Agents of the Regime? Electoral clientelism and traditional leaders in South Africa∗ Daniel de Kadty Horacio A. Larreguyz This version: March 18, 2014 Words: 9188 Abstract In many developing democracies traditional leaders are afforded sub-national territorial authority. Though ubiquitous, the political consequences of their power has received little rigorous attention. In particular, traditional leaders, whose power often depends on the national state, may be incentivized to strategically support political parties who can guarantee their survival and provide them with rents. We study this clientelistic \quid pro quo" in the Apartheid-era independent ethnic homelands of South Africa, or \Bantustans". Using two sources of variation { the 100-year old borders of the Bantustans and contemporary shifts in ties between traditional leaders and political elites { we find that empowering traditional authorities can have significant electoral consequences. Our estimates suggest that traditional leaders in South Africa provide electoral benefits of roughly 6.5 percentage points to the ruling African National Congress (ANC), a party which has protected traditional rulers both politically and legislatively since the end of Apartheid. We then investigate two potential mechanisms that have received attention in much recent work. ∗Thank you to Laura Chirot, Jens Hainmueller, and Melissa Sands. Members of MIT's Graduate Student Work in Progress forum provided helpful feedback. All remaining errors are our own. yDepartment of Political Science, MIT,
[email protected]. zDepartment of Government, Harvard University,
[email protected]. 1 1.Introduction From sub-Saharan Africa to south-east Asia, unelected leaders are often afforded sub-national territorial authority.1 This phenomenon is particularly evident in Africa, where \chiefs", or traditional leaders whose immediate legitimacy resides in historical socio-cultural custom, serve as unelected leaders (Lange, 2009; Logan, 2009; Acemoglu et al., 2013; Baldwin, 2013; Koter, 2013; Logan, 2013).