Exile and Return: the Development of Political Prophecy on the Borders of England, C.1136-1450S

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Exile and Return: the Development of Political Prophecy on the Borders of England, C.1136-1450S Exile and Return: The Development of Political Prophecy on the Borders of England, c.1136-1450s by Victoria E. Flood, BA (Cantab) MPhil (Cantab) A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University of York Centre for Medieval Studies March 2013 i Abstract This thesis traces the development of political prophecy in England from the publication of Geoffrey of Monmouth’s Prophetiae Merlini (c.1136-40), to political prophecies in circulation on the eve of the Wars of the Roses. A genre endorsing and naturalising territorial claims, political prophecy was a powerful mode of communal and national address. In the construction of these rights, the authors of English political prophecy leant heavily on contemporary Welsh and Scottish counterclaims, material which was re-inscribed and employed as an endorsement of English hegemony. An assessment of cross-border influences is fundamental for a balanced study of the genre. From Geoffrey of Monmouth’s re-inscription of Welsh prophetic material, to the northern English prophecies ascribed to Thomas of Erceldoune and antecedent texts on the Anglo-Scottish border drawing on Scottish materials, and the later circulation of Erceldoune prophecies on the Anglo-Welsh border, the movement of prophetic material across national lines proved formative. In the study of these sites of re-inscription in this thesis, each text is orientated in its broader geo-political and historical context. This is a scholarly practice which presents a radical departure from a critical framework which in recent years has understood these very different works, composed and circulating in relation to different geo-political and historical factors, as monolithically ‘Celtic’. In the historical development of these prophetic traditions, as they were reapplied by consecutive groups and factions within England and on its borders, the affinities of the border aristocracy played an important role. Political prophecy functioned as a powerful hegemonic strategy, staking political-territorial claims, both regional and more recognisably national. On occasion political prophecy was drawn on directly by members of the aristocracy themselves: most prolifically, the Percy earls of Northumberland; and the Mortimer earls of March, and later Yorkist claimants to the throne. ii Contents Acknowledgements page vii Declaration ix Introduction: English Political Prophecy and the Idea of the Celtic Fringe 1 Literary Scholarship and Medieval Prophecy 2 Theoretical Framework 7 Chapter Overview 10 1. Exile and Return: The Applications of Welsh Political Prophecy 15 in the Prophetiae Merlini, Expugnatio Hibernica, and Prophecy of the Eagle 1.1 Prophetiae Merlini 16 Geoffrey’s Programme 18 Geoffrey’s Welsh Sources 21 The Omen of the Dragons 23 Myrddin Prophecies of the Black Book of Carmarthen 31 The Pan-Celtic Alliance 33 1. 2 The Giraldian Prophecies of Merlin Silvester 43 The Book of Merlin Silvester 45 Gerald’s Welsh Sources 49 Gerald’s Self-censorship 53 1.3 The Prophecy of the Eagle 57 BL, Cotton Faustina MS A. viii 58 Original Date of the Prophecy 59 A Syncretic Text 61 The Author-Compiler’s Welsh Sources 65 Conclusion 69 2. English Expansionism and the Pan-Celtic Threat: Prophecy of the Six Kings to Follow John and its Northern Reception History 70 2.1 The Six Kings 72 Uses of the Prophetiae Merlini 74 iii The Boar and the Last World Emperor 78 The Boar and the Arthurian Crusader 80 Arthur and Insular Overlordship 83 The Merlinian Prophecies of Pierre de Langtoft 85 Regnum scotorum 88 Insular Splitting 91 2.2 Als Y Yod 94 BL, Cotton MS Julius A. v 95 Historical Allusions in the Ballad 97 Cultural Encounters on the Anglo-Scottish Border 104 English Scots and Scottish English 106 Political Eschatology and the Pan-Celtic Union 109 Conclusion 113 3. The Arthurian King of England on the Anglo-Scottish Border: The English Erceldoune Tradition, c.1335-88 114 3.1 Thomas de Essedoune’s Reply 115 The Harley Reply and the Anti-Scottish Tradition 120 Scottish Background Traditions 122 3.2 The Arundel Reply 127 3.3 The Romance and Prophecies of Thomas of Erceldoune 129 The Manuscripts 131 Summary of the Text 133 English and Scottish Influences 135 The Royal English Hero 139 The Historical Function of the Original Text 145 The Anglo-Scottish Border, c.1380s 146 Contemporary Scottish Prophetic Influences 148 The Contentions of Earlier Scholarship 149 Richard II and Imperial Prophecy 151 The Holy Oil 152 The Romance and Prophecies and Hotspur 154 Conclusion 159 iv 4. Re-drawing the Map of Insular Power: Cock in the North as Percy-ite Prophecy 160 The Percies 163 Percy Mythology 165 Synopsis of the Text 167 Manuscript Witnesses 168 Some Previous Misconceptions 173 The Influence of the Prophecies of John of Bridlington 177 The Uses of Richard II 181 Hotspur and the Prophecy of the Bastard 182 ‘Troy Vntrew’ 185 The Lion’s Rule 187 English Pan-Celticism and the Six Kings 189 Percy Prophecy and the Tripartite Indenture 194 Percy Prophecy in 1453 196 Conclusion 201 5. The Long Memory of 1405: The Mid-Fifteenth-Century Development of Proto-Yorkist Political Prophecy, from the Welsh Border to London 202 Anglo-Welsh Literature and National (Re)identifications 204 From Percy-ite to Proto-Yorkist Meanings 206 A Focus for Welsh Expectations 208 Mortimer Mythology 211 BL, Cotton Nero MS A. iv 213 5.1 NLW, Peniarth 26 216 S Mysed 218 When Rome is Removyd, C-text 225 5.2 BL, Cotton Roll, II.23 227 The Manuscript 228 Jack Cade and John Mortimer 229 Erceldoune Prophecies and the Revolt 239 Prophecy Professid 233 The Erceldoune Hero in 1450 241 Conclusion 243 v Conclusion: Political Prophecy and the Borders of England, c.1136-1450s 244 Appendix 1: The Relationship between Prophecy of the Eagle, the Prophetiae Merlini, and the Prophecies of the Expugnatio Hibernica 246 Transcription with Analogues 246 Translations 249 Sources for Interpretations 252 Appendix 2: The Structural Relationship of the Romance and Prophecies of Thomas of Erceldoune to the earlier Erceldoune Tradition 254 Appendix 3: The Geographical and Political Provenance of Cock in the North Witnesses, Mid to Late Fifteenth Century 256 Appendix 4: Early Fifteenth-century Illustrated Glosses on the Prophetiae Merlini, BL, Cotton Nero A. iv, fols 73r-75v 257 Appendix 5: Diplomatic Transcriptions of S Mysed 261 1. NLW, Peniarth MS 26, pp.112-16 261 2. BL, Cotton Rolls, II. 23 266 Appendix 6: Composite Elements of the Peniarth 26 S Mysed 268 1. Key Source Materials 268 2. Revised English Couplet Version of the Six Kings, from Bodleian Library, Hatton MS 56, fols 43r-45r, alongside Second Revised English Couplet Version, from Peniarth 26, pp.113-16 271 Appendix 7: Diplomatic Transcriptions of Prophecy Professid 275 1. NLW, Peniarth MS 50, pp.221-26 275 2. BL, Cotton Roll, II. 23 278 Abbreviations 288 vi Bibliography 290 Figures Figure 1: Alois Brandl’s stemma of the manuscripts of the Romance and Prophecies 132 of Thomas of Erceldoune vii Acknowledgements First and foremost, I would like to thank Helen Fulton, without whose support, encouragement, and knowledge of the field, this thesis would have been impossible. Thanks are also greatly due to Mark Ormrod, whose guidance and intellectual generosity over the past eighteenth months has been invaluable. I would also like to thank Liz Herbert MacAvoy for her supervision and advice during my time at Swansea. This thesis was funded by a scholarship from the Humanities and Arts Research Centre at Swansea University (2009-11), and from 2011-13, the Centre for Medieval Studies at the University of York, the Baron Bequest of the International Arthurian Association, and the Federation of Women Graduates, in addition to a doctoral scholarship from the Arts and Humanities Research Centre at the University of York for the current academic year. I would like to express my gratitude to all of these funding bodies. The manuscript research for this thesis was made possible through the support of a number of institutions. Thanks are due to the librarians at the National Library of Wales, the British Library, Cambridge University Library, the Bodleian Library, Gray’s Inn Library, the library of Trinity College, Dublin, and Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge. Manuscript research was undertaken with the financial support of the Society for the Study of Medieval Languages and Literature, and the Elizabeth Salter Fund of the Centre for Medieval Studies, University of York. Thanks are also due to Aisling Byrne, whose enthusiasm and formidable knowledge has been invaluable over the past few years, and whose comments on a draft of this thesis have been much appreciated. I am also grateful to Joanna Bellis for her comments on Chapter Two, and general good sense, and Emily Wingfield for sharing her thoughts on CUL, Kk. I. v. Thanks also are due to Aisling Byrne and Megan Leitch for their comments on an article on Thomas of Erceldoune, which formed the basis for Chapter Three of this thesis, and Jessica Lockhart and the rest of the MPhil class of 2008-09 for a year which proved truly formative. I would also like to express my thanks for the support of my fellow students at the Centre for Medieval Studies, in particular Dale Kedwards, Hollie Morgan, Jane Heloise- viii Nancarrow, and Heidi Stoner. Thanks are also due to Helen Kingstone for her proofreading; Erika Kvistad for her voice of experience; and Gillian Galloway and Brittany Scowcroft. Most of all, I want to thank my family for their encouragement. Particular thanks are due to my parents, Steve and Kookie Flood, especially my mother who in the final weeks has spent almost as much time with the Geraldines, Mortimers, and Percies, as I have. I am greatly indebted to her proofreading skills.
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