Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine Lessons Learned

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Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine Lessons Learned Dr. Phillip A. Karber & Gen. (ret.) Vladimir Zamana 12 April 2015 Nature & Content of New Generation of War 9 Elements of Hybrid Combat Col. S. Chikina & A. Bodganov, “The Nature and Content of the New Generaon of War,” Voyenna mysl’, [Military Thought in English Translaon], No.4, (Oct. 2013) at < hOP://www.eastviewPress.com/Files/MT_FROM%20THE%20CURRENT%20ISSUE_No.4_2013.Pdf >. T-90 Tank Column near Luhansk Luhansk T-90 SighPngs in Ukraine Airport Siege (Sep ’14) photos confirmed Ba8le of Pocket (Sep ’14) reports - unconfirmed Debal’tseve Ba8le of Pocket (Feb ’15) report - unconfirmed Donetsk Airport Siege (jan ‘15) reports confirmed Airport Siege (Mar ‘15) reports confirmed Breakout Ba8le (Mar ‘15) reports confirmed Mariupol Novoazvs’k & Sjedove (Sep ’14) reports confimed Novoazvs’k (Feb‘15) report unconfirmed Novoazvs’k (Mar ‘15) September ‘14 reports confirmed Jan/Feb ‘15 Ternove March ‘15 Gunnery Range (Mar ‘15) Unconfirmed report unconfirmed Confirmed “Russia Targets NATO With Military Exercises” STRATFOR MAP March 2015 Hybrid Military Options produce Diplomatic Coercion When asked recently about the possibility of “SWIFT” sancGons, which would bar Russia from the internaGonal payment system, Prime Minister Medvedev warned that Moscow’s response would be “without limits.” DMITRY MEDVEDEV PRIME MINISTER, RUSSIAN FEDERATION “I don’t think the Danes fully understand the conseQuences of what will happen if Denmark joins the American-led missile defence. If this happens, Danish war ships will become targets for Russian atomic missiles. …I want to simply remind you that it will cost you both money MIKHAIL VANIN and security.” RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR TO DENMARK Jyllands-Posten, March 2015 Putin’s$$aim$to$“Protect”$Russians$could$Destabilize$EurAAsia$ for$Decades$$AA$if$he$is$not$stopped$in$Ukraine$…$Where?$ Which Option Makes Europe Safer? .

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Is the European Migrant Crisis Another Stage of Hybrid War?
IS THE EUROPEAN MIGRANT CRISIS ANOTHER STAGE OF HYBRID WAR? Yurii Punda, Vitalii Shevchuk, Viljar Veebel Abstract: This article provides an overview of the roots of large-scale migration flows to the European Union (EU) during the past ten years. In addition, the article also explores the potential link between such migration flows and modern hybrid warfare, characterised by the coordination of various types of warfare (i.e. military and non-military means, conventional and non-conventional capabilities, state and non-state actors, etc.), all employed with an aim to cause instability and disorder. In the 2010s, the migration flows to EU countries increased significantly, particu- larly from the conflict areas in Syria, Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, as well as from Albania, Kosovo and Ukraine. The analysis focuses on the question of whether the increase in migration flows could be linked to the ongoing confronta- tion between Russia and the West. Specifically, the article focuses on two particular cases: Syria and Ukraine. The article explores the commonalities of the resulting migration flows to the EU and proposes policy recommendations for reducing the negative impact of such events in the future. Keywords: migration, hybrid warfare, security, European Union, Ukraine, Syria 1. Introduction During the 2015 European migration crisis, an unusually large number of refugees flowed into the European Union. During the past decade, the number of first-time asylum applications submitted by non-EU citizens has increased exponentially, peaking in 2015–2016 when more than a million people from non-EU countries applied for asylum in the EU over the course of just one year (Figure 1(a)).
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Russian Hybrid Warfare
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