Civilisations, States, and World Order Where Are We? Where Are We Heading?
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Civilisations, states, and world order Where are we? Where are we heading? Brand manual Dialogue of Civilzations Research Institute 1.1 GENERAL LOGO Logo and corporate identity The general logo is a combination of symbol (the sphere), typography, DOC, descriptor – indication of the company’s activities (Research institute). Logo should be used in business documentation advertising and packaging materials, as well as in design of interiors and exteriors. General logo is used in full-color printing in advertising materials: booklets, leaflets, outdoor advertising, ets. File name: 1_1.eps 5 Civilisations, states, and world order Where are we? Where are we heading? A DOC Research Institute report for the 17th Rhodes Forum By Richard Higgott With contributions by Amitav Acharya, Jiahong Chen, Anthony Milner, Kira Preobrazhenskaya, N Selin Senocak, Luk Van Langenhove, and Maya Janik Brand manual Dialogue of Civilzations Research Institute 1.1 GENERAL LOGO Logo and corporate identity The general logo is a combination of symbol (the sphere), typography, DOC, descriptor – indication of the company’s activities (Research institute). Logo should be used in business documentation advertising and packaging materials, as well as in design of interiors and exteriors. General logo is used in full-color printing in advertising materials: booklets, leaflets, outdoor advertising, ets. File name: 1_1.eps 5 The DOC Research Institute has produced a remarkably timely report to alert humanity that a new world is emerging. Our previous paradigms may no longer operate in this new world. The revival of ancient civilisations, like the Chinese, Indian, and Islamic civilisations, has introduced a new global dynamic. The contest is no longer primarily economic or political. There is a new dimension of history, philosophy, culture and mythology that will also resurface and drive world history. Those who want to get a glimpse of this new challenging and complex world should read this report carefully. Kishore Mahbubani, Distinguished Fellow at the Asia Research Institute at the National University of Singapore and the author of Has the West Lost it? The world is witnessing ever intensifying strategic competition between the United States and China and this has multifaceted implications for the international order. Many are so pessimistic as to predict a new Cold War between the two giants. This report, sponsored by the DOC Research Institute, provides fresh, in-depth, and thought-provoking views on Sino-US relations, among other critical issues affecting the trajectory of the evolving world order. It also highlights the roles played by civilisational states in managing great power competition and restoring a new equilibrium in world affairs. A very fascinating read. Minghao Zhao, Senior Fellow at the Institute of International Studies, Peking University. For twenty years, I’ve been struck by a certain void in the statements of European leaders. Listening to them, one would think people are primarily economic beings to be considered in terms of consumption, jobs, trade, and investment. This is useful, but people are cultural beings before they are economic actors. For humanity, the soul of a home is always more important than the keeping of a house. The great value of this report is that it fully accounts for this psychological and sociological reality in its analysis of international relations. I highly recommend it. Renaud Girard, international columnist at Le Figaro; Professor of strategy at Sciences Po, Paris. This report correctly and convincingly points out that fundamental adjustments towards a new form of multilateralism are required in order to sustain a workable global order. The report provides a much needed holistic picture. This is necessary in order to understand that apparently regional or bilateral matters are actually global, and that things which seem to be economic are more profoundly cultural. The report offers practical advice that should be taken seriously by concerned citizens of the world, especially policymakers. Peimin Ni, Professor, Department of Philosophy, Grand Valley State University, US. These vibrant and timely ideas contribute to a very open, informed, and delicate conversation, and thus demonstrate the essence of genuine dialogue. The civilisational focus of the report’s methodology allows us to understand the major forces behind emerging political, social, and cultural thinking in China, India, Russia, Turkey and elsewhere. In this way, the report equips us for a truly humane approach to overcoming the challenges of contemporary global antagonism. This kind of innovative work, previously conducted by the World Public Forum, is now realised in the activities of Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute. Vladimir Yakunin, Chairman and Co-founder of the Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute. Brand manual Dialogue of Civilzations Research Institute 1.1 GENERAL LOGO Logo and corporate identity The general logo is a combination of symbol (the sphere), typography, DOC, descriptor – indication of the company’s activities (Research institute). Logo should be used in business documentation advertising and packaging materials, as well as in design of interiors and The Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute (DOC) is an independent platform for dialogue that brings exteriors. together diverse perspectives from the developed and developing worlds in a non-confrontational and constructive spirit. General logo is used in full-color printing in advertising materials: booklets, leaflets, outdoor The DOC’s goals are to forge shared worldviews through dialogue and to contribute to a fair, sustainable, and advertising, ets. peaceful world. In view of these goals, the DOC believes that globalisation should have humanity, culture, and civilisation at its heart. The DOC addresses three key themes: • Cultures and civilisations: Promoting understanding and cooperation among peoples, cultures, File name: 1_1.eps and civilisations, and encouraging harmony beyond differences.5 • Economics: Examining inclusive, innovative, and just development models that work for all. • Governance and geopolitics: Developing policy proposals for international actors and exploring new diplomatic avenues. Copyright © 2019 by Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute ISBN 978-3-00-063475-8 The right of Richard Higgott, Amitav Acharya, Jiahong Chen, Anthony Milner, Kira Preobrazhenskaya, N Selin Senocak, Luk Van Langenhove, and Maya Janik to be identified as the authors of this publication is hereby asserted. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the original author(s) and do not necessarily represent or reflect the views and opinions of the Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute, its co-founders, or its staff members. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical reviews and certain other noncommercial uses permitted by copyright law. For permission requests, please write to the publisher: Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute gGmbH Französische Straße 23 10117 Berlin Germany +49 30 209677900 [email protected] Acknowledgements Teresita Cruz del-Rosario offered some initial and very useful insights in the early stages of developing this report. Indeed, a few of her sentences remain. Catarina Carta, Luk Van Langenhove, Vladimir Yakunin, Berthold Kuhn, and Toby Miller all offered insightful comments on early drafts. My listed co-contributors produced their sections, which immeasurably strengthen the report, with alacrity in the face of tight deadlines. Jean-Christophe Bas has been supportive of the product throughout. Jonathan Grayson and Maya Janik provided fine editorial support. I thank them all but do, of course, absolve them of any responsibility for its substance and argument. I also thank Kishore Mahbubani for his kind words. Richard Higgott, Brussels, August 2019. Table of contents Foreword 8 Executive summary 10 Introduction 13 Making sense of liberal international 21 Part 1 order: Concepts and context 1.1. Conceptual deck-clearing: 21 Culture, values, and civilisation 1.2. Liberal order and beyond: 26 The argument in brief 1.3. A little bit of economic theory: 31 Towards a new mercantilism International order, the US-China 36 Part 2 relationship, and Europe in context 2.1. The big picture: Ideology or interest 37 in the new ‘Great Game’? 2.2. Beyond protectionism: 44 The new economic warfare 2.3. The EU: Life after the ‘existential’ crisis? 50 2.4. From rules-based order to ‘fight club’? 54 Considering civilisation states 57 Part 3 and regions: Actors beyond a Western liberal order 3.1. Impressions from civilisation states 57 3.2. China – Jiahong Chen 59 3.3. Russia – Kira Preobrazhenskaya 65 3.4. Turkey – N Selin Senocak 71 3.5. India – Amitav Acharya 76 3.6. Southeast Asia – Anthony Milner 82 3.7. Towards Eurasia? 88 Civilisational dialogue as a vehicle 94 Part 4 for reforming world order: Can the liberalism-nationalism standoff be negotiated? 4.1. Core questions for our age: Securing 94 openness and cooperation 4.2. Creating a dialogue of civilisations: 101 Questions of practice 4.3. Creating a dialogue of civilisations: 106 Questions of method – Luk Van Langenhove 4.4. Shifting focus from conflict to balance 110 Ten propositions