Political Culture of Democracy in Guatemala, 2010 Democratic Consolidation in the Americas in Hard Times IX STUDY of DEMOCRATIC CULTURE of GUATEMALANS
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Political Culture of Democracy in Guatemala, 2010 Democratic Consolidation in the Americas in Hard Times IX STUDY OF DEMOCRATIC CULTURE OF GUATEMALANS Dr. Dinorah Azpuru (Author) Wichita State University Juan Pablo Pira Sample Design and Field Work Coordination ASIES Dr. Mitchell A. Seligson Scientific Coordinator and Editor of the Series Vanderbilt University This study was done with support from the Program in Democracy and Governance of the United States Agency for International Development. The opinions expressed in this study are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the point of view of the United States Agency for International Development. May, 2011 Political Culture of Democracy in Guatemala, 2010 Table of Contents LIST OF FIGURES.................................................................................................................................................VII LIST OF TABLES................................................................................................................................................. XIII PREFACE ..................................................................................................................................................................xv PROLOGUE: BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY ........................................................................................... XVII Acknowledgements ....................................................................................................................................... xxiv EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................... XXVII PART I: HARD TIMES AND THEIR EFFECTS ON DEMOCRACY.................................................................1 CHAPTER I. HARD TIMES IN THE AMERICAS: ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ..............................................3 Introduction........................................................................................................................................................3 Economic Overview ..........................................................................................................................................3 Dimensions of the Economic Crisis in Guatemala .......................................................................................8 Trends in Democratic Development .............................................................................................................10 Dimensions of Democracy in Guatemala ....................................................................................................12 The Relationship between Hard Times and Democracy............................................................................14 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................................15 CHAPTER II. CITIZEN PERCEPTIONS AND EXPERIENCES DURING HARD TIMES IN THE AMERICAS..................................................................................................................................17 Introduction......................................................................................................................................................17 Perceptions of the Magnitude of the Economic Crisis...............................................................................17 Who is to blame for the Economic Crisis?...................................................................................................20 Personal Experiences with Economic Instability........................................................................................22 Job Loss..........................................................................................................................................22 Reported Decrease in Household Income ......................................................................................26 Who Was Most Affected by Economic Hardship? ........................................................................28 Perceptions of Personal and National Economy.............................................................................30 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................................34 CHAPTER III. DEMOCRATIC VALUES IN HARD TIMES............................................................................37 Introduction......................................................................................................................................................37 The Economic Crisis Impact in Life Satisfaction........................................................................................37 The Crisis and the Support for Democracy .................................................................................................45 Crisis and the Support for the Political System ..........................................................................................49 The Crisis and Satisfaction with Democracy ..............................................................................................57 The Crisis and the Support for Military Coups...........................................................................................61 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................................65 PART II: RULE OF LAW, CRIME, CORRUPTION, AND CIVIL SOCIETY.................................................67 CHAPTER IV. RULE OF LAW, CRIME, AND CORRUPTION ......................................................................69 Introduction......................................................................................................................................................69 Theoretical background..................................................................................................................................69 Perception of Insecurity and Crime..............................................................................................................70 The Perception of Insecurity ..........................................................................................................70 Victimization by Crime ..................................................................................................................73 Corruption ........................................................................................................................................................82 ©LAPOP: Page iii Political Culture of Democracy in Guatemala, 2010 Measuring Corruption ....................................................................................................................82 Perception of Corruption ................................................................................................................84 Victimization by Corruption in 2010 .............................................................................................85 The Impact of Crime, Insecurity and Corruption in a Democracy ..........................................................89 Support for Rule of Law and the Impact of Crime and Insecurity............................................................92 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................................96 CHAPTER V. LEGITIMACY, SYSTEM SUPPORT, AND POLITICAL TOLERANCE..............................99 Introduction......................................................................................................................................................99 Theoretical Background .................................................................................................................................99 The Legitimacy and Tolerance Equation........................................................................................99 Support for the Political System..................................................................................................................102 Political Tolerance........................................................................................................................................104 Support for a Stable Democracy .................................................................................................................107 Legitimacy of Political Institutions.............................................................................................................114 Attitudes toward Democracy........................................................................................................................118 Support for Democracy ................................................................................................................118 Satisfaction with Democracy........................................................................................................120 Conclusions ....................................................................................................................................................123 CHAPTER VI. CIVIL SOCIETY AND CIVIC PARTICIPATION.................................................................125 Introduction....................................................................................................................................................125