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The Military Balance Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/tmib20 Chapter Five: and Eurasia Published online: 10 Feb 2015.

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To cite this article: (2015) Chapter Five: Russia and Eurasia, The Military Balance, 115:1, 159-206, DOI: 10.1080/04597222.2015.996357 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/04597222.2015.996357

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Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditions Downloaded by [RFE/RL Prague Library], [Mr Martina Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 MilitaryBalance Šǰ ˜ŽŽǰ œ’Žȱȱ›ŸŸȱ’œ ›Œ ™›Žœ ›Œ’Œȱ ’œȱ ›ŽŸ’ŸŽȱ Ž—ŒŽȱ˜›ȱœ˜–Žȱ¢ŽŠ›œǰȱŠœȱ—˜Žȱ’—ȱ›ŽŒŽ—ȱ’œœžŽœȱ˜ȱ ˜ȱ Šœ™’›Žȱ ‘˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ‘Šœǰȱ ‘ŽȱŽ—’›Žȱ›Œ’Œȱ’›Œ•ŽȂȱ‹¢ȱ‘ŽȱŽ—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ¢ŽŠ›Dzȱ ȁŠ•˜—ȱ œŠ’˜—Žȱ ‹Žȱ ˜ž•ȱ ž—’œȱ ‘Žȱ›Œ’Œǰȱ ’—ȱ Ž—ŒŽȱ ™›Žœ –’•’Š›¢ȱ žœœ’ŠȂœȱ ˜ȱ Ž¡™Š—œ’˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ȱ ™Š›ȱ Šœȱ ‘Šǰȱ Œ˜‹Ž›ȱ ’—ȱ Š——˜ž—ŒŽȱ ‘˜’žȱ •ŽŽǯȱ ˜›‘Ž›—ȱ —ŠŸ¢Ȃœȱ ‘Žȱ Š›˜ž—ȱ ‹ŠœŽȱ ˜›‘ǰȱ ǻ Ǽȱ ˜––Š—ȱ ’˜—œȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱ˜›ȱ‘ŽȱŒ›ŽŠ’˜—ȱ˜ȱŠȱ—Ž ȱ ˜’—ȱ›ŠŽ •ŽŠ’—ȱ•—ŽȱȱŽ Ž’—˜ȱ˜ȱŽ›¢ž”˜Ÿȱ ˜ȱ ›Žœ’—Š’˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ȱ •’—”Žȱ Š••ŽŠ’˜—œȱ ˜›ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱž—’œȱȮȱŠ—ȱ Šœȱ‘Žȱœž‹“ŽŒȱ˜ȱŒ˜››ž™ ž—Œ’˜—œȱ œž™™˜›ȱ ™›˜Ÿ’Žœȱ Š—ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ›Ž™Š’›œȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ Œ˜›™˜›Š’˜—ǰȱ œŠŽȱ ‹˜›˜—œŽ›Ÿ’œȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŒ’˜—ǯȱ Šȱ•Žœœȱ‘Š—ȱŰůƖǯȱ‘’œȱŽęŒ’Ž—Œ¢ȱŠ•œ˜ȱ•Žȱ˜ȱ›Ž–Ž’ ŠœȱŠœœŽœœŽȱŠȱ•Žœœȱ‘Š—ȱůůƖǰȱŠ—ȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ•Š—ȱ˜›Œ ’œŠŒ˜›¢ǯȱŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽŠ‹’•’¢ȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ ž—œŠ Ž—Ž›Š••¢ȱ Ž›Žȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ˜ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œȱ ‘˜ž›œȱŠ••˜ŒŠŽȱ˜›ȱŒ˜–‹ŠȬŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ›’Ÿ’—ǯ ‹¢ȱ‹˜˜œ’—ǰȱ‹¢ȱŠȱŠŒ˜›ȱ˜ȱ ˜ȱ˜ȱ‘›ŽŽǰȱ‘Žȱ›Š’— Š—ȱ™›˜‹•Ž–œȱ ’‘ȱŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ‘Š—•’—ȱ Ž›ŽȱŠ›ŽœœŽȱ ŠŒ˜›ȱ˜ȱ꟎ȱ˜ȱœ’¡ǰȱ–ž—’’˜—œȱŠ••˜ŒŠŽȱ˜›ȱŽ¡Ž›Œ Šȱ ‹¢ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœ’—ǰȱ ‹¢ȱ ’‘ȱ ŽŠ•ȱ Ž›Žȱ ›˜ž’—Žœȱ ꛒ—ȱ ‘ŽȱŒ˜–‹ŠȬ›Š’—’—ȱ™›˜›Š––ŽǯȱŽęŒ’Ž—Œ’Žœȱ’—ȱ•’ŸŽȬ ’—Ž—œ’¢’—ȱ ‹¢ȱ Š›ŽœœŽȱ Šœȱ Ȯȱ ˜—ŽȬ¢ŽŠ›ȱ Ž›–ȱ Œ˜—œŒ›’™’˜—ȱ ‘Ž’›ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’—ȱ œ˜•’Ž›œȱ Œ˜–™›’œ’—ȱ ‘˜œŽȱŒ›Ž œȱ ’—ȱ Žœ™ŽŒ’Š••¢ȱ Ȯȱ Œ›Ž œȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ ™Š›’Œž•Š›ǰȱ‘ŽȱŠœœŽœœ–Ž—ȱ‘Šȱ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ’—ŠŽšžŠ ’—ȱ‘Šȱ¢ŽŠ›Ȃœȱ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œȱ•Žȱ˜ȱŒ‘Š—Žœȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮDzȱ œ‘˜›Œ˜–’—œȱ ˜ȱ —Š•¢œ’œȱ ŬŪūŭǯȱ ’—ȱ ˜žȱ ŒŠ››’Žȱ ꛜȱ Ž›Žȱ ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œȱ ‘Žȱ œŒŠ•Žǯȱ ›ŽžŒŽȱ Šȱ ˜—ȱ Š•‘˜ž‘ȱ ™Ž›˜›–Š—ŒŽȱ‘Ž›ŽǰȱŠ—ȱŠŒ’˜—œǰȱ˜ȱ’œȱ›˜˜™œǯȱ ’˜—ȱ˜ŒžœŽȱ˜—ȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠŒ’Ÿ’¢ȱ’—ȱ”›Š’—ŽǰȱŠ—ȱ‘ ˜ȱ›Ž•Š’ŸŽȱ˜›Š—’œŠ’˜—Š•ȱœŠ‹’•’¢ǰȱŠ•‘˜ž‘ȱ™›Ž™ –Š“˜›ȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱŒ‘Š—Žȱž›’—ȱ‘Žȱ¢ŽŠ›ǯȱ ȱ ŠœȱŠ•œ˜ȱŠȱ¢ŽŠ ˜—•¢ȱ ‘Žȱ Šœȱ ‘’œȱ —˜ȱ ‹žȱ ˜ĜŒŽǰȱ ’‘ȱ ’—ȱ ™Ž›’˜ȱ Œ˜––Š—Ž›ȱ Šȱ Ž—Žȱ Š•¢ž”˜Ÿǰȱ •Žȱ Ž—Ž›Š•ȱ Šȱ ˜––Š—Ž›Ȭ’—Ȭ‘’Žǰȱ ˜•˜—Ž•Ȭ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ˜ȱ ›˜ž—ȱ —Ž ȱ Š¢ȱ ’—ȱ Š™™˜’—–Ž—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŬŪūŮǯȱ ’—ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ‘˜’žǰȱ Ž›Ž’ȱ œžŒŒŽœœ˜›ȱ ‘’œȱ ž—Ž›ȱ Š“žœŽȱ –Ž›Ž•¢ȱ ŬŪŪŲȱž—Ž›ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ’—’œŽ›ȱ—Š˜•¢ȱŽ›¢ž”˜ŸȱŠ—ȱ ˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ‹Žž—ȱ’—ȱ Russia and Eurasia Chapter Five RUSSIA ¡›’ŽȱŠœȱ›ŸŠŽȱŠȱŽ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽŠ‹’•’¢ȱ ‘Žȱ ‘Šȱ ›ŽŸŽŠ•Žȱ Š•œ˜ȱ ¡Ž›Œ’œŽœȱ Œ˜—’—žŽǰȱ ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œȂȱ ȁœ—Š™ȱ ˜ȱ ™›ŠŒ’ŒŽȱ ‘Žȱ ǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ–žŒ‘ȱ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱŠĴŽ— žœœ’Šȱ —ŠŸ¢ȱ Š›Š ’œŽœȱ The ’—ȱ ’˜—ȱ Žœȱ ’—ȱ Š•ȱ ’Œȱ Žȱ Žȱ ›ȱ - - - - - ™›˜Ÿ’ŽȱŒ˜ŸŽ›ȱ˜›ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ŸŽ›ȱŒ˜—ŒŽ—›Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ’—Œž ’—ȱ ˜ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ’œ›’Œœȱ›˜–ȱŬŰȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ȱ˜ȱŭȱŠ› ˜ȱ –˜ž—Žȱ Š——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ œ’–ž•Š—Ž˜žœ•¢ȱ ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œȱ ‘Žȱ —Š™ȱ ž›’—ȱ ›’–ŽŠǯȱ ŬŪūŮȱ ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œǰȱ ’—ȱ žœŽȱ ˜ȱ Œ˜–‹ŠȬ›ŽŠ’—Žœœȱ ™žȱ Šœȱ œ—Š™ȱ •Š›ŽȬœŒŠ•Žǰȱ Š—ȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œŽœȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ ž›’—ȱ ŠŒšž’›Žȱ ‘Šȱ Š›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ Š—ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ ž›’—ȱ™›ŽŸ’˜žœȱ›Ž˜›–œǯ ž—’œȱ Ž›Žȱœ›Ž—‘Ž—ŽDzȱœ˜–Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽœŽȱ‘Šȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱŒž –Š’—Ž—Š—ŒŽȱ Š—ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—Ȭ›Ž™Š’›ȱ ꛜȬ•’—Žȱ ’–Žǰȱ œŠ–Žȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ ™›˜ŒŽœœǯȱ ‘Žȱ ’—ȱ ŭŪǰŪŪŪȱ ˜ȱ ūŭŪǰŪŪŪȱ ›˜–ȱ œŠŽȬ’—žœ›’Š•ȱŒ˜›™˜›Š’˜—œǰȱ›ŽžŒ’—ȱœŠěȱ—ž–‹Ž› ŒŠ••¢ȱ›Žœ›žŒž›Žǯȱ œȱ›Ž™Š’›ȱ™•Š—œȱŠ—ȱ‹ŠœŽœȱ‹ŽŒ (see œ’˜—ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱŠœȱ Ž••ȱŠœȱ™›˜Ÿ’’—ȱ’ŸŽ›œ’˜—Š›¢ȱ™˜•’ Š—ȱŠ›’••Ž›¢ȱž—’œǰȱ ŠœȱŠ‹•Žȱ˜ȱŒ˜—ŒŽ—›ŠŽȱ’—ȱŠȱ™ –˜˜›Ȭ›’ĚŽȱ ™•žœȱ ’—Š—›¢ǰȱ —ŠŸŠ•ȱ ›’–ŽŠȬ‹ŠœŽȱ Š—ȱ –˜‹’•Žȱ›˜ž™ȱ˜ȱŠ›–¢ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱŠ’›‹˜›—Žȱ›˜˜™ ’ŒŠ•ȱŽěŽŒǯȱ —ȱ‘ŽȱŠœȬ™ŠŒŽȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ‘Šȱ˜••˜ ˜œ ›žœ ›– ‘ȱž‘›ȱ•›ȱ’œ›’Œȱ ’•’Š›¢ȱ ˜ž‘Ž›—ȱ ‘Žȱ ›˜–ȱ ›˜ž™œȱ Š’˜—œȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•Ȭ˜™Ž› Ž•’Žȱ Œ˜–™›’œŽȱ –Š’—•¢ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ’—ȱ ’—Ÿ˜•ŸŽȱ ›˜˜™œȱ ‘Žȱ –’œ•ŽŠ’—ǯȱ ‹Žȱ ŒŠ—ȱ –’œœ’˜—ȱ —’ŒŠ’˜—œȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱ’—ȱŽŸ’Ž—ŒŽȱž›’—ȱ‘Žȱ›’–ŽŠȱ ŠŒ’ŒŠ•ȬŒ˜––ž Š—ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ ŽŠ™˜—œǰȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ ūűȮŬŪǼǯ ˜›ȱȁŠ–‹’ž˜žœȂȱ Š›Š›ŽǰȱŠ–˜—ȱ˜‘Ž›ȱŽ›–œȱǻœŽŽȱ™™ǯȱ —Ž ȱ—Šž›Žȱ˜ȱ Š›ǰȱŽœŒ›’‹ŽȱŠœȱȁ—˜—Ȭ•’—ŽŠ›Ȃǰȱȁ‘¢‹› ‹¢ȱ‘’Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ Ž—Ž›Š•ȱŠěȱŠ•Ž›’¢ȱ Ž›Šœ’–˜Ÿȱ˜ȱ ‹¢ȱŒ˜––Ž—Š˜›œȱ ’‘ȱ‘ŽȱŽŠ›•’Ž›ȱ™ž‹•’ŒȱŽ¡™•Š—Š’˜—ȱ •ŠŽ›ǰȱ˜ȱœ˜–ŽȱŽ›ŽŽȱ’—ȱŽŠœŽ›—ȱ”›Š’—ŽȱȮȱ Ž›Žȱ•’— ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ›’–ŽŠȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱŽ–˜—œ›ŠŽȱȮȱŠ—ǰȱœŽŽ—ȱ ’—œ›ž–Ž—œȱ˜ȱ™˜ Ž›ȱ ’‘ȱ’—˜›–Š’˜—Ȭ Š›Š›Žȱ˜˜•œ ’’ŽœǰȱŠŒ’ŒœǰȱŽœŒŠ•Š’˜—ȱŒ˜—›˜•ȱŠ—ȱ’—Ž›Š’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ“ž—’˜›ȬŒ˜––Š—Ž›ȱ›Š’—’—ǯȱ‘Žȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱŒŠ™Š‹’• ŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ Ž•ŽŒ›˜—’ŒȬ Š›Š›Žȱ ’œŒ’™•’—Žǰȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ ›˜–ȱ’–™›˜ŸŽ–Ž—œȱ’—ȱ™Ž›œ˜—Š•ȱŽšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ•˜’œ’Œœǰ Œ˜—Ě’Œȱ’—ȱ Ž˜›’Šǰȱžœœ’Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ’—ȱ›’–ŽŠȱ‹Ž—Žę ŽŸŠœ˜™˜•ǯǼ Š›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱ”›Š’—ŽDzȱ̎Žȱ‘ŽŠšžŠ›Ž›œȱ›Ž–Š’—ȱŠ •ŠŒ”ȱŽŠȱ•ŽŽȱ‘Šȱ›Ž–Š’—Žȱ’—ȱ›’–ŽŠȱž—Ž›ȱŠȱūųųű Žœž™™•¢ȱ žœœ’Šǯȱ •’—Žœȱ Ž›ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱœžŒŒŽœœž••¢ȱŽœŠ‹•’œ‘Žǯȱǻ‘Žȱžœœ ˜ȱ ‹›’Žȱ •Š—ȱ —˜ȱ ‘Šœȱ ‘Šȱ œž•Šȱ ¡Ž’—Ž — ‘ȱ•›ŽœŠŽ ŽŽ•¢Ž ˜ȱ ›ŽŽ™•˜¢–Ž—ȱ •Š›ŽȬœŒŠ•Žȱ ‘Žȱ ’—ȱ ¡™Ž›’Ž—ŒŽȱ ˜—Ž‘Ž•Žœœǰȱ˜˜ȱ–žŒ‘ȱ˜Œžœȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ—Ž ȱ™Ž›œ˜—Š•ȱ —ȱŒ˜–™Š›’œ˜—ȱ ’‘ȱ‘Ž’›ȱ™Ž›˜›–Š—ŒŽȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŬŪŪŲȱ ‘ȱ•›ȱ•—Ž ŬŪūŭ Š•Š—ŒŽȱ ’•’Š›¢ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ™ȱūųȱȮ Šȱ›Š’ Šœȱ Ȯȱ ūųųǼȱ ™ǯȱ ǰȱ ˜ȱœŠŽȱ Ž—’— ŽǰȱŠȱ Š–Žȱ ”Žȱ ’Š—ȱ ’Ȃȱ Žȱ ‘Žȱ Œ‘ȱ ›  œȱ œȱ ------ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ

Russia and Eurasia 160 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ’›‹˜›—Žȱ œœŠž•ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ ǻǼǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ‹›’ŠŽœȱ ˜ȱ ž••ȱ ’Ÿ’œ’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱ ›Ž’–Ž—Š•ȱ œ›žŒ - ‘ŠŸŽȱ •˜—ȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ ’ŸŽ—ȱ ™›’˜›’¢ȱ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ ›Žž•Š›ȱ ›˜ž—ȱ ž›Žœȱ ™›˜ŸŽȱ ’ĜŒž•ǰȱ ™›’–Š›’•¢ȱ ‹ŽŒŠžœŽȱ ’Ÿ’œ’˜—œȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ’—ȱŽ›–œȱ˜ȱ›Š’—’—ǰȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱŠ—ȱž—’—ǯȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱŠȱ–žŒ‘ȱ•Š›Ž›ȱŽœŠ‹•’œ‘–Ž—ǯȱ‘’œȱ•Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ ‘Ž›Ž˜›Žǰȱ•Žœœ˜—œȱ›˜–ȱ‘Žȱ›’–ŽŠȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ—˜ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ™•Š——Ž›œȱ˜ȱŒ˜—œ’Ž›ȱŠȱŒ˜–™›˜–’œŽȱœ›žŒž›Žǰȱ ›ŽĚŽŒȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›Š••ȱœŠŽȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ’—ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ —Ž •¢ȱ ŽœŠ‹•’œ‘Žȱ ’Ÿ’œ’˜—Š•ȱ Œ˜––Š—œȱ ˜›ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱŒ‘Š—Žȱ’—ȱ‘ŽœŽȱŠ›ŽŠœȱ‘Šœȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ™˜œ’’ŸŽȱ‹žȱ ˜ž•ȱŒ˜–‹’—Žȱ ˜ȱ˜›ȱ‘›ŽŽȱŒž››Ž—ȱ‹›’ŠŽœǯ •Žœœȱœ›’”’—ǯȱžŽȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŒ‘›˜—’Œȱž—Ž›Ȭ–Š——’—ȱŠ—ȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ Š™™Š›Ž—•¢ȱ Œ˜ž—Ž›Ȭ’—ž’’ŸŽȱ ›ŽŸŽ›œŠ•œȱ ˜ȱ Œ˜—œŒ›’™’˜—ȱ’œœžŽœȱ—˜ ȱŒ‘Š›ŠŒŽ›’œ’Œȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ ŽŠ›•’Ž›ȱ›Ž˜›–ȱŠŒ‘’ŽŸŽ–Ž—œȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ’—Ž›™›ŽŽȱŠœȱ ›–¢ȱǻœŽŽȱŽ¡‹˜¡ǰȱ™ǯȱūŰŭǼǰȱŽŸŽ—ȱ‘ŽœŽȱŽ•’Žȱ˜›–Š’˜—œȱ ŠȱŒ˜—ŒŽœœ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ˜™™˜—Ž—œȱ˜ȱ›Š—œ˜›–Š’˜—ȱ ’‘’—ȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ—˜ȱ‹ŽȱžœŽȱ’—ȱ‘Ž’›ȱŽ—’›Ž¢ǯȱ—ȱ‘Žȱ ‘˜•Žǰȱ‘Žȱ ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ‘Ž¢ȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ•’Ĵ•Žȱ›Ž•ŽŸŠ—ŒŽȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ ŠœȱŠȱŽœȱ˜ȱŽ•’Žȱž—’œȱŠ—ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠȱ‘˜Œȱ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—ȱŠœ”ȱ›˜ž™œȱ‘Šȱ Ž›Žȱ˜›–Žȱ Š—ȱ‘Ž¢ȱ™Ž›˜›–Žȱ Ž••ǯ Š—ȱŒ˜—ŒŽ—›ŠŽȱ—ŽŠ›ȱ‘Žȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ‹˜›Ž›ȱž›’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Š——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—Ě’Œȱ ’—ȱ ™ŽŠ”œȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜—›˜—Š’˜—ȱ’—ȱŽŠœŽ›—ȱ”›Š’—Žǯ ŽŠœŽ›—ȱ”›Š’—Žȱ•Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ ˜›œȱ™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱŒ˜—›˜—Š - ¡™Ž›’–Ž—œȱ ˜ȱ œž‹’Ÿ’Žȱ ›˜ž—Ȭ˜›ŒŽȱ ‹›’ŠŽœȱ ’˜—ȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱžœœ’ŠȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽȱŽœȱœ’—ŒŽȱ‘Žȱ˜•ȱŠ›ǯȱ ’—˜ȱ ȁ•’‘Ȃǰȱ ȁ–Ž’ž–Ȃȱ Š—ȱ ȁ‘ŽŠŸ¢Ȃȱ Ž›Žȱ œžœ™Ž—Žǰȱ —œ’Žȱžœœ’Šǰȱ’ȱ’—’’ŠŽȱŠ—ȱŽ¡Š–’—Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱŽ¡’œ’—ȱ Šœȱ ’–™•Ž–Ž—Š’˜—ȱ ™›˜ŸŽȱ ˜˜ȱ ’ĜŒž•ǯȱ —ȱ ™Š›’Œ - ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ˜Œ›’—Žœǯȱ‘’œȱ˜ĜŒ’Š••¢ȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱ’—ȱžžœȱŬŪūŮȱ ž•Š›ǰȱ™•Š——Ž›œȱ˜ž—ȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ•’‘ȱ‹›’ŠŽœȱ‘Šȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ‘ŽȱŽœŠ‹•’œ‘–Ž—ȱ˜ȱŠȱ ˜›”’—ȱ›˜ž™ȱ˜ȱ›ŽŸ’œŽȱ ž›‘Ž›ȱœž‹’Ÿ’Žȱ’—˜ȱȁ–˜˜›Ȭ›’ĚŽȂǰȱȁ–˜ž—Š’—ȂȱŠ—ȱ ‘Žȱ’•’Š›¢ȱ˜Œ›’—Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŽŽ›Š’˜—ǰȱ•Šœȱ ȁŠ’›Ȭ–˜‹’•ŽȂȱ ž—’œǰȱ Š’•’—ȱ ˜ȱ Ž•’ŸŽ›ȱ ‘Žȱ œŠ—Š›’ - ™ž‹•’œ‘Žȱ’—ȱŬŪūŪǯȱ‘Žȱ—Ž ȱ˜Œ›’—Žȱ’œȱŽ¡™ŽŒŽȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱ œŠ’˜—ȱ ˜›’’—Š••¢ȱ ’—Ž—Žǯȱ ž‹œŽšžŽ—•¢ǰȱ Šȱ •Š›Žȱ –˜›Žȱ˜ŸŽ›•¢ȱ’—’–’ŒŠ•ȱ˜ȱȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ—’ŽȱŠŽœǰȱ ™›˜™˜›’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ‹›’ŠŽœȱ’—Ž—Žȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱȁ•’‘Ȃȱ Ž›Žȱ Š—ȱ ’••ȱ’—ŽŸ’Š‹•¢ȱŠ•œ˜ȱ•ŽŠȱ˜ȱŒ‘Š—Žœȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŒ•Šœœ’ - ›ŽŠœœ’—ŽȱŽ—ȱ–ŠœœŽȱ›˜–ȱ‘Žȱ•Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱǯȱ ꎍȱŠŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ•Š—ǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ŠœȱŠ˜™Žȱ’—ȱŬŪūŭǯ ǻ‘ŽœŽȱ Ž›Žȱ‘Žȱ‘›ŽŽȱŠ›–¢ȱŠ’›ȬŠœœŠž•ȱ‹›’ŠŽœȱȮȱ‘Žȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ—˜ȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ˜ȱŠȱž›‘Ž›ȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ ūū‘ǰȱ ů۝‘ȱ Š—ȱ Ųŭ›ȱ ›’ŠŽœǯǼȱ ˜›ȱ ‘Šœȱ ‘Žȱ ˜›–Š•ȱ ’—ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ™Ž—’—ǰȱ—˜ȱŽŸŽ—ȱ˜—ȱ›ŽŠ›–Š–Ž—ǯȱžœœ’Šȱ œž‹’Ÿ’œ’˜—ȱ ’—˜ȱ ȁ–Ž’ž–Ȃȱ Š—ȱ ȁ‘ŽŠŸ¢Ȃȱ ‹›’ŠŽœȱ ’œȱ ŠŒ’—ȱ Šȱ Ž—Ž›Š•ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ œ•˜ ˜ —ȱ Šœȱ Ž••ȱ Šœȱ Š”Ž—ȱ ™•ŠŒŽǯȱ ’쎛Ž—’Š’˜—ȱ ’••ȱ ’—œŽŠȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ŽŠ•’—ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽěŽŒœȱ ˜ȱ ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ œŠ—Œ’˜—œȱ ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ‹Šœ’œȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ¢™Žȱ˜ȱŠ›–˜ž›ŽȱŸŽ‘’Œ•ŽœȱžœŽȱȮȱ ’–™˜œŽȱŠŽ›ȱ’œȱŠ——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ›’–ŽŠDzȱž—Ž›ȱ‘ŽœŽȱ ‘Ž‘Ž›ȱ›ŠŒ”Žȱ˜›ȱ ‘ŽŽ•ŽȱȮȱ’—ȱŽěŽŒȱ›ŽŠ’—’—ȱ‘Žȱ Œ˜—’’˜—œǰȱ ŽŸŽ—ȱ ’œȱ Œž››Ž—ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ™•Š—œȱ ™›ŽœŽ—ȱ ’œ’—Œ’˜—ȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱŠ›–˜ž›ŽȱŠ—ȱ–˜˜›Ȭ›’ĚŽȱ˜›–Š - ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ’ĜŒž•’Žœǯȱ¢ȱ–’ȬŬŪūŮǰȱœ˜–Žȱ’—’Ÿ’žŠ•œȱ ’˜—œǯȱȱ™›ŽœŽ—ȱ’ȱ’œȱ’—Ž—Žȱ‘Šȱ–˜˜›Ȭ›’ĚŽȱž—’œȱ Š—ȱ œŽŒ˜›œȱ ‘Šȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ œŠ—Œ’˜—Žǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ œŠ—Œ - ’••ȱ ›Ž–Š’—ȱ •Š›Ž•¢ȱ ‘ŽŽ•Žǰȱ Š—ȱ ’••ȱ ‹Žȱ Žšž’™™Žȱ ’˜—œȱ›ŽŸ˜”’—ȱŠ—ȱŽ—¢’—ȱ•’ŒŽ—ŒŽœȱ˜›ȱ‘ŽȱŽ¡™˜›ȱ˜ȱ ’‘ȱ—Ž ȱ’—Š—›¢ȱꐑ’—ȱŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱǻ œǼȱ‹ŠœŽȱ˜—ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱŠ—ȱžŠ•ȬžœŽȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱ˜ȱžœœ’ŠǰȱŠȱ–˜ŸŽȱ ‘Žȱ Bumerang ™•Š˜›–ǯ ’–™•Ž–Ž—Žȱ‹¢ȱŠȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱ˜ȱœŠŽœȱ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ‘Žȱǰȱ —ȱ Š—’Œ’™Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž ȬŽœ’—ȱ ‘ŽŽ•Žȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱŠ—ȱ Ž›–Š—¢ǰȱŠœȱ Ž••ȱŠœȱ‘Žȱǯȱ’—Š—Œ’Š••¢ȱ ›ŠŒ”Žȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ ™•Š˜›–œȱ ‘Šȱ Š›Žȱ žŽȱ ˜ȱ ‹Žȱ ’—›˜ - ›’ŸŽ—ȱŠ–Ž—–Ž—œȱ Ž›ŽȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽȱ‘ŠȱŠěŽŒȱ•˜—Ȭ žŒŽȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž¡ȱ Ž ȱ ¢ŽŠ›œǰȱ ›ŽȬŽšž’™–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž›–ȱ™•Š—œȱ˜ȱ›ŽȬŽšž’™ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱŒ˜—ŸŽ—’˜—Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ›˜ž—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ’‘ȱ —Ž •¢ȱ –Š—žŠŒž›Žȱ Š›–˜ž›Žȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ™˜œ™˜—Ž–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ œ˜–Žȱ ™›˜›Š––Žœȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœǰȱ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ‘ŽȱȬųŪȱ–Š’—ȱ‹ŠĴ•ŽȱŠ—”ȱǻǼȱ ’—˜ȱ‘Žȱ—Ž¡ȱž—’—ȱ™Ž›’˜ȱǻŬŪūŰȮŬůǼǰȱŠ—ȱ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ ˜›ȱ Ȭŭȱ Š›–˜ž›Žȱ ǰȱ œ•˜ Žȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—•¢ǯȱ Šȱ —Ž ȱ Ž–™‘Šœ’œȱ ˜—ȱ ’–™˜›ȱ œž‹œ’ž’˜—ȱ œŽ––’—ȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ •Š›ŽȬœŒŠ•Žȱ Ž•’ŸŽ›’Žœȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ‘ŽŽ•Žȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ›˜–ȱœŠ—Œ’˜—œǰȱŠœȱ Ž••ȱŠœȱ‘Žȱ•˜œœȱ˜ȱŒ˜–™˜—Ž—ȱŠ—ȱ ȬŲŬȱ Œ˜—’—žŽǯȱ ‘’œȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ ‘Šœȱ Š—ȱ Ž—‘Š—ŒŽȱ Ž—’—Žȱœž™™•’Žœȱ›˜–ȱ”›Š’—ŽȱǻœŽŽȱŽ¡‹˜¡ǰȱ™ǯȱūŰŰǼǯ ŽŠ™˜—œȱ ęǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ‘Žȱ  ȬŪŮ ȱ Š¢Ȧ—’‘Ȭ œ’‘ǯȱŽŠ— ‘’•Žǰȱ–Šœœȱ–˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱȬűŬȱ Land forces ȱ̎Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱȬűŬŭȱœŠ—Š›ȱ’œȱŠ•œ˜ȱž—Ž›ȱ Š¢ǯȱ Šœȱ ¢ŽŠ›Ȃœȱ Military Balance ‘’‘•’‘Žȱ ‘Žȱ •ŠŽœȱ ˜—œ’Ž›Š‹•Žȱ Žě˜›ȱ ’œȱ ˜’—ȱ ’—˜ȱ ›ŽȬŽšž’™™’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ‘Š—Žœȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱœ›žŒž›Š•ȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ˜ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ›˜ž—ȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ‹›’ŠŽœǰȱ ’‘ȱ Iskander ›Ž™•ŠŒ’—ȱ‘Žȱ Tochka-U ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ‘Ž—ȱ  ˜ȱ ’Ÿ’œ’˜—œȱ Ž›Žȱ ›Žœ˜›Žȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŒ’ŒŠ•ȱ –’œœ’•Žǰȱ ‹›’—’—ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ œ›’”Žȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ ŽœŽ›—ȱ ’•’Š›¢ȱ ’œ›’Œȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŰŲ‘ȱ›–¢ȱ ˜›™œȱ ‘›˜ž‘ȱ’–™›˜ŸŽ–Ž—œȱ˜ȱ›Š—ŽȱŠ—ȱŠŒŒž›ŠŒ¢ǯ Šœȱ˜›–Žȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ›ȱŠœǯȱ‘Žȱ’—’’Š•ȱ›Žœž•œȱ ‘Žȱ ꛜȱ ™ž‹•’Œȱ ™›ŽœŽ—Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ Œ‘Š—Žœȱ ˜›ŒŽȱ ‹›˜ŠŽ›ȱ ›ŽŸ’œ’˜—œȱ ˜ȱ ŽŠ›•’Ž›ȱ ™•Š˜›–œȱ’œȱžŽȱ˜ȱŠ”Žȱ™•ŠŒŽȱž›’—ȱ‘Žȱ’Œ˜›¢ȱŠ¢ȱ ™•Š—œǯȱ ›Š—œ’’˜—’—ȱ ›˜–ȱ ȁ™Ž›–Š—Ž—Ȭ›ŽŠ’—ŽœœȂȱ Š›ŠŽȱ˜—ȱųȱŠ¢ȱŬŪūůȱ’—ȱ˜œŒ˜ ǯȱ‘Žȱꛜȱ–˜Ž•œȱ Russia and Eurasia 161

œ‘˜ž•ȱœŠ›ȱ˜ȱ‹ŽȱŽ•’ŸŽ›Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ›˜˜™œȱ˜›ȱ›’Š•œȱ’—ȱ Š—ȱ  ˜ȱ ›Ž’–Ž—œȂȱ ˜›‘ȱ ˜ȱ ȬŮŪŪȱ œž›ŠŒŽȬ˜ȬŠ’›ȱ ‘ŽȱœŠ–Žȱ¢ŽŠ›ǯȱžŽȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱž—ŸŽ’•ŽȱŠȱ‘Žȱ™Š›ŠŽȱŠ›Žȱ –’œœ’•Žȱœ¢œŽ–œȱ Ž›ŽȱŽ•’ŸŽ›Žǯȱ¢ȱ‘ŽȱŽ—ȱ˜ȱŬŪūŮǰȱ ŠȱŠ—”ȱŠ—ȱŠȱœŽ•Ȭ™›˜™Ž••Žȱž—ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ Armata ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ ŠœȱžŽȱ˜ȱ›ŽŒŽ’ŸŽȱŠ—˜‘Ž›ȱŬŬŪȱę¡ŽȬȱŠ—ȱ ™•Š˜›–Dzȱ Šȱ ›ŠŒ”Žȱ Š›–˜ž›Žȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ ŒŠ››’Ž›ȱ ›˜Š›¢Ȭ ’—ȱŠ’›Œ›ŠǯȱŽœŽŠ›Œ‘ȱ ˜›”ȱ˜—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŸŽ•˜™ - ǻǼȱŠ—ȱŠȱ›ŠŒ”Žȱ ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ Kurganets ȬŬůȱ –Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ PAK DA ȱ žž›Žȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ ‹˜–‹Ž›ȱ Š•œ˜ȱ ™•Š˜›–Dzȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ Bumerang Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ ‘ŽŽ•Žȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ œŠ›Žȱ ’—ȱ ŬŪūŮǯȱ ‘’œȱ —Ž ȱ •˜—Ȭ›Š—Žȱ Š’›Œ›Šȱ ’••ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ’—Ž—Žȱ˜ȱ›Ž™•ŠŒŽȱ‘Žȱȱǯȱ˜–‹’—Žȱ ›Ž™˜›Ž•¢ȱ‹Žȱœž‹œ˜—’ŒȱŠ—ȱ˜ȱŠȱȁĚ¢’—ȱ ’—ȂȱŽœ’—ȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱ Typhoon ȱ ‘ŽŽ•Žȱ•˜’œ’ŒœȱŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ™•Š˜›–ǰȱ ›Ž–’—’œŒŽ—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱȱȬŬȱ Spirit ȱ‹˜–‹Ž›ǯȱ‘ŽȱŒž››Ž—ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ˜›–Žȱ ‘Žȱ ‹Šœ’œȱ ˜›ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ œ‘˜ —ȱ Šȱ ‘Žȱ Š›Žȱ’œȱ˜ȱ‹Ž’—ȱŽœ’—ȱ™›˜˜¢™Žœȱ’—ȱŬŪūųǰȱ˜›ȱŽ—›¢ȱ ŬŪūŮȱ ™Š›ŠŽǰȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ ™•Š˜›–œȱ Š›Žȱ ’—Ž—Žȱ ˜ȱ œ‘Š™Žȱ ’—˜ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ’—ȱŬŪŬůǯ ‘ŽȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœȱ˜ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱ•Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜–’—ȱ ’›Ȭ˜›ŒŽȱŽœ’—ȱ˜ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱꏝ‘ȬŽ—Ž›Š’˜—ȱ PAK ŽŒŠŽœǯ FA Œ˜–‹ŠȱŠ’›Œ›Š ’œȱ˜ĜŒ’Š••¢ȱœŒ‘Žž•Žȱ˜ȱ‹Ž’—ȱ’—ȱ Žœ™’Žȱ ‘Žȱ ’–™›Žœœ’ŸŽȱ šžŠ—’¢ȱ ˜ȱ —Ž ȱ Žšž’™ - ŬŪūŰǰȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ ȁŒŠ™’ŸŽȱ ŒŠ››¢Ȃȱ ›’Š•œȱ ˜ȱ Š’›Ȭ˜ȬŠ’›ȱ Š—ȱ –Ž—ȱžŽȱ˜ȱŠ”Žȱ™Š›ȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŬŪūůȱ™Š›ŠŽȱǻ‘Žȱ™•Š—ȱ’œǰȱ Š’›Ȭ˜Ȭœž›ŠŒŽȱ ŽŠ™˜—œȱ ˜—ȱ Ž¡Ž›—Š•ȱ ‘Š›™˜’—œȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ Š—Š•¢œœȱ‹Ž•’ŽŸŽǰȱ˜›ȱŬŮȱŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ Kurganets ȬŬůȱ Š•›ŽŠ¢ȱ‹Žž—ǯȱŽœ™’Žȱ’—Ž—œŽȱ•˜‹‹¢’—ȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ–’•’- ™•Š˜›–ȱŠ•˜—Žȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱœ‘˜ —ǼǰȱŠ••ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ™•Š˜›–œȱ ’••ȱ Š›¢Ȭ’—žœ›’Š•ȱŒ˜–™•Ž¡ǰȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œ›¢ȱ‘Šœȱ—˜ȱ

‹Žȱ™›˜˜¢™ŽœȱŠ—ȱŠœȱœžŒ‘ȱ—˜ȱž••¢ȱ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—Š’ŸŽȱ˜ȱ ¢ŽȱŽ¡™›ŽœœŽȱ’—Ž›Žœȱ’—ȱŽŸŽ•˜™’—ȱ˜›ȱ™›˜Œž›’—ȱŠȱ Russia and Eurasia ŽŒ‘—’ŒŠ•ȱŒ˜—ꐞ›Š’˜—ȱ˜›ȱŽŸŽ—ȱꗊ•ȱŠ™™ŽŠ›Š—ŒŽǯȱ‘Žȱ •’‘Ž›ȱ ꏝ‘ȬŽ—Ž›Š’˜—ȱ ꐑŽ›ȱ ‹ŠœŽȱ ˜—ȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ™œȱ Œ˜–™•Ž¡’¢ȱ ˜ȱ ™Š›Š••Ž•ȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ Žœ’—ȱ ˜ȱ ™›˜™˜œŽȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ’ ȱŽœ’—ȱ‹ž›ŽŠžǯȱ‘’œȱ™›˜“ŽŒȱ’œȱ ‘˜•Žȱ—Ž ȱŠ–’•’Žœȱ˜ȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱ‘Šœȱ•Žȱ˜ȱ ŠȱŠ—ȱŽŠ›•¢ȱœŠŽȱŠ—ȱ’œȱ‹Ž’—ȱ•Žȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ‹ž›ŽŠžȱ˜—ȱ’œȱ ’—ŽŸ’Š‹•ŽȱŽ•Š¢œȱ’—ȱ‘Ž’›ȱ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ’–ŽŠ‹•ŽœȱǻœŽŽȱ ˜ —ȱ’—’’Š’ŸŽǰȱ‘˜ž‘ȱŽě˜›œȱŒ˜ž•ȱ‹ŽȱœŽ™™Žȱž™ȱ’ȱŠȱ ™™ǯȱūŰŮȮŰűǼǯ ˜›Ž’—ȱŒžœ˜–Ž›ȱŽ–Ž›Žœǯ ‘ŽȱŽ•’ŸŽ›¢ȱ˜ȱ—Ž ǰȱ–˜Ž›—ȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ‘ŠœȱŽ¡ŠŒŽ› - Air force ‹ŠŽȱ™›˜‹•Ž–œȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱ™ŠŒŽȱ˜ȱŽ•’ŸŽ›¢ȱ˜ȱ™›ŽŒ’œ’˜—Ȭ ›žŒž›Š•ȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ‘Šœȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ‘Žȱ–˜œȱ ž’Žȱ Š’›ȱ ŽŠ™˜—œǯȱ ȱ ™›ŽœŽ—ǰȱ —Ž ȱ —˜—Ȭ—žŒ•ŽŠ›ȱ Œ˜—›˜ŸŽ›œ’Š•ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ›Ž˜›–œǯȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ‘Šœȱ –ž—’’˜—œȱ˜›ȱ•˜—Ȭ›Š—ŽȱŠŸ’Š’˜—ǰȱœžŒ‘ȱŠœȱ‘Žȱ ‘ȬūŪūȱ ž—Ž›˜—Žȱ‘›ŽŽȱ ŠŸŽœȱ˜ȱ–Š“˜›ȱŒ‘Š—ŽDZȱ›Ž˜›Š—’œŠ - Š—ȱ ‘ȬŭŬȱ Œ›ž’œŽȱ –’œœ’•Žœǰȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ œ’••ȱ —˜ȱ Ž—Ž›Žȱ ’˜—ȱ’—˜ȱ‘ŽȱȁŠ’›ȱ‹ŠœŽȂȱœ¢œŽ–ȱǻœŽŽȱ The Military Balance œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽǯȱ ‘Žȱ ‘Ȭůůůȱ ǻȬūůȱ Kent Ǽȱ ™›˜›Š––Žǰȱ ŬŪūŬ ǰȱ™ǯȱūŲŰǼȱŠ—ȱ ˜ȱœžŒŒŽœœ’ŸŽȱ›Ž›˜ž™’—œȱ˜ȱ‘ŽœŽȱ ‘˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ‘Šœȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ œžŒŒŽœœž•ǰȱ Š••˜ ’—ȱ ‘˜’žȱ ˜ȱ ‹ŠœŽœȱ ’—˜ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœ’—•¢ȱ •Š›Ž›ȱ ˜›–Š’˜—œǯȱ ȱ Šœȱ Š——˜ž—ŒŽȱ Šȱ ›Š’ŒŠ•ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ ’—ȱ •˜—Ȭ›Š—Žȱ Œ›ž’œŽȱ ’œŒ˜ŸŽ›Žȱž›’—ȱœ—Š™ȱ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œǰȱŠ—ȱŠȱ›ŽŸ’Ž ȱ˜ȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ™ž›Œ‘ŠœŽœǯȱ—Š•¢œœȱŽœ’–ŠŽȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱ ‘ŽȱŽ›¢ž”˜ŸȮŠ”Š›˜Ÿȱȁ—Ž ȱ•˜˜”Ȃȱ›Ž˜›–œǰȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘Ȭůůůœȱ’œȱ™›˜“ŽŒŽȱ˜ȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽǰȱ‹¢ȱŬŪŬŪǰȱ‹¢ȱŠȱŠŒ˜›ȱ ›Žœž•’—ȱ Œ•ŠœœȬ˜—Žȱ ȁ–ŽŠȱ Š’›ȱ ‹ŠœŽœȂǰȱ ’œ™Ž›œŽȱ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ ˜ȱŭŪȱ›˜–ȱ‘ŽȱŒž››Ž—ȱž—’œŒ•˜œŽȱꐞ›Žǯ ˜ž›ȱ˜ȱœŽŸŽ—ȱŠ’›ęŽ•œȱŠ—ȱŒ˜–‹’—’—ȱ’쎛Ž—ȱę¡ŽȬȱ ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱœ’••ȱ•ŠŒ”œȱ’œȱ˜ —ȱ̎Žȱ˜ȱž—–Š——Žȱ Š—ȱ›˜Š›¢Ȭ ’—ȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ¢™Žœǰȱ Ž›Žȱ’—ŽěŽŒ’ŸŽǯȱ‘Žȱ ŠŽ›’Š•ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ ǻœǼǯȱ ȱ —ž–‹Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ ˜–Žœ’ŒŠ••¢ȱ ˜ŸŽ›•¢ȱ Œž–‹Ž›œ˜–Žȱ œ›žŒž›Žǰȱ Œ˜–™˜ž—Žȱ ‹¢ȱ Šȱ ™›˜žŒŽȱ ȱ –˜Ž•œȱ Š›Žȱ —˜ ȱ ’—ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽǰȱ ‹žȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŠ”Ž—ŽȱœŠěȱŒ˜–™˜—Ž—ȱ’—ȱŒ˜–™Š›’œ˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ™›ŽȬ ŸŠœȱ–Š“˜›’¢ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ–˜›Žȱ‘Š—ȱůŪŪȱœ¢œŽ–œȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹•Žȱ ›Ž˜›–ȱŠŸ’Š’˜—ȱ’Ÿ’œ’˜—œȱŠ—ȱŒ˜›™œǰȱŠ’•Žȱ˜ȱ™›˜Ÿ’Žȱ ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŠ›ŽȱŒ˜—ŒŽ—›ŠŽȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ œžĜŒ’Ž—ȱ Œ˜––Š—ȬŠ—ȬŒ˜—›˜•ȱ Š—ȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ ›ŽŠ’ - •Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›‹˜›—Žȱ›˜˜™œǯȱ‘ŽœŽȱŠ›Žȱ•’‘ȱ —ŽœœǯȱœȱŠȱ›Žœž•ǰȱ‘Žȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ ŠœȱŠ‹Š—˜—ŽȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ –˜Ž•œȱ ˜›ȱ ŠŒ’ŒŠ•ȱ ›ŽŒ˜——Š’œœŠ—ŒŽǰȱ —˜—Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ˜›’’—Š•ȱ’Ÿ’œ’˜—Ȯ›Ž’–Ž—ȱœ›žŒž›Žȱ›Ž’—œŠŽǯ ‘ŠŸŽȱœ›’”ŽȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǯȱ‘’œȱœ’žŠ’˜—ȱœ‘˜ž•ȱŒ‘Š—Žȱ Ž›˜œ™ŠŒŽȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ‹›’ŠŽœǰȱ‘˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ›ŽŠ’—ȱ‘Ž’›ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ •Šž—Œ‘ȱ ˜ȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ ˜›”ȱ ˜—ȱ Šȱ Š–’•¢ȱ ™˜œȬŬŪŪŲȱœ›žŒž›ŽȱŠ—ȱŠ›–¢ȬŠŸ’Š’˜—ȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ›Ž–Š’—œȱ ˜ȱ ‘›ŽŽȱ œ›’”Žȱ œȱ ǻ ’‘ȱ Šȱ Š”ŽȬ˜ěȱ Ž’‘ȱ ˜ȱ ˜—Žȱ ’—Œ˜–™•ŽŽǰȱ ’‘ȱȁŠ’›ȱ‹ŠœŽœȂȱ›ŽŠ’—ŽȱŠ•˜—œ’Žȱ—Ž ȱ ˜——Žǰȱ꟎ȱ˜——ŽœȱŠ—ȱŬŪȱ˜——ŽœǼȱŒ˜––’œœ’˜—Žȱ‹¢ȱ Š›–¢ȬŠŸ’Š’˜—ȱ ‹›’ŠŽœǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ Š›Žȱ Œ˜—’—ž’—ȱ ˜ȱ ‹Žȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ –’—’œ›¢ȱ ˜›ȱ ‘Žȱ Š’›ȱ ˜›ŒŽǯȱ ’ Ȃœȱ Skat ˜›–Žǯȱ ȱ ™›ŽœŽ—ǰȱ Š›–¢ȬŠŸ’Š’˜—ȱ ž—’œȱ ›Ž™˜›ȱ ˜ȱ ž—–Š——Žȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ ŠŽ›’Š•ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ ǻǼȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ™ȱ ‘Žȱ ’›ȱ Š—ȱ ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ˜––Š—ȱ ’—ȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ Šœȱ œž™Ž›œŽŽȱ ‹¢ȱ Šȱ ŬŪȬ˜——Žȱ ȱ ‹Ž’—ȱ ŽŸŽ• - ™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ȱ›ŠŽ’Œȱ˜––Š—ǯ ˜™Žȱ‹¢ȱž”‘˜’ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȱŠœȱŠȱœž‹Œ˜—›ŠŒ˜›ǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ›˜›Žœœȱ ’—ȱ Ž•’ŸŽ›’—ȱ —Ž ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Š’›ȱ ’œȱ™•Š——Žȱ˜ȱĚ¢ȱ‹¢ȱŬŪūŲǯȱœȱ˜ȱ‘’œȱŒ•Šœœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ ˜›ŒŽȱ‘Šœȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱŠ›ȱ–˜›ŽȱœžŒŒŽœœž•ǯȱ —ȱŬŪūŭǰȱůŰȱ—Ž ȱ Šȱ›Š—ŽȱŠ—ȱŒ˜–‹Šȱ™Š¢•˜ŠȱŒ˜–™Š›Š‹•Žȱ˜ȱ–Š——Žȱ Š—ȱ ž™›ŠŽȱ ę¡ŽȬ ’—ȱ Š’›Œ›Šǰȱ ūŬŬȱ ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œȱ œ›’”ŽȱŠ’›Œ›Šǯ 162 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

Figure 7 Equipment Analysis: Russian Flanker Combat Aircraft Development

The Sukhoi Su-27 Flanker Š–’•¢ȱ‘Šœȱ‹ŽŒ˜–ŽȱŠȱŒŽ—›Ž™’ŽŒŽȱ˜ȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠŒ’ŒŠ•ȱŠŸ’Š’˜—ǯȱ‘’œȱŒ˜–ŽœȱŠŽ›ȱŠȱ’ĜŒž•ȱœŠ›Dzȱ the prototype aircraft underwent complete redesign in the late 1970s to address performance shortcomings. The aircraft ‘ŠœȱŽŸŽ•˜™Žȱ›˜–ȱŠȱœ’—•ŽȬ›˜•Žȱ˜ȱŠȱ–ž•’Ȭ›˜•ŽȱꐑŽ›ȱ ’‘ȱ›ŽŠ•¢ȱ’–™›˜ŸŽȱŒ˜–‹Šȱ™Ž›˜›–Š—ŒŽȱ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ detection and engagement ranges of potential targets. Originally intended for the export arena, the Russian air force ordered 48 Su-35S in 2009, and deliveries should be completed during 2015. An additional order for a further 48 is widely anticipated. The Su-35S will see service likely well into the 2030s as a complement to the air force’s ꏝ‘ȬŽ—Ž›Š’˜—ȱꐑŽ›ǰȱ‹Ž’—ȱŽŸŽ•˜™Žȱž—Ž›ȱ‘Žȱž”‘˜’ȱȬśŖȱ™›˜›Š––Žǯ

Sukhoi Su-35S Flanker E (introduced 2013) Revised airframe construction and materials compared to Su-27B IRBIS passive electronically Increased vertical scanned array Increased use of aluminium-lithium alloys and composites "n area KSU-35 digital #ight control system Digital cockpit

OLS-35 infrared Improved electronic counter 117C engine-thrust-vectoring nozzles search and track measures Khibny-M EW suite Greater internal fuel capacity Strengthened landing gear to support (Canards deleted from previous Su-27M/Su-35 design) greater maximum take-off weight 12 hardpoints for weapons carriage

Sukhoi Su-27 Flanker B (introduced 1985) Electronic warfare Sorbtsiya electronic Beryoza radar countermeasures Analogue cockpit displays SDU-10 pitch-only #y-by-wire warning receiver (wing-tip pod mounted)

N001 Slotback radar

OLS-27 infrared search and track 10 hardpoints for weapons carriage AL-31F engine – convergent/divergent nozzles Su-27 Su-35S Maximum "y-out ranges • Radar: N001 Slotback air-to-air • Radar: IRBIS passive electronically scanned mum radar detection r only, detection range 80km (est.) array multi-mode air-to-air and air-to-surface. Maxi ange 400km against a 3m2 radar cross-section Claimed detection range against a 3m2 radar target cross-section target 350–400km. 90km detection 350km range against a 0.01m2 RCS target Su-35SS against 3m2 RCS • Analogue cockpit • Digital cockpit 400km 300km • 2 x AL-31F turbofan engines each • 2 x 117S turbofan engines each rated at 14,500kg rated at 12,500kg in afterburner, in afterburner, 8,800kg max dry power. R-37M (Su-35S) 7,700kg max dry power Thrust-vectoring nozzles • OLS-27 infrared search and track, • OLS-35 infrared search and track, 90km plus 280km 50km detection range (target from detection range (target from rear) 280km 200km rear) RVV-BD (could be • 10 hardpoints: • 12 hardpoints: integrated onto Su-35 export) Short-range AAMs • R-73 and K-74M2 (R-73 upgrade), maximum • R-73 (AA-11 Archer) short-range range 40km air-to-air missile, maximum range

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 • Alamo family plus R-77-1 (AA-12B Adder) active 30km radar-guided medium-range AAM, max range R-27EP (Su-27) Medium-range AAMs 110km. Also possibly the K-77M, a further R-77-1 (Su-35) • R-27 (AA-10 Alamo) family of development of the basic R-77 110km semi-active, radar-guided, infrared Long-range AAM Su-27P guided and passive AAMs. against 3m2 RCS • R-37M (AA-13 Axehead) long-range R-27ER 60km Semi-active radar-guided R-27ER 80km 60km radar-guided AAM (known as RVV-BD for export). (large target: 90km) (AA-10C), max range against a This missile is being offered for the Su-35S. Max "ghter 60km, 90–100km against a range is est. 280km (200km for RVV-BD) large aircraft. Passive-homing R-27EP (AA-10F), 110km max range • Air-to-Surface includes: Kh-38 family of medium-range air-to-surface , Kh-31PM • No active radar-guided AAM (AS-17C Krypton) anti-radiation missile, Kh-59M • Air-to-Surface: mix of unguided family (AS-18 Kazoo), variety of precision-guided bombs and rockets bombs © IISS Russia and Eurasia 163

Navy œ’ꮍȱ ™›˜›Š––Žœȱ ’—Œ•žŽȱ ‘Žȱ ›˜“ŽŒȱ ŬūŪȱ Losharik ŒŒ˜›’—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŽȱ ›–Š–Ž—œȱ ›˜›Š––Žȱ ˜ȱ Š—ȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŪųŲůūȱ Khabarovsk ǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ’••ȱ‹ŽȱŒ›Ž Žȱ ŬŪŬŪǰȱ ‘Žȱ —ŠŸ¢ȱ ’••ȱ ˜Œžœȱ ˜—ȱ —žŒ•ŽŠ›Ȭœž‹–Š›’—Žȱ Ž—’›Ž•¢ȱ‹¢ȱ˜ĜŒŽ›œȱŠ—ȱžœŽȱ˜›ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ˜ȱ Œ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—ȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ –Ž’ž–ȱ Ž›–ǯȱ ‘’œȱ ™›’–Š›’•¢ȱ Š—ȱ ž—’œŒ•˜œŽȱ —Šž›Žǯȱ ȱ œŽŽ–œȱ ž—•’”Ž•¢ȱ ‘Šȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—œȱ  ˜ȱ ™›˜“ŽŒœDZȱ Ž’‘ȱ Borey- Œ•Šœœ —žŒ•ŽŠ›Ȭ Š–‹’’˜žœȱ ™•Š—œȱ ’••ȱ ‹Žȱ ’–™•Ž–Ž—Žȱ ˜—ȱ œŒ‘Žž•Žǰȱ ™˜ Ž›Žȱ ‹Š••’œ’ŒȬ–’œœ’•Žȱ œž‹–Š›’—Žœȱ Žšž’™™Žȱ ’ŸŽ—ȱ‘Žȱ’ĜŒž•’ŽœȱŠ•›ŽŠ¢ȱŽ¡™Ž›’Ž—ŒŽȱ’—ȱ‹ž’•’—ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ Bulava ȱ ǻȬȬȬŭŬǼȱ ‹Š••’œ’Œȱ –’œœ’•Žǰȱ Š—ȱ ůŪȱ˜›ȱœ˜ȱ–Š“˜›ȱœž›ŠŒŽȱ Š›œ‘’™œǰȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ’–Žȱ’ȱ‘Šœȱ œŽŸŽ—ȱ Yasen ȬŒ•Šœœ –ž•’Ȭ™ž›™˜œŽǰȱ —žŒ•ŽŠ›Ȭ™˜ Ž›Žȱ Š”Ž—ȱ˜ȱŒ˜–™•ŽŽȱ‘˜œŽȱœž‹–Š›’—Žœȱ‘Šȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ˜—Žȱ ŠĴŠŒ”ȱœž‹–Š›’—ŽœȱŽšž’™™Žȱ ’‘ȱŒ›ž’œŽȱ–’œœ’•Žœǯȱ —ȱ ’—˜ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ ’—ȱ ›ŽŒŽ—ȱ ¢ŽŠ›œǯȱ ˜›ȱ ’œȱ ‘Žȱ –Š’—ȱ Š›–Š - Š’’˜—ǰȱ Œ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ œŽŸŽ›Š•ȱ ȁœ™ŽŒ’Š•Ȭ™ž›™˜œŽȂȱ –Ž—ȱ›ŽŠ¢ȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ Borey ȬŒ•Šœœȱ‹˜ŠœǰȱŠœȱŽ–˜—œ›ŠŽȱ —žŒ•ŽŠ›ȱ œž‹–Š›’—Žœȱ ’œȱ ™•Š——Žǯȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ ‘’‘•¢ȱ Œ•Šœ - ‹¢ȱ‘ŽȱŠ’•ž›Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ Bulava ȱŽœȱ•Šž—Œ‘ȱ’—ȱŽ™Ž–‹Ž›ȱ

Personnel issues The continue to su"er the e"ects of prestige of military service, and contributed to much- personnel problems noted in The Military Balance 2013. improved morale and a renewed sense of purpose within Demographic pressure combined with the reduction in the services. Furthermore, salary improvements have Russia and Eurasia the conscript service term to one year, as well as ongo- helped recruitment by providing highly competitive re- ing challenges in recruiting professional servicemen and muneration. Nevertheless, it remains unlikely that the women, meant that at the beginning of 2014 the services ambitious recruitment plan can be ful#lled within one were only 82% manned – a shortage of nearly 200,000 year. Analysts suggest that the long-established pattern personnel. Despite exceeding contract-service recruit- of failing to meet unrealistic contract-recruitment targets ment targets for 2013, this problem persisted throughout will persist. 2014, leading to a reduction in 2014 recruitment plans. Meanwhile, improved results have been reported for The total number of contract-service soldiers was in- conscription. The spring 2014 draft brought in 154,000 tended to reach 240,000 by the end of 2014. These mainly personnel, with an apparent 20% reduction in evasion. sta" the combat sub-units of the Airborne Assault Troops From autumn 2014, recruits with a higher level of edu- (VDV) and other special-operations forces, although they cation have the option of serving on superior contract also work on submarines and other complex or costly terms for two years instead of completing the mandatory equipment. Support and artillery sub-units, however, re- one-year conscription period. main largely conscript-manned, including those in VDV Increased attention to training reserves was a major divisions. As a consequence, even elite formations are new initiative. A special Reserves Command was formed su"ering from the introduction of the one-year conscrip- at the end of 2013 in each of the four military districts. tion term. Special-forces units, for example, could not be These are responsible for the training and mobilisation deployed in full to Crimea in 2014, as they included a con- of reservists as well as the maintenance of equipment at tingent of conscripts only drafted the previous autumn. storage depots; and for using these reserves and equip- These troops had been in the armed forces for less than ment to deploy full-strength combat units during mo- six months at that point and had to remain behind. As a bilisation. They are a major departure from the previous result, these units could #eld no more than two-thirds of practice, whereby call-up o$ces and the commanders of their o$cial strength. active brigades and divisions were responsible for mobili- Plans to increase the number of contract-service per- sation. The new system should relieve these commanders sonnel to 350,000 by 2015 have been announced. This of a number of associated tasks. It can also be seen as a Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 would require a recruitment campaign of unprecedented response to changes in armed forces’ sta$ng in recent scale, bringing in 150,000 new contract-service person- years, which has led to fewer trained reservists being nel for the army within a year – signi#cantly higher than available after conscript service, and therefore more care both the 2013 and 2014 recruitment #gures. The inten- required in their management. tion is to #ll contract posts in the VDV, increase numbers In addition, the new commands will be responsible for in the land forces more broadly and put contract-service new types of reserves, such as a voluntary high-readiness personnel in 75% of semi-skilled posts, such as combat- reserve made up of those who have recently completed vehicle drivers and maintenance sta". military service. In the #rst phase, in 2015, the defence Strong Russian public support for operations in Crimea ministry plans to recruit 8,600 of this type of reservist, pri- has boosted the armed forces’ popularity, adding to the marily in specialist trades. 164 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

ŬŪūŭǯȱ‘’œȱ‘Šœȱ˜›ŒŽȱŠȱœŽ›’Žœȱ˜ȱŠȱ•ŽŠœȱ꟎ȱž›‘Ž›ȱ Žœœǰȱ˜ȱ‹ŽȱŒŠ››’Žȱ˜žȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱŬŪūŮȱŠ—ȱŬŪūŰǯ 3.5 3.40 3.15 3.06 ‘Žȱ –˜œȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—ȱ –˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ȱ ™›˜“ŽŒœȱ 2.91 3.0 2.76 2.71 ’—ȱ —ŠŸŠ•ȱ ŠŸ’Š’˜—ȱ Š›Žȱ ‘Žȱ ›Ž™•ŠŒŽ–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ žȬŬŮȱ Fencer ȱ ›˜ž—ȬŠĴŠŒ”ȱ Š’›Œ›Šȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ –ž•’Ȭ›˜•Žȱ 2.5 žȬŭŪȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽȱŽ•’ŸŽ›¢ȱ˜ȱ’ ȬŬų Ȧ ȱꐑŽ›œȱ 2.0 ˜ȱ‘Žȱ˜›‘Ž›—ȱ•ŽŽȂœȱœ‘’™‹˜›—ŽȬŠŸ’Š’˜—ȱ›Ž’–Ž—ǯȱ 1.5

˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ‘Žȱ™•Š——ŽȱŽ•’ŸŽ›¢ȱ˜ȱœŽŸŽ›Š•ȱ˜£Ž—ȱ‘Ž•’- % of GDP Œ˜™Ž›œȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ—Ž ȱ ȬŒ•ŠœœȱŠ–™‘’‹’˜žœȬŠœœŠž•ȱ 1.0 œ‘’™œȂȱ Š’›ȱ ’—œǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ŭŬȱ —ŠŸŠ•’œŽȱ ŠȬůŬ ȱ 0.5 Hokum œǰȱ’œȱ’—ȱ˜ž‹ȱ˜••˜ ’—ȱ‘Žȱ›Ž—Œ‘ȱŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ 0.0 œžœ™Ž—ȱ‘Žȱ Š›œ‘’™ȂœȱŽ•’ŸŽ›¢ȱŠ–’ȱ™›Žœœž›ŽȱŠŽ›ȱ 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 ‘ŽȱŠ——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ›’–ŽŠǯ Figure 8 Estimated Russian Defence Strategic Rocket Forces Expenditure as % of GDP ‘Žȱ›ŠŽ’Œȱ˜Œ”Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱǻǼȱ›Ž–Š’—ȱ‘ŽȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ •ŽŠœȱ ŠěŽŒŽȱ ‹¢ȱ žœœ’ŠȂœȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ›Š—œ˜›–Š’˜—ȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ –ŠŽȱ Ž¡Ž›—Š•ȱ ‹˜››˜ ’—ȱ –˜›Žȱ ’ĜŒž•ǯȱ ‘Žȱ ™›˜›Š––Žǯȱ˜œȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŒ‘Š—ŽœȱŽ¡™Ž›’Ž—ŒŽȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ ™›˜“ŽŒŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ‹žŽȱ’—ȱŬŪūůȱ ’••ȱ‹Žȱŭǯŭȱ›’••’˜—ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ›Ž•ŠŽȱ˜ȱ›ŽŠ›–Š–Ž—ǯȱŽ™ž¢ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ǻǞŲŲǯŭ‹—ǼǰȱŒ˜–™Š›Žȱ ’‘ȱŬǯů›ȱǻǞűŪ‹—Ǽȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮȱ ’—’œŽ›ȱž›’’ȱ˜›’œ˜ŸȱŒ˜—ę›–Žȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮȱ‘Šȱ›ŽœŽŠ›Œ‘Ȭ Š—ȱŬǯū›ȱǻǞŰŰǯū‹—Ǽȱ’—ȱŬŪūŭǯ Š—ȬŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ ˜›”ȱ Šœȱž—Ž›ȱ Š¢ȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ Sarmat , Šȱ —Ž ȱ ‘ŽŠŸ¢ǰȱ •’šž’ȬžŽ•ǰȱ œ’•˜Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ ’—Ž›Œ˜—’—Ž—Š•ȱ State Armaments Programme ‹Š••’œ’Œȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ ǻ Ǽǯȱ ‘’œȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ ’œȱ Ÿ’Ž Žȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œž››Ž—ȱ ‘’‘ȱ œ™Ž—’—ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œȱ ŒŠ—ȱ ‹Žȱ Ž¡™•Š’—Žȱ žœœ’Šȱ Šœȱ Šȱ ›Žœ™˜—œŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž™•˜¢–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ˜›Ž’—ȱ Š•–˜œȱ Ž—’›Ž•¢ȱ ‹¢ȱ žœœ’ŠȂœȱ Œ˜––’–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ž—ȱ Šœȱ –’œœ’•ŽȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ¢œŽ–œǯȱ œȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ‘›žœȬ˜Ȭ Ž’‘ȱ ž••¢ȱ Šœȱ ™˜œœ’‹•Žȱ ‘Žȱ Š–‹’’˜žœȱ ŠŽȱ ›–Š–Ž—œȱ ›Š’˜ȱœ‘˜ž•ȱŠ••˜ ȱ‘ŽȱžœŽȱ˜ȱ’쎛Ž—ȱœ›’”Žȱ›Š“ŽŒ˜ - ›˜›Š––Žȱ ˜ȱ ŬŪŬŪǰȱ Šȱ •ŽŠœȱ ž›’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ꛜȱ ꟎ȱ ›’Žœǰȱ–Š”’—ȱ’ȱ‘Š›Ž›ȱŠ—ȱ–˜›ŽȱŽ¡™Ž—œ’ŸŽȱ˜ȱ’—Ž›ŒŽ™ǯȱ ¢ŽŠ›œȱ ǻŬŪūūȮūůǼǯȱ ›˜–ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜žœŽȱ ’ȱ Šœȱ Ž—Ÿ’œŠŽȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ œžŒ‘ȱ œȱ Š›Žȱ Šȱ ’œŠ—ȱ ™›˜œ™ŽŒǰȱ ’‘ȱ ‘ŠȱŠ•–˜œȱ˜—ŽȬ‘’›ȱ˜ȱ˜Š•ȱž—’—ȱǻ˜ȱ–˜›Žȱ‘Š—ȱ Š—Š•¢œœȱ ŠœœŽœœ’—ȱ •’Ĵ•Žȱ ™›˜›Žœœȱ •’”Ž•¢ȱ ‹Ž˜›Žȱ ŬŪŬŪǯȱ ŬŪ›ǰȱ ˜›ȱ Š›˜ž—ȱ ǞŮŭŰǯů‹—Ǽȱ ˜ž•ȱ ‹Žȱ Š••˜ŒŠŽȱ ‘ŽȱȂœȱŒž››Ž—ȱ˜Œžœȱ’œȱŽ™•˜¢’—ȱ‘Žȱ•’‘ǰȱœ˜•’Ȭ ž›’—ȱ ‘˜œŽȱ ꟎ȱ ¢ŽŠ›œDzȱ ŠŸŠ’•Š‹•Žȱ ŽŸ’Ž—ŒŽȱ ’—’ - žŽ•ȱȬŬŮȱ Yars ȱ–’œœ’•Žǰȱ’—ȱ›˜ŠȬ–˜‹’•ŽȱŠ—ȱœ’•˜Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ ŒŠŽœȱ‘Šȱ‘’œȱ ’••ȱ‹ŽȱŠŒ‘’ŽŸŽǰȱ—˜ ’‘œŠ—’—ȱ‘Žȱ ŸŽ›œ’˜—œǯȱ›˜‹•Ž–œȱ ’‘ȱœŽ›’Š•ȱ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Š•Ž›’—ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–¢ǯȱ ȱ ’œȱ ™˜œœ’‹•Žȱ ‘Šȱ ‘Žȱ ›Žœ˜•ŸŽǰȱ ’‘ȱ ‘›ŽŽȱ ›Ž’–Ž—œȱ Šȱ ˜—ŒŽȱ œŒ‘Žž•Žȱ ˜ȱ ”›Š’—Žȱ Œ˜—Ě’Œȱ Š—ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ œŠ—Œ’˜—œȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ›Ž’— - ‹Žȱ›ŽȬŽšž’™™Žȱ ’‘ȱ Yars ȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮǯȱ‘ŽȱȬŬŰǰȱŠȱ—Ž Ž›ȱ ˜›ŒŽȱ‘Žȱœ™Ž—’—ȱŒ˜––’–Ž—ȱ˜›ȱŬŪūůǰȱ‘˜ ŽŸŽ›ȱ ǰȱ’œȱ™•Š——Žȱ˜ȱŽ—Ž›ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ›˜–ȱŬŪūůǯ œ˜–Žȱ ™•Š——Žȱ ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ ˜›ȱ ŬŪūŰȱ Š—ȱ ŬŪūűȱ ‘Šœȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ™˜œ™˜—Žȱž—’•ȱŠȱ•ŠŽ›ȱŠŽǯȱ‘Žȱ›ŽŠœ˜—ȱ’ŸŽ—ȱ DEFENCE ECONOMICS Šœȱ‘Žȱ’—Š‹’•’¢ȱ˜ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ’—žœ›¢ȱ˜ȱŒ˜™Žȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱ•Š›ŽȱŸ˜•ž–Žȱ˜ȱ˜›Ž›œǯȱ‘’•Žȱ‘’œȱ’œȱŠȱ™•Šž - Defence Spending œ’‹•ŽȱŽ¡™•Š—Š’˜—ǰȱ’ȱ’œȱ•’”Ž•¢ȱ‘Šȱ‘Ž›Žȱ–Š¢ȱŠ•œ˜ȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ œȱ—˜Žȱ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ’•’Š›¢ȱŠ•Š—ŒŽȱŬŪūŮ ǰȱ‘Žȱ™Ž›ŒŽ—ŠŽȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱŒ˜—ŒŽ›—œȱ‘ŠȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ Šœȱ‹ŽŒ˜–’—ȱ˜˜ȱ‘ŽŠŸ¢ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ˜ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ ȱŽŸ˜Žȱ˜ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ™Ž—’—ȱ‘Šœȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Šȱ‹ž›Ž—ȱ˜—ȱ‘ŽȱœŠŽȱ‹žŽǯȱ˜—Ž‘Ž•Žœœǰȱ ’‘ȱœžŒ‘ȱ œŽŠ’•¢ȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœ’—ǰȱŠ—ȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮȱ’ȱ›˜œŽȱ˜ȱŠ•–˜œȱŭǯůƖȱ Šȱ •Š›Žȱ ‹žŽŠ›¢ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ ™•Š——Žȱ ˜›ȱ ŬŪūůǰȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ȱ ȱ›˜–ȱŭǯūůƖȱ‘Žȱ™›ŽŸ’˜žœȱ¢ŽŠ›ǯȱŒŒ˜›’—ȱ˜ȱ ™›˜‹•Ž–ȱ ˜ȱ •’–’Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȬ’—žœ›’Š•ȱ ŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ ’••ȱ ‘Žȱ›ŠȱŽŽ›Š•ȱ‹žŽȱœŽ—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠŽȱž–ŠȱŠȱ‘Žȱ •’”Ž•¢ȱ‹ŽȱŽ—Œ˜ž—Ž›Žȱž›’—ȱ‘Žȱ¢ŽŠ›ǯ Ž—ȱ˜ȱŽ™Ž–‹Ž›ǰȱ’—ȱŬŪūůȱ‘Ž›Žȱ ’••ȱ‹ŽȱŠȱ•Š›Žȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ ŒŒ˜›’—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Š›–Š–Ž—œȱ ™›˜›Š––Žǰȱ ‹¢ȱ ˜ȱ–˜›Žȱ‘Š—ȱŮǯŬƖȱ˜ȱ ǰȱŠ••’—ȱ˜ȱŭǯűƖȱ’—ȱŬŪūŰȱŠ—ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ŬŪŬŪȱ Šȱ •ŽŠœȱ űŪƖȱ ˜ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ’••ȱ ‹Žȱ ŭǯŰƖȱ’—ȱŬŪūűǯȱ‘ŽȱŽ•ŽŸŠŽȱ•ŽŸŽ•ȱ˜ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱœ™Ž—’—ȱ ȁ–˜Ž›—Ȃǰȱ Š•‘˜ž‘ȱ ‘Žȱ ™›ŽŒ’œŽȱ Žę—’’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘’œȱ ’—ȱŬŪūůǰȱŠ—ȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ’—ȱ›ŽŠ•ȱŽ›–œȱ˜ȱ–˜›Žȱ‘Š—ȱŬůƖǰȱ’œȱ ›Ž–Š’—œȱ ž—Œ•ŽŠ›ǯȱ ˜ȱ ŠŽǰȱ ’–™•Ž–Ž—Š’˜—ȱ ‘Šœȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Ž¡™•Š’—Žȱ’—ȱ™Š›ȱ‹¢ȱŠȱŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ’œ™Ž—œŽȱ ’‘ȱœŠŽȬ ž—ŽŸŽ—ȱǻœŽŽȱŠ‹•ŽȱŮǰȱ™ǯȱūŰűǼǯȱ‘’•Žȱ‘Žȱ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ žŠ›Š—ŽŽȱ Œ›Ž’œȱ Šœȱ Šȱ –ŽŠ—œȱ ˜ȱ ž—’—ȱ ‘Žȱ œŠŽȱ ˜ȱ—Ž ȱ’—Ž›Œ˜—’—Ž—Š•ȱ‹Š••’œ’Œȱ–’œœ’•Žœȱǻ œǼȱ‘Šœȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ˜›Ž›ǰȱ •’”Ž•¢ȱ ‹ŽŒŠžœŽȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ œŠ—Œ’˜—œȱ Ž—Ž›Š••¢ȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱœžŒŒŽœœž•ǰȱ‘’œȱ‘Šœȱ—˜ȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ‘ŽȱŒŠœŽȱ Russia and Eurasia 165

Real % Change (2013–14) 2014 Defence Spending (US$bn) Between 10% and 20% increase 70.05 Between 3% and 10% increase Between 0% and 3% increase 2.5 2 Between 0% and 3% decrease 1 Between 3% and 10% decrease .5 Insuf"cient data .01

[1] Map illustrating 2014 planned defence-spending levels (in US$ at market exchange rates), as well as the annual real percentage change in planned defence spending between 2013 and 2014 (at constant 2010 prices and exchange rates). Percentage changes in defence spending can vary considerably from year to year, as states revise the level of funding allocated to defence. Changes indicated Russia here highlight the short-term trend in planned defence spending between 2013 and 2014. Actual spending changes prior to 2013, and projected spending levels post-2014, are not re#ected.

Belarus

Ukraine Russia and Eurasia

Georgia Kyrgyzstan

Turkmenistan Tajikistan

Map 3 Russia and Eurasia Regional Defence Spending 1

˜›ȱ œž‹–Š›’—ŽȬ•Šž—Œ‘Žȱ ‹Š••’œ’ŒȬ–’œœ’•Žȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™ - Œ•ŽŠ›•¢ȱœŠŽȱ’—Ž—’˜—ȱ˜ȱ–˜Ž›ŠŽȱ‘Žȱ™ŠŒŽȱ˜ȱŠ›–Š - –Ž—ǰȱ žŽȱ ˜ȱ ™›˜‹•Ž–œȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ Bulava ȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ Š—ȱ –Ž—œȱ›Ž—Ž Š•ȱŠŽ›ȱŬŪŬŪǰȱ ’‘ȱ’œŒžœœ’˜—ȱŠ‹˜žȱ›Ž˜›’ - Ž•Š¢œȱ’—ȱ‹ž’•’—ȱŠ—ȱŒ˜––’œœ’˜—’—ȱ—Ž ȱ‹Š••’œ’ŒȬ Ž—Š’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ’—žœ›¢ȱ ˜ Š›œȱ –˜Ž›—’œ’—ȱ –’œœ’•Žȱœž‹–Š›’—Žœǯȱ —ȱŠ’’˜—ǰȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ’Ÿ’•’Š—ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–¢ǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž ȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ ŠĴŠŒ”ȱ œž‹–Š›’—Žœȱ Š—ȱ •Š›Žȱ œž›ŠŒŽȱ —ŠŸŠ•ȱ ŸŽœœŽ•œȱ •Š—œŒŠ™Žȱ –Š¢ȱ •ŽŠȱ ˜ȱ Šȱ ›Ž’—˜›ŒŽȱ Œ˜––’–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Šœȱ •ŠŽȱ ‹Ž‘’—ȱ œŒ‘Žž•Žǯȱ ›˜›Žœœ’ŸŽ•¢ȱ ›ŽŠŽ›ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ –˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ǰȱ Š•‹Ž’ȱ Šȱ Šȱ –˜›Žȱ –˜Ž›ŠŽȱ —ž–‹Ž›œȱ ˜ȱ —Ž ȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ Š’›Œ›Šȱ Š—ȱ ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œȱ ™ŠŒŽȱ‘Š—ȱ‘Žȱ™Šœȱ꟎ȱ¢ŽŠ›œǯ ‘ŠŸŽȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ›ŽŒŽ’ŸŽǰȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ’—›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱȬŮŪŪȱ Š’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ œ¢œŽ–ȱ ‘Šœȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ ™›˜ŒŽŽ’—ȱ œŽŠ’•¢ǰȱ Defence industry ‘˜ž‘ȱ‘Ž›ŽȱŠ›Žȱ˜ž‹œȱ ‘Ž‘Ž›ȱ‘Žȱ•ŽŸŽ•ȱ˜ȱŽŸŽ• - žœœ’ŠȂœȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ’—žœ›¢ȱ’œȱŽ¡™Ž›’Ž—Œ’—ȱ’–™›˜ŸŽȱ ˜™–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž ȱ ȬůŪŪȱ œ¢œŽ–ȱ ’••ȱ Š••˜ ȱ œ’—’ę - ž—’—ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œȱ žŽȱ ˜ȱ œžœŠ’—Žȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽœȱ ’—ȱ ˜›Ž›ȱ ŒŠ—ȱ ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ ‹Ž˜›Žȱ ŬŪŬŪǯȱ ‘Žȱ ›˜ž—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Ÿ˜•ž–Žœȱ’—ȱ›ŽŒŽ—ȱ¢ŽŠ›œǯȱŠ¢ȱ›ŠŽœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ›’œ’—ǰȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ›ŽŒŽ’ŸŽȱ •’Ĵ•Žȱ —Ž ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ –žŒ‘ȱ —˜ ȱ ™Ž›–’Ĵ’—ȱ ‹ŽĴŽ›ȱ ›ŽŽ—’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ ›ŽŒ›ž’–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ —Ž ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Ž™Ž—œȱ ˜—ȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž ȱ Armata- Œ•Šœœȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ǯȱ ‘Žȱ ˜›”˜›ŒŽȱ ’œȱ ˜—ŒŽȱ ŠŠ’—ȱ Ž¡™Š—’—ȱ ‘ŽŠŸ¢ȱŠ›–˜ž›ŽȬŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ™•Š˜›–ȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ Kurganets Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŸŽ›ŠŽȱ ŠŽȱ ‘Šœȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Š••’—ǯȱ —ŸŽœ–Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ Bumerang ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žȱ Š–’•’Žœǰȱ œŒ‘Žž•Žȱ ˜ȱ Ž—Ž›ȱ ‘Šœȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ œ‘Š›™•¢ǰȱ ‹˜˜œŽȱ ‹¢ȱ ‹˜‘ȱ ’–™›˜ŸŽȱ ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ’—ȱŬŪūůȮūŰǯ Œ˜–™Š—¢ȱŽŠ›—’—œȱŠ—ȱž—’—ȱž—Ž›ȱ‘ŽȱŒ•Šœœ’ꮍȱ —ȱ ž™ŠŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž¡’œ’—ȱ ŠŽȱ ›–Š–Ž—œȱ ™›˜›Š––Žȱ Ž—’•Žȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȬ ›˜›Š––Žȱ˜ȱŬŪŬůȱ’œȱž—Ž›ȱ Š¢ǰȱ ’‘ȱ‘ŽȱœŒ‘Žž•Žȱ —žœ›’Š•ȱ˜–™•Ž¡ȱ˜ȱŬŪŬŪǰȱ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱŠȱ—Ž ȱŸŽ›œ’˜—ȱ’œȱ ˜›ȱŬŪūŰȮŬůȱžŽȱ˜›ȱ™›Žœ’Ž—’Š•ȱŠ™™›˜ŸŠ•ȱ‹¢ȱ‘ŽȱŽ—ȱ ‹Ž’—ȱ›ŠŽǯȱŠ—¢ȱ’—žœ›’Š•ȱŽ—Ž›™›’œŽœȱ™›˜žŒ’—ȱ ˜ȱŬŪūůǯȱ‘Žȱ•ŠŒ”ȱ˜ȱŠ—ȱŠ™™›˜ŸŽȱ•˜—ȬŽ›–ȱŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ Ž—Ȭ™›˜žŒȱ Š›–Š–Ž—œǰȱ Žœ™ŽŒ’Š••¢ȱ ‘˜œŽȱ ™›’˜›’ - ˜›ŽŒŠœȱŠ—ȱ•˜—ȬŽ›–ȱ‹žŽȱœ›ŠŽ¢ȱ‘Šœȱ‘Š–™Ž›Žȱ ’œŽȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŽȱ›–Š–Ž—œȱ ›˜›Š––Žǰȱ Š›Žȱ —˜ ȱ ‘’œȱž™ŠŽǯȱŽ˜›Žȱ‘Žȱ”›Š’—ŽȱŒ˜—Ě’ŒǰȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ - ž—Ž›˜’—ȱ–Š“˜›ȱ–˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ȱŠ—ȱ›ŽȬŽšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ ›’˜›Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ›Ž•Š’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱŽœŽ›—ȱœŠŽœǰȱ‘Ž›Žȱ ŠœȱŠȱ –Š’—•¢ȱ ’‘ȱ’–™˜›Žȱ–ŠŒ‘’—Žȱ˜˜•œȱŠ—ȱ˜‘Ž›ȱŒŠ™’Š•ȱ 166 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

˜˜œǯȱ —ȱŠ’’˜—ǰȱ‘ŽȱŸ˜•ž–Žȱ˜ȱ›ŽœŽŠ›Œ‘ȱŠ—ȱŽŸŽ• - ˜™–Ž—ȱž—’—ȱ ’‘’—ǰȱŠ—ȱ˜›ǰȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ’—žœ›¢ȱ 3,500

‘Šœȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱœ’—’ęŒŠ—•¢ǰȱŠ—ȱ‹Šœ’ŒȱŽŽ—ŒŽȬœŽŒ˜›ȱ 3,000 ›ŽœŽŠ›Œ‘ȱ’œȱ‹Ž’—ȱ’—›˜žŒŽȱ ’‘’—ȱ‘Žȱ›Š–Ž ˜›”ȱ˜ȱ ‘Žȱž—ȱ˜›ȱŸŠ—ŒŽȱŽœŽŠ›Œ‘ǰȱ˜ž—Žȱ’—ȱŒ˜‹Ž›ȱ 2,500 ŬŪūŬǯ 2,000 - Š›—’—œȱ ›˜–ȱ Š›–œȱ Ž¡™˜›œȱ ™›˜Ÿ’Žȱ ‘Žȱ ™›’— 1,500 Œ’™Š•ȱœ˜ž›ŒŽȱ˜ȱž—’—ȱ˜›ȱ–Š—¢ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ’—žœ›’Žœȱ ž—’•ȱ ›ŽŒŽ—•¢ǰȱ ’‘ȱ žœœ’Šȱ œŽŒ˜—ȱ ˜—•¢ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ 1,000 Defence Expenditure (R bn) ’—ȱ Ž›–œȱ ˜ȱ œŠ•Žœȱ Ÿ˜•ž–Žǯȱ —ȱ ŬŪūŭǰȱ žœœ’Šȱ ›Ž™˜›Žȱ 500 Ǟūůǯű‹—ȱ’—ȱȁ–’•’Š›¢ȬŽŒ‘—’ŒŠ•ȱŒ˜˜™Ž›Š’˜—Ȃǰȱ‹žȱ˜ȱ 0 ‘’œȱ˜Š•ǰȱŽ—Ȭ™›˜žŒȱŠ›–œȱœŠ•ŽœȱŠŒŒ˜ž—Žȱ˜›ȱ˜—•¢ȱ 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Š›˜ž—ȱŰŪƖǰȱ‘Žȱ›Žœȱ‹Ž’—ȱœ™Š›ŽœǰȱŒ˜–™˜—Ž—œȱŠ—ȱ Sources: Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat), Russian Ministry of Finance, Federal –’•’Š›¢ȬœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽœȱ™›˜Ÿ’œ’˜—ǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ’‘ȱ˜–Žœ’Œȱ Treasury and State Duma. 1National defence expenditure "gures from 2005 to 2013 re#ect actual expenditure, "gure for 2014 ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ Š”’—ȱ ™›’˜›’¢ǰȱ œ˜–Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ Œ˜–™Š - re#ects the amended federal budget and "gures for 2015 to 2017 re#ect the draft national budget. —’ŽœȱŠ›ŽȱŽ—Œ˜ž—Ž›’—ȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŒ˜—œ›Š’—œǰȱŠ—ȱ’ȱ’œȱ •’”Ž•¢ȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ›˜ ‘ȱ˜ȱŠ›–œȱŽ¡™˜›œȱ ’••ȱ–˜Ž›ŠŽǯȱ Figure 9 Russia Defence Expenditure Trends ˜œ˜‹˜›˜—Ž¡™˜›ǰȱ›Žœ™˜—œ’‹•Žȱ˜›ȱŲůƖȱ˜ȱŽ¡™˜›œǰȱ’œȱ (2005–17)1 ˜›ŽŒŠœ’—ȱœŠ•Žœȱ˜ȱ•’Ĵ•Žȱ–˜›Žȱ‘Š—ȱǞūŭ‹—ȱ˜ŸŽ›ȱ‘Žȱ —Ž¡ȱ ˜ȱ˜ȱ‘›ŽŽȱ¢ŽŠ›œǰȱœ’–’•Š›ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŽ¡™˜›ȱŸ˜•ž–Žȱ ˜––’œœ’˜—ȱ ǻ Ǽǯȱ ‘’œȱ Œ˜––’œœ’˜—ǰȱ ž—•’”Žȱ ’œȱ ŠŒ‘’ŽŸŽȱ’—ȱŬŪūŭǯ ˜Ÿ’Žȱ ˜›Ž›ž——Ž›ǰȱ Šœȱ ™›’—Œ’™Š••¢ȱ Šȱ Œ˜˜›’—Š’—ȱ —ȱ ŬŪŪŰǰȱ ˜ŸŽ›œ’‘ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ’—žœ›¢ȱ Šœȱ ‹˜¢ǰȱ ’‘ȱ •’–’Žȱ Šž‘˜›’¢ȱ ˜ȱ ›Žœ˜•ŸŽȱ ’쎛Ž—ŒŽœȱ ‘Š—Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—Ȃœȱ ’•’Š›¢Ȭ —žœ›’Š•ȱ ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œ›¢ȱŠ—ȱ’—žœ›¢ǰȱ˜›ȱ ’‘’—ȱ

The crisis & Russia’s defence industry in 2014 The con&ict in Ukraine posed new problems for Russia’s require billions of dollars’ worth of investment, and will defence industry, in particular the decision by Ukraine’s likely take at least #ve to ten years to achieve. new president, Petro Poroshenko, to prohibit all military Sanctions imposed by the United States and the Euro- cooperation with Russia. While the overall volume of pean Union on the defence sector – including measures Ukrainian military deliveries to Russia has been relatively against speci#c Russian companies – are unlikely to have modest, there are several major dependencies that could a signi#cant impact on the implementation of the State create di$culties. The most signi#cant are Ukraine’s sig- Armaments Programme, principally because there has ni#cant role as a supplier of engines for some Russian- been no far-reaching defence-industrial integration with built helicopters and #xed-wing aircraft, the supply of Western states. More signi#cant threats to Russia’s mili- power units for ships (including some of the new surface tary-modernisation e"orts are moves by the West to re- vessels now being built under the State Armaments Pro- strict its access to dual-use technologies. Russia’s defence gramme) and the role of Ukrainian enterprises in keeping industry will likely be hard hit by a cessation of European Russia’s RS-20 (SS-18 Satan ) heavy ICBMs in operational electronic-component imports, and may come to rely use. The Russian government has either adopted an im- more heavily on and other Asian producers for sub- port substitution programme to secure domestic produc- stitutes. Russia’s ambitious programme to modernise its Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 tion of military materiel currently supplied by Ukraine, or defence-industrial production base will also be a"ected. it has turned to to augment supply chains. Addi- With few exceptions, the domestic machine-tool industry tionally, some Ukrainian aircraft- and shipbuilding-sector is unable to produce the advanced equipment required. workers are reported to have transferred to Russia follow- Consequently, Russian defence-industrial plants have ing the loss of their jobs, although the extent and impact been buying advanced machine tools and other produc- that this in&ux of skilled labour will have on Russian de- tion equipment in signi#cant quantities from leading fence production is unclear. Deputy Prime Minister Dmi- European, Japanese and US #rms, and the state-owned try Rogozin stated that Russia will need two to three years arms manufacturer Rostec Corporation has been organ- to achieve independence from Ukrainian inputs, but this ising joint enterprises with some of these companies in is probably overly optimistic. Full import substitution will Russia. Russia and Eurasia 167

Table 4 Russian Arms Procurement 2011–13 & Approximate State Armaments Programme 2020 Objectives 2014 State 2011 2012 2013 Defence Order Total to 2020 ICBMs 7 9 15* 15* 400+ SLBMs 20* 15* 15* Military Satellites a 9 6 15 100+ Fixed-wing aircraft 28 35 67 100 850* of which combat aircraft 16* 30* 45* 450* Helicopters 82 118 100 90* 1,120 of which combat helicopters 22 35 31 350* UAVs 15 4,000+ S-400 air-defence systems (divisions) 2 2 2 2 56 Strategic nuclear submarines 0 0 2 1 8 Multi-role nuclear submarines 0 0 0 1 7 Diesel-electric submarines 0 0 0 1 8 to 10 Surface combat shipsb 1 1 1 4 50 Russia and Eurasia 2,300+ Iskander missile systems (brigades) 2 2 10 *Estimates aTotal number, excluding failed launches; bMainly frigates and corvettes

‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ œŽŒ˜›ȱ ’œŽ•ǯȱ ›˜–ȱ ūŪȱ Ž™Ž–‹Ž›ȱ ŬŪūŮǰȱ Œ˜—’—žŽǰȱœžŒ‘ȱŠœȱ‘Žȱ˜–Žœ’Œȱ–Š—žŠŒž›Žȱž—Ž›ȱ ›Žœ™˜—œ’‹’•’¢ȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ ȱ™ŠœœŽȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ›Žœ’Ž—’Š•ȱ •’ŒŽ—ŒŽȱ ˜ȱ œ›ŠŽ•’ȱ ž—–Š——Žȱ ŠŽ›’Š•ȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœǯȱ ŽŒŽ—ȱ –’—’œ›Š’˜—ǰȱ ’‘ȱ ›Žœ’Ž—ȱ •Š’–’›ȱ ž’—ȱ Šœȱ ™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱŠ—ȱœ›ŠŽ’ŒȱŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—œȱ‘ŠŸŽȱœŽ›ŸŽȱ˜ȱ Œ‘Š’›™Ž›œ˜—ǰȱŽ™ž¢ȱ›’–Žȱ’—’œŽ›ȱ–’›¢ȱ˜˜£’—ȱ ›Ž’—˜›ŒŽȱ‘’œȱ›ŽŸŽ›œ’˜—ȱ˜ȱœŽ•Ȭ›Ž•’Š—ŒŽǯ ǻ™›ŽŸ’˜žœ•¢ȱŒ‘Š’›ǼȱŠœȱŽ™ž¢ȱŒ‘Š’›ȱŠ—ȱž›’’ȱ˜›’œ˜Ÿǰȱ Ž™ž¢ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œŽ›ȱ˜›ȱŠ›–Š–Ž—œǰȱŠœȱœŽŒ›ŽŠ›¢ǯȱ CENTRAL ASIA ȱ’œȱ•’”Ž•¢ȱ‘Šȱ‘’œȱ–˜ŸŽȱ ’••ȱ•ŽŠȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ ȱ‘ŠŸ’—ȱ ™˜ Ž›œȱ œ’–’•Š›ȱ ˜ȱ ‘˜œŽȱ Ž—“˜¢Žȱ ‹¢ȱ ’œȱ ˜Ÿ’Žȱ ˜›Ž - ‘Žȱ ›Ž—ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽœȱ ˜ȱ ›˜ ’—ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ’—Ž›Žœȱ ›ž——Ž›ǯȱŽ˜›Žȱ‘’œȱŽŒ’œ’˜—ǰȱ ˜ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•’œȱŠŽ—Œ’Žœȱ ’—ȱŽ—›Š•ȱœ’Š—ȱœŽŒž›’¢ǯȱ —ȱŠ¢ȱŬŪūŮǰȱ‘Žȱ Š£Š”‘ȱ ’—Ÿ˜•ŸŽȱ ’—ȱ Š›–œȱ ŠŒšž’œ’’˜—ȱ Ȯȱ ˜œ˜‹˜›˜—™˜œŠŸ”Šǰȱ Š›•’Š–Ž—ȱ›Š’ꮍȱ‘Žȱ ˜’—ȱ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ™›˜Œž›ŽœȱŠ‹˜žȱŠȱ‘’›ȱ˜ȱŠ••ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ‘Š› Š›Žȱ ’‘ȱžœœ’Šǯȱ‘’œȱ‘Šȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱœ’—Žȱ’—ȱŬŪūŭǰȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽŠ- ˜›ȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œ›¢ǰȱŠ—ȱ˜œ˜‹˜›˜—£Š”Š£ǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ šžŠ›Ž›œȱŠ›ŽȱžŽȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱ•˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱ•–Š¢ǯȱ —ȱŒ˜‹Ž›ȱ –˜—’˜›œȱ Š••ȱ ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ ŠŒ’Ÿ’¢ȱ Ȯȱ Ž›Žȱ ’œœ˜•ŸŽȱ ŬŪūŭǰȱŠ—ȱŠŽ›ȱŒ˜—œ’Ž›Š‹•ŽȱŽ•Š¢ǰȱŠ“’”’œŠ—Ȃœȱ™›Žœ’ - Š—ȱ ‘Ž’›ȱ ™˜ Ž›œȱ ›Š—œŽ››Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ Š—ȱ Ž—ȱ–˜–Š•’’ȱŠ‘–˜—ȱœ’—ŽȱŠȱŽŒ›ŽŽȱŒ˜—ę›–’—ȱ ’—žœ›¢ȱ–’—’œ›’ŽœǰȱŠ—ȱ˜ȱ˜‘Ž›ȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱŽ™Š›- ŠȱŭŪȬ¢ŽŠ›ȱŽ¡Ž—œ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ‹Šœ’—ȱ›’‘œȱ˜›ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱ –Ž—œǯȱ —ȱŽěŽŒǰȱ‘ŽœŽȱ–ŽŠœž›Žœȱ›Žœ˜›Žȱ”Ž¢ȱŽŠž›Žœȱ ŬŪūœȱ ˜˜›Ȭ›’ĚŽȱ ’Ÿ’œ’˜—ǯȱ ‘Žȱ ’Ÿ’œ’˜—ǰȱ ’‘ȱ œ˜–Žȱ ˜ȱ‘Žȱ˜Ÿ’Žȱœ¢œŽ–ȱ˜ȱŠ›–œȱ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ǯ űǰŪŪŪȱ ›˜˜™œǰȱ ’œȱ žœœ’ŠȂœȱ •Š›Žœȱ ˜›Ž’—ȱ Ž™•˜¢ - ‘Žȱ ™›ŽŸ’˜žœȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ –’—’œŽ›ǰȱ —Š˜•¢ȱ –Ž—ǰȱ –Š’—•¢ȱ Šȱ žœ‘Š—‹Žǰȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ žœœ’Šȱ –Š’— - Ž›¢ž”˜Ÿǰȱ‘ŠȱŠĴŽ–™Žȱ˜ȱŒ‘Š—Žȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–œȱŠŒšž’ - Š’—œȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱ ŠŒ’•’’Žœȱ ’—ȱ Š“’”’œŠ—ȱ Šȱ ž•˜‹ȱ Š—ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 œ’’˜—ȱ œ¢œŽ–ȱ ˜ȱ Ž—‘Š—ŒŽȱ ‘Žȱ ™˜ Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ž›‘˜—Ž™™Šǯȱ ŽŠ— ‘’•Žǰȱ ˜œŒ˜ ȱ ™›˜–’œŽȱ ˜ȱ –’—’œ›¢ȱ Šœȱ Šȱ Œžœ˜–Ž›ǰȱ ŽŠ”Ž—’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜–’—Š—ŒŽȱ Šœœ’œȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ–˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ“’”ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ‹¢ȱ ˜ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȬ’—žœ›¢ȱœž™™•’Ž›œȱȮȱŠȱ•ŽŠŒ¢ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ˜Ÿ’Žȱ ™›˜Ÿ’’—ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȬŽŒ‘—’ŒŠ•ȱŠœœ’œŠ—ŒŽǯȱ —ȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ǰȱ —’˜—ǯȱ ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱ˜™Ž—’—ȱž™ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–œȱ–Š›”Žȱ žœœ’ŠȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽȱ‘Žȱ›Ž’—˜›ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ˜ȱ Š—ȱ’›ȱŠœŽȱ ˜ȱ ˜›Ž’—ȱ ™Š›’Œ’™Š’˜—ǰȱ Œ‘Š••Ž—’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šȱ ’—ȱ ¢›¢£œŠ—ȱ ’‘ȱ ˜ž›ȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱ žȬŬůȱ Frogfoot ŠžŠ›”’Œȱ˜›’Ž—Š’˜—ǯȱ‘’œȱ—Ž ȱ™˜•’Œ¢ȱ Šœȱœ¢–‹˜•’œŽȱ ›˜ž—ȬŠĴŠŒ”ȱŠ’›Œ›Šǰȱ˜ȱ“˜’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽ’‘ȱŠ•›ŽŠ¢ȱ‘Ž›Žǯȱ ‹¢ȱ‘ŽȱŬŪūūȱŒ˜—›ŠŒȱ˜ȱ‹ž¢ȱ ˜ȱ Mistral ȬŒ•ŠœœȱŠ–™‘’‹ - žœœ’Šȱ ‘Šœȱ Š•œ˜ȱ ›’Žȱ ˜ȱ ™›˜Žœœ’˜—Š•’œŽȱ ‘Žȱ Ž™•˜¢- ’˜žœȬŠœœŠž•ȱ œ‘’™œȱ ›˜–ȱ ›Š—ŒŽǯȱ —Ž›ȱ ‘Žȱ Œž››Ž—ȱ –Ž—ǰȱ ‹¢ȱ œ‘’’—ȱ ’œȱ œŠĜ—ȱ œ›žŒž›Žȱ Š Š¢ȱ ›˜–ȱ –’—’œŽ›ǰȱ Ž›Ž’ȱ ‘˜’žǰȱ ‘’œȱ ™Š›’Š•ȱ ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•’ - Œ˜—œŒ›’™œȱ˜ Š›œȱŒ˜—›ŠŒȱœ˜•’Ž›œǯȱ ¢›¢£œŠ—ȱ’ȱ œŠ’˜—ȱ ‘Šœȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ ‘Š•Žǰȱ ’‘ȱ —˜ȱ —Ž ȱ ˜›Ž’—ȱ ŽŠ•œǰȱ —˜ȱ ˜ěŽ›ȱ ‘Žȱ —’Žȱ ŠŽœȱ Š—ȱ Ž¡Ž—œ’˜—ȱ ˜›ȱ ’œȱ ’›ȱ Š•‘˜ž‘ȱœ˜–ŽȱŒ˜—›ŠŒœȱ‘Šȱ‘Šȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱŠ›ŽŽȱ Ž›Žȱ ›Š—œ’ȱ Ž—Ž›ȱ Šȱ Š—Šœǰȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ‹ŠœŽȱ Œ•˜œŽȱ ˜—ȱ ŭȱ 168 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

ž—ŽȱŬŪūŮȱŠŽ›ȱ™›˜Ÿ’’—ȱœž™™˜›ȱ˜ȱȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ •Š’–’›ȱž’—ȱœž‹–’ĴŽȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱž–Šȱ˜›ȱ›Š’ęŒŠ’˜—ȱ ’—ȱ‘Š—’œŠ—ȱ˜›ȱ–˜›Žȱ‘Š—ȱūŬȱ¢ŽŠ›œǯȱ‘Ž›Žȱ’œȱœ™ŽŒ - ŠȱŬŪŪųȱŠ›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ˜ȱŒ›ŽŠŽǰȱŠŒŒ˜›’—ȱ˜ȱ˜œŒ˜ ǰȱȁŠȱ ž•Š’˜—ȱ Šœȱ ˜ȱ ‘Ž‘Ž›ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ ’œȱ œŽŽ”’—ȱ Š•Ž›—Š’ŸŽȱ œŽŒž›ŽȱŒ˜––Š—ȱœ¢œŽ–ȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŠ—ȱ›Žœ˜ž›ŒŽœȱ ‹Šœ’—ȱ›’‘œȱ’—ȱ£‹Ž”’œŠ—ǰȱ‹žȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ’–Žȱ‹Ž’—ȱŠȱ ˜ȱ‘Žȱ˜••ŽŒ’ŸŽȱŽŒž›’¢ȱ›ŽŠ¢ȱ›Š—’œŠ’˜—ȱŒ˜••ŽŒ - ŠŒ’•’¢ȱ Šȱ ˜–Š—’ŠȂœȱ ’‘Š’•ȱ ˜Š•—’ŒŽŠ—žȱ’›ȱ ŠœŽȱ ’ŸŽȱœŽŒž›’¢ȱœ¢œŽ–Ȃǯ ‘Šœȱ›Ž™•ŠŒŽȱ‘˜œŽȱ˜ěŽ›ŽȱŠȱŠ—Šœǯȱ —ȱ Šžž–—ȱ ŬŪūŮǰȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—Ȃœȱ ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™’—ȱ Ž—›Š•ȱœ’Š—ȱœŠŽœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ—˜ȱ™ž‹•’Œ•¢ȱŽ¡™›ŽœœŽȱ ›’ŠŽȱ ǻ  Ǽȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œŽȱ ˜›ȱ ‘Žȱ ꛜȱ ’–Žȱ ’—ȱ œ›˜—ȱ Ÿ’Ž œȱ ˜—ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ’—Ž›ŸŽ—’˜—ȱ ’—ȱ ”›Š’—Žǯȱ ž›˜™ŽǯȱȱŒ˜–™Š—¢Ȭ•ŽŸŽ•ȱŽ™•˜¢–Ž—ȱ Šœȱ›Ž‘ŽŠ›œŽǰȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—ǰȱ ’‘ȱŠȱŰǰŲŪŪ”–ȱ‹˜›Ž›ȱ ’‘ȱžœœ’ŠȱŠ—ȱŠȱ žœ’—ȱ Š£Š”‘ȱȬŬųůȱ›Š—œ™˜›ȱŠ’›Œ›ŠǰȱŠ—ȱ’—Ž›˜™Ž›Š - ŬůƖȱŽ‘—’ŒȬžœœ’Š—ȱ™˜™ž•Š’˜—ǰȱ’œȱ™›˜‹Š‹•¢ȱ‘Žȱ–˜œȱ ‹’•’¢ȱ›Š’—’—ȱ ’‘ȱȱž—’œȱ˜˜”ȱ™•ŠŒŽȱž›’—ȱ‘Žȱ ž—ŽŠœ¢Dzȱ‘˜ ŽŸŽ›ȱ’ȱ’œȱ’—ȱŠȱŸŽ›¢ȱ’쎛Ž—ȱŽ˜™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱ Steppe Eagle ȱŽ¡Ž›Œ’œŽȱŠȱ ˜’—ȱž•’—Š’˜—Š•ȱ˜––Š—ȱ œ’žŠ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—ŽȱŠ—ȱ‘ŠœȱŠȱŒ•˜œŽȱŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ›Ž•Š - ›Š’—’—ȱ Ž—›Žȱ ˜‘Ž—Ž•œǰȱ Ž›–Š—¢ǯȱ ŠŽȱ ’—ȱ ŬŪūŭǰȱ ’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱžœœ’Šȱ‘›˜ž‘ȱ‘ŽȱŽ–Ž›’—ȱž›Šœ’Š—ȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—ȱ™ŠœœŽȱŠȱ•Š ȱ˜ȱŽ—Š‹•Žȱ‘ŽȱŽ™•˜¢–Ž—ȱ Œ˜—˜–’Œȱ —’˜—ǯȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—Ȃœȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—œȱ Š›Žȱ ™Š›•¢ȱ ˜ȱ Š£Š”‘ȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ ˜—ȱ ȱ –’œœ’˜—œǰȱ Š—ǰȱ ’‘ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ Ȯȱ œŠ—Œ’˜—œȱ ‘Šȱ ŽŠ”Ž—ȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ Š–‹’’˜—œȱ ˜›ȱ —˜—Ȭ™Ž›–Š—Ž—ȱ ȱ ŽŒž›’¢ȱ ˜ž—Œ’•ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–¢ȱ’—’›ŽŒ•¢ȱ ŽŠ”Ž—ȱ’œȱ˜ —ǯȱ‘ŽȱŽ—Žȱ Šœȱ –Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ȱ’—ȱŬŪūűǰȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ȱ›ŽŠ’—œȱŠȱŽœ’›Žȱ˜ȱ ŽŸŠ•žŽȱ’—ȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ȱŬŪūŮȱŠ—ȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱŽ•Š¢œȱ˜ȱ ’–™›˜ŸŽȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ‘›˜ž‘ȱŽ—ŠŽ–Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱǯ ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ Šœ‘ŠŠ—ȱ˜’•ȱꎕǰȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ Š£Š”‘ȱ ‘Žȱ‘’›ȱ‹’Ž——’Š•ȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱšž’™–Ž—ȱ £˜—Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Šœ™’Š—ȱ ŽŠǰȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ ŠěŽŒȱ Œ˜—ꍮ—ŒŽȱ ’—ȱ ¡‘’‹’’˜—ȱ˜˜”ȱ™•ŠŒŽȱ’—ȱŠ¢ȱŬŪūŮǰȱ ’‘ȱ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—Š - ‘Žȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–¢ǯȱ ˜ —ž›—œȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–¢ȱ ’ŸŽœȱ˜ȱŬŪŲȱŒ˜–™Š—’Žœȱ›˜–ȱŬŲȱŒ˜ž—›’Žœȱ™Š›’Œ’™Š’—ǯȱ Š•œ˜ȱ ™Š›’Œž•Š›•¢ȱ ŠěŽŒȱ Š“’”’œŠ—ǰȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Š™™›˜¡’ - ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ –’—’œ›¢ȱ Ž–˜—œ›ŠŽȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—Ȃœȱ –ŠŽ•¢ȱůŪƖȱ˜ȱ ȱŒ˜—œ’œœȱ˜ȱ›Ž–’ĴŠ—ŒŽœȱ™›˜Ÿ’Žȱ •Š—ȱ Š—ȱ Š’›ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ Š›Žȱ œ’••ȱ ‹ŠœŽȱ ˜—ȱ ‹¢ȱ–’›Š—ȱ•Š‹˜ž›ȱ’—ȱžœœ’Šǯ žœœ’Š—Ȭ‹ž’•ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ Š—ȱ –ŠŽȱ Œ•ŽŠ›ȱ Š—ȱ Š–‹’ - ‘Žȱ’–™ŠŒȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŽ—ȱ˜ȱȂœȱŒ˜–‹Šȱ˜™Ž›Š - ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ’–™›˜ŸŽȱ ‘Žȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȂȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǯȱ ‘Žȱ ’˜—œȱ’—ȱ‘Š—’œŠ—ȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ›Š ˜ —ȱ˜ȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ ˜Š•ȱ˜ȱŽŸŽ•˜™ȱ“˜’—ȱŸŽ—ž›Žœȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱœŠŽȬ˜ —Žȱ Š—ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ˜ȱ ‹Žȱ ’œŒžœœŽȱ ’—ȱ Ž—›Š•ȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—ȱ—’—ŽŽ›’—ȱŠ—ȱŽœŽ›—ȱŒ˜–™Š—’Žœȱ˜ȱ œ’Šǯȱ ž›”–Ž—’œŠ—ȱ Š—ȱ £‹Ž”’œŠ—ǰȱ ‹˜›Ž›’—ȱ Ž—Š‹•Žȱ ŽŒ‘—˜•˜¢ȱ ›Š—œŽ›ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽœǰȱ ‹žȱ Ž¡ŒŽœœ’ŸŽȱ ‘Š—’œŠ—ǰȱ–Š¢ȱŽŽ•ȱ‘ŽȱŽěŽŒȱ˜ȱŠ—¢ȱ˜—˜’—ȱ’—œŠ - •ŽŸŽ•œȱ ˜ȱ ‹ž›ŽŠžŒ›ŠŒ¢ȱ Š—ȱ Šȱ —ž–‹Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ ‘’‘Ȭ™›˜ę•Žȱ ‹’•’¢ȱ –˜›Žȱ ‘Š—ȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—Dzȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ ‘Žȱ ›ŽŠŽœȱ Œ˜››ž™’˜—ȱ ŒŠœŽœǰȱ –˜œȱ —˜’ŒŽŠ‹•¢ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—Ÿ’Œ - ’–™ŠŒȱ ’••ȱ ‹Žȱ Ž•ȱ ’—ȱ Š“’”’œŠ—ǰȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Šȱ ™˜›˜žœȱ ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ Šȱ Ž™ž¢ȱ –’—’œŽ›ȱ ˜ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽǰȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ›Žœž•Žȱ ūǰŮŪŪ”–ȱ‹˜›Ž›ȱ ’‘ȱ‘Š—’œŠ—ȱ–Š”ŽœȱŒ˜–‹Š’—ȱ ’—ȱ Œ˜–™Š—’Žœȱ ›˜–ȱ ˜žœ’Žȱ ‘Žȱ ˜––˜— ŽŠ•‘ȱ ˜ȱ —Š›Œ˜’Œœȱ ›ŠĜŒ”’—ȱ Šȱ ™Š›’Œž•Š›ȱ Œ‘Š••Ž—Žǯȱ —ȱ ž—Žȱ —Ž™Ž—Ž—ȱŠŽœȱŽ¡Ž›Œ’œ’—ȱŒŠž’˜—ǯ ŬŪūŮȱ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱž›‘Ž›ȱž—›Žœȱ’—ȱ ˜›—˜ȬŠŠ”‘œ‘Š—ȱ ž˜—˜–˜žœȱ›˜Ÿ’—ŒŽǰȱ ’‘ȱ’œž›‹Š—ŒŽœȱ›Ž•ŠŽȱ˜ȱ UKRAINE ‘Žȱ—Š›Œ˜’Œœȱ›ŠŽǰȱ™›˜–™’—ȱŽŠ›œȱ˜ȱŠŒ’˜—ȱ‹¢ȱŠ“’”ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱŠœȱ‘Š™™Ž—Žȱ’—ȱŬŪūŭǯ ‘ŽȱŒ›’œ’œȱ’—ȱ”›Š’—Žȱž›’—ȱŬŪūŮȱŠ•Ž›Žȱ‘Žȱž›˜™ŽŠ—ȱ žœœ’ŠȱŒ˜—’—žŽœȱ˜ȱ™›˜–˜Žȱ‘Žȱ˜••ŽŒ’ŸŽȱŽŒž›’¢ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ•Š—œŒŠ™Žǰȱ‹›’—’—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ˜›ŽȱŠ—Š˜—’œ–ȱ ›ŽŠ¢ȱ›Š—’£Š’˜—ȱǻǼȱŠœȱŠȱ–ŽŠ—œȱ˜ȱ›ŽŠŒ‘’—ȱ ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱžœœ’ŠȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽȱŽœȱ—˜ȱœŽŽ—ȱœ’—ŒŽȱ‘Žȱ˜•ȱ •˜ Ȭ•ŽŸŽ•ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ Š›ŽŽ–Ž—œȱ ’—ȱ Ž—›Š•ȱ œ’Šǯȱ Š›ǯȱ‘Žȱ‹›˜ŠŽ›ȱ™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱŠ—ȱŽŒ˜—˜–’ŒȱŠŒ˜›œȱ‘Šȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ‘Žȱ’œ™Š›’¢ȱ’—ȱŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ ŽŠ•‘ȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱ ‘Šȱ˜›ȱœ˜–Žȱ¢ŽŠ›œȱŽȱ‘’œȱ›˜ ’—ȱ’œ›žœȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ‘Žȱ ꟎ȱ Ž—›Š•ȱ œ’Š—ȱ œŠŽœȱ ‘Šœȱ •Žȱ ˜ȱ ’쎛’—ȱ Ž˜™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱ •ŽŸŽ•ȱ Š›Žȱ Š—Š•¢œŽȱ ’—ȱ Strategic Survey —Š’˜—Š•ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǰȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ™›˜›Š––Žȱ ŬŪūŮ ȱǻ™™ǯȱūůūȮŰŮǼǰȱ‹žȱ‘ŽȱŒ›’œ’œȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱŠœȱŠȱ˜–Žœ’Œȱ ˜ȱ ȱ œž––’œǰȱ –ŽŽ’—œȱ Š—ȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œŽœȱ ™•ŠŒŽœȱ ™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱ ’œ™žŽȱ ’—ȱ ”›Š’—Žȱ ’—ȱ ›Žœ™˜—œŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž–Š—œȱ ˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ •’–’Žȱ ›Žœ˜ž›ŒŽœȱ ˜ȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—ǰȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȂœȱŠ’•ž›Žȱ˜ȱœ’—ȱŠ—ȱŽ¡™ŽŒŽȱœœ˜Œ’Š’˜—ȱ ¢›¢£œŠ—ȱ Š—ȱ Š“’”’œŠ—ǯȱ ǻ£‹Ž”’œŠ—ȱ œžœ™Ž—Žȱ ›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ Š—ȱ Œž•–’—ŠŽȱ ’—ȱ Šȱ Œ¢Œ•Žȱ –Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ȱ ’—ȱ ŬŪūŭȱ Š—ȱ ž›”–Ž—’œŠ—ȱ ‘Šœȱ —ŽŸŽ›ȱ ˜ȱŽœŒŠ•Š˜›¢ȱŸ’˜•Ž—ŒŽȱ‘Šȱ•Žȱ˜—ȱūųȮŬŪȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ȱ˜ȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Šȱ –Ž–‹Ž›ǯǼȱ ¡Ž›Œ’œŽȱ œŒŽ—Š›’˜œȱ Š›Žȱ Ž—Ž›Š••¢ȱ œ˜–ŽȱűŪȱŠ—’Ȭ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ™›˜ŽœŽ›œȱ‹Ž’—ȱ”’••Žǯ Š—’ȬŽ››˜›’œȬ›Ž•ŠŽǰȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ ’ȱ ›Ž–Š’—œȱ ž—•’”Ž•¢ǰȱ œȱ œŠŽȱ Šž‘˜›’¢ȱ Œ˜••Š™œŽǰȱ ›Žœ’Ž—ȱ ’”˜›ȱ Š—Š•¢œœȱ ŠœœŽœœǰȱ ‘Šȱ ȱ ǻ‘Žȱ ȱ ˜••ŽŒ’ŸŽȱ Š—ž”˜Ÿ¢Œ‘ȱ ̎ȱ ’ŽŸǰȱ ŽŸŽ—ȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ Šȱ Ŭūȱ Ž‹›žŠ›¢ȱ Š™’ȱ ŽŠŒ’˜—ȱ ˜›ŒŽǼȱ ’••ȱ Šœœ’œȱ Š“’”’œŠ—ȱ ’‘ȱ Š›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ‹›˜”Ž›Žȱ‹¢ȱ‘ŽȱȱŠ—ȱžœœ’ŠǰȱŽœ’—Žȱ ‘Š—ȱ‹˜›Ž›ȱŒ˜—›˜•ǯȱ —ȱŽ™Ž–‹Ž›ȱŬŪūŮȱ›Žœ’Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ›Žž›—ȱ”›Š’—Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŬŪŪŮȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—ǰȱ–ŽŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ Russia and Eurasia 169

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Russia

Ukraine

Dzhankoy

CRIMEA 12–14 Mar

Kerch

9 Mar 6 Mar 15 Mar Ferry Yevpatoriya crossing Novofedorovka Gvardeiskoye Fedosiya 28 Feb Simferopol

22 Mar Kacha 1 Mar 24 Mar

Belbek air base Russia and Eurasia 27 Feb Sevastopol Main roads 1 Mar Yalta Main railroads 9 Mar

27 Feb Pro-Russian militia seize govt buildings 6 Mar Ochakov Kara-class scuttled to 15 Mar S-300PS SAM deployed in Crimea at including the parliament (Simferopol); VDV, block entrance to Black Sea Gvardeiskoye Spetsnaz and other Special Operations Forces 9 Mar Ukrainian naval air base at Novofedor- 19 Mar Russian forces take control of involved; Azov landing ship unloads Marines ovka in Russian hands; Bastion-P deployed remaining military bases and vessels 28 Feb Crimean aiports, including Simferopol, (identi"ed in Sevastopol) 22 Mar Belbek under Russian control seized; Belbek airport runway blocked; 12 Mar 18th Independent Motor-ri#e Brigade 24 Mar Special Operations Forces seize 1st 3 Mi-8 and 8 Mi-35M land at Kacha air base; enters Crimea via Kerch ferry crossing (with Marines in Fedosiya Il-76s land at Gvardeiskoye BTR-82A) 25 Mar Following the capture of the ship 1 Mar Spetsnaz brigade arrives in Simferopol; 13 Mar train with military equipment enters Cherkassy Russia secures military control of four Russian landing ships dock at Sevastopol Crimea via Kerch Crossing Crimea with more Spetsnaz 14 Mar 291st Artillery Brigade in Crimea via 5 Mar Additional Spetsnaz, VDV, Special Kerch Operations Forces arrive Map 4 Russia Seizes Crimea

Œ˜ž•ȱ‘ŠŸŽȱœŠ¢Žȱ’—ȱ™˜ Ž›ȱž—’•ȱŠȱ•ŽŠœȱŽŒŽ–‹Ž›ǯȱ The seizure of Crimea —ȱŠȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—Š••¢ȱŒ˜—›˜ŸŽ›œ’Š•ȱ–˜ŸŽǰȱ™Š›•’Š–Ž—ȱ ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱ˜ȱŽ™•˜¢ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ˜ȱ›’–ŽŠȱ Šœȱ Ÿ˜Žȱ˜—ȱŬŬȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ȱ˜ȱ›Ž–˜ŸŽȱ‘’–ȱ›˜–ȱ˜ĜŒŽȱŠ—ȱ ›’ŸŽ—ȱ‹¢ȱŽŠ›ȱ˜ȱ•˜œ’—ȱ’œȱ•ŠŒ”ȱŽŠȱ•ŽŽȱ‹ŠœŽǰȱ‹žȱ Œ‘Š—Žȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ǰȱ‹žȱ‘’œȱ—Ž ȱŠ–’—’œ›Š’˜—ȱ ’ȱ ŠœȱŠ•œ˜ȱŠ—ȱŠĴŽ–™ȱ˜ȱŒ˜Ž›ŒŽȱ ’ŽŸȱ’—˜ȱŠŒŒ˜––˜ - œ’—’ęŒŠ—•¢ȱœ‘’Žȱ‘Žȱ‹Š•Š—ŒŽȱ˜ȱ’—Ž›—Š•ȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ Š’—ȱ‹›˜ŠŽ›ȱžœœ’Š—ȱŽ–Š—œǯȱ—ȱŬűȮŬŲȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ǰȱ ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—Š’˜—ǯȱ ˜Ȭ‘’›œȱ˜ȱŠ—ž”˜Ÿ¢Œ‘Ȃœȱ ˜œŽ—œ’‹•¢ȱ™›˜Ȭžœœ’Šȱ–’•’’Š–Ž—ǰȱŽœŒ›’‹ŽȱŠœȱȁ•˜ŒŠ•ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Š–’—’œ›Š’˜—ȱ‘Š’•Žȱ›˜–ȱ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱœ˜ž‘ȱŠ—ȱŽŠœǯȱ œŽ•ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ˜›ŒŽœȂǰȱœŽ’£Žȱ‘Žȱ™Š›•’Š–Ž—ȱ‹ž’•’—ȱ’—ȱ ¢ȱ Œ˜—›Šœǰȱ ŰŪƖȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —Ž ȱ Š–’—’œ›Š’˜—ȱ ŒŠ–Žȱ ’–Ž›˜™˜•ǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱȁ’ȱ Šœȱ˜‹Ÿ’˜žœȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ˜™Ž› - ›˜–ȱ‘Žȱ Žœȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—Žǯȱ Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ œŽ’£Žȱ ‘Žȱ ›’–ŽŠ—ȱ ™Š›•’Š–Ž—ȱ Šœȱ ŒŠ››’Žȱ žœœ’ŠȂœȱ •ŽŠŽ›œ‘’™ȱ ›ŽŠ›Žȱ ŽŸŽ—œȱ ’—ȱ ’ŽŸȱ Šœȱ ˜žȱ‹¢ȱŠ—ȱž—’Ž—’ꮍȱ‹žȱŸŽ›¢ȱ™›˜Žœœ’˜—Š•ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ Šȱ Œ˜ž™ǰȱ Š—ȱ ŽŠ›Žȱ ‘Šȱ ‘’œȱ —Ž ȱ Š–’—’œ›Š’˜—ȱ Šœ”ȱ˜›ŒŽȂǰȱŠŒŒ˜›’—ȱ˜ȱŠ—Š•¢œœȱŠȱ˜œŒ˜ ȂœȱŽ—›Žȱ ˜ž•ȱ–˜ŸŽȱ”›Š’—Žȱ›Š™’•¢ȱ˜ Š›œȱȱŠ—ȱȱ ˜›ȱ —Š•¢œ’œȱ ˜ȱ ›ŠŽ’Žœȱ Š—ȱ ŽŒ‘—˜•˜’Žœǯȱ Š›Ž›ȱ –Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ǯȱ ˜œŒ˜ ȱ Šœȱ Š•œ˜ȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—Žȱ ˜›ȱ ‘Žȱ ›˜ž™œȱ˜ȱž—’Ž—’ꮍȱ›˜˜™œȱ’—ȱž—–Š›”Žȱž—’˜›–œǰȱ žž›Žȱ˜ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱ•ŠŒ”ȱŽŠȱ•ŽŽǰȱ‘ŽŠšžŠ›Ž›ŽȱŠȱ ‘˜ȱ˜˜”ȱž™ȱ™˜œœȱ˜žœ’Žȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ‹ŠœŽœȱ ŽŸŠœ˜™˜•ȱ’—ȱ›’–ŽŠǯȱ˜›ȱ›Žœ’Ž—ȱ•Š’–’›ȱž’—ǰȱ Š—ȱ ”Ž¢ȱ ’—›Šœ›žŒž›Žȱ •˜ŒŠ’˜—œǰȱ Ž›Žȱ Š•œ˜ȱ Œ•ŽŠ›•¢ȱ ‘Žȱȁ’—Ž›Žœœȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ—Š’˜—ȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ Ž••ȱ Žšž’™™Žǰȱ ˜›Š—’œŽȱ Š—ȱ ‘’‘•¢ȱ ›Š’—ŽDzȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ œŠŽȂȱ Ž›ŽȱŠȱœŠ”Žǯ Ž›ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ›˜˜™œǰȱŠȱ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱ‘Šȱ ŠœȱŽ—’Žȱ 170 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

‹¢ȱ˜œŒ˜ ȱž—’•ȱ™›’•ǯȱŽŠ›•¢ȱŠ••ǰȱŠ—Š•¢œœȱ‹Ž•’ŽŸŽǰȱ •˜ ǰȱ Œ˜—œ’œŽ—•¢ȱ Šȱ Š›˜ž—ȱ ūƖȱ ˜ȱ ȱ ’—ȱ ›ŽŒŽ—ȱ Ž›Žȱ ›˜–ȱ Ž•’Žȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•Ȭ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ ›˜ž™œȱ ›˜–ȱ ‘Žȱ ¢ŽŠ›œǯȱ ‘’•Žȱ ‘Žȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽœȱ œžěŽ›Žȱ ›˜–ȱ ’—ŠŽšžŠŽȱ ˜ž‘Ž›—ȱ’•’Š›¢ȱ’œ›’ŒȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ’›‹˜›—ŽȱœœŠž•ȱ ꗊ—Œ’—ǰȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ›Ž˜›–œȱ Ž›Žȱ Š•œ˜ȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—•¢ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ ǻǼǰȱ œ˜–Žȱ ’—œŽ›Žȱ Œ˜ŸŽ›•¢ȱ ’—ȱ ŠŸŠ—ŒŽǰȱ ž—Ž›ž—Žǯȱ‘Žȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œ›¢ȱ—˜Žȱ ’‘ȱ ˜‘Ž›œȱ œž‹œŽšžŽ—•¢ȱ Ž™•˜¢Žȱ ’—ȱ ŠŸŽœȱ ˜ȱ ’—ȱ Šȱ ŬŪūŬȱ ‘’Žȱ ™Š™Ž›ȱ ‘Šȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŠ”—Žœœȱ ’—ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ›˜Š›¢Ȭȱ Š—ȱ ę¡ŽȬ ’—ȱ Š’›•’ǯȱ Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ Ž›Žȱ Š•œ˜ȱ •Ž’œ•Š’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ ’—œžĜŒ’Ž—ȱ ‹žŽȱ ŠěŽŒŽȱ ›Š’—’—ǰȱ Žœ™ŠŒ‘Žȱ›˜–ȱ‘Žȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—Š—›¢ȱž—’œȱŒ˜Ȭ•˜ŒŠŽȱ ›ŽŠ’—ŽœœȱŠ—ȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ǯȱ›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱŠ›Žœȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱ•ŠŒ”ȱŽŠȱ•ŽŽǯ Ž›Žȱ›˜ž’—Ž•¢ȱ–’œœŽȱŠ—ȱ™•Š—œȱ˜ȱŽ—ȱŒ˜—œŒ›’™’˜—ȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ Šȱ ‹ŠœŽœȱ ’—ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ ‹¢ȱŬŪūūȱ Ž›Žȱ—˜ȱŠŒ‘’ŽŸŽǯȱ‘’œȱ™•Š—ȱ Šœȱ›ŽŸ’ŸŽȱ’—ȱ Ž›Žȱ ’—œ›žŒŽȱ ‹¢ȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ ˜ȱ ŽŽŒǰȱ ŬŪūŭǰȱŠ—ȱ’ȱ ŠœȱŽŒ•Š›Žȱ‘Šȱ‘ŽȱŠžž–—ȱ›Šȱ ˜ž•ȱ ’œŠ›–ȱ ˜›ȱ œž››Ž—Ž›ȱ ‹žǰȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ Š›—’—ȱ œ‘˜œȱ ‹Žȱ ‘Žȱ •Šœǯȱ —œž›™›’œ’—•¢ǰȱ Œ˜—œŒ›’™’˜—ȱ Šœȱ ›Ž’— - Ž›Žȱꛎǰȱ—Ž’‘Ž›ȱœ’ŽȱŽ—ŠŽȱ’—ȱŒ˜–‹Šǯȱžœœ’Š—ȱ œŠŽȱ’—ȱŠ¢ȱŬŪūŮǰȱŠŽ›ȱꐑ’—ȱ‹›˜”Žȱ˜žȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŠœǯ ›˜˜™œȱ Ž›Žȱ ŽŸ’Ž—•¢ȱ ž—Ž›ȱ ’—œ›žŒ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œŽȱ œȱ ˜ȱ ŽŠ›•¢ȱ ŬŪūŮǰȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Ž›Žȱ ꛎȬŒ˜—›˜•ȱŠ—ǰȱŠœȱŠ›ȱŠœȱ™˜œœ’‹•ŽǰȱœŽŒž›Žȱ˜‹“ŽŒ’ŸŽœȱ œ‘˜ ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽěŽŒœȱ˜ȱŒž–ž•Š’ŸŽȱž—’—ȱ›ŽžŒ’˜—œȱ ’‘˜žȱ ‹•˜˜œ‘Žǯȱ ŽŠ— ‘’•Žǰȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ Š—ȱ Œ‘Š—Žœȱ ’—ȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ ™›’˜›’’Žœȱ Š Š¢ȱ ›˜–ȱ ›Ž™˜›Ž•¢ȱ ›ŽŒŽ’ŸŽȱ Œ˜—Ě’Œ’—ȱ ˜›ȱ —˜ȱ ˜›Ž›œȱ ›˜–ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽǯȱ’›Œ›ŠȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹’•’¢ȱŠ—ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽŠ‹’•’¢ȱ•ŽŸŽ•œȱ Šȱ –’—’œ›¢ȱ ’—ȱ ’ŽŸȱ ‘Šȱ Šœȱ ˜ž‹•Žœœȱ œ›ž•’—ȱ ˜ȱ Ž›Žȱ•˜ ǰȱŠœȱ Ž›ŽȱĚ¢’—ȱ‘˜ž›œǯȱ‘’•Žȱ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ˜—ȱ Œ˜–Žȱ˜ȱŽ›–œȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱœž›™›’œŽȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ǰȱŠœȱ Ž••ȱŠœȱ ™Š™Ž›ȱ Š—ȱ ’–™›Žœœ’ŸŽȱ —ž–‹Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ ’ ȬŬųȱ Š—ȱ žȬŬűȱ ˜›”’—ȱ˜ȱž—™’Œ”ȱŽŠ’•œȱŠ‹˜žȱ‘Žȱœ›Ž—‘ǰȱ˜‹“ŽŒ- Œ˜–‹Šȱ Š’›Œ›Šǰȱ ™›˜‹•Ž–œȱ ’‘ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽŠ‹’•’¢ȱ Š—ȱ Šȱ ’ŸŽœȱŠ—ȱ‹›˜ŠŽ›ȱ’—Ž—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ’—ŸŠ’—ȱ˜›ŒŽDzȱŠ••ȱ‘’œȱ ™˜•’Œ¢ȱ˜ȱ”ŽŽ™’—ȱŠȱœ’—’ęŒŠ—ȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱ˜ȱŠ’››Š–Žœȱ Š–’ȱ Šȱ ›ŽŸ˜•ž’˜—Š›¢ȱ œ’žŠ’˜—ȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŒŠ™’Š•ȱ Š—ȱ Šȱ ’—ȱœ˜›ŠŽȱ–ŽŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ˜Š•ȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹•ŽȱŒ˜–‹Šȱ̎Žȱ Šœȱ —Ž •¢ȱ ’—œŠ••Žȱ ŒŠ‹’—Žǯȱ —Ž›—Š’˜—Š••¢ǰȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ –žŒ‘ȱœ–Š••Ž›Dzȱ‘’œȱ Šœȱ•Š’ȱ‹Š›Žȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱœ’žŠ’˜—ȱŠȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ˜ĜŒ’Š•œȱ ‘Šȱ ˜ȱ Œ˜—Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—’’ŸŽȱ Ž•‹Ž”ǰȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ˜—•¢ȱŠȱ•’–’Žȱ™›˜™˜›’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱę¡ŽȬ ’œœ˜—Š—ŒŽȱ Œ›ŽŠŽȱ ‹¢ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—’—žŠ•ǰȱ ’ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœ’—•¢ȱ ’—ȱŒ˜–‹ŠȬŠ’›Œ›Šȱ̎Žȱ Šœȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ȱŠȱŠ—¢ȱ˜—Žȱ ž—Œ˜—Ÿ’—Œ’—ǰȱŽ—’Š•œȱ›˜–ȱ˜œŒ˜ ȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱœ˜ȬŒŠ••Žȱ ’–Žǯ ȁ•’Ĵ•Žȱ›ŽŽ—ȱ–Ž—Ȃȱ Ž›Žȱ’—ȱŠŒȱžœœ’Š—ȱ›˜˜™œǯ —Ž›ȱ ’—Ž—œŽȱ ™›Žœœž›Žǰȱ œ˜–Žȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ Con"ict in Ukraine’s east ŽŽŒŽȱ ‘’•Žȱ ˜‘Ž›œȱ ’œŠ›–Žȱ Š—ȱ ŽŸŽ—žŠ••¢ȱ •Žȱ ȱ Œ˜—Ž—’˜žœȱ ™•Ž‹’œŒ’Žȱ ˜—ȱ ūŰȱ Š›Œ‘ǰȱ ’—ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ Šȱ ›’–ŽŠǯȱ ˜–Žȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œȱ ‘Šȱ –Š—ŠŽȱ ›Ž™˜›Žȱ ųűƖȱ ˜ȱ Ÿ˜Ž›œȱ ‹ŠŒ”Žȱ ž—’˜—ȱ ’‘ȱ žœœ’Šǰȱ ˜ȱ •ŽŠŸŽȱ Ž•‹Ž”ȱ Š’›ȱ ‹ŠœŽǰȱ ‹žȱ ˜‘Ž›ȱ Š’›Œ›Šȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ Šœȱ ȁ‘Ž•ȱ ž—Ž›ȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŒ‘ž•ȱ Ž¢Žȱ ˜ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ —˜ȱ ‹ŽŒŠžœŽȱ ‘Žȱ ›ž— Š¢ȱ ‘Šȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ ‹•˜Œ”Žǯȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ’—ȱž—–Š›”Žȱž—’˜›–œȂǯȱ ȱ Šœȱ˜••˜ Žȱ ’—Œ•žŽȱ ’ ȬŬųȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ Š’›Œ›ŠDzȱ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ ‘Š•ȱ ˜ȱ ꟎ȱŠ¢œȱ•ŠŽ›ȱ‹¢ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱŠ——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ›’–ŽŠ—ȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ’ ȬŬųȱ̎Žȱ‘Šȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱœŠ’˜—ŽȱŠȱŽ•‹Ž”ǯȱ ™Ž—’—œž•Šǯȱ ›˜ ’—ȱ ’™•˜–Š’Œȱ Š—ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ ™›Žœ - ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—œȱ•ŠŽ›ȱŠ••˜ Žȱœ˜–Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽœŽȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ˜ȱ œž›Žȱ ˜—ȱ žœœ’Šȱ ŠŽ›ȱ ‘’œǰȱ Œ˜ž™•Žȱ ’‘ȱ ’—Ž—œ’ - •ŽŠŸŽȱ‹¢ȱ›˜ŠȱŒ˜—Ÿ˜¢ǰȱ ‘’•Žȱ˜‘Ž›ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱœž™™•’Žœǰȱ ꎍȱ ŽœŽ›—ȱ ˜ŸŽ›ž›Žœȱ ˜ȱ ”›Š’—Žǰȱ •Žȱ ˜œŒ˜ ȱ ˜ȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱŠ›–˜ž›ŽȱŸŽ‘’Œ•ŽœȱŠ—ȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œǰȱ Ž›Žȱ ›ŠŒ‘Žȱ ž™ȱ ™›Žœœž›Žȱ ˜—ȱ ’ŽŸǯȱ —Š™ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ’—œ™ŽŒ - Š•œ˜ȱ›Žž›—Žȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—Žǯȱ‘Žȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ˜Šœȱ žŠ›ȱ ’˜—œȱ Ž›Žȱ•Šž—Œ‘Žȱ“žœȱ˜ŸŽ›ȱ‘Žȱ‹˜›Ž›ȱŠȱ‘ŽȱŽ—ȱ˜ȱ ŠœȱŠ‹•Žȱ˜ȱ ’‘›Š ȱ–˜œȱ˜ȱ’œȱ̎Žȱ›˜–ȱ›’–ŽŠǰȱ Š›Œ‘ǰȱ ‘Ž›Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ›Ž–Š’—ŽȱŽ—ŒŠ–™Žǰȱ’—ȱ ‹žȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱ Ž›Žȱ‹•˜Œ”ŠŽǰȱŠ—ȱ–˜œȱœŽ’£Žȱ‹¢ȱ œ›Ž—‘ǰȱ˜›ȱœ˜–Žȱ’–Žǯȱ žœœ’Šǯȱȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ’—œŠ••Š’˜—œȱ‘Ž•ȱ˜žȱ —ȱ ŽŠ›•¢ȱ ™›’•ǰȱ Š—ȱ ’—œž››ŽŒ’˜—ȱ ‹ŽŠ—ȱ ˜ȱ Š‘Ž›ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ˜›ȱ—ŽŠ›•¢ȱŠȱ–˜—‘ǰȱ‹žǰȱ‘Ž––Žȱ’—ȱ‹¢ȱ’‘ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ œŽŠ–ȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŠœǰȱ Š—ȱ Š›–Žȱ œŽ™Š›Š’œœȱ Š—ȱ ™›˜Ȭ ǻŠ—ȱ™›˜Ȭžœœ’Šȱ–’•’’ŠǼȱ‹•˜Œ”ŠŽœǰȱ‘Ž¢ȱ‘ŠȱŠ••ȱŠ••Ž—ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ŠŒ’Ÿ’œœȱ œŽ’£Žȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ ‹ž’•’—œȱ ’—ȱ ‹¢ȱŬůȱŠ›Œ‘ǰȱ ‘Ž—ȱ‘Žȱ•Šœȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱŸŽœœŽ•ǰȱ‘Žȱ Cherkassy , Œ’’Žœȱ’—ȱ˜—Žœ”ȱŠ—ȱž‘Š—œ”ȱ›Ž’˜—œǯȱ ’ŽŸȱ•Šž—Œ‘Žȱ ŠœȱœŽ’£Žȱ‹¢ȱžœœ’Š—ȱŒ˜––Š—˜œǯ Š—ȱ ȁŠ—’ȬŽ››˜›’œȂȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ ’—ȱ ›Žœ™˜—œŽǰȱ Ž™•˜¢’—ȱ ‘Žȱ›Žž•Š›ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱ—Ž •¢ȱŒ›ŽŠŽȱǻŠ—ȱ Ukraine’s armed forces ™˜˜›•¢ȱ ›Š’—ŽǼȱ —Š’˜—Š•ȱ žŠ›ǰȱ œž™™˜›Žȱ ‹¢ȱ ™Š›Š - ¢ȱ ŬŪūŮǰȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Ž›Žȱ Šȱ œ‘Š˜ ȱ ˜ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ›˜ž™œǯȱ ›ŠŽ’Œȱž›ŸŽ¢ȱŬŪūŮ ȱ—˜Žœȱ‘Šȱȁ‘Žȱ ‘˜œŽȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ȱ‘Šȱ’—‘Ž›’ŽȱŠŽ›ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜••Š™œŽȱ˜ȱ ŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ Žœ’—ŠŽȱ ǽ‘Žȱ ’—œž›Ž—Œ¢Ǿȱ Šȱ Ž››˜›’œȱ ‘Žȱ ˜Ÿ’Žȱ —’˜—ǯȱ ‘Ž¢ȱ ˜™Ž›ŠŽȱ –Š’—•¢ȱ ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šȱ –˜ŸŽ–Ž—ȱ Šœȱ •’”Ž•¢ȱ ˜ȱ ŽŽ™Ž—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ’Ÿ’•ȱ Œ˜—Ě’ŒȂǰȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ ’‘ȱ–žŒ‘ȱ˜ȱ‘’œȱ’—ȱ—ŽŽȱ˜ȱž™›ŠŽȱ˜›ȱ ’ŸŽ—ȱ‘Šȱ–Š—¢ȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŠœȱ›Ž™˜›Ž•¢ȱŸ’Ž Žȱ‘Žȱ ’ŽŸȱ ›Ž™•ŠŒŽ–Ž—ǯȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ™Ž—’—ȱ›Ž–Š’—Žȱœž‹‹˜›—•¢ȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱŠœȱ’••Ž’’–ŠŽȱ˜›ȱŠȱ•ŽŠœȱž—›Ž™›ŽœŽ—Š’ŸŽȱ Russia and Eurasia 171

The emergence of a pro-Russian separatist movement in eastern Ukraine in 2014, centred in the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, and supported by armed militia, has led to bier military confrontation with forces loyal to Kiev. Slovyansk, some 150km west of Luhansk, marked the most westerly extent of separatist gains by April. The city was retaken in early July 2014 as the government’s initially faltering counter-offensive gained strength. By the first week in August, state forces had effectively surrounded Luhansk, while there was heavy fighting between government and separatist forces in Donetsk. Now under heavy pressure themselves, the separatists were able to launch an offensive in the far south of the Dontesk region at the end of August, seizing Novoazovsk and advancing toward Mariupol on the coast. This was part of a broader effort – with significant Russian support – to push back the Ukrainian armed forces and to regain as much territory as possible. Government forces pulled back from Luhansk airport at the beginning of September while fighting continued throughout October despite a 5 September truce, including around Donetsk and its airport. In early Novem- ber both NATO and the OSCE reported new sightings of unmarked military columns with heavy weaponry inside separatist-held areas.

17 Jul MH17 shot down LUHANSK 21 Aug NATO alleges OBLAST Russian self-propelled artillery inside Ukraine Russia and Eurasia 23 Aug NATO alleges RussianKHARKIV artillery and armour OBLAST directed at Ukraine Slovyansk Luhansk 27 Aug Novoazovsk seized; southern front opens 21 Aug

Hrabove DNIPROPETROVSK 17 Jul Horlivka OBLAST Shakhtarsk Torez Donetsk DONETSK OBLAST RUSSIA 23 Aug

APRIL 2014: Maximum extent ZAPORIZHZHYA of rebel control OBLAST EARLY AUGUST 2014: Novoazovsk Government UKRAINE counter-offensive; rebels pushed back Mariupol MID-OCTOBER 2014: 27 Aug Southern front opened; rebels regain momentum

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Sea of Azov Sources: IISS, BBC, OSCE, NATO © IISS Map 5 Con"ict in Eastern Ukraine

˜ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ȱŠœȱŠȱ ‘˜•Žǯȱ‘’œȱ™›˜‹•Ž–ȱ ŠœȱŽ¡ŠŒŽ› - Š—ȱ ›Ž‹Ž•ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ –ŠŽȱ –žŒ‘ȱ žœŽȱ ˜ȱ Š›’••Ž›¢ȱ ‹Ž˜›Žȱ ‹ŠŽȱ ‹¢ȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ŠŒ’Œœȱ ˜ȱ Ž—Š’—ȱ ž›‹Š—ȱ Š›ŽŠœȱ ›˜ž—ȱŠœœŠž•œDzȱŠȱ›ŽĚŽŒ’˜—ǰȱ™Ž›‘Š™œǰȱ˜ȱ‘Ž’›ȱœ‘Š›Žȱ ’‘ȱ•˜—Ȭ›Š—Žȱž—ž’Žȱ–ž—’’˜—œȱ‹Ž˜›ŽȱœŽ—’—ȱ ˜Ÿ’Žȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ‘Ž›’ŠŽǯȱ ž–Š—ȱ’‘œȱŠŒ‘ȱǻ Ǽȱ ’—ȱ ›˜˜™œǯȱ ž›’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—Ě’Œǰȱ ‘Ž¢ȱ Ž–™•˜¢Žȱ •˜—Ȭ Š•œ˜ȱŠ••ŽŽȱ‘ŽȱžœŽȱ˜ȱŒ•žœŽ›ȱ–ž—’’˜—œȱ‹¢ȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ›Š—Žȱ Š›’••Ž›¢ǰȱ –˜›Š›œȱ Š—ȱ –ž•’™•ŽȬ‹Š››Ž•ȱ ›˜Œ”Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ ȱ •ŠŽ›ȱ œŠ’ȱ ‘Šȱ ȁ‘Ž›Žȱ Š›Žȱ Š•œ˜ȱ •Šž—Œ‘Ž›œǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŒ’Œœȱ žœŽȱ ˜—ȱ ‹˜‘ȱ œ’Žœȱ œŽ›’˜žœȱŠ••ŽŠ’˜—œȱ‘Šȱ™›˜Ȭžœœ’Š—ȱ›Ž‹Ž•ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱŠ—ȱ ‘Šȱ—ŽŠ’ŸŽȱŒ˜—œŽšžŽ—ŒŽœǯȱ —ŽŽǰȱ‹˜‘ȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ ™˜œœ’‹•¢ȱžœœ’Šȱ’œŽ•ǰȱ‘ŠŸŽȱžœŽȱŒ•žœŽ›ȱ–ž—’’˜—œȱ’—ȱ 172 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

ŽŠœŽ›—ȱ”›Š’—Žǯȱ••ȱ™Š›’Žœȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜—Ě’Œȱ’—ȱŽŠœŽ›—ȱ œȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŒ˜—’—žŽȱ˜ȱŠŸŠ—ŒŽȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ ”›Š’—Žȱ‘ŠŸŽȱŠŒŒŽœœȱ˜ȱœ’–’•Š›ȱ ŽŠ™˜—œǰȱœ˜ȱ’ȱ’œȱ—˜ȱ ›Ž‹Ž•œǰȱŽŸ’Ž—ŒŽȱ˜ȱ’›ŽŒȱžœœ’Š—ȱ’—Ÿ˜•ŸŽ–Ž—ȱ›Ž ǯȱ Š• Š¢œȱ ™˜œœ’‹•Žȱ ˜ȱ ›Š ȱ Žę—’’ŸŽȱ Œ˜—Œ•žœ’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱ ••ŽŽȱžœœ’Š—ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ Ž›Žȱœ‘˜ —ǰȱŠœȱ™›’œ˜—Ž›œǰȱ ›Žœ™ŽŒȱ˜ȱœ™ŽŒ’ęŒȱŠĴŠŒ”œǯȂȱ ˜—ȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱŽ•ŽŸ’œ’˜—ȱ˜—ȱŬŰȱžžœȱǻ˜œŒ˜ ȱœŠ’ȱ ŽŠ’ŸŽȱ Œ˜—œŽšžŽ—ŒŽœȱ Š•œ˜ȱ Š›˜œŽȱ ›˜–ȱ ‘Žȱ ›Ž•Š - ‘Ž¢ȱŒ›˜œœŽȱ‘Žȱ‹˜›Ž›ȱ‹¢ȱ–’œŠ”ŽǼǰȱ ‘’•Žȱ ȱŠ—Š• - ’ŸŽȱ •ŠŒ”ȱ ˜ȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ Š—ȱ ™›˜Žœœ’˜—Š•ȱ ’œŒ’™•’—Žȱ ˜—ȱ ¢œ’œȱ˜ȱ’–ŠŽ›¢ȱŠȱ‘ŽȱœŠ–Žȱ’–ŽȱŠœœŽœœŽȱ‘Šȱœ˜–Žȱ ‘Žȱ ™Š›ȱ ˜ȱ ’››Žž•Š›ȱ ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ –—Žœ¢ȱ —Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ –Š’—ȱ‹ŠĴ•ŽȱŠ—”œȱœŽŽ—ȱ’—ȱœŽ™Š›Š’œȱ‘Š—œȱ Ž›Žȱ•’”Ž•¢ȱ Œ‘›˜—’Œ•Žȱ ‘ž–Š—Ȭ›’‘œȱ Š‹žœŽœȱ ™Ž›™Ž›ŠŽȱ ‹¢ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ȱ ‹Žȱ žœœ’Š—ǯȱ ‘Žȱ ŸŠ›’Š—ȱ œ‘˜ —ǰȱ ‘Žȱ ȬűŬǰȱ Šœȱ Ÿ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ȱ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—œȱ’—ȱŠ›ŽŠœȱ˜›–Ž›•¢ȱ‘Ž•ȱ‹¢ȱœŽ™Š - ˜—•¢ȱ˜™Ž›ŠŽȱ‹¢ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ›˜ž—ȱ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ ›Š’œœǰȱ ‘’•Žȱ ’ȱ Š•œ˜ȱ œŠ’ȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ ȁ—˜ȱ ˜ž‹ȱ ‘Šȱ Š’—œȱœŽŽ–Žȱ˜ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ˜œŒ˜ Ȃœȱ‘Š—ǰȱŠ—ȱ›Ž™˜›œȱ˜ȱ œž––Š›¢ȱ”’••’—œȱŠ—ȱŠ›˜Œ’’ŽœȱŠ›Žȱ‹Ž’—ȱŒ˜––’ĴŽȱ ’›ŽŒȱ’—Ÿ˜•ŸŽ–Ž—ȱ›Ž ȱ›Š–Š’ŒŠ••¢ȱŠŽ›ȱŬűȱžžœǰȱ ‹¢ȱ‹˜‘ȱ™›˜Ȭžœœ’Š—ȱœŽ™Š›Š’œœȱŠ—ȱ™›˜Ȭ ¢’Ÿȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ ‘Ž—ȱ Šȱ —Ž ȱ ›˜—ȱ ˜™Ž—Žȱ ž™ȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ œ˜ž‘ǰȱ —ŽŠ›ȱ ’—ȱŠœŽ›—ȱ”›Š’—ŽȂǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ’ȱ Šœȱ’ĜŒž•ȱ˜ȱŽȱŠȱ ˜Ÿ˜Š£˜Ÿœ”ȱ ˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŠȱ ˜ȱ£˜Ÿǯȱ —ȱ ‘Žȱ œž‹œŽšžŽ—ȱ œŽ—œŽȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱœŒŠ•Žȱ˜ȱŠ‹žœŽœǰȱ‘Žȱ›Ž™˜›ȱŒ˜—’—žŽǰȱŠ—ȱ ŽŽ”œǰȱ‘Ž›Žȱ Ž›ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱ™›Žœœȱ›Ž™˜›œȱ˜ȱȁœŽŒ›ŽȂȱ‹ž›’Š•œȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ–žŒ‘ȱŽ¡ŠŽ›Š’˜—ǯ ’—ȱžœœ’Šȱ˜ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ”’••Žȱ˜—ȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱŠ—ȱ‘Ž›Žȱ ‘Žȱ’—œž›Ž—ȱ›˜ž™œȱ˜ȱ ‘ŠȱŽŸŽ—žŠ••¢ȱ‹ŽŒŠ–Žȱ Šœȱ Š—ȱ ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ Œ•Š–™˜ —ȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ ˜—ȱ Œ˜ŸŽ›ŠŽȱ ‘Žȱ œŽ•ȬŽŒ•Š›Žȱ ˜—Žœ”ȱ Š—ȱ ž‘Š—œ”ȱ Ž˜™•ŽȂœȱ ˜ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ž—Ž›Š•œȱ ‘Šȱ –’‘ȱ ‹Žȱ •’—”Žȱ ˜ȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ Ž™ž‹•’Œœȱ ž—˜ž‹Ž•¢ȱ ‘Šȱ –Š—¢ȱ •˜ŒŠ•œȱ ’—ȱ ‘Ž’›ȱ ŽŠ‘œȱ ’—ȱ ”›Š’—Žǯȱ ‘Ž›ȱ ›Ž™˜›œȱ ™˜’—Žȱ ˜ȱ ˜›–Žȱ ›Š—”œǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ˜›–Ž›ȱ ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱ —Ž›’˜›ȱ ’—’œ›¢ȱ ž—’œȱ‹Ž’—ȱŽœ™ŠŒ‘Žȱ›˜–ȱžœœ’Šǯȱȱ Financial Times ›˜˜™œǰȱ ‹žȱ ‘Ž¢ȱ Ž›Žȱ Š•œ˜ȱ ‹˜•œŽ›Žȱ ‹¢ȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—ȱ Š›’Œ•Žȱ˜—ȱŬŬȱŒ˜‹Ž›ȱŒŠ››’Žȱ‘Žȱ˜••˜ ’—ȱšž˜Žȱ›˜–ȱ —ž–‹Ž›œȱ ˜ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ —Š’˜—Š•œDzȱ œ˜–Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ Ž›Žǰȱ Š—ȱ Š••ŽŽȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽ–Š—ȱ ’—ȱ ž‘Š—œ”DZȱ ȁȃ‘Ž¢ȱ ŠŒŒ˜›’—ȱ ˜ȱ ˜œŒ˜ ǰȱ Ž’‘Ž›ȱ Ž¡Ȭ–’•’Š›¢ȱ ˜›ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’—ȱ ŠŸŽȱžœȱŠ—ȱ˜›Ž›DZȱ ‘˜ȱ Š—œȱ˜ȱ˜ȱŸ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ǵȱ—ȱ Žȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱŸ˜•ž—ŽŽ›’—ȱž›’—ȱ‘Ž’›ȱ•ŽŠŸŽǯȱ‘Žȱ•˜—Ȭ ™žȱ˜ž›ȱ‘Š—œȱž™ȱ•’”Žȱ‘’œǰȄȱ‘ŽȱœŠ’ǰȱ–˜Œ”’—ȱœ˜–Ž˜—Žȱ ’–Žȱ ȁŽŽ—ŒŽȱ –’—’œŽ›Ȃȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜—Žœ”ȱ ›Ž‹Ž•ȱ ›˜ž™ȱ ‹Ž’—ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ˜ȱ™žȱ‘Ž’›ȱ‘Š—ȱž™ǯȂ ŠœȱŠȱžœœ’Š—ȱŒ’’£Ž—ȱ ‘˜ȱ‘Šȱ•Žȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ’—Ž• - ‘Žȱ•ŠŽȬžžœȱŒ˜ž—Ž›Ȭ˜ěŽ—œ’ŸŽȱœŽŽ–ŽȱŽœ’—Žȱ •’Ž—ŒŽȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ˜—•¢ȱ–˜—‘œȱŽŠ›•’Ž›ǯȱ ˜ȱ œ™•’ȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Š—ȱ ’—Ÿ˜•ŸŽǰȱ ’ȱ Š™™ŽŠ›Žǰȱ ‘Žȱ›Ž‹Ž•œȂȱ›Š™’ȱŠŒšž’œ’’˜—ȱ˜ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ‘Š› Š›Žȱ —Ž ȱžœœ’Š—ȱꛎ™˜ Ž›ǯȱŽ™˜›œȱŽ–Ž›Žȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ›Š’œŽȱ ’—Ž›Žœǯȱ —ŒŽȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ ›˜˜™œȱ Ž™Š›Žȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱŒ˜–’—ȱž—Ž›ȱꛎȱ›˜–ȱŠ›’••Ž›¢ȱŠ••ŽŽ•¢ȱ ›˜–ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ‹ŠœŽœȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŠœǰȱ œŽ™Š›Š’œœȱ ˜ž•ȱ ™˜œ’’˜—Žȱ ŠŒ›˜œœȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ‹˜›Ž›ǰȱ ‘’•Žȱ ˜—ȱ ŬŲȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ‘Šȱ ŠŒŒŽœœȱ ˜ȱ ›Ž–Š’—’—ȱ ŽŠ™˜—œǰȱ Š––ž—’ - žžœȱ ȱ ›Ž•ŽŠœŽȱ œŠŽ••’Žȱ ’–ŠŽ›¢ȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ’˜—ȱŠ—ȱŠ›–˜ž›ǰȱ‹žȱ ŽŠ™˜—œȱ Ž›ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱœŽ’£Žȱ›˜–ȱ Š••ŽŽȱžœœ’Š—ȱœŽ•Ȭ™›˜™Ž••ŽȱŠ›’••Ž›¢ǰȱŠ—ȱœž™™˜›ȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ›˜˜™œȱŠ—ȱŸ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ȱꐑŽ›œǯ ŸŽ‘’Œ•ŽœǰȱŠ››Š¢Žȱ’—ȱꛒ—ȱ™˜œ’’˜—œȱ’—ȱ”›Š’—Žȱ’œŽ•ǯ Ž™˜›œȱ˜ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ–’•’Š›¢Ȭ’—Ž••’Ž—ŒŽȱ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱ ”›Š’—ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱ˜ȱ‹˜˜œȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱž—’—ǰȱžœ’—ȱ Š–˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ›Ž‹Ž•œȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ‘›˜ž‘˜žȱ ‘Žȱ œ™›’—ǰȱ —˜ŸŽ•ȱŒ›˜ Ȭž—’—ȱ–Ž‘˜œȱǻœŽŽȱ™ǯȱūűŭǼǰȱŠ—ȱŽšž’™- ‹žǰȱ ’—’’Š••¢ǰȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Šœȱ •’Ĵ•Žȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Š¢ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Š›ǰȱ –Ž—ȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹’•’¢ȱ’–™›˜ŸŽǰȱ ’‘ȱ–Š’—Ž—Š—ŒŽȱ™•Š—œȱ ˜™Ž—Ȭœ˜ž›ŒŽȱ ŽŸ’Ž—ŒŽȱ ˜ȱ ’›ŽŒ•¢ȱ Œ˜——ŽŒȱ ˜œŒ˜ ȱ ‹Ž’——’—ȱ˜ȱ›Ž™Š’›ȱ™›ŽŸ’˜žœ•¢ȱž—œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽŠ‹•ŽȱŽšž’™ - ˜ȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ’—ȱŽŠœȱ”›Š’—Žȱž—’•ȱ›Ž™˜›œȱŽ–Ž›Žȱ –Ž—ǯȱ —Ž›ŠŽȱ Š’›ȱ Š—ȱ ›˜ž—ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ Ž›Žȱ ˜ȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ›–˜ž›ȱ’—ȱ›Ž‹Ž•Ȭ‘Ž•ȱŠ›ŽŠœǯȱ‘ŽœŽȱ›Ž™˜›œȱ Œ˜—žŒŽǰȱŠœȱŠȱ˜—Žœ”ȱŠ’›™˜›ȱ’—ȱŠ¢ǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ‘Šȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ’—ȱ›ŽšžŽ—Œ¢ȱ‹¢ȱ–’Ȭ¢ŽŠ›ǰȱŠȱ‘ŽȱœŠ–Žȱ ˜™™˜œ’’˜—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȂȱŠŠ™Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘’œȱŽŸŽ•˜™’—ȱŒŠ™Š - ’–ŽȱŠœȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱœŽŽ–Žȱ˜ȱ‹ŽȱŠ’—’—ȱ‘Žȱ ‹’•’¢ǰȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ˜›–ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŽ–™•˜¢–Ž—ȱ˜ȱŠ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ž™™Ž›ȱ‘Š—ȱ’—ȱ™Š›œȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŽŠœǯȱ—ȱůȱ ž•¢ȱ›Ž‹Ž•œȱ•Žȱ œŒ›ŽŽ—œȱ ‘Šȱ œ‘˜ȱ ˜ —ȱ œ˜–Žȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œȱ Šȱ Œ˜––Š—ȱ ŒŽ—›Žȱ Šȱ •˜Ÿ¢Š—œ”ȱ Š—ȱ Šȱ –˜—‘ȱ •ŠŽ›ȱ Š—ȱ ›Š—œ™˜›ȱ Š’›Œ›Šǰȱ –ŽŠ—ȱ ‘Šȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ꐑ’—ȱ‹›˜”Žȱ˜žȱ’—ȱ˜—Žœ”ǰȱž‘Š—œ”ȱ‘ŠŸ’—ȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Š•œ˜ȱ‘Šȱ˜ȱ”ŽŽ™ȱŒ‘Š—’—ȱŠŒ’Œœǯȱ Ž—Œ’›Œ•Žȱ  ˜ȱ Š¢œȱ ‹Ž˜›Žǯȱ —ȱ ūűȱ ž•¢ȱ Š•Š¢œ’Š—ȱ ‘ŽȱŽ‹‹ȱŠ—ȱ̘ ȱ˜ȱŒ˜—Ě’Œȱ’—ȱ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱŽŠœȱ Šœȱ ’›•’—Žœȱ̒‘ȱ ūűȱ Šœȱœ‘˜ȱ˜ —ǰȱŒ˜–’—ȱ˜ —ȱ ›Žœ›Š’—Žǰȱ‹žȱ—˜ȱ‘Š•Žǰȱ‹¢ȱŠȱŒŽŠœŽę›Žȱœ’—Žȱ˜—ȱůȱ —ŽŠ›ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ —ȱ ˜ȱ ›Š‹˜ŸŽȱ ’—ȱ ˜—Žœ”ȱ ‹•Šœȱ Š—ȱ Ž™Ž–‹Ž›ǯȱ‘Žȱ™Ž›’˜ȱ˜ȱŒ˜—Ě’Œȱ›˜–ȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ȱŬŪūŮȱ ”’••’—ȱ —ŽŠ›•¢ȱ ŭŪŪȱ ™Ž˜™•Žȱ ˜—‹˜Š›ǯȱ ‘Žȱ Š’›Œ›Šȱ Šœȱ ’••ȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ’ŸŽ—ȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ™˜’—Ž›œȱ ˜›ȱ ’Ž•¢ȱ ‹Ž•’ŽŸŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ ‹›˜ž‘ȱ ˜ —ȱ ‹¢ȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ žž›ŽDZȱ ŠŒ’Œœȱ Š—ȱ ˜Œ›’—Žœȱ ‘Šȱ ‘Šȱ ˜–’—ŠŽȱ ŠŸŠ—ŒŽȱ œž›ŠŒŽȬ˜ȬŠ’›ȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ œ¢œŽ–ǰȱ ™˜œœ’‹•¢ȱ Šȱ œ’—ŒŽȱ‘ŽȱūųųŪœǰȱ–Š’—•¢ȱ’—‘Ž›’Žȱ›˜–ȱ‘Žȱ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šǰȱ Buk ǰȱ Š—ȱ Š••ŽŠ’˜—œȱ ™Ž›œ’œŽȱ ‘Šȱ ‘Žȱ Ž—ŠŽ–Ž—ȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱŽ—Ž›Š••¢ȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱž—œž’Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŒž››Ž—ȱꐑ’—ȱ ŠœȱŒ˜—žŒŽȱ›˜–ȱ ’‘’—ȱ›Ž‹Ž•Ȭ‘Ž•ȱŠ›ŽŠœǯ Š–’ȱ ž›‹Š—ȱ Š›ŽŠœȱ Š—ȱ Š–˜—ȱ ™˜™ž•Š’˜—œǯȱ œȱ ’–Žȱ Russia and Eurasia 173

™›˜›ŽœœŽǰȱ –Š—¢ȱ ˜ȱ ’ŽŸȂœȱ ›˜ž—ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ Ž›Žȱ Š›’Œž•ž›ŽȱŠ—ȱ Ž•Š›Žȱ‹žŽœȱ’—ȱ˜›Ž›ȱ˜ȱŠž–Ž—ȱ Œ˜—žŒŽȱ Ž’‘Ž›ȱ ‹¢ȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ˜›ȱ ‹¢ȱ •’–’Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ™Ž—’—ǯȱ‘ŽȱŽ¡’œ’—ȱ‹žŽȱ•Š ȱ˜›ȱŬŪūŮȱ —ž–‹Ž›œȱ ˜ȱ Œ˜–‹ŠȬ›ŽŠ¢ȱ Ž—Ž›Š•ȱ ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ‹žȱ –˜œȱ Šœȱ›ŽŸ’œŽȱ’—ȱŠ›Œ‘ȱ˜ȱŠ••˜ŒŠŽȱŠ›˜ž—ȱ ŮŪǯůŭ‹—ȱ ™›˜–’—Ž—•¢ȱ‹¢ȱ’››Žž•Š›ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ˜›–ŽȱŠœȱŸ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ȱ ǻǞŭǯůų‹—Ǽȱ˜ Š›œȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱŠ—ȱœŽŒž›’¢ȱǻ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—œȱ Ȯȱ œ˜–Žȱ ˜ȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ ›˜–ȱ ›’‘’œȱ ›˜ž™œȱ Š—ȱ ž—’—ȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱ’—Ž›’˜›ȱ–’—’œ›¢Ǽǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›— - ˜‘Ž›œȱꗊ—ŒŽȱ‹¢ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢Ȃœȱ¢Œ˜˜—œǯȱ˜—ŸŽ—’˜—Š•ȱ –Ž—ȱ Œ•Š’–Žȱ Šœȱ Šȱ ūůǯŰƖȱ —˜–’—Š•ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ Š›–¢ȱ Š—ȱ ’—Ž›’˜›Ȭ–’—’œ›¢ȱ œ›žŒž›Žœȱ Ž›Žȱ ˜Ž—ȱ ŬŪūŭȱ•ŽŸŽ•œǯȱ‘’œȱ Šœȱœž™™•Ž–Ž—Žȱ‹¢ȱŠȱ Űǯų‹—ȱ Ž–™•˜¢Žȱ ˜ȱ ŒŠ››¢ȱ ˜žȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ œž™™˜›ȱ ˜›ȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ ǻǞŰūūȱ –’••’˜—Ǽȱ Ž—Ž›Š•ȱ ‹žŽȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȱ ž—ȱ Š—ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱœž™™˜›ȱŠœ”œǯȱ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ȱ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—œȱ Ž›Žȱ—˜–’ - Šȱ  ů‹—ȱ ǻǞŮŮŬ–Ǽȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ Š—ȱ œŽŒž - —Š••¢ȱ œž‹˜›’—ŠŽȱ ˜ȱ Ž’‘Ž›ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ˜›ȱ ’—Ž›’˜›ȱ ›’¢ȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȱ ž—ǰȱ ‹›’—’—ȱ ˜Š•ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ Š—ȱ œŽŒž - –’—’œ›’Žœǰȱ‹žȱ‘’œȱœŽŽ–ŽȱŠȱ˜›–Š•’¢ǰȱŠœȱ–Š—¢ȱ˜™Ž› - ›’¢ȱ ˜ž•Š¢œȱ ’—ȱ ŬŪūŮȱ ˜ȱ  ůŬǯً—ȱ ǻǞŮǯŰً—Ǽǯȱ ŠŽȱ ’‘ȱ •’Ĵ•Žȱ Œ˜˜›’—Š’˜—ȱ ’‘ǰȱ ˜›ȱ œž™™˜›ȱ ›˜–ǰȱ Ž™Š›ŠŽ•¢ǰȱ’—ȱŠ›Œ‘ǰȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œ›¢ȱŽœŠ‹•’œ‘Žȱ ˜›–Š•ȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ˜›ŒŽœǯȱŽž•Š›’œ’—ȱ‘ŽœŽȱ›˜ž™œȱ Šȱ ȁž™™˜›ȱ ‘Žȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ›–¢Ȃȱ ž—ȱ ˜›ȱ ™›’ŸŠŽȱ Š—ȱ ‘Ž’›ȱ ŠŒ’Œœȱ ’••ȱ ‹Žȱ Šȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—ȱ Œ‘Š••Ž—Žȱ ˜›ȱ Šȱ Œ’’£Ž—œȱ Š—ȱ ‹žœ’—Žœœȱ ˜ȱ Œ˜—›’‹žŽȱ ˜—Š’˜—œȱ Ÿ’Šȱ ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱœ›ž•’—ȱ ’‘ȱŠȱ–ž•’ȬŠŒŽŽȱŒ›’œ’œǯ Ž¡ȱ–ŽœœŠŽœȱ˜›ȱ‹Š—”ȱ›Š—œŽ›œǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ˜ž•ȱž—ȱ žž›Žȱ›Š’—’—ȱŠ—ȱ˜›ŒŽȱŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱŒ˜ž•ȱ˜Œžœȱ –Ž’ŒŠ•ȱ Š—ȱ •˜’œ’Œœȱ œž™™˜›ǯȱ ¢ȱ ˜ŸŽ–‹Ž›ȱ ŬŪūŮǰȱ

˜—ȱ–˜›Žȱ̎¡’‹•Žȱ›Žž•Š›ȱ˜›–Š’˜—œǰȱŠ‹•Žȱ˜ȱŒ˜—žŒȱ ‘’œȱ ‘Šȱ ›Š’œŽȱ  ūůū–ȱ ǻǞūŭǯٖǼǯȱ —ȱ Š’’˜—ǰȱ Russia and Eurasia Œ˜˜›’—ŠŽȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱ—Š’˜—Š•ȱžŠ›ȱŠ—ȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Ž›Žȱ —ž–Ž›˜žœȱ ›Ž™˜›Žȱ ’—œŠ—ŒŽœȱ ˜ȱ œ–Š••Ȭ Ÿ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ȱ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—œǯȱ•‘˜ž‘ȱœ˜–Žȱ˜•Ž›ȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱ œŒŠ•Žǰȱ—˜—Ȭ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—Š•ȱŠœœ’œŠ—ŒŽȱ™›˜Ÿ’Žȱ‹¢ȱ•˜ŒŠ•ȱ ’œȱ‹Ž’—ȱ‹›˜ž‘ȱ˜žȱ˜ȱœ˜›Žȱ˜ȱ›Ž™•ŠŒŽȱŠĴ›’’˜—ȱ•˜œœŽœǰȱ ›Žœ’Ž—œȱ ˜›ȱ ‹žœ’—Žœœȱ ›˜ž™œȱ ˜ȱ œž™™•¢ȱ ‘Ž’›ȱ •˜ŒŠ•ȱ ’ŽŸȱ ’••ȱ•’”Ž•¢ǰȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ•˜—ȱ›ž—ǰȱ•˜˜”ȱ˜ȱ™›˜Œž›ŽȱŽšž’™ - ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱǻŽǯǯȱŠ––ž—’’˜—ǰȱ‹ž••Ž - –Ž—ȱ œž’Š‹•Žȱ ˜›ȱ –˜Ž›—ȱ ›Žšž’›Ž–Ž—œǯȱ ‘’œȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ ™›˜˜ȱŸŽœœǼǰȱŠ•‘˜ž‘ȱ–žŒ‘ȱ˜ȱ‘’œȱ›Ž–Š’—œȱž—˜Œž - ’—Œ•žŽȱ –’—ŽȬ›Žœ’œŠ—ȱ Š–‹žœ‘Ȭ™›˜ŽŒŽȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ –Ž—ŽǰȱŠ—ȱ‘Ž›Žȱ Ž›ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ’—’’Š’ŸŽœȱ Š—ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ‘Šȱ ‘Šœȱ Ž–˜—œ›ŠŽȱ ’œȱ ŽěŽŒ’ŸŽ - ˜ȱœž™™•¢ȱ—˜—Ȭ•Ž‘Š•ȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—ŽǯȱŸŽ›Š••ǰȱ —Žœœȱž›’—ȱŬŪūŮǰȱœžŒ‘ȱŠœȱ™›ŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱŠ›’••Ž›¢ȱ›˜Œ”Žœǯ –˜œȱ ˜ȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ ž—’—ȱ ’—Œ›Ž–Ž—œȱ Š›Žȱ Žœ’–ŠŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ Œ‘Š——Ž••Žȱ ˜ Š›œȱ ‘Žȱ •Š—ǰȱ Š’›ȱ Š—ȱ Defence economics “˜’—ȱ˜›ŒŽœDzȱŽ¡™Ž—’ž›Žȱ˜—ȱ•Š—ȱŠ—ȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ–˜›Žȱ ŸŽ—ȱ ‹Ž˜›Žȱ ‘Žȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ Œ›’œ’œȱ Ž›ž™Žǰȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ ‘Š—ȱ ˜ž‹•Žȱ ’—ȱ ŬŪūŮǰȱ Š—ȱ œ™Ž—’—ȱ ˜—ȱ “˜’—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–¢ȱ Šœȱ Š•Ž›’—ȱ žŽȱ ˜ȱ Šȱ Œ˜–‹’—Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ ‹¢ȱ Š›˜ž—ȱ űűƖǯȱ ¢ȱ Œ˜—›Šœǰȱ Š••˜ŒŠ’˜—œȱ ‘’‘ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œȱ ˜ȱ œŠŽȱ ’—Ž›ŸŽ—’˜—ȱ ’—ȱ –Š›”Žœǰȱ Šȱ Œ‘Š• - ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —ŠŸ¢ȱ Ž••ȱ ‹¢ȱ –˜›Žȱ ‘Š—ȱ Šȱ ꏝ‘ǯȱ Žœ™’Žȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ •Ž—’—ȱ‹žœ’—ŽœœȱŒ•’–ŠŽȱŠ—ȱ™˜˜›ȱ˜–Žœ’Œȱ–ŠŒ›˜ - Žě˜›œǰȱ’—ȱ ž•¢ȱ‘Žȱꗊ—ŒŽȱ–’—’œŽ›ȱœŠŽȱ‘Šȱ‘’‘ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ ™˜•’Œ¢–Š”’—ǯȱ ŽŒ•’—’—ȱ ’—ŸŽœ–Ž—ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ȱ Š—ȱ –Š’—Ž—Š—ŒŽȱ œ™Ž—’—ȱ ‘Šȱ –ŽŠ—ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œǰȱ ŽŠ”ȱ Ž¡Ž›—Š•ȱ Ž–Š—ȱ Š—ȱ ’‘ȱ –˜—ŽŠ›¢ȱ ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ Šœȱ›ž——’—ȱ˜žȱ˜ȱž—œȱ˜ȱ™Š¢ȱ ™˜•’Œ¢ȱȮȱŽ–™•˜¢Žȱ˜ȱŽŽ—ȱ‘Žȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ›¢Ÿ—’Šȱ œŠ•Š›’ŽœǰȱŠ—ȱ’—ȱ›Žœ™˜—œŽȱ™›˜™˜œŽȱ—Ž ȱŠ¡ȱ–ŽŠœž›Žœȱ Ž¡Œ‘Š—ŽȬ›ŠŽȱ™ŽȱȮȱŒ˜–‹’—Žȱ˜ȱ›Š ȱ‘ŽȱŽŒ˜—˜–¢ȱ Š—ȱœž‹œ’¢ȱ›Ž˜›–œȱ˜ȱŽ¡™Š—ȱ‘Žȱ꜌Š•ȱœ™ŠŒŽȱŠŸŠ’•- ’—˜ȱ›ŽŒŽœœ’˜—ȱ’—ȱ–’ȬŬŪūŬǰȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ’ȱ›Ž–Š’—ŽȱŠœȱ‘Žȱ Š‹•Žȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ—Š’˜—Š•ȱ‹žŽǯ Œ›’œ’œȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱ’—ȱŠ›Œ‘ȱŬŪūŮǯȱœȱ‘Žȱ¢ŽŠ›ȱ™›˜›ŽœœŽǰȱ ˜—Ž›ȬŽ›–ȱ ž—’—ȱ ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽœȱ Ž›Žȱ Š——˜ž—ŒŽȱ ›˜ ’—ȱ ™˜•’’ŒŠ•ȱ ž—ŒŽ›Š’—¢ȱ œ•˜ Žȱ ˜–Žœ’Œȱ •ŠŽ›ȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮDZȱ’—ȱžžœȱ‘Žȱ™›Žœ’Ž—ȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽȱ‘Šȱ Œ˜—œž–™’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ ’—žœ›’Š•ȱ ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œDzȱ œ˜–Ž Ǟŭ‹—ȱǻŠ›˜ž—ȱ ŭً—Ǽȱ ˜ž•ȱ‹ŽȱŠœœ’—Žȱ ˜ŸŽ›Š••ȱŽŒ˜—˜–’ŒȱŒ˜—›ŠŒ’˜—ȱ’—ȱŬŪūŮȱ Šœȱ™›˜“ŽŒŽȱ˜ȱ ˜ȱ›ŽȬŽšž’™ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–¢ǰȱ ‘’•Žȱ’—ȱŽ™Ž–‹Ž›ȱ‘Žȱꗊ—ŒŽȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ‹ŽȱȬŰǯůƖǯȱŠ™’Š•ȱ̒‘ȱ™•ŠŒŽȱ˜ — Š›ȱ™›Žœœž›Žȱ˜—ȱ –’—’œŽ›ȱ ™›˜™˜œŽȱ Š—ȱ Š••˜ŒŠ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ  Űŭ‹—ȱ ‘Žȱ™ŽŽȱŽ¡Œ‘Š—Žȱ›ŠŽǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ŠœȱŠ‹Š—˜—Žȱ’—ȱ ǻǞŮǯŲŲ‹—Ǽȱ˜›ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱŠ—ȱœŽŒž›’¢ȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ›ŠȱŬŪūůȱ Ž‹›žŠ›¢ȱŬŪūŮȱŠœȱ‘Žȱ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽœȱ›Žšž’›Žȱ ‹žŽǯȱ‘Ž—ǰȱ’—ȱŒ˜‹Ž›ǰȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽȱ ˜ȱŽŽ—ȱ’ȱ Ž›ŽȱŽ™•ŽŽǯȱŽœ™’ŽȱŠȱǞūűȱ‹’••’˜—ȱ ȮȱŠœȱ™Š›ȱ˜ȱ’œȱȁ›ŠŽ¢ȱŬŪŬŪȂȱ™›˜›Š––ŽȱȮȱ‘Šȱ’ȱ Šœȱ ȱ •˜Š—ȱ ŠŒ’•’¢ȱ Š›ŽŽȱ ’—ȱ ™›’•ǰȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜••Š™œ’—ȱ ™•Š——’—ȱŠȱ꟎˜•ȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ‹žŽȱ‹¢ȱ Œž››Ž—Œ¢ȱ›ŽŠŒ‘Žȱ›ŽŒ˜›ȱ•˜ œȱ˜ŸŽ›ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž›œŽȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ ŬŪŬŪǰȱ˜ȱůƖȱ˜ȱ ǰȱꗊ—ŒŽȱ‹¢ȱ—Ž ȱŠ¡Žœȱ˜—ȱœŠ•Š - ¢ŽŠ›ǰȱ™•ŠŒ’—ȱœ›Š’—ȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ‹Š—”’—ȱœŽŒ˜›ȱŠ—ȱ›Š’œ’—ȱ ›’Žœǰȱ ˜˜œȱ Š—ȱ ‘˜žœ’—ǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ”›Š’—Žȱ ‘Šœȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ™˜œœ’‹’•’¢ȱ‘Šȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ȱ–’‘ȱŽŠž•ȱ˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ™Šœȱ ž—Ž›œ™Ž—ȱ ’œȱ ’—’’Š••¢ȱ ™•Š——Žȱ ‹žŽŠ›¢ȱ ’œȱŽ¡Ž›—Š•ȬŽ‹ȱ˜‹•’Š’˜—œǯ Š••˜ŒŠ’˜—œǰȱŠ—ȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŒž››Ž—ȱŒ•’–ŠŽȱ’ȱ’œȱ’ĜŒž•ȱ˜ȱ ”›Š’—Žȱ ™›’˜›’’œŽȱ ’œȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ‹žŽȱ Š–’ȱ ‘’œȱ Žœ’–ŠŽȱ‘ŽȱŽ›ŽŽȱ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ‘ŽœŽȱŠœ™’›Š’˜—œȱ›ŽĚŽŒȱ ‹›˜ŠŽ›ȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ ™›Žœœž›Žǰȱ Š—ȱ ›ŽžŒŽȱ ‘ŽŠ•‘ǰȱ ›ŽŠ•’œ’Œȱ‹žŽŠ›¢ȱ™›˜“ŽŒ’˜—œǯ 174 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

MANOEUVRE Armenia ARM Mechanised ŗȱǻŗœǼȱŒ˜›™œȱǻŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱ”ȱ‹—ǰȱŘȱȱ›Žǰȱŗȱ–Š’—ȱ‹—Ǽȱ Armenian Dram d 2013 2014 2015 ŗȱǻؗǼȱŒ˜›™œȱǻŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱ”ȱ‹—ǰȱŘȱȱ›Žǰȱŗȱ•ȱ’—ȱ›Žǰȱ GDP d 4.27tr 4.59tr ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—Ǽ US$ 10.4bn 11.1bn ŗȱǻř›ǼȱŒ˜›™œȱǻŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱ”ȱ‹—ǰȱŚȱȱ›Žǰȱŗȱ•ȱ’—ȱ›Žǰȱ per capita US$ 3,173 3,373 ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱœ’œȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱ–Š’—ȱ‹—Ǽȱ Growth % 3.5 3.2 ŗȱǻŚ‘ǼȱŒ˜›™œȱǻŚȱȱ›ŽDzȱŗȱȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—Dzȱŗȱœ’œȱ‹—Ǽȱ In"ation % 5.8 1.8 ŗȱǻś‘ǼȱŒ˜›™œȱǻ ’‘ȱŘȱ˜›’ꮍȱŠ›ŽŠœǼȱǻŗȱȱ›ŽǼ Def bdgt [a] d 188bn 194bn Other ŗȱ’—Ž™ȱȱ›ȱ‹Ž US$ 458m 470m COMBAT SUPPORT FMA (US) US$ 2.7m 2.7m 1.7m ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž US$1=d 409.63 412.81 ŗȱȱ‹Ž [a] Includes imported military equipment, excludes military ŗȱȱ›Ž pensions ŗȱȱ‹Ž Population 3,060,927 Řȱȱ›Ž ŗȱǻ›Š’˜ŽŒ‘Ǽȱȱ›Ž Age 0 – 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 64 65 plus ŗȱŽ—›ȱ›Ž Male 9.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 21.4% 4.2% EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Female 9.3% 3.3% 4.3% 4.8% 24.2% 6.3% MBT ȱŗŖşDZȱřȱȬśŚDzȱśȱȬśśDzȱŗŖŗȱȬŝŘ AIFV ȱşŞDZ ŝśȱȬŗDzȱŜȱȬŗ DzȱśȱȬŘDzȱŗŘȱȬŗ ȱ Capabilities APC (W) ŗřŖDZȱŞȱȬŜŖDzȱŗŖŖȱ•˜˜”ȬŠȬ•’”ŽDzȱŗŞȱȬŝŖDzȱŚȱȬ ŞŖ ’ŸŽ—ȱ Œ˜—’—ž’—ȱ Ž—œ’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱ —Ž’‘‹˜ž›’—ȱ£Ž›‹Š’“Š—ȱ ARTY ȱŘřŘ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ǰȱ ‘Žȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȂȱ –Š’—ȱ ˜Œžœȱ SP ȱřŞDZ 122mmȱŗŖȱŘŗDz 152mmȱŘŞȱŘřȱ ’œȱ Ž››’˜›’Š•ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽǯȱ ›–Ž—’Šȱ ’œȱ Šȱ ȱ –Ž–‹Ž›ǰȱ Š—ȱ TOWEDȱŗřŗDZȱ122mmȱŜşȱȬřŖDz 152mmȱŜŘDZȱŘŜȱŘřŜDzȱŘȱ

žœœ’Šȱ ™›˜Ÿ’Žœȱ —Š’˜—Š•ȱ Š’›ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ›˜–ȱ Šȱ •ŽŠœŽȱ ‹ŠœŽǯȱ ȬŗDzȱřŚȱȬŘŖȱ - ˜—œŒ›’™’˜—ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽœǰȱ ‹žȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ ’œȱ Š•œ˜ȱ Šȱ ›˜ ’—ȱ Œ˜ MRL ȱśŗDZ 122mmȱŚŝȱȬŘŗDz 273mmȱŚȱȬŞŖȱ - ‘˜›ȱ˜ȱ™›˜Žœœ’˜—Š•ȱ˜ĜŒŽ›œǯȱšž’™–Ž—ȱ’œȱ–Š’—•¢ȱ˜ȱžœ MOR 120mm ŗŘȱŗŘŖȱ œ’Š—ȱ˜›’’—ǰȱŠ—ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽŠ‹’•’¢ȱŠ—ȱ–Š’—Ž—Š—ŒŽȱ˜ȱ–Š’—•¢ȱ AT • MSL • SP ŘŘDZȱşȱşŗŚŞDzȱŗřȱşŗŚş ŠŽ’—ȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ‘Šœȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱŠȱ™›˜‹•Ž–ȱ˜›ȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽǯȱ‘’•Žȱ AD ˜ŸŽ›Š••ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ˜Œ›’—Žȱ ›Ž–Š’—œȱ ’—ĚžŽ—ŒŽȱ œ›˜—•¢ȱ ‹¢ȱ SAM žœœ’Š—ȱ ‘’—”’—ǰȱ ˜ŸŽ›œŽŠœȱ Ž™•˜¢–Ž—œǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ˜ȱ SP ȱŘ ŗŗȱKrug ȱǻȬŚȱ Ganef ǼDzȱŘ ŗŘȱKub ȱǻȬŜȱ Gainful ǼDzȱ ȱ’—ȱ‘Š—’œŠ—ǰȱ‘ŠŸŽȱŽ—Š‹•Žȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ˜ȱ•ŽŠ›—ȱ›˜–ȱ ş řřȱ Osa ȱǻȬŞȱ Gecko Ǽ ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ Œ˜ž—Ž›™Š›œǯȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜ž—›¢ȱ Š’–œȱ ˜ȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™ȱ TOWEDȱȬŝśȱ Dvina ȱǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱȬŗŘśȱPechora ’œȱ™ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™’—ȱŒ˜—’—Ž—ȱ’—˜ȱ˜—Žȱ‹›’ŠŽȱ ’‘ȱȱ ǻȬřȱ Goa Ǽ œŠ—Š›œǰȱ œ˜ȱ ‘Šȱ›–Ž—’Šȱ ŒŠ—ȱ Ž™•˜¢ȱ Šȱ ‹ŠĴŠ•’˜—ȱ ŒŠ™Š - MANPAD ş řŗŖȱ Igla- ŗȱǻȬŗŜȱ Gimlet ǼDzȱş řŞȱIgla ǻȬ ‹•Žȱ ˜ȱ œŽ•ȬœžœŠ’—–Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ ’—Ž›˜™Ž›Š‹’•’¢ȱ ’‘ȱ ȱ ŗŞȱGrouse Ǽ ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ’Žœȱ ’‘ȱ žœœ’Šȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ˜—ȱ Šȱ GUNS ‹›˜Šȱ›Š—Žȱ˜ȱ’œœžŽœǰȱŠ—ȱ‹˜‘ȱŒ˜ž—›’Žœȱœ’—ŽȱŠȱŒ˜˜™ - SP ȬŘřȬŚȱ Ž›Š’˜—ȱ Š›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ ’—ȱ ŘŖŗŚǯȱ ›–Ž—’Šȱ Œ˜–™•ŽŽȱ Šȱ ›ŠŽ - TOWED 23mm ȱȬŘřȬŘ ’Œȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ŽŸ’Ž ȱ ’—ȱ Š¢ȱ ŘŖŗŗȱ Š—ȱ ‘Šœȱ Š•œ˜ȱ œ’—Žȱ Š—ȱ UAV Light ŗś Krunk —’Ÿ’žŠ•ȱŠ›—Ž›œ‘’™ȱŒ’˜—ȱ•Š—ȱ ’‘ȱǯ RADAR • LAND ȱŜȱȬŗŖ MSL • TACTICAL • SSMȱŗŘDZȱŞȱş ŝŘȱElbrus ȱǻȬŗȱ Scud ACTIVE 44,800 (Army 41,850 Air/AD Aviation B)DzȱŚȱş ŝşȱTochka ǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ Forces (Joint) 1,100 other Air Defence Forces 1,850) AEV ȱȬ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Paramilitary 4,300 ARV ȱ‘ȬDzȱȬŗ Conscript liability ȱŘŚȱ–˜—‘œǯȱ RESERVES some mob reported, possibly 210,000 Air and Air Defence Aviation Forces 1,100 with military service within 15 years. ŗȱ’›ȱǭȱȱ ˜’—ȱ˜––Š— FORCES BY ROLE GROUND ATTACK ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȦžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Army 22,900; 18,950 conscripts (total 41,850) AIRCRAFT ȱŗśȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž FORCES BY ROLE ATK ŗśDZȱŗřȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot; ȱŘȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot SPECIAL FORCES TPT ȱřDZȱHeavyȱŘȱ •ȬŝŜȱCandid; PAX ȱŗȱřŗş ŗȱȱ›Ž TRG ȱŗŚDZȱŚȱȬřşȱAlbatros DzȱŗŖȱŠ”ȬśŘȱ Russia and Eurasia 175

HELICOPTERS ATK ȱŝȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind Azerbaijan AZE ISR ȱŚDZȱŘȱ’ȬŘŚ ȱHind DzȱŘȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind ȱǻŒ‹ȱœ™Ǽ Azerbaijani New Manat m 2013 2014 2015 MRH ŗŖȱ’ȬŞȱǻŒ‹ȱœ™Ǽ C2 Řȱ’ȬşȱHip ȱ ȱǻŒ‹ȱœ™Ǽ GDP m 57.7bn 60.5bn TPT • Light ŝȱȱ’ȬŘ Hoplite US$ 73.5bn 77.9bn SAM • SP ȱȬřŖŖȦȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȦȬŘŖǼ per capita US$ 7,900 8,303 Paramilitary 4,300 Growth % 5.8 4.5 In"ation % 2.4 2.8 Ministry of Internal A#airs Def exp m 2.75bn FORCES BY ROLE US$ 3.5bn MANOEUVRE Def bdgt [a] m 1.53bn 1.64bn Other US$ 1.95bn 2.11bn Śȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ‹— FMA (US) US$ 2.7m 2.7m 1.7m EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US$1=m 0.78 0.78 AIFV ȱśśDZȱśȱȬŗDzȱŚŚȱȬŗDzȱŗȱȬŗ DzȱśȱȬŗ ȱ [a] O$cial defence budget. Excludes a signi#cant proportion of APC (W) ȱŘŚȱȬŜŖȦȬŝŖȦȬŗśŘ procurement outlays. Border Troops Population 9,686,210 ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱŠ’˜—Š•ȱŽŒž›’¢ Russia and Eurasia Age EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 0 – 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 64 65 plus AIFV ȱŚřDZ śȱȬŗDzȱřśȱȬŗDzȱřȱȬŗ ȱ Male 12.1% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 20.7% 2.4% APC (W) ȱŘřDZȱśȱȬŜŖDzȱŗŞȱȬŝŖȱ Female 10.5% 3.9% 5.0% 4.6% 22.7% 3.9%

DEPLOYMENT Capabilities Legal provisions for foreign deployment: ’ŸŽ—ȱ Œ˜—’—ž’—ȱ Ž—œ’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱ —Ž’‘‹˜ž›’—ȱ ›–Ž—’Šȱ Constitution: ȱ˜’ꮍȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—ȱǻŗşşśǰȱŠ–Ž—ŽȱŘŖŖśǼ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ǰȱ Šȱ –Š“˜›ȱ ˜Œžœȱ ˜›ȱ ‘Žȱ Š›–Žȱ ™ŽŒ’ęŒȱ •Ž’œ•Š’˜—DZ ȱ ȁŠ ȱ ˜—ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž™ž‹•’Œȱ ˜ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ’œȱ Ž››’˜›’Š•ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽǯȱ ‘’•Žȱ ‘Ž¢ȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ ¢Žȱ ˜ȱ ›–Ž—’ŠȂȱ œžŒŒŽœœž••¢ȱ ›Š—œ’’˜—ȱ ›˜–ȱ Šȱ ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šȱ –˜Ž•ǰȱ ›’œ’—ȱ ˜’•ȱ Decision on deployment of troops abroad: ȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ™›Žœ’ - ›ŽŸŽ—žŽœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱŠ••˜ ŽȱŠ—ȱ’—Œ›ŽŠœŽȱ’—ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱŽ¡™Ž—’ž›Žǰȱ Ž—ǰȱ’—ȱŠŒŒ˜›Š—ŒŽȱ ’‘ȱȁŠ ȱ˜—ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŽ™ž‹•’Œȱ ™›˜Ÿ’’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜™™˜›ž—’¢ȱ ˜ȱ ŠŒšž’›Žȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱ ™•Š˜›–ȱ ˜ȱ›–Ž—’ŠȂȱǻ›’Œ•ŽȱśȱǻŘǼȱǻŗǼǼǯȱ•œ˜ǰȱž—Ž›ȱ›ǯȱśśȱǻŗřǼȱ˜ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ȬřŖŖȱ ȱ œ¢œŽ–ǯȱ Œ˜—œ’ž’˜—ǰȱ™›Žœ’Ž—ȱŒŠ—ȱŒŠ••ȱ˜›ȱžœŽȱ˜ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱǻŠ—ȱ Š’˜—Š•ȱœœŽ–‹•¢ȱœ‘Š••ȱ‹ŽȱŒ˜—ŸŽ—ŽǼǯȱǻ•œ˜ȱ›ǯȱŞŗȱǻřǼȱ˜ȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ’ȱ ’œȱ ž—Œ•ŽŠ›ȱ ‘Ž‘Ž›ȱ ‘Žȱ ™˜Ž—’Š•ȱ ‹Ž—Žęœȱ Œ˜—œ’ž’˜—ǯǼ ‹›˜ž‘ȱ‹¢ȱœžŒ‘ȱ–˜Ž›—ȱœ¢œŽ–œȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱŽ•ȱ’—ȱŽ›–œȱ ˜ȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ǯȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱœ’••ȱ›Ž•¢ȱ˜—ȱŒ˜— - AFGHANISTAN œŒ›’™’˜—ǰȱŠ—ȱ›ŽŠ’—Žœœȱ ’‘’—ȱ‘ŽȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽœȱŸŠ›’Žœȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱ NATO Ȋȱ ȱŗŘŗ ž—’œǯȱ ‘Žȱ Š’›ȱ ˜›ŒŽȱ Š•œ˜ȱ œžěŽ›œȱ ›˜–ȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ Š—ȱ –Š’— - LEBANON Ž—Š—ŒŽȱ ™›˜‹•Ž–œǰȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ŒŠ——˜ȱ ˜›Š—’ - UN Ȋȱ  ȱŗ ŒŠ••¢ȱœž™™˜›ȱŽ¡Ž›—Š•ȱŽ™•˜¢–Ž—œǯȱ£Ž›‹Š’“Š—ȱ–Š’—Š’—œȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™œȱ ’‘ȱ ȱ ‘›˜ž‘ȱ Š—ȱ —’Ÿ’žŠ•ȱ Š›—Ž›œ‘’™ȱŒ’˜—ȱ•Š—ǰȱŠ—ȱ‘ŠœȱŠȱŒ•˜œŽȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ›Ž•Š’˜— - NATO Ȋȱ ȱřŜ œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱž›”Ž¢ǯȱȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱŠœœ’œŠ—ŒŽȱ‘Šœȱ’—Œ•žŽȱœž™ - UKRAINE ™˜›ȱ ˜ȱ –Š›’’–ŽȬœŽŒž›’¢ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Šœ™’Š—ȱ ŽŠǯȱ OSCE Ȋȱ”›Š’—ŽȱŘ ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™’—ȱŽ™•˜¢–Ž—œȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ’—Œ•žŽȱŠȱœ–Š••ȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ’—ȱ‘Š—’œŠ—ǯ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 FOREIGN FORCES ACTIVE 66,950 (Army 56,850 2,200 Air 7,900) ȱꐞ›Žœȱ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—ȱ˜Š•ȱ’—œ”ȱ˜—Ž›Ž—ŒŽȱ–’œœ’˜—ȱ Paramilitary 15,000 ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ’—ȱ‹˜‘ȱ›–Ž—’ŠȱŠ—ȱ£Ž›‹Š’“Š— Conscript liability ȱ ŗŝȱ –˜—‘œǰȱ ‹žȱ ŒŠ—ȱ ‹Žȱ Ž¡Ž—Žȱ ˜›ȱ ȱŗ ›˜ž—ȱ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ ȱŗ ȱŗ RESERVE 300,000 ˜–Žȱ–˜‹’•’œŠ’˜—ȱ›Ž™˜›ŽDzȱřŖŖǰŖŖŖȱ ’‘ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ Russia řǰřŖŖDZȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱȱ‹ŽDzȱŝŚȱȬŝŘDzȱŞŖȱȬ ŗDzȱŞŖȱȬŘDzȱŗŘȱŘŗDzȱŗŘȱȬŘŗǼDzȱŗȱ›ȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱŗŞȱ’ ȬŘşȱ ’‘’—ȱŗśȱ¢ŽŠ›œ Fulcrum DzȱŘȱȱ‹¢ȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant ǼDzȱŗȱ ȱ‹¢ȱ ’‘ȱŘ ŗŘȱ Kub ȱǻȬŜȱ Gainful Ǽ ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Sweden ȱŗ Ukraine ȱŗ Army 56,850 176 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

FORCES BY ROLE PCC řDZ Řȱ Petrushka ȱ ǻȱ  ȬřDzȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱ ›ȱ ›˜•ŽǼDzȱ ŗȱ COMMAND Shelon ǻŽ¡Ȭ ›˜“ŽŒ ŗřŞŞǼ śȱŒ˜›™œȱ  PB ȱřDZȱŗȱ Araz (ex- ȱȱŘśǼDzȱŗȱ Bryza ǻŽ¡Ȭȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŝŘŘǼDzȱ MANEOEUVRE ŗȱ Poluchat ǻŽ¡Ȭ ›˜“ŽŒȱřŜŞǼȱ Mechanised MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES ȱŚȱ Śȱȱ‹Ž MHCȱ ŚDZȱ Řȱ Yevgenya ȱ ǻȱ ›˜“ŽŒȱ ŗŘśŞǼDzȱ Řȱ Yakhont ȱ ǻȱ Light Sonya Ǽ ŗşȱȱ‹Ž AMPHIBIOUS Ŝ Other LSMȱřDZȱŗȱ Polnochny Aȱǻȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŝŝŖǼȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŜȱDzȱ ŗȱœ¢ȱ‹Ž ŗŞŖȱ›˜˜™œǼDzȱŘȱ Polnochny B ȱǻȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŝŝŗǼȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŜȱ COMBAT SUPPORT DzȱŗŞŖȱ›˜˜™œǼ ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž LCU ŗȱ Vydra ȕȱǻǼȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŽ’‘Ž›ȱřȱȬřŖȱȱ˜›ȱ ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›ȱ‹Ž ŘŖŖȱ›˜˜™œǼ ŗȱȱ‹Ž LCMȱŘȱȬŚȱǻǼ ŗȱȱ‹Ž LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT ȱŚ ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž AGS ŗȱǻȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŖŚŝŖǼȱ ŗȱœ’œȱ‹Ž YTB Ř COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT YTD ŗȱ•˜ȱ‹Ž ŗ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Air Force and Air Defence 7,900 MBT ȱŚřřDZȱşśȱȬśśDzȱŘŚŚȱȬŝŘDzȱşŚȱȬşŖ AIFV ȱŘŗŞDZ ŘŖȱȬŗDzȱŚřȱȬŗDzȱřřȱȬŘDzȱŗŖŖȱȬřDzȱŗśȱ FORCES BY ROLE ȬŗDzȱŝȱȬŞŖȱ FIGHTER APC śŜŞ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum APC (T) ȱřřŜȱȬȱ FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK APC (W) ȱŗŚŘDZȱŗŖȱȬŜŖDzȱŗřŘȱȬŝŖ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘŗȱ Fishbed DzȱžȬŗŝȱ ’ĴŽ› DzȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer Dzȱ PPV ȱşŖDZȱŚśȱMarauder; ŚśȱMatador žȬŘś Frogfoot DzȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot B ARTY ȱśŚŘ TRANSPORT SP ȱŞŝDZȱ 122mmȱŚŜȱŘŗDzȱ 152mmȱŘŚDZȱŜȱŘřDzȱŗŞȱŘŗşȱ Msta ȬDzȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub DzȱŠ”ȬŚŖȱ Codling 155mmȱśȱȬŘŖŖŖDz 203mmȱŗŘȱŘŝȱ ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER TOWEDȱŘŖŝDZȱ 122mmȱŗŘşȱȬřŖDzȱ 130mmȱřŜȱȬŚŜDzȱ 152mm ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Dzȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind Dzȱȱ’ȬŘȱ Hoplite ŚŘDZȱŗŞȱŘřŜDzȱŘŚȱȬŘŖ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE GUN/MOR 120mmȱřŜDZȱŗŞȱŘşȱDzȱŗŞȱŘřŗȱ Vena AIRCRAFT ȱŚŚȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž

MRL ŗŖŖƸDZȱ122mmȱśŘƸDZȱŚřȱȬŘŗDzȱşƸȱ  Lynx Dzȱ 128mm FTR ȱŗŚȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum ŗŘȱ ȬŗŘ ; 220mmȱŜȱȬŗDz 300mmȱřŖȱşśŘȱSmerch FGA ȱŗŗDZȱŚȱ’ ȬŘŗȱ Fishbed ǻŗȱ–˜›Žȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼDzȱŚȱžȬŗŝȱ ’ĴŽ› Dzȱ MOR 120mmȱŗŗŘDZȱśȱDzȱŗŖŝȱȬřŞ ŗȱžȬŗŝȱ ’ĴŽ› DzȱŘȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer † AT • MSL • MANPATS ş ŗŗȱ Malyutka ȱ ǻȬřȱ Sagger ǼDzȱ ATK ŗşDZ ŗŜȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱřȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot B ş ŗŗŗȱ Fagot ȱǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱ Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱ TPT ȱŚDZȱMedium ȱŗȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ Light ȱřȱŠ”ȬŚŖȱ Codling ş ŗŗśȱ Metis ȱǻȬŝȱ Saxhorn ǼDzȱSpike Ȭȱ TRG ȱŚŖDZȱŘŞȱȬŘşȱŽ•ę— DzȱŗŘȱȬřşȱAlbatros AD • SAM • SP ȱŘ ŗŗ Krug ȱǻȬŚȱ Ganef ǼDZȱş řřȱ Osa ȱǻȬŞȱ HELICOPTERS Gecko ǼȖDzȱş řśȱ Strela- ŗŖȱǻȬŗřȱ Gopher ǼDzȱş řŝȱ Buk ȬŗȱǻȬ ŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ Ǽ ATK ȱŘŜȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind MANPAD ş řŘ Strela ( Ȭŝ Grail DzǼȱş řŚȱ Strela Ȭř ; ǻȬŗŚ MRH: ŘŖƸȱ’ȬŗŝȬ ȱ Hip Gremlin ǼDzȱş řŗŖȱ IglaȬŗ ǻȬŗŜȱ Gimlet ǼDzȱş řřŞȱ IglaȬ ǻȬŘŚȱ TPT ȱŘŖDZȱMedium ȱŗřȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ Light ȱŝȱȱ’ȬŘȱ Hoplite Grinch Ǽ UAV • ISR • Medium Śȱ Aerostar MSL • SSMȱΉŚȱşŝşȱ Tochka ǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ AD • SAMȱ Ȭŝśȱ Dvina ȱ ǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱ ȬŗŘśȱ Neva ȱ ǻȬ RADAR • LAND ȱ Ȭŗȱ Long Trough ȦȬŘȦȬŜȱ Pork řȱ Goa ǼDzȱȦȬŘŖŖȱ Vega ȱǻȬśȱ Gammon ǼȱœŠ’ŒDzȱȬřŖŖȦŘȱ Trough ȱ ǻŠ›¢ǼDzȱ Small Fred/Small Yawn ȦȬŗŖȱ Big Fred ǻȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle Ǽȱ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ǻŸŽ‘ǰȱŠ›¢ǼDzȱ Ȭŗřȱ Long Eye ȱǻŸŽ‘Ǽ MSL • AAM • IR ȱȬŜŖȱǻȬŞȱ Aphid ǼDzȱȬŝřȱǻȬŗŗȱ Archer Ǽȱ UAV • ISR • Medium ȱřȱAerostar IR/SARH ȬŘŝȱǻȬŗŖȱ Alamo Ǽ AEV ȱȬ MW Bozena Paramilitary ε15,000 Navy 2,200 Border Guard ε5,000 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›—Š•ȱ슒›œ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŞ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE CORVETTES • FS ȱŗȱKusar ȱǻŽ¡Ȭȱ Petya II Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱȱ AIFV ȱŗŜŞȱȬŗȦŘȱ ŜŖŖŖȱSmerch ȱŘǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱŝŜ––ȱž— APC (W) ȱŗşȱȬŜŖȦŝŖȦŞŖȱ PSO ŗȱ Luga ( Woodnik Řȱ•ŠœœǼȱǻȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŞŞŞDzȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱ ARTY • MRL 122mm řȱȬŗŘŘ ›ȱ›˜•ŽǼ HELICOPTERS • ATK ȱŘŚȱ’ȬřśȱHind Russia and Eurasia 177

Coast Guard ŸŠ’•Š‹•Žȱ Žœ’–ŠŽœȱ ŸŠ›¢ȱ ’‘ȱ ›ŽŽ›Ž—ŒŽȱ ˜ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ‘Žȱ˜Šœȱ žŠ›ȱ ŠœȱŽœŠ‹•’œ‘Žȱ’—ȱŘŖŖśȱŠœȱ™Š›ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ ‘˜•’—œȱ ’—ȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ǯȱ Š’—ȱ ‹ŠĴ•Žȱ Š—”œȱ Š›Žȱ ŠŽȱ˜›Ž›ȱŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽǯ žœžŠ••¢ȱ™•ŠŒŽȱŠȱŠ›˜ž—ȱŘŖŖȮřŖŖȱ’—ȱ—ž–‹Ž›ǰȱ ’‘ȱœ’–’•Š›ȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE —ž–‹Ž›œȱ˜›ȱŠ›–˜ž›ŽȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŸŽ‘’Œ•ŽœȱŠ—ȱŠ›’••Ž›¢ȱ™’ŽŒŽœǰȱ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŗŘ ’‘ȱ œ–Š••ȱ —ž–‹Ž›œȱ ˜ȱ ę¡ŽȬȱ Š—ȱ ›˜Š›¢Ȭ ’—ȱ ŠŸ’Š’˜—ǯȱ PBF ȱŞDZȱŗȱOsa ǻȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŘŖśǼDzȱŘȱ Shaldag ȱDzȱŘȱ’•ŸŽ›ȱ ŸŠ’•Š‹•Žȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱŽœ’–ŠŽœȱŠ›Žȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱŗŞǰŖŖŖȮ ‘’™œȱŚŞDzȱřȱ Stenka ŘŖǰŖŖŖǯȱǻŽŽȱ™ǯȱŚşŗǯǼ PB ŚDZȱŘȱŠ•’ŒȱŗśŖDzȱŗȱ Point ȱǻǼDzȱŗȱ Grif ȱǻȱ ZhukǼ LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • ARS ŗ Iva ȱǻȱ Vikhr Ǽ Belarus BLR Militia 10,000+ Belarusian Ruble r 2013 2014 2015 ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›—Š•ȱ슒›œ GDP r 637tr 820tr EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US$ 71.7bn 77.2bn APC (W) ȱŝȱȬŜŖȦȬŝŖȦȬŞŖȱ per capita US$ 7,577 8,195 Growth % 0.9 0.9 DEPLOYMENT In"ation % 18.3 18.6 Legal provisions for foreign deployment: Def exp r ε6.05tr Constitution: ȱ˜’ꮍȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—ȱǻŗşşśǼ US$ ε681m Decision on deployment of troops abroad: ȱ¢ȱ™Š›•’Š–Ž—ȱ US$1=r 8,879.99 10,630.36 Russia and Eurasia ž™˜—ȱ™›˜™˜œŠ•ȱ‹¢ȱ™›Žœ’Ž—ȱǻ›ǯȱŗŖşǰȱ˜ǯȱŘŞǼ Population 9,608,058 AFGHANISTAN NATO Ȋȱ ȱşŚ Age 0 – 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 64 65 plus Male 7.9% 2.5% 3.4% 4.3% 23.9% 4.5% FOREIGN FORCES Female 7.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 26.5% 9.7% ȱꐞ›Žœȱ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—ȱ˜Š•ȱ’—œ”ȱ˜—Ž›Ž—ŒŽȱ–’œœ’˜—ȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ’—ȱ‹˜‘ȱ›–Ž—’ŠȱŠ—ȱ£Ž›‹Š’“Š—ȱ Capabilities Bulgaria ȱŗ ‘Žȱ™›’–Š›¢ȱ›˜•Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ’œȱ˜ȱ™›˜ŽŒȱŽ››’˜›’Š•ȱ Czech Republic ȱŗ ’—Ž›’¢ǯȱ‘ŽȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ‘ŠȱŠȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ’›ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’••ȱ Poland ȱŗ ‹ŽȱœŽȱž™ȱ’—ȱŽ•Š›žœȱ’—ȱŘŖŗŜǰȱ‘˜žœ’—ȱžȬŘŝȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŠ’›Œ›Šǰȱ Sweden ȱŗ ’••ȱ™›˜Ÿ’ŽȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱŠ’›ȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ ’‘’—ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ǯȱ Ukraine ȱŗ žŒ‘ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ’—ŸŽ—˜›¢ȱŒ˜—œ’œœȱ˜ȱŠŽ’—ȱ˜Ÿ’ŽȬ Ž›ŠȱŽšž’™–Ž—ǯȱ’›ȬŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’’ŽœȱŒ˜ž•ȱ‹Žȱ‹˜•œŽ›Žȱ TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT ‹¢ȱ™•Š—œȱ˜ȱž™›ŠŽȱ’œȱžȬŘŝœȱŠ—ȱ‘Ž›ŽȱŠ›ŽȱŠ•œ˜ȱ™•Š—œȱ˜ȱ DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL ™›˜Œž›Žȱ œǯȱ ‘Žȱ Ž•Š›žœ’Š—ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱ žœœ’Šȱ ’—Œ•žŽœȱ ›Žž•Š›ȱ “˜’—ȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œŽœǰȱ Š—ȱ ’—œ”ȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ ŠŠȱ ™›ŽœŽ—Žȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—œȱ Š—ȱ ŠœœŽœœ–Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ —˜’˜—Š••¢ȱœž™™˜›ȱŠȱ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱ“˜’—ȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ ’‘ȱ˜œŒ˜ ǯȱ Žȱ ŠŒ˜ȱ œ’žŠ’˜—ǯȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ȱ Šœȱ ™Š›ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž¡ŒŽ™’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ś‘ȱ ™Žœ—Š£ȱ Žǰȱ £Ž›‹Š’“Š—’ȱ ˜Ÿ’Žȱ ˜Œ’Š•’œȱ Ž™ž‹•’Œȱ ǻǼǰȱ ‹žȱ –˜œ•¢ȱ ›˜ž—Ȭ˜›ŒŽȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ’œȱ™›˜‹Š‹•¢ȱ•’–’ŽȱȮȱŠ•‘˜ž‘ȱœ—Š™ȱ ™˜™ž•ŠŽȱ ‹¢ȱ Ž‘—’Œȱ ›–Ž—’Š—œǯȱ —ȱ ŗşŞŞǰȱ ‘Ž—ȱ ’—Ž›Ȭ ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œȱ‹ŽŠ—ȱŠȱ‘ŽȱœŠ›ȱ˜ȱŘŖŗŚȱ˜ȱ›¢ȱŠ—ȱ’–™›˜ŸŽȱ Ž‘—’ŒȱŒ•Šœ‘Žœȱ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱ›–Ž—’Š—œȱŠ—ȱ£Ž›’œȱŽ›ž™Žȱ’—ȱ ›ŽŠ’—Žœœǯȱ —ȱ ŘŖŗŚȱ ˜œŒ˜ ȱ Š™™›˜ŸŽȱ ‘Žȱ ˜—Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ Š—ȱ £Ž›‹Š’“Š—ǰȱ‘Žȱ•˜ŒŠ•ȱŠž‘˜›’’ŽœȱŽŒ•Š›Žȱ‘Ž’›ȱ’—Ž—’˜—ȱ ž—”—˜ —ȱ —ž–‹Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ ȬřŖŖȱ ȱ œ¢œŽ–œȱ ˜ȱ Ž•Š›žœǯȱ ˜ȱ œŽŒŽŽȱ ›˜–ȱ £Ž›‹Š’“Š—ȱ Š—ȱ “˜’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ›–Ž—’Š—ȱ ǯȱ ’—œ”ȱ ’œȱ Ž¡™•˜›’—ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȬ’—žœ›’Š•ȱ Œ˜˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ ’‘ȱ Š”žȱ›Ž“ŽŒŽȱ‘’œȱŠ—ȱŠ›–ŽȱŒ˜—Ě’ŒȱŽ›ž™ŽǯȱȱŒŽŠœŽę›Žȱ žœœ’Šǰȱ‹žȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ•’–’Š’˜—œȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽ•Š›žœ’Š—ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ Šœȱ‹›˜”Ž›Žȱ’—ȱŗşşŚǯȱ••ȱŽ‘—’Œȱ£Ž›’œȱ‘Šȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱŽ¡™Ž••Žȱ ’—žœ›¢ȱ ’••ȱ •’–’ȱ œž‹œŠ—’ŸŽȱ Œ˜˜™Ž›Š’˜—ǯȱ Ž•Š›žœȱ ’œȱ Œž››Ž—•¢ȱž—Ž›ȱȱŠ—ȱȱœŠ—Œ’˜—œȱŠ—ȱŠ—ȱŠ›–œȱŽ–‹Š›˜ȱ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ›˜–ȱŠ˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ȱŠ—ȱŠ•–˜œȱŠ••ȱŽ‘—’Œȱ›–Ž—’Š—œȱ Ž›Žȱ˜›ŒŽȱ˜ȱ•ŽŠŸŽȱ£Ž›‹Š’“Š—ǯȱ’—ŒŽȱŗşşŚǰȱ›–Ž—’Šȱ‘Šœȱ ’œȱ’—ȱ™•ŠŒŽǯ Œ˜—›˜••Žȱ –˜œȱ ˜ȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ǰȱ Š—ȱ Š•œ˜ȱ œŽŸŽ—ȱ ACTIVE 48,000 (Army 16,500 Air 15,000 Special Š“ŠŒŽ—ȱ›Ž’˜—œȱ˜ȱ£Ž›‹Š’“Š—ǰȱ˜Ž—ȱŒŠ••Žȱ‘Žȱȁ˜ŒŒž™’Žȱ Operations Forces 6,000 Joint 10,500) Paramilitary Ž››’˜›’ŽœȂǯȱ ‘’•Žȱ ›–Ž—’Šȱ ™›˜Ÿ’Žœȱ ™˜•’’ŒŠ•ǰȱ ŽŒ˜—˜–’Œȱ Š—ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ œž™™˜›ȱ ˜ȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ǰȱ ‘Žȱ ›Ž’˜—ȱ 110,000 ‘Šœȱ ŽŒ•Š›Žȱ ’œŽ•ȱ ’—Ž™Ž—Ž—ȱ Ȯȱ Š•‘˜ž‘ȱ ‘’œȱ ‘Šœȱ —˜ȱ RESERVE 289,500 (Joint 289,500 with mil service ‹ŽŽ—ȱ ›ŽŒ˜—’œŽȱ ‹¢ȱ Š—¢ȱ ˜‘Ž›ȱ œŠŽǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ›–Ž—’Šǯȱ within last 5 years) £Ž›‹Š’“Š—ȱ Œ•Š’–œǰȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ›Žœȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ Œ˜––ž—’¢ȱ Ž—Ž›Š••¢ȱ ›ŽŠ›œǰȱ Š˜›—˜Ȭ Š›Š‹Š”‘ȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ŒŒž™’Žȱ Ž››’˜›’Žœȱ Šœȱ ™Š›ȱ ˜ȱ £Ž›‹Š’“Š—ǯȱ ǻŽŽȱ ȱ ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE ›ŠŽ’Œȱ˜––Ž—ǰȱ Medvedev momentum falters in Nagorno- Karabakh ǰȱžžœȱŘŖŗŗǯǼ Army 16,500 178 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

FORCES BY ROLE –’•ȱžœŽǼDzȱ Medium ȱřȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ Light ȱŞDZȱŗȱ—ȬŘŚȱ Coke DzȱŜȱ COMMAND —ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŗȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ŘȱŒ˜–ȱ ȱǻŽœȱǭȱ˜›‘ȱŽœǼ TRG ȱ˜–ŽȱȬřşȱ Albatros MANOEUVRE HELICOPTERS Mechanised ATK ȱŚşȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind Řȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹Ž ISR ȱŘŖDZȱŞȱ’ȬŘŚ ȱHind ŘDzȱŗŘȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind ŗ Řȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹ŽǻȬǼ TPT ȱŗŜŞDZȱHeavyȱŚřDZȱŘşȱ’ȬŜȱHook DzȱŗŚȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dzȱ COMBAT SUPPORT Medium ȱŗŘśȱ’ȬŞȱHip ŘȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž MSL Řȱȱ›Ž ASMȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŖȱ Karen ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘşȱǻȬŗŚȱ Kedge Ǽ ŘȱŽ—›ȱ›Ž ARM ‘ȬśŞȱǻȬŗŗȱ Kilter Ǽȱ ŗȱȱ›Ž AAM • IR ȱȬŜŖȱǻȬŞȱ Aphid ǼDzȱȬŝřȱǻȬŗŗȱ Archer Ǽȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE SARH ȬŘŝȱǻȬŗŖ Alamo Ǽ MBT ȱśŗśDZȱŚŚŜȱȬŝŘDzȱŜşȱȬŞŖ AIFV ȱŗǰŖŗŗDZ ŞŝśȱȬŘDzȱŗřŜȱȬŗȱ Air Defence APC • APC (T) ȱśŖȱȬȱ ȱŠŠȱ›˜–ȱ£Š•ȱŠ›Š—˜Ÿ’Œ‘’ȱȱ›ŠŠ› ARTY ȱşśŝ FORCES BY ROLE SP ȱŚřŚDZ 122mm ȱŗşŞȱŘŗDz 152mm ȱŘřŜDZȱŗŖŞȱŘřDzȱŗŗŜȱŘśDz ŗŘȱ AIR DEFENCE Řŗşȱ Farm ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŘŖŖȱǻȬśȱ Gammon Ǽ TOWED 152mmȱŗŞŖDZȱŚŞȱŘřŜDzȱŗřŘȱŘŜśȱ ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŘŖŖȱǻȬśȱ Gammon ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ GUN/MOR 120mmȱŚŞȱŘşȱȱ Grumble Ǽ MRL ȱŘřŚDZ 122mm ȱŗŘŜȱȬŘŗDz 220mm ȱŝŘȱşŗŚŖȱ Uragan Dz ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦȬŗŘȱ Giant Ǽ 300mmȱřŜȱşśŘȱSmerch ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ Ǽ MOR 120mmȱŜŗȱŘŗŘȱ ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ǼDzȱş řřŘȱTor ȬŘȱ AT • MSL ǻȬŗśȱ Gauntlet Ǽ SP ŘřŜDZȱŗŘŜȱşŗŚŞȱKonkurs DzȱŗŗŖȱşŗŚşȱShturm Řȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱş řřȱ Osa ǻȬŞȱ Gecko Ǽ MANPATS ş ŗŗŗȱ Fagot ȱ ǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗřȱ Konkurs Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble Ǽ ǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗŚȱ Shturm ȱǻȬŜȱ Spiral ǼDzȱş ŗŗśȱ Metis ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŘŖŖȱǻȬśȱ Gammon Ǽ ǻȬŝȱ Saxhorn Ǽ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE RADAR • LAND ȱ Ȭŗřȱ Long Eye ȦȬŗȱ Long Trough Ȧ AD • SAM ȬŘȦȬŜȱ Pork Trough ȱǻŠ›¢ǼDzȱœ˜–Žȱ Small Fred/Small Yawn Ȧ SP ȱş řŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ǼDzȱȬřŖŖǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator Ȧ ȬŗŖȱ Big Fred ȱǻŸŽ‘ǰȱŠ›¢Ǽ ȬŗŘȱ Giant ǼDzȱş řśȱ Strela ȬŗŖȱǻȬŗřȱ Gopher ǼDzȱş řřȱ Osa MSL • TACTICAL • SSMȱşŜDZȱřŜȱ Ȧşŝşȱ Tochka ǻȬ ǻȬŞȱ Gecko ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDzȱŗŘȱş řřŘȱ Tor - ŘŗȱScarab ǼDzȱŜŖȱScud ŘȱǻȬŗśȱ Gauntlet Ǽ AEV ȱȬ TOWEDȱȬŗŘśȱ Pechora ȱǻȬřȱ Goa Ǽ VLB ȱȱ STATIC ȱȬŘŖŖȱǻȬśȱ Gammon Ǽ Air Force and Air Defence Forces 15,000 Special Operations Forces 6,000 •¢’—ȱ‘˜ž›œȱ ŗśȱ‘›œȦ¢ŽŠ› FORCES BY ROLE FORCES BY ROLE SPECIAL FORCES FIGHTER ŗȱȱ‹Ž Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȦȱ Fulcrum MANOEUVRE GROUND ATTACK Mechanised Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘś Ȧ ȱ Frogfoot Ȧ Řȱǻ–˜‹’•ŽǼȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹Ž TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ŗȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŚȱ Coke Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl Dzȱ •ȬŝŜȱ APC • APC (W) ȱŗşŘDZȱřşȱȬŝŖDzȱŗśřȱȬŞŖ Candid DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ARTY • TOWED 122mmȱŚŞȱȬřŖ AT • MSL • MANPATS Fagot Spigot Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 TRAINING ş ŗŗŗȱ ȱǻȬŚȱ ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱ ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱȬřşȱ Albatros Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗŚȱ Shturm ȱǻȬŜȱ Spiral ǼDzȱş ŗŗśȱ ATTACK HELICOPTER Metis ȱǻȬŝȱ Saxhorn Ǽ ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Joint 10,500 (Centrally controlled units and ˜–ŽȱǻŒ‹ȱœ™Ǽȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŜȱ Hook Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ’ȬŘŚ ȱ MoD sta") Hind ȱ ŘDzȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind ȱ ŗDzȱ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo FORCES BY ROLE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE COMBAT SUPPORT AIRCRAFT ȱŝŘȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Žȱ ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ™ FTR řŞȱ’ ȬŘşȦȱ Fulcrum ŗȱȱ‹Ž FGA ǻŘŗȱžȬŘŝȦȱ Flanker Ȧȱ—˜—Ȭ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•Ǽ Řȱȱ‹Ž ATK řŚȱžȬŘś Ȧ ȱ Frogfoot Ȧ ŘȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž TPT ȱŗřDZȱHeavyȱŘȱ •ȬŝŜȱCandid ȱǻƸşȱŒ’Ÿȱ •ȬŝŜȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹•Žȱ˜›ȱ ŗȱȱž—’ Russia and Eurasia 179

ŗȱ™—ȱ‹›’’—ȱ›Ž ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ›ŽœŽ›Ÿ’œȱ ˜›Š—’œŠ’˜—ǰȱ Œ˜––ž—’ŒŠ’˜—œǰȱ Š—’Ȭ Řȱœ’œȱ‹Ž Š›–˜ž›ȱŠ—ȱŠ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǯȱȱœž‹œŠ—’Š•ȱŠ–˜ž—ȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ˜ȱ Ȭœž™™•’Žȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ Šœȱ Žœ›˜¢Žȱ ˜›ȱ ŒŠ™ž›Žȱ APC • APC (T) ȱŘŖȱȬȱ ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜—Ě’ŒǰȱŠ—ȱ Ž˜›’Šȱ•˜œȱŠȱ—ž–‹Ž›ȱ˜ȱ’œȱžœœ’Š—Ȭ ARTY ȱŗşŜ ˜›’’—ȱ ȬŝŘȱ œǯȱ ‘Žȱ œ›ŠŽ•’ȱ œ‘˜›Ȭ›Š—Žȱ Spyder ȱ œ¢œŽ–ȱ SP 152mmȱŝŖȱŘś Šœȱ œž‹œŽšžŽ—•¢ȱ ŠŒšž’›Žȱ ˜ȱ ‹˜•œŽ›ȱ ‘Žȱ Š’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ TOWED 152mmȱşŖȱŘŜśȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱŠ—ȱ›Š™’Ȭ›ŽŠŒ’˜—ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ’–™›˜ŸŽȱ 300mmȱřŜȱşśŘȱSmerch ŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœȱ ‘›˜ž‘ȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ Š—ȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œ’—ǯȱ ȱ ŘŖŗŘȱ MSL • TACTICAL • SSMȱşŜDZȱřŜȱ Ȧşŝşȱ Tochka ǻȬ Ž—‘Š—ŒŽȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȬŒ˜˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ Š›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ ŘŗȱScarab ǼDzȱŜŖȱScud ’••ȱ ™›˜Ÿ’Žȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ ’—ȱ Œ¢‹Ž›ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽǰȱ ‹˜›Ž›ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ǰȱ –’•’Š›¢ȬŽžŒŠ’˜—ȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ Œ˜ž—Ž›Ȭ’—œž›Ž—Œ¢ȱ Paramilitary 110,000 ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œǯȱ ˜ŸŽœȱ Š›Žȱ ž—Ž›ȱ Š¢ȱ ˜ȱ Ž—Ž›ŠŽȱ Šȱ ™˜˜•ȱ ˜ȱ ˜ž›Ȭ¢ŽŠ›ȬŒ˜—›ŠŒȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽ–Ž—ȱ˜ȱ‹˜˜œȱ™›˜Žœœ’˜—Š•’œŠ’˜—ǯȱ Border Guards 12,000 ž››Ž—ȱ™•Š—œȱŒŠ••ȱ˜›ȱ‘Žȱœ–Š••ȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱȮȱŒ˜–™›’œ’—ȱ˜Ÿ’ŽȬ ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜› Ž›Šȱ›˜ž—ȬŠĴŠŒ”ȱŠ’›Œ›ŠǰȱŒ˜–‹ŠȬœž™™˜›ȱ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œȱŠ—ȱ Militia 87,000 ›Š—œ™˜›ȱŠ—ȱž’•’¢ȱ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œȱȮȱ˜ȱ–Ž›Žȱ ’‘ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–¢ǯȱ Ž˜›’ŠȱŽ™•˜¢Žȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ˜ȱ ȱ’—ȱ‘Š—’œŠ—ǰȱŠ—ȱ ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜› ‘Šœȱ Šœ™’›Š’˜—œȱ ˜›ȱ ȱ –Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ǯȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ ŠŒ’Ÿ’¢ȱ Ministry of Interior Troops 11,000 ’—Ÿ˜•ŸŽœȱ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ‘Žȱǯ Russia and Eurasia ACTIVE 20,650 (Army 17,750 Air 1,300 National DEPLOYMENT Guard 1,600) Paramilitary 11,700 LEBANON Conscript liability ȱŗŞȱ–˜—‘œ UN Ȋȱ  ȱŘ ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE UN Ȋȱ ȱŚȱ˜‹œ Army 14,000; 3,750 conscript (total 17,750) UKRAINE FORCES BY ROLE OSCE Ȋȱ”›Š’—Žȱŗ SPECIAL FORCES ŗȱȱ‹Ž FOREIGN FORCES MANOEUVRE Russia ȱŗȱ›ȱ̝ȱ ’‘ȱśȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker DzȱŗȱȬśŖȱ Mainstay DzȱŚȱ Light ȱž—’œȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble Ǽ śȱ’—ȱ‹Ž Amphibious Řȱ–—Žȱ‹—ȱǻŗȱŒŠ›ŽǼ GEO COMBAT SUPPORT ŘȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž Georgian Lari 2013 2014 2015 ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž GDP lari 26.8bn 29.2bn ŗȱœ’œȱ‹— US$ 16.1bn 16.1bn ŗȱ ȱ‹— ŗȱȱ‹— per capita US$ 3,597 3,607 COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT Growth % 3.2 5.0 ŗȱ–Žȱ‹— In"ation % -0.5 4.6 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Def bdgt lari 660m 711m 750m MBT ȱŗŘřDZȱŘřȱȬśśDzȱŗŖŖȱȬŝŘ US$ 397m 393m RECCE ŚƸȱDidgori ȬŘ FMA (US) US$ 14m 12m 10m Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 AIFV ȱŝŘDZ ŘśȱȬŗDzȱŚŜȱȬŘDzȱŗȱȬŗ US$1=lari 1.66 1.81 APC ȱŗşşƸ APC (T) ȱŜşƸDZȱřƸȱLazika DzȱŜŜȱȬ Population 4,935,880 APC (W) ȱŗŘŖƸDZȱŘśȱȬŝŖDzȱŗşȱȬŞŖDzȱŞƸȱ Didgori ȬŗDzȱřƸȱ Age 0 – 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 64 65 plus Didgori ȬřDzȱŜśȱEjder PPV ȱŗŖ Cougar Male 9.3% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 21.2% 6.0% ARTY ȱŘŚŖ Female 8.3% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 23.8% 9.3% SP ȱŜŝ 152mmȱŜŜDZȱřŘȱDzȱŘŖȱŘŗDzȱŗřȱŘřDzȱŗȱŘŗşDzȱ Capabilities 203mmȱŗȱŘŝȱ TOWEDȱŝŗDZ 122mmȱśŞȱȬřŖDzȱ152mmȱŗřDZȱřȱŘřŜDzȱŗŖȱ Ž˜›’ŠȂœȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ˜ȱ –Š”Žȱ Žě˜›œȱ ˜ȱ ŘŜśȱ Š›Žœœȱ •Žœœ˜—œȱ ›˜–ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—Ě’Œȱ ’‘ȱ žœœ’Šȱ ’—ȱ ŘŖŖŞǰȱ MRL 122mmȱřŝDZȱŗřȱȬŘŗDzȱŜȱ DzȱŗŞȱȬŝŖȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ›ŽŸŽŠ•Žȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—ȱ œ‘˜›Œ˜–’—œȱ ’—ȱ ”Ž¢ȱ Š›ŽŠœǰȱ MOR 120mmȱŜśDZȱŗŚȱŘŗŘDzȱřřȱȬŝśDzȱŗŞȱŗŘŖ 180 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

AT ȱΉśŖ AFGHANISTAN MSL ȱΉŗŖ NATO Ȋȱ ȱŝśśDzȱŗȱ–—ȱ’—ȱ‹— GUNS ȱΉŚŖȱ CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLCI AD • SAM • SP ş řśȱ Strela ȬŗŖȱǻȬŗřȱ Gopher ǼDzȱSpyder NATO MANPAD ;ȱş řŘȱStrela ȬŘ ǻȬŝ Grail ǼȖDzȱş řŜȱ Ȋȱ ȱŗŚŖDzȱŗȱ’—ȱŒ˜¢ Strela ȬřȱǻȬŗŚ Gremlin ǼDzȱş řŗŖȱIglaȬŗȱǻȬŗŜȱ Gimlet Ǽ SERBIA OSCE Ȋȱ ˜œ˜Ÿ˜ȱŚ Air Force 1,300 (incl 300 conscript) UKRAINE ŗȱŠŸ—ȱ‹ŠœŽǰȱŗȱ‘Ž•ȱŠ’›ȱ‹ŠœŽ OSCE Ȋȱ”›Š’—Žȱŗ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIRCRAFT ȱŗŘȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž ATK ȱŗŘDZȱřȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱŝȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot DzȱŘȱžȬŘśȱ TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT Frogfoot B DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE TPT • Light ȱşDZȱŜȱ—ȬŘȱ Colt DzȱŗȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ȱǻ ǼDzȱŘȱ CONTROL Š”ȬŚŖȱ Codling ˜••˜ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ žžœȱ ŘŖŖŞȱ Š›ȱ ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱ žœœ’Šȱ Š—ȱ TRG ȱşȱȬŘşȱŽ•ę— Ž˜›’Šǰȱ‘ŽȱŠ›ŽŠœȱ˜ȱ‹”‘Š£’ŠȱŠ—ȱ˜ž‘ȱœœŽ’ŠȱŽŒ•Š›Žȱ HELICOPTERS ‘Ž–œŽ•ŸŽœȱ ’—Ž™Ž—Ž—ǯȱ ŠŠȱ ™›ŽœŽ—Žȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—œȱ ATK Ŝȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind ‘Žȱ Žȱ ŠŒ˜ȱ œ’žŠ’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ ˜Žœȱ —˜ȱ ’–™•¢ȱ ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ TPT ȱŘşȱMedium ȱŗŝȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dz Light ȱŗŘȱŽ••ȱŘŖśȱǻ Ȭ ›ŽŒ˜—’’˜—ȱŠœȱœ˜ŸŽ›Ž’—ȱœŠŽœǯ ŗ ȱ Iroquois Ǽ UAV • ISR • Medium ŗƸ ȱŚśŖ FOREIGN FORCES AD • SAMȱŗȮŘȱ‹—ȱş řŝȱ Buk ȬŗȱǻȬŗŗ ȱ ŠĚ¢ ǼǰȱŞȱş řřȱ Osa Ȭ ȱǻȬŞȱ Gecko Ǽȱǻ ˜ȱ‹¢ǼǰȱŜȬŗŖȱş řřȱ Osa Ȭ ȱ Russia ȱŝǰŖŖŖDzȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱŠȱ žŠžŠȱǻ‹”‘Š£’ŠǼȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱ ž™ŠŽȱȱœ¢œŽ–œǯ ȱ‹ŽDzȱŚŖȱȬşŖDzȱŗŘŖȱȬŞŘDzȱŗŞȱŘřDzȱŗŘȱŘŗŘDzȱŗŞȱȬ ŘŗDzȱœ˜–ŽȱȬřŖŖȱDzȱœ˜–ŽȱŠ”ȱ‘Ž•ǼDzȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱŠȱ“ŠŸŠȦ National Guard 1,600 active reservists opcon œ”‘’—ŸŠ•’ȱǻǯȱœœŽ’ŠǼȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱȱ‹ŽDzȱŚŖȱȬŝŘDzȱŗŘŖȱȬ Army ŘDzȱřŜȱŘřDzȱŗŘȱŘŗŘǼ FORCES BY ROLE MANOEUVRE Kazakhstan KAZ Light ŗȱ’—ȱ‹Ž Kazakhstani Tenge t 2013 2014 2015 GDP t 35.3tr 40.3tr Paramilitary 11,700 US$ 232bn 226bn Border Guard 5,400 per capita US$ 13,509 12,950 Growth % 6.0 4.6 Coast Guard In"ation % 5.8 6.9 ȱŠȱ˜’ǯȱ‘ŽȱŠŸ¢ȱ Šœȱ–Ž›Žȱ ’‘ȱ‘Žȱ˜Šœȱ žŠ›ȱ Def bdgt t 348bn 363bn 377bn ’—ȱŘŖŖşȱž—Ž›ȱ‘ŽȱŠžœ™’ŒŽœȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ Ž˜›’Š—ȱ˜›Ž›ȱ žŠ›ǰȱ US$ 2.29bn 2.03bn ’‘’—ȱ‘Žȱ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ —Ž›’˜›ǯ FMA (US) US$ 1.8m 1.5m 0.8m EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US$1=t 152.13 178.68 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŘŗ PBF ŜDZȱŚȱ›ŽœȱŚř–Dzȱŗȱ Kaan 33; ŗȱ Kaan 20 Population 17,948,816 PB ȱŗśDZȱŗȱAkhmeta DzȱŘȱDauntless DzȱŘȱDilos ǻŽ¡Ȭ ǼDzȱŗȱ Ethnic groups: Kazakh 51%; Russian 32%; Ukrainian 5% ; German Kutaisi ǻŽ¡ȬȱȱŘśǼDzȱŘȱ Point DzȱŝȱZhuk ǻřȱŽ¡Ȭ Ǽ 2% ; Tatar 2% ; Uzbek 13% ǻž™ȱ˜ȱŘŖȱ™Š›˜•ȱ•Šž—Œ‘ŽœȱŠ•œ˜ȱ’—ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽǼȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCU ŗȱ Vydra Age 0 – 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 64 65 plus ǻŽ¡Ȭ Ǽ Male 12.5% 3.7% 4.5% 4.7% 20.1% 2.4% LOGISTIC AND SUPPORT • YTL ŗȱ Female 12.6% 3.5% 4.4% 4.7% 22.4% 4.6% Ministry of Interior Troops 6,300 Capabilities DEPLOYMENT Š£Š”‘œŠ—ȂœȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŠ›Žȱœ–Š••ȱŠ—ȱ›Ž•’Š—ȱ˜—ȱ˜Ÿ’ŽȬ Ž›Šȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǯȱ ȱ ŘŖŗŗȱ ’•’Š›¢ȱ ˜Œ›’—Žȱ ’Ž—’ꮍȱ ‹˜‘ȱ Legal provisions for foreign deployment of armed ’—Ž›—Š•ȱ Š—ȱ Ž¡Ž›—Š•ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—œǰȱ Š—ȱ ›’œ”œȱ ›˜–ȱ forces: ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱ ’—œŠ‹’•’¢ǰȱ ‹žȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ Ž›Žȱ Ž ȱ ˜›ŒŽȬœ›žŒž›Žȱ Constitution: ȱ˜’ꮍȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—ȱǻŗşşśǼ Œ‘Š—ŽœȱŽŠ’•Žǰȱ ’‘ȱ–žŒ‘ȱ˜Œžœȱ˜—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŸŽ•˜™–Ž—ȱ˜ȱ Decision on deployment of troops abroad: ȱ¢ȱ‘Žȱ™›Žœ’ - Š£Š”‘œŠ—Ȃœȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ’—žœ›¢ǯȱ Š£Š”‘œŠ—ȱ –Š’—Š’—œȱ Šȱ Ž—Œ¢ȱž™˜—ȱ™Š›•’Š–Ž—Š›¢ȱŠ™™›˜ŸŠ•ȱǻ›ǯȱŗŖŖǼ Œ•˜œŽȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱžœœ’Šǰȱ›Ž’—˜›ŒŽȱ‘›˜ž‘ȱ Russia and Eurasia 181

’œȱ–Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱȱŠ—ȱǯȱ˜œŒ˜ ȱ˜™Ž›ŠŽœȱ MSL • SSMȱŗŘȱş ŝşȱTochka ǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ Šȱ ›ŠŠ›ȱ œŠ’˜—ȱ Šȱ Š•”Šœ‘ǰȱ Š—ȱ œŽŽ”œȱ ˜ȱ ’—Œ•žŽȱ Š£Š”‘ - AEV ȱȬ œŠ—ȱ ’—ȱ Šȱ ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱ Š’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ —Ž ˜›”ȱ ˜›ȱ ‘Žȱ ǯȱœȱ œžŒ‘ǰȱžœœ’Šȱ’œȱŠ’–’—ȱ˜ȱ™›˜Ÿ’ŽȱȬřŖŖȱŠ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ¢œ - Navy 3,000 Ž–œȱ ›Š’œȱ ›˜–ȱ ’œȱ ˜ —ȱ œ˜Œ”œȱ Š—ȱ ’—ȱ Š¢ȱ ŘŖŗŚȱ Šȱ ˜’—ȱ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ŗŝ ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱ›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ Šœȱ›Š’ꮍǯȱ —ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–¢ǰȱŠ’›Ȭ–˜ - PCG ŗȱ Kazakhstan ’‘ ŘȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŚŘŚȱ Uran ‹’•Žȱ ž—’œȱ Š›Žȱ ‘Ž•ȱ Šȱ ‘Žȱ ‘’‘Žœȱ •ŽŸŽ•ȱ ˜ȱ ›ŽŠ’—Žœœǰȱ ’‘ȱ ǻȬȬŘśȱ Switchblade Ǽȱ‘ǰȱŗȱ Ghibka ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱȬȬ ˜‘Ž›ȱž—’œȱŠȱ•˜ Ž›ȱ•ŽŸŽ•œǯȱ‘Ž›ŽȱŠ›Žȱ˜—˜’—ȱŽě˜›œȱ˜ȱ’– - ŗŖȱGimlet ȱ ™›˜ŸŽȱ‘Žȱ—ŠŸ¢ȱŠ—ȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽǰȱ ’‘ȱ–˜Žœȱ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ PBF śDZȱřȱSea Dolphin; Řȱ Saygak; ™›˜“ŽŒœȱ ž—Ž›ȱ Š¢ǯȱ’›•’ȱ ’œȱ ‹Ž’—ȱ ’–™›˜ŸŽǰȱ ’‘ȱ “˜’—ȱ PB ŗśDZȱŚȱAlmaty DzȱřȱArchangel; ŗ Dauntless DzȱŚȱSardar Dzȱŗ Turk ŸŽ—ž›Žœȱ Š—ȱ ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ Ž—Ÿ’œŠŽȱ ’‘ȱ ž›˜™ŽŠ—ȱ Œ˜– - ǻȱŘśǼDzȱŘ ǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱŗȱ–Š¢ȱ‹Žȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•Ǽ ™Š—’Žœȱ˜›ȱ›˜Š›¢Ȭ ’—ȱŠ—ȱ–Ž’ž–Ȭ•’ȱę¡ŽȬ ’—ȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AGS ŗȱ Zhaik Š—ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ›ŽŒŽ’™ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ȬŘşśǯȱ ˜ ŽŸŽ›ǰȱ Š’› ˜›‘’ - —Žœœȱ›Ž–Š’—œȱ™›˜‹•Ž–Š’Œǯȱ‘Žȱ—ŠŸ¢ǰȱ–ŽŠ— ‘’•Žǰȱ’œȱœŽŽ”’—ȱ Coastal Defence MANOEUVRE ˜ȱ™›˜Œž›Žȱ’œȱꛜȱŒ˜›ŸŽĴŽȱ›˜–ȱ˜ŸŽ›œŽŠœȱŽœ’—œǯ Other ACTIVE 39,000 (Army 20,000 Navy 3,000 Air 12,000 ŗȱŒ˜ŠœŠ•ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ‹Ž MoD 4,000) Paramilitary 31,500 Conscript liability ȱŗŘȱ–˜—‘œ Air Force 12,000 (incl Air Defence)

•¢’—ȱ‘˜ž›œ ŗŖŖȱ‘›œȦ¢ŽŠ› Russia and Eurasia ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE FORCES BY ROLE FIGHTER Army 20,000 ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȦ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum Śȱ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱŒ˜–DZȱœŠ—ŠǰȱŠœǰȱŽœȱŠ—ȱ˜ž‘Ž›— Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬřŗȦ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound FORCES BY ROLE FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘŝȱ Flogger Dzȱ’ ȬŘřȱ Flogger C MANOEUVRE Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ Flanker Armoured GROUND ATTACK ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot Mechanised TRANSPORT Śȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹Ž ŗȱž—’ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty DzȱžȬŗśŚȱ Careless, Air Manoeuvre ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub ǰȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl, —ȬřŖȱ Clank ǰȱ—ȬŝŘȱ ŚȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹Ž Coaler COMBAT SUPPORT TRAINING řȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱȬřşȱ Albatros ŗȱȱž—’ ATTACK HELICOPTER řȱŒ‹ȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž śȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TRANSPORT HELICOPTER MBT ȱřŖŖȱȬŝŘ ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱŽ••ȱŘŖśȱǻ Ȭŗ ǼDzȱŗŚśDzȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip; ȱ’Ȭ RECCE ȱŗŖŖDZȱŚŖȱDzȱŜŖȱ ŗŝȬśȱHip Dzȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo AIFV ŜśŘDZ śŖŖȱȬŘDzȱŗŖŝȱȬŞŖDzȱŚřȱȬŞŘDzȱŘȱȬ AIR DEFENCE ř ˜–Žȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŝśȱ Volkhov ȱǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱȬŗŘśȱ APC řśŝ Neva ȱǻȬřȱ Goa ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDzȱŘ ŗŗȱKrug APC (T) ŗśŖȱȬȱ ǻȬŚȱ Ganef ǼDzȱȬŘŖŖȱAngara ǻȬśȱ Gammon ǼDzȱŘ ŗŘȱKub APC (W) ȱŘŖŝDZȱŗşŖȱȬŞŖDzȱŗŝȱ Cobra ǻȬŜȱ Gainful Ǽ ARTY ȱŜŖŘ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE SP ȱŘŚŜDZ 122mmȱŗŘŜDZȱŗŘŖȱŘŗDzȱŜȱSemser Dzȱ 152mmȱŗŘŖȱŘřȱ AIRCRAFT ȱŗŘŘȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 TOWEDȱŗśŖDZ 122mmȱŗŖŖȱȬřŖDz 152mmȱśŖȱŘŜśDzȱ FTR ȱśśDZȱŗŘȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱŘȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱŚŗȱ (122mmȱž™ȱ˜ȱřŖŖȱȬřŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ ’ ȬřŗȦ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound GUN/MOR 120mmȱŘśȱŘşȱ Anona FGA śřDZȱŘŚȱ’ ȬŘŝȱ Flogger ȱDzȱŚȱ’ ȬŘř Flogger DzȱŘŗȱ MRL ȱŗŗŞDZ 122mmȱŗŖŖȱȬŘŗȱ Grad Dz 300mmȱŗŞȱLynx žȬŘŝȱ Flanker; ȱŚȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker ǻ ’‘ȱśŖȱ–œ•ǼDzȱǻ 122mmȱŗŖŖȱȬŘŗȱ Grad Dzȱ 220mmȱŗŞŖȱ ATK ŗŚDZȱŗŘȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot; ȱŘȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot şŗŚŖȱUragan Š••ȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼȱ ISR ȱŗȱ—ȬřŖ Clank MORȱŜřȱSP 120mm ȱŗŞȱȱ 120mmȱŚśȱŘŗŗȦŗŘŖȱ TPT ȱŗśDZȱMedium ȱŘȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub DZȱ Light ŗŘDzȱŜȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl, AT 2 —ȬŝŘȱ Coaler DzȱŘȱȬŘşśDzȱŘȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Dzȱ PAX ȱŗȱžȬŗśŚȱ MSL Careless SP ȱřȱȬ TRG ȱŗŝȱȬřşȱAlbatros MANPATS ȱş ŗŗŗ Fagot ǻȬŚ Spigot ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱKonkurs HELICOPTERS ǻȬś Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗśȱMetis ǻȬŜ Spiral Ǽȱ ATK ŚŖƸȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind ȱǻꛜȱşȱž™›ŠŽǼ GUNS 100mmȱŜŞȱȬŗŘȦȬŗŘȱ MRH ŘŖȱ’ȬŗŝȬś Hip 182 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

TPT ȱŜŚDZȱHeavy Řȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dz Medium ȱśŖȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ Light ŗŘDZ ŜȱŽ••ȬŘŖśȱǻ Ȭŗ ǼDzȱŜȱŗŚś Capabilities AD • SAMȱŗŚŝƸȱ ¢›¢£œŠ—ȱ–Š’—Š’—œȱ˜—Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱœ–Š••Ž›ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ’—ȱ SP ȱŚŝƸDZȱŘŖȱŘ ŗŘȱKub ȱǻȬŜȱ Gainful) DzȱŘŝƸȱŘ ŗŗ Krug ǻȬŚ Ž—›Š•ȱ œ’Šǰȱ ’‘ȱ ŠŽ’—ȱ •Š—ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ •’–’Žȱ Š’›Ȭ Ganef) ȦȬŘŖŖȱ Angara ȱǻȬśȱ Gammon ǼDzȱœŠ’ŒDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Œ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’’ŽœȱŠ—ȱ—˜ȱ—ŠŸ¢ǯȱȱ—Ž ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ˜Œ›’—Žȱ Grumble Ǽ Šœȱ Ž—ŠŒŽȱ ’—ȱ ž•¢ȱ ŘŖŗřǰȱ œŽĴ’—ȱ ˜žȱ ™˜œœ’‹•Žȱ ‘›ŽŠœȱ ˜ȱ TOWEDȱŗŖŖȱȬŝś Volkhov ǻȬŘ Guideline ǼDz ȬŗŘś Neva ‘ŽȱœŠŽȱŠ—ȱ™•Š—œȱ˜ȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ‘Žȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ ǻȬřȱ Goa Ǽ ™•Š—œȱ™›˜–’œŽǰȱŠ–˜—ȱ˜‘Ž›ȱ‘’—œǰȱ–˜Ž›—ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ MSL ’‘ȱ Ž—‘Š—ŒŽȱ Œ˜––Š—ȬŠ—ȬŒ˜—›˜•ǰȱ ŽěŽŒ’ŸŽȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ASMȱ ‘ȬŘřȱǻȬŝȱ Kerry ǼȖDzȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŖȱ Karen ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘşȱ •˜’œ’ŒœȱŠ—ȱŠȱ–˜Ž›—ȱŠ’›ȬŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ¢œŽ–ǰȱŠ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽ›–ȱ ǻȬŗŚȱ Kedge Ǽ ȁ–˜‹’•’œŠ’˜—ȱ›ŽŠ’—ŽœœȂǯȱ —ȱŽ—Ž›Š•ǰȱŒ˜–‹Šȱ›ŽŠ’—Žœœȱ›Ž - ARMȱ ‘ȬŘŞȱǻȬşȱ Kyle ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘŝȱǻȬŗŘȱ Kegler ǼDzȱ ‘ȬśŞȱ –Š’—œȱ•˜ ȱ ’‘ȱ•Š›Žȱ—ž–‹Ž›œȱ˜ȱ™˜˜›•¢ȱ›Š’—ŽȱŒ˜—œŒ›’™œȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ Kilter Ǽ ’‘’—ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ˜›ȱ‘ŽœŽȱ›ŽŠœ˜—œǰȱ ¢›¢£œŠ—ȱ‘Šœȱ AAM • IR ȬŜŖȱǻȬŞȱ Aphid ǼDzȱȬŝřȱǻȬŗŗȱ Archer ǼDzȱIR/ ŠȱŒ•˜œŽȱœ›ŠŽ’Œȱ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱžœœ’Šǰȱ‹Ž’—ȱŠȱ–Ž–‹Ž›ȱ SARH ȬŘŝȱǻȬŗŖȱ Alamo ǼDzȱSARH ȬřřȱǻȬşȱ Amos ǼDzȱ ˜ȱ‹˜‘ȱ‘ŽȱȱŠ—ȱ‘Žȱǯȱ˜œŒ˜ ȱ–Š’—Š’—œȱŠȱ–˜ - ARH Ȭŝŝ ( ȬŗŘȱ Adder ȱȮȱ˜—ȱ’ ȬřŗǼ Žœȱ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱ˜ȱœ›’”ŽȱŠ—ȱ›Š—œ™˜›ȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ’—ȱ Š—ȱŠ’›ȱ‹ŠœŽǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ’ȱ‘Šœȱ•ŽŠœŽȱœ’—ŒŽȱŘŖŖřǰȱŠ—ȱ’—ȱŽ‹›žŠ›¢ȱŘŖŗŚȱžœ - Paramilitary 31,500 œ’ŠȱŠ——˜ž—ŒŽȱ‘Šȱ˜ž›ȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot ȱ›˜ž—Ȭ ŠĴŠŒ”ȱŠ’›Œ›Šȱ ˜ž•ȱ‹Žȱ‹ŠœŽȱ‘Ž›Žǯȱ ¢›¢£œŠ—ȱ’ȱ—˜ȱ Government Guard 500 ˜ěŽ›ȱ‘ŽȱȱŠ—ȱŽ¡Ž—œ’˜—ȱ˜›ȱ’œȱ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱŠȱŠ—ŠœȱŠ’›ȱ‹ŠœŽǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱŒ•˜œŽȱ’—ȱ ž—ŽȱŘŖŗŚǯ Internal Security Troops ε20,000 ACTIVE 10,900 (Army 8,500 Air 2,400) Paramilitary ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜› 9,500 Presidential Guard 2,000 Conscript liability ȱŗŞȱ–˜—‘œ

State Border Protection Forces ε9,000 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜›ȱ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS Army 8,500 HEL • TPT • Medium ȱŗȱ’Ȭŗŝŗ FORCES BY ROLE SPECIAL FORCES DEPLOYMENT ŗȱȱ‹Ž WESTERN SAHARA MANOEUVRE Mechanised UN Ȋȱ ȱŘȱ˜‹œ Řȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱǻ–—Ǽȱȱ‹Ž Kyrgyzstan KGZ COMBAT SUPPORT ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž Kyrgyzstani Som s 2013 2014 2015 ŗȱȱ‹Ž GDP s 350bn 391bn EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US$ 7.23bn 7.65bn MBT ȱŗśŖȱȬŝŘȱ RECCE ȱřŖȱȬŘȱ per capita US$ 1,280 1,342 AIFV ȱřŘŖDZȱŘřŖȱȬŗDzȱşŖȱȬŘȱ Growth % 10.5 4.1 APC (W) ȱřśDZȱŘśȱȬŝŖDzȱŗŖȱȬŞŖȱ In"ation % 6.6 8.0 ARTY ȱŘŚŜȱ Def bdgt [a] s 4.91bn 4.87bn SP 122mmȱŗŞȱŘŗȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 US$ 101m 95m TOWEDȱŗŚŗDZ 100mm ȱŗŞȱȬŗşŚŚDz 122mm ȱŗŖŝDZȱŝŘȱȬřŖDzȱřśȱ FMA (US) US$ 1.5m 1.5m ȬřŖȱǻȬŗşřŞǼDz 152mmȱŗŜȱȬŗȱ GUN/MOR 120mmȱŗŘȱŘşȱ Anona US$1=s 48.45 51.16 MRL ȱŘŗDZȱ122mmȱŗśȱȬŘŗDzȱ 220mmȱŜȱşŗŚŖȱUragan [a] Expenses on Ministry of Defence & Ministry of Interior. MOR 120mmȱśŚDZȱŜȱŘŗŘDzȱŚŞȱȬŗŘŖȱ Population 5,604,212 AT • MSL • MANPATS ȱş ŗŗȱǻȬř Sagger ǼDzȱş ŗŗŗȱǻȬŚ Ethnic groups: Kyrgyz 56%; Russian 17%; Uzbek 13%; Ukrainian Spigot ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱǻȬś Spandrel Ǽȱ 3% RCL 73mmȱ Ȭşȱ GUNS 100mmȱŗŞȱȬŗŘȦȬŗŘȱ Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus AD • SAM • MANPAD ȱş řŘȱStrela- ŘȱǻȬŝȱ Grail ǼȖȱ GUNS ȱŚŞ Male 15.2% 4.7% 5.2% 4.8% 17.3% 1.9% SP 23mmȱŘŚȱȬŘřȬŚ Female 14.5% 4.5% 5.1% 4.7% 19.1% 3.0% TOWED 57mmȱŘŚȱȬŜŖȱ Russia and Eurasia 183

Air Force 2,400 Moldova MDA FORCES BY ROLE FIGHTER Moldovan Leu L 2013 2014 2015 ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřşȱ Albatros * GDP L 100bn 108bn FIGHTER/TRANSPORT US$ 7.97bn 7.74bn ŗȱǻŒ˜–™ȱŠŸ—Ǽȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘŗȱ Fishbed Dzȱ—ȬŘȱ Colt Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ per capita US$ 2,239 2,176 Curl Growth % 8.9 1.8 ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER In"ation % 4.6 5.1 ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Def exp L 303m AIR DEFENCE US$ 24m Pechora Goa Dvina ˜–Žȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŗŘśȱ ǻȬřȱ ǼDzȱȬŝśȱ Def bdgt [a] L 304m 355m 403m ǻȬŘȱ Guideline Ǽ US$ 24m 25m EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FMA (US) US$ 1.25m 1.25m 1.25m AIRCRAFT ȱřřȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž US$1=L 12.59 13.95 FGA ȱŘşȱ’ ȬŘŗȱ Fishbed [a] Excludes military pensions TPT • Light ȱŜDZȱŚȱ—ȬŘȱ Colt DzȱŘȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl TRG ȱŚȱȬřşȱAlbatros* Population 3,583,288 HELICOPTERS Age 0 – 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 64 65 plus Russia and Eurasia ATK ȱŘȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind Male 9.1% 3.3% 4.1% 4.7% 23.2% 4.2% TPT • Medium ȱŞȱ’ȬŞȱHip Female 8.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.4% 24.6% 6.9% AD • SAM SP ȱŘ ŗŗȱKrug ȱǻȬŚȱ Ganef Ǽȱ Capabilities TOWEDȱȬŝśȱ Dvina ȱǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱȬŗŘśȱPechora ȱǻȬ ˜•˜ŸŠȱ ‘Šœȱ •’–’Žȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ Š—ȱ –Š’—•¢ȱ řȱ Goa Ǽ ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ǯȱ œȱ Œ˜—œŒ›’™Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȂȱ Paramilitary 9,500 ™›’–Š›¢ȱ˜Œžœȱ›Ž–Š’—œȱ‘Žȱ’œ™žŽȱŽ››’˜›¢ȱ˜ȱ›Š—œ—’ - Žœ›ǰȱ‘˜ž‘ȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ȱ’œȱŠ•œ˜ȱ•˜˜”’—ȱ˜ȱŽŸŽ•˜™ȱž›‘Ž›ȱ Border Guards 5,000 (KGZ conscript, RUS ’œȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ˜ȱŒ˜—›’‹žŽȱ˜ȱ™ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™’—ȱŠ—ȱŒ›’œ’œȬ–Š— - o$cers) ŠŽ–Ž—ȱ –’œœ’˜—œȱ ’—ȱ Šȱ –ž•’—Š’˜—Š•ȱ Œ˜—Ž¡ǯȱ ˜•˜ŸŠ—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Š›Žȱ Ž™•˜¢Žȱ ’—ȱ œ–Š••ȱ —ž–‹Ž›œȱ ˜—ȱ ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ Interior Troops 3,500 Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜ž—›¢ȱ ’œȱ ŽŸŽ•˜™’—ȱ ž—’œȱ ˜›ȱ ’—Ž›˜™Ž›Š‹’•’¢ȱ ’‘ȱ ǯȱ –™•Ž–Ž—’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ›ŽŒ˜––Ž—Š’˜—œȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ National Guard 1,000 ŘŖŗŗȱ›ŠŽ’ŒȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱŽŸ’Ž ǰȱŒŠ››’Žȱ˜žȱ ’‘ȱ ȱœž™ - ™˜›ǰȱ ’œȱ Šȱ ™›’˜›’¢ǰȱ ‘˜ž‘ȱ ž—’—ȱ ™›˜‹•Ž–œȱ –ŽŠ—ȱ ‘’œȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ ™›˜ŸŽȱ Šȱ Œ‘Š••Ž—Žǯȱ žœœ’Šȱ Œ˜—’—žŽœȱ ˜ȱ œŠ’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ DEPLOYMENT Š›–¢ȱ Š››’œ˜—ȱ Šœȱ Ž••ȱ Šœȱ Šȱ ȁ™ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™’—Ȃȱ Œ˜—’—Ž—ȱ ’—ȱ ›Š—œ—’Žœ›ǰȱ Š—ȱ ’—ȱ ŽŠ›•¢ȱ ŘŖŗŚȱ Œ˜—žŒŽȱ Ž¡Ž›Œ’œŽœȱ ’—ȱ LIBERIA ‘Žȱ Ž››’˜›¢ǯȱ ˜••˜ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Š——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ Š—ȱ UN Ȋȱ ȱřȱ˜‹œ ˜•˜ŸŠȂœȱŽŸŽ•˜™’—ȱ’Žœȱ ’‘ȱ‘ŽȱŽœǰȱ‘’œȱ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱ’œȱ Š’’˜—Š••¢ȱ™›˜‹•Ž–Š’Œǯȱ‘Žȱœ›ŠŽ’ŒȱŠ—ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ’–™•’ - MOLDOVA ŒŠ’˜—œȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ž—Žȱ ŘŖŗŚȱ œ’—’—ȱ ˜ȱ Š—ȱ Šœœ˜Œ’Š’˜—ȱ Š›ŽŽ - OSCE Ȋȱ˜•˜ŸŠȱŗ –Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱ‘ŽȱȱŠ›ŽȱŠœȱ¢Žȱž—Œ•ŽŠ›ǯ SERBIA ACTIVE 5,350 (Army 3,250 Air 800 Logistic Support OSCE Ȋȱ ˜œ˜Ÿ˜ȱŗ 1,300) Paramilitary 2,400

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 SOUTH SUDAN RESERVE 58,000 (Joint 58,000) UN Ȋȱ ȱŘȱ˜‹œ SUDAN ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE UN Ȋȱ ȱŘȱ˜‹œ Army 1,300; 1,950 conscript (total 3,250) UN Ȋȱ ȱŗȱ˜‹œ FORCES BY ROLE UKRAINE SPECIAL FORCES OSCE Ȋȱ”›Š’—ŽȱŚ ŗȱȱ‹— MANOEUVRE Light FOREIGN FORCES řȱ–˜ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž Russia ΉśŖŖȱ’•’Š›¢ȱ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽœDZȱśȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱŘȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip ŗȱ–˜ȱ’—ȱ‹— 184 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

Other LIBERIA ŗȱȱ‹— UN Ȋȱ ȱŘȱ˜‹œ COMBAT SUPPORT SERBIA ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹— ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹— NATO Ȋȱ ȱŚŗ ŗȱȱŒ˜¢ SOUTH SUDAN ŗȱœ’œȱŒ˜¢ UN Ȋȱ ȱŗ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE UKRAINE RECCE ȱśȱȬŘ OSCE Ȋȱ”›Š’—Žȱş AIFV ȱŚŚȱȬŗȱ APC ȱŗśŝȱ APC (T) ȱŜŘDZȱşȱȬDzȱśřȱȬȱȱ FOREIGN FORCES APC (W) ȱşśDZ ŗŗȱȬŞŖDzȱŞŚȱȬŝŗ Czech Republic ȱŗ ARTY ȱŗŚŞȱ ȱŗ TOWEDȱŜşDZȱ122mmȱŗŝȱǻȬřŖǼȱM-1938 Dzȱ 152mmȱśŘDZȱŘŗȱ France ȱŗ ŘřŜDzȱřŗȱȬŘŖȱ ȱŗ GUN/MOR • SP 120mm ȱşȱŘşȱ Anona Kyrgyzstan ȱŗ MRL 220mmȱŗŗȱşŗŚŖȱUragan Poland ȱŗ MORȱśşDZȱ82mmȱśŘDz 120mmȱŝȱȬŗŘŖȱ AT Russia ΉŗǰśŖŖȱǻ’—Œ•ž’—ȱřśŖȱ™ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™Ž›œǼȱ’•’Š›¢ȱ’›ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱŝȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind Ȧ’ȬŞȱ Hip MSL • MANPATS ȱş ŗŗŗȱFagot ȱǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱ Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗŚȱShturm ȱǻȬŜȱ Spiral Ǽ Spain ȱŗ RCL 73mmȱ Ȭşȱ Sweden ȱȱŗ GUNS 100mmȱřŜȱȬŗŘȱ  ’ĵŽ›•Š—ȱ ȱŗ AD • GUNS • TOWEDȱřşDZ 23mm ŘŞȱȬŘřDzȱ57mmȱŗŗȱ Ukraine ŗŖȱ–’•ȱ˜‹œȱǻ ˜’—ȱŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™’—ȱ˜›ŒŽǼ ȬŜŖȱ United Kingdom ȱŗ RADAR • LAND ȱŚDZȱŘȱ ȬŗDzȱŘȱȬŗŖ United States ȱř Air Force 800 (incl 250 conscripts) FORCES BY ROLE Russia RUS TRANSPORT Russian Rouble r 2013 2014 2015 Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘȱ Colt Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl Dzȱ—ȬŝŘȱ Coaler Dzȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip DzȱŠ”ȬŗŞ GDP r 66.8tr 72.7tr AIR DEFENCE US$ 2.1tr 2.06tr ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŗŘśȱ Neva ȱǻȬřȱ Goa Ǽ US$ [a] 3.5tr 3.6tr EQUIPMENT BY TYPE per capita US$ 14,591 14,317 AIRCRAFT Growth % 1.3 0.2 TPT • Light ȱŜDZȱŘȱ—ȬŘȱ Colt Dzȱŗȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŘȱ—ȬŝŘȱ Coaler In"ation % 6.8 7.4 ŗȱŠ”ȬŗŞ Def bdgt r 2.1tr 2.47tr 3.29tr HELICOPTERS US$ 66.1bn 70bn MRH ȱŚȱ’ȬŗŝȬŗȱHip H TPT • Medium ȱŘȱ’ȬŞȱHip US$ [a] 110bn 121bn AD • SAMȱřȱȬŗŘśȱNeva ȱǻȬřȱ Goa Ǽȱȱ US$1=r MER 31.84 35.33 PPP 19.12 20.42 Paramilitary 2,400 [a] PPP estimate ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜› Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Population 142,470,272 OPON 900 (riot police) Ethnic groups: Tatar 4%; Ukrainian 3%; Chuvash 1%; Bashkir 1%; ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜› Belarussian 1%; Moldovan 1%; Other 8% Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus DEPLOYMENT Male 8.2% 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 23.7% 4.0% Legal provisions for foreign deployment: Female 7.8% 2.3% 3.3% 4.4% 26.8% 9.1% Constitution: ȱ˜’ꮍȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—ȱǻŗşşŚǼ Decision on deployment of troops abroad: ȱ¢ȱ‘Žȱ™Š›•’Š - Capabilities –Ž—ȱǻ›ǯȱŜŜǼ ‘Žȱ ŸŠ›’˜žœȱ œ›Š—œȱ ˜ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ –˜Ž›—’œŠ’˜—ȱ CÔTE D’IVOIRE ŽœŒ›’‹Žȱ ’—ȱ ™›ŽŸ’˜žœȱ Ž’’˜—œȱ ˜ȱ The Military Balance UN Ȋȱ ȱŚȱ˜‹œȱ Œ˜—’—žŽǯȱ˜–Žȱ˜ȱ‘ŽœŽȱ–ŽŠœž›Žœȱ Ž›ŽȱœžŒŒŽœœž••¢ȱŽœŽȱ Russia and Eurasia 185

ž›’—ȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ œŽ’£ž›Žȱ ˜ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ ’—ȱ ŘŖŗŚǯȱ ICBMȱřŝŞDZȱśŚȱȬŘŖȱǻȬŗŞȱ Satan Ǽȱǻ–˜œ•¢ȱ–˜ȱśǰȱŗŖȱ Ž ȱ’—Š—›¢ȱŽšž’™–Ž—ǰȱŒ˜––ž—’ŒŠ’˜—œȱŠ—ȱ Tigr •’‘Ȭ  ȱ ™Ž›ȱ –œ•ǼDzȱ ŗŜŖȱ ȬŗŘȱ ǻȬŘśȱ Sickle Ǽȱ ǻ–˜‹’•Žȱ Š›–˜ž›Žȱ ŸŽ‘’Œ•Žœȱ Ž›Žȱ ˜‹œŽ›ŸŽȱ ž›’—ȱ ‘’œȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ǰȱ œ’—•Žȱ Š›‘ŽŠǼDzȱŚŖȱȬŗŞȱǻȬŗşȱ ’•ŽĴ˜ Ǽȱǻ–˜œ•¢ȱ–˜ȱ Šœȱ ŠœȱŽ•ŽŒ›˜—’ŒȬ Š›Š›ŽȱŽšž’™–Ž—ǯȱžȱ‘Žȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ȱ’ȱ řǰȱ Ŝȱ  ȱ ™Ž›ȱ –œ•ǯǼDzȱ ŜŖȱ ȬŗŘŘȱ Topol Ȭȱ ǻȬŘŝŗǼȱ —˜ȱ›ŽĚŽŒȱ‘ŽȱŽěŽŒȱ˜ȱ›Ž˜›–ȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ‹›˜ŠŽ›ȱ˜›ŒŽDzȱ›˜˜™œȱ œ’•˜Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱǻœ’—•Žȱ Š›‘ŽŠǼDzȱŗŞȱȬŗŘŘȱ Topol ȬȱǻȬ ’—ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ Ž›Žȱ ’—’’Š••¢ȱ –Š’—•¢ȱ ȱ Š—ȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ ŘŝŗǼȱ ›˜Šȱ –˜‹’•Žȱ ǻœ’—•Žȱ Š›‘ŽŠǼDzȱ ŚŘȱ ȬŘŚȱ Yars ›ŽĚŽŒ’ŸŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ‘’‘Ž›ȱ •ŽŸŽ•œȱ ˜ȱ ›Š’—’—ǰȱ Œ˜––Š—ȬŠ—Ȭȱ ǻȬŘŝŘDzȱΉřȱ ȱ™Ž›ȱ–œ•ǼDzȱŚȱȬŘŚȱ Yars ȱǻȬŘŝŘDzȱΉřȱ Œ˜—›˜•ǰȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ ž—’—ȱ ‘Šȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ ‘ŠŸŽȱ  ȱ™Ž›ȱ–œ•Ǽȱœ’•˜Ȭ‹ŠœŽ Ž—“˜¢Žǯȱ‘ŽȱŠŒ’Œœȱ’œ™•Š¢Žȱœ‘˜ ŽȱŠ—ȱ’—Ž›ŠŽȱžœŽȱ˜ȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱ›Š™’ȱ–˜‹’•’¢ȱŠ—ȱŽ•ŽŒ›˜—’ŒȬ Š›Š›Žȱ˜˜•œǰȱ Long-Range Aviation Command Œ˜ž™•Žȱ ’‘ȱŽ—’Š‹’•’¢ȱŠ—ȱŽŒŽ™’˜—ȱ‘ŠȱŽ–˜—œ›ŠŽȱ FORCES BY ROLE ‘Žȱ ȁ—˜—Ȭ•’—ŽŠ›Ȃȱ Š›Š›Žȱ ’œŒžœœŽȱ ‹¢ȱ Šȱ ˜™ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ BOMBER –’•’Š›¢ȱ˜ĜŒ’Š•ǰȱŽœŒ›’‹Žȱ‹¢ȱœ˜–Žȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽœȱŠœȱȁ‘¢‹›’ȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗŜŖȱ Blackjack Š›Š›ŽȂǯȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜—Œž››Ž—ȱ›Š™’ȱ–˜‹’•’œŠ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŽœŽ›—ȱ řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬşśȱ Bear Š—ȱ˜ž‘Ž›—ȱ’•’Š›¢ȱ’œ›’Œœǰȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ‹›˜ž‘ȱŠȱ›Ž™˜›Žȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ŚŖǰŖŖŖȱ ›˜˜™œȱ ˜ȱ ŠœœŽ–‹•¢ȱ Š›ŽŠœȱ Œ•˜œŽȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ ‹˜›Ž›ǰȱ Š•œ˜ȱ Š™™Š›Ž—•¢ȱ ™›˜ŒŽŽŽȱ œ–˜˜‘•¢ǯȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ AIRCRAFT ȁœ—Š™ȱ ’—œ™ŽŒ’˜—œȂȱ ’—ȱ –˜œȱ ’•’Š›¢ȱ ’œ›’Œœȱ Œ˜—’—žŽǯȱ BBR ȱ ŝŞDZȱ ŗŜȱ žȬŗŜŖȱ Blackjack ȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ ž™ȱ ˜ȱ ŗŘȱ ‘Ȭ ˜–Žȱ Ž›Žȱ ‘žŽȱ ’—ȱ œŒŠ•Žǰȱ Š—ȱ žœœ’Šȱ Œ˜—’—žŽœȱ ˜ȱ žœŽȱ śśȱȱǻȬŗśȦȱ Kent Ǽȱ—žŒ•ŽŠ›ȱDzȱřŗȱžȬşśŜȱ (Bear ȱ ȬŜǼȱŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱž™ȱ˜ȱŜȱ ‘ȬśśȦȱǻȬŗśȦȱ Kent Ǽȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ ˜ȱ ’Ž—’¢ȱ Š›ŽŠœȱ ˜›ȱ ’–™›˜ŸŽ–Ž—ǯȱ •‘˜ž‘ȱ –˜œȱ Russia and Eurasia Œ˜—ŸŽ—’˜—Š•ȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ Šœȱ—˜ȱŽœŽȱ’—ȱŘŖŗŚǰȱ‘Žȱ —žŒ•ŽŠ›ȱDzȱ řŗȱ žȬşśŗŜȱ ǻ Bear ȱ ȬŗŜǼȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ œŠ—’—ȱŠ—ȱ–˜›Š•Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ ’••ȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ ž™ȱ˜ȱŗŜȱ ‘ȬśśȱǻȬŗśȱ Kent Ǽȱ—žŒ•ŽŠ›ȱDzȱǻ ‘ȬŗŖŘȱ ‹ŽŽ—ȱ‹˜˜œŽȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ›’–ŽŠȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—ǯȱǻŽŽȱ™™ǯȱŗśşȮŜŝǯǼ •’”Ž•¢ȱ—˜ ȱ’—ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ˜—ȱžȬşśǼ ACTIVE 771,000 (Army 230,000 Navy 130,000 Air Aerospace Defence Forces 148,000 Strategic Deterrent Forces 80,000 Airborne ˜›–Š’˜—œȱ Š—ȱ ž—’œȱ ˜ȱ ŽŽŒȱ –’œœ’•Žȱ ŠĴŠŒ”ȱ ˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ 32,000 Special Operations Forces 1,000 Command Š—ȱ’œȱŠ••’Žœǰȱ˜ȱ’–™•Ž–Ž—ȱǰȱŠ—ȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱ›Žœ™˜—œ’‹•Žȱ˜›ȱ and Support 150,000) Paramilitary 489,000 –’•’Š›¢ȦžŠ•ȬžœŽȱœ™ŠŒŽŒ›Šȱ•Šž—Œ‘ȱŠ—ȱŒ˜—›˜• Conscript liability ȱŗŘȱ–˜—‘œǯȱ Space Command RESERVE 2,000,000 (all arms) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ˜–Žȱ ŘǰŖŖŖǰŖŖŖȱ ’‘ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ ’‘’—ȱ •Šœȱ śȱ ¢ŽŠ›œDzȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȱ SATELLITES ȱŝŚ ˜‹•’Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱŠŽȱśŖǯ COMMUNICATIONS ȱřśDZȱřȱ˜ȱ Globus (Raduga ȬŗǼDzȱ ş Strela DzȱŗşȱRodnik (Gonets ȬǼDzȱŚȱ Meridian ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE NAVIGATION/POSITIONING/TIMING ȱřřȱ  ELINT/SIGINT ŚDZȱŗȱ Kondor Dzȱŗȱ Liana ( Lotos ȬǼDzȱŗ Persona Dzȱ Strategic Deterrent Forces ε80,000 (incl ŗȱ Tselina ȬŘDzȱ personnel assigned from the Navy and Air Force) EARLY WARNING ȱŘȱOko Navy RADAR ȱ ŗŘDzȱ žœœ’Šȱ •ŽŠœŽœȱ ›˜ž—Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ ›ŠŠ›ȱ œŠ’˜—œȱ ’—ȱ Š›Š—˜Ÿ’Œ‘’ȱ ǻŽ•Š›žœǼȱ Š—ȱ Š•”‘Šœ‘ȱ ǻ Š£Š”‘œŠ—Ǽǯȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ȱ Š•œ˜ȱ ‘Šœȱ ›ŠŠ›œȱ ˜—ȱ ’œȱ ˜ —ȱ Ž››’˜›¢ȱ Šȱ Ž”‘žœ’ǰȱ SUBMARINES • STRATEGIC • SSBN ȱŗŘDZ ǻȱ ŽŽ›œ‹ž›ǼDzȱ ›–ŠŸ’›ǰȱ ǻ ›Šœ—˜Š›ǼDzȱ •Ž—Ž˜›œ”ǰȱ řȱ Kalmar ( Delta ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗŜȱȬśŖȱǻȬȬŗŞȱ Stingray Ǽ ǻž›–Š—œ”ǼDzȱ ’œ‘Ž•Ž”Ÿ”Šǰȱ ǻ ›”žœǼDzȱ Š•’—’—›ŠDzȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ ŽŒ‘˜›Šǰȱ ǻ ˜–’ǼDzȱ Ž—’œŽ¢œ”ǰȱ ǻ ›Šœ—˜¢Š›œ”ǼDzȱ Š›Š—ž•ǰȱ ( Ŝȱ Ž•ę— Delta ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗŜȱȬŘşȱ Sineva ȱǻȬȬŘřȱ ǻ•Š¢œ”’¢ǼDzȱ ›œ”ǰȱ ǻ›Ž—‹ž›Ǽȱ Š—ȱ ˜›˜ŽœȦ ˜Ÿ¢•”’—˜ȱ ”’ě Ǽȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ ȱ ǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ŗȱ ŸŽœœŽ•ȱ ’—ȱ ›Ž™Š’›ȱ ǻ Ǽ ˜••˜ ’—ȱŠȱꛎDzȱŽ¡™ŽŒŽȱ›Žž›—ȱ˜ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱŘŖŗŚǼ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ŗȱ Akula ( Typhoon Ǽȕȱ ’—ȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȱ ’‘ȱ ŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ ˜›ȱ ŘŖȱ Aerospace Defence Command Bulava ǻȬȬȬřŘǼ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱȱǻ›’Š•œȦŽœ’—Ǽ FORCES BY ROLE Řȱ Borey ȱ ’‘ȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ˜›ȱŗŜȱ Bulava ȱǻȬȬȬřŘǼȱȱ AIR DEFENCE ǻ–’œœ’•Žœȱ—˜ȱ¢Žȱ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ǼǰȱǻŗȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱž—’ȱ ’‘ȱ řȱȱ‹Žȱ  Ž¡™ŽŒŽȱ ȱŘŖŗŚȦŗśǼ Şȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŘŖȱ Strategic Rocket Force Troops Gargoyle Ǽ řȱ ˜Œ”Žȱ ›–’Žœȱ ˜™Ž›Š’—ȱ œ’•˜ȱ Š—ȱ –˜‹’•Žȱ •Šž—Œ‘Ž›œȱ Śȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗȱ Growler ǼDzȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir ȬŗȱǻȬ ˜›Š—’œŽȱ ’—ȱ ŗŘȱ ’Ÿœǯȱ Šž—Œ‘Ž›ȱ ™œȱ —˜›–Š••¢ȱ ’‘ȱ ŗŖȱ ŘŘȱGreyhound Ǽ œ’•˜œȱ ǻŜȱ ˜›ȱ ȬŘŖȦȬŗŞǼǰȱ ˜›ȱ şȱ –˜‹’•Žȱ •—Œ‘›ǰȱ Š—ȱ ˜—Žȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Œ˜—›˜•ȱŒŽ—›Ž AD • SAM • SP ȱŘŘŘDZȱŗśŖȱȬřŖŖȦȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble Ȧ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle ǼDzȱ ŚŞȱ ȬŚŖŖȱ ǻȬŘŗ Growler ǼDzȱ ŘŚȱ şŜ Ŝȱ MSL • STRATEGIC ȱřŝŞ Pantsir ȬŗȱǻȬŘŘȱ Greyhound Ǽ 186 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

MISSILE DEFENCE ŜŞȱśřŜȱǻȬřȱ Gazelle Ǽ; ǻřŘȱśŗŜȱ TOWEDȱŗśŖDZȱ 152mm ŗśŖȱŘŜśDzȱǻŗŘǰŚŗśȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽDZ 122mm ǻȬŚȱ Gorgon Ǽȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽDzȱ™˜œœ’‹•¢ȱŽœ›˜¢ŽǼ ŞǰŗśŖDZȱŚǰŚŖŖȱȬřŖDzȱřǰŝśŖȱȬřŖȱǻȬŗşřŞǼDzȱ 130mmȱŜśŖȱȬŚŜDz RADAR ȱŗȱȱŽ—ŠŽ–Ž—ȱœ¢œŽ–ȱ•˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱ˜›’—˜ȱ 152mmȱřǰśŝśDZȱŗǰŗŖŖȱŘřŜDzȱŜŖŖȱŘŜśDzȱŗǰŖŝśȱȬŘŖDzȱŝŖŖȱȬŗȱ ǻ˜œŒ˜ Ǽ ȬŗşŚřDzȱŗŖŖȱȬŘŖȱȬŗşřŝDzȱ 203mmȱŚŖȱȬŚǼȱ GUN/MOR ȱŗŞŖƸ Army ε230,000; (incl conscripts) SP 120mmȱŞŖƸDZ řŖȱŘŘřȱȬ DzȱśŖƸ ŘřŚ ›Š—œ˜›–Š’˜—ȱ™›˜ŒŽœœȱŒ˜—’—žŽœDzȱŚȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ’œ›’ŒœȱǻŽœȱ TOWED 120mm ȱŗŖŖȱŘŗŜȱȬ ȱ ǻ ȱȱŽŽ›œ‹ž›ǼǰȱŽ—›Žȱǻ ȱŽ”ŠŽ›’—‹ž›Ǽǰȱ˜ž‘ȱǻ ȱ MRL ȱŞśŖƸȱ 122mm śśŖȱȬŘŗDzȱ 220mmȱŘŖŖȱşŗŚŖȱ Uragan Dz ˜œ˜ŸȬ˜—Ȭ˜—Ǽȱ ǭȱ Šœȱ ǻ ȱ ‘Š‹Š›˜Ÿœ”ǼǼǰȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ Šȱ œ˜–ŽȱȬŗDzȱ 300mmȱŗŖŖȱşśŘȱ Smerch; ȱǻřǰŘŘŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽDZȱ ž—’ꮍȱ ˜’—ȱ›ŠŽ’Œȱ˜––Š—ǯ 122mm ŘǰŚŘŖDZȱŘǰŖŖŖȱȬŘŗDz ŚŘŖȱşŗřŞDzȱ132mm ŗŖŖȱȬ 220mm FORCES BY ROLE ŗřDzȱ ȱŝŖŖȱşŗŚŖȱUragan Ǽ MORȱŗǰśŖŖ COMMAND SP ( 240mmȱŚřŖȱŘŚȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼȱ ŗŖȱŠ›–¢ȱ  TOWED ŗǰśŖŖDZ 82mm ŞŖŖȱ ŘŗŚDzȱ 120mmȱ ŝŖŖȱ ŘŗŘDzȱ SPECIAL FORCES ǻŘǰŘŖŖȱ ’—ȱ œ˜›ŽDZȱ 120mmȱ ŗǰşŖŖDZȱ ŗǰŖŖŖȱ ŘŗŘDzȱ şŖŖȱ ȬřŞDz ŝȱǻ™Žœ—Š£Ǽȱȱ‹Ž 160mmȱřŖŖȱȬŗŜŖǼ MANOEUVRE AT Reconnaissance MSL ŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹Ž SP Ȭȱ ’‘ ş ŗŘŖȱ Ataka ȱ ǻȬşȱ Spiral ŘǼDz şŗŚşȱ Armoured ’‘ȱş ŗŗŚȱ Shturm ȱǻȬŜȱ Spiral ǼDzȱşŗśŝȬŘȱ ’‘ȱş ŗŘř ŗȱǻŚ‘Ǽȱ”ȱ’ŸȱǻŘȱ”ȱ›ŽǰȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›ŽǼ Khrisantema ȱǻȬŗśȱ Springer Ǽ řȱ”ȱ‹ŽȱǻŗȱŠ›–ȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹—Dzȱřȱ”ȱ‹—Dzȱŗȱȱ‹—DzȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—Dzȱ MANPATS ȱ ş ŗŗŗȱ Fagot ȱ ǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗŘ Kobra ŗȱȱ‹—DzȱŘȱȱ‹—DzȱŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹—DzȱŗȱȱŒ˜¢DzȱŗȱȱŒ˜¢Ǽȱ (ȬŞȱ Songster Ǽ;ȱş ŗŗřȱ Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗŚȱ Mechanised Shturm ȱ ǻȬŜȱ Spiral ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗśȱ Metis ȱ ǻȬŝȱ Saxhorn ǼDzȱ ŘȱǻؗȱǭȱŘŖŗœǼȱȱ’ŸȱǻŘȱȱ›ŽǰȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›ŽǼ ş ŗŗśȬŗȱ Metis-  ( Ȭŗřȱ Saxhorn ȱ ŘǼ ;ȱ ş ŗŗŜȱ Bastion/ ŘŞȱȱ‹Žȱǻŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹—Dzȱŗȱ”ȱ‹—Dzȱřȱȱ‹—DzȱŘȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—Dzȱŗȱȱ Basnya ȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ Stabber Ǽ; ş ŗŗş ȱ ŽĚŽ¡ȦŸ’› ȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ ‹—Dzȱŗȱȱ‹—DzȱŘȱȱ‹—DzȱŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹—DzȱŗȱȱŒ˜¢DzȱŗȱȱŒ˜¢Ǽ Sniper Ǽ; ş ŗřśȱ Kornet ( ȬŗŚȱ Spriggan Ǽ Řȱȱ‹ŽȱǻŚȯśȱȱ‹—DzȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—Dzȱŗȱȱ‹—DzȱŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹—Ǽ RCL 73mmȱ Ȭşȱ řȱǻ•Ȧ–—Ǽȱȱ‹Žȱǻŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹—DzȱŘȱȱ‹—DzȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹—Ǽ RL 105mmȱ ȬŘş ŗȱ ǻŗޝ‘Ǽȱ  ȱ ’Ÿȱ ǻŘȱ  ȱ ›ŽDzȱ ŗȱ Š›¢ȱ ›ŽDzȱ ŗȱ ”ȱ ‹—Dzȱ Řȱ GUNS • TOWED 100mmȱ śŘŜȱ ȬŗŘDzȱ ǻ 100mmȱ ŘǰŖŖŖȱ ȱ‹—Ǽȱ ȬŗŘȦȬŗŘȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ COMBAT SUPPORT AD ŞȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž SAMȱŗǰśŝŖƸ Śȱȱ‹Ž SP ȱŗǰśŝŖƸDZȱřśŖƸȱş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬŗŝȱ ŗȱȱ›Ž Grizzly ǼDzȱ ŚŖŖȱ ş řřřȱ Osa Ȭ  ( ȬŞȱ Gecko ǼDzȱ ŚŖŖȱ Śȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱş ŝŘŖȱ Iskander ȬȱǻȬŘŜȱ Stone Ǽ ş řśřȱ Strela ȬŗŖ ( Ȭŗřȱ Gopher ǼDzȱŗŘŖƸȱş řřŖȦş řřŗȱ śȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱş ŝşȱ Tochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab ȱȯȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱ›Ž - Tor ȱ ǻȬŗśȱ Gauntlet ǼDzȱ ŘśŖƸȱ Ř ŘŘȱ Tunguska ǻȬŗş ™•ŠŒŽȱ‹¢ȱ Iskander ȬǼ Grison Ǽ şȱȱ‹Ž MANPAD ȱş řŗŖȱ Igla- ŗ ( ȬŗŜȱ Gimlet ǼDzȱş řŞȱ IglaȱǻȬ ŚȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž ŗŞȱGrouse ǼDzȱş řřřȱ Verba Dzȱş řřŞȱ IglaȬȱǻȬŘŚȱ Grinch ǼDzȱ ŗȱȱ‹Ž ş řŚȱ Strela Ȭř ( ȬŗŚȱ Gremlin Ǽ śȱȱ‹Ž GUNS COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT SP 23mm ȱȬŘřȬŚ ŗŖȱ•˜ȱ‹Ž TOWED 23mmȱȬŘřȬŘDzȱ57mmȱȬŜŖ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE UAV • Heavy žȬŗŚřȱ Reys DzȱžȬŘŚřȱ Reys ȦžȬŘŚřȱ Reys DzȱžȬ MBT ŘǰŜŖŖDZȱŗǰřŖŖȱȬŝŘȦDzȱŚŖŖȱȬŝŘřDzȱśśŖȱȬŞŖȦDzȱřśŖȱ řŖŖ Korshun Light ȱȬŖŝDzȱ Pchela ȬŗDz Pchela ȬŘ ȬşŖȦȬşŖDzȱ ǻŗŝǰśŖŖȱ ’—ȱ œ˜›ŽDZȱ ŘǰŞŖŖȱ ȬśśDzȱ ŘǰśŖŖȱ ȬŜŘDzȱ ŘǰŖŖŖȱ MSL • SRBMȱŗŘŖDZȱŝŖȱş ŝşȱTochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab ǼDzȱśŖȱş ŝŘŖȱ ȬŜŚȦDzȱŝǰŖŖŖȱȬŝŘȦȬŝŘȦDzȱřǰŖŖŖȱȬŞŖȦȦDz ŘŖŖȱȬşŖǼ Iskander ȬȱǻȬŘŜȱ Stone ǼDzȱǻœ˜–Žȱ Scud ȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ RECCE ȱ ŗǰŘŖŖƸDZȱ ŗŖŖƸȱ Dozor ǰȱ ŗŖŖƸȱ Tigr ǰȱ ŗǰŖŖŖȱ ȬŘȦŘDzȱ AEV ȱȬŘDzȱ Dzȱ ȬŘDzȱ DzȱȬ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ǻŗǰŖŖŖƸȱȬŘȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ ARV ȱȬŗDzȱȬŗȦŜŚȦ ȦDzȱȬśŖ ǻǼDzȱŗşŝŝDzȱȬ AIFV ȱ śǰŗŘśƸDZȱ śŖŖȱ ȬŗDzȱ řǰŖŖŖȱ ȬŘDzȱ śŖŖƸȱ ȬřDzȱ ŝŖŖȱ DzȱȬ DzȱȬśŚȦśśDzȱȬŝŘ Ȭŗ DzȱŘŝśȱȬŞŖȦŞŘDzȱŗśŖȱȬŞŘDzȱǻŞǰśŖŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽDZȱ VLB ȱ DzȱȬśśDzȱDzȱȬŘŖDzȱȬŝŘDzȱȬŘ ŝǰŖŖŖȱȬŗDzȱŗǰśŖŖȱȬŘǼ MWȱȬřDzȱ ȬřDzȱȬŘȱǻ›Ž™˜›ŽǼDzȱ Dzȱ ȬŘ APC ȱŜǰŖŖŖƸȱ APC (T) ȱřǰśŖŖƸDZȱœ˜–ŽȱȬDzȱřǰśŖŖȱȬDzȱǻŘǰŖŖŖȱȬ Reserves ȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼȱ Š›Žȱ˜›–Š’˜—œ APC (W) ȱŘǰśŖŖDZȱŞŖŖȱȬŜŖDzȱŘŖŖȱȬŝŖDzȱŗǰśŖŖȱȬŞŖDzȱ FORCES BY ROLE ǻŚǰŖŖŖȱȬŜŖȦŝŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ MANOEUVRE ARTY ȱŚǰŗŞŖƸ Armoured SP ȱŗǰśŖŖDZ 122mm ȱŗśŖȱŘŗDz 152mm ŗǰřśŖDZȱŞŖŖȱŘřDzȱŗŖŖȱŘśDzȱ ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž ŚśŖȱŘŗşDzȱǻŚǰřŖŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽDZȱ 122mm ȱŘǰŖŖŖȱŘŗDz 152mm ȱŗǰşśŖDZȱ Mechanised ŗǰŖŖŖȱŘřDzȱŞśŖȱŘśDz ŗśŖȱŘŗşDzȱ 203mm ȱřŘŖȱŘŝǼ ŗřȱȱ‹Ž Russia and Eurasia 187

Navy ε130,000; (incl conscripts) Kortik  ȱ ’‘ȱ řřŗŗȱ ǻȬȬŗŗȱ Grison Ǽȱ ǰȱ Ŝȱ Śȱ–Š“˜›ȱ̎Žȱ˜›Š—’œŠ’˜—œȱǻ˜›‘Ž›—ȱ•ŽŽǰȱŠŒ’ęŒȱ•ŽŽǰȱ  ŜřŖȱ ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗŞȬŘŚȱžȬřřȱ Flanker D ȱ ȱŠŒDzȱ Š•’Œȱ•ŽŽǰȱ•ŠŒ”ȱŽŠȱ•ŽŽǼȱŠ—ȱŠœ™’Š—ȱŽŠȱ•˜’••Š ŗśȱ ŠȬŘŝȱHelix ȱ ‘Ž•ǰȱŘȱ ŠȬřŗȱ Helix  ‘Ž•Ǽ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ȱŜ SUBMARINES ȱśş CGHMN ȱŘDZ ( STRATEGIC • SSBN ȱŗŘDZ Řȱ Orlan Kirov Ǽ ’‘ȱŗŖȱ ’—ȱȱ ’‘ȱřŚśȱ Granit řȱ Kalmar ( Delta ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ ŗŜȱ ȬŘşȱ Volna ǻȬȬŗŞȱ ǻȬȬŗşȱ Shipwreck Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Stingray Ǽ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ Osa- ȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŗŘȱ˜Œž™•Žȱȱ ’‘ȱ ŜȱȱŽ•ę— ( Delta ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗŜȱȬŘşȱ Sineva ȱǻȬȬŘřȱ Fort ȦFort ȱ ȱ ǻȬȬŜȱ Grumble ȦȬȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle Ǽȱ ”’ě Ǽȱœ›ŠŽ’ŒȱȱǻŗȱŽ¡™ŽŒŽȱ˜ȱ›Žž›—ȱ˜ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ ǰȱ Řȱ ˜Œž™•Žȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ ř şśȱ Kindzhal ȱ ǻȬȬ ‹¢ȱŽ—ȬŘŖŗŚȱ˜••˜ ’—ȱ›Ž™Š’›Ǽȱ şȱ Gauntlet ǼȱǰȱŗŖȱœ’—•Žȱśřř––ȱǰȱŗȱȱ ŗȱ Akula ( Typhoon Ǽȕȱ’—ȱ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȱ˜›ȱ›Š’—’—ȱ ’‘ȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ ŗŘŖŖŖȱUdav ŗǰȱŘȱȱŗŖŖŖȱ Smerch řǰȱŜȱȬȬŗȱ ˜›ȱ ŘŖȱ Bulava ȱ ǻȬȬȬřŘǼȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ ȱ ǻ›’Š•œȦ Kortik  ȱ ’‘ȱřřŗŗȱǻȬȬŗŗȱ Grison Ǽȱǰȱŗȱ Žœ’—Ǽ  ’—ȱŗřŖ––ȱž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱřȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱȱ‘Ž•Ǽȱ Řȱ Borey ȱ ’‘ȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ˜›ȱŗŜȱ Bulava ȱǻȬȬȬřŘǼȱȱ ǻŗȱ—˜—Ȭ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•Dzȱž—Ž›˜’—ȱŽ¡Ž—œ’ŸŽȱ›ŽęȱŠ—ȱ ǻ–’œœ’•Žœȱ —˜ȱ ¢Žȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ǼDzȱ ǻŗȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱ ŸŽœœŽ•ȱ Ž¡™ŽŒŽȱ›Žž›—ȱ˜ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ’—ȱŘŖŗŝǼ ’‘ȱŽ¡™ŽŒŽȱ ȱŘŖŗŚȦŗśǼ CGHMȱŚDZȱ TACTICAL ȱŚŝ ŗȱȱBerkot -B ( Kara ǼȕȱǻœŒ‘Žž•Žȱ˜ȱ‹ŽȱŽŒ˜––’œœ’˜—ŽǼǰȱ SSGN ȱşDZȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Rastrub ȱ ǻȬȬŗŚȱ Silex Ǽȱ Russia and Eurasia Şȱ Antyey ( Oscar ȱ Ǽȱ ǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ řȱ ’—ȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȦ›Ž™Š’›Ǽȱ ‘ȦǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱŚ ŜŖȱ Shtorm ȱǻȬ ’‘ȱ Řȱ ŗŘȬŒŽ••ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŚśȱ Granit ȱ ǻȬȬŗşȱ Ȭřȱ Goblet ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬ Shipwreck Ǽ ‘ǰȱ Řȱ œ’—•Žȱ ŜśŖ––ȱ ȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ Śȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱšž’—ž™•Žȱśřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱ ȬŜśȱ ǰȱŚȱœ’—•Žȱśśř––ȱ ŜŖŖŖǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ ŝŜ––ȱ ž—œȱ ǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ ŗȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ŗȱ Yasen (Graney Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱ˜Œž™•Žȱȱ ’‘ȱřśśȱ Onyx ȱ‘Ž•Ǽȱ ‘Dzȱ řŗŚȱ Kalibr ȱ ǻȬȬřŖǼȱ Dzȱ Şȱ œ’—•Žȱ řȱȱAtlant ( Slava Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŞȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Vulkan ǻȬȬ śřř––ȱ ŗŘȱ–˜ȱŘȱ Sandbox Ǽȱ‘ǰȱŞȱ˜Œž™•Žȱȱ ’‘ȱ Fort Ȧ SSN ȱŗŝDZȱ Fort ȱȱǻȬȬŜȱ Grumble ȦȬȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle Ǽȱǰȱ Řȱ Schuka -B ( Akula ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŚȱœ’—•Žȱśřř––ȱȱŽŠŒ‘ȱ Řȱœ’—•Žȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ’‘ȱ řŗŖȱ Granat ȱ ǻȬȬŘŗȱ Sampson Ǽȱ ǰȱ Śȱ šž’—ž™•Žȱśřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 ǰȱŜȱ œ’—•ŽȱŜśŖ––ȱȱ ’‘ȱȬŜśȱ   ŜśŖȱ ǰȱŗȱ ’—ȱŗřŖ––ȱž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱ ŠȬ Şȱ Schuka -B ( Akula ȱ Ǽȱ ǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ Řȱ ’—ȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽǼȱ ’‘ȱ Śȱ Řŝȱ Helix ȱ ȱ ‘Ž•Ǽȱ ǻŗȱ Œž››Ž—•¢ȱ —˜—Ȭ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•Dzȱ œ’—•Žȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ řŗŖȱ Granat ȱ ǻȬȬŘŗȱ Ž¡™ŽŒŽȱ›Žž›—ȱ˜ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ’—ȱŘŖŗśǼ Sampson Ǽ ǰȱ Śȱ œ’—•Žȱ ŜśŖ––ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ ȬŜśȱ DESTROYERS ȱŗŞȱ ȱǻ˜—Žȱž›‘Ž›ȱ‹˜Šȱ•ŽŠœŽȱ˜ȱ —’Šȱ˜›ȱŗŖȱ¢ŽŠ›œȱ DDGHMȱŗŝDZȱ ›˜–ȱŘŖŗŘǼ Şȱ Sarych ( Sovremenny Ǽȱǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱřȱ’—ȱ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽȕǼȱ ’‘ȱ ŘȱȱKondor ( Sierra ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Śȱ œ’—•Žȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ŘȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŞŖȱ Moskit ȱǻȬȬŘŘȱ Sunburn Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ řŗŖȱ Granat ȱ ǻȬȬŘŗȱ Sampson Ǽȱ ǰȱ Śȱ ‘ǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱř şŖȱ Uragan/ ş řŝȱ Yezh œ’—•ŽȱŜśŖ––ȱȱ ’‘ȱȬŜśȱ ȱ ǻȬȬŝȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬȬŗŘȱ Grizzly Ǽȱ ǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ ŗȱ Barracuda ( Sierra ȱ Ǽȱǻ’—ȱ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽǼȱ ’‘ȱŚȱœ’—•Žȱśřř––ȱ śřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱŗŖŖŖȱ Smerch 3 ǰȱŚȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ řŗŖȱ Granat ȱ ǻȬȬŘŗȱ Sampson Ǽ ǰȱ Řȱ ’—ȱŗřŖ––ȱž—œȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱȱ  ȬŘȱǻȬȬŗśȱ Š›ęœ‘ Ǽ Š— Ȭśřȱ ǰȱŚȱœ’—•Žȱ ‘Ž•Ǽȱ ŜśŖ––ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ  Ȭŝȱ ǻȬȬŗŜȱ Stallion Ǽ ‘ Şȱ Fregat ( Udaloy Ǽȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Š—ȱȬŜśȱ  Rastrub ȱ ǻȬȬŗŚȱ Silex Ǽȱ ‘Ȧǰȱ Şȱ ˜Œž™•Žȱ Śȱ Schuka ( Victor ȱ Ǽȱ ǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ŗȱ ’—ȱ ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽǼȱ ’‘ȱ Śȱ ȱ ’‘ȱř şśȱ Kindzhal ȱǻȬȬşȱ Gauntlet ȱǼǰȱŘȱ œ’—•Žȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ řŗŖȱ Granat ȱ ǻȬȬ šžŠȱśřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 ǰȱŚȱ ŜřŖȱ ŘŗȱSampson ǼȱǰȱŘȱœ’—•ŽȱŜśŖ––ȱȱ ’‘ȱȬŜśȱ  ǰȱŘȱŗŖŖ––ȱž—œȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŘȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱȱ  ‘Ž•Ǽ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 SSK ȱŘŗDZȱ ŗȱȱFregat ( Udaloy ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŞŖȱ ŗśȱ Paltus ( Kilo Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Ŝȱ œ’—•Žȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ Ȭśřȱ Moskit ȱǻȬȬŘŘȱ Sunburn Ǽȱ‘ǰȱŞȱ˜Œž™•Žȱȱ ’‘ȱ  ř şśȱ Kindzhal ȱǻȬȬşȱ Gauntlet ǼȱǰȱŘȱȬȬŗȱ śȱ Varshavyanka ( Kilo Ǽ ’‘ȱ Ŝȱ œ’—•Žȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ ǻŘȱ Kortik  ȱ ’‘ȱřřŗŗȱǻȬȬŗŗȱ Grison ǼȱǰȱŗŖȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱž—Ž›ȱŒ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—Ǽ œ’—•Žȱśřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 ǰȱŗȱ ’—ȱ ŗȱ Lada ȱ ǻ ȱ ęĴŽǼȱ ’‘ȱ Ŝȱ œ’—•Žȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ ǻŘȱ ŗřŖ––ȱž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŘȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱȱ‘Ž•Ǽȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱ’—ȱ‹ž’•Ǽ DDGMȱŗDZ PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ȱřśȱ ŗȱ Komsomolets Ukrainy (Kashin ȱ –˜Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ AIRCRAFT CARRIERS • CV ȱ ŗȱ Orel (Kuznetsov Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŘŚȱ Uran ȱ ǻȬȬŘśȱ Switchblade Ǽȱ ŗȱ ŗŘȬŒŽ••ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ řŚśȱ Granit ȱ ǻȬȬŗşȱ Shipwreck Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Volnya ȱ ǻȬȬŗȱ Goa Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ Śȱ œŽ¡ž™•Žȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ ř şśȱ Kindzhal ȱ ǻȬȬ ǰȱśȱœ’—•Žȱśřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 , şȱ Gauntlet Ǽȱ ǰȱ Řȱ ȱ ŗŘŖŖŖȱ Udav ŗǰȱ Şȱ ȬȬŗȱ ŗȱ ’—ȱŝŜ––ȱž— 188 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

FRIGATES ȱŗŖ ŗŞȱAlbatros ( Grisha ȱǼȱ ’‘ȱŗȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱœŠȬȱ FFGHM ŜDZ ǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱśřř––ȱǰȱŗȱȱ ŘȱȱJastreb ( Neustrashimy Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ ŜŖŖŖȱSmerch 2 ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— řŘŚȱ Uran ȱǻȬȬŘśȱ Switchblade Ǽ ‘ǰȱŚȱ˜Œž™•Žȱ řȱ Astrakhan ( Buyan Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱœŽ¡ž™•Žȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŚŝȱ ȱ ’‘ȱř şśȱ Kindzhal ȱǻȬȬşȱ Gauntlet Ǽȱǰȱ Gibka ȱ ǻȬȬŗŖȱ Grouse Ǽǰȱ ŗȱȬŘŗśȱ Grad Ȭȱ ŗŘؖ–ȱ Ŝȱœ’—•Žȱśřř––ȱǰȱŗȱȱŗŘŖŖŖǰȱŘȱȬȬŗȱ ǰȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŗŖŖ––ȱž— Kortik ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱřřŗŗȱǻȬȬŗŗȱ Grison Ǽȱǰȱ ŝȱ Parchim ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱŘȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘȱǻȬȬ ŗȱŗŖŖ––ȱž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱǼȱǻř›ȱ śȱ Grail Ǽȱ ǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ śřř––ȱǰȱ Řȱ ȱ ŜŖŖŖȱ ŸŽœœŽ•ȱ •Šž—Œ‘Žǰȱ ‹žȱ ™›˜žŒ’˜—ȱ ‘Š•Žȱ ’—ȱ ŗşşŝDzȱ Smerch Řǰȱŗȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ ž—Œ•ŽŠ›ȱœŠžœǼ PCFG ŘśDZ ŗȱ Steregushchiy ȱ ǻ›˜“ŽŒȱ ŘŖřŞŖǼȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ Ŝȱ Molnya ( Tarantul ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Ȭŗśȱ ’‘ȱ řŘŚȱ Uran ȱ ǻȬȬŘśȱ Switchblade) ‘ǰȱ Řȱ Termit ȱ ǻȬȬŘȦȱ Styx Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ šžŠȱřŘŚ––ȱǰȱŗȱȬȬŗȱ Kortik ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱ ǻ–Š—žŠ•ȱŠ’–’—Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘȱǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽȱǰȱ řřŗŗȱǻȬȬŗŗȱ Grison ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱ Řȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— ŗŖŖ––ȱž—ȱ ŗşȱMolnya ( Tarantul ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŞŖȱ řȱ Steregushchiy ǻ›˜“ŽŒȱ ŘŖřŞŗǼ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ Moskit ȱ ǻȬȬŘŘȱ Sunburn Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŘŚȱ Uran ȱ ǻȬȬŘśȱ Switchblade) ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ ǻ–Š—žŠ•ȱŠ’–’—Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘȱǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽȱǰȱ ŗŘȬŒŽ••ȱȱ ’‘ȱř şŜȱ Redut ǰȱŘȱšžŠȱřŘŚ––ȱ Řȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ ǰȱŗȱȬȬŗȱ Kortik  ȱ ’‘ȱřřŗŗȱǻȬ PBMȱ ŝȱ Grachonok ȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŚŝȱ Gibka Ȭŗŗȱ Grison ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŗŖŖ––ȱž—ȱ ǻȬȬŗŖȱ Grouse Ǽǰȱǻ˜›’’—Š•ȱŽœ’—ȱ ŠœȱŠœȱ’Ÿ’—ȱŽ—Ž›Ǽ ǻŚȱ Š’’˜—Š•ȱ ŸŽœœŽ•œȱ ’—ȱ ‹ž’•ǰȱ ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ  ˜ȱ Š›Žȱ PHG ȱ řȱ Vekhr ( Matka Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ œ’—•Žȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Ȭŗśȱ ’–™›˜ŸŽȱ Steregushchiy ȱ Ǽ Termit ȱ ǻȬȬŘȦȱ Styx Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ  ŜřŖȱ  ǰȱ ŗȱ FFGM ŚDZȱ ŝŜ––ȱž— ŗȱȱGepard ȱ ’‘ȱŘȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŘŚȱ Uran ȱǻȬȬ PHT ŗȱ Sokol ( Mukha Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱšžŠȱŚŖŜ––ȱǰȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ Řśȱ Switchblade Ǽȱ ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa Ȭȱ  ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— ǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES ȱśřȱ ŗȱ Gepard ȱ ’‘ȱŗȱŞȬŒŽ••ȱȱ ’‘ȱřŗŚȱ Kaliber ǻȬȬ MHOȱ Řȱ Rubin ( Gorya Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela-2 řŖǼȱǰȱŘȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŘŚȱ Uran ȱǻȬȬŘśȱ ǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽȱǰȱŗȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— Switchblade Ǽȱ‘ǰȱŗȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬ MSO ȱŗŗDZȱŗŖ Akvamaren ( Natya Ǽ; 1 Agat ( Natya ȱ ǼȱǻŠ••ȱ ’‘ȱ ȬŚȱ Gecko Ǽȱǰȱŗȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ǻ–Š—žŠ•ȱ Š’–’—Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘȱ ǻȬȬśȱ ŗȱȱBurevestnik ( Krivak ȱ ȱ–˜Ǽȕȱ ’‘ȱŗȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Grail ǼȱǰȱŘȱŗŘŖŖȱ Uragan ǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱ ŘřŖȱ  Rastrub ȱǻȬȬŗŚȱ Silex Ǽȱ‘Ȧǰȱŗȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ MSC ȱŘśDZȱŘřȱ Yakhont ( Sonya Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŚȱ ŜřŖȱ ȱǻœ˜–Žȱ ’‘ȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱšžŠȱśřř––ȱ ’‘ȱŘȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘȱǻȬȬśȱ Grail ǼȱǼ ; Řȱ ǰȱŘȱȱŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 ǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱŝŜ––ȱž—œ ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŘśŞ (Yevgenya Ǽȱ ŗȱ Burevestnik ȱ ȱ ǻ Krivak ȱ Ǽȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ MHI ŗśDZ şȱ Š™ę› ( Lida Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱ ŜřŖȱ Dzȱřȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŜşŜȱ ’‘ȱ  Ȭřȱ Rastrub ȱ ǻȬȬŗŚȱ Silex Ǽȱ ‘Ȧǰȱ (Tolya Ǽ; řȱ Malakhit ( Olya Ǽ Řȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱŗŖȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ȱǼǰȱ AMPHIBIOUS Řȱ šžŠȱ śřř––ȱ ǰȱ Řȱ ȱ ŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 ǰȱ Řȱ LANDING SHIPS • LST ȱŘŖDZȱ ŗŖŖ––ȱž—œ Śȱ Tapir ( Alligator Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ ŘȬřȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŞŚȱ ǻȬȬśȱ Grail ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱśŝ––ȱž—œȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ CORVETTES ŚŞ ŘŖȱŠ—”œDzȱřŖŖȱ›˜˜™œǼȱ FSGMȱŗŝDZ ŗŘȱ ›˜“ŽŒȱ ŝŝśȱ ǻ Ropucha ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ śŝ––ȱ ž—œȱ Řȱ Grad Sviyazhsk ( Buyan ȬǼȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ ˜Œž™•Žȱ ȱ ǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŽ’‘Ž›ȱŗŖȱȱŠ—ȱŗşŖȱ›˜˜™œȱ˜›ȱŘŚȱȱ ’‘ȱ řśśȱ Onyx ȱ ‘Dzȱ řŗŚȱ Kalibr ȱ ǻȬȬřŖǼȱ ǻǼȱŠ—ȱŗŝŖȱ›˜˜™œǼȱ ǰȱŘȱœŽ¡ž™•Žȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřŚŝȱ Gibka ȱǻȬȬ řȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŝŝśȱǻ Ropucha ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱȱ ŗŖȱGrouse ǼȱDzȱŗȱ ŜřŖȬŘȱ ǰȱŗȱŗŖŖ––ȱž—ȱ ŝŜ––ȱž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŽ’‘Ž›ȱŗŖȱȱŠ—ȱŗşŖȱ›˜˜™œȱ ǻŜȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱ’—ȱ‹ž’•Ǽ ˜›ȱŘŚȱȱǻǼȱŠ—ȱŗŝŖȱ›˜˜™œǼ Řȱ Sivuch ( Dergach Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŞŖȱ ŗȱ Tapir ( Alligator ǻ–˜ǼǼȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Moskit ȱǻȬȬŘŘȱ Sunburn Ǽȱ‘ǰȱŗȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ ž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix ȱDzȱŗřȱDzȱřŖŖȱ›˜˜™œǼȱ Osa Ȭ ǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko Ǽȱ ǰȱ Řȱ  ŜřŖȱ  ǰȱ ŗȱ ǻŸŽœœŽ•ȱ•Šž—Œ‘Žȱ’—ȱŘŖŗŘDzȱŽ¡™ŽŒŽȱ ȱŽ—ȬŘŖŗřǼǼȱ ŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ LANDING CRAFT Řś ŗŘȱOvod ( Nanuchka ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ›’™•Žȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱȬŗŘŖȱ LCU ȱŗŗDZȱ Malakhit ȱ ǻȬȬşȱ Siren Ǽȱ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ Dyugon ǻřȱ–˜›Žȱ’—ȱ‹ž’•Ǽȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— şȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŗŝŝŖȱǻ Serna Ǽ ǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗŖŖȱ›˜˜™œǼȱ ŗȱ Ovod ( Nanuchka ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ›’™•Žȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱřśśȱ LCM ŝȱ Akula ( Ondatra ǼȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱǼȱ Onyx ȱ ǻȬȬŘŜǼȱ‘ǰȱ ŗȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa Ȭȱ LCAC ȱŝDZȱ ǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ Řȱ Dzheryan ( Aist Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ ’—ȱ ŜřŖȱ ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ FSMȱřŗDZȱ Śȱ•ȱ”Ǽȱ řȱ Albatros ( Grisha ȱ Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa Ȭȱ Řȱ Pomornik ( Zubr Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŘřŖȱ ǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱśřř––ȱǰȱŘȱȱ ›˜˜™œDzȱŽ’‘Ž›ȱřȱȱ˜›ȱŗŖȱȱǻǼ ŜŖŖŖȱSmerch 2 ǯȱŗȱ ’—ȱśŝ––ȱž— řȱ Kalmar † (Lebed ǼȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŘȱ•ȱ”Ǽ Russia and Eurasia 189

LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT ȱŜŘŜ Şȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬŘŝȦ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix SSAN ȱ ŝDZȱ ŗȱ Orenburg ( Delta III ›ŽŒ‘ǼDzȱ ŗȱ Losharik ǻ˜—Žȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŗŚȱ Haze ȱ ž›‘Ž›ȱ ŸŽœœŽ•ȱ ž—Ž›ȱ Œ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—ǼDzȱ Řȱ ›˜“ŽŒȱ ŗŞśŗȱ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗŚŘȦȱ Bear Ȧ Ș (Paltus ǼDzȱřȱKashalot ( Uniform Ǽ ŗȱž—’ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬřŗȱ Helix SSA ŗȱ Sarov MARITIME PATROL/TRANSPORT ABU ŗŘDZȱŞ Kashtan DzȱŚ Sura ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŽȬŗŘȱMail ȘDzȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip AE ŘDZȱŗȱMuna DzȱŗȱDubnyak SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT AEM řDZȱŘ Amga; ŗ Lama ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚ AG řDZȱŘ Vytegrales; ŗȱ Potok TRANSPORT AGB Ś Dobrynya Mikitich ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŚȱ Coke Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl Dzȱ AGE ȱŘDZȱŗȱ Tchusovoy Dzȱŗȱ Zvezdochka ǻŘȱ–˜›ŽȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱž—Ž›ȱ —ȬŝŘȱ Coaler Dzȱ—ȬŗŚŖ Œ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—Ǽ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚ AGI ŗŗDZȱŘȱAlpinist Dzȱŗ Balzam Dzȱř Moma Dzȱś Vishnya TRAINING AGM ŗ Marshal Nedelin ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬřŖDzȱȬřşȱ Albatros AGOR ŜDZȱŗȱ Akademik Krylov DzȱŘȱ Sibiriyakov ǰȱŘ Vinograd; ŗȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŚŖDzȱžȬŗřŚDzȱžȬŗśŚ Seliger TRANSPORT HELICOPTER AGS ŘŗDZ řȱ ȬŝşŝDzȱŜȱ Kamenka; ş Onega; řȱ Vaygach ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip AGSH ŗȱ Samara EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AGSI śŖDZȱŞ Biya DzȱŘś Finik Dzȱŝ Moma Dz ŗŘȱYug AIRCRAFT ȱŗřŜȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž

AH řȱ Ob † Russia and Eurasia FTR ȱŚŖDZȱŘȱ’ ȬŘş ȱ Fulcrum DzȱŘȱ’ ȬŘş ȱ Fulcrum DzȱŗŞ AK ȱŘȱBira žȬřř Flanker ȱDzȱŗŞȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ Flanker AOL ŗřDZȱŘ Dubna Dz śȱ Uda Dz Ŝ Altay ( –˜Ǽȱ FGA ȱřŗDZȱŘŞȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer DzȱřȱžȬřŖȱ AOR ȱś Boris Chilikin ATK AORL řDZȱŗ Kaliningradneft Dz Řȱ Olekma śȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot AOS ȱŗȱLuza ASWȱŘŝȱžȬŗŚŘȦȱ Bear Ȧ AR ŗřȱAmur MP ŘŜDZȱřȱŽȬŗŘȱMail* Dzȱŗȱ •ȬŗŞDzȱŘŘȱ •ȬřŞȦ •ȬřŞȱ May* ARC ŝDZȱŚ Emba DzȱřȱKlasma ISR ȱŞȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E* ARS ŗŚDZȱŚȱMikhail Rudnitsky DzȱŗŖȱGoryn SAR řȱ—ȬŗŘȱž‹ AS ȱŗ ›˜“ŽŒȱŘŖŘŖȱǻ Malina Ǽ EW • ELINT ŚDZȱŘȱ •ȬŘŖȱ Coot ; Řȱ •ȬŘŘȱCoot B ASR ŘDZȱŗȱNepal; ŗȱ Alagez TPT ȱśŖDZȱ Medium Řȱ—ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub; Light ŚŜDZȱŗȱ—ȬŘŚȱ ATF ŜŘDZȱ ŗȱ Alexander Piskunov Dzȱ Řȱ Baklazhan Dzȱ ś Katun Dzȱ ř Coke DzȱŘŝȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŜȱ—ȬŝŘȱ Coaler DzȱŘȱ—ȬŗŚŖDzȱŗŖȱžȬ Ingul DzȱŘ Neftegaz DzȱŗŚȱ Okhtensky DzȱŗŞȱ Prometey Dzȱŗȱ Prut Dzȱř ŗřŚDzȱPAX ȱŘȱžȬŗśŚȱ Careless Sliva; ŗř Sorum TRG ȱŚȱȬřş Albatros AWT Řȱ Manych HELICOPTERS AXL ȱŗŘDZȱŗŖȱ Petrushka DzȱŘȱ Smolny ’‘ȱŘȱȱŘśŖŖǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱ ASWȱŞřDZȱŜřȱ ŠȬŘŝȱHelix DzȱŘŖȱ’ȬŗŚȱHaze ȱ ŝŜ––ȱž—œ EW Ş ’ȬŞȱ Hip YDG ŘŞDZȱŗśȱBereza; 13 Pelym AEW Řȱ ŠȬřŗȱHelix YDT şŗDZȱŚŖȱFlamingo; ŘŖȱNyryat 2 DzȱŘŞȱ Yelva; řȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŗşŞŖ SAR ȱśŜDZȱŗŜȱ ŠȬŘŝȱHelix ȱDzȱŚŖȱ’ȬŗŚȱ Haze C YGS ŜŖȱ ȬŚŞŖ TPT • Medium ȱřŜDZȱŘŞȱ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix DzȱŚȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip DzȱŚȱ’Ȭ YO ȱřŜDZȱśȱKhobi DzȱřŖȱToplivo DzȱŗȱKonda Şȱ Hip YPB ȱřŖȱBolva MSL YPT ȱŗŘȱShelon ASMȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŖȱ Karen ǼDzȱ ‘ȬśşȱǻȬŗřȱ Kingbolt Ǽȱ YTBȱŜŖDZȱřȱȬŜśDzȱŘȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŝŚśȦDzȱşȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŜŜŖşDzȱŗŗȱ ARMȱ ‘ȬśŞȱǻȬŗŗȱ Kilter ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŘȱ Kegler Ǽ Stividor DzȱřśȱSidehole AAM • IR ȬŘŝȦȱ ǻȬŗŖȦȱ Alamo ǼDzȱ ȬŜŖȱ ǻȬŞȱ YTR ŚŘDZȱŘŝȱPozharny DzȱŗśȱMorkov Aphid ǼDzȱ Ȭŝřȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ Archer ǼDzȱ SARH ȬŘŝȦȱ ǻȬ ŗŖȦȱ Alamo Ǽ Naval Aviation ε28,000 Śȱ•ŽŽȱ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽœ Naval Infantry (Marines) ε20,000 Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 •¢’—ȱ‘˜ž›œ ŜŖƸȱ‘›œȦ¢ŽŠ› FORCES BY ROLE FORCES BY ROLE SPECIAL FORCES FIGHTER ŗȱǻ̎ŽǼȱȱ‹Žȱǻŗȱ™Š›Šȱ‹—ǰȱŘȮřȱž—Ž› ŠŽ›ȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱœ™ȱž—’Ǽ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ žȬřřȱ Flanker ȱDzȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot Řȱǻ̎ŽǼȱȱ‹ŽȱǻŒŠ›ŽǼȱǻŗȱ™Š›Šȱ‹—ǰȱŘȮřȱž—Ž› ŠŽ›ȱ‹—ǰȱ ŗȱœš—ȱǻ˜›–’—Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘş Ȧ ȱ Fulcrum ŗȱœ™ȱž—’Ǽ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker MANOEUVRE ANTI-SURFACE WARFARE/ISR Mechanised ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦȱ Fencer Řȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦȱ Fencer ŗȱȱ‹Žȱǻ˜›–’—Ǽ ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE ŗȱȱ›Ž Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ •ȬŗŞDzȱ •ȬŘŖȱ Coot Dzȱ •ȬŘŘȱ Coot Dzȱ •ȬřŞȦ śȱ’—Ž™ȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž •ȬřŞ May * ŗȱ’—Ž™ȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ›Ž 190 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

COMBAT SUPPORT FORCES BY ROLE ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž BOMBER ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›Ž Śȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŘřȦȱ ŠŒ”ꛎȱ C ŗȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱş ŝşȱ Tochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬşśȱ Bear AIR DEFENCE ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗŜŖȱ Blackjack Řȱȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱş řřȱ Osa ȱǻȬŞȱ Gecko ǼDzȱStrela ȬŗȦ FIGHTER Strela ȬŗŖȱǻȬşȱ Gaskin ȦȬŗřȱ Gopher Ǽ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȦ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum ŗȱȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble Ǽ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȦȱ Fulcrum ŗȱȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗȱ Growler Ǽ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound DzȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ Flanker MBT ȱŘŖŖȱȬŝŘȦȬŞŖȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬřŗDzȱžȬŘŝŘDzȱžȬřŖŘ RECCE ȱ ŜŖȱ ȬŘȱ ŽŠŒ‘ȱ ’‘ȱ ş ŗŗȱ Malyutka ǻȬřȱ Śȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound Sagger Ǽȱ Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ Flanker AIFV řŖŖȱȬŘ FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK APC ȱŞŖŖȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬřŗDzȱžȬŘŚȦŘȦ APC (T) ȱřŖŖȱȬȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝŘȱ Flanker DzȱžȬřśȱ Flanker DzȱžȬřŖŘ APC (W) ȱśŖŖȱȬŞŖȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝřȱ Flanker DzȱžȬřŖŘ ARTY ȱřŜś ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱžȬřŖ SP ȱ ŘŜřDZ 122mm ȱ ŗŗřDZȱ şśȱ ŘŗDzȱ ŗŞȱ ŘŗşDzȱ 152mmȱ ŗśŖDZȱ śŖȱ ŘřŜDzȱśŖȱŘŜśDzȱśŖȱŘř GROUND ATTACK GUN/MOR ŜŜ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦŘȱ Fencer SP 120mmȱŚŘDZȱŗŘȱŘŘřȱȬ DzȱřŖȱŘşȱȬ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦŘȱ Fencer TOWED 120mm ȱŘŚȱŘŗŜȱȬ Şȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȦžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot MRL 122mmȱřŜȱȬŘŗ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬřŚ Fullback DzȱžȬŘŚȦŘȱ Fencer AT GROUND ATTACK/ISR MSL ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬřŚ Fullback DzȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer * SP şŗŚşȱ ’‘ȱş ŗŗŚȱ Shturm ȱǻȬŜȱ Spiral ǼDzȱşŗśŝȬŘȱ ELECTRONIC WARFARE ’‘ȱş ŗŘř Khrisantema ȱǻȬŗśȱ Springer Ǽ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip MANPATS ȱ ş ŗŗȱ Malyutka ȱ ǻȬřȱ Sagger ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗřȱ ISR Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel Ǽȱ Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer * GUNS 100mmȱȬŗŘȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer * AD ŗȱ̝ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬřŖȱ Clank SAM AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL SP ȱŞŜDZȱŘŖȱş řřȱ Osa ȱǻȬŞȱ Gecko ǼDzȱśŖȱStrela ȬŗȦStrela ȬŗŖȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱȬśŖȦȬśŖȱ Mainstay ǻȬşȱ Gaskin ȦȬŗřȱ Gopher ǼDzȱ Şȱ ȬřŖŖȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ TANKER Grumble ǼDzȱŞȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗȱ Growler Ǽ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ •ȬŝŞȦ •ȬŝŞȱ Midas MANPAD ȱş řŘȱStrela ȬŘȱǻȬŝȱ Grail Ǽ TRANSPORT GUNS 23mmȱŜŖȱȬŘřȬŚȱ Ŝȱ›ŽȦœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ MSL • SRBMȱŗŘȱş ŝşȱTochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ Crusty DzȱžȬŗśŚȱ Careless Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Coastal Missile and Artillery Troops 2,000 ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘŚȱ Condor Dzȱ •ȬŝŜȱ Candid FORCES BY ROLE ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub Dzȱ •ȬŝŜȱ Candid COASTAL DEFENCE ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŘȱ Cock řȱ‘ȱ‹Ž řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ •ȬŝŜȱ Candid Řȱ‘ȱ›Ž ATTACK HELICOPTER ŗȱ’—Ž™ȱ‘ȱ‹— ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum Dzȱ’ȬŘŞȱ Havoc ȱDzȱ’Ȭřśȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Hind Dzȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dzȱ’ȬŞȬśȱ Hip ARTY • SP 130mmȱΉřŜȱȬŘŘŘȱ Bereg Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum B Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 AShM řŜƸDZȱŘŚȱř ŜŖȱBal ǻȬȬŜȱ Sennight ǼDzȱŗŘȱ ȬřŖŖȱ Śȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind Bastion ȱǻȬȬśȱ Stooge ǼDzȱœ˜–ŽȱŚ ŚŚȱ Redut ǻȬȬŗȱ Sepal ǼDzȱ řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŞȱ Havoc B œ˜–Ž Ś śŗȱ Rubezh ȱǻȬȬřȱ Styx Ǽ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’Ȭřśȱ Hind TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Military Air Forces ε148,000 (incl conscripts) ŗŝȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Ȧ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo •¢’—ȱ‘˜ž›œ ŜŖȱ˜ȱŗŖŖȱ‘›œȦ¢ŽŠ›ȱǻŒ˜–‹ŠȱŠ’›Œ›ŠǼȱ AIR DEFENCE ŗŘŖƸȱǻ›Š—œ™˜›ȱŠ’›Œ›ŠǼ Şȱȱ‹Žȱ  ȱŠȱŠ•Šœ‘’”‘Šǰȱ—ŽŠ›ȱ˜œŒ˜ ǯȱȱ“˜’—ȱ ȱ—’ꮍȱ’›ȱ Śȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬŗŝȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ¢œŽ–ȱŒ˜ŸŽ›œȱǰȱǰȱǰȱ ǰȱ ǰȱ ǰȱ Grizzly ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant Ǽ  ǰȱ ȱŠ—ȱǯȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ’œȱŒž››Ž—•¢ȱ ŗŝȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŘŖǼ ž—Ž›˜’—ȱ Šȱ ™Ž›’˜ȱ ˜ȱ ›Žœ›žŒž›’—ǰȱ ‹˜‘ȱ ’—ȱ Ž›–œȱ ˜ȱ Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗȱ Growler ǼDzȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir ȬŗȱǻȬ Ž—Ž›Š•ȱ˜›Š—’œŠ’˜—ȱŠœȱ Ž••ȱŠœȱŠ’›Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱŠ—ȱž—’ȱœ›žŒž›Žǯ ŘŘȱGreyhound Ǽ Russia and Eurasia 191

EQUIPMENT BY TYPE MANOEUVRE AIRCRAFT ŗǰŘŖŗȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž Air Manoeuvre BBR ŗŚŗDZȱŜřȱžȬŘŘřȦȱ ŠŒ”ꛎȱ C; řŗȱžȬşśŜȱ Bear Dzȱ Śȱȱ’ŸȱǻŘȱ™Š›ŠȦŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ›ŽDzȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›ŽDzȱŗȱȱ›ŽǼ řŗȱžȬşśŗŜȱ Bear DzȱŗŜȱžȬŗŜŖȱ Blackjack ŗȱ’—Ž™ȱȱ‹Ž FTR ŚŘŖDZ ŗŘŖȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱřŖȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱŗŖŖȱ řȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹Ž ’ ȬřŗȦřŗȱ Foxhound Dzȱ śŖȱ ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound Dzȱ ŗŖŖȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE žȬŘŝȱ Flanker DzȱŘŖȱžȬŘŝ Flanker RECCE Tigr FGA ȱ řŚśDZȱ ŘŞȱ ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum Dzȱ Ŝȱ ’ ȬŘşȱ AIFV ȱŗǰŗŜśDZȱŗŖŖȱȬŗDzȱŗǰŖŖŖȱȬŘDzȱŗŖȱȬřDzȱřŖȱȬ Fulcrum DzȱŗŖŖȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer DzȱśŖȱžȬŘŚŘȱ Fencer DzȱŚŝȱžȬ ŚDzȱŘśȱȬŞŖ ŘŝŘȱ Flanker DzȱŗŚȱžȬŘŝřȱ Flanker DzȱŗŚȱžȬřŖŘDzȱŗśȱžȬ APC • APC (T) ȱŝŖŖȱȬ řŖDzȱŚŜȱžȬřŚȱ Fullback DzȱŘśȱžȬřś Flanker ARTY ȱŜŖŖƸ ATK ŘŗśDZȱŗśŖȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱśŖȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱŗśȱžȬ TOWED 122mm ŗśŖȱȬřŖ Řśȱ Frogfoot GUN/MOR • SP 120mmȱŘśŖȱŘşȱȬȱǻśŖŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽDZȱ ISR ȱŞŜDZȱŚȱ—ȬřŖȱ Clank DzȱŞŖȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer* ȱDzȱŘȱžȬŘŗŚ 120mm ȱśŖŖȱŘşȱȬǼ ELINT řŘDZȱŗśȱ •ȬŘŖȱ Coot ȱDzȱśȱ •ȬŘŘȱ Coot DzȱŗŘȱ •ȬŘŘȱ Coot MOR • TOWED ŘŖŖƸ 82mm ŗśŖȱŘŗŚDzȱ120mmȱśŖƸȱŘŘř B AT AEW&C ȱ ŘŘDZȱ ŗśȱȬśŖȱ Mainstay Dzȱ řȱȬśŖȱ Mainstay Dzȱ Śȱ •Ȭ MSL ŝŜ ȱǻŽȬşŝŜȱȮȱŽ•Ž–Ž›¢ȱŠ’›Œ›ŠǼ SP ŗŖŖȱȬ C2 ŜDZȱŘȱ •ȬŝŜ DzȱŚȱ •ȬŞŜ ȱ Maxdome MANPATS ȱ ş ŗŗŗȱ Fagot ȱ ǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗŘ Kobra TKR ŗśDZȱśȱ •ȬŝŞȱMidas DzȱŗŖȱ •ȬŝŞȱMidas (ȬŞȱ Songster Ǽ;ȱş ŗŗřȱ Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗŚȱ Russia and Eurasia TPT ŚřŘDZȱHeavyȱŗŘřDZȱşȱ—ȬŗŘŚȱ Condor DzȱŚȱ—ȬŘŘȱ Cock DzȱŗŗŖȱ Shturm ȱ ǻȬŜȱ Spiral ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗśȱ Metis ȱ ǻȬŝȱ Saxhorn ǼDzȱ •ȬŝŜȦȱ Candid Dzȱ Medium ȱ Ŝśȱ —ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub Dzȱ Light ş ŗŗśȬŗȱ Metis-  ( Ȭŗřȱ Saxhorn ȱ ŘǼ ;ȱ ş ŗŗŜȱ Bastion/ ŘŘŜDZȱŗŗśȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŘśȱ—ȬŝŘȱ Coaler Dz śȱ—ȬŗŚŖDzȱŘŝȱȬŚŗŖDzȱ Basnya ȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ Stabber Ǽ; ş ŗŗş ȱ ŽĚŽ¡ȦŸ’› ȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ śŚȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Dzȱ PAX ȱŗŞȱžȬŗśŚȱ Careless Sniper Ǽ; ş ŗřśȱ Kornet ( ȬŗŚȱ Spriggan Ǽ TRG ŗşŞ: ŗśŖȱȬřşȱAlbatros Dz ŚŞȱŠ”ȬŗřŖȱ ’ĴŽ— RCL 73mmȱ Ȭşȱ HELICOPTERS RL 105mmȱ ȬŘş ATK ȱ ŘşŜƸDZȱ ŗŘȱ ŠȬśŖȱ Hokum Dzȱ śŜƸȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum Dzȱ ŗśŖȱ GUNS • SP: 125mm řŜƸȱŘŘś ’ȬŘŚȦȦȱ Hind DzȱśŚƸȱ’ȬŘŞȱHavoc DzȱŘŚȱ’Ȭřś Hind AD • SAM EW śŚDZ śŖȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip; Śȱ’ȬŞȬŗȱ Hip SP ŗśŖȱȬ TPT śřŘDZȱ Heavyȱ řŘȱ ’ȬŘŜȦ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo Dzȱ Medium ȱ śŖŖȱ MANPAD ȱş řŗŖȱ Igla- ŗ ( ȬŗŜȱ Gimlet ǼDzȱş řŞȱ IglaȱǻȬ ’ȬŞȦ’ȬŞȦ’ȬŞ‘Ȧ’ȬŞȬśȱ Hip ŗŞȱ Grouse ǼDzȱ ş řřřȱ Verba Dzȱ ş řřŞȱ IglaȬȱ ǻȬŘŚȱ Grinch ǼDzȱ TRG řŖDZȱŗŖȱ ŠȬŘŘŜDzȱŘŖȱ—œŠȬ ş řŚȱ Strela Ȭř ( ȬŗŚȱ Gremlin Ǽ UAV • ISR Light œ˜–Žȱ Pchela Ȭŗȱ ARV ȬDzȱ‘Ȭ AD • SAM • SP ȱ řŝŜDZȱ ŞŖȱ ş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ Ȧ Ȭŗŝȱ Grizzly ǼDzȱ ŘŚŖȱ ȬřŖŖȦȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ȦȬŘŖȱ Special Operations Forces ε1,000 Gargoyle ǼDzȱŘŖȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant ǼDzȱŘŚȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬ FORCES BY ROLE Řŗ Growler ǼDzȱŗŘȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir ȬŗȱǻȬŘŘȱ Greyhound Ǽ SPECIAL FORCES MSL Řȱȱž—’ AAM • IR ȬŘŝȦȱ ǻȬŗŖȦȱ Alamo ǼDzȱ Ȭŝřȱ ǻȬ ŗŗȱ Archer ǼDzȱ ȬŜŖȱ ǻȬŞȱ Aphid ǼDzȱ SARH ȬŘŝȦȱ Russian Military Districts ǻȬŗŖȦȱ Alamo ǼDzȱ ȬřřȦřřȱ ǻȬşȱ Amos ȱ ȦǼDzȱ ARH Western ȬŝŝȦȬŝŝȬŗȱ ǻȬŗŘȦȬȬŗŘȱ Adder ǼDzȱ Ȭřŝȱ ǻȬŗřȱ ȱŠȱȱŽŽ›œ‹ž› Axehead ǼDzȱPRH ȬŘŝȦȱǻȬŗŖȦȱ Alamo Ǽ ARM ‘ȬśŞ ǻȬŗŗȱ Kilter Ǽ; ‘ȬŘś ( ȬŗŘȱ Kegler Ǽ; Army Kickback ‘Ȭŗśȱ ǻȬŗŜȱ Ǽȱ ‘ȬřŗȦȱ ǻȱ Ž—Ž›’—ȱ FORCES BY ROLE ™›˜žŒ’˜—ǼȱǻȬŗŝȱ Krypton Ǽȱ COMMAND ASM ‘ȬŘśȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ Karen ǼDzȱ ‘ȬśşȦ ‘Ȭśşȱ ǻȬŗřȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ŘȱŠ›–¢ȱ  Kingbolt ȦȬŗŞȱ Kazoo ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘşȱ ǻȬŗŚȱ Kedge ǼDzȱ ‘ȬřŗȦ SPECIAL FORCES ȱǻȱŽ—Ž›’—ȱ™›˜žŒ’˜—ǼȱǻȬŗŝȱ Krypton ǼDzȱ ‘ȬřŞȱ Řȱǻ™Žœ—Š£Ǽȱȱ‹Ž ǻŽ—Ž›’—ȱ™›˜žŒ’˜—Ǽȱ MANOEUVRE LACMȱ ‘ȬŘŘȦřŘȱǻȬŚȱ Kitchen ǼDzȱ ‘ȬśśȦśśȱǻȬŗśȦȱ Armoured Kent ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŗŖŗDzȱ ‘ȬŗŖŘDzȱ ‘ȬśśśȱǻȬŗśȱ Kent Ǽȱ ŗȱ”ȱ’Ÿ BOMBS • Laser-guided ȱ ȬśŖŖDzȱ ȬŗśŖŖDzȱ TV-guided ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž ȬśŖŖ Dzȱ ȬŗśŖŖ Dzȱ ȬśŖŖDzȱŗśŖŖ Mechanised ŗȱȱ’Ÿ Airborne Troops ε32,000 Śȱȱ‹Ž FORCES BY ROLE COMBAT SUPPORT SPECIAL FORCES ŘȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Žȱ ŗȱǻȱŽŒŒŽǼȱȱ›Ž ŗȱȱ‹Ž 192 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

Řȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Iskander Ȭ Coastal Artillery and Missile Troops ŗȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Tochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ FORCES BY ROLE Řȱȱ‹Ž COASTAL DEFENCE ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž ŗȱ‘ȱ‹Ž ŗȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱȱ‹Ž Baltic Fleet COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Řȱ•˜ȱ‹Ž SUBMARINES • TACTICAL ȱřȱ SSK DZȱŗȱ Lada DzȱŘȱ Paltus Reserves (Kilo Ǽȱ FORCES BY ROLE PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ȱ ŞDZȱ Řȱ MANOEUVRE DDGHMDzȱŜȱ FFGHM Armoured PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱ ŘŖDZȱ Śȱ ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž FSGMDzȱŝȱ FSMDzȱŞȱ PCFG Dz ŗ PBM Mechanised MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES Řȱȱ‹Ž ŗśDZȱŚ MSC Dzȱŗŗ MHI AMPHIBIOUS LST LCU LCM LCAC Northern Fleet ȱŗřDZȱŚ DzȱŘȱ Dzȱśȱ DzȱŘȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Naval Aviation SUBMARINES ȱřřȱ FORCES BY ROLE STRATEGIC ȱşȱSSBN ǻ˜—Žȱ˜ȱ›Š—œŽ›ȱ˜ȱǼ FIGHTER TACTICAL ȱŘŚDZȱŚȱSSGN Dzȱŗř SSN DzȱŝȱSSK ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ȱ ŗŗDZȱ ŗȱ CV Dzȱ Řȱ GROUND ATTACK/ISR CGHMN ǻ˜—Žȱ—˜—Ȭ˜™Ž›Š’˜—Š•ǼDzȱŗȱ CGHM ǻ’—ȱ›Ž™Š’›ǼDzȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦȱ Fencer ŝȱ DDGHM ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱşDZȱřȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬŘŝȦ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix FSGMDzȱŜȱFSM MINE WARFARE ȱ ŗŘDZȱ ŗȱ MHO ǻ’—ȱ ›Ž™Š’›ǼDzȱ řȱ MSO Dzȱ Şȱ TRANSPORT MSC ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty AMPHIBIOUS Śȱ LST TRANSPORT HELICOPTER ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Naval Aviation EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FORCES BY ROLE AIRCRAFT FIGHTER FTR ŗŞȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ Flanker Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬřřȱ Flanker DzȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot FGA ŗŖȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE ISR ŚȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer * ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ •ȬŘŖȱ Coot ȱDzȱ •ȬřŞȱ May ȘDzȱžȬŗřŚ TPT ȱŞDZȱŜȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŘȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬŘŝȦ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix HELICOPTERS ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗŚŘȦȱ Bear Ȧ ASWȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT • Medium ȱ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix; Mi-8 Hip AIRCRAFT FTR ȱŗŞȱžȬřřȱ Flanker ȱ Naval Infantry ATK śȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot FORCES BY ROLE ASWȱŗřȱžȬŗŚŘȦȱ Bear Ȧ ȱ MANOEUVRE EW • ELINT ȱřDZȱŘȱ •ȬŘŖȱ Coot ȱDzȱŗȱ •ȬŘŘȱ Coot B Mechanised MP ŗŚȱ •ȬřŞȱMay * ŗȱȱ‹Ž TPT ȱşDZȱŞȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŗȱžȬŗřŚȱ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ŗȱȱ›Ž HELICOPTERS ŗȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž ASWȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱ COMBAT SUPPORT TPT ȱ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix Dzȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž Naval Infantry ŗȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Tochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ FORCES BY ROLE AIR DEFENCE MANOEUVRE ŗȱȱ›Ž Mechanised ŗȱȱ‹Ž Coastal Artillery and Missile Troops ŗȱȱ‹Žȱǻ˜›–’—Ǽ FORCES BY ROLE ŗȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž COASTAL DEFENCE ŗȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ›Ž ŗȱ‘ȱ›Žȱ Russia and Eurasia 193

Military Air Force Army 1st Air Force & Air Defence Command FORCES BY ROLE COMMAND FORCES BY ROLE ŘȱŠ›–¢ȱ  FIGHTER SPECIAL FORCES ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum Řȱǻ™Žœ—Š£Ǽȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound DzȱžȬŘŝ Flanker MANOEUVRE ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker Armoured FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK/ISR ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound Dz žȬŘŚȦŘȦȱ Mechanised Fencer ŗȱǻŘŖŗœǼȱȱ’Ÿ GROUND ATTACK/ISR ŝȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬřŚȱ Fullback DzȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer COMBAT SUPPORT ISR ŘȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž ŗȱ̝ȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖȱ Clank ŗȱȱ‹Ž ELECTRONIC WARFARE Řȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Tochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Řȱȱ‹Ž TRANSPORT ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Řȱȱ‹Ž Russia and Eurasia ATTACK HELICOPTER COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT ŗȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum Dzȱ’ȬŘŞȱ Havoc ȱDzȱ’Ȭ Řȱ•˜ȱ‹Ž řśȱHind Dzȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dzȱ’ȬŞȬśȱ Hip Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind Reserves TRANSPORT HELICOPTER FORCES BY ROLE řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip MANOEUVRE AIR DEFENCE Mechanised ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬŗŝȱ řȱȱ‹Ž Grizzly ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant Ǽ Military Air Force ŝȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱ ǻȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle Ǽ 2nd Air Force & Air Defence Command EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FORCES BY ROLE AIRCRAFT FIGHTER FTR ŗŜŖDZȱśŗȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound DzȱŗŖşȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound Flanker Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound FGA ŗŖŘDZȱŘŞȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱŜȱ’ ȬŘşȱ GROUND ATTACK Fulcrum DzȱŚŚȱžȬŘŚȦŘȱ Fencer DzȱŘŚ žȬřŚȱ Fullback Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer ISR řŞDZȱŚȱ—ȬřŖȱ Clank DzȱŗŖȱ’ ȬŘśȱ Foxbat * ŘŚȱ ISR žȬŘŚȱ Fencer * ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E TPT ȱŗŘȱ—ȬŗŘȦ—ȬŘŜȦžȬŗřŚ TRANSPORT HELICOPTERS ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Dzȱ ATK ȱśŞƸDZȱŗŘȱ ŠȬśŘȱHokum DzȱřŖȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind; 12 žȬŗśŚDzȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Mi-28N Havoc DzȱŚƸȱ’Ȭřśȱ ’— ATTACK HELICOPTER EWȱŗŖȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind TPT • Medium ȱśŖȱ’ȬŞȱHip TRANSPORT HELICOPTER AD • SAM • SP ȱ ş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ Ȧ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Ȧ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo Ȭŗŝȱ Grizzly ǼDzȱ ȬřŖŖȦȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ȦȬŘŖȱ AIR DEFENCE Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Gargoyle ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant Ǽ Ŝȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble Ǽ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Airborne Troops AIRCRAFT FORCES BY ROLE FTR ŝřȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound SPECIAL FORCES FGA ȱŘŜȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer ŗȱǻȱŽŒŒŽǼȱȱ›Ž ISR ȱŗřȱžȬŘŚ Fencer E MANOEUVRE TPT ȱřŜȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Ȧ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl ȦžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ȦžȬ Air Manoeuvre ŗśŚȱCareless řȱȱ’Ÿ HELICOPTERS ATK ȱŘŚȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind Central Military District TPT ȱŚŜDZȱŜȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo DzȱŚŖȱ’ȬŞȱHip ȱŠȱŽ”ŠŽ›’—‹ž› AD • SAM • SP ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble Ǽ 194 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

Airborne Troops EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FORCES BY ROLE AIRCRAFT FGA ȱŗŞȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer MANOEUVRE ISR ȱŚȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E Air Manoeuvre MP ȱŜȱŽȬŗŘȱMail * ŗȱȱ‹Ž TPT ȱŜȱ—ȬŘŜ Southern Military District HELICOPTERS

ȱ•˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱ˜œ˜ŸȬ˜—Ȭ˜— ASWȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix TPT • Medium ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip ȱǻȦȦ™Ǽ Army Naval Infantry FORCES BY ROLE FORCES BY ROLE COMMAND MANOEUVRE ŘȱŠ›–¢ȱ  Mechanised SPECIAL FORCES Řȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž Řȱǻ™Žœ—Š£Ǽȱȱ‹Ž COMBAT SUPPORT MANOEUVRE ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›Ž Reconnaissance AIR DEFENCE ŗȱ›ŽŒŒŽȱ‹Ž ŗȱȱ›Ž Mechanised Ŝȱȱ‹Ž Coastal Artillery and Missile Troops ŗȱȱ‹Žȱǻ›–Ž—’ŠǼ FORCES BY ROLE ŗȱȱ‹Žȱǻ‹”‘Š£’ŠǼ COASTAL DEFENCE ŗȱȱ‹Žȱǻ˜ž‘ȱœœŽ’ŠǼ ŗȱ‘ȱ‹Ž řȱǻ•Ȧ–—Ǽȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱ’—Ž™ȱ‘ȱ‹— COMBAT SUPPORT ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž Caspian Sea Flotilla ŗȱȱ‹Ž EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ŗȱȱ›Ž PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ȱŘȱFFGM ŗȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Iskander Ȭ ǻȬŘŜȱ Stone Ǽ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱ ŗŗDZȱ Řȱ Řȱȱ‹Ž FSGMDzȱřȱFSMDzȱŘȱPCFG DzȱřȱPHMDzȱŗ PBM ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES ȱŝDZȱ ŗȱȱ‹Ž śȱ MSC DzȱŘȱMHI COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT AMPHIBIOUS ȱŗŗDZȱŘȱLCMDzȱŚȱLCU DzȱśȱLCAC Řȱ•˜ȱ‹Ž Military Air Force Black Sea Fleet ‘Žȱ•ŠŒ”ȱŽŠȱ•ŽŽȱ’œȱ™›’–Š›’•¢ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ›’–ŽŠǰȱ 4th Air Force & Air Defence Command ŠȱŽŸŠœ˜™˜•ǰȱ Š›Š—’——Š¢ŠȱŠ¢ȱŠ—ȱ›Ž•Žœ”Š¢ŠȱŠ¢ǯȱ FORCES BY ROLE FIGHTER EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum SUBMARINES • TACTICAL ȱ Řȱ SSK ȱ ǻŠ•œ˜ȱ ŗȱ Som ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum ǻ›–Ž—’ŠǼ (Tango Ǽȱ’—ȱ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽǼ FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ȱśDZȱŘȱ CGHMDzȱ Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker DzȱžȬŘŝř Flanker DzȱžȬ ŗȱ DDGMDzȱŘȱFFGM řŖŘ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱ ŘŖDZȱ Śȱ GROUND ATTACK FSGM FSM PHM PCFG PBM PHT DzȱŜȱ Dzȱŗ Dzȱś Dzȱřȱ Dzȱŗȱ Ŝȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȦžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot • MINE WARFARE MINE COUNTERMEASURES ȱşDZȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬřŚ Fullback DzȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer ŗȱ MHODzȱŜȱMSO DzȱŘȱMSC Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ISR AMPHIBIOUS ȱşDZȱŞȱLST DzȱŗȱLCU ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E Naval Aviation TRANSPORT ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Ȧ’ȬŞȱ Hip FORCES BY ROLE ATTACK HELICOPTER FIGHTER ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum B ANTI-SURFACE WARFARE/ISR řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŞȱ Havoc B ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦȱ Fencer ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’Ȭřśȱ Hind ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE TRANSPORT HELICOPTER ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix Ŝȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip Ȧ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŗŚȱ Haze AIR DEFENCE MARITIME PATROL/TRANSPORT ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬŗŝȱ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŜȱž›•DzȱŽȬŗŘȱ Mail ȘDzȱ’ȬŞ Grizzly Ǽ Russia and Eurasia 195

Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle Ǽ STRATEGIC ȱřȱSSBN ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗȱ Growler ǼDzȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir Ȭŗȱ TACTICAL ŗşDZȱśȱSSGN DzȱśȱSSN DzȱşȱSSK ǻȬŘŘȱ Greyhound Ǽ PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ȱşDZȱŗȱ CGHMDzȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Şȱ DDGHM ǻ˜ȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ‘›ŽŽȱ’—ȱ›ŽœŽ›ŸŽǼ AIRCRAFT PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ŘřDZȱ řȱ FTR ŗŘŗDZȱŜřȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱśŞȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker FSGMDzȱşȱFSMDzȱŗŖȱPCFG DzȱŗȱPBM FGA ŞŞDZȱŜŘȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer; ŗŘ žȬŘŝřȱ Flanker Dzȱ MINE WARFARE ȱŝDZȱŘȱMSO DzȱśȱMSC ŘȱžȬřŖŘDzȱŗŘȱžȬřŚȱ Fullback AMPHIBIOUS ȱŜDZȱŚȱLST; 2 LCU ATK ŗŘşȱžȬŘśȦžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot ISR ŘŚȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer * Naval Aviation TPT ȱŗŘȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub FORCES BY ROLE HELICOPTERS FIGHTER ATK ȱŜŚDZȱŗŜȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum DzȱřŚȱ’ȬŘŞȱ Havoc Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound DzȱŗŚȱ’Ȭřśȱ Hind ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE TPT ȱŝŘDZȱ Heavy ȱŗŖȱ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo Dzȱ Medium ȱŜŘȱ’ȬŞȱ řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬŘŝȦ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix Hip ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ •ȬŗŞDzȱ •ȬŘŘȱ Coot ȱDzȱ •ȬřŞȱ May * AD • SAM • SP ȱş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗŚŘȦȱ Bear Ȧ Ș ŗŝȱGrizzly ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle ǼDzȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗ TRANSPORT Growler ǼDzȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir ȬŗȱǻȬŘŘȱ Greyhound Ǽ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱžȬŗřŚ Airborne Troops EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Russia and Eurasia AIRCRAFT FORCES BY ROLE FTR ŘŚȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound MANOEUVRE ASWȱŗŚȱžȬŗŚŘȦȱ Bear ȱȦ Ș Air Manoeuvre MP ŗśȱ •ȬřŞȱMay* ŗȱȱ’Ÿ EW • ELINT ŗȱ •ȬŘŘȱCoot B ŗȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹Ž TPT ȱŜDZȱŘȱ—ȬŗŘ ȱ Cub Dzȱřȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŗȱžȬŗřŚ Eastern Military District HELICOPTERS ȱ•˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱ ‘Š‹Š›˜Ÿœ” ASWȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix TPT • Medium ȱ ŠȬŘşȱ Helix Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Army FORCES BY ROLE Naval Infantry COMMAND FORCES BY ROLE ŚȱŠ›–¢ȱ  MANOEUVRE SPECIAL FORCES Mechanised ŗȱǻ™Žœ—Š£Ǽȱȱ‹Ž Řȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž MANOEUVRE AIR DEFENCE Armoured ŗȱȱ›Ž ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž Mechanised Coastal Artillery and Missile Troops ŗŖȱȱ‹Ž FORCES BY ROLE ŗȱ ȱ’Ÿ COASTAL DEFENCE COMBAT SUPPORT ŗȱ‘ȱ‹Ž řȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž ŗȱ‘ȱ›Ž ŗȱȱ‹Ž řȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Tochka ȱǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab Ǽȱ Military Air Force řȱȱ‹Ž ŗȱŽ—›ȱ‹Ž 3rd Air Force & Air Defence Command

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ŗȱȱ‹Ž FORCES BY ROLE COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT FIGHTER Śȱ•˜ȱ‹Ž ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound DzȱžȬŘŝŘȱ Flanker Dzȱ žȬřŖŘ Reserves ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŝŘȱ Flanker DzȱžȬřŖŘDzȱžȬřśȱ FORCES BY ROLE •Š—”Ž› MANOEUVRE FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK Mechanised ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱžȬřŖ Şȱȱ‹Ž GROUND ATTACK ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȦŘȱ Fencer Paci%c Fleet Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ISR SUBMARINES ȱŘŘȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E 196 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

TRANSPORT PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŘřř Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Ȧ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl ȦžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Ȧ PCMȱŚŜDZȱ žȬŗśŚȱ Careless Řȱ Molnya ȱ ȱǻ Pauk Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘ ATTACK HELICOPTER ǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ śřř––ȱ ȱ •—Œ‘›ǰȱ Řȱ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind ȱŗŘŖŖȱ•—Œ‘›ǰȱŗȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ ŠȬśŘȱ Hokum B Řŝȱ Svetljak ( Svetlyak Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘ TRANSPORT HELICOPTER ǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽǰȱ Řȱ œ’—•Žȱ ŚŖŜ––ȱ ǰȱ ŗȱ ŜřŖȱ Ŝȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞȱ Hind Ȧ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo  ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— AIR DEFENCE ŗŝȱMolnya ȱ ȱǻ Pauk Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Strela ȬŘ Řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ ȦȬŗŝȱ ǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽǰȱ Śȱ œ’—•Žȱ ŚŖŜ––ȱ ǰȱ Řȱ ȱ Grizzly ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant Ǽ ŗŘŖŖǰȱŗȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— PHT Řȱ Antares ( Muravey Ǽȱ řȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱ PCO ŗŝDZȱŞȱ›˜“ŽŒȱśŖřȱǻ Alpinist ǼDzȱŗȱ Sprut Dzȱśȱ Rubin ’‘ȱŗȱ ǻȬŘŖȱ Gargoyle Ǽ  ŜřŖȱ DzȱŘȱ Antur; ȱŗȱPurga ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬŘŗȱ Growler ǼDzȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir Ȭŗȱ PSO ȱŚȱKomandor ǻȬŘŘȱ Greyhound Ǽ PCC ȱ ŗřȱ Tarantul ( Stenka Ǽ ’‘ȱ Śȱ ŚŖŜ––ȱ ǰȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE  ŜřŖȱ  AIRCRAFT PB ȱŚśDZȱřȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŚřŗŖȱǻ Mirazh ǼDzȱŗřȱ¢™ŽȱŗŚşŜDz ŗŘȱGrif FTR ŘŖȱ’ Ȭřŗȱ Foxhound (ZhukǼDzȱŗŝȱKulik FGA ŗŖřDZȱŚŚȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer DzȱŗŖȱžȬŘŚŘȱ Fencer DzȱŚŝȱ PBR ȱŘśDZȱřȱ Ogonek ’‘ȱŘȱ ŜřŖȱ DzȱŞȱ Piyavka ’‘ȱ žȬŘŝŘȱ Flanker DzȱŘȱžȬřŖŘ ŗȱ ŜřŖȱ Dzȱśȱ Shmel ’‘ȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—DzȱŜȱ Moskit ATK ŝŘȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot (Vosh Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ ŜřŖȱ  ǰȱ ŗȱ ŝŜ––ȱ ž—Dzȱ Řȱ Slepen ISR ŘŞȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E (Yaz Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱŗŗś––ȱž—œDzȱŗȱ Gornostay TPT ȱŘŘȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Ȧ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŗȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Dzȱŗȱ PBF ȱŞŗDZȱŗȱȬŗŘśDzȱŘȱ Bogomol ’‘ȱŘȱ ’—ȱ ŜřŖȱ ǰȱŗȱ žȬŗśŚȱ Careless ŝŜ––ȱž—Dzȱŗŝȱ Mangust DzȱŚȱ Mustang ȱǻ›˜“ŽŒȱŗŞŜŘřǼDzȱŗśȱ HELICOPTERS Saygak DzȱΉŚŖȱSobol DzȱŘȱSokzhoi ATK ȱŚŚDZȱŘŖȱ ŠȬśŘȱHokum DzȱŘŚȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind AMPHIBIOUS • LC • LCAC ŝȱ Tsaplya ȱǻžœŽȱ˜›ȱ™Š›˜•ȱ TPT ȱŜŖDZȱHeavyȱŚȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dzȱ Medium ȱśŜȱ’ȬŞȱ ž’ŽœǼ Hip LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT ȱŚŗ AD • SAM • SP ȱ ş řŝȦş řŗŝȱ Buk ȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ Ȧ AGB ȱ śȱ Ivan Susanin ȱ ǻ™›’–Š›’•¢ȱ žœŽȱ Šœȱ ™Š›˜•ȱ œ‘’™œǼȱ Ȭŗŝȱ Grizzly ǼDzȱ ȬřŖŖȦȱ ǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ȦȬŘŖȱ AGS ȱŘȱYug ȱǻ™›’–Š›’•¢ȱžœŽȱŠœȱ™Š›˜•ȱœ‘’™œǼȱ Gargoyle ǼDzȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant ǼDzȱȬŚŖŖȱǻȬ AK ȱŞȱNeon Antonov Řŗ Growler ǼDzȱşŜ Ŝȱ Pantsir ȬŗȱǻȬŘŘȱ Greyhound Ǽ AKSL ȱŜȱKanin AO ŘDZȱŗ Baskunchak Dzȱŗȱ›˜“ŽŒȱŗśŗŖȱ Airborne Troops ATF ŗŞȱSorum ȱǻ™›’–Š›’•¢ȱžœŽȱŠœȱ™Š›˜•ȱœ‘’™œǼ FORCES BY ROLE AIRCRAFT • TPT ȱΉŞŜDZȱŝŖȱ—ȬŘŚȱ Coke Ȧ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl Ȧ—ȬŝŘȱ MANOEUVRE Coaler Ȧ •ȬŝŜȱ Candid ȦžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ȦŠ”ȬŚŖȱ Codling DzȱŗŜȱȬ Air Manoeuvre şŘ ŘȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹Ž HELICOPTERS DZȱ ΉŘŖŖȱ ŠȬŘŞȱ ǻ ŠȬŘŝǼȱ Helix ȱ Ȧ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind ȱ”Ȧ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo ȱ™Ȧ’ȬŞȱ Hip ȱ™ȱ Paramilitary 489,000 Federal Agency for Special Construction Federal Border Guard Service ε160,000 (MOD) ε50,000 ’›ŽŒ•¢ȱœž‹˜›’—ŠŽȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ™›Žœ’Ž—Dzȱ—˜ ȱ›Ž™˜›Ž•¢ȱ Federal Communications and Information Š••ȱŒ˜—›ŠŒȬ‹ŠœŽȱ™Ž›œ˜——Ž• Agency ε55,000 FORCES BY ROLE FORCES BY ROLE ŗŖȱ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱ’›ŽŒ˜›ŠŽœ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 MANOEUVRE MANOEUVRE Other Other Śȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱŒ˜›™œ ŝȱ›˜—’Ž›ȱ™ ŘŞȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ‹Ž EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIFV/APC (W) ȱŗǰŖŖŖȱȦ Federal Protection Service ε10,000–30,000 ARTY • SP ȱ şŖDZȱ 122mmȱ Řŗ ; 120mm ȱ ŘŗŘDzȱ 120mmȱ Řşȱ active Anona ›ȱ’—Œ•žŽȱŽ•–ȱ˜ȱ›˜ž—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱǻ–ŽŒ‘ȱ’—ȱ‹ŽȱŠ—ȱȱ PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ›ŽǼ FRIGATES • FFHMȱ řȱ Nerey ( Krivak Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ  ’—ȱ FORCES BY ROLE •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa Ȭȱ ǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko Ǽ ǰȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ MANOEUVRE śřř––ȱ ȱ •—Œ‘›ǰȱ Řȱ ȱ ŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 •—Œ‘›ǰȱ ŗȱ Mechanised ŗŖŖ––ȱž—ȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix  ȱ‘Ž•Ǽ ŗȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ’—ȱ›Ž Russia and Eurasia 197

Air Manoeuvre Šœ™ŽŒœȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–ŽȱŒ˜—Ě’Œȱ ’‘ȱ Ž˜›’Šȱ’—ȱŘŖŖŞǰȱ‘Ž›Žȱ ŗȱȱ›Ž Šœȱ’œŒžœœ’˜—ȱŠ‹˜žȱŒ›ŽŠ’—ȱȁ —˜›–Š’˜—ȱ›˜˜™œȂǰȱ ‘˜œŽȱ Other ›˜•Žȱ ˜ž•ȱ’—Œ•žŽȱŒ¢‹Ž›ȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢Dzȱ‹žȱ‘’œȱ’—’’Š’ŸŽȱ Šœȱ ŗȱǻ›Žœ’Ž—’Š•Ǽȱȱ›Ž ™ž‹•’Œ•¢ȱœŒ˜Œ‘Žȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱǯȱ —ȱ Š—žŠ›¢ȱŘŖŗŘǰȱ‘Ž—Ȭ ȱ Š”Š›˜ŸȱŠŸŽȱŠȱ’쎛Ž—ȱ™’Œž›Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ‘›ŽŽȱ–Š’—ȱŠœ”œȱ Federal Security Service ε4,000 active (armed) ˜›ȱŠ—¢ȱ—Ž ȱŒ˜––Š—DZȱȁ’œ›ž™’—ȱŠŸŽ›œŠ›¢ȱ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ FORCES BY ROLE œ¢œŽ–œǰȱ ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ ‹¢ȱ ’—›˜žŒ’—ȱ ‘Š›–ž•ȱ œ˜ Š›ŽDzȱ MANOEUVRE ŽŽ—’—ȱ ˜ž›ȱ ˜ —ȱ Œ˜––ž—’ŒŠ’˜—œȱ Š—ȱ Œ˜––Š—ȱ Other œ¢œŽ–œȂDzȱ Š—ȱ ȁ ˜›”’—ȱ ˜—ȱ ˜–Žœ’Œȱ Š—ȱ ˜›Ž’—ȱ ™ž‹•’Œȱ ˜–ŽȱŒ˜ȱž—’ȱǻ’—Œ•ž’—ȱ•ŠȱŠ—ȱ¢–™Ž•ȱž—’œǼ ˜™’—’˜—ȱžœ’—ȱ‘Žȱ–Ž’Šǰȱ —Ž›—ŽȱŠ—ȱ–˜›ŽȂǯȱ‘Žȱ‘’›ȱŠœ”ȱ ’œȱŠȱ›Ž–’—Ž›ȱ‘Šǰȱž—•’”Žȱœ˜–Žȱ˜‘Ž›ȱ—Š’˜—œȱ ’‘ȱŠŸŠ—ŒŽȱ Interior Troops Ή170,000 Œ¢‹Ž›ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǰȱ žœœ’Šȱ ŽŠ•œȱ ’—ȱ Œ¢‹Ž›ȱ Š›Š›Žȱ Šœȱ Š—ȱ FORCES BY ROLE ’—Ž›Š•ȱ Œ˜–™˜—Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ Š›Š›Žǯȱ ™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ ŝȱŽ’˜—Š•ȱ˜––Š—œDZȱŽ—›Š•ǰȱ›Š•œǰȱ˜›‘ȱŠžŒŠœžœǰȱ ’—ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ ’—ȱ ŽŠ›•¢ȱ ŘŖŗŚǰȱ Š—ȱ ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ’Ž›ȱ ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ ˜•ŠǰȱŠœŽ›—ǰȱ˜›‘ȬŽœŽ›—ȱŠ—ȱ’‹Ž›’Š— œ™ŠŒŽȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜—Ě’Œȱ ’—ȱ ”›Š’—Žǰȱ Ž–˜—œ›ŠŽȱ MANOEUVRE ‘Šȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ‘’—”’—ȱ Š—ȱ ŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ ‘Šœȱ –Šž›Žȱ ’—ȱ ‘ŽœŽȱ Other Š›ŽŠœǯȱ —ȱ›’–ŽŠǰȱžœœ’Š—ȱ›˜˜™œȱŽ–˜—œ›ŠŽȱ’—Ž›ŠŽȱ řȱǻśś‘ǰȱśş‘ȱǭȱǼȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ’ŸȱǻŘȮśȱ žœŽȱ ˜ȱ ȱ Š—ȱ ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’’Žœǰȱ Šœȱ Ž••ȱ Šœȱ ’Ž›ȱ žœŽȱ ˜ȱ ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ›ŽǼ Œ¢‹Ž›œ™ŠŒŽȱ Š—ȱ œ›ŠŽ’Œȱ Œ˜––ž—’ŒŠ’˜—œȱ ˜ȱ œ‘Š™Žȱ Š—ȱ ŗŞȱǻǼȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ‹Žȱǻřȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹—ǰȱŗȱ–˜›ȱ‹—Ǽ ŽěŽŒ’ŸŽȱ ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ ŒŠ–™Š’—ȱ Š›ŽŽȱ Šœȱ –žŒ‘ȱ Šȱ Russia and Eurasia Řȱ’—Ž™ȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ‹ŽȱǻȦǼ ˜–Žœ’ŒȱŠœȱ˜›Ž’—ȱŠž’Ž—ŒŽœǯȱ ŗŖŘȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ›ŽȦ‹—ȱǻ’—Œ•ȱœ™ŽŒ’Š•ȱ–˜˜›’œŽȱž—’œǼ ŗŗȱǻœ™ŽŒ’Š•Ǽȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱž—’ DEPLOYMENT Aviation Şȱœš— ARMENIA COMBAT SUPPORT řǰřŖŖDZȱ ŗȱ –’•ȱ ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱ ǻŗȱ ȱ ‹ŽDzȱ ŝŚȱ ȬŝŘDzȱ ŞŖȱ ȬŗDzȱ ŞŖȱ ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ›Ž ȬŘDzȱŗŘȱŘŗDzȱŗŘȱȬŘŗǼDzȱŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱŗŞȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱŘȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ȱ‹¢ȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator ȦGiant ǼDzȱŗȱȱ‹¢ȱ ’‘ȱ MBT ȱş Ř ŗŘȱ Kub ȱǻȬŜȱ Gainful Ǽ AIFV/APC (W) ȱŗǰŜśŖȱȬŗȦȬŘȦȬŞŖ BELARUS ARTY ȱřśȱ ŗȱ›ȱ̝ȱ ’‘ȱśȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker DzȱŗȱȬśŖȱ Mainstay DzȱŚȱȱž—’œȱ TOWED 122mmȱŘŖȱȬřŖȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŖȱ ›ž–‹•ŽǼDzȱŗȱ›ŠŠ›ȱœŠ’˜—ȱŠȱŠ›Š—˜Ÿ’Œ‘’ȱ MOR 120mmȱŗśȱȬřŞȱ (Volga ȱœ¢œŽ–Dzȱ•ŽŠœŽǼDzȱŗȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱŒ˜––œȱœ’Ž AIRCRAFT TPT ŘřDZȱHeavy şȱ •ȬŝŜȱCandid Dzȱ Medium ȱŘȱ —ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dz Light ȱŗŘȱ—ȬŘŜ Curl DzȱŜȱ—ȬŝŘȱ Coaler BOSNIA$HERZEGOVINA HELICOPTERS • TPT ŝŖDZȱHeavy ŗŖȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dzȱ OSCE Ȋȱ˜œ—’ŠȱŠ—ȱ Ž›£Ž˜Ÿ’—ŠȱŘ Medium ȱŜŖȱ’ȬŞȱHip CÔTE D’IVOIRE Railway Troops (MOD) ε20,000 UN Ȋȱ ȱŗŗȱ˜‹œ Śȱ›Ž’˜—Š•ȱŒ˜––Š—œ DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO FORCES BY ROLE UN ȊȱȱŘŞȱ˜‹œ COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT ŗŖȱǻ›Š’• Š¢Ǽȱ™ȱ‹Ž GEORGIA ŝǰŖŖŖDzȱ‹”‘Š£’Šȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱȱ‹ŽDzȱŚŖȱȬşŖDzȱŗŘŖȱ Cyber ȬŞŘDzȱŗŞȱŘřDzȱŗŘȱŘŗŘDzȱŗŞȱȬŘŗDzȱœ˜–ŽȱȬřŖŖȱDzȱ —’•ȱ ŘŖŖřǰȱ ŠŒ’Ÿ’’Žœȱ ’‘’—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ¢‹Ž›ȱ ˜–Š’—ȱ Ž›Žȱ ‘Žȱ œ˜–ŽȱŠ”ȱ‘Ž•ǼDzȱ˜ž‘ȱœœŽ’Šȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱȱ‹ŽDzȱŚŖȱ ›Žœ™˜—œ’‹’•’¢ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ ȱŠŽ—Œ¢ǰȱ ǯȱȱ —ȱŘŖŖřǰȱ ȬŝŘDzȱŗŘŖȱȬŘDzȱřŜȱŘřDzȱŗŘȱŘŗŘǼȱ ‘’œȱŠŽ—Œ¢ȱ ŠœȱŠ‹˜•’œ‘ŽȱŠ—ȱ’œȱ›Žœ™˜—œ’‹’•’’Žœȱ’Ÿ’Žȱ KAZAKHSTAN Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ‹Ž ŽŽ—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ –’—’œ›¢ȱ Š—ȱ ‘Žȱ ’—Ž›—Š•ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ Dnepr œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱǻǼǯȱ‘Žȱꛜȱ˜ĜŒ’Š•ȱ˜Œ›’—Š•ȱœŠŽ–Ž—ȱ˜—ȱ‘Žȱ ŗȱ›ŠŠ›ȱœŠ’˜—ȱŠȱŠ•”Šœ‘ȱǻ ȱœ¢œŽ–Dzȱ•ŽŠœŽǼ ›˜•Žȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱžœœ’Š—ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ’—ȱŒ¢‹Ž›œ™ŠŒŽǰȱ‘Žȱȁ˜—ŒŽ™žŠ•ȱ KYRGYZSTAN ’Ž œȱ ˜—ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ’Ÿ’¢ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ŽŽ›Š’˜—ȱ ›–Žȱ ΉśŖŖDzȱśȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱŘȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip ȱœ™ȱ‘Ž• ˜›ŒŽœȱ ’—ȱ —˜›–Š’˜—ȱ ™ŠŒŽȂǰȱ Šœȱ ›Ž•ŽŠœŽȱ Šȱ ‘Žȱ Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ŘŖŗŗǰȱŠ—ȱŽœŒ›’‹ŽȱŒ¢‹Ž›Ȭ˜›ŒŽȱŠœ”œȱ ’‘ȱ•’Ĵ•ŽȱŒ˜››Ž•Š’˜—ȱ LIBERIA ˜ȱ‘˜œŽȱ˜ȱŽšž’ŸŠ•Ž—ȱŒ˜––Š—œȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽœǯȱ —ȱ™Š›’Œž•Š›ǰȱ UN Ȋȱ ȱřȱ˜‹œ ‘Žȱ ˜Œž–Ž—ȱ Œ˜—Š’—œȱ —˜ȱ –Ž—’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ™˜œœ’‹’•’¢ȱ ˜ȱ MIDDLE EAST ˜ěŽ—œ’ŸŽȱ Œ¢‹Ž›ȱ ŠŒ’Ÿ’¢ǯȱ ȱ ’œȱ Š•œ˜ȱ Ž—’›Ž•¢ȱ ŽŽ—œ’ŸŽȱ ’—ȱ UN ȊȱȱŚȱ˜‹œ ˜—Žǰȱ Š—ȱ ˜ŒžœŽœȱ ˜—ȱ ˜›ŒŽȱ ™›˜ŽŒ’˜—ȱ Š—ȱ ™›ŽŸŽ—’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ Š›ǰȱ’—Œ•ž’—ȱŠ••˜ ’—ȱ˜›ȱŠȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ›˜•Žȱ’—ȱ MOLDOVA/TRANSDNIESTR —Ž˜’Š’—ȱ ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ ›ŽŠ’Žœȱ ˜ŸŽ›—’—ȱ ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ ΉŗǰśŖŖȱǻ’—Œ•ž’—ȱřśŖȱ™ŽŠŒŽ”ŽŽ™Ž›œǼDzȱŘȱȱ‹—DzȱŗŖŖȱȦ œŽŒž›’¢ǯȱ˜••˜ ’—ȱŠȱ–’¡Žȱ™Ž›˜›–Š—ŒŽȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ’—˜›–Š’˜—ȱ  ȦDz ŝȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind Dzȱœ˜–Žȱ’ȬŞȱ Hip 198 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

SERBIA ™›˜Ÿ’ŽœȱŠȱœŽŒž›’¢ȱžŠ›Š—ŽŽȱŠ—ǰȱŠ•˜—ȱ ’‘ȱžœ‘Š—‹ŽȂœȱ OSCE Ȋȱ ˜œ˜Ÿ˜ȱŗ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱ˜œŒ˜ ǰȱ‘’œȱ’œȱ›Ž’—˜›ŒŽȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱ’—ȱŠ“’”’œŠ—ȱ˜ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱ•Š›Žœȱ˜ŸŽ›œŽŠœȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ SOUTH SUDAN ‹ŠœŽȱǻœ’—ŒŽȱ‘ŽȱŠ——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ›’–ŽŠȱ‹›˜ž‘ȱŽŸŠœ˜™˜•ȱ UN Ȋȱ ȱřDzȱŘȱ˜‹œ ž—Ž›ȱ žœœ’ŠȂœȱ ’›ŽŒȱ Š–’—’œ›Š’˜—Ǽǯȱ ’ŸŽ—ȱ ‘Žȱ ˜ŸŽ›Š••ȱ SUDAN ŽŠ”—ŽœœŽœȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ“’”ȱŠ›–ŽȱŠ—ȱœŽŒž›’¢ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱȮȱ ‘’Œ‘ȱ ’—Œ•žŽȱ •’–’Žȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•Ȭ˜›ŒŽœȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ Š—ȱ ™Ž›œ˜——Ž•ȱ ’œ - UN Ȋȱ ȱŗȱ˜‹œ œžŽœȱ›ŽŸ˜•Ÿ’—ȱŠ›˜ž—ȱ‘’‘ȱ—ž–‹Ž›œȱ˜ȱŒ˜—œŒ›’™œȱŠ—ȱ•˜ ȱ ™•Š——’—ȱ ŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ Ȯȱ •˜ Ȭ•ŽŸŽ•ȱ –’•’Š—ȱ ŠŒ’Ÿ’¢ȱ •’—”Žȱ ˜ȱ ŗȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱŠŒ’•’¢ȱŠȱŠ›žœ ›žȱ ›ŠĜŒ”’—ȱ Œ˜ž•ȱ Œ˜—’—žŽȱ ˜ȱ ‹ž›Ž—ȱ Š—ȱ Œ‘Š••Ž—Žȱ ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǯ TAJIKISTAN śǰŖŖŖDzȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱǻŘŖŗœǼȱȱ’ŸDzȱŚŖȱȬŝŘŗDzȱŜŖȱ ACTIVE 8,800 (Army 7,300, Air Force/Air Defence ȬŘDzȱŞŖȱȬŞŖDzȱŚŖȱȬDzȱŗŞȱŘŗDzȱřŜȱŘřDzȱŜȱŘŗŘȦŗŘȱ 1,500) Paramilitary 7,500 şŗŚŖȱUragan ǼDzȱŚȱ’ȬŞȱHip Conscript liability ȱŘŚȱ–˜—‘œ UKRAINE ›’–ŽŠDZȱŘŖǰŖŖŖDzȱŘȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹ŽDzȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹ŽDzȱŞŖȱȬŘȱ ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE  DzȱŘŖȱȬŞŖȱDZȱŗśŖȱȬDzȱŗŞȱŘŗȱŠ›¢DzȱŗŘȱȬŘŗȱ Dzȱŗȱȱ‹—ȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖDzȱŗȱ‘ȱž—’ȱ ’‘ȱ ȬřŖŖȱ Army 7,300 Bastion Dzȱŗȱ•ŽŽȱ ȱ•˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱŽŸŠœ˜™˜•DzȱŘȱ›ŠŠ›ȱœŠ’˜—œȱ FORCES BY ROLE •˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱŽŸŠœ˜™˜•ȱǻ Dnepr ȱœ¢œŽ–ǼȱŠ—ȱž”ŠŒ‘ŽŸ˜ȱ MANOEUVRE (Dnepr ȱœ¢œŽ–Ǽȱ Mechanised ˜—Žœ”Ȧž‘Š—œ”DZȱřŖŖƸȱǻ›Ž™˜›ŽǼ řȱȱ‹Ž OSCE Ȋȱ”›Š’—ŽȱŗŜ Air Manoeuvre ŗȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹Ž WESTERN SAHARA COMBAT SUPPORT UN Ȋȱ ȱŗŗȱ˜‹œ ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž ŗȱȱ›Ž EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Tajikistan TJK MBT ȱřŝDZȱřŖȱȬŝŘDzȱŝȱȬŜŘ Tajikistani Somoni Tr 2013 2014 2015 AIFV ȱŘřDZȱŞȱȬŗDzȱŗśȱȬŘȱ APC (W) ȱŘřȱȬŜŖȦȬŝŖȦȬŞŖȱ GDP Tr 40.5bn 46.6bn ARTY ȱŘřȱ US$ 8.5bn 9.16bn TOWED 122mmȱŗŖȱȬřŖȱ per capita US$ 1,045 1,103 MRL 122mmȱřȱȬŘŗȱ Growth % 7.4 6.0 MOR 120mmȱŗŖȱ AD • SAMȱŘŖƸȱ In"ation % 5.0 6.6 TOWED ŘŖȱ Ȭŝśȱ Dvina ȱ ǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱ ȬŗŘśȱ Pechora - Def bdgt [a] Tr 923m ε946m ŘȱǻȬřȱ Goa Ǽ US$ 194m 186m MANPAD ȱş řŘȱStrela ȬŘȱǻȬŝȱ Grail ǼȖȱ FMA (US) US$ 0.8m 1.5m 0.7m US$1=Tr 4.8 5.1 Air Force/Air Defence 1,500 [a] Defence and law enforcement expenses FORCES BY ROLE TRANSPORT Population 8,051,512 ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty Ethnic groups: Tajik 67%; Uzbek 25%; Russian 2%; Tatar 2% ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ’Ȭŗŝȱ Hip H

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Male 16.8% 5.0% 5.2% 5.1% 16.3% 1.3% AIRCRAFT Female 16.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.0% 17.3% 1.8% TPT • Light ŗȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty TRG ŚƸDZ ŚȱȬřşȱAlbatros Dzȱœ˜–ŽȱŠ”ȬśŘ Capabilities HELICOPTERS ATK ȱŚȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind ‘ŽȱŠ“’”ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱ•’Ĵ•ŽȱŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱ˜ȱŽ™•˜¢ȱ˜‘Ž›ȱ TPT • Medium ȱŗŗȱ’ȬŞȱHip Ȧ’Ȭŗŝȱ Hip H ‘Š—ȱ ˜”Ž—ȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Š—ȱ –˜œȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ’œȱ ˜ȱ ˜Ÿ’Žȱ ˜›’ - ’—ǰȱ ’‘ȱ —˜ȱ œ’—’ęŒŠ—ȱ ™›˜Œž›Ž–Ž—ȱ ™•Š—œȱ ’—ȱ ™•ŠŒŽǯȱ ‘Žȱ Paramilitary 7,500 ™ŠžŒ’¢ȱ ˜ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ ™Š›’Š••¢ȱ ›ŽĚŽŒœȱ ‘Šȱ ‘Žȱ ™›’–Š›¢ȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—ȱ ›Ž–Š’—œȱ ’—Ž›—Š•ȱ Š—ȱ ‹˜›Ž›ȱ Interior Troops 3,800 œŽŒž›’¢ǰȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Žȱ Œ˜ž—›¢ȱ œ‘Š›’—ȱ Š—ȱ Ž¡Ž—Žȱ ‹˜›Ž›ȱ ’‘ȱ ‘Š—’œŠ—ǯȱ Š“’”’œŠ—Ȃœȱ –Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ȱ National Guard 1,200 Russia and Eurasia 199

Emergencies Ministry 2,500 FORCES BY ROLE MANOEUVRE Border Guards Mechanised řȱȱ’Ÿ DEPLOYMENT Řȱȱ‹Ž Air Manouvre UKRAINE ŗȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹— OSCE ȱȊȱ”›Š’—Žȱŗ Other ŗȱȱ›ȱ’Ÿ FOREIGN FORCES COMBAT SUPPORT ŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž Russia śǰŖŖŖDzȱŗȱ–’•ȱ‹ŠœŽȱ ’‘ȱǻŗȱǻŘŖŗœǼȱȱ’ŸDzȱŚŖȱȬŝŘŗDzȱ ŗȱȱ›Ž ŜŖȱȬŘDzȱŞŖȱȬŞŖDzȱŚŖȱȬDzȱŗŞȱŘŗDzȱřŜȱŘřDzȱŜȱŘŗŘȦŗŘȱ ŗȱȱ›Ž şŗŚŖȱUragan ǼDzȱŚȱ’ȬŞȱHip ŗȱȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ Scud Řȱȱ‹Ž TKM ŗȱŽ—›ȱ›Ž EQUIPMENT BY TYPE † Turkmen New Manat TMM 2013 2014 2015 MBT ȱŜŞŖDZȱŗŖȱȬşŖDzȱŜŝŖȱȬŝŘȱ GDP TMM 116bn 135bn RECCE ȱŗŝŖȱȦȬŘȱ US$ 40.8bn 47.5bn AIFV ȱşŚŘDZ şřŖȱȬŗȦȬŘDzȱŗŘȱȱ Russia and Eurasia per capita US$ 7,157 8,203 APC (W) ȱŞŘşȱȬŜŖȦȬŝŖȦȬŞŖȱ Growth % 10.2 10.1 ARTY ȱśŝŖȱ SP ȱśŜDZȱ122mmȱŚŖȱŘŗ; 152mmȱŗŜȱŘřȱ In"ation % 6.8 5.0 TOWEDȱ ŘŜşDZ 122mm ȱ ŗŞŖȱ ȬřŖDzȱ 152mmȱ ŞşDZȱ ŗŝȱ ȬŗDzȱ ŝŘȱ Def exp TMM ε1.75bn ȬŘŖȱ US$ ε612m GUN/MOR 120mmȱŗŝȱŘşȱ Anona FMA (US) US$ 0.69m 0.1m MRL ȱ ŗřŗDZȱ 122mmȱ ŜśDZȱ şȱ şŗřŞDzȱ śŜȱ ȬŘŗDzȱ 220mmȱ ŜŖȱ USD1=TMM 2.85 2.85 şŗŚŖȱUragan; 300mmȱŜȱşśŘȱSmerch MORȱşŝDZȱ82mmȱřŗDz 120mmȱŜŜȱȬřŞȱ Population 5,171,943 AT Ethnic groups: Turkmen 77%; Uzbek 9%; Russian 7%; Kazak 2% MSL • MANPATS ȱ ş ŗŗȱ ǻȬřȱ Sagger ǼDzȱ ş ŗŗŗȱ ǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗśȱǻȬŜ Spiral) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus GUNS 100mmȱŝŘȱȬŗŘȦȬŗŘȱ Male 13.4% 4.9% 5.3% 5.1% 19.1% 1.8% AD • SAMȱśřƸ Female 13.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.1% 19.9% 2.4% SP ȱśřDZȱŚŖȱş řřȱ Osa ȱǻȬŞȱ Gecko ǼDzȱŗřȱş řśȱ Strela Ȭŗ 0ȱǻȬ ŗřȱGopher Ǽ Capabilities MANPAD ȱş řŘȱStrela ȬŘȱǻȬŝȱ Grail ǼȖȱ GUNS ȱŝŖȱ ž›”–Ž—’œŠ—Ȃœȱ •Š›Ž•¢ȱ Œ˜—œŒ›’™Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Š›Žȱ SP 23mm ȱŚŞȱȬŘřȬŚȱ ™˜˜›•¢ȱ Žšž’™™Žȱ Š—ȱ ›Ž–Š’—ȱ ›Ž•’Š—ȱ ˜—ȱ ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šȱ Žšž’™ - TOWED 57mm ȱŘŘȱȬŜŖȱ –Ž—ȱŠ—ȱ˜Œ›’—Žǯȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ȱŽŒ•Š›Žȱ—Žž›Š•’¢ȱ’—ȱŗşşşȱ MSL • SSMȱŗŖȱȬŗȱ Scud Š—ȱŽ—œ‘›’—Žȱ‘’œȱ™›’—Œ’™•Žȱ’—ȱ’œȱŘŖŖşȱ’•’Š›¢ȱ˜Œ›’—Žǯȱ Ž•’ŸŽ›¢ȱ˜ȱŠ›˜ž—ȱřŖȱȬşŖȱœǰȱ˜›Ž›Žȱ›˜–ȱžœœ’Šȱ’—ȱ Navy 500 ŘŖŗŗǰȱ‘Šœȱ¢Žȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱꗊ•’œŽǯȱ‘ŽȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱ‘ŠœȱŠȱ•’–’Žȱ—ž– - ‹Ž›ȱ˜ȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŠ’›Œ›ŠȱŠ—ȱ‘Ž•’Œ˜™Ž›œǰȱ‘˜ž‘ȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹’•’¢ȱ’œȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ž—ŒŽ›Š’—ǯȱ’›•’ȱ’œȱ–˜ŽœǰȱŠ—ȱ’—œžĜŒ’Ž—ȱ˜ȱŽ•’ŸŽ›ȱœž‹ - PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŗş œŠ—’Š•ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱŽěŽŒȱ˜ŸŽ›œŽŠœǰȱ˜›ȱŽŸŽ—ȱŠŒ›˜œœȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ǯȱ PCFG Řȱ Edermen ȱǻȱ Molnya Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŚȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ řŘŚȱ Uran ȱ‘ǰȱŗȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱǻ–Š—žŠ•ȱŠ’–’—Ǽȱ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ‘Ž›ŽȱŠ›Žȱ™•Š—œȱ˜ȱœ›Ž—‘Ž—ȱŒ˜ŠœŠ•ȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ‹¢ȱŘŖŗśǰȱ Š—ȱœ˜–ŽȱŠœœŽœȱ‘ŠŸŽȱŠ•›ŽŠ¢ȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ™›˜Œž›Žǰȱ•ŽŠ’—ȱ˜ȱŠȱ ’‘ȱş řŘȱ Strela ȬŘȱǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽ ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ –˜Ž›ŠŽȱ’–™›˜ŸŽ–Ž—ȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŠœ™’Š—ȱŽŠȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽǯȱ PCC ȱŚȱArkadag ’•’Š›¢ȱŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ’œȱ‹Ž•’ŽŸŽȱ˜ȱ‹Žȱ•’–’Žȱ‹¢ȱ•˜ ȱ•ŽŸŽ•œȱ˜ȱ PBF ŗŘDZȱśȱGrif ȬDz ś ŽŠ›œŠ—ȱŗŚDZȱŘȱ Sobol ›Š’—’—ȱŠ—ȱŠŸŠ’•Š‹’•’¢ȱ˜ȱœ™Š›Žȱ™Š›œǯ PB ŗȱ Point ACTIVE 22,000 (Army 18,500 Navy 500 Air 3,000) Air Force 3,000 Conscript liability ȱŘŚȱ–˜—‘œ FORCES BY ROLE FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum Dzȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱžȬŗŝȱ ’ĴŽ› DzȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot Army 18,500 TRANSPORT śȱ’•ȱ’œ›’Œœ ŗȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŜ Curl Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind 200 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

TRAINING ŽŠœǯȱŽŠ— ‘’•ŽǰȱŒ˜—œŒ›’™’˜—ȱ Šœȱ›Ž’—œŠŽȱ’—ȱŠ¢Dzȱ’ȱ‘Šȱ ŗȱž—’ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŝȱ ’ĴŽ›ȱ DzȱȬřşȱ Albatros ˜—•¢ȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱœžœ™Ž—Žȱ˜›ȱŠȱœ‘˜›ȱ’–Žǰȱœ˜ȱ–žŒ‘ȱŽ¡™Ž›’Ž—ŒŽȱ AIR DEFENCE ’—ȱŒ˜—œŒ›’™ȱ–Š—ŠŽ–Ž—ȱŠ—ȱ›Ž•ŠŽȱ’—›Šœ›žŒž›Žȱ ˜ž•ȱ ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱȬŝśȱ Dvina ǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱȬŗŘśȱ Pechora ‘ŠŸŽȱ›Ž–Š’—ŽǯȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱœ™Ž—’—ȱ‘Šœȱ›Ž–Š’—Žȱ•˜ ǰȱ ’‘ȱ ǻȬřȱ Goa ǼDzȱȬŘŖŖȱAngara ȱǻȬśȱ Gammon Ǽ –˜œȱ Š›ŽŠœȱ ž—Ž›ž—Žǯȱ ¢ȱ ‘Žȱ Ž—ȱ ˜ȱ ŘŖŗŚǰȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ™•Š—œȱ ǻŠȱ œž‹œŠ—’Š•ȱ ŽŽ—ŒŽȱ ’—žœ›¢ȱ ›Ž–Š’—œǼȱ AIRCRAFT ȱşŚȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž Ž›Žȱ ›Žž›—’—ȱ ˜ȱ œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ ‘Žȱ ꛜȱ Š’›Œ›Šȱ ›ŽŒ˜ŸŽ›Žȱ ‹¢ȱ FTR ȱŘŚDZȱŘŘȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱŘȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum ›˜Šȱ›˜–ȱ›’–ŽŠǯȱǻŽŽȱ™™ǯȱŗŜŞȮŝřǯǼ FGA ȱŜŞDZȱřȱžȬŝȱ ’ĴŽ›ȱ DzȱŜśȱžȬŗŝȱ ’ĴŽ›ȱ B ACTIVE 121,500 (Army 64,000 Navy 7,000 Air ATK ŘȱžȬŘś ȱ Frogfoot ǻŚŗȱ–˜›Žȱ‹Ž’—ȱ›Žž›‹’œ‘ŽǼ 45,000 Airborne 5,500) Paramilitary n.k. TPT • Light ȱŗȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl Conscript liability ›–¢ǰȱ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱŗŞȱ–˜—‘œǰȱŠŸ¢ȱŘȱ TRG ȱŘȱȬřşȱAlbatros ¢ŽŠ›œǯȱž›’—ȱ‘Žȱžž–—ȱŘŖŗřȱ›ŠǰȱŠž‘˜›’’Žœȱ’—’ŒŠŽȱ HELICOPTERS ‘ŠȱŒ˜—Œ›’™’˜—ȱŒ˜ž•ȱ‹Žȱœžœ™Ž—Žȱ’—ȱŘŖŗŚǯȱ˜—›ŠŒȱ ATK ȱŗŖȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind œŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽ–Ž—ȱŒ˜–™›’œŽȱ“žœȱ˜ŸŽ›ȱśŖƖȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœǯ TPT • Medium ȱŞȱ’ȬŞȱHip AD • SAMȱśŖȱȬŝśȱDvina ȱǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼȦȬŗŘśȱ Pechora RESERVE 1,000,000 (Joint 1,000,000) ǻȬřȱ Goa ǼȦȬŘŖŖȱ Angara ȱǻȬśȱ Gammon Ǽ ’•’Š›¢ȱœŽ›Ÿ’ŒŽȱ ’‘’—ȱśȱ¢ŽŠ›œȱ

ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Ukraine UKR Army 64,000 Ukrainian Hryvnia h 2013 2014 2015 —Œ•žŽœȱ‹˜‘ȱŠ—ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱŠ—ȱޝ‘ȱ›–¢ȱ˜›™œǯȱ ›˜ž—ȱ GDP h 1.45tr 1.52tr Œ˜–‹Šȱ’—ȱ‘ŽȱŽŠœȱ’œȱŒ˜—žŒŽȱ‹¢ȱŠȱ–’¡ž›Žȱ˜ȱ›Žž•Š›ȱ US$ 178bn 135bn Š—ȱ—Š’˜—Š•ȱžŠ›ȱž—’œǰȱŠ—ȱ’››Žž•Š›ȱ˜›–Š’˜—œǯ per capita US$ 3,930 2,979 FORCES BY ROLE Growth % -0.0 -6.5 COMMAND In"ation % -0.3 11.4 ŗȱŒ˜›™œȱ  Def bdgt [a] h 19.7bn 40.5bn 63bn SPECIAL FORCES Řȱȱ›Ž US$ 2.41bn 3.59bn MANOEUVRE FMA (US) US$ 7m 4.2m 2m Armoured US$1=h 8.16 11.30 Řȱ”ȱ‹Ž [a] Defence & security budget, includes funds for the Interior Mechanised Ministry. 2014 #gure excludes funding from general budget şȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹Ž reserve fund and special defence and security reserve fund. ŗȱ–—ȱ‹Ž Population 44,291,413 Aviation ŘȱŠŸ—ȱ‹Ž Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus ŗȱŠŸ—ȱ›Ž Male 7.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.2% 23.4% 5.2% COMBAT SUPPORT Female 6.8% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 26.9% 10.7% ŘȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž řȱȱ›Ž Capabilities ŗȱȱ‹Ž řȱȱ›Ž —ȱŘŖŗŚǰȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ Ž›ŽȱŽŸ’ŒŽȱ›˜–ȱ›’–ŽŠȱ ŚȱŽ—›ȱ›Ž ‹¢ȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ǰȱ ™Žœ—Š£ȱ Š—ȱ ˜‘Ž›ȱ œ™ŽŒ’Š•Ȭ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ ŗȱȱ›Ž ˜›ŒŽœǯȱ’›Ȭ˜›ŒŽȱŠ—ȱ—ŠŸ¢ȱž—’œȱ‹ŠœŽȱ‘Ž›Žȱ•˜œȱ‘Žȱ–Š“˜› - ŗȱȱ›Ž ’¢ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Ž’›ȱ –ŠŽ›’Ž•ǰȱ ’‘ȱ Šȱ •Š›Žȱ —ž–‹Ž›ȱ ˜ȱ ŸŽœœŽ•œȱ Œ˜Ȭ Śȱœ’œȱ›Ž

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ˜™Žȱ‹¢ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ˜›ŒŽœǰȱŠ•‘˜ž‘ȱœ˜–ŽȱŽšž’™–Ž—ȱœžŒ‘ȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Šœȱ ȬŘŝœȱ Šœȱ ›Žž›—Žȱ ’—ȱ ŸŠ›’˜žœȱ œŠŽœȱ ˜ȱ ’œ›Ž™Š’›ǯȱ MBT ȱŝŖŖȱȬŜŚȦDzȱǻŗŖȱȬŞŚȱ Oplot; ŗŜśȱȬŞŖDzȱŜŖŖȱȬŝŘDzȱ ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ œž‹œŽšžŽ—ȱ –˜‹’•’œŠ’˜—ȱ œ‘˜ Žȱ ‘Šȱ Œ˜–‹Šȱ ŜśŖȱȬŜŚDzȱŘŖȱȬśśȱŠ••ȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼȱ ŒŠ™Š‹’•’¢ȱ‘Šȱ‹ŽŽ—ȱ›ŽŠ•¢ȱȁ‘˜••˜ Žȱ˜žȂȱ‹¢ȱ’—ŠŽšžŠŽȱ RECCE ȱŚśŖȱȬŘȱ ›Žœ˜ž›Œ’—ȱ Š—ȱ ›ŽžŒŽȱ ›Š’—’—ȱ ˜ŸŽ›ȱ –Š—¢ȱ ¢ŽŠ›œǯȱ ‘Žȱ AIFV ȱŗǰŘŚşDZ ŗśȱȬŗǰȱŗśȱȬŘDzȱŘŖŖȱȬŗDzȱşŖŖȱȬŘDzȱ Œ˜ž—›¢ȱŒ˜—’—žŽœȱ˜ȱ˜™Ž›ŠŽȱ–Š’—•¢ȱ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›ŠȱŽšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ ŚȱȬřDzȱŗŗśȱȬŗ ȱ ˜›ȱŽ›’ŸŠ’ŸŽœȱ˜ȱ‘ŽœŽȱŽœ’—œǰȱŠ—ȱ˜—•¢ȱŠȱœ–Š••ȱ™›˜™˜› - APC ȱŚşŖȱ ’˜—ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›–¢ȱŠ—ȱŠ’›ȱ˜›ŒŽȱŠ›ŽȱŒ˜–‹Šȱ›ŽŠ¢ǰȱ ’‘ȱ’—’ - APC (T) ȱŗśȱȬȱ ’Š•ȱ ˜™Ž›Š’˜—œȱ ˜ȱ ŽŸ’Œȱ ™›˜Ȭžœœ’Š—ȱ ›Ž‹Ž•œȱ ›˜–ȱ ŽŠœŽ›—ȱ APC (W) ȱřŜŖDZȱž™ȱ˜ȱŗŖȱȬŚDzȱśȱȬŜŖDzȱŘřśȱȬŝŖDzȱŗŗŖȱ ”›Š’—Žȱ›Ž™˜›Ž•¢ȱŽ™Ž—Ž—ȱ˜—ȱŠȱŽ ȱœ˜•’Ž›œȱŠ—ȱ‘Ž•’ - ȬŞŖȱȱ Œ˜™Ž›œȱ Š—ȱ Šȱ œ’—•Žȱ Š’›‹˜›—Žȱ ›Ž’–Ž—ȱ ’‘ȱ ’—ŠŽšžŠŽȱ ARTY ȱŗǰŞŜŘ •˜’œ’Œœǯȱ ȱ —Ž ȱ —Š’˜—Š•ȱ žŠ›ȱ Š—ȱ ’››Žž•Š›ȱ Ÿ˜•ž—ŽŽ›ȱ SP ȱśŘŞƸDZ 122mmȱŘŚŖȱŘŗDz 152mmȱŘŞŞDZȱřśȱŘŗşȱFarm DzȱŘřśȱ –’•’’Šœȱ˜›–Žȱ’—ȱŘŖŗŚǰȱŠ—ȱ˜˜”ȱ™Š›ȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱꐑ’—ȱ’—ȱ‘Žȱ ŘřDzȱŗŞȱŘśDz 203mmȱŘŝȱǻž™ȱ˜ȱşŖȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ Russia and Eurasia 201

TOWEDȱśŗśDZ 122mmȱŝśȱȬřŖDzȱ152mmȱŚŚŖDZȱŗŞŖȱŘřŜDzȱ LANDING CRAFT ř ŗřŖȱŘŜśDzȱŗřŖȱȬŘŖ LCAC ŗȱ Pomornik ( Zubr Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ Řȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ GUN/MOR • 120mm • TOWEDȱŘȱŘŗŜȱȬ ş řŘȱ Strela ȬŘȱ ǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽȱ ǰȱ Řȱ ŜřŖȱ  ǰȱ MRL ȱřŚŞDZ 122mmȱŘŖřDZȱŗŞȱşŗřŞDzȱŗŞśȱȬŘŗDzȱ 220mmȱŝŖȱ ǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŘřŖȱ›˜˜™œDzȱŽ’‘Ž›ȱřȱȱ˜›ȱŗŖȱȱǻǼǼ şŗŚŖȱUragan Dz 300mmȱŝśȱşśŘȱSmerch LCU Řȱ MOR 120mmȱŘŘŖDZȱŗşŖȱŘŗŘDzȱřŖȱȬřŞȱ LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT řŖ AT AG Ř MSL • MANPATS ş ŗŗŗȱ Fagot ǻȬŚȱ Spigot ǼDzȱş ŗŗřȱ AGI Řȱ Muna Konkurs ȱǻȬśȱ Spandrel ǼDzȱş ŗŗŚȱShturm ȱǻȬŜȱ Spiral Ǽȱ AGS ŗȱ Biya GUNS 100mm ȱΉśŖŖȱȬŗŘȦȬŗŘȱ AKL ȱŗ HELICOPTERS AO Řȱ Toplivo ATK ȱŗřŚȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind AWT ŗȱ Sudak TPT • Medium ȱřŖȱ’ȬŞȱHip AXL řȱ Petrushka AD YDT ŗřDZȱŗȱYelva DzȱŗŘȱ˜‘Ž› SAM • SP ȱş řśȱStrela ȬŗŖȱǻȬŗřȱ Gopher ǼDzȱş řřȱOsa ȱǻȬ YTM Ř Şȱ Gecko ǼDzȱǻ˜–ŽȱȬřŖŖȱǻȬŗŘȱ Gladiator Ǽȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ YTRȱŘȱPozharny GUNS ȱŚŝŖ: YY ŗȱ Sokal SP 23mm ȬŘřȬŘDzȱ 30mmȱŝŖȱŘŜ TOWED 57mm ȱΉŚŖŖȱȬŜŖȱ Naval Aviation ε1,000 RADAR • LAND Small Fred ȦSmall Yawn ȦȬŗŖȱ Big EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Russia and Eurasia Fred ȱǻŠ›¢Ǽ AIRCRAFT ŗȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž MSL • SSMȱŘŗŘDZȱśŖȱ DzȱşŖȱ Tochka ǻȬŘŗȱ Scarab ǼDzȱŝŘȱ ASWȱŗȱŽȬŗŘȱMail Scud -B TPT • Light ȱŘȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl AEV ȱśřȱȬŘDzȱȬ HELICOPTERS ARV ȱȬŘDzȱȬŜŚDzȱȬśŚȦȬśś ASWȱřȱ’ȬŗŚȱHaze VLB ȬŘŖȱ TPT • Medium ŗȱ ŠȬŘşȱHelix -B Navy 7,000 (incl Naval Aviation and Naval Naval Infantry Ή500 Infantry) FORCES BY ROLE Ž›ȱžœœ’ŠȂœȱŠ——Ž¡Š’˜—ȱ˜ȱ›’–ŽŠǰȱ ȱœ‘’Žȱ˜ȱŽœœŠǯȱ MANOEUVRE ŽŸŽ›Š•ȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱ›Ž–Š’—ȱ’—ȱžœœ’Š—ȱ™˜œœŽœœ’˜—ȱ’—ȱ Light ›’–ŽŠǯ ŗȱ’—ȱ‹— EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Air Forces 45,000 PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS ŗ FRIGATES • FFHMȱŗȱ Hetman Sagaidachny ȱǻȱ Krivak •¢’—ȱ‘˜ž›œ ŚŖȱ‘›œȦ¢› Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŗȱ ’—ȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko Ǽȱǰȱ FORCES BY ROLE ŘȱšžŠȱśřř––ȱȱ ’‘ȱȬśřȱ ǰȱŗȱŗŖŖ––ȱž—ǰȱ FIGHTER ǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŗȱ ŠȬŘŝȱ Helix ȱȱ‘Ž•Ǽ Śȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŝȱ FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK CORVETTES • FSMȱ ŗȱ Grisha ȱ ǻ ȦǼȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ Řȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer; žȬŘś Frogfoot ’‘ȱ Osa ȬȱǻȬȬŚȱ Gecko ǼȱǰȱŘȱ ’—ȱśřř––ȱȱ ISR ’‘ȱȬŜŖȱ ǰȱŗȬŘȱȱŜŖŖŖȱ Smerch 2 ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱ Řȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E* ž—ȱ TRANSPORT PCFGMȱ Řȱ Tarantul ȱ ǻȱ Molnya Ǽ ’‘ȱ Řȱ  ’—ȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ řȱ‹Žȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŚDzȱ—ȬŘŜDzȱ—ȬřŖDzȱ •ȬŝŜȱ Candid DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ’‘ȱȬŗśȱŽ›–’ȬȱǻȬȬŘȱ Styx Ǽȱ‘DzȱŗȱšžŠȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ TRAINING ǻ–Š—žŠ•ȱŠ’–’—Ǽȱ ’‘ȱş řŘȱ Strela ȬŘȱǻȬȬśȱ Grail ǼDzȱŗȱ ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱȬřşȱ Albatros ŝŜ––ȱž— TRANSPORT HELICOPTER

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 PHG Řȱ Matka ȱǻȱ Vekhr Ǽȱ ’‘ȱŘȱœ’—•Žȱ•—Œ‘›ȱ ’‘ȱȬŗśȱ ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŞDzȱ’ȬşDzȱȱ’ȬŘȱ Hoplite Termit ȬȦȱǻȬȬŘȦȱ Styx Ǽȱ‘ǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž— AIR DEFENCE PCMT ȱ ŗȱ Pauk ȱ ȱ ǻȱ Molnya Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ ŗȱ šžŠȱ •—Œ‘›ȱ ŗŗȱ‹ŽȦ›Žȱ ’‘ȱş řŝȱ Buk ȬŗȱǻȬŗŗǼDzȱȬřŖŖȦȦȱ ǻ–Š—žŠ•ȱ Š’–’—Ǽȱ ’‘ȱ ş řŘȱ ›Ž•ŠȬŘȱ ǻȬȬśȱ Grail Ǽȱ ǻȬŗŖǼ ǰȱŚȱœ’—•ŽȱŚŖŜ––ȱǰȱŘȱȬŗŘŖŖǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE PB ȱŗȱZhuk ǻȱ Grif Ǽ AIRCRAFT ȱŘŖŘȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES ȱŚ FTR ȱŗŗŜDZȱŞŖȱ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum Dz řŜȱžȬŘŝȱ Flanker MHIȱŗȱYevgenya ȱǻȱ Korund Ǽ FGA ȱřŚȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer MSO ȱŗȱNatya ȱ ’‘ȱŘȱȱŗŘŖŖ ATK ŘşȱžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot MSC ȱŘȱSonya ȱǻȱ Yakhont Ǽ ISR ŘśDZ Řȱ—ȬřŖȱ Clank DzȱŘřȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer E* AMPHIBIOUS TPT ȱŚřDZȱHeavyȱŗŞȱ •ȬŝŜȱCandid Dz Light ŘśDZȱřȱ—ȬŘŚȱ Coke Dzȱ LANDING SHIPS ŘŖȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl DzȱŘȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty LSMȱŗȱPolnochny ȱȱǻŒŠ™ŠŒ’¢ȱŜȱDzȱŗŞŖȱ›˜˜™œǼȱ TRG ȱřŝȱȬřşȱAlbatros 202 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

HELICOPTERS TRANSPORT C2 ȱŚȱ’Ȭş řȱœš— TPT ȱřřDZȱMedium ȱřŖȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ Light ȱřȱȱ’ȬŘȱ Hoplite TRANSPORT HELICOPTER AD • SAM • SP ȱřŘŘDZȱŘśŖȱȬřŖŖȦȦȱǻȬŗŖȱ Grumble ǼDz ŗȱœš— ŝŘȱş řŝȱBuk ȬŗȱǻȬŗŗȱ ŠĚ¢ Ǽ COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT MSL ŗȱ›ȱ’Ÿ ASMDZȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŖȱ Karen ǼDzȱ ‘ȬśşȱǻȬŗřȱ Kingbolt ǼDzȱ ‘Ȭ ŗȱǻŠž¡ȱœ‘’™œǼȱ™ ŘşȱǻȬŗŚȱ Kedge ǼDz EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ARMDZ ‘ȬśŞȱǻȬŗŗȱ Kilter ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŘȱ Kegler ǼDzȱ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ȱŘŜ ‘ȬŘŞȱǻȬşȱ Kyle Ǽ PCFT ȱŜȱStenka ȱ ’‘ȱŚȱœ’—•ŽȱŚŖŜ––ȱ AAM • IR ȬŜŖȱǻȬŞȱ Aphid ǼDzȱȬŝřȱǻȬŗŗȱ Archer Ǽȱ PCT ȱřȱPauk ȱ ȱ ’‘ȱŚȱœ’—•ŽȱŚŖŜ––ȱǰȱŘȱȬŗŘŖŖǰȱ SARH ȱȬŘŝȱǻȬŗŖȱ Alamo Ǽ ŗȱŝŜ––ȱž—ȱ Airborne Forces Ή5,500 PHT ȱŗȱMuravey ȱ ’‘ȱŘȱœ’—•ŽȱŚŖŜ––ȱǰȱŗȱŝŜ––ȱ ž— FORCES BY ROLE: PB ȱŗŘDZȱŗŗȱZhuk; ŗȱ Orlan ǻœŽŸŽ—ȱŠ’’˜—Š•ȱŸŽœœŽ•œȱ MANOEUVRE ž—Ž›ȱŒ˜—œ›žŒ’˜—Ǽ Air Manoeuvre PBR ȱŚȱShmel ŗȱȱ‹Ž LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AGF ȱŗ řȱŠ’›ȱ–˜‹ȱ‹Ž AIRCRAFT • TPT Medium —ȬŞȱ Camp Dzȱ Light —ȬŘŚȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Coke Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl Dzȱ—ȬŝŘȱ Coaler AIFV ȱŝśDZȱřŖȱȬŗDzȱŚśȱȬŘ HELICOPTERS • ASWDZȱ ŠȬŘŝȱHelix ȱ APC ȱŗřŜ APC (T) ȱŘśȱȬ Civil Defence Troops n.k. APC (W) ŗŗŗDZȱŗȱȬŜŖDzȱŗŗŖȱȬŞŖ ǻ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ–Ž›Ž—Œ¢ȱ’žŠ’˜—œǼȱ ARTY ȱŗŗŞ FORCES BY ROLE TOWED • 122mmȱśŚȱȬřŖ MANOEUVRE GUN/MOR • SP • 120mmȱŚŖȱŘşȱ Anona Other

MOR 120mmȱŘŚȱŘŗŘ Śȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ‹Ž Śȱ™Š›Š–’•’Š›¢ȱ›Ž Paramilitary National Guard Ή33,000 DEPLOYMENT ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›—Š•ȱ슒›œDzȱŜȱŽ››’˜›’Š•ȱŒ˜– Legal provisions for foreign deployment: FORCES BY ROLE Constitution: ȱ˜’ꮍȱŒ˜—œ’ž’˜—ȱǻŗşşŜǼ MANOEUVRE ™ŽŒ’ęŒȱ•Ž’œ•Š’˜—DZ ȱȁ—ȱ‘Žȱ™›˜ŒŽž›Žœȱ˜ȱŽ™•˜¢ȱ›–Žȱ Armoured ˜›ŒŽœȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—Žȱž—’œȱŠ‹›˜ŠȂȱǻŗśŗŞȬ ǰȱŠ›Œ‘ȱŘŖŖŖǼǯ ˜–Žȱ”ȱ‹— Decision on deployment of troops abroad: ȱ Š›•’Š–Ž—ȱ Mechanised Šž‘˜›’œŽȱ ˜ȱ Š™™›˜ŸŽȱ ŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ™›˜Ÿ’Žȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ ˜–Žȱ–ŽŒ‘ȱ‹— Šœœ’œŠ—ŒŽǰȱŽ™•˜¢ȱ›˜˜™œȱŠ‹›˜ŠȱŠ—ȱŠ••˜ ȱ˜›Ž’—ȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱ Light ™›ŽœŽ—ŒŽȱ’—ȱ”›Š’—Žȱǻ›ǯȱŞśǰȱ™Š›ŠȱŘřǼDzȱ•œ˜ǰȱ’—ȱŠŒŒ˜›Š—ŒŽȱ ˜–Žȱ•ȱ’—ȱ‹— ’‘ȱ›ǯȱŝȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱœ™ŽŒ’ęŒȱ•Ž’œ•Š’˜—ȱǻŠ‹˜ŸŽǼǰȱ™›Žœ’Ž—ȱ’œȱ EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Šž‘˜›’œŽȱ˜ȱŠ”ŽȱŠȱŽŒ’œ’˜—ȱ˜ȱŽ™•˜¢ȱ›˜˜™œȱŠ‹›˜ŠȱŠ—ȱ MBT ȬŜŚDzȱȬŝŘȱǻ›Ž™˜›ŽǼ Šȱ‘ŽȱœŠ–Žȱ’–Žȱ˜ȱœž‹–’ȱŠȱ›Šȱ•Š ȱ˜ȱ‘ŽȱŠ›•’Š–Ž—ȱ˜ȱ AIFV ȱȬřDzȱΉśŖȱȬŚ ”›Š’—Žȱ˜›ȱŠ™™›˜ŸŠ•ǯȱ APC AFGHANISTAN APC (W) ȱȬŝŖDzȱȬŞŖ PPV ȱ›Ž’ȱ Cougar Dzȱ›Ž’ȱ Spartan NATO Ȋȱ ȱŗŖ

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN Border Guard n.k. OSCE Ȋȱ’—œ”ȱ˜—Ž›Ž—ŒŽȱŗ Maritime Border Guard CÔTE D’IVOIRE ‘Žȱ Š›’’–Žȱ ˜›Ž›ȱ žŠ›ȱ ’œȱ Š—ȱ ’—Ž™Ž—Ž—ȱ UN Ȋȱ ȱŚŖDzȱŗȱ‘Ž•ȱ̝ œž‹’Ÿ’œ’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ‘Žȱ ŠŽȱ ˜––’œœ’˜—ȱ ˜›ȱ ˜›Ž›ȱ žŠ›œȱŠ—ȱ’œȱ—˜ȱ™Š›ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱ—ŠŸ¢ǯ CYPRUS FORCES BY ROLE UN Ȋȱ ȱŘ PATROL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO ŚȱǻŒžĴŽ›Ǽȱ‹Ž UN ȊȱȱŘśŚDzȱŗŖȱ˜‹œDzȱŘȱŠ”ȱ‘Ž•ȱœš—Dzȱŗȱ‘Ž•ȱœš—ȱ Řȱ›Ÿ—ȱ‹Ž MINE WARFARE LIBERIA ŗȱȱœš— UN Ȋȱ ȱŗŝŝDzȱŘȱ˜‹œDzȱŗȱ‘Ž•ȱœš—ȱ Russia and Eurasia 203

MOLDOVA TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT ŗŖȱ˜‹œ DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL SERBIA ˜••˜ ’—ȱ‘Žȱ˜ŸŽ›‘›˜ ȱ˜ȱ”›Š’—ŽȂœȱ›Žœ’Ž—ȱŠ—ž”˜Ÿ’Œ‘ȱ NATO Ȋȱ ȱŘś ’—ȱ Ž‹›žŠ›¢ȱ ŘŖŗŚǰȱ ‘Žȱ ›Ž’˜—ȱ ˜ȱ ›’–ŽŠȱ ›ŽšžŽœŽȱ ˜ȱ “˜’—ȱ OSCE Ȋȱ ˜œ˜Ÿ˜ȱŗ ‘Žȱ žœœ’Š—ȱ ŽŽ›Š’˜—ȱ ŠŽ›ȱ Šȱ ›ŽŽ›Ž—ž–ȱ ›ŽŠ›Žȱ Šœȱ ž—Œ˜—œ’ž’˜—Š•ȱ‹¢ȱ‘Žȱ—Ž ȱ”›Š’—’Š—ȱ˜ŸŽ›—–Ž—ǯȱŠŠȱ UN Ȋȱ ȱŘȱ˜‹œȱ ™›ŽœŽ—Žȱ‘Ž›Žȱ›Ž™›ŽœŽ—œȱ‘ŽȱŽȱŠŒ˜ȱœ’žŠ’˜—ȱŠ—ȱ˜Žœȱ SOUTH SUDAN —˜ȱ’–™•¢ȱ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ›ŽŒ˜—’’˜—ǯ UN Ȋȱ ȱŗDzȱřȱ˜‹œ SUDAN FOREIGN FORCES UN Ȋȱ ȱŘDzȱŚȱ˜‹œ Russia ›’–ŽŠDZȱŘŖǰŖŖŖDzȱŘȱ—ŠŸŠ•ȱ’—ȱ‹ŽDzȱŗȱŠ›¢ȱ‹ŽDzȱŞŖȱ ȬŘDzȱŘŖȱȬŞŖDzȱŗśŖȱȬDzȱŗŞȱŘŗȱŠ›¢DzȱŗŘȱȬŘŗȱ Dzȱŗȱȱ‹—ȱ ’‘ȱȬřŖŖDzȱŗȱ‘ȱž—’ȱ ’‘ȱ ȬřŖŖȱ FOREIGN FORCES Bastion Dzȱŗȱ•ŽŽȱ ȱ•˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱŽŸŠœ˜™˜•DzȱŘȱ›ŠŠ›ȱœŠ’˜—œȱ Albania ȱŘ •˜ŒŠŽȱŠȱŽŸŠœ˜™˜•ȱǻ Dnepr ȱœ¢œŽ–ǼȱŠ—ȱž”ŠŒ‘ŽŸ˜ȱ Armenia ȱŘ (Dnepr ȱœ¢œŽ–Ǽ Austria ȱŝ ˜—Žœ”Ȧž‘Š—œ”DZȱřŖŖƸȱǻ›Ž™˜›ŽǼ Belarus ȱŗ Russia and Eurasia Belgium ȱř Uzbekistan UZB Bosnia-Herzegovina ȱȱř Bulgaria ȱȱŞ Uzbekistani Som s 2013 2014 2015 Canada ȱȱś GDP s 119tr 142tr ȱȱŚ US$ 56.8bn 63.1bn Czech Republic ȱş per capita US$ 1,878 2,061 Denmark ȱȱş Growth % 8.0 7.0 Estonia ȱŝ In"ation % 11.2 10.0 ȱȱŘŗ Def exp s ε3.33tr France ȱȱŗŘ US$ ε1.59bn Georgia ȱȱŗ FMA (US) US$ 2.7m 1.2m 0.7m Germany ȱȱŘŗ US$1=s 2,094.66 2,249.76 ȱŗ Population 28,929,716 ȱȱŗŞ Ethnic groups: Uzbek 73%; Russian 6%; Tajik 5%; Kazakh 4%; Ireland ȱȱŚ Karakalpak 2%; Tatar 2%; Korean <1%; Ukrainian <1% Italy ȱȱŗř Kyrgyzstan ȱŚ Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus ȱȱś Male 12.8% 5.0% 5.4% 5.3% 19.3% 2.0% ȱȱŘ Female 12.1% 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 20.0% 2.7% Macedonia (FYROM) ȱŗ Moldova ȱş Capabilities Montenegro ȱȱŗ £‹Ž”’œŠ—Ȃœȱ Œ˜—œŒ›’™Ȭ‹ŠœŽȱ Š›–Žȱ ˜›ŒŽœȱ Š›Žȱ ‘Žȱ –˜œȱ Netherlands ȱŜ ŒŠ™Š‹•Žȱ ’—ȱ Ž—›Š•ȱ œ’Šǰȱ Š—ȱ ‹ŽĴŽ›ȱ Žšž’™™Žȱ ‘Š—ȱ ‘˜œŽȱ Norway ȱȱŝ ˜ȱ’œȱ’––Ž’ŠŽȱ—Ž’‘‹˜ž›œǯȱ —ȱŒ˜—›Šœȱ˜ȱ˜‘Ž›ȱŽ—›Š•ȱ Poland ȱŗŘ œ’Š—ȱœŠŽœǰȱ£‹Ž”’œŠ—ȱ–Š’—Š’—œȱŠ—ȱŠ–‹’ŸŠ•Ž—ȱœ›ŠŽ’Œȱ Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱžœœ’ŠDZȱŠ•‘˜ž‘ȱ’ȱžœŽœȱ–Š’—•¢ȱ˜Ÿ’ŽȬŽ›Šȱ ȱȱŗŚ Žšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ–Š’—Š’—œȱ‹’•ŠŽ›Š•ȱŽŽ—ŒŽȱ’ŽœȱŠ—ȱ’œȱŠȱ–Ž–‹Ž›ȱ Russia ȱȱŗŜ ˜ȱ‘Žȱǰȱ’ȱœžœ™Ž—Žȱ’œȱ–Ž–‹Ž›œ‘’™ȱ˜ȱ‘Žȱȱ’—ȱ ȱŚ –’ȬŘŖŗŘǯȱ ‘Žȱ ›Ž•Š’˜—œ‘’™ȱ ’‘ȱ žœœ’Šȱ –Š¢ȱ œ›Ž—‘Ž—ǰȱ ȱŗ ‘˜ž‘ǰȱŠŽ›ȱ‘Žȱ ’‘›Š Š•ȱ˜ȱ’—Ž›—Š’˜—Š•ȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ›˜–ȱ Spain ȱȱŞ ‘Š—’œŠ—ȱ •ŽŠŸŽœȱ Šȱ ™˜Ž—’Š••¢ȱ ž—œŠ‹•Žȱ Œ˜ž—›¢ȱ ’‘ȱ Sweden ȱȱş –ž•’™•Žȱ œŽŒž›’¢ȱ Œ˜—ŒŽ›—œȱ ˜—ȱ £‹Ž”’œŠ—Ȃœȱ ‹˜›Ž›ǯȱ œȱ ™Š›ȱ ˜ȱ Š—ȱ Š›ŽŽ–Ž—ȱ Œ˜ŸŽ›’—ȱ ›Š—œ’ȱ ›’‘œȱ ˜›ȱ ȱ Š—ȱ  ’ĵŽ›•Š— ȱȱş  ȱ –’•’Š›¢ȱ Žšž’™–Ž—ȱ ›Žž›—’—ȱ ›˜–ȱ ‘Š—’œŠ—ǰȱ ‘Žȱ Tajikistan ȱŗ £‹Ž”ȱŠ›–Žȱ˜›ŒŽœȱ ’••ȱ›ŽŒŽ’ŸŽȱœ˜–Žȱ–’•’Š›¢ȱŽšž’™–Ž—ǰȱ ȱȱŜ Š•‘˜ž‘ȱ ‘Žȱ ¢™Žȱ Š—ȱ Š–˜ž—ȱ Š›Žȱ ž—Œ•ŽŠ›ǯȱ ’¡ŽȬ ’—ȱ United Kingdom ȱȱŗś Š’›•’ȱ ’œȱ •’–’Žǰȱ ‹žȱ ‘Ž›Žȱ ’œȱ œž‹œŠ—’Š•ȱ ›˜Š›¢Ȭ ’—ȱ •’ǰȱ United States ȱŘŞ Š••˜ ’—ȱ˜›ȱŽ™•˜¢–Ž—ȱŠŒ›˜œœȱ‘ŽȱŒ˜ž—›¢ȂœȱŒ‘Š••Ž—’—ȱ 204 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

˜™˜›Š™‘¢ǯȱ •¢’—ȱ ‘˜ž›œȱ Š›Žȱ ›Ž™˜›Žȱ ˜ȱ ‹Žȱ •˜ ǰȱ ’‘ȱ FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK •˜’œ’ŒŠ•ȱ Š—ȱ –Š’—Ž—Š—ŒŽȱ œ‘˜›Œ˜–’—œȱ ŠěŽŒ’—ȱ ‘Žȱ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer DzȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer Ș ŠŸŠ’•Š‹’•’¢ȱ˜ȱŠ’›Œ›Šǯ GROUND ATTACK ACTIVE 48,000 (Army 24,500 Air 7,500 Joint 16,000) ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱžȬŘśȦžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot DzȱžȬŗŝȱǻžȬŗŝǼȱ ’ĴŽ›ȱ DzȱžȬŗŝȬřȱǻžȬŗŝǼȱ ’ĴŽ›ȱ Paramilitary 20,000 ELINT/TRANSPORT Conscript liability ŗŘȱ–˜—‘œ ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŗŘȦ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub Dzȱ—ȬŘŜȦ—ȬŘŜ ȱ Curl TRANSPORT ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱ—ȬŘŚ Coke DzȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty TRAINING Army 24,500 ˜–Žȱœš—ȱ ’‘ȱȬřşȱ Albatros Śȱ’•ȱ’œ›’ŒœDzȱŘȱ˜™ȱŒ˜–DzȱŗȱŠœ‘”Ž—ȱ˜– ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER FORCES BY ROLE ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŘŚȱ Hind Dzȱ’ȬŘŜȱHalo Dzȱ’ȬŞȱHip Dzȱ SPECIAL FORCES ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ȬŜȱ Hook Dzȱ’ȬŜŠȱ Hook C ŗȱȱ‹Ž EQUIPMENT BY TYPE MANOEUVRE AIRCRAFT ȱŗřśȱŒ˜–‹ŠȱŒŠ™Š‹•Ž Armoured FTR ȱřŖȱ’ ȬŘşȦ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum ŗȱ”ȱ‹Ž FGA ŝŚDZȱŘŜȱžȬŗŝȱǻžȬŗŝǼȦžȬŗŝȬřȱǻžȬŗŝǼȱ Mechanised ’ĴŽ›ȱ Ȧ DzȱŘřȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer; ŘśȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ Flanker ŗŗȱȱ‹Ž ATK ŘŖȱžȬŘśȦžȬŘśȱ Frogfoot Air Manoeuvre EW/Tpt ŘŜȱ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub ȱǻ–Žȱ™ǼȦ—ȬŗŘȱ Cub ǻǼ ŗȱŠ’›ȱŠœ•ȱ‹Ž ELINT ȱŗŗȱžȬŘŚȱ Fencer Ș ŗȱȱ‹Ž ELINT/Tpt ŗřȱ—ȬŘŜȱ Curl ȱǻ•ȱ™ǼȦ—ȬŘŜ ȱ Curl ȱǻ Ǽȱ Mountain TPT • Light ȱŘDZȱŗȱ—ȬŘŚȱ Coke; ŗȱžȬŗřŚȱ Crusty ŗȱ•ȱ–—ȱ’—ȱ‹Ž TRG ȱśȱȬřşȱAlbatros ȱǻşȱ–˜›Žȱ’—ȱœ˜›ŽǼ COMBAT SUPPORT HELICOPTERS řȱŠ›¢ȱ‹Ž ATK ȱŘşȱ’ȬŘŚȱHind ŗȱȱ‹Ž C2 ȱŘȱ’ȬŜŠȱ Hook C EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT ȱŝşȱ HeavyȱŘŝDZȱŘŜȱ’ȬŜȱ Hook Dzȱŗȱ’ȬŘŜȱ Halo Dzȱ Medium MBT ȱřŚŖDZȱŝŖȱȬŝŘDzȱŗŖŖȱȬŜŚDzȱŗŝŖȱȬŜŘȱȱ śŘȱ’ȬŞȱHip RECCE ȱŗşDZȱŗřȱȬŘDzȱŜȱ AD • SAMȱŚśȱ AIFV ȱřşşDZ ŗŘŖȱȬŗDzȱşȱȬŘDzȱŘŝŖȱȬŘ TOWED Ȭŝśȱ Dvina ǻȬŘȱ Guideline ǼDzȱȬŗŘśȱ Pechora ȱǻȬřȱ APC ȱřŖşȱ Goa Ǽ APC (T) ȱśŖȱȬȱ STATIC ȱȬŘŖŖȱ Angara ȱǻȬśȱ Gammon Ǽ APC (W) ȱŘśşDZȱŘŚȱȬŜŖDzȱŘśȱȬŝŖDzȱŘŗŖȱȬŞŖȱ MSL ARTY ȱŚŞŝƸȱ ASMȱ ‘ȬŘřȱǻȬŝȱ Kerry ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘśȱǻȬŗŖȱ Karen Ǽ SP ȱŞřƸDZ 122mm ȱŗŞȱŘŗDz 152mm ȱŗŝƸDZȱŗŝȱŘřDzȱŘśȱǻ›Ž™˜›ŽǼDzȱ ARMȱ ‘ȬŘśȱ ǻȬŗŘȱ Kegler ǼDzȱ ‘ȬŘŞȱ ǻȬşȱ Kyle ǼDzȱ ‘ȬśŞȱ 203mmȱŚŞȱŘŝȱ TOWEDȱŘŖŖDZȱ122mmȱŜŖȱȬřŖDzȱ152mm ŗŚŖȱŘřŜȱ ǻȬŗŗȱ Kilter Ǽ • GUN/MOR 120mmȱśŚȱŘşȱ Anona AAM IR ȬŜŖȱǻȬŞȱ Aphid ǼDzȱȬŝřȱǻȬŗŗȱ Archer ǼDzȱIR/ MRL ȱ ŗŖŞDZ 122mm ȱ ŜŖDZȱ ŘŚȱ şŗřŞDzȱ řŜȱ ȬŘŗDzȱ 220mmȱ ŚŞȱ SARH ȬŘŝȱǻȬŗŖȱ Alamo Ǽȱ şŗŚŖȱUragan MOR 120mmȱŚŘDZȱśȱŘŗŗDzȱŗşȱŘŗŘDzȱŗŞȱȬŗŘŖȱ Paramilitary up to 20,000 AT • MSL • MANPATS ş ŗŗȱ Malyutka ȱ ǻȬř Sagger ǼDzȱ Internal Security Troops up to 19,000 ş ŗŗŗȱ Fagot ȱǻȬŚ Spigot Ǽȱ GUNS 100mmȱřŜȱȬŗŘȦȬŗŘȱ ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱ —Ž›’˜› National Guard 1,000

Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 Air Force 7,500 ’—’œ›¢ȱ˜ȱŽŽ—ŒŽ FORCES BY ROLE FIGHTER ŗȱ›Žȱ ’‘ȱ’ ȬŘşȦ’ ȬŘşȱ Fulcrum DzȱžȬŘŝȦžȬŘŝȱ FOREIGN FORCES Flanker Germany ŗŖŖDzȱœ˜–ŽȱȬŗŜŖȱ Transall Russia and Eurasia 205

Table 5 Selected Arms Procurements and Deliveries, Russia and Eurasia Designation Type Quantity Contract Prime Prime Order First Notes (Current) Value Nationality Contractor Date Delivery Due Azerbaijan (AZE) T-90S MBT 100 n.k. RUS UKBTM 2013 2013 Deliveries ongoing Sa’ar 62 OPV PSO 6 n.k. ISR Israel Shipyards 2014 n.k. For Coast Guard

Belarus (BLR) S-300PM SAM 16 Free RUS Government 2014 n.k. Donation of four batteries transfer surplus

Kazakhstan (KAZ) BTR-82A AIFV 190 n.k. RUS VPK 2011 2011 Deliveries ongoing C-295M Lt tpt ac 2 n.k. Int’l Airbus Group 2013 2014 Follow-on to original 2012 (Airbus Defence order. Part of an eight ac MoU. & Space) First ac in test

Russia (RUS) Russia and Eurasia Bulava (SS- SLBM n.k. n.k. RUS MITT n.k. 2009 In development. For Borey -class N-X-32) SSBNs T-72B3 MBT n.k. n.k. RUS UKBTM n.k. 2013 Upgrade of existing T-72 &eet. upgrade First delivered to Western Military District in 2013 Armata AFV n.k. n.k. RUS UKBTM 2014 2015 Heavy tracked universal combat platform programme. Serial production scheduled to commence 2016 Kurganets -25 AFV n.k. n.k. RUS KMZ 2014 2015 Medium tracked universal combat platform programme. Serial production scheduled to commence 2016 Bumerang AFV n.k. n.k. RUS VPK 2014 2015 Medium wheeled universal combat platform programme BTR-82A AIFV n.k. n.k. RUS VPK n.k. 2011 Improved BTR-80A series; #rst production models delivered to Southern Military District in 2011 Borey -class SSBN 3 n.k. RUS Sevmash 1996 2012 Second vessel commissioned Shipyard Dec 2013. Third in sea trials. 16 SLBM launch tubes Borey-A -class SSBN 5 n.k. RUS Sevmash 2012 2015 Two vessels laid down so far. Shipyard Pricing dispute continues and will be reviewed in 2015 Yasen -class SSN 5 n.k. RUS Sevmash 1993 2013 First vessel commissioned Dec Shipyard 2013. Delayed for #nancial reasons. Fourth laid down May 2014 Varshavyanka - SSK 6 n.k. RUS Admiralty 2010 2014 First vessel commissioned Aug class (Kilo ) Shipyards 2014. Fifth and sixth laid down Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 late Oct 2014 Lada -class SSK 3 n.k. RUS Admiralty 1997 2010 First vessel accepted in 2010. Shipyards Construction on further two boats suspended in 2011 but resumed in 2012/13 Admiral FFGHM 6 US$400m RUS Severnaya Verf 2005 2014 First vessel in trials as of late Gorshkov -class Shipyard 2014 Steregushchiy- FFGHM 6 n.k. RUS Severnaya 2001 2008 Third vessel delivered to Baltic class Verf Shipyard/ Fleet May 2013; fourth vessel Komosololsk delivered Jun 2014. Two more Shipyard in build for Paci#c Fleet 206 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2015

Table 5 Selected Arms Procurements and Deliveries, Russia and Eurasia Designation Type Quantity Contract Prime Prime Order First Notes (Current) Value Nationality Contractor Date Delivery Due Improved FFGHM 2 n.k. RUS Severnaya Verf 2011 2015 First of class laid down Feb Steregushchiy- Shipyard 2012. Second of class laid down class Jul 2013 Admiral FFGHM 6 n.k. RUS Yantar Shipyard 2010 2014 Six vessels in build for Black Sea Grigorovich - Fleet. First vessel launched Mar class (Krivak IV) 2014. ISD expected Nov 2014 Buyan-M-class FSG 12 n.k. RUS Zelenodolsk 2010 2014 Nine for Caspian Flotilla and Shipyard three for Black Sea Fleet. First vessels commissioned Jul 2014 Vladivostok - LHD 2 US$1.2bn FRA DCNS/STX 2011 n.k. Contract suspended by France class (Mistral ) Sep 2014 citing Russian actions in Ukraine Tu-160 Bbr ac 15 n.k. RUS UAC 2007 2012 Upgrade of Blackjack &eet, Blackjack upgrade programme lagging behind original schedule MiG-29K Ftr ac 24 n.k. RUS UAC (MiG) 2012 2013 20 MiG-29K and four MiG- Fulcrum D 29KUB. For navy. Deliveries ongoing MiG-29SMT FGA ac 16 R17bn RUS UAC (MiG) 2014 2015 Eight to be delivered in 2015 Fulcrum (US$470m) and remainder in 2016 Su-30M2 FGA ac 16 n.k. RUS UAC (Sukhoi) 2012 2014 Deliveries ongoing Su-30SM FGA ac 72 n.k. RUS UAC (Sukhoi) 2012 2012 Twelve for navy and 60 for air force. Deliveries under way Su-34 Fullback FGA ac 60 n.k. RUS UAC (Sukhoi) 2012 2014 Deliveries ongoing Su-35S Flanker FGA ac 48 See notes RUS UAC (Sukhoi) 2009 2012 Part of combined order for 48 Su-35S, 12 Su-27SM3 and four Su-30 worth US$2.5bn. Deliveries ongoing Il-76MD-90A Hvy tpt 39 US$4bn RUS Aviastar-SP 2012 2014 First ac rolled out Jun 2014; ac delivery due by end of 2014 Ka-52 Hokum B Atk hel 140 US$4bn RUS Russian 2011 2011 Deliveries ongoing Helicopters (Kamov) Mi-28N Havoc Atk hel 30 n.k. RUS Russian 2010 2013 Follow-up to 2005 order for 67. Helicopters Deliveries ongoing (Rostvertol) Mi-8AMTSh Hip Med tpt 172 n.k. Rus Russian 2010 2010 Deliveries began in late 2010 hel Helicopters and are ongoing (Ulan-Ude) Mi-8MTV-5 Hip Med tpt 140 n.k. RUS Russian 2011 2014 First batch delivered Oct 2014 hel Helicopters (Kazan) Tor -M2 (SA-15 SAM n.k. n.k. RUS Almaz-Antey n.k. n.k. Deliveries ongoing Gauntlet ) Buk-M2 (SA-17 SAM n.k. n.k. RUS Almaz-Antey n.k. n.k. One bde set delivered. May be Grizzly) succeeded by Buk-M3 S-400 Triumf SAM 18 n.k. RUS Almaz-Antey n.k. 2007 Seventh regt deployed 2014 Downloaded byDownloaded [RFE/RL Prague Library], Martina [Mr Boudova] at 01:21 11 February 2015 (SA-21 Growler ) S-300V4 (SA-23 SAM 12 n.k. RUS Almaz-Antey 2012 n.k. Three sets Gladiator /Giant) 96K6 Pantsir -S1 AD n.k. n.k. RUS KBP Instrument n.k. 2010 Delivery in progress to S-400 Design Bureau SRBM/ n.k. n.k. RUS KBM 2005 2006 Ballistic and LACM variants. In service with four brigades by late 2014

Ukraine (UKR) BTR-4 APC (W) 194 n.k. UKR KMDB 2014 2014 Being delivered to national- guard units