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Party-wise Contesting Candidates in KPK and FATA All Pakistan Muslim League S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 1 Nadar Khan NA-7 Charsadda-I 2 Syed Zakir Shah NA-8 Charsadda-II 3 Ma-us Sama Aryani Advcoate NA-9 Mardan-I 4 Yar badshah NA-10 Mardan-II 5 Syed Naveed Ali Shahj NA-11 Mardan-III 6 Khalid Ibrar NA-12 Swabi-I 7 Malik Nisar Ahmad Thind NA-24 D.I.Khan 8 Hizbullah NA-26 Bannu 9 Sarmir Khan NA-28 Bunair 10 Iftikhar ud Din NA-32 Chitral 11 Muhammad Zeb NA-33 Upper Dir-cum-Lower Dir (Old Upper Dir) 12 Shafiur Rahman NA-34 Lower Dir 13 Saqlain Abbas Bangash NA-37 Tribal Area-II 14 Mir Alam Khan PK-1 Peshawar-I 15 Hamayun Khan PK-2 Peshawar-II 16 Aurangzeb Mohmnd PK-3 Peshawar-III 17 Liaqat Ali PK-17 Charsadda-I 18 Zakir Shah PK-21 Charsadda-V 19 Javed Khan PK-22 Charsadda-VI 20 Doctor Syed Sajjad Haider PK-23 Mardan-I 21 Jamil Ahamd Khan Mohmand PK-24 Mardan-II 22 Syed Rahat Ali Shah PK-25 Mardan-III 23 Sardarullah PK-30 Mardan-VIII 24 Basharat Ali PK-32 Swabi-II 25 Fayaz Hussain PK-38 Kohat-II 26 Shagufta Begum PK-39 Koaht-III 27 Said Muhammad Jaffar PK-42 Hangu-I 28 Syed Gulnaz Shah Gillani PK-53 Mansehra-I 29 Aqiq ur Rehman PK-60 Battagram-II 30 Abdul Waris PK-63 Kohistan-III 31 Mujeeb ur Rahman Khan Gandapur PK-64 D.I.Khan-I 32 Malik Nisar Ahmad Thind PK-65 D.I.Khan-II 33 Rahmatullah Kaka Jan PK-70 Bannu-I 34 Malik Rehman Ullah Khan Barakzai PK-72 Bannu-III 35 Khalid Parvaiz PK-89 Chitral-I 36 Ghulam Muhammad PK-90 Chitral-II 37 Akhunzada Hidayat Khan PK-93 Upper Dir-cum-Lower Dir (Old Upper Dir-III) 38 Habibullah PK-94 Lower Dir-I Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 1 of 64 Awami Jamhuri Ittehad Pakistan S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 1 Usman Khan Tarrakai NA-12 Swabi-I 2 Shahram Khan NA-13 Swabi-II 3 Babar Khan PK-31 Swabi-I 4 Shah Ram Khan PK-32 Swabi-II 5 Muhammad Ali Tarkai PK-33 Swabi-III 6 Muhammad Ayaz PK-34 Swabi-IV 7 Fazal Ahad Bacha PK-35 Swabi-V 8 Noor Ul Hassan PK-36 Swabi-VI 9 Raj Wali Khan PK-77 Bunair-I Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 2 of 64 Awami Muslim League Pakistan S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 1 Muhammad Rashid NA-18 Abbottabad-II 2 Arshid Hussain PK-2 Peshawar-II 3 Sajjad Khan Alias Kala Khan Rehariban PK-44 Abbottabad-I 4 Tota Noush PK-63 Kohistan-III Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 3 of 64 Awami National Party S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 1 Alhaj Ghulam Ahmad Bilour NA-1 Peshawar-I 2 Arbab Najeeb Ullah Khan NA-2 Peshawar-II 3 Arbab Inam Ullah Khan NA-3 Peshawar-III 4 Arbab Muhammad Ayub Jan NA-4 Peshwar-IV 5 Muhammad Daud Khattak NA-5 Nowshera-I 6 Masood Abbas NA-6 Nowshera-II 7 Asfandyar Wali Khan NA-7 Charsadda-I 8 Muhammad Taimoor Khan NA-8 Charsadda-II 9 Amir Haider Khan NA-9 Mardan-I 10 Muhammad Farooq Khan NA-10 Mardan-II 11 Inayat Khan NA-11 Mardan-III 12 Rehmanullah NA-12 Swabi-I 13 Muhammad Sarwar Khan NA-13 Swabi-II 14 Khursheed Begum Saeed NA-14 Kohat 15 Muhammad Sharif Khattak NA-15 Karak 16 Syed Haider Ali Shah NA-16 Hangu 17 Irum Fatima NA-19 Haripur 18 Shoukat Ali Khan NA-21 Mansehra-II 19 Ali Sarwar NA-27 Lakki Marwat 20 Abdul Rauf NA-28 Bunair 21 Muzaffar-ul-Mulk NA-29 Swat-I 22 Khurshid NA-30 Swat-II 23 Sadid ur Rahman NA-31 Shanglapar 24 Syed Muzafar Ali Shah Jan NA-32 Chitral 25 Naveed Anjum Khan NA-33 Upper Dir-cum-Lower Dir (Old Upper Dir) 26 Muhammad Azam Khan NA-34 Lower Dir 27 Rahmat Shah Sael NA-35 Malakand 28 Doulat Ali NA-37 Tribal Area-II 29 Syed Basharat Hussain NA-39 Tribal Area-IV 30 Muhammad Ayaz Khan NA-41 Tribal Area-VI 31 Gul Afzal NA-44 Tribal Area-IX 32 Malik Darya Khan NA-45 Tribal Area-X 33 Malik Haji Shahi Khan Sherani NA-47 Tribal Area-XII 34 Ghazanfar Bilour PK-1 Peshawar-I 35 Malik Ghulam Mustafa PK-2 Peshawar-II 36 Haroon Bashir Bilour PK-3 Peshawar-III 37 Syed Aqil Shah PK-4 Peshawar-IV 38 Arbab Muhammad Tahir Khan Khalil PK-5 Peshawar-V 39 Muhammad Alamgir Khalil PK-6 Peshawar-VI 40 Aziz Ghaffar Khan PK-7 Peshawar-VII 41 Arbab Nazir Ahmad Khan PK-8 Peshawar-VIII 42 Arbab Muhammad Usman Khan PK-9 Peshawar-IX 43 Khushdil Khan PK-10 Peshawar-X Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 4 of 64 Awami National Party S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 44 Saqib Ullah PK-11 Peshawar-XI 45 Mian Iftikhar Hussain PK-12 Nowshera-I 46 Shahid Khan PK-13 Nowshera-II 47 Aftab Ahmad Khan PK-14 Nowshera-III 48 Khalil Abbas Khattak PK-15 Nowshera-IV 49 Parvez Ahmad Khan PK-16 Nowshera-V 50 Mohammad Ahmad Khan PK-17 Charsadda-I 51 Arshad Abdullah PK-18 Charsadda-II 52 Shakeel Bashir Umerzai PK-19 Charsadda-III 53 Khadim Shah Safi PK-20 Charsadda-IV 54 Syed Masoom Shah PK-21 Charsadda-V 55 Maqsood Khan PK-22 Charsadda-VI 56 Amir Haidar Khan PK-23 Mardan-I 57 Ali Khan PK-24 Mardan-II 58 Ghani Dad Khan PK-25 Mardan-III 59 Malik Ijaz Khan PK-26 Mardan-IV 60 Haji Bahadar Khan PK-27 Mardan-V 61 Gohar Ali Shah PK-28 Mardan-VI 62 Muhammad Idress PK-29 Mardan-VII 63 Haji Litaf gul PK-30 Mardan-VIII 64 Gul Zamin Shah PK-31 Swabi-I 65 Amir Rehman PK-32 Swabi-II 66 Muhammad Ishfaq Khan PK-33 Swabi-III 67 Engineer Amjid Ali Khan PK-34 Swabi-IV 68 Muhammad Islam Khan PK-35 Swabi-V 69 Sarfaraz Khan PK-36 Swabi-VI 70 Syed Ibn e Ali PK-38 Kohat-II 71 Syed Shaffi Muhammad Zaman PK-39 Koaht-III 72 Nawab Zada Mohsin Ali Khan PK-41 Karak-II 73 Syed Hussain Ali Shah Al Hussaini PK-42 Hangu-I 74 Irshad Nabi Bangash PK-43 Hangu-II 75 Muhammad Saeed Khan PK-45 Abbottabad-II 76 Pir Babar Khan Abbasi PK-48 Abbottabad-V 77 Amjid Ali Chughtai PK-50 Haripur-II 78 Shoukat-ur-Rehman Mashwani PK-52 Haripur-IV 79 Aurangzeb Khan PK-55 Mansehra-III 80 Amanullah PK-56 Mansehra-IV 81 Namroz Khan Khankhel PK-58 Tor Ghar 82 Mohammad Ayaz Khan PK-59 Battagram-I 83 Muhammad Riaz PK-62 Kohistan-II 84 Tajan Malak PK-63 Kohistan-III 85 Makhdoom Syed Mureed Kazim Shah PK-68 D.I.Khan-V 86 Taimor Baz PK-71 Bannu-II 87 Sardrud Din Marwat PK-74 Lakki Marwat-I Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 5 of 64 Awami National Party S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 88 Muhammad Ibrahim PK-75 Lakki Marwat-II 89 Hamayun Khan PK-76 Lakki Marwat-III 90 Sardar Hussain PK-77 Bunair-I 91 Qaisar Wali Khan PK-78 Bunair-II 92 Said Rahim PK-79 Bunair-III 93 Wajid Ali Khan PK-80 Swat-I 94 Sher Shah PK-81 Swat-II 95 Waqar Ahmad Khan PK-82 Swat-III 96 Rehmat Ali PK-83 Swat-IV 97 Muhammad Ayub Khan PK-84 Swat-V 98 Jafar Shah PK-85 Swat-VI 99 Doctor Haidar Ali Khan PK-86 Swat-VII 100 Haji Said Fareen PK-87 Shangla-I 101 Anwar Ali PK-88 Shangla-II 102 Zafar Ahmad PK-89 Chitral-I 103 Shah Wazir Khan PK-90 Chitral-II 104 Naveed Anjum Khan PK-91 Upper Dir-I 105 Badshah Muhammad PK-92 Upper Dir-II 106 Amir Zaman Khan PK-93 Upper Dir-cum-Lower Dir (Old Upper Dir-III) 107 Muhammad Ayoub Khan PK-94 Lower Dir-I 108 Hidayat Ullah Khan PK-95 Lower Dir-II 109 Naeem Jan PK-96 Lower Dir-III 110 Hussain Shah PK-97 Lower Dir-IV 111 Shafi Ullah PK-98 Malakand Protected Area-I 112 Muhammad Shoaib PK-99 Malakand Protected Area-II Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 6 of 64 Awami Workers Party S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 1 Khan Zada NA-12 Swabi-I 2 Hakeem Khan NA-13 Swabi-II 3 Fanoos Gujar NA-28 Bunair 4 Kamal Shah NA-30 Swat-II 5 Fanoos Gujar NA-31 Shanglapar 6 Amir Muhammad Khan PK-29 Mardan-VII 7 Faqir Shah PK-30 Mardan-VIII 8 Fazal Rahim PK-31 Swabi-I 9 Muhammad Qamar PK-34 Swabi-IV 10 Sher Zaman Khan PK-78 Bunair-II 11 Muhammad Shoaib PK-79 Bunair-III 12 Mansoor Ali PK-83 Swat-IV 13 Sherin Muhammad Swati PK-84 Swat-V 14 Sher Rahman PK-86 Swat-VII 15 Advocate Ghulam Hazrat Inqilabi PK-89 Chitral-I 16 Malak Zahir Shah PK-92 Upper Dir-II Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 7 of 64 Hazara Awami Ittehad Pakistan S. No Constesting Candidate Constituency 1 Asad Javed Khan NA-18 Abbottabad-II 2 Ahmed Nawaz Khan Jadoon PK-44 Abbottabad-I 3 Asad Javed Khan PK-47 Abbottabad-IV 4 Muhammad Arif PK-53 Mansehra-I 5 Ijaz Ahmed PK-55 Mansehra-III Tuesday, April 23, 2013 Page 8 of 64 Hazara Qaumi Mahaz S.
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    Pakistan Equity| Strategy Jul 2, 2018 REP-057 AC Nabeel Khursheed Best Local Brokerage House [email protected] Brokers Poll 2011-14, 2016-17 Tel: +9221-35303330 Topline Securities, Pakistan www.jamapunji.pk Best Local Brokerage House 2015-16 Table of Contents Executive Summary ------------------------------------ 3 Election Outcome - Who Will Form the Next Government? ------------------------------------ 5 Pakistan’s Parliament Structure and Past Elections ------------------------------------ 20 Top Three Political Parties of Pakistan ------------------------------------ 28 5-Year Performance of Top 3 Political Parties ------------------------------------ 51 Politics of Electables and Political Engineering ------------------------------------ 69 Past Coalition Governments and Market Reaction ------------------------------------ 74 Appendix ------------------------------------ 78 PakistanHonda Atlas Politics Cars (HCAR) 2 Executive Summary . Pakistan will be gearing up for its second consecutive democratic government transition later this month. Observant and political experts term the upcoming polls (on July 25, 2018) as one of the most toughest and tightly contested elections in Pakistan’s history. Based on our analysis, we believe that there will be a neck to neck contest between PML-N and PTI. However, there is 75% probability that the new coalition Govt. will be led by PTI along with independents and smaller parties. Since it will be a close contest, there is a 25% likelihood that PML-N forms a coalition Govt. with PPP and other parties and independents. In a poll of leading Corporates and Fund Managers, 77% believe PTI to lead the next govt. and were equally split between PML-N and PTI as to who will get the highest number of seats. In another poll of top political experts, 75% of respondents were of the view that PTI will form the next govt.