Astronomical Alignments As the Cause of ~M6+ Seismicity
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arXiv.org - 1104.2036 v.7 Astronomical alignments as the cause of ~M6+ seismicity Mensur Omerbashich The Bosnian Royal Family, P.O. Box 1, Sarajevo, Bosnia The European Royal Society, [email protected]; cc: [email protected] I here demonstrate empirically my georesonator concept in which tidally induced magnification of Earth masses’ resonance causes seismicity on Earth. To that end, I show that all strong (~M6+) earthquakes of 2010 occurred during Earth’s long (Δt > 3 days) astronomical alignments within our solar system. I then show that the same holds true for all very strong (~M8+) earthquakes of the decade of 2000’s. Finally, the strongest (M8.6+) earthquakes of the past century are shown to have occurred during Earth’s multiple long alignments, too, whereas half of the high-strongest (M9+) earthquakes occurred during Full Moon. To add to my solution’s robustness, I include alignments to the comet C/2010 X1 (Elenin) as it is the only heavenly body currently in our solar system besides planets, and show that it impacted very strong seismicity since 2007 (and strongest seismicity, perhaps since 1965). I conclude my empirical demonstration with a six- month, 100%-successful forecast of M6+ magnification, performed online in near real-time from October 2011 until April 2012, and which shows always the same, fractal pattern of intensifying-peaking-diminishing of strong earthquakes’ strength during long alignments, and the absence of the pattern outside alignments. Days without killer quake can now be known exactly, amounting to several months a year of exact seismic forecast (telling with certainty there will be no strong seisms on that-and-that date). Approximate forecast of strength and timing of strong earthquakes is feasible for the rest of the year, as well as of location once the alignment starts. I thus verified my hyperresonator concept too, arrived at earlier as a mathematical- physical solution to the most general extension of georesonator. As gravity can now be expressed in terms of speed of light, hyperresonance is akin to tuning forks triggering each other at a distance, which infers the existence of aether as required for propagation of mutually tuning (or, interfering) oscillations in Space. Introduction Geophysics cannot explain the mechanism forcing of the Earth by all celestial objects that supplies most of the energy required for presently found in our solar system as well. tectonogenesis and overall seismicity on Units of time are given to within ±1 day, Earth [1]. On the other hand, Earth’s ~M7+ as differential orbital inclinations in the seismicity can arise as a natural response of nearly co-planar solar system can be safely our planet to its alignments with other ignored. Unless stated otherwise, here by celestial objects, Sun/Moon in particular, so alignments I mean Earth’s long alignments that seismicity exhibits up to 3-day phase and (Δt > 3 day) with two other bodies in our maximum displacement up to ~10 m that solar system. The alignments were estimated correspond to M9.5 quakes – the strongest to ±1 arc°, where spatial angles were allowed in luni-solar georesonator (the Earth expressed in units of time (days). The ‘~’ thought of as a mechanical oscillator forced means ±5%, except for the M6 threshold that by celestial bodies) [2]. That is the extreme was set (when creating the sample) so as to case-scenario for our solar system. make the sample large enough for depicting a I verified the georesonator concept pattern of resonance magnification proposed theoretically, by extending it to the most by [2]. So the M6- earthquakes used in this general realm – that of the hyperresonator study were those flagged by USGS as (the Universe thought of as a mechanical significant for deaths. They are few, so they oscillator forced by yet outer Universes). As should not alter the result. Note that the M6 the result, a remarkable mathematical threshold was proper also because the M6+ solution was obtained: the first analytical earthquakes emit ~70%+ of energy released expression for gravitational constant, G, was by all earthquakes. This makes the M6.5 a derived, for various scales [3]. Here, instead safe choice for threshold in search for an of regarding just the Moon-Sun forcing, I unknown mechanism responsible for most of expand the georesonator so to consider the Earth’s tectonogenesis and seismicity. M in this paper marks Mw, unless stated otherwise. Verification The georesonator concept is herein verified Earth’s alignments to significant bodies of by comparing the epochs of the last year’s mass in our solar system. Here ‘significant’ strong (~M6+), the last decade’s very strong are all objects between the Sun and the (~M8+), as well as the last century’s Neptune’s orbit, which can cause strongest (M8.6+) seismicity, against the gravitational shadowing on the Earth, akin to 1 arXiv.org - 1104.2036 v.7 that caused by the Sun/Moon [2] [3]. So I forced mechanical oscillator at work. Such a include the following celestial objects in this pattern would also require for strong quakes verification: the Sun, the Mercury, the Venus, to be occurring at remote locations, as the the Mars, the Jupiter, the Saturn, the Uranus, level of energy released lines up in an orderly the Neptune, and the comet C/2010X1 fashion due to external mechanical forcing of (Elenin). The Elenin is included for two main the entire planet i.e. regardless of location. If reasons: first, it drags gravitationally locked such a pattern were demonstrated, it would particles around 30,000+ km across, at the mean that tides do not trigger earthquakes ~1º inclination, making its gravitational directly (by causing stress/strain release), but shadowing significant for proving the that they trigger resonance magnification georesonator. Secondly, it passed the Uranus instead, which then acts as an intermediary orbit (on the Elenin’s own sling-orbit about giving rise to Earth’s shaking (earthquakes), the Sun) within the previous decade, adding cracking (faults), magma flow (tectonics), to this verification's robustness in terms of and differential core rotation as a downward very strong seismicity. From the practical continuation of the magnified vibration. This point of view, the inclusion of the Elenin was already speculated in [2]. improves robustness of the empirical test I select year 2010 as it contained the while the geophysics community is clueless most robust data, supposedly due to the as to the source of most of the energy proximity of the comet Elenin. Without a supplied to the Earth and required for permanent state of unrest, meaning tectonogenesis (mantle/plates dynamics), as alignments and oscillations going on around well as for causing strong earthquakes [1]. the clock, there could be no magnification of The georesonator and its generalization, the such an unrest going on all year round either, hyperresonator, account for that universally, which is also why one cannot speak of any i.e., regardless of what heavenly object one is correlations/angles whatsoever in this study, talking about. For example, if we know that let alone search for those. What one can do volcanoes on Earth erupt with burning-hot though is search for the above-described, lava, but on Titan they spew ice-cold dominant patterns that are repetitive during ammonia, the cause of volcanic or, generally, a long alignment and from alignment-to- mantle dynamics on Earth cannot lie in alignment, as the fingerprint of the claimed thermo-nuclear reactions and processes, but mechanism. Since there cannot exist any is essentially mechanical. intermediary for transferring the energy The use of the previous decade gives ten between the whole Earth and the Solar years of seismic data that are same in kind system, other than that of the proposed but entirely independent from the (1990's) mechanism, if found, the pattern would data I had used to prove the georesonator represent an empirical proof of the mathematically-physically [2] [3]. The JPL mechanism itself. So alignments relevant for Orbit Solutions for C/2010X1 (16 and 23 seismicity and strong seismicity forecasting March 2011) were used for resolving the are those which are closest in time to the alignments [4]. The earthquake reference- strong earthquake itself, regardless if they data are from USGS [5], and lunar phases are occurred "exactly on time" or not, as from NASA [6]. Then this verification is numerous physical-chemical inner factors methodological. No statistical testing was affect the timing of magnification and its done due to: relatively small sample sizes, culmination in particular. That a pattern- diverse distributions [2] and mathematical- making M6+ magnification occurs during a physical verification having been achieved long alignment is far more significant for already (and via independent reasoning) [3]. earthquake forecast than the question of Then in order to empirically verify the when exactly that alignment begins or ends. georesonator concept, it suffices to show that, Secondly, one has to show that the very first, all strong earthquakes of 2010 occurred strong decadal earthquakes occurred during during alignments and in self-evident fashion long alignments as well. Lastly, the past (meaning: the kinetic energy always flares in century’s strongest earthquakes must be the same fashion, i.e., makes the same kind demonstrated also to have occurred during of serial pattern within a given alignment as long alignments as well. Curiously enough, well as alignment-to-alignment). Obviously the total number of long alignments and very in a forced mechanical oscillator, the pattern strong earthquakes was nearly the same over takes form of increase-peaking-decrease of the selected test periods, where ‘nearly’ energy emissions (here in ~M6+ seismicity). depicts the difference ascribable solely to Such a pattern would be the fingerprint of a earthquakes of lower magnitude class.