RIPON The New Politics of the Old Dominion

MAY 15, 1977 VOL. XIII, No. 10 50 cents

SHIFTING THE REPUBLICAN AXIS Commentary:" New York by D~ck Behn

Since he stepped down as Vice Pres­ Rockefeller also repLaced Dewey as ident, there have been periodic ·rumors a target of Republicans who resented that Nelson Rockefeller was about to New York's dominance of Republican run for mayor of New York City or National Conventions. At the 1952 GOP otherwise abandon his current politi­ National Convention at which Dewey had cal retirement. There has been no played a key role in securing the nom­ dramatic evidence to document the ru~ ination of Dwight D. Eisenhower, the mors but New York politics without N~~ late Sen. Everett Dirksen pointed told son Rockefeller is missing one of its the New York governor:"We followed you most stable elements. before and you took us down the path to defeat." For thirty years, the dominance of the Republican Party by first Gov. Dewey had been a master at pre-con­ Thomas Dewey :U942-54} and then Rocke­ vention politics, nearly winning the feller(1958-73} was a constant in both 1940 nomination as well as those in New York politics and the politics 1944 and 1948. Dewey never allowed of the national Republican Party. The himself to become polarized from major power of New York City money and poli­ party groups. Writing on Dewey's suc­ tical talent combined with the power cess in winning the GOP presidential of the New York governorship to assure nomination in 1948, pollster Elmo Roper the influence of New York within the said: "He did it by avoiding a coalition GOP. with either side, nationalists or inter­ nationalists. He drove his efficient Since 1900, Republican and Democrat­ organization right down the middle to ic governors from New York have alter­ fill the gaping hole which separated nated in dominating the political ma~ the two wings. He was able to do this chinery of their respective national because of a general lack of agreement parties. Republicans Theodore Roose­ as to where he stood, which created a velt(1898-l90l} and Charles Evans political vacuum that pulled in votes Hughes(1907-l9l0} ~ere key figures in from all sides. 11 the presidential contests of the cen­ tury's first two decades. Roosevelt While his organization was efficien~ was placed on the GOP's 1900 national Dewey presented a public image much dif­ ticket by GOP boss Thomas C. Platt ferent from the one projected by Nelson specifically to get him out of Albany. Rockefeller. While Dewey suffered from a reputation for aloofness, coldness, The election of Alfred E. Smith (19- and opportunism, Rockefeller was an 19-1920,1923-28) began an era of Demo­ ebullient campaigner who projected bet­ cratic dominance that was continued ter in person than on televsion. ~~ile by Franklin D. Roosevelt(1928-32}. Dewey had avoided specific stands, Rock­ When Dewey succeeded aerbert Lehman, efeller alienated fellow Republicans he resurrected Republican preeminence with the specificity of his stands. in the state. Democratic Gov. Averell While Dewey lacked an earthy warmth and Harriman's dreams of Pennsylvania AVe­ touch of human fraility, Rockefeller's nue were abruptly ended by Nelson Rock­ warmth was punctured by the frailities efeller in 1958. In his new position of his divorce and remarriage. Rocky replaced Dewey as a given in the Republican presidential equation for While Dewey never mastered the art the next two decades. of the general election campaign, Rock- efe11er never mastered the art of pre­ be free from the "bully" image it car­ convention politics. He.became an easy ried into GOP politics for the past 30 target for those Republicans who resen­ years. It would be ironic if stripped ted both New York and Eastern liberal­ of the burdens of leadership, New York ism. Rockefeller became a codeword became a more effective force within for what many southern., midwestern and the GOP. western Republicans disliked about the functioning of the GOP. He was a con­ Internally, the New York Republican venient lightning rod for both conser­ Party is struggling to fill the vacuum vative and geographic static. left by Rockefeller's retirement. GOP State Chairman Richard Rosenbaum and Up until 1964, pragmatic Republican State Vice Chairman Eunice Whittlesey politics required the GOP to consider were chosen in early April to succeed the impact of a potential nominee on Rockefeller's longtime allies on the New York's Electoral College votes. Republican National Committee, George The nomination of Barry Goldwater dem­ Hinman and Dorothy McHugh. A more im­ onstrated the willingness of many Re­ portant choice for the GOP will be' the publicans to write off New York. selection of a successor to Rosenbaum Whereas the traditional conflict with­ as state chairman in June. in the GOP in this century had been between the Midwest (represented by Rosenbaum has effectively dropped Ohio's Robert Taft) and the Northeast the gubernatorial ambitions he once (represented by Dewey and Eisenhower), held to return to the practice of law. 1964 marked an alliance between much The acknowledged frontrunner for the of the Midwest and the South and West. 1978 gubernatorial nomination is Assem­ The regional. fluidity carried over in­ bly Minority Leader Perry Duryea of to the 1968 contest between Nixon, Suffolk County. Duryea, however, is Rockefeller and Reagan. 1976 marked surveying the political landscape be­ the emergence of a new Northeast­ fore committing himself to the race Midwest coalition which parried with against Gov. Hugh Carey(D). Another the South-West coa1it1on of Ronald moderate-conservative, State Senate Reagan. Majority Leader Warren Anderson, is considered Duryea's chief competition With Rockefeller's retirement, many for the post. U.S.Rep. Jack Kemp~ a of the old antagonisms to New York Buffalo area congressman who had been within the national GOP may retire as exploring a gubernatorial race, has well. Symbolically, Rockefeller was now refocused his eyes on the 1980 a political bonanza for his opponents. race for the seat now held by Sen. Ja­ Stimulating such a wide range of ani­ cob Javits. mosities would be a difficult chore for any future New York Republican Any opponent of Gov. Carey will have leader. a tough race. The incumbent Democrat has proven to be much more adept at Without Rockefeller's prestige and poli tical image-building than at the media exposure, the New York GOP may complexities of running the state. temporari 1y ··lose party influence. It Republican legislators tend to talk may be possible for other Northeast wistfully of the forceful Rockefeller Republicans to emerge from the shadow leadership of pas~ legislative ses­ of New York and Rockefeller into the sions. But shou1a Duryea win the gov­ national prominence they could not at­ ernorship, it would bring his impres­ tain so long as Rocky was politically sive powers of both 1eaAership and active. A Republican governor from conciliation to the national Republi­ New Jersey, for example, would auto­ can scene. Duryea's style fits the im­ matically assume greater prominence mediate requirements of New York's place in the post-Rockefeller era. So do in the GOP national firmament. Though senators like Massachusetts' Edward less dramatic than Rockefeller's, it Brooke and Pennsylvania's John Heinz. potentially could be more effective. • In the long run, New York may be able to achieve greater political ef­ RENEW TODAY fectiveness within the GOP. The Northeast-Midwest alliance may be re­ Write: Ripon Society vived in 1980 behind a moderate candi­ 800 18th Street, N.W. date like Illinois Gov. James Thompson. Washington, D.C. 20006 In the immediate future, New York will •

Commentary: Foreign Policy TUNING UP THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY by Thomas A. Sargent

Almost 30 years have passed since ic and political arrangements. Europe's Secretary of State George C. Marshall prosperity, growth, and stability must delivered his commencement address at occupy the highest place in American Harvard University in which he proposed priorities. the Marshall Plan for the post-war re­ covery of Europe. While European-Amer­ Second, there has undoubtedly been ican r~lationships have changed signif­ a shift in emphasis in Euro-American icantly since the post-war years, Eur­ relations from the political and mili­ ope again looks to the United States tary to the economic. In other words, for leadership and support from the there has been an increasingly politi­ world's most recent recession in 1973- cization of economic relationships be­ 75. tween Europe and the united States.

At the European Community Council The Marshall Plan is a forerunner of meeting of heads of government in late such concerns. But until relatively re­ November and during the Mondale Mission cently, this kind of politics was over­ to Europe in January, European leaders shadowed by the military and diplomatic pressed the Carter Administration for problems confronting the alliance. clues to American foreign economic poli­ cy and for support for joint economic The new emphasis on economics re­ growth. flects two fundamental developments: First, political leadership on both How the Carter Administration intends sides of the Atlantic have had to cope to respond to these needs is not yet with economic problems which are in clear. It is not even clear whether or creasingly resistant to traditional not the Carter Administration will re­ economic prescriptions. Second, the spond directly to them at all. The with­ energy crisis spawned by the 1973-74 drawal of the President's proposed $50 oil embargo has added another burden rebate is the sort of response which is to the already overloaded agendas of likely to confuse finance ministries in Western political leaders. Western Europe. At one time, the private sector The Carter Administration has the us­ acted as a buffer between the two re­ ual opportunity of any new administra­ gions. Now the demands of domestic tion to reshape and redirect American economies on national governments policy toward Western Europe. And while have exacerbated international econom­ defense and the coordination of certain ic problems. kinds of geographic pOlicies will always remain important in the relations be­ Meanwhile, the relative positions tween Europe and America, the major poli­ of the United States and Europe have cy problem now affecting those relations changed since 1973. In the vietnam is economic: How do the industrialized Era that preceded the oil embargo, the countries of Western Europe and the united prestige of the United States appeared United States (along with Japan) achieve to decline in comparison with that of their joint goals of economic growth Western Europe. The war, urban riots without inflation or substantial unem­ and racial conflicts, the assassina­ ployment. tions of Robert Kennedy and Martin Lu- ther King, Jr., ±he inflation and reces­ American contributions to the even­ sion of the early 1970s, the closing of tual solution will inevitably be made the gold window in 1971, and the incred­ against a backdrop of several factors. ible paralysis of the Watergate scandal Among them are these: all seemed to be the symptons of an ir­ reversible decline in America which First, Europe remains the principal would inevitably mean that at last Eur­ American overseas interest. Without in­ ope and the united States could face tending to minimize our relationships each other as equals ••• or dumbbells as with other parts of the world, it is they were described in one popular met­ Western Europe that is America's major aphor. ally, major trading partner and invest­ ment center, and the major source of Moreover, while America seemed to be our shared values, history, and econom- declining, Europe was expanding, and if the great.movement toward unity appeared without inflation and unemployment. to slow a bit, at least the work was be­ ing consolidated. In particular, the There are a number of specific poli­ rivalry between the Economic Community cies which the Carter Administration and the Free Trade Association ended will consider and perhaps implement dur­ with the British, Danish and Irish join­ ing the next few months. The President's ing the former group. energy message in April had important im­ plications for economic relations between But the oil embargo and the ensuing the united States and Europe. Certainly, recession reversed the trend. The Viet­ it indicates to the Europeans the serious­ nam War ended, some progress seemed vis­ ness with which the United States views ible in America in the areas of racial the seriousness of the energy problems discrimination and urban blight, the as­ faced by members of the Atlantic alliance. sassinations faded in memory, the Ameri­ can balance of payments bounced back, Whether or not one agrees with the and the floating exchange rate was insti­ President's emphasis on energy demand tutionalized while gold was demonetized, rather than energy supply, the fact re­ thereby ending or at least alleviating mains that the statement .has been made several of the peskiest problems of re­ and certain directions almost inevitably cent times. set. Thus far, there has been little neg­ ative reaction from Europe. Perhaps more important, the Watergate episode finally drew to an end, and Pres­ What the Europeans have been urging is ident Ford gave the country two years of that the United States join Germany arid quiet, stable government. While Europe Japan in some stimulation of·the three scrambled to make quick deals with the nations' economies in order to improve Arabs to ensure oil supplies, the united trade and upll Europe out of its doldrums States attempted to exert leadership in in an export-led recovery. Thus far, attempting to create an international the Carter Administration has been re­ and ongoing energy agency. It soon be­ luctant to undertake that effo~t. It came clear that of all the western indus­ apparently believes that the American trialized nations, the United States was economy is already improving and that the least apt to be affected, at least to do more would merely increase the in the short run, by an energy shortage. chances of renewed inflation. The Ger­ mans and Japanese both seem to agree Moreover, the united States seems to with this analysis. They too have re­ have recovered more rapidly from reces­ sisted specific policies aimed at refla­ sion. While unemployment and inflation tion. are still high, the inflation rate is lower than that in Western Europe, and More important than precise policies our unemployment rate seems headed in is the matter of American attitude and the right direction. The inaugaration philosophy boward Europe. The Carter of Jimmy Carter with solid Democratic Administration, like all its predeces­ majorities in both houses of Congress, sors, will obviously employ policies that seem unlikely to dissipate signif­ which the administration perceives to icantly in 1978, promised four years of be in the nation's best interests. The continuous leadership in the United important point, therefore, is to real­ States. ize that Europe's prosperity and growth are matters of the greatest interest to No such situation obtains in Western the United States. Europe. Of the four major powers in the European Community---Britain, France, No so-called "domestic" American econ­ Germany, and Italy---none has a really omic policy will be without its ramifi­ stable government. All have faced re­ cati~ns in Europe. The key to the pur­ cent threats to their authority. Of suit of a principal American national in­ the four, only Germany has what could be terest is the thoughtful, cooperative de­ called a "good" economic outlook for velopment of economic policy which will 1977. Britain and Italy, on the other promote the economic development of both hand, remain in serious economic straits. the United States and Europe •• All of which is to say that the Amer­ ican decline relative to Europe seems Contributor Note: Thomas A. Sargent is to have been arrested. It is now the an associate professor at Ball State Europeans who are looking to the new University in Indiana and a contributing Carter Administration for some guidance editor to the FORUM. and assistance in restoring prosperity i PoUtics: Virginiu OLD CANDIDATES IN THE OLD DOMINION The next gubernatorial campaign in further from the black, blue collar, Virginia generally starts about the time and moderate voters whom he needs in that the ballots are being counted from November. the last one. The loser is frequently a potential candidate for the next elec­ Dalton's weakness on issues is com­ tion since state law eliminates the pos~ pounded by poor organization, a large sibility that the incumbent can run but weak staff, and a dearth of campaign again. funds. Increasingly, it appears that the winner of the Democratic primary The three candidates in this year's will be Virginia's next governor. gubernatorial election began their cam­ paigns in 1973. In reality, however, The few moderates left in Virginia's they have been preparing for even long­ GOP tried to find a stronger candidate er. Henry Howell ran unsuccessfully for to run in Dalton's place. Former moder­ the Democratic gubernatorial nomination ate Republican Gov. Linwood Holton(1970- in 1969, won a special election as lieu­ 74) was urged to run. He backed off, tenant governor and then lost the 197-3 preferring to keep his eye on the up­ gubernatorial election to Gov. Mills coming 1978 Senate race. Former Navy Godwin. Attorney General Andrew Miller Secretary and U.S.Bicentennial Director has been incubating in that post since John Warner wanted to run. He started 1970 while Lt. Gov. John Dalton has too late and could make no serious chal­ been waiting for the gubernatorial of­ lenge to Dalton within the inner cir­ fice to have a vacancy since 1974. cles of the party. Warner was more suc­ cessful in his campaign for Elizabeth The first round in this year's con­ Taylor's hand in marriage. Even Gov. test will be the June 14 Democratic pri­ Godwin foresaw Dalton's problems and mary between Howell and Miller. The sec­ I reportedly urged him to run again for ond round on November 8 seems likely to lietenant governor. mark the further decline of the Virginia GOP---a process which began with the Thus, the Virginia GOP enters the election of Sen. William Scott(R) in 1977 race with a likely loser as its 1972. candidate. Dalton is the product of the mistaken Republican philosophy of Dalton, who is assured of winning the limiting competition within the party. Republican nomination at the GOP state Only a Democratic bloodbath on June convention June 4, is the son of Federal­ 14 will give Dalton the office he so Judge Ted Dalton. The elder Dalton, a badly wants. leader of GOP moderates in the 1950s, nearly upset the Democratic mach~ne by The Democrats occasionally provide winning the gubernatorial post h1mself some signs they may oblige. Like Dal­ in 1953. As the son of a leading moder­ ton, Miller is the son of a one-time ate, the younger Dalton has never really non-Byrd Machine candidate for gover­ been trusted by the hard-core conserva­ nor. Like Dalton, he is a moderate tives who dominate the Virginia GOP. In who has sought conservative money and an effort to avoid a competing candidacy conservative support in his effort to from the GOP right, John Dalton has moved win the gubernatorial nomination. And rightward since 1973. like Dalton, a good part of his guber­ natorial quest is based on conserva­ Dalton's oositioning has prevented tive consternation at a possible vic­ the feared conservative rebellion, but tory by populist Henry Howell of Nor­ it has weakened him considerably as a folk. candidate in the general election. Dal­ ton's most recent stance in his series Howell, a former state senator, won of conservative postures is his opposi­ election as lieutenant governor in 1971 tion to "peak load" pricing for electri­ as an independent. When Howell ran as city. He also continues to stress is­ an independent for governor in 1973, sues---such as opposition to common si.;... the badly-splintered Democratic Party tus picketing and support for the right­ did not nominate a candidate. His nar­ to-work law---that are not major issues row loss in that race provided an oppor­ in 1977. Overemphasis of these right­ tunity for a rerun that will probably wing positions splits him further and ·be hif last try for the governorship. Initially, it looked as if Miller stated support for ERA---galvanized op­ would defeat Howell---particularly as position from both sides of the ERA con­ smart conservative ABH (Anyone But t4oversy. Former State Finance Secretary Howell) money shifted from Dalton to Walter Craige, Jr., has announced for Miller. But the former attorney gen­ the nomination. While he is a very com­ eral, who recently resigned, has been petent investment banker, Craige is a a surprisingly poor candidate in terms colorless speaker and inexperienced pol­ of issues, organization, and advertis­ itical campaigner. ing. Howell, meanwhile, is looking much stronger than some had anticipated. He The liveliest GOP contest is for the seems well organized, but perhaps more nomination for attorney general. Moder­ importantly, he is more centrist and ate-conservative State Sen. J. Marshall less populist than during his earlier Coleman from Staunton is in an uphill campaign-s. There is much less "Keep fight against State Del. Wyatt Durrette the Big Boys Honest" rhetoric this year. from northern Virginia's Fairfax County. Durrette has the emotional support of Howell has the AFL-CIO's endorse­ the conservatives, who will control the ment, disappointing Miller who had nominating convention, ~ecause he served hoped to keep labor neutral in the con­ as a regional coordinator for Ronald Rea­ test. Howell has also gained the sup­ gan in last year's presidential campaign. port of two important black organiza­ Although Durrette now proudly wears the tions. While Miller is still afforded conservative mantle, he had been---until the edge over Howell, his bumbling has political expediency directed him other­ demonstrated his ability to lose the wise---rather moderate and at times even Democratic primary. A Miller victory a closet liberal. Durrette's support would seriously deflate Dalton's chances for Reagan has apparently cleansed him in November. of past ideological sins. Coleman is working hard to secure convention votes The contests for attorney general and on a limited budget and may yet wrest lieutenant governor have provided the the nomination from Durrette. only statewide GOP competition this year. The GOP establishm~nt searched long and The Democrats are enjoying a three­ hard for a lieutenant governor candidate way scrap for the nomination for lieuten­ who could defeat State ·Sen. Joe Canada ant governor. Contending for it are (R-Virginia Beach). Canada's vote State Del.Major Reynolds, brother of against the Equal Rights Amendment ear­ the late lieutenant governor and scion lier this year---in the face of his of the Reynolds Metals family; Chuck Robb, husband of Lynda Bird Johnson; and State Del. Ira Lechner, a bright att~rney from Arlington.

Reynolds has the most going for him in terms of political name and money and the least in terms of smarts, looks, judgment and ability. Robb has a pret­ ty face, smiles nicely, and has the fervent support of the ABL (Anyone But Lechner) money---a source of funds sim­ ilar to ABH money. Lechner has three things going against him: he is Jewish, from northern Virginia, and as a labor union lawyer, supports collective bar­ gaining for public employees. Lechner has campaigned almost full time for two years, but he still is not as well known as Robb or Reynolds. Reynolds currently appears to be leading, but his inept campaigning may enable Robb to win the primary. Four Democrats of varying ideologi­ cal hues are vying for the nomination for attorney general: State Del. Edward Lane of Richmond, a 24-year House veter­ MILLS GODWIN an; State Del "Shad" Solomon of isolated Bath County; State Del John Melnick of Arlington; and John Schell, a bright the right wing believes it will easily young liberal attorney from northern Vir­ control. ginia. At the moment, former state Republi­ Melnick has labor's backing but that can Chairman and national GOP Co-Chair­ may not be enough to overcome his diffi­ man Richard Obenshain has the conser­ dent style. Schell has the backing of vatives' blessing for the nomination. the blacks, but lacks an organization Former Gov. Holton has indicated an in­ and name recognition. Lane is lacklus­ terest, but the odds against him may be ter and conservative but favored to win, too great. John Warner appears hungrier particularly if Schell and Melnick split and more likely to contest Obenshain, fairly evenly the 15-20 percent of the but he will have a difficult job OVer­ vote in northern Virginia. The dark­ coming the conservative leader. horse is Solomon. Although he is 58, a one-term delegate, short, and portly, he The Democratic field is broader. It has built up many contacts around the is also more obscure since the state's state through his vice chairmanship of two leading Democrats are battling each the state crime commission. Given the other for this year's gubernatorial nom­ Democratic. field, the attorney general's ination. Names already in the ring are office may provide the GOP with its best retiring State Del. Carrington Williams opportunity this year. of Falls Church; liberal State Sen. ClivE DuVal of Fairfax; and State Sen. James While the 1977 contests hog the lime­ Edmunds of Southside Virginia. One of light, there is already interest in in this year's Democratic statewide conten­ the 1978 Senate election to replace re­ ders will probably get the nomination. tiring Sen. William Scott(R). The con­ And that Democrat will probably win if servatives beat back an attempt by GOP the Republicans nominate Richard Oben­ moderates earlier this year to. schedule shain. Stung with a Scott once, Virgin­ a primary for 1978. The GOP candidate ians are not likely to make a similar w;11 now be chosen in a convention that mistake .•

from the Michigan political scene to Ripon: Opdale good advantage. Griffin's announce­ ment foLlowed a recent Democratic poll showing that Attorney General Frank r SOUTH DAKOTA t A poll taken by Deci­ Kelly (D) would run strong races against sion Making Inc. in April shows that U.S. both Griffin and Milliken. Griffin Rep. Larry Pressler has a 67-24 percent apparently tired of the strains of lead over Gov. Richard Kneip(D) were the political life without the rewards two to face each other in the 1978 Senate that followed from his former leader­ election. The Republican congressman led ship post and friendship with Gerald Sen. James Abourezk by a 60-20 percent Ford. Griffin's 1966 opponent, former margin before the Democratic incumbent de­ Gov. G. Mennen "Soapy" Williams, is cided to retire. Matched in a GOP primary now being mentioned as a possible Sen­ with his 2nd C.D. colleague, James Abdnor, ate or gubernatorial candidate. Pub­ Pressler would win by a 53-26 percent mar­ lic Service Commissioner William R. gin with undecided Republicans leaning Rawls (D) has already announced his gub­ overwhelmingly to Pressler. Abdnor led ernatorial aspirations while House Kneip in the same poll by only a narrow Speaker Bobby Crim has denied his. GOP margin. The survey was sponsored by Citi­ conservatives are likely to use Grif­ zens for the Republican, the National Con­ fin's retirement to run their own nom­ servative political Action Committee, and inees for senator or governor or both. the Pressler for Congress Committee. State Sen. Jack Wellborn, who led last year's Reagan campaign, is likely to be I MICHIGAN I The surprise an­ a key figure in such an effort. Other nouncement by Sen. Robert Griffin(R) potential Republican Senate candidates that he would not seek reelection in include U.S.Rep. Philip E. Ruppe and 1978 has shaken the political lineup former U.S.Rep. Marvin Esch. in Michigan. It has raised the possi­ bility that Gov. William Milliken(R) might switch to the Senate race and r IOWA I The situation in former Lt. Gov. James Brickley, now Iowa resembles that in Michigan and president of Eastern Michigan Univer­ Maine. In all three states, Republi­ sity might enter the gUbernatorial cans have one "sure winner" who could race. An able and articulate moder­ run for either the governorship or the ate, Brickley could use his absence Senate. And in all three, Republicans would -Ere fer _to see the sure winner

• 3 I MISSOURI , ,',' I Missouri voters may be regretting their role in one of last Novembe,r's biggest upsets, the de­ feat of .Republiccm Gov. Christopher "Kit" Bond. In ,a recent analysis in the Kansas city"Star, reporter T. Wayne Mi tchell wrote: "GO;~:oJoseph Teasdale arrives at his 10~'day in office with his admini~atiol}':besti~~!f)y prob~~ws~ and the Kansas,C!\fYDetiiocrats s1)b\js lit­ tle inclination, ;·to spend enouqh't time at the job to solve'them. Sitjns in' the first three months poi~t to trouble ahead for the struggling administration, Some of the governor's staunchest sup­ porters say privately that unless his performance improves he may face oppos­ ition in the Democratic primary should he choose to seek reelection ••• The gov­ ernor has been unable to carry our maj­ or campaign promises, has failed to keep self-imposed deadlines for complet­ ing various tasks and has displayed an indecisiveness on issues. When repor­ ters complained recently to Teasdale that he was giving different and often contradictory answers to the same ques­ tion, Teasdale suggested that reporters discern his position by adopting the 'majority of his statements." Teasdale's policy troubles are compounded by his apparent indifference to the work ethic. seek the governorship than the Senate. I NORTH CAROLINA I Sen. Jesse Helms (R) If Ray switched from the governorship seems to be adjusting his conservative after 10 years to oppose Sen. Dick­ image in preparation for next year's Sen­ Clark, the GOP would probably have a ate campaign. Although Helms is not divisive primary between moderate Lt. changing his ideOlogical stripes~, he is Gov. Arthur Neu and conservative Attor­ seeking to moderate his public image, ac­ ney General Dick Turner. Conservative cording to the Charlotte Observer's Fer­ former Lt. Gov. Roger Jepsen is also rel Guillory: "Helms is likely to appear a gubernatorial possibility, but in more 'grandfatherly,' one Republican an­ any event, the GOP would have trouble alyst theorized. 'Soothing,' suggested ~olding the post. Should Ray decide a GOP congressional aide. 'Sensitive,' against the Senate seat, it would be said a Helms ally. So, for example, an open GOP field, slanted uphill. railing against bigness in government, Both ~OP National Committee representa­ labor and business helps Helms cast him­ tives---John McDonald and Mary Louise self as a bit of a populist, a defender Smith---have been mentioned, but both of the 'little guy,' the small business­ are considered unlikely starters. man." Ripon Society, unless they are expUc:Itly so labelled. THE RIPON SOCIETY. INC. ~~Repub~h= SUBSCRIPTION RATES are $15 a year, $7.50 for students, serv­ mambem are ycnmg business, academic cmQ ~Iesslonal men and Icemen, and lor Peace COrps, Vista and other volunteers. Overseas _ It hem nGtlonal headquarters in Dfstrlc:l of Columbia, air mail, $6 extra. Advertising rates on request. Please allow ~ In fifteen cities, NatioJlal Associate mambem throughout five weeks for addreBS changes. the Iifty states, and several aIIIllated groups of subchapter status. The SocIety fa supported by chapter dues, individual contrlhu­ tians cmcf revenues from Its, ~ODS and contract work. Edlton. Dlck Behn is~lShed semi-monthlY by_ the THE RIPON FORUM Ripon Society, Inc., SOD 18th St., N.W., EdltorialBoard: Washington, !.l.C. 20006. Second class postage rates paid at Robert D. Behn, Chairman Tanya Mellch Washington, D.C. and other mailinq oWces. Contents are copy­ Clifford Brown Robert G. Stewart ngnted !t;11976 bjlli8lupon l::>OClety, Inc. (.;orresponuence aadressed Robert H. Donaldson Ralph Thayer to the editor fa welcomed. (Ripon FORUM, Box 226, Charlestown, Mass.. 02129.) , Contributing Editors: CllIIord Brown Glenn Gerstell, WllltaD& A. ID pnb~ this magazine the RIpon ~ seeks to provide Koelsch, Daniel J. Swillinger, Josiah Lee Auspitz, Richard W. 1Ulhn, a farum for ide=, well-reaearc:hiid pro and lor a IIJllrit John. A. Rehluss, Thom~ A. Sargent, Ric:hard Cleveland, Mark at c:rftk:Iam. hmovatlon,and Independent ttiinking within the lJe­ trCXZ1er, Peter Berg, Martin Sours, 'and William K. Woods. pnbJk:aa Party• .ArIlcles do not Decesaarily re~t the oplnion at tile NatiaIICd Governlng Board or the EditOrIal Board of the Tec:Jmical Editor: Brian J. McCarlhy f?bRUM Published semi-monthly by the Ripon Society, 1609 Conn. Ave., N.W., Wash­ ington, D.C. 20009. Second class post­ age paid at Washington, D.C. and other mailing offices.