Parks, Recreation and Culture Master Plan APPENDIX
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Parks, Recreation and Culture Master Plan APPENDIX July 22, 2019 Table of Contents Appendix A Demographic Context 1.1 The People Who Live Here Now 1.2 Community Profile Mapping Appendix B Reference Materials 1.1 Selected List of Background Documents Reviewed 1.2 Guiding Documents – Key National, Provincial & Regional Documents 1.3 Guiding Documents – Key Town Policies, Reports & Initiatives Appendix C Public Consultation 1.1 Community Engagement Strategy 1.2 Community Survey 1.3 Public Information Centres – Fall 2018 1.4 Public Information Centres – Spring 2019 1.5 Stakeholder Workshops 1.6 Youth Voice 1.7 Internal Consultation Appendix D Trends in Parks, Recreation & Culture 1.1 Key Trends & Best Practices Appendix E Service Delivery & Programming Analysis 1.1 Our Service Delivery Model 1.2 Programming and Active Living 1.3 Partnerships and Capacity-Building Parks | Recreation | Culture MASTER PLAN Appendix F Indoor & Outdoor Recreation Analysis 1.1 Outdoor Recreation Facilities 1.2 Indoor Recreation Facilities Appendix G Parks & Open Space Analysis 1.1 Parkland Policies and Needs 1.2 Parkland Acquisition Policies 1.3 Parkland Asset Management and Design 1.4 Park Profiles Appendix H Arts & Culture Analysis 1.1 Arts, Culture & Heritage in Lincoln 1.2 Programs & Events 1.3 Facilities & Spaces 1.4 Communication, Awareness & Support 1.5 Non-Municipal Arts, Culture & Heritage Facilities / Sites in Lincoln Parks | Recreation | Culture MASTER PLAN Appendix A Demographic Context This appendix was prepared as a background report to inform the development of the Town of Lincoln’s Parks, Recreation and Culture Master Plan. It contains detailed information about Lincoln’s current and future demographic profile. Key findings have been incorporated into the body of the Master Plan. Parks | Recreation | Culture MASTER PLAN (DRJune 14, 2019) 1 1 1.1 The People Who Live Here Now 1.1.1 How Lincoln is expected to grow Lincoln is seeing strong residential growth, driven by its strategic location within the Greater Golden Horseshoe and its small-town character. According to regional growth projections1, Lincoln's population is expected to grow by 7,640 new residents by 2041 (to 31,590), representing an increase of 32% from the 2016 Census. As Niagara's fourth-fastest growing municipality, Lincoln will remain a preferred settlement area in the region. The result is a need to strike an appropriate balance and mix of parks, recreation and cultural opportunities to respond to the needs of residents and support growth and development in Lincoln, both now and in the future. Figure 1 Town of Lincoln Historic Population and Growth Projection 34,000 Source: 2001 – 2016, Statistics Historic Forecast 31,590 32,000 Canada Census (excludes 30,030 undercount); 2021 – 2041 Region 30,000 28,060 of Niagara Municipal 28,000 Comprehensive Review: Strategic 26,230 Growth Option (includes 26,000 24,990 undercount) 24,000 Population 22,000 23,787 22,487 20,000 21,722 20,612 18,000 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 Residential growth in Lincoln is largely limited to existing and planned urban settlement areas given the restrictions imposed by the Greenbelt Plan, Niagara Escarpment Plan (see figure on following page) and abundance of specialty crop areas. As a result, there is limited opportunity for greenfield growth, meaning that a greater focus will be placed on infill and intensification over time. Where once single detached dwellings were the predominant form of residential development, this is giving way to multi-unit dwellings such as townhouses and condominiums. 1 Region of Niagara. Municipal Comprehensive Review (Strategic Growth Option). 2017. Parks | Recreation | Culture A - 2 MASTER PLAN Figure 2 Region of Niagara, Niagara Escarpment and Greenbelt Context Map Source: Niagara Region: Municipal Comprehensive Review, Public Information Centre #2 Boards, 2016 Parks | Recreation | Culture MASTER PLAN A - 3 Presently, about three-fifths (61%) of population growth within the Town of Lincoln’s development approval process is expected to occur within the Beamsville urban area2. The “Prudhommes will be a successful, diverse, largest active residential developments are Vista Ridge (South Beamsville) and Cherry walkable, mixed-use waterfront neighbourhood Heights (Central Beamsville). Several smaller developments are ongoing throughout all of – adding an exciting and evolving destination within the broader Niagara Region. It will Lincoln’s settlement areas, most notably Beamsville, Jordan, Vineland and Campden. leverage and connect all that the Twenty Valley Higher levels of growth may be realized as a result of proposed projects. The most significant Tourism Area has to offer. It will demonstrate proposed development is the Prudhommes Secondary Plan area, with a population that is the best practices in community building – estimated to range from 2,800 to 6,300 new residents at full build-out. Planning for this socially, economically, and environmentally.” community – including a waterfront park and open space network – is ongoing. - Prudhommes Secondary Plan 1.1.2 Age & Household Composition The average age of Lincoln residents was 42.9 years in 2016 (compared to 41.0 Figure 3 Town of Lincoln Age Cohort Distribution years in 2006), almost one year younger than Regional average age of 43.8 years. The average age of local, regional and provincial residents has been steadily increasing over time, this trend is expected to continue as the Baby Boomer generation transitions from Mature Adults into the Older Adult cohort. With the aging of the population, a wider range of housing choices are emerging and a greater focus is being placed on age-friendly community design and leisure programming. As of 2016, more than one-quarter (26%) of Lincoln’s residents were mature adults between the ages of 35 to 54 years and 20% were older adults between the ages of 55 to 69 years. The remaining age cohorts are represented as Source: Statistics Canada Census (2016) follows: young adults between the ages of 20 to 34 (16%); seniors 70 years and older (15%); youth between the ages of 10 to 19 (12%); and children from birth to 9 years (11%). 2 Town of Lincoln. Development Charges Background Study. 2018. Parks | Recreation | Culture A - 4 MASTER PLAN An examination of age cohorts across the entire Town (2016 Census) reveals the following: Beamsville and the area between Beamsville and Vineland generally have younger than average age profiles; west Vineland and parts of rural Lincoln generally have older than average age profiles; central Beamsville and parts of Vineland generally have higher than average proportions of children (0 to 9 years); various urban and rural pockets (including the eastern and western edges of Lincoln) generally have higher than average proportions of teens (10 to 19 years); central and north Beamsville generally have higher than average proportions of young adults (20 to 34 years); the western half of Lincoln generally has a higher than average proportion of mature adults (35 to 54 years); rural areas in the geographic centre of Lincoln generally have higher than average proportions of older adults (55 to 69 years); and areas near the edges of Beamsville and Vineland, along with the waterfront generally have higher than average proportions of seniors (70+ years). Age cohort forecasts are not available for Lincoln. Amendment 2 (2013) to the Places to Grow – Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe contains age-based forecasts at the Census Division level (Niagara Region). Age-based trends are notable for the planning of those activities and facilities that are heavily used by specific age groups. This data indicates the following regarding age cohort forecasts in the Region: Children (0 to 9 years): growing at about the same rate as the overall population, increasing more rapidly in the 2021 to 2031 timeframe as new families are established; Youth (10 to 19 years): growing at about the same rate as the overall population; Young adults (20 to 34 years): growing at a slower rate than the overall population; Mature adults (35 to 54 years): growing at about the same rate as the overall population; Older adults (55 to 69 years): growing at a much slower rate than the overall population as this generation includes many baby boomers that will age out of this category; and Seniors (70+ years): growing much faster rate than the overall population. Parks | Recreation | Culture MASTER PLAN A - 5 Student enrolment projections created by the District School Board of Niagara (DSBN) and Niagara Catholic District School Board (NCDSB) were examined to better understand potential growth in the child and youth populations. Between 2014 and 2018, total elementary school enrolment has increased by 6% in Lincoln. A slower elementary school enrolment rate increase (5%) is anticipated between 2018 and 2024. A new catholic elementary school was proposed for Grimsby/Lincoln between 2018-2020. At the secondary school level, enrolment has been declining at Lincoln’s only high school (Beamsville District). The School Board announced in 2018 that it has secured a site for a new Niagara West high school to replace three high schools on Lincoln’s border with Grimsby. According to a February 2019 news release, the West Niagara Secondary School is expected to opening in September 2022 (this date may change pending Provincial Government and Niagara District School Board processes and decisions). Census data indicates that the average household size in Lincoln is 2.6 persons, slightly higher than the Regional average of 2.4 persons. The majority of the population (64%) is married or living common-law, higher than the Regional proportion of 57%. Of Census Families living in Lincoln, the split between those living with and without children is fairly even, 56% and 44%, respectively. These findings indicate that there is a strong base of families in Lincoln, which can be expected to lead to steady demand for traditional parks, recreation and culture activities.