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TECHNOLOGY and GROWTH: an OVERVIEW Jeffrey C
Y Proceedings GY Conference Series No. 40 Jeffrey C. Fuhrer Jane Sneddon Little Editors CONTENTS TECHNOLOGY AND GROWTH: AN OVERVIEW Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and Jane Sneddon Little KEYNOTE ADDRESS: THE NETWORKED BANK 33 Robert M. Howe TECHNOLOGY IN GROWTH THEORY Dale W. Jorgenson Discussion 78 Susanto Basu Gene M. Grossman UNCERTAINTY AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 91 Nathan Rosenberg Discussion 111 Joel Mokyr Luc L.G. Soete CROSS-COUNTRY VARIATIONS IN NATIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH RATES," THE ROLE OF aTECHNOLOGYtr 127 J. Bradford De Long~ Discussion 151 Jeffrey A. Frankel Adam B. Jaffe ADDRESS: JOB ~NSECURITY AND TECHNOLOGY173 Alan Greenspan MICROECONOMIC POLICY AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 183 Edwin Mansfield Discnssion 201 Samuel S. Kortum Joshua Lerner TECHNOLOGY DIFFUSION IN U.S. MANUFACTURING: THE GEOGRAPHIC DIMENSION 215 Jane Sneddon Little and Robert K. Triest Discussion 260 John C. Haltiwanger George N. Hatsopoulos PANEL DISCUSSION 269 Trends in Productivity Growth 269 Martin Neil Baily Inherent Conflict in International Trade 279 Ralph E. Gomory Implications of Growth Theory for Macro-Policy: What Have We Learned? 286 Abel M. Mateus The Role of Macroeconomic Policy 298 Robert M. Solow About the Authors Conference Participants 309 TECHNOLOGY AND GROWTH: AN OVERVIEW Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and Jane Sneddon Little* During the 1990s, the Federal Reserve has pursued its twin goals of price stability and steady employment growth with considerable success. But despite--or perhaps because of--this success, concerns about the pace of economic and productivity growth have attracted renewed attention. Many observers ruefully note that the average pace of GDP growth has remained below rates achieved in the 1960s and that a period of rapid investment in computers and other capital equipment has had disappointingly little impact on the productivity numbers. -
Is Published Semi-Annually by the Journal on Telecommunications & High Technology Law, Campus Box 401, Boulder, CO 80309-040
JOURNAL ON TELECOMMUNICATIONS & HIGH TECHNOLOGY LAW is published semi-annually by the Journal on Telecommunications & High Technology Law, Campus Box 401, Boulder, CO 80309-0401 ISSN: 1543-8899 Copyright © 2009 by the Journal on Telecommunications & High Technology Law an association of students sponsored by the University of Colorado School of Law and the Silicon Flatirons Telecommunications Program. POSTMASTER: Please send address changes to JTHTL, Campus Box 401, Boulder, CO 80309-0401 Subscriptions Domestic volume subscriptions are available for $45.00. City of Boulder subscribers please add $3.74 sales tax. Boulder County subscribers outside the City of Boulder please add $2.14 sales tax. Metro Denver subscribers outside of Boulder County please add $1.85 sales tax. Colorado subscribers outside of Metro Denver please add $1.31 sales tax. International volume subscriptions are available for $50.00. Inquiries concerning ongoing subscriptions or obtaining an individual issue should be directed to the attention of JTHTL Managing Editor at [email protected] or by writing JTHTL Managing Editor, Campus Box 401, Boulder, CO 80309-0401. Back issues in complete sets, volumes, or single issues may be obtained from: William S. Hein & Co., Inc., 1285 Main Street, Buffalo, NY 14209. Back issues may also be found in electronic format for all your research needs on HeinOnline http://heinonline.org/. Manuscripts JTHTL invites the submission of unsolicited manuscripts. Please send softcopy manuscripts to the attention of JTHTL Articles Editors at [email protected] in Word or PDF formats or through ExpressO at http://law.bepress.com/expresso. Hardcopy submissions may be sent to JTHTL Articles Editors, Campus Box 401, Boulder, CO 80309-0401. -
The Emergence of China in the Global Economy
The Emergence of China in the Global Economy SPEAKER: Lester Thurow Jerome and Dorothy Lemelson Professor of Economics and Management The Emergence of ABOUT THE LECTURE: China in the Global Napoleon admonished the world to beware an awakened Economy China. 200 years later, Lester Thurow traces the astonishing Lester Thurow rise of this economic giant. In contrast to Russia, says Thurow, June 5, 2004 China solved the problem of moving from communism to 2:00 PM capitalism in less than two decades. Starting in 1978, Chinese leaders ended communes and gave hectares of land to Time 00:57:13 industrious peasants. Leaders also tested private enterprise in a succession of cities. By the mid 1990s, “the time had come to Audio Only: play the international game,” says Thurow. China sought QuickTime – 17MB technology and foreign investment. But “how do you sell a MP3 - 41MB country”? According to Thurow, China decided, “We’re the Audio and Video: cheapest place to make everything.” Foreign firms flooded in, QuickTime - 213MB selling equipment to China, or making products there and WindowsMedia - 176MB selling them back to the developed world. But now there are RealVideo - 94MB problems: China has no regulations for maintaining intellectual property rights, so Chinese companies pirate Western technology and products with impunity, and undersell the foreign firms that have invested in them. Also, Thurow believes tales of China’s phenomenal growth are often just that – fictions sold by bureaucrats to rate a promotion. “China is a great success but it’s not growing at 9 to 10% a year.” Finally, divisions between prosperous cities and stagnant rural areas threaten long-term stability in the People’s Republic. -
Economic Principals \273 Blog Archive \273 a Normal Professor
Economic Principals » Blog Archive » A Normal Professor http://www.economicprincipals.com/issues/2008.06.01/320.html Home June 1, 2008 David Warsh, Proprietor About Archives previous | contents | next Books A Normal Professor Receive the Bulldog Edition Perhaps, now that Harvard’s Russia scandal is receding into the past, Andrei Shleifer, 47, will take it easy. He has a steady stream of students, presides over a growing literature in comparative economics, and has developed an interesting sideline in the economics of persuasion. His wife, Nancy Zimmerman , runs a hedge fund that has seen explosive growth, today managing more than $3 billion for institutional clients; together the pair, through their start-ups, may have Economic Blogosphere amassed net worth of $40 million or more. (A columnist for Economics Portfolio magazine’s website subsequently estimated that Roundtable the figure may be closer to $1 bullion.) Their children are Economists View growing, his energetic parents live nearby, he superintends a steady stream of visitors to his villa in the south of France, and he keeps a hand in with developments in Russia. Economic Journalists For example, when Anders Aslund , of Washington’s Peterson Allan Sloan institute for International Economics, was in Cambridge, Amity Shlaes Mass. last winter, to celebrate the publication of How Andrew Leonard Capitalism Was Built: The Transformation of Central and Binyamin Appelbaum Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia and Russia’s Bruce Bartlett Capitalist Revolution: Why Market Reform Succeeded and Carl Bialik Democracy Failed , Shleifer, the author of A Normal Catherine Rampell Country: Russia After Communism , threw a party for him at Charles Duhigg his spacious home on unpaved Bracebridge Road in suburban Christopher Caldwell Newton. -
Winter 2004-2005 Update
Winter 2004/2005 Update Sabre’s Role in Public Diplomacy Sabre has made great strides in extending its book donation programs in the Islamic world. A timely editorial in The Dallas Morning News (August 18) argued that public diplomacy was vital in beating terrorism. The editorial called on the Department of State to expand more student and professional exchange programs between the U.S. and Muslim countries, and to send texbooks to these countries to counter misperceptions English Teachers from an Algiers Elementary School Make a Selection of of the U.S. And it urged the White House to work with other Sabre Books for their Classrooms at the Algiers Book Fair. nations to combat illiteracy in Islamic territories. In light of these three relevant strategies, Sabre’s book donation program was cited as playing an important role. This Update thus pays Indonesian Embassy Launches Sabre Book particular attention to Sabre’s activities in the Islamic world. Program New Department of State Grant Ambassador Soemadi D.M. Brotodiningrat saluted Sabre’s new A new Department of State (DOS) book donation initiative is book donation program for Indonesian universities at a about to be implemented. Twelve 20-foot ocean freight reception at the Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia in containers, each holding approximately 12,000 books, CD- Washington, D.C. on November 30. This event also saw the ROMs and other educational materials, will be shipped to six official launch of the Comprehensive Indonesian-English countries: Afghanistan, Algeria, Indonesia, Morocco, Pakistan Dictionary (Ohio University Press), making for a highly and Somalia. -
Baker Library Core Collection 2/15/07
Baker Library Core Collection 2/15/07 1 Baker Library Core Collection - 2/15/07 TITLE AUTHOR DISPLAY CALL_NO Advanced modelling in finance using Excel and VBA / Mary Jackson and Mike Staunton. Jackson, Mary, 1936- HG173 .J24 2001 "You can't enlarge the pie" : six barriers to effective government / Max H. Bazerman, Jonathan Baron, Katherine Shonk. Bazerman, Max H. JK468.P64 B39 2001 100 billion allowance : accessing the global teen market / Elissa Moses. Moses, Elissa. HF5415.32 .M673 2000 20/20 foresight : crafting strategy in an uncertain world / Hugh Courtney. Courtney, Hugh, 1963- HD30.28 .C6965 2001 21 irrefutable laws of leadership : follow them and people will follow you / John C. Maxwell. Maxwell, John C., 1947- HD57.7 .M3937 1998 22 immutable laws of branding : how to build a product or service into a world-class brand / Al Ries and Laura Ries. Ries, Al. HD69.B7 R537 1998 25 investment classics : insights from the greatest investment books of all time / Leo Gough. Gough, Leo. HG4521 .G663 1998 29 leadership secrets from Jack Welch / by Robert Slater. Slater, Robert, 1943- HD57.7 .S568 2003 3-D negotiation : powerful tools to change the game in your most important deals / David A. Lax and James K. Sebenius. Lax, David A. HD58.6 .L388 2006 360 degree brand in Asia : creating more effective marketing communications / by Mark Blair, Richard Armstrong, Mike Murphy. Blair, Mark. HF5415.123 .B555 2003 45 effective ways for hiring smart! : how to predict winners and losers in the incredibly expensive people-reading game / by Pierre Mornell ; designed by Kit Hinrichs ; illustrations by Regan Dunnick. -
Guy Debelle and Stanley Fischer Discussion / 222 Robert E
Gaals, Guidelines, and Constraints Facing Manetary Palicymakers Goals, Guidelines, and Constraints Facing Monetary Policymakers Proceedings of a Conference Held at North Falmouth, Massachusetts June 1994 Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, Editor Sponsored by: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Contents Goals, Guidelines, and Constraints Facing Monetary Policymakers: An Overview / Jeffrey C. Fuhrer How Efficient Has Monetary Policy Been? The Inflation/Output Variability Trade-off Revisited / 21 John B. Taylor Discussion / 39 Laurence M. Ball Optimal Monetary Policy and the Sacrifice Ratio / 43 Jeffrey C. Fuhrer Discussion / 70 N. Gregory Mankiw Summary Discussion / 76 Martin S. Eichenbaum Comparing Direct and Intermediate Targeting Monetary Aggregates Targeting in a Low-Inflation Economy / 87 William Poole Discussion / 122 Benjamin M. Friedman Donald L. Kohn Lessons from International Experience Strategy and Tactics of Monetary Policy: Examples from Europe and the Antipodes / 139 Charles A.E. Goodhart and Josd Vi~ials Discussion / 188 Richard N. Cooper How Independent Should a Central Bank Be? / 195 Guy Debelle and Stanley Fischer Discussion / 222 Robert E. Hall How Can Monetary Policy Be Improved? Panel Discussion / 229 Paul A. Samuelson James Tobin Robert J. Barro Lyle E. Gramley Bennett T. McCallum About the Authors / 251 Conference Participants / 257 Goals, Guidelines, and Constraints Facing Monetary Policymakers This conference addressed three broad questions about the conduct of monetary policy. First, how efficiently has U.S. policy balanced the goals of price stability and full employment? Second, have rapidly changing financial markets made the use of intermediate targets, such as monetary aggregates, obsolete? Third, what can domestic policymakers learn from the tactics and strategies employed by foreign central banks? A concluding panel suggested improvements to monetary policy, in light of the conclusions drawn in the previous sessions. -
Date Circ Internal Use HA
Last TOTAL Year's Year-to- Internal CALL # TITLE Pub Date CHKOUT Circ date Circ Use HA29 .A88 2007 Super crunchers : why thinking-by-numbers is the new way to be smart / Ian Ayres.2007 1 0 0 0 HA29 .B3835 Statistics for economists an introduction [by] Ralph E. Beals 1972 3 0 0 0 HA29 .B556 2003 Analyzing quantitative data : from description to explanation / Norman Blaikie.2003 0 0 0 0 HA29 .C234 Elementary statistical concepts [by] Rolene B. Cain 1972 10 0 0 0 HA29 .D45 Information and error an introduction to statistical analysis 1959 4 0 0 0 HA29 .D67 A primer of social statistics, [by] Sanford M. Dornbusch [and] Calvin F. Schmid1955 2 0 0 0 HA29 .E25 1995 The tyranny of numbers : mismeasurement and misrule / Nicholas Eberstadt1995 1 0 0 0 HA29 .E28 1997 The Economist guide to economic indicators : making sense of economics.1997 6 0 0 0 HA29 .E33 Statistical methods for the behavioral sciences 1954 2 0 0 0 HA29 .F65 A primer of statistics for non-statisticians 1958 2 0 0 0 HA29 .F67 Statistics : an introduction / D.A.S. Fraser 1958 4 0 0 0 HA29 .F683 1972 Elementary business statistics: the modern approach [by] John E. Freund [and] Frank J. Williams1972 6 0 0 0 HA29 .F684 1969 Modern business statistics;"Freund and Williams' Modern business statistics. Rev. by Benjamin Perles [and] Charles Sullivan"1969 2 0 0 0 HA29 .G16 1962 Elementary statistics 1962 4 0 0 0 HA29 .H16 1977 General statistics / Audrey Haber, Richard P. Runyon 1977 10 0 0 0 HA29 .H662 1976 Elementary statistics / Paul G. -
John Maynard Keynes, by Paul Krugman....41 5
SECRETARIA DE ESTADO DE ECONOMÍA, MINISTERIO SECRETARÍA GENERAL DE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA DE ECONOMÍA Y ECONOMÍA INTERNACIONAL Y HACIENDA SUBDIRECCIÓN GENERAL DE ECONOMÍA INTERNACIONAL CUADERNO DE DOCUMENTACION Número 86-14º (alcance) Alvaro Espina Vocal Asesor 23 Octubre de 2008 (20 horas) CD 86-14º de alcance Por mucho que el drama de la Norteamérica actual se derive, al decir de Paul Krugman, del hecho casi evidente de que la administración republicana -que todavía seguimos sufriendo, y que trata de bloquear la presencia de España en la cumbre financiera mundial1- no crea en el sistema en que vive, y que no crea especialmente en la democracia ni en la libertad de expresión, el problema para ellos es que, mal que les pese, la democracia y la libertad de expresión siguen funcionando. Joseph Stiglitz denuncia en el Guardian la maniobra artera de Hank Paulson, “el de la vía equivocada”, que consiste en “mejorar” el plan de rescate de Gordon Brown para beneficio de los bancos norteamericanos y en perjuicio de la concurrencia y de los contribuyentes, que terminarán siendo un daño colateral más de los muchos producidos por las iniciativas del peor Presidente de la historia de los EEUU. Y, todavía, si el plan “mejorado” sirviera para salvar al sistema financiero habría que darse con un canto en los dientes. Pero esto nadie lo sabe, engolfados como están los banqueros americanos en la ceremonia de la opacidad más absoluta. No hay más que ver las expresiones casi contradictorias con que Eric Dash titulaba sus crónicas en NYT en dos días consecutivos. El día 16 el titular era de supervivencia: “Banks Brace for Slump as Economy Weakens” (se atrincheran contra la depresión), anunciando que JP Morgan, Wells Fargo y State Street están resistiendo bien, pese a que los dos primeros han visto caer sus beneficios durante el tercer trimestre (en un 85 % JP, tras absorber a Washington Mutual y en un 25% Wells, tras digerir a Wachovia). -
An Examination of the Progressively Influential Role of Major Party Debates on American Presidential Elections: 1960-2008
DO THE DEBATES MATTER? AN EXAMINATION OF THE PROGRESSIVELY INFLUENTIAL ROLE OF MAJOR PARTY DEBATES ON AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: 1960-2008 INTRODUCTION There were fifty-six American presidential elections from 1788 to 2008.1 Only ten of the elections, however, included debates between the major party candidates. These occurred from 1960 to 2008, and there were none before that time.2 In 1960, John F. Kennedy and Richard M. Nixon, who were nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties, respectively, participated in a series of four debates. Television first became a significant factor in presidential politics in 1960 and the appeal of the Kennedy-Nixon debates was that they would be televised.3 Television’s presence, however, overshadowed the even greater phenomenon that the Kennedy-Nixon debates were not only the first televised presidential debates, but they were also the first debates between major party candidates ever to take place.4 From that point until 2008, another twenty- two debates were held between the major party presidential candidates, one between the Republican and Independent nominees, and eight between their running mates.5 1 Irwin Unger, These United States, 2nd Ed., Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1999, 2003, A18-A21. Unless otherwise noted, a “debate” as defined in this thesis refers to a major party presidential debate, one held between two or more candidates of opposing parties, where at least one of which belongs to a major party (i.e., Democrat or Republican). Not included are debates between intraparty candidates (such as, among Democrats during the primary season) or general elections held exclusively among non-major party candidates (such as debates among the Constitution Party’s, Green Party’s and Libertarian Party’s nominees), but they do include general election debates between major party vice presidential candidates. -
Economic Salvation in a Restive Age: the Demand for Secular Salvation Has Not Abated
Case Western Reserve Law Review Volume 56 Issue 3 Article 5 2006 Economic Salvation in a Restive Age: The Demand for Secular Salvation Has Not Abated Steven J. Eagle Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarlycommons.law.case.edu/caselrev Part of the Law Commons Recommended Citation Steven J. Eagle, Economic Salvation in a Restive Age: The Demand for Secular Salvation Has Not Abated, 56 Case W. Rsrv. L. Rev. 569 (2006) Available at: https://scholarlycommons.law.case.edu/caselrev/vol56/iss3/5 This Symposium is brought to you for free and open access by the Student Journals at Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Case Western Reserve Law Review by an authorized administrator of Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons. ECONOMIC SALVATION IN A RESTIVE AGE: THE DEMAND FOR SECULAR SALVATION HAS NOT ABATED Steven J. Eaglet In contemporary America, there is a widespread sense of anxiety. Personal safety cannot be taken for granted in an age of terrorism.' Dangers to children appear to lurk at every turn.2 Lurid interest in mo- lestation proxies concerns about youthful sexuality and adult erotic impulses.3 In an era of meritocracy, the need for status and wealth to be revalidated in each generation leads parents to seek for their off- spring a toehold on success through one-on-one prep courses for their nursery school admissions exam.4 Economic insecurity grows apace, 5 6 both among those with lower incomes and the middle class. Although Americans purport to be as religious as ever, they hardly are dogmatic about their faith.7 They eschew imposing their religious values on others, and thus largely forego invoking religious norms as a basis for societal organization or public policy. -
Selling.Globalization.The.Myth.Of.The.Global.Economy.Ebook-Een.Pdf
Selling Globalization The Myth of the Global Economy Michael Veseth Lynne Rienner Publishers 1998 Table of Contents Preface 1. Global Visions 2. The End of Geography and the Last Nation-State 3. The Center of the Universe 4. Currency Crises 5. Turbulence and Chaos 6. The Political Economy of Globalization 7. Unsettled Foundations 8. Rethinking Globalization Bibliography * Michael Veseth is professor of economics and director of the Political Economy Program at the University of Puget Sound. His numerous books include Mountains of Debt; Introductory Economics; Public Finance; and most recently, Introduction to International Political Economy (coauthored with David Balaam). Preface This book began as a project to explore the application of chaos theory—the analysis of nonlinear dynamical processes—to international political economy, especially to the study of international financial movements. For a variety of reasons, I thought that international capital flows might be an especially interesting area to hunt for nonlinear dynamics. This hunch was correct. In fact, exchange rates and international capital flows display elements of both crisis and chaos, which are analyzed, illustrated, and discussed in the critical central chapters of this book. Once the case for chaos in international finance was established, the question I faced was, “so what?” One answer was globalization. Many people tell the story that global financial markets are the driving force behind the globalization of production, consumption, culture, politics, and more. The existence of crisis and chaos, however, makes truly global finance impossible, as a close study of the data indicates. This drew me into the globalization literature, which I found in need of a critical analysis.