Trump Reverts to Petulant Five-Year-Old
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11 November 2020 Page 1 Issue 2020/12 www.trendwatch.co.uk 11 November 2020 “Loser” and “sucker” Trump reverts to petulant five-year-old HE TRUMP ABERATION is finally over. The US It’s a vivid illustration of how polarised America is. Stock market sectors electorate have spoken loud and clear. In all- There are tens of millions of voters there, who like me, T ☺ uptrends time record numbers, cannot begin to understand how and despite Covid-19, the peo- FTSE 100 anyone could conceivably vote * Automobiles & parts 4 ple have gone for the “anyone 7,500 for a cruel, narcissistic, amoral, * Banks 2 but Trump” option and deci- racist liar who is arguably com- 7,000 * Electricity 3 sively ousted Trump in favour plicit in the death of 240,000 US Electronic / electrical eq. 33 of Joe Biden. City centres all 6,500 citizens. around the nation erupted in Conversely, there are tens of Equity inv. instruments 107 spontaneous joy and relief. 6,000 millions of other voters who can- FTSE SmallCap ex Inv Co 23 I’ve been predicting this re- 5,500 not understand why people like General industrials 43 sult in these pages for years. me cannot see what to them is 5,000 Industrial engineering 105 Easiest prediction I’ve ever had D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N blindingly obvious: that Trump is Industrial metals 112 to make. a courageous warrior fighting Except that, to borrow a phrase used by Trump to against socialism and for the rule of law. He is Ameri- describe himself, I fear that my claim to be a “very sta- ca’s only bastion against the destruction of US city Stock market sectors ble genius” is quite possibly delusional. centres by the Black Lives Matter movement. downtrends It wasn’t quite the landslide that frankly, I and many Those are the people who constitute Trump’s mas- * Tobacco -2 others were expecting ― although in some vehemently sive base: millions of predominantly white working- anti-Trump states, a landslide is what we got: class people without a college education, living largely Food producers -37 Health care eq. & serv. -19 • Washington D.C: 93.4% : 5.2% for Biden in America’s vast rural areas. This is also the biggest reservoir of overt or covert racism that has plagued Life assurance -38 • Massachusetts: 65.7% : 32.5% for Biden America throughout its history. A large majority of Software & comp. serv. -11 • California: 65.3% : 32.9% for Biden these people believe that Trump can do no wrong. They believe unquestioningly in every lie he utters. Maryland: 62.6% : 35.6% for Biden • That’s why 71 million people just voted for him. • New Jersey: 60.7% : 38.2% for Biden To paraphrase Rudyard Kipling (who, in his poem • Washington State: 60.2% : 37.5% for Biden The Ballad of East and West, originated the phrase that has now graduated to a cliché): ...and several other states where Biden won more than “Oh, Republicans are Republicans and Democrats 55% of the vote. are Democrats, and never the twain shall meet.” Trouble is, for every one of the above states, there The latest result at the time of going to press is that, was a state going just as big for Trump: with counting still in progress and three states left to • Wyoming: 70.4% : 26.7% for Trump call (in two of which Biden is ahead), Biden has won 279 of the all-important Electoral College votes (the • West Virginia: 68.7% : 29.6% for Trump winner needs 270) compared to Trump’s 217. In the • North Dakota: 65.5% : 31.9% for Trump (irrelevant) popular vote count, Biden is beating • Oklahoma: 65.4% : 32.3% for Trump Trump by a margin of more than 5 million votes. That’s 2 million more votes than the 3 million margin • Idaho: 63.9% : 33.1% for Trump that Hillary Clinton beat Trump in 2016; a statistic • Kentucky: 62.6% : 35.7% for Trump that unhinged Trump even more then the fact that Obama’s inauguration ceremony attracted a far bigger • Arkansas: 62.6% : 34.5% for Trump crowd than Trump’s. Another notable achievement by Biden is that he be- TrendWatch Barometer came only the fourth president-elect in the past 100 years to unseat an incumbent president. The others London-listed shares were: % of total no. of % change 1932: Franklin Roosevelt ousted Herbert Hoo- 12-Oct 09-Nov • shares monitored on fortnight ver; OFFICIAL LIST: • 1980: Ronald Regan ousted Jimmy Carter. Uptrends 17.65% 12.57% -5.08% • 1992: Bill Clinton ousted George HW Bush Indeterminate 70.21% 68.95% -1.26% S0 not an anti-Trump landslide, that many were Downtrends 12.14% 18.48% +6.34% predicting, but a very respectable win for the Biden- Harris ticket. AIM-LISTED: So why do I have the unsettling feeling that my bril- Uptrends 17.58% 13.62% -3.96% (Continued on page 9) Indeterminate 64.96% 66.12% +1.16% Downtrends 17.46% 20.26% +2.80% SHARE SELECTIONS IN THIS ISSUE INVESTMENT TRUSTS: Uptrends 19.88% 10.98% -8.90% Beeks Financial Cloud Group (BKS) 4 Indeterminate 73.70% 78.65% +4.95% Bigblu Broadband (BBB) Downtrends 6.42% 10.37% +3.95% Jet2 (JET2) EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS: Marshall Motor Holdings (MMH) Uptrends 14.61% 13.48% -1.13% Indeterminate 81.46% 83.15% +1.69% Randall & Quilter (RQIH) Downtrends 3.93% 3.37% -0.56% Tremor (TRMR) 11 November 2020 Page 2 SDI soars by nearly a quarter as it shrugs off Covid threat The TrendWatch portfolio: Valuation as at 9 November 2020 Date Buy price Price now gain/ loss F/c gross Mkt. gain/ Outperf. STOP- Share (EPIC) bought (p) * (p) (%) yield (%) loss (%) (%) LOSS ** Aquis Exchange (AQX) AIM 15/10/2020 410.00 435.00 6.1 - 1.2 4.8 348 Arrow Global (ARW) 17/09/2020 106.40 135.80 27.6 - -2.1 30.3 108 Avingtrans (AVG) 23/07/2020 266.00 260.00 -2.3 1.6 -4.0 1.8 232 Blackbird (BIRD) AIM 17/09/2020 20.50 21.25 3.7 - -2.1 5.8 17 Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV) 15/10/2020 5.30 5.55 4.7 - 1.2 3.5 4 Cake Box Holdings (CBOX) AIM 17/09/2020 167.00 176.00 5.4 3.5 -2.1 7.6 149 CareTech Holdings (CTH) AIM 02/08/2020 441.00 455.00 3.2 3.2 -1.4 4.6 380 CentralNic (CNIC) AIM 28/05/2020 88.50 76.00 -14.1 - -4.3 -10.3 73 Codemasters Group (CDM) 23/07/2002 353.50 470.00 33.0 - -4.0 38.5 332 CVS Group (CVSG) AIM 25/06/2020 988.00 1314.00 33.0 0.5 -3.0 37.2 998 Eagle Eye Solutions Group (EYE) AIM 02/08/2020 245.00 323.00 31.8 - -1.4 33.7 268 Franchise Brands (FRAN) AIM 15/10/2020 99.50 96.00 -3.5 1.4 1.2 -4.7 80 Frenkel Topping Group (FEN) AIM 15/10/2020 48.50 42.50 -12.4 3.5 1.2 -13.4 39 Future (FUTR) 25/06/2020 1236.00 2055.00 66.3 0.1 -3.0 71.5 1620 Gamesys (GYS) 30/04/2020 877.00 1200.00 36.8 3.1 0.8 35.7 1012 GVC Holdings (GVC) 17/09/2020 905.60 994.60 9.8 - -2.1 12.1 872 Hilton Food Group (HFG) 30/04/2020 1120.00 1150.00 2.7 2.3 0.8 1.8 963 Joules Group (JOUL) AIM 17/09/2020 103.00 104.50 1.5 - -2.1 3.6 92 JTC Group (JTC) 25/06/2020 479.00 538.00 12.3 1.4 -3.0 15.8 430 Macfarlane Group (MACF) 20/08/2020 93.20 91.50 -1.8 2.6 -1.4 -0.5 75 Motorpoint (MOTR) 15/10/2020 286.00 282.50 -1.2 2.2 1.2 -2.4 240 Plus500 (PLUS) 30/04/2020 1250.50 1483.50 18.6 4.3 0.8 17.7 1305 Redcentric (RCN) 23/07/2020 139.00 129.00 -7.2 2.0 -4.0 -3.3 124 Scottish Mortgage Inv. Trust (SMT) 23/07/2020 913.50 1077.00 17.9 0.3 -4.0 22.8 856 SDI Group (SDI) AIM 20/08/2020 64.50 80.30 24.5 - -1.4 26.2 59 Smart Metering Systems (SMS) AIM 30/04/2020 598.00 580.00 -3.0 4.6 0.8 -3.8 520 Sumo Group (SUMO) AIM 28/05/2020 190.00 270.00 42.1 - -4.3 48.4 208 UP Global Sourcing Holdings (UPGS) 23/07/2020 74.70 91.00 21.8 4.6 -4.0 26.9 85 Urban Exposure (UEX) 23/07/2020 56.50 69.50 23.0 7.2 -4.0 28.2 55 Venture Life Group (VLG) AIM 28/05/2020 67.00 103.00 53.7 - -4.3 60.6 83 Averaged gains (%): 14.5 -1.7 16.5 TrendWatch portfolio's percentage profit: 14.47% Change since last full TW: +1.28% Market's percentage profit (tracker fund)†: -1.75% TrendWatch has outperformed market by: 16.50% * Buy price is the price as at close of business on the Thursday following publication of the recommendation.