LOCALITY INSIGHT an Overview of the North East Locality
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LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North East Locality Strategy & Insight CITY & LOCALITY OVERVIEW City Overview Locality Overview • Edinburgh is an affluent city, but with • Locality level averages mask significant pockets of poverty and low income as variation at lower level geographies severe as any other city in Scotland across most measures • City population, and demand for • All services the Council provides are services has grown rapidly in the past needed in every locality decade. • Every locality contains at least one ward • This population and demand growth is or community which is significantly projected to continue throughout the different from the rest of the area next ten to fifteen years, facilitated by • Population growth in the next decade is planned housing developments. likely to be most concentrated towards the north of the city LOCALITIES - POPULATION & GROWTH North West North East 167,120 159,104 141,723 135,377 127,795 122,954 110,905 94,650 2004 2014 2024 2034 2004 2014 2024 2034 South West South East 132,470 131,770 125,975 120,298 119,292 119,203 114,077 103,127 2004 2014 2024 2034 2004 2014 2024 2034 LOCALITIES – POPULATION STRUCTURE North West North East 1.20 1.21 1.19 1.22 1.22 1.12 1.12 1.05 0.90 0.88 0.95 0.92 0.83 0.78 0.84 0.66 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ South West South East 1.59 1.06 1.09 1.03 1.07 1.02 0.97 0.98 1.00 0.93 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.86 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 North West North East South East South West 30% 27% 29% 22% 24% 21% 20% 20% 18% 15% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 7% 8% 5% Forth Leith Almond Inverleith Leith Walk Leith South South East North East North City Centre South West North West North Murrayfield Duddingston Pentland Hills Pentland % of residents who live in low income householdslowincome in live who % residents of Craigentinny / Craigentinny Corstorphine / Corstorphine Craiglockhart Sighthill Gorgie / Sighthill Fountainbridge / Fountainbridge Drum Brae GyleBrae / Drum Liberton / Gilmerton Liberton / Southside / Southside Newington Portobello / Craigmillar / Portobello Colinton / Fairmilehead /Colinton Meadows / Morningside Meadows / Business Intelligence modelled estimates CHILD POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 North West North East South East South West 35% 30% 27% 27% 25% 25% 26% 26% 22% 19% 20% 17% 18% 17% 15% 13% 14% 11% 11% 11% 12% Forth Leith Almond Inverleith Leith Walk Leith South South East North East North City Centre South West North West North % of children who live in low income householdsincome inlowlive who % ofchildren Murrayfield Duddingston Pentland Hills Pentland Craigentinny / Craigentinny Corstorphine / Corstorphine Craiglockhart Sighthill Gorgie / Sighthill Fountainbridge / Fountainbridge Drum Brae GyleBrae / Drum Liberton / Gilmerton Liberton / Southside / Southside Newington Portobello / Craigmillar / Portobello Colinton / Fairmilehead /Colinton Meadows / Morningside Meadows / Business Intelligence modelled estimates SIMD 50% of datazones in 15% most 8% housing deprived nationally of datazones in 15% most NORTH EAST deprived nationally 16% NORTH WEST of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally 44% NORTH EAST of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally 12% SOUTH EAST of datazones in 15% most 5% deprived nationally of datazones in 15% most SOUTH WEST deprived nationally SOUTH EAST INCOME PROFILE - INDEX North West North East 1.30 1.37 1.38 1.18 1.17 1.07 1.11 1.07 1.10 1.07 0.93 0.99 0.97 0.90 0.82 0.91 0.84 0.69 0.46 0.25 <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k South West South East 1.47 1.25 1.10 1.05 1.05 1.01 1.03 1.05 0.93 0.99 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.99 0.95 1.00 0.86 0.81 <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k FINANCIAL STRESS 20% North West North East South East South West 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% cope’ on current income current on cope’ Leith Forth Almond Inverleith Leith Walk Leith City Centre City Pentland Hills Pentland t % Households who find it ‘very difficult to to difficult it‘very find who Households% Sighthill/Gorgie Drum Brae/Gyle Drum Liberton/Gilmerton Southside/Newington Portobello/Craigmillar Ward Mean Colinton/Fairmilehead Meadows/Morningside Corstorphine/Murrayfield Max/Min Craigentinny/Duddingston Datazone Fountainbridge/Craiglockhar Experian – Mosaic Scotland EMPLOYMENT - Unemployment has been falling across all wards, citywide for the last two years - North East locality has the highest rate of unemployment relative to other localities in Edinburgh - It is around 39% higher in this area than the whole of Edinburgh - Around one-sixth (16.9%) of all Edinburgh jobs are based in the North East area, and the top five industries in the North East by employment size are: • Health • Retail • Business admin • Public Admin • Accommodation & food services HEALTH AND PHYSICAL ACTIVITY % Satisfaction with sports facilities run Key Facts by Edinburgh Leisure • Mortality rates are higher than any other area in Edinburgh and higher than the national average 81% • 6.1% of residents in Portobello/Craigmillar 75% consider their health to be very bad or bad 70% 71% compared with 3.6% of those in Leith Walk • 17.1% of residents reported that their daily activities are limited • In every ward except for Craigentinny/Duddingston, residents exercise less than the city average Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar CRIME AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOUR Key Facts % feel safe in their neighbourhood after • Crime appears to vary between the four dark localities • The numbers for Leith and Leith Walk are 91% higher than the Edinburgh Average for 78% 76% violent crime, vandalism and disorder 63% • Crime levels in Craigentinny/Duddingston and Craigmillar/Portobello are generally below the city average • However, Craigmillar/Portobello and Craigentinny/Duddingston have higher Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / levels of fire raising and vandalism Duddingston Craigmillar VIOLENT CRIME Violent crime in South East % Satisfied with the way in which violent crime is dealt with 1129 76% 937 66% 66% 56% 703 585 Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar Duddingston Craigmillar DISORDER Disorder in South East % Satisfied with way in which ASB is dealt with 2613 2600 69% 55% 1787 54% 52% 1622 Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar Duddingston Craigmillar YOUNG PEOPLE Child Poverty • Child poverty in the North East is the highest out of all four localities with 26% of all children living in low income households • There are 370 ‘looked after children’ in North East, 27% of the total number citywide • The number of children living in foster, residential and kinship care in the North East are all higher than the city average • The number of looked after children living with their parents/guardians is significantly lower, 18.4%, than the city average of 24.1% YOUNG PEOPLE Education • Portobello/Craigmillar has the highest number of adults with no qualifications at 28% • The cumulative attendance for all 5 Secondary Schools is below the city-wide target (92.8%) and current city-wide sector average (92.37%) and is the lowest of all of the localities • Cumulative attendance for 16 Primary Schools (80%) below target of 95.4% with 12 of these (60%) below current sector average (94.65%) VULNERABLE ADULTS % Agree Council provides care and Key Facts support for vulnerable people • North East has the highest number (6919) of adults with an open health and 71% social care involvement 67% • Portobello/Craigmillar has the highest 57% 56% number – 1951 (7.4% of ward population) individuals with open health and social care involvement compared with a low of 1549 in Leith Walk Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar OVERVIEW % Satisfaction with neighbourhood as a place to live Key Facts • Low satisfaction levels can be attributed 90% 93% 92% to high levels of poverty and crime • Health problems are widespread across 76% the locality • High numbers of both vulnerable adults and children Leith Leith Walk Craigentinny / Portobello / Duddingston Craigmillar Strategy & Insight Jo McStay David F Porteous Strategy & Insight Manager Lead Insight & Engagement Officer [email protected] [email protected] 0131 529 7950 0131 529 7127.