Draft – not for citation Second Time Lucky? The Continuing Adaptation of Voters and Parties to the Single Transferable Vote in Scotland Dr. Alistair Clark, School of Geography, Politics & Sociology, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU. E:
[email protected] Draft – Comments are very welcome but not for citation without the author’s permission. This is a pre-print of an article submitted for consideration in Representation © 2012 McDougall Trust, London. Representation (and the final forthcoming revised version of the article) is available online at: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rrep20 1 Draft – not for citation Second Time Lucky? The Continuing Adaptation of Voters and Parties to the Single Transferable Vote in Scotland Abstract The 2012 round of Scottish local elections, held as a standalone contest, under STV provides a clearer indication of how STV has impacted on political behaviour than the previous round in 2007 which was held concurrently with elections to the Scottish parliament. Utilising aggregate ward-level data, this article presents a preliminary analysis of how parties and voters have adapted to the new system. It finds that voters have adapted well to STV, and that party loyalties remain important under the new system even if voters have considerably more choice. 2 Draft – not for citation Second Time Lucky? The Continuing Adaptation of Voters and Parties to the Single Transferable Vote in Scotland1 Local elections seldom attract extensive interest from either the media or academic commentators. However, the introduction of the single transferable vote (STV) for Scottish local elections in 2007 ensured that considerable attention was focused on how the new system worked in practice (Bennie and Clark, 2008; Clark, 2012; Clark and Bennie, 2008a; b; Curtice, 2007; Curtice et al, 2009; Denver and Bochel, 2007; Denver et al., 2009).