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Yougov / Welsh Barometer Survey Results YouGov / Welsh Barometer Survey Results Sample Size: 1013 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 26th - 29th October 2020 VI : Westminster VI : Constituency VI : List Past Vote 2019 EU Ref 2016 Lib Plaid Plaid Lib Plaid Lib Plaid Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Con Lab Con Lab Remain Leave Dem Cymru Cymru Dem Cymru Dem Cymru Weighted Sample 1013 218 297 20 107 179 258 19 141 159 229 26 141 265 301 44 73 361 391 Unweighted Sample 1013 228 321 23 104 194 274 22 152 171 248 31 149 300 342 47 84 426 404 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % WESTMINSTER HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION 28 Aug - 26-29 Headline Voting Intention 4 Sep Oct [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused, and excluding 16-17 year olds] Con 33 32 100 0 0 0 93 3 8 5 95 3 7 4 80 2 15 6 14 53 Lab 41 43 0 100 0 0 3 93 23 26 1 94 33 34 7 86 35 16 61 24 Lib Dem 2 3 0 0 100 0 0 1 66 3 0 1 56 2 1 1 34 2 4 0 Plaid Cymru 15 13 0 0 0 100 0 2 3 64 0 1 4 59 4 6 9 72 15 9 Brexit Party 4 5 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 9 Green 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 4 5 1 Other 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 © 2020 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com YouGov / Welsh Barometer Survey Results Sample Size: 1013 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 26th - 29th October 2020 Gender Age Social Grade Region Mid and Cardiff and South South Total Male Female 16-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE North West South Central East West Weighted Sample 1013 493 520 140 373 245 255 506 505 193 210 226 210 174 Unweighted Sample 1013 404 609 104 337 262 310 556 455 212 199 214 205 183 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % WESTMINSTER HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION 28 Aug - 26-29 Headline Voting Intention 4 Sep Oct [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused, and excluding 16-17 year olds] Con 33 32 36 28 12 25 31 45 28 36 35 29 31 30 36 Lab 41 43 39 47 60 52 40 31 46 40 33 48 45 44 45 Lib Dem 2 3 2 4 2 3 1 4 5 1 4 3 2 2 2 Plaid Cymru 15 13 13 13 15 12 16 12 14 12 19 13 14 10 9 Brexit Party 4 5 5 4 3 1 9 6 3 7 5 5 4 6 6 Green 3 3 2 3 2 4 2 1 4 1 2 1 3 4 3 Other 2 2 3 1 5 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 0 2 © 2020 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com Sample Size: 1013 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 26th - 29th October 2020 VI : Westminster VI : Constituency VI : List Past Vote 2019 EU Ref 2016 Lib Plaid Plaid Lib Plaid Lib Plaid Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Con Lab Con Lab Remain Leave Dem Cymru Cymru Dem Cymru Dem Cymru Weighted Sample 1013 218 297 20 107 179 258 19 141 159 229 26 141 265 301 44 73 361 391 Unweighted Sample 1013 228 321 23 104 194 274 22 152 171 248 31 149 300 342 47 84 426 404 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % SENEDD HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: 28 Aug - 26-29 4 Sep Oct (16+) Constituency Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to Con 29 27 84 2 0 1 100 0 0 0 96 0 5 3 72 2 11 5 13 46 Lab 34 38 4 82 12 11 0 100 0 0 1 95 19 16 8 75 26 16 50 26 Lib 3 3 1 1 53 3 0 0 100 0 0 1 48 2 1 2 26 1 5 1 Plaid 24 20 3 13 20 78 0 0 0 100 2 4 13 78 10 16 24 75 25 13 Brexit Party 4 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 9 Green 3 3 1 1 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 1 4 13 3 6 1 Other 3 4 5 0 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 5 1 0 0 1 5 Constituency Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 2 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 3 Gwlad Gwlad 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 Welsh National Party 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 List Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to Con 27 24 74 0 0 1 82 1 3 2 100 0 0 0 60 1 10 5 12 37 Lab 33 33 4 73 15 9 1 84 12 6 0 100 0 0 7 67 26 12 45 23 Lib 3 4 1 3 71 1 1 2 64 2 0 0 100 0 2 4 35 1 6 1 Plaid 23 20 3 17 10 77 2 9 16 80 0 0 0 100 8 20 7 75 25 13 Green 4 4 2 4 0 0 2 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 4 9 1 UKIP 0 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 Brexit Party 4 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 4 7 14 2 0 6 11 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 14 1 13 0 2 13 Gwlad Gwlad 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 Welsh National Party 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Other 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 © 2020 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com Sample Size: 1013 Adults in Wales (16+) Fieldwork: 26th - 29th October 2020 Gender Age Social Grade Region Mid and Cardiff and South South Total Male Female 16-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE North West South Central East West Weighted Sample 1013 493 520 140 373 245 255 506 505 193 210 226 210 174 Unweighted Sample 1013 404 609 104 337 262 310 556 455 212 199 214 205 183 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % SENEDD HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: 28 Aug - 26-29 4 Sep Oct (16+) Constituency Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to Con 29 27 31 24 18 23 25 38 23 33 30 29 21 29 30 Lab 34 38 34 42 50 45 34 29 41 34 26 38 43 38 45 Lib 3 3 3 3 5 4 1 3 4 2 6 1 4 2 1 Plaid 24 20 19 21 21 18 25 19 21 19 30 24 17 16 15 Brexit Party 4 5 6 4 0 3 9 6 2 8 5 5 5 6 4 Green 3 3 3 3 1 5 4 2 4 2 2 2 4 4 2 Other 3 4 5 3 6 3 4 4 5 3 2 2 5 6 3 Constituency Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 2 2 2 2 0 1 2 4 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 Gwlad Gwlad 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 Other 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 Welsh National Party 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 List Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to Con 27 24 25 22 15 22 19 34 22 26 29 26 17 23 26 Lab 33 33 27 39 41 39 30 26 35 30 24 38 31 34 37 Lib 3 4 3 4 3 4 2 5 6 2 4 2 7 3 3 Plaid 23 20 21 20 23 19 22 17 21 19 29 20 24 13 13 Green 4 4 5 4 2 8 4 2 5 4 3 4 3 5 7 UKIP 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 Brexit Party 4 5 6 4 0 3 9 6 3 7 5 4 3 8 6 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Communist 0 1 1 1 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 4 7 10 5 4 4 12 9 6 10 5 4 12 7 10 Gwlad Gwlad 0 1 2 0 4 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 Welsh National Party 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 Other 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 4 © 2020 YouGov plc.
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