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KUWAITI 0.30175 0.30185 Daily Treasury Market Commentary April 11, 2021 Foreign Exchange Developments: Economic Updates: The dollar's value edged higher against a basket of U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in Price MTD % 3M% YTD% , paring some of the week's losses, as a stronger- March, resulting in the largest annual gain in 9 years EUR/USD 1.1900 1.43 -2.08 -2.60 than-expected rise in U.S. and Chinese inflation gauges and likely marking the start of higher inflation as the GBP/USD 1.3711 -0.53 1.42 0.24 drove up bond yields. economy reopens amid an improved public health AUD/USD 0.7623 0.33 -0.96 -0.95 Sterling steadied, having touched a two-month low against environment and massive government aid. USD/CHF 0.9252 -1.97 3.89 4.49 the dollar in early London trading, and was set for its China's factory gate prices beat analyst expectations USD/JPY 109.68 -0.95 5.69 6.28 biggest weekly drop against the so far this year, hurt to rise at their fastest annual pace since July 2018 in USD/CAD 1.2527 -0.28 -2.03 -1.63 by profit-taking after a strong first quarter. March in the latest sign that a recovery in the The Canadian dollar advanced against its broadly stronger economy is gathering momentum. U.S. counterpart as data showing the economy added far Local & GCC news: more jobs than expected in March offset lower oil prices. Saudi oil producer Aramco has agreed a $12.4 billion Index Price Change MTD% YTD% deal to sell a 49% stake in its pipelines to a consortium DOWJONES 33,800.60 297.03 2.48 10.44 led by U.S.-based EIG Global Energy Partners. S&P 500 4,128.80 31.63 3.92 9.92 Oman plans to widen exemptions from VAT it will FTSE 100 6,915.75 -26.47 3.01 7.05 Commodities: introduce this month and increase subsidies to DAX 15,234.16 31.48 1.50 11.05 Oil prices settled lower and fell around 2% this week as mitigate the impact on citizens from the planned VAT, ALL 5,930.71 58.82 2.68 6.94 production increases and renewed COVID-19 lockdowns in which is being introduced to help the Gulf state some countries offset optimism about a recovery in fuel bolster its debt-burdened coffers. demand. Benchmark 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 12 Month Gold prices fell more than 1%, weighed down by a jump in LIBOR 0.1113 0.1875 0.2114 0.2858 U.S. Treasury yields and a rebound in the dollar. Date Country Indicator Name Prior Forecast EURIBOR -0.5590 -0.5440 -0.5220 -0.4970 13Apr United Kingdom GDP Estimate YY -9.2 -8.41 KIBOR 1.2500 1.5000 1.6875 2.0000 ChartDaily GBP= of the Day: GBP/USD - 1 Month 11/03/2021 - 09/04/2021 (GMT) Price USD 13Apr United Kingdom Manufacturing Output -2.3 0.62 Benchmark 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 1.396

1.394

1.392 13Apr Germany ZEW Economic Sent. 76.6 79.2 US Treasuries 0.051 0.333 0.864 1.660

1.39 1.388 13Apr Germany ZEW Current Cond. -61 -51.08 US Index 92.182 1.386 1.384 13Apr United States CPI MM, SA 0.4% 0.49 1.382 1.38 13Apr Japan Machinery Orders MM -4.5 2.49 1.378

1.376

1.374 13Apr Japan Machinery Orders YY 1.5 1.87 Gold Silver KWT OSP Brent WTI

1.372 1.3708 1.37 Source: Reuters and Bloomberg 1745.10 25.29 61.35 63.03 59.34

Auto 11 12 15 16 17 18 19 22 23 24 25 26 29 30 31 01 02 05 06 07 08 09 The material made availableMarch 2021in this presentation is for informationApril 2021purposes only and cannot be used and/or Any reliance you place on such information is therefore entirely at your own risk. It is the responsibility of the user/reader to check the accuracy of relevant facts before entering into any financial or other commitment based upon them. In no event will Gulf Bank be held liable in contract, tort (including relied upon for any other purpose. Gulf Bank makes no representations or warranties of any kind, either express or implied, as to the completeness, accuracy, reliability or suitability of the information, products or services contained herein or their fitness to your business or needs whatsoever. without limitation negligence) and/or breach of statutory duty for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential loss or damage (including but not limited to any economic loss and/or loss of profits) arising out of or in connection with the use of this newsletter or the information contained therein. For further information please contact our Treasury Sales Desk at [email protected] or at 2241 2530 / 2244 4628