Conference Program Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China People's Government of Sichuan Province China Earthquake Administration
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International Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with th The 4 International Conference on Continental Earthquakes th (The 4 ICCE) and 汶川地震十周年国际研讨会 th The 12 General Assembly of 暨第四届大陆地震国际研讨会 http://www.4thICCE.com/ 亚洲地震委员会第 12 次大会 the Asian Seismological Commission (ASC) 2018 年 5 月 12-14 日 中国·成都 组织机构: 中华人民共和国应急管理部 四川省人民政府 中国地震局 Organized and hosted by Conference Program Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China People's Government of Sichuan Province China Earthquake Administration May 12-14,2018 Chengdu,Sichuan,China Program at a glance Crystal Ballroom Crystal Ballroom( Ⅱ ) Crystal Ballroom( Ⅲ ) Jinjiang Hall Qingyang Hall Chenghua Hall Shujin Hall Shuhan Hall Shushan Hall Shushui Hall Shuyun Hall Shufeng Hall Tianfu Hall Shudu Hall Xindu Hall Level 5 Level 5 Level 5 Level 5 Level 5 Level 5 Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 Level 5 Fri, May 11, 18:30-20:00 Ice Breaker Sat, May 12, 08:30-10:00 POC 09:00-10:00 Sat, May 12, 10:30-12:00 PK-1 Sat, May 12, 12:00-13:30 Lunch BM-2 7TCEAGND SP-1 ASC SOC China RE SOC Sat, May 12, 13:30-15:00 S3-3-6 S1-1-3 S1-2-3 S3-1-5 S2-1-1 SOC S1-2-2 S2-1-3 TK-2 S4-1-2 TK-1 TK-2 TK-1 Sat, May 12, 15:30-18:00 S3-3-6 S1-1-2 S1-2-3 S3-1-5 S2-1-1 S1-2-2 S2-1-3 S4-1-2 S2-2-3 S3-1-3 TK-3 Sun, May 13, 08:30-10:00 S1-2-3 S3-1-6 S2-4-1 S2-4-2 S2-3-4 BM-5 S1-1-1 S3-1-1 S3-1-3 Sun, May 13, 10:30-12:00 PK-2 Sun, May 13, 12:00-13:30 Lunch BM-6 Lunch SP-2 BM-3 TK-4 TK-5 Sun, May 13, 13:30-15:00 S2-3-2 S2-2-1 S3-1-6 S2-4-1 S3-1-3 S2-3-4 S4-1-3 S1-2-4 S4-1-4 S3-1-1 Sun, May 13, 15:30-18:00 S2-2-1 S2-3-6 S2-4-1 S2-2-2 S3-1-3 S2-3-4 S4-1-3 S1-2-4 S3-1-1 TK-6 Mon, May 14, 08:30-10:00 BM-7 S2-2-1 S2-1-2 S4-2-1 S1-2-1 S2-3-4 S4-1-1 S2-3-5 S3-1-7 S3-1-3 Mon, May 14, 10:30-12:00 PK-3 Mon, May 14, 12:00-13:30 Lunch SP-3 BM-4 Mon, May 14, 13:30-15:00 S5-1-2 S2-2-1 S2-1-2 S2-5-3 S1-2-1 S3-1-3 S2-4-3 S5-1-1 S2-3-1 S3-2-4 Mon, May 14, 15:30-17:00 S5-1-2 S2-2-1 S2-1-2 S2-5-3 S1-2-1 S3-1-3 S2-4-3 BM-1 S2-3-1 S3-2-4 Mon, May 14, 17:10-18:00 PCC PK: Plenary Keynote; TK: Thematic Keynote; POC: Plenary Opening Ceremony; SOC: Session Opening Ceremony; PCC: Plenary Closing Ceremony; BM: Business Meeting SP-1: Poster Session, including S1-1-2 P, S1-1-3 P, S1-2-2 P, S1-2-3 P, S2-1-1 P, S2-1-3 P, S2-2-3 P, S3-1-3 P, S3-1-5 P, S3-3-6 P, S4-1-2 P SP-2: Poster Session, including S1-1-1 P, S1-2-3 P, S1-2-4 P, S2-2-1 P, S2-2-2 P, S2-3-2 P, S2-3-4 P, S2-3-6 P, S2-4-1 P, S2-4-2 P, S3-1-1 P, S3-1-3 P, S3-1-6 P, S4-1-3 P, S4-1-4 P SP-3: Poster Session, including S1-2-1 P, S2-1-2 P, S2-2-1 P, S2-3-1 P, S2-3-4 P, S2-3-5 P, S2-4-3 P, S2-5-3 P, S3-1-3 P, S3-1-7 P, S3-2-4 P, S4-1-1 P, S4-2-1 P, S5-1-1 P, S5-1-2 P 08 09 Keynote Iectures 10 11 Saturday, 12 May Monday, 14 May Plenary Keynote 1 Plenary Keynote 3 Time: 10:30-12:00 Time: 10:30-12:00 Venue: Crystal Ballroom (Level 5) Venue: Crystal Ballroom Ⅰ (Level 5) Convenor: Yun-tai CHEN, Alexey ZAVYALOV Convenor: Zhongliang WU, Paramesh BANERJEE 10:30-11:00 Guoguang ZHENG Decade review and prospective of seismic risk 10:30-11:00 Peizhen ZHANG Seismogenis structure and mechanism mitigation in China of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, Sichuan, China 11:00-11:30 Paul TAPPONNIER DEM modelling of the Tertiary Deformation of 11:00-11:30 Thorne LAY The 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and the Pamir and adjacent blocks advances in earthquake science 11:30-12:00 Invited Lecture by Sichuan Provincial Government 11:30-12:00 Jeffrey FREYMUELLER The earthquake cycle on the Denali fault, Alaska, and its implications for the study of great earthquakes in Asia Sunday, 13 May Plenary Keynote 2 Time: 10:30-12:00 Venue: Crystal Ballroom Ⅰ (Level 5) Convenor: Yong CHEN, Giuliano PANZA 10:30-11:00 John E. VIDALE SCEC and the science of earthquake forecasts 11:00-11:30 Yun-tai CHEN Fast inversion of earthquake rupture process and its application in earthquake emergency responses 11:30-12:00 Ikuo TOWHATA Disaster-proneness of residential land and efforts towards improvement 12 13 The 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake and the Practice in China for Earthquake Disaster Resilience Guoguang ZHENG Vice-Minister,Ministry of Emergency Management, People's Republic of China Administrator, China Earthquake Administration Saturday, 12 May From 10:30-11:00 Crystal Ballroom (Level 5) 14 15 DEM modelling of the Tertiary Deformation of the Pamir and adjacent blocks Paul Tapponnier, Jiao Liqing, Priyamvada Nanjundiah, and Sylvain Barbot EOS/ASE, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore The occurrence of two recent, shallow, strike- The two fault systems accommodate part of slip earthquakes in the Pamirs help elucidate India/Tibet’s northwest prong’s convergence, the tectonic processes that control 3D crustal as it crashes on the strong, southern edge deformation around the Northwest corner of of Paleozoic Asia. They foster westward and the India/Asia collision zone. InSAR data, and eastward extrusion of Tajikistan and Tibet, the focal mechanisms of these two events - respectively. Key elements of such complex, 12/2015, MW 7.2, South-Karakul, and 11/2016, large-scale faulting and continental strain may MW 6.6, West-Muji earthquakes – are consistent be modelled using the Yade DEM deformation with respectively left- and right-lateral strike- code. DEM modelling of the Tertiary Deformation of slip motion on two conjugate, respectively NE- the Pamir and adjacent blocks and EW-striking faults. On high-resolution optical images, the two corresponding active Paul TAPPONNIER fault- systems can be mapped for several Nanyang Technological University hundreds kilometres to connect with the Member of the French Academy of Sciences, Pandchir/Chaman and Karakorum fault Foreign associate member of the National systems, respectively. The former - hitherto Academy of Science (USA), undocumented - connection across high- Fellow of American Geophysical Union mountain terrane and glacial topography, is marked by clear surface-breaks and alignments of large, river-damming landslides. Saturday, 12 May From 11:00-11:30 Crystal Ballroom (Level 5) 16 17 SCEC and the science of earthquake forecasts John E. Vidale, Greg C. Beroza, Thomas H. Jordan University of Southern California This talk reviews new ideas about earthquakes and the result that most directly benefits those that we’ve learned at the Southern California living in California, is the improvement of maps Earthquake Center (SCEC), and where we’re of earthquake danger. We find the tectonic fault headed next. lines, gauge their geological rates of motion, and The danger and cost of earthquakes has model their patterns of rupture and reloading focused public fear and research effort in in order to resolve the earthquakes we are likely California since long before the devastating to face. Bysimulating, in the nation’s largest 1906 San Francisco and 1933 Long Beach computers, the trembling for millions of those events. Precise earthquake prediction, earthquakes through high-fidelity models of the heralded as imminent in the 1970s, has rocks just under our feet, we are step-by-step SCEC and the science of earthquake forecasts faltered, maybe permanently, but nevertheless wringing the uncertainty out of the nation’s there is progress. earthquake hazard maps. John E. VIDALE Hosted at USC, with 16 core institutions and We are on the verge of making the hazard Southern California Earthquake Center, Director more than 60 affiliated organizations, SCEC estimation process entirely physics-based - built involves more than 1000 quake cognoscenti. on models with realistic patterns of fault slip Funding comes from the National Science on realistic fault surfaces, accurate models of Sunday, 13 May Foundation, the United States Geological geological structure, and with the latest models From 10:30-11:00 Survey, and special projects with foundation of earthquake cycles on fault systems. Some Crystal Ballroom I (Level 5) and corporate partners. We are uncloaking the aspects of the old hazard maps are confirmed. mysteries in plate tectonics, the San Andreas Other aspects, particularly the strength of the fault system, and how the ground is driven reverberations in the soft Los Angeles basin and to shake.