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High Speed Rail Vision Plan Draft Report

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High Speed Rail Vision Plan Draft Report HAMPTON ROADS PASSENGER RAIL VISION PLAN ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS HAMPTON ROADS – RICHMOND – WASHINGTON HAMPTON ROADS HIGH SPEED PASSENGER RAIL VISION PLAN ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 PURPOSE OF STUDY.......................................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.2 DEVELOPMENT STEPS – NORFOLK-RICHMOND CORRIDOR ........................................................................ 1-2 1.3 SCOPE OF THE STUDY ....................................................................................................................................... 1-2 1.4 REPORT ORGANIZATION ................................................................................................................................ 1-10 2. DEVELOPMENT OF THE ROUTE AND TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS .......................................................... 2-1 2.1 PURPOSE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ............................................................................................. 2-1 2.2 LIST OF DATA COLLECTION AND MAPPING SOURCES .................................................................................. 2-2 2.3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDY AREA ...................................................................................................................... 2-4 2.4 ROUTE OPTIONS ............................................................................................................................................... 2-6 2.5 TRAIN TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS ..................................................................................................................... 2-17 3. ROUTE ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1 DEVELOPMENT OF ROUTE OPTIONS .............................................................................................................. 3-1 3.2 SEGMENT BY SEGMENT ANALYSIS – NORFOLK TO RICHMOND ................................................................... 3-5 3.3 SEGMENT BY SEGMENT ANALYSIS – NEWPORT NEWS TO RICHMOND .................................................... 3-31 4. ENGINEERING ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................ 4-1 4.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................................. 4-1 4.2 INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL COSTS DEVELOPMENT ..................................................................................... 4-2 4.3 RAIL CAPITAL UNIT COSTS ............................................................................................................................. 4-3 4.4 CAPITAL COST SUMMARY .............................................................................................................................. 4-10 4.5 CAPITAL COST BENCHMARKING ................................................................................................................... 4-13 4.6 IMPLEMENTATION, FUNDING NEEDS AND YEAR-OF-EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS ...................................... 4-15 5. OPERATING PLAN AND COSTS ......................................................................................................... 5-1 5.1 OPERATING PLAN ............................................................................................................................................. 5-1 5.2 OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS ...................................................................................................... 5-16 5.3 VARIABLE COSTS ............................................................................................................................................ 5-19 5.4 FIXED ROUTE COSTS ...................................................................................................................................... 5-23 5.5 SYSTEM OVERHEAD COSTS ........................................................................................................................... 5-29 5.6 RESULTS/TABLES .......................................................................................................................................... 5-29 6. MARKET ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................ 6-1 6.1 OVERVIEW OF EXISTING TRAVEL MARKET ................................................................................................... 6-1 6.2 BASIC STRUCTURE OF THE COMPASS™ TRAVEL MARKET FORECAST MODEL ...................................... 6-2 Prepared by TEMS, Inc. | Page ii HAMPTON ROADS HIGH SPEED PASSENGER RAIL VISION PLAN ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS 6.3 ZONE DEFINITION ............................................................................................................................................ 6-4 6.4 SOCIOECONOMIC BASELINE PROJECTIONS .................................................................................................... 6-7 6.5 EXISTING TRAVEL MODES ............................................................................................................................... 6-8 6.6 ORIGIN-DESTINATION TRIP DATABASE ...................................................................................................... 6-12 6.7 STATED PREFERENCE SURVEY ..................................................................................................................... 6-14 6.8 FUTURE TRAVEL MARKET STRATEGIES ...................................................................................................... 6-24 6.9 CORRIDOR TOTAL TRAVEL MARKET DEMAND FORECAST ........................................................................ 6-28 6.10 CORRIDOR TRAVEL MARKET FORECASTS FOR PASSENGER RAIL ............................................................. 6-29 6.11 CORRIDOR TRAVEL MARKET FORECASTS BENCHMARKING ...................................................................... 6-39 7. FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ........................................................................................... 7-1 7.1 EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES .................................................................................................................... 7-1 7.2 FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC OBJECTIVES ....................................................................................................... 7-1 7.3 FINANCIAL RESULTS ........................................................................................................................................ 7-7 7.4 ECONOMIC RESULTS ...................................................................................................................................... 7-11 7.5 BENCHMARKING COMPARISONS ................................................................................................................... 7-18 8. PREFERRED OPTION DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................................... 8-1 8.1 OPTION 4, RICHMOND DIRECT IMPROVED .................................................................................................... 8-2 8.2 IMPLICATIONS FOR FRANCHISABILITY ........................................................................................................... 8-9 8.3 POSSIBLE SYNERGIES WITH SOUTHEAST HIGH SPEED RAIL ..................................................................... 8-11 8.4 CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................................................... 8-11 9. CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................................... 9-1 9.1 RESULTS ............................................................................................................................................................ 9-1 Prepared by TEMS, Inc. | Page iii HAMPTON ROADS HIGH SPEED PASSENGER RAIL VISION PLAN ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS 1. INTRODUCTION This section provides a description of the background and purpose of the Norfolk-Richmond corridor Phase 2A Data Collection and the Phase 2B Alternatives Analysis studies, the scope of the work, and the organization of the Vision Plan. 1.1 PURPOSE OF STUDY The Virginia Department of Rail and Public Transportation (DRPT) developed the Richmond/Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Project Tier I Draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) in accordance with the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) to develop conventional passenger rail service to the I-64/CSX corridor and the US Route 460/Norfolk Southern corridor. The state’s draft NEPA document was released for public review and comment in December 2009. In February 2010, based on the evaluation and public comments received, the Commonwealth Transportation Board selected Alternative 1 as the preferred alternative for enhanced passenger rail service between Richmond and Newport News and higher speed passenger rail service between Petersburg and Norfolk. DRPT has completed the Tier I Final EIS document, which was circulated for public comment in August 2012. The Record of Decision (ROD) was approved by the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) on December 7, 2012. The Final Tier 1 EIS proposes 6 trains per day at 90
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