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Political Risk Alert (30 Oct. 2019)
Political Risk Alert (30 Oct. 2019) Argentina: Election outcome means early start on debt challenge Event: Alberto Fernandez achieved a comfortable first-round victory over incumbent President Mauricio Macri on October 27. Significance: Avoiding the need for a second round should help to speed up efforts to tackle the economic crisis and bring forward the start of debt renegotiations with creditors. Fernandez’s economic transition team is closer to him than to his vice-president-elect, former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). However, the extent to which the populist-leaning CFK will dominate the new administration is a major concern for investors, as is the outlook for talks with the IMF. Meanwhile, the political alliance that backed Macri’s pro-business stance looks close to disintegrating. Analysis: Fernandez won a clear margin of 48% to 40%, although this was smaller than suggested by recent polling. However, the fact that Macri improved his performance by some 8 percentage points is due to the votes he won from smaller parties' candidates, increasing polarisation between his allies and those of Fernandez. Generally regarded as far more moderate than CFK, Fernandez will find himself limited in his policy choices by both economic constraints and demands of more radical Kirchnerist groups such as the youth movement La Campora. Given his own lack of an independent support base, those groups will not hesitate to emphasise that his election victory was due to Kirchnerist backing. This shift in post-election emphasis towards CFK has already begun. After first ceding the presidential candidacy and then maintaining a low profile during the campaign in a bid to downplay the controversies that surround her, CFK was very much centre stage on election night, and the Frente de Todos celebrations were dominated by images of CFK and her late husband, former President Nestor Kirchner. -
Argentina Devalues Currency; Braces for Opposition Attacks Andrã©S Gaudãn
University of New Mexico UNM Digital Repository NotiSur Latin America Digital Beat (LADB) 2-14-2014 Argentina Devalues Currency; Braces for Opposition Attacks Andrés GaudÃn Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/notisur Recommended Citation GaudÃn, Andrés. "Argentina Devalues Currency; Braces for Opposition Attacks." (2014). https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/ notisur/14215 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Latin America Digital Beat (LADB) at UNM Digital Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in NotiSur by an authorized administrator of UNM Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. LADB Article Id: 79218 ISSN: 1060-4189 Argentina Devalues Currency; Braces for Opposition Attacks by Andrés Gaudín Category/Department: Argentina Published: 2014-02-14 Following Argentine legislative elections that narrowed the gap between the opposition and the ruling party, power groups and major media have pushed President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (CFK) to devalue the country’s currency. Though opposition parties gained ground, they did not win the election. The government had held that its efforts to maintain monetary stability was a major achievement allowing it to enrich foreign-exchange reserves and develop social policy. However, on Jan. 24, persistent market movement culminated with the end of monetary stability, one of the pillars of the Kirchner administrations that began in 2003 with the late President Néstor Kirchner (2003-2007) and continued under his wife who was elected following his death in 2007. The same day as the devaluation, economist Raúl Dellatorre said, "The government had to face a most difficult economic decision, one it had always rejected because of predictable regressive consequences. -
Argentina: Rudderless
1 110TH CONGRESS " ! S. PRT. 2d Session COMMITTEE PRINT 110–48 ARGENTINA: RUDDERLESS REPORT TO THE MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED TENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION SEPTEMBER 9, 2008 Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Relations Available via World Wide Web: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/congress/ index.html U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 44–239 PDF WASHINGTON : 2008 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Aug 31 2005 16:39 Sep 11, 2008 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5012 Sfmt 5012 H:\DOCS\44239.TXT sfrela2 PsN: MIKEB seneagle COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS JOSEPH R. BIDEN, JR., DELAWARE, Chairman CHRISTOPHER J. DODD, Connecticut RICHARD G. LUGAR, Indiana JOHN F. KERRY, Massachusetts CHUCK HAGEL, Nebraska RUSSELL D. FEINGOLD, Wisconsin NORM COLEMAN, Minnesota BARBARA BOXER, California BOB CORKER, Tennessee BILL NELSON, Florida JOHN E. SUNUNU, New Hampshire BARACK OBAMA, Illinois GEORGE V. VOINOVICH, Ohio ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey LISA MURKOWSKI, Alaska BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, Maryland JIM DEMINT, South Carolina ROBERT P. CASEY, JR., Pennsylvania JOHNNY ISAKSON, Georgia JIM WEBB, Virginia DAVID VITTER, Louisiana ANTONY J. BLINKEN, Staff Director KENNETH A. MYERS, JR., Republican Staff Director (II) VerDate Aug 31 2005 16:39 Sep 11, 2008 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00002 Fmt 5904 Sfmt 5904 H:\DOCS\44239.TXT sfrela2 PsN: MIKEB CONTENTS Page Letter of Transmittal ............................................................................................... v Introduction ............................................................................................................. -
Presentación De Powerpoint
ANÁLISIS DEL ESCENARIO POLÍTICO Y PERSPECTIVAS Noviembre de 2019 UNA MIRADA A LOS RESULTADOS ELECTORALES QUÉ PUEDE ESPERAR EL SECTOR DE CADA UNO DE LOS CANDIDATOS RESULTADO 2019 RESULTADO 2019 Según triunfo por municipio Según triunfo por municipio RESULTADO TOTAL PAÍS* Fernández Kirchner Macri Pichetto Lavagna Urtubey Del Caño Del Pla P.A.S.O. GENERAL G. Centurión Hotton Espert Rosales Otros * Escrutinio Definitivo (Elección General) Fuente: Synopsis en base a Cámara Nac. Electoral QUÉ PUEDE ESPERAR EL SECTOR DE CADA UNO DE LOS CANDIDATOS 1.668.540 VOTOS LAS DOS PRINCIPALES FUERZAS SE REPARTIERON FRENTE DE TODOS JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO PASO GENERAL JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO SE LLEVÓ EL FRENTE DE TODOS JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO CONSENSO FEDERAL FIT FRENTE NOS UNITE MOV. AL SOCIALISMO QUÉ PUEDE ESPERAR EL SECTOR DE CADA UNO DE LOS CANDIDATOS DIFERENCIA EN % DE VOTOS ENTRE PASO Y GENERAL PARA JXC DIFERENCIA DE VOTOS ENTRE PASO Y GENERAL PARA JXC EN % DE VOTOS POR PROVINCIA EN CANTIDAD DE VOTOS POR PROVINCIA Salta 75,6 Buenos Aires 561.617 Jujuy 53,4 Cordoba 370.992 Chaco 50,7 Santa Fe 252.148 Santa Cruz 47,0 Capital Federal 167.965 Tucumán 43,5 Mendoza 155.112 San Luis 40,7 Salta 111.064 Mendoza 37,6 Tucumán 103.955 Santa Fe 37,3 Chaco 85.873 Sgo. del Estero 37,0 Entre Rios 85.391 Cordoba 36,8 Jujuy 63.350 Neuquen 36,4 Misiones 61.415 San Juan 36,2 San Juan 42.211 Misiones 34,8 Corrientes 41.990 Chubut 31,8 San Luis 39.528 Catamarca 31,4 Neuquen 39.526 T. -
PRIMARY ELECTIONS Special Report
PRIMARY ELECTIONS Special Report WHAT IS AT STAKE? Provincial Elections President 24 130 National Representatives Provinces of Catamarca, Buenos Aires, and the City of Vicepresident National Senators Buenos Aires held primary elections to governor while Santa Cruz had general election. NATIONAL PROVISIONAL RESULTS OF THE PRIMARY ELECTIONS s 47.65% PARTICIPATION: 75,78% Alberto Fernández – Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 32.08% Mauricio Macri - Miguel Ángel Pichetto 8.22% Roberto Lavagna – Juan Manuel Urtubey 2.86% Nicolás del Caño – Romina del Pla 2.63% Juan J. Gómez Centurión – Cynthia Hotton 2.18% José Luis Espert – Luis Rosales ELECTORAL THRESHOLD 1.5% 0.71% Manuela Castañeira – Eduardo Mulhall 0.24% Alejandro Biondini – Enrique Venturino 0.14% Raul Albarracín – Sergio Pastore 0.13% José Antonio Romero Feris – Guillermo Sueldo POLITICAL SUPPORT KEYS #1 THE CENTER REGION VOTE #2 BUENOS AIRES SUPPORT #3 THE REST OF THE COUNTRY The National Government In the first section of the Other provinces, mainly driven expected to count with greater province of Buenos Aires, by the support of several support in Córdoba and Santa bastion of Cambiemos in 2015 Peronist governors, also added Fe, that along with Mendoza, and 2017, the officialism got an important part of votes that would provide a number of adverse results from expected summed up in the final result votes to face the tight scenario while in the other two -of an led Alberto Fernández to win in the province of Buenos Aires, average lower income-, the with several points ahead. but finally it turned the opposite Frente de Todos prevailed with way. -
Through the Looking Glass
Through The Looking Glass The Fernández de Kirchner government’s narco corruption and the diminished rule of law Douglas Farah, Senior Fellow, Financial Investigations and Transparency - International Assesment and Strategy Center (IASC) www.StrategyCenter.net October 2014 ABSTRACT A brief look at the mounting corruption scandals in the government of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and the diminishing rule of law in Argentina. 1 Table of Contents PREFACE INTRODUCTION DRUGS AND OTHER CORRUPTION CASES AT THE TOP THE GROWING FIGHT WITH THE UNITED STATES THE EPHEDRINE TRAIL PASSES CLOSE TO THE PRESIDENT CONCLUSIONS 2 Preface This paper is the fourth in a series of IASC studies and updates on the deteriorating situation in Argentina, part of a broader survey of corruption and transnational organized crime in Latin America. It includes extensive studies on Bolivia, Ecuador and the criminalized nature of the Bolivarian Alliance. The first Argentina study, “Back to the Future: Argentina Unravels,” discussed both the roots and populist ties of the government of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner to Iran and the Bolivarian bloc of nations led by Venezuela. The second, “La Cámpora in Argentina: The Rise of a New Vanguard Generation and the Road to Ruin,” discussed the rise of the Camporista movement within the Fernández de Kirchner government and its vision of remaking Argentina’s society and economy in a populist authoritarian model. The third one, “One Step Forward, Two Steps Back: Argentina Tangos Toward Collapse,” was a companion piece to the first two and provided an update on the headlong rush of the Fernández de Kirchner government toward economic collapse, posing a significant risk to the region and to the strategic interests of the United States. -
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CAMARA DE OIPUTADOS DE LA PROVINCIA DE SANTA FE _ ....• ---....•.•.. __.....--~---· , CAMARA DE DIPUTADOS MESA------·-·-····-------··- DE MOVH\11\ENTO 1 3 1 AGO 2020 [----- ·-,r-·---·--l Reclb\do •.•.•. g.: H~. az • I I. Ji . +'*"'"'•~· Exp. N° 3:l'.9..5..4?. C.0,- PROYECTO DE RESOLUCION La Camara de Diputados de la Provincia de Santa Fe RESUELVE: ARTICULO 1 °. Invitase, en los terminos del articulo 45 de la Constitucion Provincial y de acuerdo a lo establecido en el articulo 186 del Reglamento de la Camara de Dipu• tados de la Provincia de Santa Fe; al sefior Ministro de la Produccion de Santa Fe, Da• niel Costamagna, a la Camara de Diputados de la Provincia de Santa Fe, para que brinde un informe sobre los alcances del llamado acuerdo federal por la hidrovia y el Consejo Federal consultivo que se instalaria en la ciudad de Rosario, segun lo anunciado por el presidente de la Nacion, doctor Alberto Fernandez, el viemes 28 de agosto de 2020 en Puerto General San Martin, departamento San Lorenzo. ARTICULO 2°. Facultar al presidente de la Camara de Diputados de la Provincia de Santa Fe, ingeniero Miguel Lifschiz, para coordinar la mencionada reunion en el menor tiempo posible. ARTICULO 3°. De forma. Carlos del Frade Diputado Provincial. 2020-ANO DEL BICENTENAR/0 DEL PASO A LA ]NMORTALIDAD DEL GENERAL MANUEL BELGRANO General L6pez 3055 - (S3000DCO)- Santa Fe - Republica Argentina CAMARA DE DIPUTADOS DE LA PROVINCIA DE SANTA FE FUNDAMENTOS Senor Presidente: El viemes 28 de agosto de 2020, el presidente Alberto Fernandez firmo con siete gober• nadores el acuerdo federal por la hidrovia y anunci6 la creacion de un Consejo Federal consultivo que tendra sede en Rosario. -
Download the Report
Americas Society and Council of the Americas — uniting opinion leaders to exchange ideas and create solutions to the challenges of the Americas today Americas Society Americas Society (AS) is the premier forum dedicated to education, debate, and dialogue in the Americas. Its mission is to foster an understanding of the contemporary political, social, and economic issues confronting Latin America, the Caribbean, and Canada, and to increase public awareness and appreciation of the diverse cultural heritage of the Americas and the importance of the Inter-American relationship.1 Council of the Americas Council of the Americas (COA) is the premier international business organization whose members share a common commitment to economic and social development, open markets, the rule of law, and democracy throughout the Western Hemisphere. The Council’s membership consists of leading international companies representing a broad spectrum of sectors including banking and finance, consulting services, consumer products, energy and mining, manufacturing, media, technology, and transportation.2 1 Americas Society is a tax-exempt public charity described in 501(c)(3) and 509(a)(1) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. 2 Council of the Americas is a tax-exempt business league under 501(c)(6) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, and as such, actively pursues lobbying activities to advance its purpose and the interests of its members. Americas Society Council of the Americas Annual Report 2014 Chairman’s Letter 2 President’s Letter 3 Americas Society -
For Continued Coverage of Argentina's Presidential Election, Visit Our
For continued coverage of Argentina’s presidential election, visit our special Web site, Argentina Elige, and tune into our podcast. Photo: Twitter/ Alberto Fernández Frente de Cambio Last Sunday, Argentina’s peaceful election occurred during one of the most tumultuous periods in modern Latin American history. Argentina’s normally quiet Andean neighbors, Chile and Bolivia, were racked by violent street protests. Meanwhile, Argentines, suffering their most severe economic crisis in decades, participated in peaceful campaign rallies and then 26.6 million Argentines – more than 80 percent of the electorate – voted without incident. President Mauricio Macri’s close second-place finish means that, for the first time since 1928, a non-Peronist president will finish his term and peacefully hand over power to a Peronist successor, in this case, Alberto Fernández. That is no small feat for a country famous for economic and political instability. But amid the justifiable enthusiasm over Argentina’s maturing democracy, the country’s near-term future is worrisome. Mr. Fernández’s performance in the election fell short of expectations, and raised questions about the capacity of his government to navigate one of the worst economic calamities to hit Argentina since 2001. There are also concerns about Argentina’s future foreign policy. Mr. Fernández wore his foreign policy on his sleeve on election night, praising Lula and Evo Morales, and raising fears of a major regional realignment that would isolate Argentina from its neighbors, the United States and Europe at a time when it is deeply dependent on international goodwill. The Results Mr. Macri lost his reelection bid, capturing 40 percent of the vote – only the third incumbent in Latin America to be voted out of office since the 1980s. -
Presidents Versus Federalism in the National Legislative Process
Presidents versus Federalism in the National Legislative Process The Argentine Senate in Comparative Perspective Hirokazu Kikuchi IDE-JETRO Series Te Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO) series explores the economic issues faced in developing regions globally, providing new research and analysis of these economies, with the aim of creating a more comprehensive understanding of the issues and conditions they are experiencing. With a wide range of volumes cover- ing key economic issues in developing economies, as well as examining the challenges faced as East Asia continues to integrate, the titles in this series are essential companions for academics and policymakers interested in cut- ting-edge research and analysis of developing economies. More information about this series at http://www.palgrave.com/gp/series/14861 Hirokazu Kikuchi Presidents versus Federalism in the National Legislative Process The Argentine Senate in Comparative Perspective Hirokazu Kikuchi Institute of Developing Economies Japan External Trade Organization Chiba, Japan IDE-JETRO Series ISBN 978-3-319-90112-1 ISBN 978-3-319-90113-8 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90113-8 Library of Congress Control Number: 2018942211 © Te Editor(s) (if applicable) and Te Author(s) 2018, corrected publication 2018 Tis work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifcally the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microflms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. -
Tesis, Antítesis Y Opuestos Complementarios En La Prensa Gráfica Argentina
e-l@tina. Revista electrónica de estudios latinoamericanos ISSN: 1666-9606 [email protected] Universidad de Buenos Aires Argentina Tesis, antítesis y opuestos complementarios en la prensa gráfica argentina. Las formaciones discursivas de La Nación y Página 12 frente a las políticas kirchneristas Ponza, Pablo Tesis, antítesis y opuestos complementarios en la prensa gráfica argentina. Las formaciones discursivas de La Nación y Página 12 frente a las políticas kirchneristas e-l@tina. Revista electrónica de estudios latinoamericanos, vol. 17, núm. 65, 2018 Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina Disponible en: https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=496461433008 Esta obra está bajo una Licencia Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional. PDF generado a partir de XML-JATS4R por Redalyc Proyecto académico sin fines de lucro, desarrollado bajo la iniciativa de acceso abierto Artículos Tesis, antítesis y opuestos complementarios en la prensa gráfica argentina. Las formaciones discursivas de La Nación y Página 12 frente a las políticas kirchneristas esis, antithesis and complementary opposites in the Argentine graphic press. e discursive formations of La Nación and Página 12 against Kirchner's policies Pablo Ponza [email protected] Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Argentina e-l@tina. Revista electrónica de estudios Resumen: Tesis, antítesis y opuestos complementarios en la prensa gráfica argentina. Las latinoamericanos, vol. 17, núm. 65, 2018 formaciones discursivas de La Nación y Página 12 frente a las políticas kirchneristas El objetivo del texto es analizar comparativamente las formaciones discursivas elaboradas Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina por los diarios argentinos La Nación y Página 12 respecto del kirchnerismo en cuanto: Recepción: 15 Febrero 2018 A) políticas de Estado, B) las características de sus liderazgos y, C) las motivaciones para Aprobación: 16 Agosto 2018 movilizar sus entornos partidarios. -
Maquetación 1
Me rcado de In dustria s Cultu rales del S ur Guía de actividades Mar de l Plat a Hotel Provinc ial / Teat ro Audi torium Mayo. 15 al 18. 2014 ARGENTINA BOLIVIA BRASIL CHILE COLOMBIA ECUADOR PARAGUAY PERÚ URUGUAY VENEZUELA 03 Autoridades de la Argentina Ministerio de Industria Ministros de Cultura de la región Paraguay n Ministra Secretaria Nacional de Cultura ó Presidenta de la Nación Débora Giorgi Bolivia Mabel Causarano i Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Secretario de Industria Ministro de las Culturas c Vicepresidente de la Nación Javier Rando Pablo César Groux Canedo Perú a c Amado Boudou Ministra de Cultura i Secretario de Cultura de la Nación Ministerio de Trabajo, Empleo y Seguridad Brasil Diana Álvarez Calderón Gallo b Jorge Coscia Social Ministra de Cultura u Subsecretaria de Gestión Cultural Ministro Marta Suplicy Uruguay Marcela Cardillo Carlos Tomada Ministro de Educación y Cultura e d Subsecretario de Políticas Socioculturales Secretario de Empleo Chile Ricardo Ehrlich Franco Vitali Enrique Deibe Ministra de Cultura s Jefe de Gabinete Subsecretario de Políticas de Empleo y Claudia Barattini Venezuela o Fabián Blanco Formación Profesional Ministro del Poder Popular para la Cultura n Director Nacional de Patrimonio y Museos Matías Barroetaveña Colombia Fidel Barbarito a Alberto Petrina Ministra de Cultura l Director Nacional de Artes Ministerio de Turismo Mariana Garcés Córdoba P José Luis Castiñeira de Dios Ministro Directora Nacional de Política Cultural y Enrique Meyer Ecuador Cooperación Internacional Secretario de Turismo