Diversity 2014, 6, 133-157; doi:10.3390/d6010133 OPEN ACCESS diversity ISSN 1424-2818 www.mdpi.com/journal/diversity Article Predicting Climate Change Impacts to the Canadian Boreal Forest Trisalyn A. Nelson 1,*, Nicholas C. Coops 2, Michael A. Wulder 3, Liliana Perez 4, Jessica Fitterer 1, Ryan Powers 2 and Fabio Fontana 5 1 Spatial Pattern Analysis & Research (SPAR) Lab, Department of Geography, University of Victoria, Victoria V8W 3R4, BC, Canada; E-Mail:
[email protected] 2 Department of Forest Resources Management, University of British Columbia, Vancouver V6T 1Z4, BC, Canada; E-Mails:
[email protected] (N.C.C.);
[email protected] (R.P.) 3 Pacfic Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria V8Z 1M5, BC, Canada; E-Mail:
[email protected] 4 Department of Geography, University of Montreal, Montreal H2V 2B8, QC, Canada; E-Mail:
[email protected] 5 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Swiss GCOS Office, Zurich CH- 8004, Switzerland; E-Mail:
[email protected] * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail:
[email protected]; Tel.: 250 472 5620; Fax: 250 721 6216. Received: 4 December 2013; in revised form: 19 February 2014 / Accepted: 21 February 2014 / Published: 3 March 2014 Abstract: Climate change is expected to alter temperature, precipitation, and seasonality with potentially acute impacts on Canada’s boreal. In this research we predicted future spatial distributions of biodiversity in Canada’s boreal for 2020, 2050, and 2080 using indirect indicators derived from remote sensing and based on vegetation productivity. Vegetation productivity indices, representing annual amounts and variability of greenness, have been shown to relate to tree and wildlife richness in Canada’s boreal.