AFGHANISTAN, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: Update on Incidents According to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) Compiled by ACCORD, 19 December 2019
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AFGHANISTAN, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: Update on incidents according to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) compiled by ACCORD, 19 December 2019 Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality Number of reported fatalities National borders: GADM, November 2015b; administrative divisions: GADM, November 2015a; Kashmir border status: CIA, 2004; geodata of disputed borders: GADM, November 2015b; Natural Earth, undated; incident data: ACLED, 14 December 2019; coastlines and inland waters: Smith and Wessel, 1 May 2015 AFGHANISTAN, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Contents Conflict incidents by category Number of Number of reported fatalities 1 Number of Number of Category incidents with at incidents fatalities Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality 1 least one fatality Battles 4082 2032 13699 Conflict incidents by category 2 Explosions / Remote 1267 676 4661 Development of conflict incidents from June 2017 to June 2019 2 violence Violence against civilians 123 79 201 Methodology 3 Strategic developments 103 29 93 Conflict incidents per province 4 Protests 11 1 1 Riots 1 1 4 Localization of conflict incidents 4 Total 5587 2818 18659 Disclaimer 8 This table is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 14 December 2019). Development of conflict incidents from June 2017 to June 2019 This graph is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 14 December 2019). 2 AFGHANISTAN, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Methodology on what level of detail is reported. Thus, towns may represent the wider region in which an incident occured, or the provincial capital may be used if only the province The data used in this report was collected by the Armed Conflict Location & Event is known. Erroneous location data, especially due to identical place names, cannot Data Project (ACLED). ACLED collects data on reported conflict events in selected be fully excluded. African and Asian countries, Afghanistan being among them. ACLED researchers collect event data from a variety of sources and code them by date, location, Incidents comprise the following categories: battles, headquarters or bases es- agent, and event type. tablished, non-violent strategic activities, riots/protests, violence against civilians, non-violent transfer of territory, remote violence. For details on these categories, Most of the data collected by ACLED is gathered based on publicly available, please see secondary reports. It may therefore underestimate the volume of events. Fatality data particularly is vulnerable to bias and inaccurate reporting, and ACLED states • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict to use the most conservative estimate available. ACLED uses the reports’ context Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook; ACLED - ASIA, 2015 to estimate fatalities for events with reported fatalities for which the exact number http://www.acleddata.com/wp- content/uploads/2015/07/ACLED_ is unknown (“10” for plural fatalities, “100” if “hundreds” are mentioned, etc.). Codebook_2015_ASIA-CR.pdf For further details on ACLED and for the full data, see www.acleddata.com and Raleigh; Linke; Hegre, and Karlsen, 2010. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook (2019), 10 April 2019 Based on this data, the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin & Asylum Research https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2017/10/ and Documentation (ACCORD) compiles updates on conflict incidents and pub- ACLED_Codebook_2019FINAL_pbl.pdf lishes them on ecoi.net to offer another access point to the ACLED datasets. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict It is advised to employ extreme caution when using fatality numbers. Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) User Quick Guide, April 2019 https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2019/04/ Assessments of the security situation should not be based solely on quantitative General-User-Guide_FINAL.pdf analysis of event data. Geographic map data is primarily based on GADM, complemented with other sources if necessary. Incidents are mapped to GADM provinces using the provinces in ACLED data. Province names and borders may differ between ACLED and GADM. Incidents that could not be located are ignored. The numbers included in this overview might therefore differ from the original ACLED data. ACLED uses varying degrees of geographic precision for the individual incidents, depending 3 AFGHANISTAN, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Number of Conflict incidents per province Number of Number of Province incidents with incidents fatalities Number of fatalities Number of Number of Province incidents with Nangarhar 347 228 1574 incidents fatalities fatalities Nimroz 56 18 88 Badakhshan 43 21 104 Nuristan 34 10 70 Badghis 168 100 1078 Paktika 94 60 328 Baghlan 137 71 514 Paktya 189 48 326 Balkh 190 101 628 Panjshir 1 0 0 Daykundi 8 4 39 Parwan 57 7 23 Farah 207 105 750 Samangan 44 27 147 Faryab 240 157 1217 Sari Pul 64 41 241 Ghazni 449 305 1901 Takhar 103 73 421 Ghor 67 29 207 Uruzgan 262 200 1551 Hilmand 696 283 1661 Wardak 121 60 491 Hirat 186 82 401 Zabul 280 121 734 Jawzjan 71 37 254 Kabul 111 36 143 Localization of conflict incidents Kandahar 550 223 1737 Kapisa 81 29 135 Note: The following list is an overview of the incident data included in the ACLED Khost 122 33 128 dataset. More details are available in the actual dataset (date, location data, event Kunar 157 83 465 type, involved actors, information sources, etc.). The data’s precision varies among Kunduz 178 111 826 the incidents: a town may represent a region, or the provincial capital may be Laghman 149 70 262 used if the precise location of an incident is unkown. In the following list, the names of event locations are taken from ACLED, while the administrative region names Logar 125 45 215 are taken from GADM data which serves as the basis for the maps above. In Badakhshan, 43 incidents killing 104 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Arghanj Khwa, Argo, Baharak, Farman 4 AFGHANISTAN, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Qoli, Fayzabad, Jurm, Keran wa Menjan, Khash, Mashhad, Shahr-e Buzurg, locations were among the affected: Almar, Andkhoy, Arkalik, Bilchiragh, Shuhada, Tishkan, Warduj, Ziraki. Dahan-e Darah, Dawlat Abad, Fayzabad, Gurziwan, Islam Qala, Khairabad, Khisht Pul, Khwaja Sabz Posh, Khwajah Qushuri, Koh-e Yukhan, Kuhi, Kulani, In Badghis, 168 incidents killing 1078 people were reported. The following Maymana, Nazarabad, Now Dari Qalah, Pashtun Kot, Qala, Qara Ghuwally, locations were among the affected: Ab Kamari, Akazai, Chashmah-ye Duzakh, Qarah Shaykhi, Qaramqol, Qaysar, Qurghan, Quzat, Sara i Qala, Shakh, Gharchahghay, Gormach, Jawand, Laman, Ludinah, Muqur, Murghab, Shirin Tagab, Tuquz Darak, Yangi Qalah, Ziarat Gah. Murichaq, Qadis, Qala i Naw, Qalah-ye Wali, Sang Atesh. In Ghazni, 449 incidents killing 1901 people were reported. The following In Baghlan, 137 incidents killing 514 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Ab Band, Ali Jan Kala, Andar, Asghari locations were among the affected: Bagh-e Shamal, Baghlani Jadid, Burka, Kelay, Bashi, Chowni, Dado, Dehak, Gelan, Ghata Kala, Ghazni, Hasti, Chaharshambah Tepah, Chashmah-ye Sher, Dahana i Ghuri, Dushi, Farang Jaghuri, Jeghatoo, Khalo Khel-e Ulya‚Äö‚, Khashik, Khugiani, Khwaja Umari, Wa Gharu, Hafiz Bachah, Hasan Tal, Kelagai, Khinjan, Khwajah Alwan, Kunsaf, Miray, Mungor, Muqur, Mushakai, Mustowfi, Nani, Nawa, Nazar Lakan Khel, Nahrin, Pansiri, Pul-e Khumri, Puli Hisar, Shahabuddin, Shamarq, Khan Kelay, Nughay-e Sufla, Nuri Kala, Pana, Pay Luch, Qalaghaj-e Sufla, Tala wa Barfak. Qalah-ye Khumari, Qara Baghi, Qarabagh, Ramak, Rashidan, Rustam, Sahib Zadah Kala, Sar Tasan, Shalez, Spedar, Waghaz, Zarah Gerdah, Ziwaj. In Balkh, 190 incidents killing 628 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Aq Tapah, Balkh, Banguliyah, Buz Arigh, Charbolak, In Ghor, 67 incidents killing 207 people were reported. The following locations Charkint, Chimtal, Dawlat Abad, Dihdadi, Hairatan, Hayatah, Kaldar, Khulm, were among the affected: Chaghcharan, Delak, Du Layna, Gawkush, Koh-e Kishindih, Koh Alberz, Mazar-e Sharif, Murghan Tapah, Nahri Shahi, Pay Quts, Mang, Qal-e Zubayd, Qalah, Saghar, Sangi, Sar Chashmah, Shahrak, Mashhad, Sabzi Kar, Sholgara, Shortepa, Timurak, Zari, Zigzig. Taywara, Tulak. In Daykundi, 8 incidents killing 39 people were reported. The following locations In Hilmand, 696 incidents killing 1661 people were reported. The following were among the affected: Kajran, Kandu-ye Bala, Nili. locations were among the affected: Ab Pashak Mandeh, Babaji, Baghran, Balochan, Camp Shorab, Chah Anjir, Deh Adam Khan, Deh-e Adam Khan, In Farah, 207 incidents killing 750 people were reported. The following locations Garmsir, Gharbi Naray Mandeh, Girishk, Haidarabad, Hazaras, Kajaki, were among the affected: Anar Dara, Arifabad, Bala Buluk, Chak Ab, Chin Karez-e Now, Khanashin, Kharki, Lashkargah, Lowy Manda,