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FIJI: Energy and Transport Data Audit and Data Management Assessment for Electrification of the Transport Sector

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FIJI: Energy and Transport Data Audit and Data Management Assessment for Electrification of the Transport Sector FIJI: Energy and Transport Data Audit and Data Management Assessment for Electrification of the Transport Sector Final Report September 2019 Contents Illustrations ................................................................................................................... 3 Abbreviations ............................................................................................................... 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................ 5 1. BACKGROUND TO THE PROJECT .................................................................... 7 Project Phases ............................................................................................................... 8 Research Undertaken .................................................................................................... 9 2. BENEFITS AND COSTS OF ELECTRIFIED TRANSPORT ........................... 10 Potential Positive Impacts .......................................................................................... 10 Lower greenhouse gas emissions ........................................................................... 10 Reduced air pollution ............................................................................................. 13 More pedestrian-friendly mixed traffic zones ........................................................ 13 Source of “second life” batteries for PV systems ................................................... 14 Consistency with “sustainability” objectives and branding ................................... 14 Changes in vehicle import and operating costs ...................................................... 15 Impact on national balance of payments ................................................................ 17 Potential Negatives ..................................................................................................... 18 Higher greenhouse gas emissions ........................................................................... 18 Vehicle costs ........................................................................................................... 18 Cost of charging infrastructure ............................................................................... 19 Battery costs (including end-of-life disposal) ........................................................ 19 3. CATEGORIES OF INFORMATION REQUIRED ............................................. 21 Vehicles ...................................................................................................................... 21 Number and types of Vehicles................................................................................ 21 Market Conditions .................................................................................................. 27 Technology and Efficiency ..................................................................................... 28 Maritime ................................................................................................................. 29 Travel .......................................................................................................................... 30 Vehicle Usage ......................................................................................................... 30 Fuels ........................................................................................................................... 31 4. ORGANISING AND FACILITATING INFORMATION FLOWS .................. 33 Agency Roles .............................................................................................................. 33 Constraints, bottlenecks and gaps ............................................................................... 35 Constraints .............................................................................................................. 35 Bottlenecks ............................................................................................................. 36 Gaps ........................................................................................................................ 37 International Data ....................................................................................................... 37 5. DATA FRAMEWORK AND STRATEGY (DFS) ................................................ 39 A. Organisational arrangements ................................................................................. 39 B. Policy studies and modelling ................................................................................. 41 C. Analyses of existing and expected data ................................................................. 44 D. Planning and delivering new data acquisitions ...................................................... 46 Conclusions ................................................................................................................ 47 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................. 49 Energy and Transport Data Audit for Electrification of the Fiji Transport Sector 2 Documents .............................................................................................................. 49 Websites ................................................................................................................. 49 APPENDIX 1. STAKEHOLDERS CONSULTED ................................................... 50 APPENDIX 2. FIRST STAKEHOLDER WORKSHOP, 28 JUNE 2019 ............... 52 APPENDIX 3. SECOND STAKEHOLDER WORKSHOP, 6 AUGUST 2019 ...... 54 APPENDIX 4. VEHICLE ADDITIONS AND RETIREMENTS ............................ 56 Illustrations Figure 1 Transition from current situation to LEDS ........................................................ 7 Figure 2 Main Data Categories and Collection Agencies .............................................. 22 Figure 3 Total vehicle registrations, 2001 - 2018 ........................................................... 26 Figure 4 New registrations each year, 2001 – 2018 ...................................................... 26 Figure 5 The “Information Pyramid” ............................................................................. 34 Figure 6 Annual retirements from the motor vehicle register ........................................ 56 Figure 7 Trend in total registrations ............................................................................... 56 Figure 8 Trend in annual retirements ............................................................................. 57 Table 1 Emissions-intensities of an ICV, HV and EV of comparable size .................... 12 Table 2 Emissions intensities of vehicles under different generation fuel mixes .......... 12 Table 3 Example of annual revenue contribution calculations....................................... 16 Table 4 Example of 10-year revenue calculation (new vehicle, CIF value $30,000) .... 17 Table 5 Example of 10-year revenue calculation (used vehicle, CIF value $12,000) .... 17 Table 6 Summary of major data collections reviewed to date ....................................... 23 Table 7 Extract from LTA registration database (2015) ................................................ 24 Table 8 Extract from FRCS Motor Vehicle Landing Costs (Jul-Sept 2018) ................. 24 Table 9 Total Vehicle Registrations by New/Used, 2015 .............................................. 27 Table 10 Summary and indicative timeline of tasks and projects .................................. 48 Energy and Transport Data Audit for Electrification of the Fiji Transport Sector 3 Abbreviations BAU Business as Usual CEO Chief Executive Officer DFS Data Framework and Strategy DOE Department of Energy EFL Energy Fiji Limited EV Electric vehicle FBOS Fiji Bureau of Statistics FRCS Fiji Revenue and Customs Service GGGI Global Green Growth Institute LEDS Low-emissions development strategy HIES Household Income and Expenditure Survey HTS Household Travel Survey HV Hybrid vehicle ICV Internal Combustion Vehicle LHD Left Hand Drive (i.e. steering wheel on the left of the vehicle) LTA Land Transport Authority MOIT Ministry of Infrastructure and transport MOU Memorandum of Understanding MSAF Maritime Safety Authority of Fiji NMT Non-motorized transport NTPD National Transport Planning Database PHV Plug hybrid vehicle PT Public transport PV Photovoltaic RHD Right Hand Drive (as in Fiji) TPU Transport Planning Unit TOU Time of use UNESCAP United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific VAT Value added tax VKT Vehicle-kilometres travelled Energy and Transport Data Audit for Electrification of the Fiji Transport Sector 4 Executive Summary This is the final report on an Energy and Transport Data Audit and Data Collection Strategy to support planning for the electrification of the transport sector in Fiji (The Strategy is also called the Data Framework and Strategy, or DFS). The project was undertaken with the kind co-operation and assistance of the Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport (MOIT), and in particular the Transport Planning Unit (TPU) and the Department of Energy (DOE) of MOIT. Adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) for land transport was one of the main strategies for reducing emissions identified in the Low Energy Development Strategy 2018-2050. Electrification may also have a more limited role in reducing maritime emissions. The aim of the project is to help provide a policy and planning bridge between the present situation and
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