Grayson Lamar Red Lubbock Cooke Cochran King Knox Baylor Archer River Montague Fannin Bowie 4 to 5 Years Older (49 Counties) Hockley Delta Throckmorton Franklin Terry Stonewall Lynn Jack Wise Denton Collin Hopkins Titus Cass Yoakum Garza Kent Haskell Young Hunt Morris Rockwall Rains Camp Dawson Palo Greater than 5 Years Older (21 Counties) Scurry Shackelford Dallas Marion Pinto Parker Tarrant Wood Upshur Gaines Fisher Borden Stephens Kaufman Harrison Jones Johnson Van Gregg Callahan Hood Zandt Smith Eastland Ellis Panola Andrews Martin Howard Mitchell Nolan Taylor Henderson Erath Somervell Rusk Navarro El Paso Ector Glasscock Coleman Hill Cherokee Winkler Bosque Loving Coke Comanche Freestone Shelby Midland Sterling Runnels Brown Hamilton Anderson Nacogdoches Sabine Hudspeth Culberson Upton Reagan McLennan San Ward Tom Mills Crane McCulloch Coryell Limestone Houston Augustine Green Leon Reeves Irion Concho Falls Angelina Newton San Lampasas Trinity Saba Bell Robertson Madison Jasper Burnet Polk Schleicher Menard Tyler Jeff Pecos Crockett Milam Walker Davis Mason Llano Williamson Brazos San Jacinto Sutton Burleson Grimes Kimble Hardin Lee Montgomery Gillespie Travis Washington Terrell Blanco Orange Waller Liberty Presidio Kerr Kendall Bastrop Edwards Hays Austin Jefferson Val Fayette Harris Brewster Verde Real Comal Caldwell Chambers Bandera Guadalupe Colorado Fort Bend Bexar Gonzales Lavaca Galveston Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Brazoria Wilson DeWitt Victoria Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Matagorda Jackson Goliad McMullen Calhoun La Salle Dimmit Live Bee Refugio Oak Jim San Aransas Wells Patricio Webb Nueces Duval Kleberg

Jim Brooks Zapata Hogg Kenedy

Starr Willacy Source: US Census Bureau US Census Bureau, 2000 Hidalgo Decennial Census, SF-1, Population Estimates 2014 Vintage. Cameron 27 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050

55

50 Zero Migration 0.5 of 2000-2010 Migration 45 2000-2010 Migration 40

35

Millions 30

25

20

28 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections Projected and Estimated Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2015

28 Zero Migration 28 0.5 of 2000-2010 Migration 27 2000-2010 Migration Estimates 27 26 26

Millions 25 25 24

29 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Projected Growth of Population Aged 65 Years and Older in Texas, 2010-2050

10 9 0.5 of 2000-2010 Migration

8 2000-2010 Migration 7 6

5 Millions 4 3 2

30 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections Population Change by Age Group, Texas, 1950-2050

35,000,000

30,000,000 Censuses Estimates Projections

25,000,000

20,000,000 Under 18 18 to 64 15,000,000 65+

10,000,000

5,000,000

-

2030 2050 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2014 2020 2040

Source: US Census Bureau, 1950-2010 Censuses US Census Bureau, State Population Estimates Texas State Data Center, 2014 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario 31 Population Projections 65 Years and Over by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2010-2050

3,500,000

3,000,000

2,500,000 NH White 2,000,000 NH Black

1,500,000 Hispanic NH Other 1,000,000

500,000

0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

32 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , Half 2000-2010 Migration Scenario Contact

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.

Office: (210) 458-6530 Email: [email protected] Internet: demographics.texas.gov @TexasDemography

33