LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North East Locality
Strategy & Insight CITY & LOCALITY OVERVIEW City Overview Locality Overview • Edinburgh is an affluent city, but with • Locality level averages mask significant pockets of poverty and low income as variation at lower level geographies severe as any other city in Scotland across most measures • City population, and demand for • All services the Council provides are services has grown rapidly in the past needed in every locality decade. • Every locality contains at least one ward • This population and demand growth is or community which is significantly projected to continue throughout the different from the rest of the area next ten to fifteen years, facilitated by • Population growth in the next decade is planned housing developments. likely to be most concentrated towards the north of the city LOCALITIES - POPULATION & GROWTH
North West North East
167,120
159,104
141,723
135,377
127,795
122,954
110,905 94,650
2004 2014 2024 2034 2004 2014 2024 2034
South West South East
132,470
131,770
125,975
120,298
119,292
119,203
114,077 103,127
2004 2014 2024 2034 2004 2014 2024 2034 LOCALITIES – POPULATION STRUCTURE
North West North East
1.20 1.21 1.19 1.22 1.22 1.12 1.12 1.05 0.90 0.88 0.95 0.92 0.83 0.78 0.84 0.66
0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+
South West South East
1.59
1.06 1.09 1.03 1.07 1.02 0.97 0.98 1.00 0.93 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.86
0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 North West North East South East South West
30% 27% 29% 22% 24% 21% 20% 20% 18% 15% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 7% 8%
5%
Forth
Leith
Almond
Inverleith
Leith Walk Leith
South East South
North East North
CityCentre
South West
North West North
Murrayfield
Duddingston
Pentland Hills Pentland
% of residents who live in low income householdslowincome in live who % residents of
Craigentinny / Craigentinny
Corstorphine / Corstorphine
Craiglockhart
Sighthill / Gorgie / Sighthill
Fountainbridge / Fountainbridge
Drum Brae / Gyle Brae / Drum
Liberton / Gilmerton Liberton /
Southside / Southside Newington
Portobello / Craigmillar / Portobello
Colinton / Fairmilehead / Colinton Meadows / Morningside / Meadows Business Intelligence modelled estimates CHILD POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14
North West North East South East South West 35% 30% 27% 27% 25% 25% 26% 26% 22% 19% 20% 17% 18% 17% 15% 13% 14%
11% 11% 11% 12%
Forth
Leith
Almond
Inverleith
Leith Walk Leith
South East South
North East North
CityCentre
South West
North West North
% of children who live in low income householdsincome inlowlive who % childrenof
Murrayfield
Duddingston
Pentland Hills Pentland
Craigentinny / Craigentinny
Corstorphine / Corstorphine
Craiglockhart
Sighthill / Gorgie / Sighthill
Fountainbridge / Fountainbridge
Drum Brae / Gyle Brae / Drum
Liberton / Gilmerton Liberton /
Southside / Southside Newington
Portobello / Craigmillar / Portobello
Colinton / Fairmilehead / Colinton Meadows / Morningside / Meadows Business Intelligence modelled estimates SIMD 50% of datazones in 15% most 8% housing deprived nationally of datazones in 15% most NORTH EAST deprived nationally 16% NORTH WEST of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally 44% NORTH EAST of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally 12% SOUTH EAST of datazones in 15% most 5% deprived nationally of datazones in 15% most SOUTH WEST deprived nationally SOUTH EAST INCOME PROFILE - INDEX
North West North East
1.30 1.37 1.38 1.18 1.17 1.07 1.11 1.07 1.10 1.07 0.93 0.99 0.97 0.90 0.82 0.91 0.84 0.69 0.46 0.25 <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k
South West South East
1.47 1.25 1.10 1.05 1.05 1.01 1.03 1.05 0.93 0.99 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.99 0.95 1.00 0.86 0.81
<£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k FINANCIAL STRESS
20% North West North East South East South West 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2%
0%
cope’ on current income current on cope’
Leith
Forth
Almond
Inverleith
Leith Walk Leith
City Centre City
Pentland Hills Pentland
t
% Households who find it ‘very difficult to to difficult ‘very it find who Households %
Sighthill/Gorgie
Drum Brae/Gyle Drum
Liberton/Gilmerton
Southside/Newington Portobello/Craigmillar
Ward Mean Colinton/Fairmilehead
Meadows/Morningside Corstorphine/Murrayfield Max/Min Craigentinny/Duddingston Datazone Fountainbridge/Craiglockhar Experian – Mosaic Scotland EMPLOYMENT
- Unemployment has been falling across all wards, citywide for the last two years - North East locality has the highest rate of unemployment relative to other localities in Edinburgh - It is around 39% higher in this area than the whole of Edinburgh - Around one-sixth (16.9%) of all Edinburgh jobs are based in the North East area, and the top five industries in the North East by employment size are:
• Health • Retail • Business admin • Public Admin • Accommodation & food services HEALTH AND PHYSICAL ACTIVITY
% Satisfaction with sports facilities run Key Facts by Edinburgh Leisure • Mortality rates are higher than any other area in Edinburgh and higher than the national average 81% • 6.1% of residents in Portobello/Craigmillar 75% consider their health to be very bad or bad 70% 71% compared with 3.6% of those in Leith Walk • 17.1% of residents reported that their daily activities are limited • In every ward except for Craigentinny/Duddingston, residents exercise less than the city average Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar CRIME AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOUR
Key Facts % feel safe in their neighbourhood after • Crime appears to vary between the four dark localities • The numbers for Leith and Leith Walk are 91% higher than the Edinburgh Average for 78% 76% violent crime, vandalism and disorder 63% • Crime levels in Craigentinny/Duddingston and Craigmillar/Portobello are generally below the city average • However, Craigmillar/Portobello and Craigentinny/Duddingston have higher Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / levels of fire raising and vandalism Duddingston Craigmillar VIOLENT CRIME
Violent crime in South East % Satisfied with the way in which violent crime is dealt with
1129 76% 937 66% 66% 56% 703 585
Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar Duddingston Craigmillar DISORDER
Disorder in South East % Satisfied with way in which ASB is dealt with
2613 2600 69%
55% 1787 54% 52% 1622
Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar Duddingston Craigmillar YOUNG PEOPLE
Child Poverty • Child poverty in the North East is the highest out of all four localities with 26% of all children living in low income households • There are 370 ‘looked after children’ in North East, 27% of the total number citywide • The number of children living in foster, residential and kinship care in the North East are all higher than the city average • The number of looked after children living with their parents/guardians is significantly lower, 18.4%, than the city average of 24.1% YOUNG PEOPLE
Education • Portobello/Craigmillar has the highest number of adults with no qualifications at 28% • The cumulative attendance for all 5 Secondary Schools is below the city-wide target (92.8%) and current city-wide sector average (92.37%) and is the lowest of all of the localities • Cumulative attendance for 16 Primary Schools (80%) below target of 95.4% with 12 of these (60%) below current sector average (94.65%) VULNERABLE ADULTS
% Agree Council provides care and Key Facts support for vulnerable people • North East has the highest number (6919) of adults with an open health and 71% social care involvement 67% • Portobello/Craigmillar has the highest 57% 56% number – 1951 (7.4% of ward population) individuals with open health and social care involvement compared with a low of 1549 in Leith Walk
Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar OVERVIEW
% Satisfaction with neighbourhood as a place to live Key Facts • Low satisfaction levels can be attributed 90% 93% 92% to high levels of poverty and crime • Health problems are widespread across 76% the locality • High numbers of both vulnerable adults and children
Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar Strategy & Insight Jo McStay David F Porteous Strategy & Insight Manager Lead Insight & Engagement Officer [email protected] [email protected] 0131 529 7950 0131 529 7127