Population Movement Tracking Monthly Report September 2012 Total movement within Somalia: 24,000 nationwide UNHCR Somalia UNHCR Office Location Key Events Region receiving people Region People Population movements increased to 24,000 during the month of September compared to Awdal 300 9,000 in August. As a result of the build up and advance of AMISOM/SNF forces towards the Woqooyi Galbeed 300 previous Al-Shabab stronghold of Kismayo, more than 14,000 people fled from Kismayo city Sanaag 0 and district mostly towards Jamaame, Jilib and Afmadow districts. Additionally, over 2,500 Bari 100 movements to Mogadishu from Kismayo were reports while approximately 2,700 Sool 100 displacements toward different villages within Kismayo district were recorded. Insecurity was Togdheer 100 the major reason for displacement resulting in more than 17,000 displacements. This Nugaal 100 Mudug 200 month, cross-border movements from Ethiopia and Kenya increased to over 3,200 individuals. Galgaduud 0 The majority of people were temporarily moving back to Somalia to cultivate farm land in Hiraan 500 advance of the Deyr season. Most cited persistent insecurity in their places of origin as a key Bakool 100 factor in their plans to prepare land for short periods only. Forced returns from Saudi Arabia Shabelle Dhexe 200 continued this month with over 700 individuals returned to Mogadishu. Flooding in Belet Mogadishu 3,700 Weyne saw displacements to higher ground and surrounding villages in Belet Weyne district. Shabelle Hoose 1,700 Bay 0 Gedo 4,600 Juba Dhexe 4,000 Caluula Juba Hoose 8,300 Qandala Zeylac Laasqoray Bossaso Lughaye Berbera Ceerigaabo Iskushuban Borama Baki Estimated arrivals Ceel Afweyn Sheikh Gebiley 0 Hargeysa Qardho Odweyne 1 - 250 Caynabo Taleex Bandarbeyla Burco Xudun

251 - 500

Buuhoodle Laas Caanood Garoowe 501 - 1,000

Eyl 1,001 - 2,000 Burtinle

2,000 - 3,000 Jariiban Gedo (Received 4,600) Goldogob 3,001 - 4,000 Gaalkacyo Dollow received around 2,200 IDPs followed by Baardheere (1,200), Ceel Waaq (880) and Belet Above 4,000 Xaawo (330). Cadaado Major movements Hobyo Cabudwaaq Cross border movements Dhuusamarreeb

Ceel Buur Xarardheere Ceel Barde Belet Weyne Rab Dhuure Xudur Ceel Dheer Doolow Tayeeglow Luuq Waajid Bulo Burto Belet Xaawo Adan Yabaal Jalalaqsi Garbahaarey Baydhaba Over 2,100 cross-border Cadale Mogadishu (Received 3,700 people) Jowhar movements from Ethiopia Qansax Wanla Modishu received around 3,700 people especially from were reported. They moved to Ceel Waaq Dheere Weyn Kismayo (over 2,100) due its insecure situation. Over 700 Dollow seeking transport to Buur Hakaba Balcad individuals were forcefully returned to Mogadishu from Saudi Bay, Bakool and other Diinsoor Afgooye Arabia in September. districts in Gedo region to Baardheere Banadir cultivate lands on a short Qoryooley term basis in advance of the Saakow Kurtunwaarey Marka Middle Juba (Received 4,000 people) Deyr rainy season. Similarly, partners reported Sablaale Due to unrest in Kismayo resulting from clashes between KDF forces and Al- Bu'aale Shabab groups, majority of people moved from Kismayo to nearby districts of that 1,200 people crossed Baraawe the Kenyan border and MIddle Juba such as Jilib (2,900), Bu'aale (over 1,100). moved to Baardheere Afmadow Jilib (460), Afmadow (440), Ceel Lower Juba (Received 8,300 people) Waaq(200) and Belet Xaawo (100). Jamaame Partners reported people moved to Jammame (over 3,200), Afmadow (1,700), Badhaadhe (700). Over 2,700 people got displaced within Kismayo where among these, majority moved to Belet Xaaji. Majority of the movement took place due to the conflicting situation in Kismayo. Kismaayo

Badhaadhe Kismayo (Displaced over 14,000 people) Kismayo port remained the most conflicting and insecure place during the month of September which led majority of people (over 14,000) move to nearby districts. Major movements started during the middle of September when KDF forces started targeting Al-Shabab militia to have control over Kismayo port. Top 10…. Places where people are coming from * Places receiving people District People Settlement District People District People Settlement District People Kismaayo 14,000 Kismayo Kismayo 14,000 Jamaame 3,200 Jilib Jilib 3,000 Jamaame 800 Belet Weyne Belet Weyne 600 Jilib 2,900 Doolow Doolow 2,200 Belet Weyne 600 Jamaame Jamaame 500 Kismaayo 2,700 Jamaame Jamaame 1,700 Baraawe 400 Buulo Mareer Kurtunwaarey 400 Afmadow 1,700 Kamsuuma Jamaame 1,500 Kurtunwaarey 400 Kamsuuma Jamaame 300 Bu'aale 1,100 Baardheere Baardheere 1,200 Garbahaarey 330 Kham-Kham Kismaayo 200 Baardheere 700 Bu'aale Bu'aale 1,100 Baardheere 330 Afmadow Afmadow 200 Ceel Waaq 700 Buulo Xaaji Kismaayo 1,000 Afmadow 300 Daraley/October Sec Baraawe 200 Badhaadhe 700 Ceel Waaq Ceel Waaq 900 Marka 260 Baraawe Baraawe 200 Hodan 600 Dhobley Afmadow 800 Xudur 200 Baardheere Baardheere 200 Kurtunwaarey 500 Mogadishu/Wadajir Wadajir 800 * Not Including Mogadishu Page 1/2 * Not Including Mogadishu Demographics

PMT trends indicate that an estimated 58% of those who moved during the month of 58% 42% September were female.

Female Male

Demographics is a proportunate aggregation of female/males, an approximation of the gender composition of total displacements . Reasons for Movement Priority needs

Flood 2.15% Protection from conflict 4.16%

Forced Return 2.98% Shelter 4.36%

Lack of livelihood 7.75% Transport 7.85%

Refugee Return 13.56% Livelihood support 10.12%

Insecurity 71.40% Food 70.29%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Various reasons for movement were recorded but for clarity, only the five most prevelent reasons are displayed. On a single form, IDPs state two priority needs, this chart shows the top priorities only.

With the lack of rain and multiple movements reported, the need for food and shelter assistance for the displaced continues. An estimated 70% urgently needed food meanwhile 10% needed livelihood support. As of October, 2012, UNHCR has so far distributed Emergency Assistance Packages to 36,707 households reaching 220,242 individuals.

Monthly movement trends since January, 2011

100,000

80,000 73,000 65,000 66,000 60,000 50,000 48,000 43,000 39,000 40,000

People 37,000 40,000 33,000 31,000 29,000 26,000 24,000 19,000 19,000 20,000 16,000 13,000 16,000 12,000 9,000

0 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12

Cross-border movements

Cross-border movements* to Somalia 2,500 2300 Cross-border movements from Ethiopia drastically increased from 20 in August to 2,300 individuals in September. The people were temporarily 2,000 moving back to Somalia to cultivate farm land in advance of the Deyr season. Persistent insecurity in their places of origin resulted in many 1,500 intending to resume agricultural activities for limited periods before moving 1200 back to Dolo ado as soon as they finish farming. Similarly, 1,200 cross 1,000 border movements from Dadaab, Kenya were reported in the month of People September.

500

0 Ethiopia Kenya

* Monitoring and analysis of the decline in the number of cross-border movements over the past four months suggests that most movements from Kenya and Ethiopia are temporary or seasonal movements. Due to a volatile and unpredictable security situation in Somalia it is evident that “return” does not necessarily mean long-term, permanent or sustainable reintegration in the places of origin in safety and with dignity. Notes These figures except refugee figures quoted are All figures in this document except refugee figures have Data Sources: estimates derived from IASCs' Population Movement been rounded using a three tier method as follows. Figures Tracking (PMT) System. The system doesn't recorded below 100 were not rounded at all. Figures between 100 Map layers: UNDP (2006) individual specific information. The numbers are and 1,000 were rounded off to the nearest tenth, figures Population Movement Trends: IASCs' Population intended to show population movement trends, not between 1,000 and 10,000 were rounded off to the Movement Tracking System, latest statistics available at cumulative IDP population data. Due to the fluid nature nearest hundreth and all figures above 10,000 were http://data.unhcr.org/horn-of-africa/somalia.php . of displacement in Somalia and in order to avoid rounded off to a thousandth. Refugee figures: UNHCR Offices in the concerned capturing multiple displacements, these figures should This rounding rule was applied to the final result after all countries, also available online at therefore not be added and used cumulatively. computations were undertaken. http://data.unhcr.org/horn-of-africa/regional.php

PMT/PMN is funded by: For further information contact: [email protected] Andreas Needham Public Information Officer European Commission Humanitarian Aid The People of Japan [email protected] Conor Flavin Monitoring and Evaluation Officer Page 2/2