How to Run a Successful Less Wrong Meetup Group
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Pod of Jake #67 – Julia Galef Ai-Generated Transcript 1
POD OF JAKE #67 – JULIA GALEF AI-GENERATED TRANSCRIPT Jake 00:59 Thank you so much, Julia, for taking the time and joining me on the show today. I really appreciate it and looking forward to this conversation for some time. And I've actually listened to your podcast a bunch in the past. Most recently. Yeah, your episode with metallic. So funny must be funny to be on the other side of the microphone. Yeah. But thank you for coming on, I think the best place to get started would be for those who don't know you to tell your story a little bit. And then we'll spend a lot of time talking about your book, which recently came out. Julia Galef 01:29 Sounds good. Thanks, Jake. Yes, it's good to be on the show. My story. Basically, for the last 10 years, I've just been devoted to this question of how do we improve human reasoning and decision making? And really interest in this question, both from a theoretical level? Like how do we think about what would ideal reasoning look like? Just almost philosophically, and also, just from a practical level? Like, what are the kinds of mistakes that the human brain tends to make and what kinds of situations and getting really into a lot of the cognitive science literature and kind of experimenting on real people like trying out techniques and seeing how well they work and, you know, talking to people about their experiences, noticing their own biases and things like that. -
Evidence-Based Policy Cause Area Report
Evidence-Based Policy Cause Area Report AUTHOR: 11/18 MARINELLA CAPRIATI, DPHIL 1 — Founders Pledge Animal Welfare Executive Summary By supporting increased use of evidence in the governments of low- and middle-income countries, donors can dramatically increase their impact on the lives of people living in poverty. This report explores how focusing on evidence-based policy provides an opportunity for leverage, and presents the most promising organisation we identified in this area. A high-risk/high-return opportunity for leverage In the 2013 report ‘The State of the Poor’, the World Bank reported that, as of 2010, roughly 83% of people in extreme poverty lived in countries classified as ‘lower-middle income’ or below. By far the most resources spent on tackling poverty come from local governments. American think tank the Brookings Institution found that, in 2011, $2.3 trillion of the $2.8 trillion spent on financing development came from domestic government revenues in the countries affected. There are often large differences in the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of social programs— the amount of good done per dollar spent can vary significantly across programs. Employing evidence allows us to identify the most cost-effective social programs. This is useful information for donors choosing which charity to support, but also for governments choosing which programs to implement, and how. This suggests that employing philanthropic funding to improve the effectiveness of policymaking in low- and middle-income countries is likely to constitute an exceptional opportunity for leverage: by supporting the production and use of evidence in low- and middle-income countries, donors can potentially enable policy makers to implement more effective policies, thereby reaching many more people than direct interventions. -
UCLA Electronic Theses and Dissertations
UCLA UCLA Electronic Theses and Dissertations Title Doing the Time Warp: Queer Temporalities and Musical Theater Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1k1860wx Author Ellis, Sarah Taylor Publication Date 2013 Peer reviewed|Thesis/dissertation eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA Los Angeles Doing the Time Warp: Queer Temporalities and Musical Theater A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree Doctor of Philosophy in Theater and Performance Studies by Sarah Taylor Ellis 2013 ABSTRACT OF THE DISSERTATION Doing the Time Warp: Queer Temporalities and Musical Theater by Sarah Taylor Ellis Doctor of Philosophy in Theater and Performance Studies University of California, Los Angeles, 2013 Professor Sue-Ellen Case, Co-chair Professor Raymond Knapp, Co-chair This dissertation explores queer processes of identification with the genre of musical theater. I examine how song and dance – sites of aesthetic difference within the musical – can warp time and enable marginalized and semi-marginalized fans to imagine different ways of being in the world. Musical numbers can complicate a linear, developmental plot by accelerating and decelerating time, foregrounding repetition and circularity, bringing the past to life and projecting into the future, and physicalizing dreams in a narratively open present. These excesses have the potential to contest naturalized constructions of historical, progressive time, as well as concordant constructions of gender, sexual, and racial identities. While the musical has historically been a rich source of identification for the stereotypical white gay male show queen, this project validates a broad and flexible range of non-normative readings. -
Cognitive Biases Nn Discussing Cognitive Biases with Colleagues and Pupils
The RSA: an enlightenment organisation committed to finding innovative practical solutions to today’s social challenges. Through its ideas, research and 27,000-strong Fellowship it seeks to understand and enhance human capability so we can close the gap between today’s reality and people’s hopes for a better world. EVERYONE STARTS WITH AN ‘A’ Applying behavioural insight to narrow the socioeconomic attainment gap in education NATHALIE SPENCER, JONATHAN ROWSON, LOUISE BAMFIELD MARCH 2014 8 John Adam Street London WC2N 6EZ +44 (0) 20 7930 5115 Registered as a charity in England and Wales IN COOPERATION WITH THE no. 212424 VODAFONE FOUNDATION GERMANY Copyright © RSA 2014 www.thersa.org www.thersa.org For use in conjunction with Everyone Starts with an “A” 3 ways to use behavioural insight in the classroom By Spencer, Rowson, www.theRSA.org Bamfield (2014), available www.vodafone-stiftung.de A guide for teachers and school leaders at: www.thersa.org/startswitha www.lehrerdialog.net n Praising pupils for effort instead of intelligence to help instil the Whether you and your pupils believe that academic idea that effort is key and intelligence is not a fixed trait. For ability is an innate trait (a ‘fixed mindset’) or can be example, try “great, you kept practicing” instead of “great, you’re strengthened through effort and practice like a muscle really clever”. (a ‘growth mindset’) affects learning, resilience to n Becoming the lead learner. Educators can shape mindset setbacks, and performance. Mindset through modelling it for the pupils. The way that you (and parents) give feedback to Think about ability like a muscle Try: n Giving a “not yet” grade instead of a “fail” to set the expectation pupils can reinforce or attenuate a given mindset. -
Systematic Scoping Review on Social Media Monitoring Methods and Interventions Relating to Vaccine Hesitancy
TECHNICAL REPORT Systematic scoping review on social media monitoring methods and interventions relating to vaccine hesitancy www.ecdc.europa.eu ECDC TECHNICAL REPORT Systematic scoping review on social media monitoring methods and interventions relating to vaccine hesitancy This report was commissioned by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and coordinated by Kate Olsson with the support of Judit Takács. The scoping review was performed by researchers from the Vaccine Confidence Project, at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (contract number ECD8894). Authors: Emilie Karafillakis, Clarissa Simas, Sam Martin, Sara Dada, Heidi Larson. Acknowledgements ECDC would like to acknowledge contributions to the project from the expert reviewers: Dan Arthus, University College London; Maged N Kamel Boulos, University of the Highlands and Islands, Sandra Alexiu, GP Association Bucharest and Franklin Apfel and Sabrina Cecconi, World Health Communication Associates. ECDC would also like to acknowledge ECDC colleagues who reviewed and contributed to the document: John Kinsman, Andrea Würz and Marybelle Stryk. Suggested citation: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. Systematic scoping review on social media monitoring methods and interventions relating to vaccine hesitancy. Stockholm: ECDC; 2020. Stockholm, February 2020 ISBN 978-92-9498-452-4 doi: 10.2900/260624 Catalogue number TQ-04-20-076-EN-N © European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, 2020 Reproduction is authorised, provided the -
Volume 15, Number 2 March-April 2021
Volume 15, Number 2 March-April 2021 thereasoner.org ISSN 1757-0522 list. (Those were “Decision Theory without Representa- Contents tion Theorems” in 2014, published in Philosophers’ Imprint, and “Dr. Truthlove or: How I Learned to Stop Worry- Guest Editorial 9 ing and Love Bayesian Probabilities” in 2015, published in Noˆus.) Anyone interested in the social epistemology of math Features 9 should know Kenny’s work too: his “Probabilistic Proofs and Transferability” (Philosophia Mathematica, 2009) and News 14 “Rebutting and Undercutting in Mathematics” (Philosophi- cal Perspectives, 2015) are classics and personal favorites. What’s Hot in . 14 Kenny and I first crossed paths Events 15 at a conference in Paris while I Courses and Programmes 15 was a grad student. He joined my dissertation committee a little Jobs and Studentships 16 after that. Fortunately, Kenny is an easy person to keep in touch with: just go to any random phi- losophy conference and there’s a 63% chance he’s there. As you’ll see from our interview, he’s a terri- bly interesting person and a credit Guest Editorial to the profession. I’m happy to of- fer you his opinions on fractal mu- Salutations, reasoners. I’m delighted to be guest editor for this sic, Zoom conferences, being a good referee, teaching in math issue, featuring an interview with the man, the myth, the leg- and philosophy, the rationalist community and its relationship end, Kenny Easwaran. Kenny is a newly-minted Professor of to academia, decision-theoretic pluralism, and the city of Man- Philosophy at Texas A&M University. -
“Is Cryonics an Ethical Means of Life Extension?” Rebekah Cron University of Exeter 2014
1 “Is Cryonics an Ethical Means of Life Extension?” Rebekah Cron University of Exeter 2014 2 “We all know we must die. But that, say the immortalists, is no longer true… Science has progressed so far that we are morally bound to seek solutions, just as we would be morally bound to prevent a real tsunami if we knew how” - Bryan Appleyard 1 “The moral argument for cryonics is that it's wrong to discontinue care of an unconscious person when they can still be rescued. This is why people who fall unconscious are taken to hospital by ambulance, why they will be maintained for weeks in intensive care if necessary, and why they will still be cared for even if they don't fully awaken after that. It is a moral imperative to care for unconscious people as long as there remains reasonable hope for recovery.” - ALCOR 2 “How many cryonicists does it take to screw in a light bulb? …None – they just sit in the dark and wait for the technology to improve” 3 - Sterling Blake 1 Appleyard 2008. Page 22-23 2 Alcor.org: ‘Frequently Asked Questions’ 2014 3 Blake 1996. Page 72 3 Introduction Biologists have known for some time that certain organisms can survive for sustained time periods in what is essentially a death"like state. The North American Wood Frog, for example, shuts down its entire body system in winter; its heart stops beating and its whole body is frozen, until summer returns; at which point it thaws and ‘comes back to life’ 4. -
The Definition of Effective Altruism
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 19/08/19, SPi 1 The Definition of Effective Altruism William MacAskill There are many problems in the world today. Over 750 million people live on less than $1.90 per day (at purchasing power parity).1 Around 6 million children die each year of easily preventable causes such as malaria, diarrhea, or pneumonia.2 Climate change is set to wreak environmental havoc and cost the economy tril- lions of dollars.3 A third of women worldwide have suffered from sexual or other physical violence in their lives.4 More than 3,000 nuclear warheads are in high-alert ready-to-launch status around the globe.5 Bacteria are becoming antibiotic- resistant.6 Partisanship is increasing, and democracy may be in decline.7 Given that the world has so many problems, and that these problems are so severe, surely we have a responsibility to do something about them. But what? There are countless problems that we could be addressing, and many different ways of addressing each of those problems. Moreover, our resources are scarce, so as individuals and even as a globe we can’t solve all these problems at once. So we must make decisions about how to allocate the resources we have. But on what basis should we make such decisions? The effective altruism movement has pioneered one approach. Those in this movement try to figure out, of all the different uses of our resources, which uses will do the most good, impartially considered. This movement is gathering con- siderable steam. There are now thousands of people around the world who have chosen -
Wilderness Walk Planning Guide
i Info 1 / 21 1/20 i Info Send This Table of Contents Introduction ................................................................................................................................................. 3 Getting Started ............................................................................................................................................ 4 Choosing a Date, Time, and Location ................................................................................................ 7 Funding Your Event .................................................................................................................................. 9 Setting the Agenda .................................................................................................................................. 11 Promoting Your Event ........................................................................................................................... 14 After Your Event ...................................................................................................................................... 18 Frequently Asked Questions ............................................................................................................... 19 About this Guidebook ............................................................................................................................ 21 i Info 2 / 21 Introduction On September 3rd, 1964, the Wilderness Act was signed into law by President Lyndon B. Johnson, establishing the legal definition -
Linkedin As the Ultimate Business Weapon for Employers, Employees and Freelancers
LinkedIn as the Ultimate Business Weapon for Employers, Employees and Freelancers www.peopleasmerchandise.com + Josef is the very first LinkedIn Milan has been working in Certified Professional - recruitment for over 14 years Recruiter in CEE region. and lead over 350 employees = across CEE region. Recruitment Academy Certifications Jan Muehlfeit Chairman of the Board Jan Bubeník Muriel Anton Milan Novák Josef Kadlec Dita Přikrylová Natália Member of the Member of the Member of the Member of the Member of the Šegedová Board Board Board Board Board Member of the Board …is the access to LinkedIn your c …is the access to LinkedIn your c LinkedIn • Over 380,000,000 users – 2 new users every single second • More than 1,000,000 users in the Czech Republic • 14th the most visited website (Alexa Rank) • 1,5+ million authors LinkedIn starting to be a publication platform [email protected] | www.goodcall.eu LinkedIn Competitors • Professional social networks: Viadeo, XING, GoldenLine, Facebook at Work, Zoominfo, ... LinkedIn Competitors • Professional social networks: Viadeo, XING, GoldenLine, Facebook at Work, Zoominfo, ... • Private social networks: Twitter, Facebook, Vkontakte, Google+, Instagram, Pinterest, About.me,... LinkedIn Competitors • Professional social networks: Viadeo, XING, GoldenLine, Facebook at Work, Zoominfo, ... • Private social networks: Twitter, Facebook, Vkontakte, Google+, Instagram, Pinterest, About.me,... • Where to go next? Meetup.com, Twitch, Steam, Tinder, Behance, GitHub, Youtube, Stack Overflow, BitBucket, Youtube,... Social media in the Czech Republic BUT… …is the access to LinkedIn itself a competitive advantage? What should I do for a better exposure? Improve you profile strength to All-Star Improve you profile strength to All-Star . -
Lesswrong.Com Sequences
LessWrong.com Sequences Elizier Yudkowsky Generated by lesswrong_book.py on 2013-04-28. Pseudo-random version string: 8c37c10f-8178-4d00-8a06-16a9ed81a6be. Part I Map and Territory A collection of posts dealing with the fundamentals of rationality: the difference between the map and the territory, Bayes’s Theorem and the nature of evidence, why anyone should care about truth, and minds as reflective cognitive engines. 1. The Simple Truth↗ “I remember this paper I wrote on existentialism. My teacher gave it back with an F. She’d underlined true and truth wherever it appeared in the essay, probably about twenty times, with a question mark beside each. She wanted to know what I meant by truth.” — Danielle Egan (journalist) Author’s Foreword: This essay is meant to restore a naive view of truth. Someone says to you: “My miracle snake oil can rid you of lung cancer in just three weeks.” You reply: “Didn’t a clinical study show this claim to be untrue?” The one returns: “This notion of ‘truth’ is quite naive; what do you mean by ‘true’?” Many people, so questioned, don’t know how to answer in exquisitely rigorous detail. Nonetheless they would not be wise to abandon the concept of ‘truth’. There was a time when no one knew the equations of gravity in exquisitely rigorous detail, yet if you walked off a cliff, you would fall. Often I have seen – especially on Internet mailing lists – that amidst other conversation, someone says “X is true”, and then an argument breaks out over the use of the word ‘true’. -
Public Debate on Science Issues Myths of Child Psychology
Superbug Crisis | Ten Tactics for Skepticism | Claims of Chi | Fake Bomb Detectors the Magazine for Science and Reason Vol. 41 No. 1 | January/February 2017 Public Debate on Project Science Greenglow Issues Creationism Myths of in Europe Child Psychology Doubt and American Fears Uncertainty Survey INTRODUCTORY PRICE U.S. and Canada $5.99 Skepticism Is Nonpartisan Published by the Center for Inquiry in association with the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry Robyn E. Blumner, CEO Massimo Polidoro, Research Fellow Bar ry Karr, Ex ec u tive Di rect or Benjamin Radford, Research Fellow Joe Nickell, Senior Research Fellow Richard Wiseman, Research Fellow www.csicop.org Fellows James E. Al cock*, psy chol o gist, York Univ., Tor on to Mur ray Gell-Mann, pro fes sor of phys ics, San ta Fe In sti tute; Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA Mar cia An gell, MD, former ed i tor-in-chief, No bel lau re ate Lor en Pan kratz, psy chol o gist, Or e gon Health New Eng land Jour nal of Med i cine Thom as Gi lov ich, psy chol o gist, Cor nell Univ. Sci en ces Univ. Kimball Atwood IV, MD, physician; author; Newton, MA David H. Gorski, cancer surgeon and re searcher at Barbara Robert L. Park, professor of physics, Univ. of Maryland Steph en Bar rett, MD, psy chi a trist; au thor; con sum er ad vo cate, Ann Kar manos Cancer Institute and chief of breast surgery Jay M. Pasachoff, Field Memorial Professor of Al len town, PA section, Wayne State University School of Medicine.