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European Network Operations Plan 2020 Recovery Plan Edition 1.16 21 August 2020

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European Network Operations Plan 2020 Recovery Plan Edition 1.16 21 August 2020 European Network Operations Plan 2020 Recovery Plan Edition 1.16 21 August 2020 FOUNDING MEMBER NETWORK SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION MANAGER EUROCONTROL Network Management Directorate DOCUMENT CONTROL Document Title European Network Operations Plan Document Subtitle 2020 Recovery Plan Document Reference Edition Number 1.16 Edition Validity Date 21-08-2020 Classification Green Status Released Issue Author(s) Razvan Bucuroiu (NMD/ACD) Contact Person(s) Razvan Bucuroiu (NMD/ACD) Edition Number: 1.16 Edition Validity Date: 21-08-2020 Classification: Green Page: i Page Validity Date: 21-08-2020 EUROCONTROL Network Management Directorate EDITION HISTORY Edition No. Validity Date Reason Sections Affected 0.1 15/04/2020 Mock-up version All 1.0 30/04/2020 First version As per checklist 1.1 08/05/2020 Outlook period 11/05/20-07/06/20 As per checklist 1.2 15/05/2020 Outlook period 18/05/20-14/06/20 As per checklist 1.3 22/05/2020 Outlook period 25/05/20-21/06/20 As per checklist 1.4 29/05/2020 Outlook period 01/06/20-28/06/20 As per checklist 1.5 05/06/2020 Outlook period 08/06/20-05/07/20 As per checklist 1.6 12/06/2020 Outlook period 15/06/20-12/07/20 As per checklist 1.7 19/06/2020 Outlook period 22/06/20-02/08/20 As per checklist 1.8 26/06/2020 Outlook period 29/06/20-09/08/20 As per checklist 1.9 03/07/2020 Outlook period 06/07/20-16/08/20 As per checklist 1.10 10/07/2020 Outlook period 13/07/20-23/08/20 As per checklist 1.11 17/07/2020 Outlook period 20/07/20-30/08/20 As per checklist 1.12 24/07/2020 Outlook period 27/07/20-06/09/20 As per checklist 1.13 31/07/2020 Outlook period 03/08/20-13/09/20 As per checklist 1.14 07/08/2020 Outlook period 10/08/20-20/09/20 As per checklist 1.15 14/08/2020 Outlook period 17/08/20-27/09/20 As per checklist 1.16 21/08/2020 Outlook period 24/08/20-04/10/20 As per checklist Edition Number: 1.16 Edition Validity Date: 21-08-2020 Classification: Green Page: ii Page Validity Date: 21-08-2020 EUROCONTROL Network Management Directorate CHECKLIST Section Date Section Date Chapter 1 03/07/2020 Chapter 7 21/08/2020 1.1 15/04/2020 7.1 22/04/2020 1.2 15/04/2020 7.2 21/08/2020 1.3 03/07/2020 7.3 21/08/2020 Chapter 2 03/07/2020 7.4 21/08/2020 2.1 15/04/2020 7.5 21/08/2020 2.2 15/04/2020 Chapter 8 11/03/2020 2.3 15/04/2020 8.1 11/03/2020 2.4 15/04/2020 Chapter 9 21/08/2020 2.5 15/04/2020 9.1 21/08/2020 2.6 03/07/2020 9.2 21/08/2020 2.7 26/06/2020 9.3 21/08/2020 Chapter 3 26/06/2020 Chapter 10 21/08/2020 3.1 26/06/2020 10.1 21/08/2020 3.2 15/04/2020 10.2 21/08/2020 3.3 26/06/2020 10.3 21/08/2020 Chapter 4 21/08/2020 Chapter 11 21/08/2020 4.1 21/08/2020 Annex 1 21/08/2020 4.2 21/08/2020 Annex 2 21/08/2020 4.3 30/04/2020 Annex 3 14/07/2020 4.4 21/08/2020 1 19/06/2020 4.5 15/04/2020 2 12/06/2020 Chapter 5 15/04/2020 3 10/07/2020 Chapter 6 21/08/2020 6.1 21/08/2020 6.2 21/08/2020 6.3 15/04/2020 6.4 22/05/2020 6.5 15/04/2020 6.6 15/04/2020 Edition Number: 1.16 Edition Validity Date: 21-08-2020 Classification: Green Page: iii Page Validity Date: 21-08-2020 EUROCONTROL Network Management Directorate EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The European Network Operations Plan (NOP) – 2020 Recovery Plan is a special version of the NOP supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It provides for a consolidated European network view of the evolution of the air traffic and facilitates the planning of the service in the recovery phase by ANSPs and airports to match expected traffic demand in a safe, efficient and coordinated manner. The European NOP 2020 Recovery Plan is developed by EUROCONTROL NM in cooperation with the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook, published on the NM Network Operations Portal and updated weekly. Outlook 24 August – 04 October 2020 Traffic outlook – Based on the assumption that favourable conditions for international travel in Europe are maintained and that the airlines continue operating the currently planned summer schedules, the network traffic will continue to maintain a limited increase in August. As from September, another step up of traffic is expected, albeit relatively minor in comparison to the previous leaps of traffic observed during the season. September traffic is currently expected to have some peak days with approximately 21000 flights. This would represent in average, by the end of August, 55% of the traffic during the similar period in 2019 and up to 60% in September. Despite a continued growth, this new traffic outlook for September is lower than the ones presented in previous weeks as it reflects the changes in schedules resulting from the various new state restrictions. This traffic outlook remains highly dependent on the evolution of State restrictions - the latest changes might not be fully reflected in the airline schedules and airport slots and might lead to ad-hoc cancellations, but the general trend remains positive. Enroute capacity outlook – All the actions proposed for individual ANSPs in the previous editions of the NOP 2020 Recovery Plan have been implemented. While no en-route capacity issues are expected, some elementary sectors might start being saturated for short periods. Those situations can be handled tactically with no need for ATFM restrictions. More sectors might need to be open flexibly during peak hours or opening hours should be extended. Some ANSPs should plan to open their currently indicated maximum sector opening schemes and foresee a 10% buffer in the traffic outlook to avoid sudden capacity problems and weather issues. Airport outlook – The number of long term parked aircraft remains high. Regional airports indicated high passenger numbers during first wave, potentially compounded by lack of gates. No other significant airport airside capacity issues are reported. Airports are matching traffic demand. Passenger terminal COVID measures are in place and throughput should be monitored closely in relation to turnaround, as traffic increases. Airports estimate that turn around times for aircraft in a 100–200 passenger range may increase by 15-30 minutes, with larger aircraft up to 45 minutes or more when traffic will further increase. Reported delay causes show that, despite a massive reduction of the average departure delay per flight, delay related to governmental causes (Mandatory Security, Immigration, Customs and Health) increased by a factor of 10. Green aviation measures - NM, together with the operational stakeholders, relaxed up to 1200 RAD measures. This generated distance flown savings amounting to 26000 NM per day. Safety –ANSPs have taken safety measures aligned with the common work done with NM i.e. the Safety Argument. The Safety Argument assists ANSPs to return to safe and resilient normal operations. It covers three main elements of the ANSP’s functional system - people, procedures and equipment, including: staff competence, training and medical fitness; equipment configuration and certificates for use; changes to procedures introduced during the crisis period, etc. Expected Evolutions in States - In many States restrictions have been extended or reinstated. Lack of harmonised approach hamperred a coordinated recovery and might be mitigated by adhering to EC principles related to restrictions to free movement linked to COVID-19, stressing, i.a. that border/travel restrictions should be removed in the internal market, and sanitary measures such as social distancing and other actions recommended by ECDC should be the main basis to tackle COVID-19 spreading. Edition Number: 1.16 Edition Validity Date: 21-08-2020 Classification: Green Page: iv Page Validity Date: 21-08-2020 EUROCONTROL Network Management Directorate TABLE OF CONTENT DOCUMENT CONTROL ....................................................................................................... I EDITION HISTORY ............................................................................................................. II CHECKLIST ....................................................................................................................... III EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................... IV 1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 7 1.1 Scope of the European Network Operations Plan – 2020 Recovery plan ................... 7 1.2 Geographical Area covered by the European Network Operations Plan – 2020 Recovery Plan ......................................................................................................... 7 1.3 Preparation of the Plan ........................................................................................... 8 2 DESCRIPTION OF THE NOP 2020 RECOVERY PLAN, OPERATIONAL TARGETS & OBJECTIVES ........................................................................................ 8 2.1 Strategic Objectives ................................................................................................ 8 2.2 A Collaborative Process .......................................................................................... 8 2.3 EU Performance Targets Application ....................................................................... 9 2.4 Priorities and Resources ......................................................................................... 9 2.5 Impact on ATM and Other Areas.............................................................................. 9 2.6 Strategic Evolution of the NOP ................................................................................ 9 2.7 Preparations
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