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The Safest Year To SAVING MALAYSIA BOEING UP, UP, UP WARSAW PACKED IS THIS MAN SET TO Single-aisle orders lead Three bidders still in the TAKE AVIATION’S the way as Seattle defies mix as Polish multirole TOUGHEST JOB? own predictions to report helicopter contest nears NEWS FOCUS P15 best-ever backlog 13 evaluation phase 17 FLIGHT INTERNATIONAL 13-19 JANUARY 2015 THEANALYSIS SAFEST YEAR TO FLY £3.50 We look at 2014’s record low fatal airliner 03 accident rate – despite loss of MH370 9 770015 371273 Our people care #TrentXWB The story continues... Nine years ago, I wrote a document outlining a new aero engine. To see the Trent XWB take flight is my proudest moment. I was one of the four founding members of the Trent XWB team. In 2005, as Assistant Chief Engineer, I wrote a simple 10-page specification that was the first Memorandum of Understanding with Airbus. At the time, we felt something big was happening and we were right. Shaping those early ideas into something on an industrial scale has been an incredible challenge. But today, we have more than 2,000 people working on the programme. The impact on the business, as well as our relationship with Airbus, has been phenomenal. We have created the Trent XWB; the most advanced and efficient aero engine in the world. Andy Gwynne - Chief Programme Engineer Trent XWB -97 14-16 APRIL 2015 THE DESTINATION FOR THE AIRCRAFT INTERIORS INDUSTRY. Aircraft Interiors Expo 2015 14-16 April 2015, Hamburg Messe, Germany The global market leader for the world’s aircraft interiors industry. Aircraft Interiors Expo is the launch pad for cabin programmes showcasing tomorrow’s designs, in-fl ight entertainment, connectivity and passenger services. Register your interest today at www.aircraftinteriorsexpo.com/FIJAN Co-located with: Organised by: In co-operation with: FLIGHT INTERNATIONAL VOLUME 187 NUMBER 5471 13-19 JANUARY 2015 NEWS SAVING MALAYSIA BOEING UP, UP, UP WARSAW PACKED IS THIS MAN SET TO Single-aisle orders lead Three bidders still in the TAKE AVIATION’S the way as Seattle defies mix as Polish multirole TOUGHEST JOB? own predictions to report helicopter contest nears THIS WEEK NEWS FOCUS P15 best-ever backlog 13 evaluation phase 17 FLIGHT 8 Fall in crash count makes 2014 safer. INTERNATIONAL Helibras delivers army’s upgrades 13-19 JANUARY 2015 9 Tail location offers QZ8501 data hope. Routine aircraft tracking closer to realisation 10 HeliVert partners plan to assemble AW189 in Russia. GAO ends Dream Chaser pursuit of NASA contract 11 CBP Predator B fleet takes heavy flak. Rapid rise predicted for commercial UAV market THEANALYSIS SAFEST YEAR TO FLY AIR TRANSPORT £3.50 We look at 2014’s record low fatal airliner 03 accident rate – despite loss of MH370 12 Boeing 9 770015 371273 FAA to mandate SMS for all airlines. PA Boeing adds 1,432 firm orders to record backlog P13 COVER IMAGE Eva Air bids farewell to its final 747-400 Combi 13 The Vietnamese air force’s Boeing boosts its backlog. COVER STORY Col Pham Minh Tuan takes First ARJ21-700 delivery awaits CAAC validation. Jet Airways ad fuels SpiceJet Q400 rumours 22 AIRLINE SAFETY Believe it or not, it’s safer part in the search over the 14 Troubled Transaero looks at deferrals. to fly Despite public perception, 2014 was an Gulf of Thailand for missing Sudan appeals to ICAO over sanctions. extraordinarily good year for aviation safety – but Malaysia Airlines MH370 Wing-box for MC-21 enters testing phase the gloom of MH370, MH17 and December’s in March 2014 P22 AirAsia disaster casts a long shadow over the DEFENCE positive figures 16 Lavi unit heads for operational debut. Iraqi pilots begin F-16 training in USA. FEATURES Russia sees the light with Il-112V 32 No second chance 17 The industry needs to make a Bids in for Polish helicopter contest. radical shift in pilot training, to get flightcrews Upgraded Russian strategic bombers back on safely in tune with modern airliner technology, but duty the authorities are dragging their feet 18 F-35 chiefs return fire on ‘baseless’ cannon 34 Missing link Slow but steady progress is being reporting. made towards the implementation of deployable Trevor Williams Trevor Hawkeye unit to take UCLASS fleet under its wing flight data recorders, although reliability is still a BEHIND THE HEADLINES BUSINESS AVIATION concern Operations and Safety Editor 19 Passport to success as GE begins engine flight David Learmount crunched REGULARS the numbers for our annual testing. airline safety review, which Gulfstream ships first all-new G650ER. 7 Comment shows 2014 was a record- Piaggio prepares first Avanti Evos for service entry 37 Straight & Level breaking year for the industry NEWS FOCUS 38 Letters (P22). He also looks at one 15 Mending a broken airline 40 Classified pilot’s theory on a possible 20 43 Jobs location for MH370 (P20) Can maths solve mystery of MH370’s resting place? 47 Working Week Crown Copyright NEXT WEEK EUROFIGHTER Test pilot Peter Collins gets to grips with the RAF’s newest Eurofighter Typhoon standard in a BAE Systems simulator NASA Airbus Helicopters, EC725 in running for Polish helicopter requirement P17. Dream Chaser concept has NASA hopes dashed P10 ownloadDownload the thenew new Commercial Commercial Engines Engines Directory Report Dwownload withnow updated enhanced with The enhanced data Engine and data in-depth and in-depthDirectory. market market analysis analysis flJightglobal.com/ComEngDirectoryÀLJKWJOREDOFRPFRPPHQJLQHVKWJOREDOFRPFRPPHQJLQHV flightglobal.com 13-19 January 2015 | Flight International | 5 CONTENTS IMAGE OF THE WEEK The US Air Force included this shot of a US Army UH-60 Black Hawk landing during a training event in Idaho last November among a selection of its best images of 2014. Flightglobal’s Ascend Fleets database records the army as operating more than 2,150 of the Sikorsky-built type View more great aviation shots online and in our weekly tablet edition: flightglobal.com/ flight-international US Air Force THE WEEK IN NUMBERS QUESTION OF THE WEEK Last week, we asked: Can the industry continue to cut airline 25% accidents? You said: Flightglobal dashboard 38% 33% Amount of its capital Japan’s Skymark Airlines reportedly No, sadly, Yes, if it wants to issue as new shares to boost its cash position flying can tackles never be pilot 100% TOTAL compla- safe VOTES: cency $50 1,397 ICIS news 29% The price of a barrel of Brent crude: a level not seen since 2009. In June 2014, Brent was trading at nearly $116 Yes, inevitable long-term trend This week, we ask: Will 2014 be high-water mark for airliner orders? 1,205 ❑ Yes, bubble will burst soon Flightglobal dashboard ❑ No sign of demand slackening The number of daily slots available at New York JFK and ❑ Next few years will be up and down Newark under tighter FAA rules proposed to lift utilisation Vote at flightglobal.com Flightglobal’s premium news and data service delivers breaking air transport stories with profiles, schedules, and fleet, financial and traffic information flightglobal.com/dashboard 6 | Flight International | 13-19 January 2015 flightglobal.com COMMENT Bordering on chaos A scathing report into the use of Predator B aircraft to monitor illegal immigration in the USA highlights a wider issue: unmanned systems are still way too complicated for many operators ven after a nearly 15-year-old sustained burst of E energy from the unmanned aviation market, operating an aircraft without a pilot on board is still considerably harder than it looks. There is no denying the progress made in the field of autonomous flight. Kilogramme-for-kilogramme, the military’s most advanced unmanned air vehicles pack far more surveillance capability into a single airframe than their piloted counterparts. After revolutionising the worlds of tactical aerial surveillance and battlefield interdiction, the virtues of autonomous flight control are expanding ever-onward, also encroaching steadily into strategic reconnaissance and cargo delivery. And if Rex Features the rumours are true, there is also a universe of oppor- Not as easy as it looks tunity awaiting in the commercial market: pending regulatory approval, of course. Despite a more hospitable working environment – at And yet, a close look into so many UAV operations least, compared to the tribal backroads of Pakistan and reveals a shambolic state of affairs. Yemen – the audit shows the CBP fleet can barely stay The latest report along these lines comes from an in the area. The 10 UAVs it owns fly only 22% of the audit of a decade-long programme by a US civilian required flight hours, with the shortfall blamed on agency – Customs and Border Protection (CBP). weather, operating restrictions and budget constraints. The latter appears to be the strongest incentive for The bottom-line mentality keeping the Predator Bs on the ground. According to the audit, the CBP’s Predator Bs cost more than $12,000 of the commercial market is per hour to fly. That means the turboprop-powered air- what the UAS sector needs craft is nearly as expensive to fly as a twinjet strike fighter like Fairchild Republic’s A-10. The CBP’s experience is not unique. As late as 2011, Since 2004, CBP’s aviation arm has amassed a the USAF recorded a 22% mission capability rate on 10-strong fleet of General Atomics Aeronautical its Northrop Grumman RQ-4A Global Hawk fleet, with Systems Predator Bs – the same aircraft designated by an audit of the operational test programme citing simi- the US Air Force as the MQ-9 Reaper. By contrast to the lar challenges as recorded in the CBP audit. USAF Reaper operation, which spans continents, the Perhaps the bottom-line driven mentality of the CBP’s use is confined to two small stretches of the commercial market is exactly what the unmanned air southern border of the USA, the Gulf of Mexico and off system sector needs to thrive.
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