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Central Asia the Caucasus CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Journal of Social and Political Studies Published since 2000 Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 CA&CC Press® SWEDEN 1 Volume 15 FOUNDEDIssue 4 2014 AND PUBLISHEDCENTRAL ASIA AND THEBY CAUCASUS INSTITUTE INSTITUTE OF FOR CENTRAL ASIAN AND STRATEGIC STUDIES OF CAUCASIAN STUDIES THE CAUCASUS Registration number: 620720-0459 Registration number: M-770 State Administration for Ministry of Justice of Patents and Registration of Sweden Azerbaijan Republic PUBLISHING HOUSE CA&CC Press®. SWEDEN Registration number: 556699-5964 Journal registration number: 23 614 State Administration for Patents and Registration of Sweden E d i t o r i a l C o u n c i l Eldar Chairman of the Editorial Council ISMAILOV Tel./fax: (994 - 12) 497 12 22; E-mail: [email protected] Murad ESENOV Editor-in-Chief Tel./fax: (46) 70 232 16 55; E-mail: [email protected] Jannatkhan Deputy Editor-in-Chief EYVAZOV Tel./fax: (994 - 12) 596 11 73; E-mail: [email protected] Kalamkas represents the journal in Kazakhstan (Astana) YESSIMOVA Tel./fax: (7 - 701) 7408600; E-mail: [email protected] Ainura represents the journal in Kyrgyzstan (Bishkek) ELEBAEVA Tel./fax: (996 - 312) 61 30 36; E-mail: [email protected] Saodat OLIMOVA represents the journal in Tajikistan (Dushanbe) Tel.: (992 372) 21 89 95; E-mail: [email protected] Farkhad represents the journal in Uzbekistan (Tashkent) TOLIPOV Tel.: (9987 - 1) 225 43 22; E-mail: [email protected] Ziya KENGERLI represents the journal in Azerbaijan (Baku) Tel.: (+994 - 50) 3006694; E-mail: [email protected] David represents the journal in Armenia (Erevan) PETROSYAN Tel.: (374 - 10) 56 88 10; E-mail: [email protected] Kakhaber ERADZE represents the journal in Georgia (Tbilisi) Tel.: (+995 - 95) 45 82 88; E-mail: [email protected] Sun ZHUANGZHI represents the journal in China (Beijing) Tel.: (86) 10-64039088; E-mail: [email protected] Konrad SCHÄFFLER represents the journal in Germany (Munich) Tel.: (49 - 89) 3003132; E-mail: [email protected] Vladimir MESAMED represents the journal in the Middle East (Jerusalem) Tel.: (972 - 2) 5882332; E-mail: [email protected] Irina EGOROVA represents the journal in the Russian Federation (Moscow) Tel.: (7 - 495) 3163146; E-mail: [email protected] Robert represents the journal in the U.S. (Buffalo, NY) GUANG TIAN Tel: (716) 880-2104; E-mail: [email protected] Rustem represents the journal in Ukraine (Kiev) ZHANGUZHIN Tel.: (380 - 44) 524-79-13; E-mail: [email protected] 2 CENTRAL ASIA AND THEE CAUCASUSD I T O R I A L B O A R D Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 Bülent ARAS Doctor, Chair, Department of International Relations, Fatih University (Turkey) Mariam ARUNOVA Doctor of Political Science, leading research associate, Institute of Oriental Studies, RAS (Russian Federation) Garnik ASATRIAN Doctor of Philology, professor, head of the Department of Iranian Studies, Erevan State University (Armenia) Ariel COHEN Doctor, leading analyst, The Heritage Foundation, U.S.A. (U.S.A.) William FIERMAN Doctor of Political Science, Professor of Indiana University (U.S.A.) Paul GOBLE Senior Advisor, Voice of America (U.S.A.) Sergey GRETSKY Doctor, Chair of Central Asian Studies, Foreign Service Institute, U.S. Department of State (U.S.A.) Xing GUANGCHENG Doctor of Political Science, professor, Deputy Director of the Institute for East European, Russian and Central Asian Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (China) Alexander IGNATENKO President, Institute of Religion and Politics, Doctor of Philosophy, specialist in Islamic studies, leading expert of the Institute of Social Systems, Moscow State University, member of the Council for Cooperation with Religious Associations under the Russian Federation President (Russian Federation) Ashurboi IMOMOV Ph.D. (Law), assistant professor, head of the Department of Constitutional Law, Tajik National University (Tajikistan) Lena JONSON Doctor, senior researcher, Swedish Institute of International Affairs (Sweden) Klara KHAFIZOVA Doctor of History, Director, Center for Strategic and International Studies, professor at the International Relations and Foreign Policy Department, Kainar University (Kazakhstan) Zaynidin KURMANOV Doctor of History, professor, head of the Chair of International Relations, the Kyrgyz-Russian University (Kyrgyzstan) Jacob M. LANDAU Professor of Political Science, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem (Israel) S. Neil MACFARLANE Professor, Director, Center for International Studies, The University of Oxford (Great Britain) Alexei MALASHENKO Doctor of History, professor, Scholar-in-Residence, Ethnicity and Nation-Building Program Co-Chair, The Carnegie Moscow Center (Russian Federation) Abbas MALEKI Doctor, Director General, International Institute for Caspian Studies (Iran) Akira Doctor, History of Central Asia and the Caucasus, Program Officer, The Sasakawa Peace MATSUNAGA Foundation (Japan) Roger N. McDERMOTT Affiliated Senior Analyst, Danish Institute for International Studies, Copenhagen (Denmark) Vitaly NAUMKIN Doctor of History, professor, Director, Center for Strategic and International Studies of RF (Russian Federation) Yerengaip OMAROV Professor, Rector of Kainar University, President of the Academy of Natural Sciences, Republic of Kazakhstan (Kazakhstan) Vladimer PAPAVA Doctor of Economics, professor, Rector of the Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University (Georgia) S. Frederick STARR Professor, Chairman, The Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, The Johns Hopkins University (U.S.A.) The materials that appear in the journal do not necessarily reflect the Editorial Board and the Editors’ opinion Editorial Office: CA&CC Press AB Hubertusstigen 9. 97455 Luleå SWEDEN WEB ADDRESS: http://www.ca-c.org © Central Asia and the Caucasus, 2014 © CA&CC Press®, 2014 3 Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Journal of Social and Political Studies Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 IN THIS ISSUE: REGIONAL POLITICS Inomzhon Bobokulov. FERGHANA AS FATA? .................................................................... 7 Maxim THE GREATER CAUCASUS Suchkov. IN RUSSIAN-AMERICAN RELATIONS: MAIN TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS .................................................... 18 Masat RUSSIA IN CENTRAL ASIA: Sarsekeev. GEOPOLITICAL MODELS OF STRATEGY AND FOREIGN POLICY ........................................................................ 30 Gouli CENTRAL ASIA Yuldasheva. IN PRESENT-DAY TURKISH-IRANIAN RELATIONS ................................................................................... 37 Mikhail TURKEY’S FOREIGN POLICY TAKES Agadzhanian. A NEW TURN AFTER THE 2014 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION .......................................................... 47 Roza POLITICAL SYSTEM OF KYRGYZSTAN: Duysheeva. PREREQUISITES AND FACTORS OF TRANSFORMATION ..................................................................... 56 4 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 ENERGY POLICY AND ENERGY PROJECTS Sergey ENERGY FLOWS Zhiltsov. IN CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CASPIAN REGION: NEW OPPORTUNITIES AND NEW CHALLENGES ..................................................................... 69 REGIONAL ECONOMIES Ashot ARMENIA AS A LANDLOCKED STATE: Yeghiazarian. TRANSIT OPPORTUNITIES ......................................................... 80 Bakhrom REMITTANCES AND Sharipov. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN: IMPACT ON MACROECONOMIC STABILITY .............................. 94 Bruno KAZAKHSTAN AND de Cordier. AZERBAIJAN AS DONORS OF HUMANITARIAN AID. HAS THE DIVERSIFICATION OF AID CHANNELS AND DONORS REACHED SOUTHERN EURASIA? .............................................................. 107 RELIGION, CULTURE, AND SOCIETY Edward PRAGMATIC POLITICS: Wastnidge. IRAN, CENTRAL ASIA AND CULTURAL FOREIGN POLICY ................................................... 119 Andrey Martynkin, ISLAM IN THE AFGHAN CONFLICT: Sergey LAST QUARTER OF THE TWENTIETH- Khomenko. EARLY TWENTY-FIRST CENTURIES ........................................ 130 Contents of the Central Asia and the Caucasus Issues Volume 15, 2014 .............................................................................................................. 140 5 Volume 15 Issue 4 2014 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS FOR YOUR INFORMATION The Special Feature section in the next three issues will discuss: Central Eurasia: Politics Today Central Eurasia: Religion in the Sociopolitical Context Central Eurasia: Integration Processes Contributors please use the following guidelines: — begin articles with a brief abstract of 300-500 words and keywords; — articles should be no less than 3,000 and no more than 6,000 words, including footnotes; — footnotes should be placed at the bottom of each page; if there are references to Internet resources, please give the author’s name, the name of the document, the website address, and the date it was made available, for example, available 2007-04-19; — quotations, names of authors and other information from English-language sources should be duplicated in brackets in the original language, that is, in English; — the article should be divided into sections, including an introduction and conclusion; — the author should include the following personal information: first name, last name, academic degree, place of work, position, city, country. All articles accepted are published in Russian and English, in the Russian-language and English-language versions of the journal, respectively. The editorial board takes responsibility
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