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Survey Report YouGov / WalesOnline Survey Results Sample Size: 1004 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 19th - 22nd February 2021 VI : Constituency VI : List Past Vote 2019 EU Ref 2016 Plaid Plaid Lib Plaid Total Con Lab Con Lab Con Lab Remain Leave Cymru Cymru Dem Cymru Weighted Sample 1004 187 229 144 170 208 159 263 298 43 72 357 388 Unweighted Sample 1004 194 245 153 178 219 173 282 329 50 84 410 395 % % % % % % % % % % % % % SENEDD HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: Constituency Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 28 100 0 0 96 0 1 72 4 20 4 14 49 Lab 33 0 100 0 0 93 14 7 67 18 9 46 17 Lib 4 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 1 39 3 5 2 Plaid 22 0 0 100 2 6 79 8 21 12 84 25 15 Reform UK 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 0 0 0 1 7 Green 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 5 6 0 7 1 Other 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 2 4 0 2 9 Constituency Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] UKIP 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 4 0 2 5 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Welsh National Party 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com YouGov / WalesOnline Survey Results Sample Size: 1004 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 19th - 22nd February 2021 Gender Age Social Grade Region Mid and Cardiff and South South Total Male Female 16-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE North West South Central East West Weighted Sample 1004 489 515 139 369 243 253 500 500 192 208 224 208 173 Unweighted Sample 1004 428 576 118 340 259 287 529 472 202 227 209 193 173 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % SENEDD HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: Constituency Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 28 31 26 10 25 27 42 31 25 32 31 26 26 27 Lab 33 25 41 41 36 37 23 30 37 24 26 42 37 34 Lib 4 5 3 5 3 3 4 4 4 6 3 3 1 5 Plaid 22 23 22 30 23 21 18 23 22 24 27 18 24 19 Reform UK 4 7 1 5 2 7 4 4 4 4 5 3 5 4 Green 4 3 4 5 6 2 2 5 2 3 3 4 4 5 Other 5 6 3 3 4 3 7 4 6 7 5 5 2 6 Constituency Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] UKIP 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 3 4 2 1 2 1 7 3 4 2 5 4 2 3 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Welsh National Party 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Other 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com Sample Size: 1004 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 19th - 22nd February 2021 VI : Constituency VI : List Past Vote 2019 EU Ref 2016 Plaid Plaid Lib Plaid Total Con Lab Con Lab Con Lab Remain Leave Cymru Cymru Dem Cymru Weighted Sample 1004 187 229 144 170 208 159 263 298 43 72 357 388 Unweighted Sample 1004 194 245 153 178 219 173 282 329 50 84 410 395 % % % % % % % % % % % % % List Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 25 83 0 2 100 0 0 62 4 24 2 14 42 Lab 29 0 83 8 0 100 0 7 60 14 3 38 16 Lib 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 2 3 2 Plaid 24 1 10 85 0 0 100 6 22 31 90 31 12 Green 5 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 7 8 1 7 1 UKIP 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 4 Reform UK 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 0 5 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Communist 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 9 11 1 1 0 0 0 17 4 3 1 4 15 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Welsh National Party 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 Other 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 If there were a Senedd (Welsh Parliament) election tomorrow, which party would you vote for in your constituency? Conservative 19 100 0 0 90 0 3 55 3 16 4 11 33 Labour 23 0 100 0 0 91 13 6 51 14 7 36 12 Liberal Democrat 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 31 3 4 2 Plaid Cymru 14 0 0 100 2 6 76 6 16 9 69 19 10 Reform UK 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 5 Green 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4 5 0 5 1 Some other party 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 4 0 2 6 Wouldn't vote 12 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 4 0 2 4 9 Don't know 18 0 0 0 3 1 2 16 17 20 15 16 21 Refused 3 0 0 0 4 0 1 2 4 2 1 2 2 3 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com Sample Size: 1004 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 19th - 22nd February 2021 Gender Age Social Grade Region Mid and Cardiff and South South Total Male Female 16-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE North West South Central East West Weighted Sample 1004 489 515 139 369 243 253 500 500 192 208 224 208 173 Unweighted Sample 1004 428 576 118 340 259 287 529 472 202 227 209 193 173 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % List Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 25 24 26 7 21 21 41 27 22 28 25 25 24 23 Lab 29 20 37 35 31 30 22 25 33 20 27 35 35 23 Lib 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 Plaid 24 25 22 29 28 24 15 24 23 27 23 22 23 23 Green 5 4 5 9 6 4 2 7 2 5 3 4 5 7 UKIP 2 3 0 0 3 2 0 1 3 5 1 0 3 0 Reform UK 3 5 1 5 0 4 4 3 2 3 5 3 2 2 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Communist 1 1 1 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 9 12 5 5 6 12 11 8 9 7 13 7 6 10 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Welsh National Party 1 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 1 Other 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 If there were a Senedd (Welsh Parliament) election tomorrow, which party would you vote for in your constituency? Conservative 19 21 16 8 16 17 31 24 14 19 20 19 17 18 Labour 23 19 26 34 22 23 18 23 22 15 17 33 26 22 Liberal Democrat 3 4 2 5 2 2 3 3 2 4 2 2 1 4 Plaid Cymru 14 15 13 20 14 13 14 17 12 14 17 13 16 12 Reform UK 3 5 1 4 1 4 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 Green 3 3 3 4 4 2 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 4 Some other party 3 5 2 2 3 3 5 3 4 5 3 3 1 4 Wouldn't vote 12 12 12 9 17 10 9 7 18 15 16 10 10 11 Don't know 18 14 21 12 19 25 13 15 21 21 17 10 21 21 Refused 3 2 4 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 4 © 2021 YouGov plc.
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