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3-1 State of Coastal Fish Core Indicators And Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission Continuation of the project on Baltic-wide FISH-PRO II 1-2014, 3-1 assessment of coastal fish communities in support of an ecosystem-based management Warsaw, Poland, 18-20 March 2014 Document title State of core indicators and time-line of the coastal fish work Code 3-1 Category DEC Agenda Item 3 - Assessments and indicators Submission date 28.2.2014 Submitted by Chair, Secretariat and BASE project Reference HELCOM FISH-PRO II 1-2014, Document 1-1 Agenda Item 3 Background The HELCOM CORESET II project has been established to operationalize the suggested core indicators by mid- 2015 to meet requests from the BSAP and MSFD. This document summarizes the state of the core indicators for coastal fish, actions needed, the time-line of the work and responsible persons (Task Managers). The coastal fish core indicator reports are available as attachments to this document (also on the HELCOM Website): Abundance of key fish species (Annex 1) Abundance of key fish functional groups (Annex 2) HELCOM CORESET II 1/2014 updated a table describing the state of development for the HELCOM core indicators and a consolidated list of experts nominated as Task Managers in lead or assisting. The updated table is available on the HELCOM Meeting Portal and the attachments to this document include information on the status of the coastal fish core indicators: Current state of development of HELCOM Core Indicator Abundance of key fish species (Annex 3) Current state of development of HELCOM Core Indicator Abundance of key fish functional groups (Annex 4) The BASE Project for Implementation of the Baltic Sea Action Plan in Russia has produced an interim report on the two coastal fish indicators in Russian waters: Abundance of key fish species (Annex 5) Abundance of key fish functional groups (Annex 6) Please note that this is a bulky document! Action required The Meeting is invited to − take note of the coastal fish indicator reports and their current state, actions needed, suggested time- line, suggested list Task Managers and indicator reports provided by the BASE project − consider the operationalisation of the coastal fish core indicators, − consider in what way the BASE project work on coastal fish indicators can be included in the current work of FISH-PRO for indicator development and assessment, and − provide input to the document. Page 1 of 40 FISH-PRO II 1-2014, 3-1 Definition of operational CORE indicators HELCOM GEAR 5/2013 considered how to further the work on the HELCOM core, pre-core, candidate and pressure indicators and developed a guidance document for organising and executing the work under CORESET II. To be operational, indicators require agreement on: a) the scientific concept / design of the indicator, b) assessment methods, c) GES boundaries or assessment criteria, d) coordinated monitoring, e) data management arrangements. For more details of the five elements see the presentation by Lena Avellan, Project Manager of HELCOM CORESET II. The five elements a) – e) are equally important and should be taken forward together. Depending on the progress made and forthcoming needs, GEAR may revisit the priorities of the work for individual indicators in relation to any of those elements. The operationalization of core and pre-core indicators should give particular emphasis on developing GES boundaries. Where progress is not feasible in the short-term, e.g. because of ongoing projects to fill gaps in knowledge or data, alternative assessment criteria (e.g. temporal trends) should be proposed for interim application in the forthcoming assessments. The CORE indicators should be considered as operational by mid- 2015, and CORE indicator reports published on the HELCOM web by then. Actions needed for coastal fish CORE indicators For the two coastal fish core indicators Abundance of fish key functional groups and Abundance of fish key species the following actions are needed: - Refine the scientific concept including developing qualitative state-pressure relationship, the policy relevance of the indicators, and the spatial coverage (assessment units) of the indicators (agreement A - the scientific concept / design of the indicator) - Develop the rationale behind the proposed assessment units and methodology, including an assessment based on GES-boundaries in relation to a defined reference state (agreement B and C - assessment methods and GES boundaries or assessment criteria) - Coordinated monitoring of the indicators (agreement D). This is almost already in place. The assessments will rely on both fisheries independent data and as a complement in some areas data from the small-scaled commercial coastal fishery. Data availability in Germany, Denmark and Poland will be revisited during the work, as will the potential for updating core indicators in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. This is pivotal for harmonized assessments of the indicators. This work also includes a first evaluation of the suitability of data from the small-scaled commercial coastal fishery for status assessments. - Discuss the data arrangements needed for assessments of coastal fish core indicator assessments (agreement E). I.e. a detailed description of data flow; sampling -> analyzing -> hosting, quality assurance, and data storage routines. Page 2 of 40 FISH-PRO II 1-2014, 3-1 In addition to the two indicators listed above, work on developing an indicator reflecting the size-structure of coastal fish communities will be initiated during 2014. This indicator will serve as a supporting/candidate indicator for coastal fish core indicators. Suggested time-line We believe that the majority of the requested actions can be met, but engagement of experts and national funding is pivotalt to complete this work. Currently, national funding is lacking for updating of the core indicators on Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, as is engagement of German experts, this is something that restrict us from making harmonized assessments across regions. Also, the establishment of a a common and Baltic-wide data handling and storage system for the coastal fish core indicator data will most likely not be established before mid-2015. Currently, all data for the core indicators is stored in national databases and extracts from these are used in the coordinated assessments. Due to a lack of funding we do not forsee a common data handling system for coastal fish indicators in due time, and as highlighted above there is not even national funding avialable for updating the indicators. Suggested time-line of the work: - Discussing of time-line and actions needed: HELCOM FISH PRO II meeting in Warsaw 18-20 March 2014. - Refinement and development of the scientific concept, assessment units and methodology, and coordinated monitoring. Via electronic correspondence: March 2014 – September 2014 - Discussions of achievements so far: CORESET II meeting in early fall 2014. - Updating of CORE indicators and status assessments: September – December 2014. - Finalizing CORE indicator reports: January – February 2015. - Final review of CORE indicator reports: HELCOM FISH PRO II annual meeting 2015 (February/March) Task Managers Jens Olsson (SWE), Task Manager in Lead Adam Lejk (POL), Task Manager Assistant Antti Lappalainen (FIN), Task Manager Assistant Thomas Schaarschmidt (GER), Task Manager Assistant The work will also include input from other coastal fish experts (within the HELCOM FISH PRO II expert network) than those listed as Task Managers, but the TM will be responsible for the work. Page 3 of 40 FISH-PRO II 1-2014, 3-1 Annex 1 HELCOM Core Indicator Abundance of key fish species Abundance of key fish species Authors The HELCOM FISH PRO expert network on coastal fish: Jens Olsson – Department of Aquatic Resources, SLU, Sweden (Project Manager) Lena Bergström – Department of Aquatic Resources, SLU, Sweden Antti Lappalainen – Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute, Finland Outi Heikinheimo – Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute, Finland Kaj Ådjers – Provincial Government of Åland Islands, Finland Lauri Saks – Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu, Estonia Roland Svirgsden – Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu, Estonia Atis Minde – BIOR Fish Resources Department, Latvia Linas Lozys – Nature Research Center, Institute of Ecology, Vilnius, Lithuania Iwona Psuty – National Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Gdynia, Poland Adam Lejk – National Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Gdynia, Poland Norbert Schulz - Association Fish and Environment Mecklenburg-Vorpommern e.V., Germany Josianne Støttrup – Institute for Aquatic Resources, Danish Technical University (DTU), Denmark Reference to this core indicator report: [Author’s name(s)], [Year]. [Title]. HELCOM Core Indicator Report. Online. [Date Viewed], [Web link]. Page 4 of 40 FISH-PRO II 1-2014, 3-1 Contents Key message ....................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Current state and temporal development of the abundance of key species in Baltic coastal fish communities ............... 7 Temporal development .................................................................................................................................................. 7 Variance in abundance in the Baltic Sea ......................................................................................................................... 8 How the abundance of key species in coastal
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