EQUITY RESEARCH | June 4, 2019 | 6:25 AM EDT The following is a redacted version of the original report. See inside for details. THE FUTURE OF M BILITY Ride-hailing and new businesses to fuel $7tn+ global mobility market The next 10 years of mobility will bring more change in the way that people and products move than any decade since the invention of the automobile. Emerging technologies and business models like ride-hailing and sharing, autonomous driving and delivery, micro-mobility and even eVTOL (flying cars, finally) stand to disrupt profit pools that we estimate exceed $700bn, and venture backed startups and incumbents will attempt to address over $7tn in spend- ing. Given the size of the opportunity, it should come as no surprise that access to capital has created a hyper competi- tive environment marked by massive operating losses driven by marketing, subsidies, incentives, and capital in- vestment. As this environment matures and rationalizes, we expect consolidation that will lead to profitability, the establishment of category leaders, and significant opportunities for investors. Heath P. Terry, CFA Daniel Powell Piyush Mubayi Frank Jarman David Tamberrino, CFA Adam Hotchkiss +1 212 357-1849 +1 917 343-4120 +852 2978-1677 +1 212 902-7537 +1 212 357-7617 +1 212 902-3941
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