IOM CCCM MOVEMENT TREND TRACKING BAIDOA 24th – 30th Aug 2018

KEY MESSAGES

• This week there were 158 new arrivals and only 48 exits at the Baidoa checkpoints. Lowest recorded of exit since March of this year. This represents the fifth week in a row that the number of exits has remained below 200. In general, since mid-July all movements in and out of Baidoa IDP sites have remained relatively low compared with previous months.

• The key driving factors for displacement into the IDP sites varied as given in the breakdowns: Shortage of food (42%), seeking education opportunities (23%), joining the rest of the family (15%), seek healthcare facilities (15%) and other reasons (5%).

• The new arrivals came from the districts of Baidoa (52%), Qansx Dheere district (15%), (15%), Rab dhuure district (13%) and Dinsoor district (5%). They said that they intended to move into the IDP sites of Goof Gaduud Burey (13%), Alle Suge-2 (11%), Alla Tuug (9%), Hagarka Mada Gari (9%), Dolow-2 (8%), Bodaan-2 (6%), Abag Haluul (5%), Bakal Gaduud (5%), Baqaley Riibo (4%), Asha Gabo-2 (4%), Hiyaado Weyn (4%), Eesow (4%), Buur Edoy (4%), Banbusul (3%), Fanoole (3%), Ufurow (3%), MTT enumerator interviews IDPs Alfurqan-2 (2%), Bodaan-1 (2%) and Dusti (1%) arriving in Baidoa last week. © Ahmed Ali, IOM Somalia 2018

• Almost all those leaving Baidoa reported they are going to manage their farms (83%) and 17% reported they are going to join their families in the place of origin. Those exiting were from the IDPs sites of Afmadow (50%), Arsham (33%), Banow (10%) and Moora Gabay (7%). 50% of the exits were returning to , (33%) Dinsoor district, (10%) Buur Hakaba district and (7%) Hudur district. All of the families said they intend to return to the IDP sites in the future.

Entries and Exits at Baidoa MTT Checkpoints Entries Exits 2200 2028 2000 1800 1600 1400 1309 1183 1200 1000 718 800 645 640 655 589 600 526 421 426 374 330 400 256 252 266 265 207 218 136 141 162 145 158 92 92 94 120 99 200 45 60 56 82 67 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -21 -26 -32 -13 -52 -43 -75 -48 -200 -112 -107 -102 -117 -153 -163 -171 -199 -250 -217 -400 -295 -309 -297 -299 -364 -362 -384 -410 -600 -495 -800

-1000 5July 04 Apr 18 01 Mar 18 03 May 18 01 Feb 18 04 Jan 18 - - - 12July 19July 26July - - - 14June 21June 28June -984 - 29 - 6 2August 7June 18 8 11 Jan 18 18 Jan 18 25 Jan 18 13 - 20 - - 19 Apr 18 26 Apr 18 08 Feb 18 15 Feb 18 22 Feb 18 12 Aprl 18 08 Mar 18 15 Mar 18 22 Mar 18 29 Mar 18 10 May 18 17 May 18 24 May 18 31 May 18 09 August 16 August 23 August 30 August 15 - 22 -

-1200 1 27 - 05 - 12 - 19 - 13 - 20 - 02 - 09 - 16 - 06 - 29 Dec 30 Mar 02 - 09 - 16 - 23 - 04 - 11 - 18 - 25 - 23 Feb 26 Jan 27 Apr 03 - 10 - 17 - 24 -

METHODOLOGY

Movement Trend Tracking (MTT) is a movement monitoring exercise that tracks people who are moving in or out of sites on a semi-permanent or permanent basis. MTT aims to gauge the pulse of movements in and out of sites in Baidoa.

MTT figures should not be considered official updates to the population figures of the sites. Rather, the data represents the intentions of IDPs and points towards general trends in their movements.

In Baidoa, IOM enumerators are positioned at the 4 main checkpoints in and out of town (shown on the map on the right) from 6:30am until 5:30pm, 7 days a week.

From these checkpoints, the teams identify people who are moving in or out of Baidoa with luggage. Interviews are done with MTT checkpoints around Baidoa the individual or the head of town household.

MTT aims to complement existing information management products on displacements and movements in Baidoa, by providing site level specific data on population movements on a regular basis, to assist agencies operating in sites and settlements with key information on: demographics of movement, area of origin, area of return/onward movement, reasons for movement and movement trends over time.

IOM MTT enumerators identifying IDPs exiting from IDP sites and conducting interviews with the heads of household. © Ahmed Ali, IOM Somalia 2018