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02/13/19 Farm Direction Van Trump Tim Francisco <[email protected]> GOOD MORNING: 02/13/19 Farm Direction ­ Van Trump Report 1 message The Van Trump Report <reply@vantrumpreport­email.com> Wed, Feb 13, 2019 at 7:08 AM Reply­To: Jordan <reply­fed4167277640478­314_HTML­36250946­100003450­1@vantrumpreport­email.com> To: [email protected] "We generate fears while we sit. We over come them by action. Fear is nature's way of warning us to get busy." ­ Dr. Henry Link 1822, Ashley Advertises for WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 13, 2019 Western Fur Trappers ­ Printable Copy or Audio Version Missouri Lieutenant Governor William Ashley places an Morning Summary: Stocks are slightly higher this morning as bulls remain optimistic advertisement in the Missouri about two nearby hurdles perhaps being cleared. Leaders in Washington seem to have Gazette and Public Advisor seeking 100 reached a budget compromise that will help avoid another government shutdown. There “enterprising young men” to engage in fur has also been more optimistic headlines circulating regarding Chinese trade. Headlines trading on the Upper Missouri. A Virginia were circulating yesterday that President Trump was “open” to letting the March 1 native, Ashley had moved to Missouri just Chinese trade deadline slide if the two countries are close to a deal by then. Technically, after President Thomas Jefferson the bulls are also extremely excited to see the S&P 500 move back above its 200­day concluded the Louisiana Purchase from moving average and post a new two­month high. Keep in mind, the last time the S&P France, which made the region American 500 closed back above the 200­DMA was on December 3rd. The cash contract is now territory. Young and eager to make a extremely close to entering the "back­to­even zone" I pointed out a few weeks back, up name for himself, he entered into a between 2750 and 2800. It's inside this range that many investors will find themselves partnership with Andrew Henry to begin getting back near even or being made whole from losses they incurred during the big manufacturing gunpowder and lead, two break in December. The psychological question is if investors will be anxious to cash in commodities that were in short supply in their chips and move to the sideline, breathing a huge sigh of relief, or will they be the new nation. During the War of 1812, wanting to raise their bets and press their luck into into the rally? I'm personally Ashley’s business prospered, and he also thinking we could be range bound this year and we are starting to push the upper­ joined the Missouri militia, where he limits. I think there could be further upside as long as the Fed and other global banks eventually earned the rank of general. stay dovish and more flexible. I also believe there could be more upside if a solid trade When Missouri became a state in 1822, resolution is confirmed and inked between U.S. and Chinese leaders. But I still think he used his business and military fame to there's some ongoing concerns and questions regarding U.S. forward looking corporate win election as lieutenant governor. guidance and just how much investors are going to be willing to pay for flattening Casting about for opportunities to enrich growth. I'm not saying the economy is falling apart by any means. I'm just saying, the both Missouri and his own pocketbook, stocks market is deep into a massive bull run and stock valuations aren't cheap. Ashley realized that St. Louis was ideally Meaning, we have to wonder if investors are going to pay up for the premium to situated to exploit the fur trade on the participate this late in the cycle? As for today's economic news, the trade will digest the upper Missouri River. Ashley recruited his latest Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the old friend Henry as a partner, and the two average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of men placed their famous advertisement consumer goods and services. Just to provide an idea of what happened with prices in asking for robust, adventurous young 2018... Food prices increased +1.6% from December 2017 to December 2018, the men to come west to join a fur trapping same as the previous year. Prices for food at home rose +0.6% in 2018, after rising expedition up the Missouri. Among the +0.9% in 2017. Interestingly, prices for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs fell ­0.4% in scores who responded and came to St. 2018, following a +2.8% increase in 2017. Prices for dairy and related products fell Louis were such future legendary ­0.1% in 2018, the fourth straight yearly decline. Energy prices fell ­0.3% in 2018, mountain men as Jedediah Smith and Jim after a +6.9% increase in 2017. Gasoline prices decreased ­2.1% in 2018, following a Bridger, as well as the famous river man +10.7% increase in 2017. Prices for natural gas increased for the third straight year in Mike Fink. In time, these men and dozens 2018, rising +2.3%, compared with +4.7% in 2017. Prices for electricity increased of others would uncover many of the +1.1% in 2018, after rising +2.6% in 2017. Medical care prices increased +2.0% in geographic mysteries of the Far West. In 2018, following a +1.8% increase in 2017. Prescription drug prices fell ­0.6% in 2018, 1822, Ashley and a small band of his fur while prices rose +3.7% for hospital services and +0.6% for physicians' services. Don't trappers built a trading post on the forget, there's also another big wave of corporate earnings scheduled for release today. Yellowstone River of Montana in order to Below is a simple chart showing the S&P 500 rebounding back above the 200­DMA. You expand outward from the Missouri River. can also see the heavier resistance on the charts up near 2800. Staying nimble... Arikara Indians, though, were deeply hostile to Ashley’s attempts to undercut Will U.S. Consumers Start Buying More Food Online? Twenty­two percent of their long­standing position as middlemen apparel sales and 30% of computer and electronics sales happen online today, but in the fur trade. Arikara attacks the same can be said for only 3% of grocery sales, according to a report from eventually forced the men to abandon the Deutsche Bank Securities. This is not true in every country. In South Korea, 20% Yellowstone post. Out of desperation, of consumers buy groceries online, and both in the United Kingdom and Japan, Ashley hit on a new strategy: instead of 7.5% of consumers do, according to Kantar Consulting. But those are countries building central permanent forts along the with just a few large population centers, which makes it easier for delivery major rivers, he decided to send his companies to set up shop in a few big cities and access a huge amount of trappers overland in small groups purchasing power. In the United States, by contrast, people are spread out around traveling by horseback. By avoiding the rural, urban, and suburban areas, making it hard to reach a majority of shoppers river arteries, the trappers could both from just a few physical locations. In South Korea and Japan, customers are also escape detection by hostile Indians and more comfortable with shopping on their phone than consumers are in countries develop untapped new fur regions. Almost like the United States. In June 2017, Amazon bought Whole Foods for $13.4 billion by accident, Ashley invented the famous and started rolling out grocery delivery for Prime members in cities across the “rendezvous” system that revolutionized country; analysts predicted at the time that the company’s logistics know­how the American fur trade. In order for the would allow it to leverage Whole Foods stores to dominate grocery delivery. Also in trappers to obtain necessary supplies and 2017, Walmart acquired Parcel, a same­day, last­mile delivery company. Two deliver their furs, Ashley told the trappers months after that, Target said it was buying Shipt, a same­day delivery service. to meet with him in a large meadow near Kroger announced last May that it was partnering with Ocado, a British online the Henry’s Fork of Wyoming’s Green grocer, to speed up delivery with robotically operated warehouses. Companies like River in the early summer of 1825. This ALDI, Food Lion, and Publix have started working with Instacart to deliver groceries first fur trapper rendezvous proved a from their stores. FreshDirect recently opened a highly automated 400,000­square­ huge success. Ashley took home a tidy foot delivery center and says it plans to expand its reach. You can read more at The profit for his efforts, while the fur Atlantic trappers not only had an opportunity to trade for supplies, but a chance to enjoy National Debt Tops $22 Trillion for the First Time: The Treasury Department a few weeks of often drunken socializing. reported the debt hit $22.012 trillion, a jump of more than $30 billion just this After organizing a second highly profitable month. The nation has added more than $1 trillion in debt in the last 11 months. rendezvous in 1826, Ashley decided to The biggest drivers are the aging population, high healthcare costs, and growing sell out. His rendezvous system, though, interest payments. We have to hope the improved business landscape and more continued to be used by others, and people working will increase tax revenue and start paying down the debt.
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