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ri. 4nn. Hum. Gene!. (2001), 65, 137—151 137 Printed iv Great Britain
MtDNA from extinct Tainos and the peopling of the Caribbean
C. LALUEZA-FOX’, F. LUNA CALDERON’, F. CALAFELL’, B MORERA AND J. BERTRANPETIT’ Secció Ant ropologia, Dept. 3Bioiogia Animal. Facuitat de Biologia, Universitat de Barcelona.. Barcelona. Spain ‘Depa4ta.mento de Antropoiogia Fi’sica, Museo del Hombre Dominicano, Santo Domingo, Replblica Doininicana; Universidad T\Ta,cjo?jaiPedro Henriguez Ureña, Repüblica Dominica.na Unita,t de Biologia. E’voiutiva, Faculta.t de Ciències de la Saint i de la Vida, Universita.t Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain
(Received 10.7.00. Accepted 30.11.00)
SUMMARY Tainos and Caribs were the inhabitants of the Caribbean when Columbus reached the Americas; both human groups became extinct soon after contact, decimated by the Spaniards and the diseases they brought. Samples belonging to pre-Columbiari Taino Indians from the La Caleta site (Dominican Republic) have been analyzed, in order to ascertain the genetic affinities of these groups in relation to present-day Amerinds, and to reconstruct, the genetic and demographic events that took place during the peopling of the Caribbean. Twenty-seven bone samples were extracted and analyzed for mtDNA variation. The four major Amerindian mtDNA lineages were screened through amplification of the specific marker regions and restriction enzymatic digestion, when needed. The HVRI of the control region was amplified with four sets of overlapping primers and sequenced in 19 of the samples. Both restriction enzyme and sequencing results suggest that only two (C and D) of the major mtDNA lineages were present in the sample: 18 individuals (75 %) belonged to the C haplogroup, and 6 (25%) to the D haplogroup. Sequences display specific substitutions that are known to correlate with each haplogroup, a fact that helped to reject the possibility of European DNA contamination. A low rate of Taq inisincorporations due to template damage was estimated from the cloning and sequencing of different PCR products of one of the samples. High frequencies of C and D haplogroups are more common in South American populations, a fact that points to that sub-continent as the homeland of the Taino ancestors, as previously suggested by linguistic and archaeological evidence. Sequence and haplogroup data show that the Tainos had a substantially reduced mt.DNA diversity, which is indicative of an important founder effect during the colonization of the Caribbean Islands, assumed to have been a linear migratory movement from mainland South America following the chain configuration of the Antilles.
during his first discovery voyage, in 1492, he was INTRODUCTION greeted by indigenous people who called them- When Christopher Colombus reached two of selves Tairios. At that time, Columbus was the Greater Antilles (Bahamas and Hispaniola) convinced of having arrived in either Japan or China; later he changed his mind, and, believing Correspondence: Jaume Bertranpetit Unitat de he had reached India, called the abor Biologia Evolutiva, Facu]tat de Cienciesde Ia Sa]ut i de Ia Vida, Universitat Poinpeu Fabra, C. Dr. Aiguader 80, igines ‘Indians’, a misleading name for the 08003 Barcelona, Spain. Tel: (+3493) 542 28 40: Fax Native Americans that has remained in use to (+3493) 542 28 02. E-mail: jaume. bertranpetit@cexs. upf. es this day. Thus, the wrong and biased perceptions
American
Caribs
ward
Jamaica,
Islands,
1993). name).
Puerto
Caribs
groups
Spanish Americas.
want
groups
we
found
lations,
the
slaves, population
from
admixture
group. genetic
have
rural
concluded Despite present-day
labour,
ginning
decreasing
(Kiple,
and
(Tjbelaker, process
authors know
diseases
the they
generations
the
collided.
back
of
138
By
need
Westerners
highly
harsh Tainos
the
The communities
Islands
disappeared Belize
—
to
were
7
(whose
to
were
how
illustrates
in
The
in
Rico,
disruption,
was
The
chroniclers,
1984),
while
claims
since
the
the
to
they
time
they
of
of
groups know
latter
million
However,
the
the
relation
admixtured
that,
which
of
treatment
rely
many
clearly
Tainos
culturally
study
1992;
Bahamas,
human
thought
after
the
extinction;
extinguished
Tainos
(Monsalve Spaniards
the
name
of brought
Island
and at
the
who
very
Caribbean,
could
of
about
group
the
Columbus,
on
after
(called
the
Taino
16th
least
is
this
east
people
of
in
Caribs Crawford.
forever
the
to throughout
of
came
Guadeloupe
ancient
substratum
there presumed
is
as
first
we
genetic
limitations
have
the
inhabited the
about
Caribs African
—
first
related
the
the
500 Caribbean
with
of
and
original
modern
of century,
agricultural
16 heritage
sometimes
Mainland
don’t
brought
&
east
to
according
the
were
were so-called
moment
inhabited
source
Cuba,
the
other
years
contact,
the
numbered
of
as
iii
and Hagelberg, them.
DNA
constitute
the
with
affinities
of
to
Spaniards
to 1992).
the
origin. a
Turks
really
two
just
Tainos,
Caribbean
killed
Caribbean
in
according
Cuba,
survival
some
of
Spaniards,
distinct
Ia
derive
the
of
peoples
(Rouse,
to
of
C.
aborigines
and
African
It
the
analysis
Caribs), West
called
17
working
main
both
Black
decimated
cultural
the
Hispaniola,
is one
LALuEzA-Fox
and
to
replace
the
and
At
know
during
Therefore,
Caribbean.
mainland
sequences between
it
probably difficult
Caribbean
the
of
from
and
region’s 1997),
different
must
African
human
and
in
Island
the
cultures
Caicos
Wind
human
or
of
mining
people
to
Caribs
popu
1986,
major
slaves
these
if
that
some
with
what
since
the
the
the
and
date
the
this
we
two
the
be
the
be
by
to
a
2
migratory
of
possible
chain.
pushing
the
one
Greater
island
to
undertook
Tobago, populations
Orinoco
ancestors Caribbean
however,
Archaeological
land
original
relationship
the ence
ily
Carib
languages,
Equatorial-Tucanoan
contrast, belong
Island
among
languages
the
tants
so-called
there
Lesser
villages,
ferocious
game
inhabitants,
establish
Tainos
organized
agricultural were
the
AND
The
the
Guanajuatabeys.
(Greenberg,
language
another
Guianas,
of
to
If
South subfamily,
Caribbean
were
of
established
Lesser some
Antilles.
names
Caribs
courts.
to
scholars;
OTHERS
west
to
homeland
this
Antilles,
another,
Valley,
West
expanding
around
it
movement
the Arawaks,
of
nomadic.
consisted
area
see
a
some
they
which
other
into
the
has
words
the
that,
hypothesis
of
that
long
with
the
techniques
America
with
Mainland
the
and
Antilles
of
Cuba.
spoke
was
the
1987; In
In
been
Equatorial
chiefdoms;
Tainos
the
spoke
had within
evidence
progressing
groups
it
the
pre-existing
settlements
are
next
1000
eventually
series
of
with
addition
Island
with
migrated hunters
the
the
already ceremonial
seems
mainly
inhabitants
contrast,
from
The
from
Guianas
the
Arawakan Caribbean
of
to
suggested
Ruhlen,
classified family
Guanajuatabeys,
island and
is
clear
are
is
the
Caribs
three
Mainland
might
B.C.
at
take
of
Taino
islands
Caribs
that
the
hierarchical
South
that
correct.
Columbus’
that
more
settled
to
Ge-Pano-Carib
voyages,
a
from
shows
they
in
sub-family,
from
Caribbean
(Ruhlen,
from
South
Thereafter,
place Tainos
in populations,
mixing or
exceptions,
source
the
1991).
of
have
allowed
squares
spoke
both
groups
into
raided
poinìts of Venezuela.
that
groups
East
are
languages
the
Trinidad
controversial.
had
the
there
the
thousands
by
Trinidad
Caribs.
Caribs
the
as
through
so
come Tainos
the
migratory
and
that
the
The
5000
Caribbean
mainland
from
to
times:
of
peopling
the
to
with
1991).
advanced
a
in
close
origin
and
them
and
societies
to
North
Macro
Lower
inhabi
linear
in
a
Caribs,
debate
direct
main
exist
Taino
from
it
they
B.C.;
close
fain
like
and
that
were
The
one
the
and
the
and
The
ball
the
the
to
the
or the
is
In
in
to of West, Antilles
peopled
analysis. can studies mitochondrial genorne cell present-day genolne. molecular contain
mutation recombination special
that lations
at. 1986; rntDNA Haplogroup 663, ‘B’, the genic at genome residual imitations
This found has correlation
terized,
tutions; control different in
the Eskimo-Aleut a Bering
+
Therefore,
In
np Greenberg
16517 rather
populations
with
AluI
been
first be 1992;
most
lineage, haplogroup
the
‘C’,
9bp
13262 Stoneking, following
in
falls
evolutionary
from
Islands.
has
several have
Straits
reliably
a
at
sequence region fifth markers
in
FIaeIII, (Torroni MtDNA
recently
The
site some
rate Americas,
deletion,
single tool high
migrations
of in
‘D’),
between 1993b,
the
its
into
a
human
and
A
whether
South-America
the
ancestrally
the
at
et better founding
DNA
been
vast
relative
is
and
for
European basal
from Americas.
peopled
speakers)
thousand
rntDNA
the at.
four
markers, np copy
haplogroup
Control
defined
primarily
explored and
B mtDNA 1993).
(Schurr
described
data
reconstructing has et
haplogroup
maternal
populations, 1994; (1986)
5176.
(mtDNA).
these
majority
based
by
chain
chance properties,
many
North
major
level,
at.
or
the
of
(Amerind,
to
been (Ward
haplogroup,
the a
the
not
related by
Region
diversity
1993o).
populations,
lineages
16223T-16278T copies
nuclear Sequence
it et
from
COII/tRNA’’5
such
of mtDI’L4 postulated
Horai configuration
with
on lineages
studies by
America.
(Bandelt
nuclear an of defined
is Americas. has
al.
D the
inheritance
widely
Amerindian
et of a
This
recovery,
by
HaeIII
some C
the
1990;
hypothesis
at. Asia such
only to
I
as
Caribbean of by
by
ancient
ancient
the
An
of
and the DNA,
et Na-Dene — the
in
1991) the from
cytoplasmic
have
data genome virtue (named
analysis
named the an
by
used 1715 et
RFLP
been
as
at.
history
absence
Torroni across
additional that
particular one
site is
lineage
However,
at.
AiuI
mtDNA
mtDNA
a
since
specific
lack
(Avise,
charac of
show
showed
shown
substi
extinct
PoPu 1993). DNA
DNA
1995).
iiyler rapid
found
of
at DdeI,
single
as that
three
was
‘A’, ‘X’, the
can
and site
and
its the
np
of
of
of
of
X et a
a
a
than tribe, Caribbean model. widespread that few,
linguistic American stricted 1993;
single successive
would Ferrell, founding scenario
at. lations, both among
from present-day Hispaniola the Islands, struct demographic genetic this of Caribbean the DNA migrations on can
Columbian the 25 style Dorninicana) island;
The
Twenty-seven
1996).
km
a
genetic
the
whole the
project
constitute
most
genetic but
that
suggesting
smaller
Torroni
ceramics,
extraction
initial
purpose
the
have Subsequent
east pre-Columbian
1996).
thus
drift
Native present-day the
(Merriwether
to
along
pre-Columbian
family.
relatively
migration
pooi,
mtDNAs
important irocess expected
Indians
migration Islands.
affinities
similar
MATERIALS
of
(Dominican is
along
bodies
produced migration any and
mainland
scale. complicating
site events or
et
From were
to
Santo
of
ornaments
a American
at.
and
with
a
bottlenecks.
analyse
different
ethnohistorical
this
case
bone
The particular
much
to
the of
1993a,
genetic
of
analyzed.
to
are
that of
waves, amplificat
during
in
Domingo
deep, from
that
study
peopling
process;
the Native et
Taino
provide these
study
the
AN])
into Amerinds ubiquity
La continent
buried at.
Asia
samples
Taino
more
the Republic) common
rntDNAs
of remains
and
possible 1993b)
demographic
the
the
studies 1995; differences
was
is
that
lineages
METHODS America,
groups
genetic
Polynesia,
Caleta
necropolises
to The
on
suggested
The ethnic
ion
complex
tools
American
city, if
a
interpretation of
with
a
three-migration
recover
process, data
remains
clear
ancient
of
successful,
Merriwether more
from
demonstrated
rnitochondrial the
and
future
site
and
(Horai
in
(unpublished existence to
and
clustered
from
composition
the
Boca
that
(Repibliea
relation (Forster instead
group Caribbean
picture
to is
plausible
observed
ascertain
scenario
although
the
mtDNA
not
is
Native
that
such
located
human events
aim
recon
popu
in
one
et
were other
Chica
from
139
pre this
re
al.
the
in or
of
to
of
as
&
of of
of
et
a of The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Page 22 of 25
Last Edit: February 29, 2008, 08:39:44 pm by Bianca ‘. Report Spam Logged
Your mind understands what you have been taught; your heart what is true.
Bianca Re: The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Ser,1çmber e Reply #12 on: February 29, 2008, 08:44:51 pm e Posts: 41646 http://www. hartford-hwp.com/a rchives/41/O 13 html
A Note on Tainos: Whither Progress?
By José Barreiro, from Northeast Indian Quarterly, pp. 66-77 Fall, 1990
Author’s note: An appreciation is due John Mohawk, who contributed to an early version of this article.
References in the body of the text refer to the Select Bibliography which follows this article.
All illustrations except the photograph on page 76 are taken from Onello Jorge Cardoso, Los Indocubanos. Havana: Gente Nueva, 1982.
Christopher Columbus, whose name literally means “Christ-bearing colonizer,” wrote in his diary shortly after the landfall that he and his sailors saw “naked men” (there were also women), whom they found “very healthy-looking.” Landing at Guanahani, in the Bahamas, and sailing on to Cuba and Bohio (Haiti/Santo Domingo), renamed Espafiola, Columbus soon noted a widespread language and system of beliefs and lifeways. Conferring with various caciques (chiefs), he heard them call themselves “Taino.” (Tyler 1988)
Taino culture was dominant throughout the Caribbean, a sea and island world that was in turn cradle of Taino civilization. In agriculture, seafaring and cosmology, Ciboney and Guanahatabey (western Cuba), Macorix and/or Ciguayo (Bohio) and even Carib (Lesser Antilles) all followed the material and much of the psycho-spiritual framework of the Taino. The original Caribbeans spoke Arawak. The people of the Arawak language family still comprise one of the more widespread American Indigenous cultures, with relatively large kinship nations in the Amazon and Orinoco river basins of South America. Throughout the Caribbean, usually in remote mountain ranges and coastal promontories, remnant groups and communities of Taino-Arawak and Carib descendants survive to the present. Aspects of the animistic and material culture of the Taino-Arawak have been adopted by the mestizo populations of the Caribbean and are interwoven into the Euro-African fabric of the islands’ folk universe.
The word Taino meant “men of the good,” and from most indications the Tainos were good. Coupled to the lush and hospitable islands over millennium, and a half, the indigenous people of “La Taina” developed a culture where the human personality was gentle. Among the Taino at the time of contact, by all accounts, generosity and kindness were dominant values. Among the Taino peoples, as with most indigenous lifeways, the physical culture was geared toward a sustainable interaction with the natural surroundings. The Taino’s culture has been designated as “primitive” by western scholarship, yet it prescribed a lifeway that strove to feed all the people, and a spirituality that respected, in ceremony most of their main animal and food sources, as well as the natural forces like climate, season and weather. The Taino lived respectfully in a bountiful place and so their nature was bountiful. (Jane 1930)
Last Edit: March 01, 2008, 06:08:26 am by Bianca e Report Spam Logged
http://atlantisonline.smfforfree2 .comlindex.php?topic75 59.0 11/11/2010 The
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sailors
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cotton,
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where after
have
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NOT
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from
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other
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the
a
canoe
found
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occasions,
people
sails
with
for
sheds.
the
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whose
vast
taking
who
natural
and an
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and
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covering
buildings
to:
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Extinct
woven
found
and
taught;
shelves
estimated
of
array
large
were
good
and
some
Further
your
color
that
=>
saw
Taino
a
world.
numerous
MY
about
were
permanent
fishermen
but
what
your
the
took
cakes
of
mats
neither
and
hooks
it
many
whole
packed of
was
and
business
M&M
edible
fell
men
they
Bahamas,
heart
They
a
upriver
the
floral
it,
pride
they
the
59.0
(in
healthy
specific
of
olive-brown
over
The
made
kinds
valleys.
what
followed
caciques,
saw
S t
‘bejucos
white
fine
guama
this
with
fruits.
visited
sailing
judged
and
man
in
Candie 4 -
Taino
muscular
cards
in
is
Bermuda,
no
their
wax, of
art
of
true.
people
thousands
other
the
nor
faunal
but
The apparent
drying
They
large
for
in
one
him
they
to
had
village
villages,
courage
or
black.
a
to
the
in
trees
making
be Arawaks
local
another
fiber who
from
copper,
shoulders.
walked
range
others
fish
Cuba
flourished),
plenty
tubers,
open
excellent
or
of
He
Aø
need
for
product.
showed
bones.
ropes.
island
on they
&
dried
clan
of
rope,
noted
ocean
all
the
of
through
boats,
made
constantly.
reminded
the
grains
5,800
to
cotton,
the
saw
and On
West
nets
to
(Tyler
cassava
Inspecting
cover
the
high
no
cotton
their
(Rivero
as
specific
people
island
some
spears,
large
nation
species.
signs
and
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Caribs Indian still living in the Caribbean
KARIBS I CARIBS or KARIBE tribe of Native American of the Caribbean linguistic stock, occupying various regions of South and Central America. The Caribs, who probably originated in the valley of the Orinoco River, were noted for their ferocity. .During the late 15th century the Karibs inhabited most of the islands of the Lesser Antilles and the coast of what is now Venezuela, territories from which they had expelled the Arawak Indians.
From Caniba or Canima to Caribs, Cannibal, Caribbean.
Columbus talked about the Caribs in his log of Sunday, November 4, 1492. On that day, the log says, he showed some gold and pearl to the Indians. He was told that an infinite amount of gold could be found by going to the southeast in a place called Bohio. The first mention, all be it vague, about the Caribs came immediately after in the next sentence of the log which says the following: “I also understand that, a long distance from here, there are men with one eye and others with dogs’ snouts who eat men. On taking a man they beheaded him, drink his blood and cut off his genitals.” The next reference about the Caribs is a little more specific. It is part of the log book entry of Tuesday, December 111492, which speaks about a continental land behind La Espagnola where the people of Caniba lived. The entry in the log is the following: “They (the Tainos of Hispagnola/kyskeya, Bohio, Haiti) indicate that there is a continental land behind La Isla Espagnola, which they called Caritaba. They say that it is of infinite extent, which supports my belief that these lands may be harassed by a more astute people, because the inhabitants of these lands live in great fear of the people of Caniba.
So I repeat what I have said before, the Caniba are none other than the people of the Great Khan, who must be very near here. They have ships that come to these lands to capture these people and take them away. Since the people never return, it is believed that they have been eaten.” The name Caritaba which Colombus referred to as the land of the Caniba was in fact the land surrounding Cap Haitien in Haiti. The chain of islands forming the lesser Antilles where the Caribs lived starts beyond La Espagnola and the the island of Boriken (Puerto-Rico). The mistakes of Columbus about the Caribs people were due to the erroneus context governing his interpretation of the facts. He thought he http ://www.kwabs.comltainos caribs.html 11/11/2010 time Switzerland,
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a 8 • GUNS, GERMS, AND STEFL
Africawas the solecradle of human evolution for millionsof years,as well as perhaps the homeland of anatomically modern I-fomosapie,js.To these advantages of Africa’senormous head start were added those of highly diverse climates and habitats and of the world’s highest human diversity An extraterrestrial visiting Earth 10,000 years ago might have been for given for predicting that Europe would end up as a set of vassalstates of a sub-Saharan African empire. The proximate reasons behind the outcome of Africa’scollisionwith Europe are clear. Just as in their encounter with Native Americans,Euro peans enteringAfrica enjoyed the triple advantage of guns and other tech nology, widespread literacy, and the political organization necessaryto sustain expensive programs of exploration and conquest. Those advan tages manifestedthemselvesalmost as soon as the collisionsstarted: barely four years after Vasco da Gama first reached the East African coast, in 1498, he returned with a fleetbristling with cannons to compelthe surren der of EastAfrica’smost important port, Kilwa,which controlled the Zirn babwe gold trade. But why did Europeans developthose three advantages before sub-Saharan Africanscould? As we have discussed,all three arose historicallyfrom the development of food production. But food production was delayed in sub-Saharan Africa (comparedwith Eurasia) by Africa’spaucity of domesticablenative animal and plant species, its much smaller area suitable for indigenous food production, and its north—southaxis, which retarded the spread of food production and inventions. Let’sexamine how those factors oper ated. First, as regards domesticanimals, we’vealready seen that those of sub Saharan Africa came from Eurasia, with the possible exception of a few from North Africa. As a result, domestic animals did not reach sub Saharan Africa until thousands of years after they began to be utilizedby emerging Eurasian civilizations. That’s initially surprising, because we think of Africaas the continent of bigwild mammals.But wesaw in Chap ter 9 that a wild animal, to be domesticated, must be sufficientlydocile, submissive to humans, cheap to feed, and immune to diseasesand must grow rapidly and breed well in captivity. Eurasia’s native cows, sheep, goats, horses, and pigs were among the world’sfew large wild animal spe cies to pass all those tests. Their African equivalents—suchas the African buffalo, zebra, bush pig, rhino, and hippopotamus—bave never been domesticated, not even in modern times. been cated—that war to other
have pean thrown domesticated
Sahel, fewer
between starting agriculture Fertile
that about start equator
people the
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Thus,
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total
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and
Rhino-mounted
occupied
rainfall, plant
suitable
unstoppable
ridden, had
animals
is
none
AFRICA
between factor
competing Empire.
its
and
But, grew
continents.
is
in
and
only
whereas
or of
West
enlisted
begun that
area
important
Africa
and a
moving
to
lay
complete Africa
ancient
all
with
of
sharing
in
bred
corresponding,
behind
they day
humans.
about for
domesticated some by
with
falls
Africa
animal
other
It Eurasia. Eurasian
those
several
BECAME
axis,
farmers
never tamed
Eurasia’s Eurasia’s
and societies
length,
plant
in
cavalry
is
would
to
Like
within
Eurasia,
Egyptians
large
similar
half
captivity consequences.
less
things halt
Africa’s Bantu
tamed
other
one did
domestication
Eurasia
Had
happened.
thousand
African
Because domestication,
societies
that
than
and and
that
of
African
not
yield
to traverses
and
BLACK the
is
is
climates being
parts.
or
Africa’s crops
shock
not
cur animals though
of
east—west herders
slower the
diseases
only
and
of
sub-Sabaran may
700
inventions,
acquired
in
indigenous
elephants
the
with of
through
thousands
Eurasia.
years
different
equal,
animals
and
in
genetically dotnesticable
the
million, troops have For
have
zones
Americas,
rhinos and
was •
contrast,
rate
before less Africa.
was
livestock of
limited
example,
later even
(Figure
in
more
3
fed
day concerned,
crops
tamed
the
in extreme, of
differing
hence Furthermore,
have
actually could
9
one orientation
zone
compared crops,
and
of
1000
his
armies than
A
Africa’s
lengths. post-Pleistocene
9 ranks
modified
variety
land
miles
crops
Africa’s
third
and part
10.1). along unsuccessful
occasionally
hippos
giraffes
a
plants.
north
the
have
B.C.
that
faster
but
and
greatly
domesti
disparity livestock.
of
apart but
of
the
Mediter
factor
and
of
earliest
Africa’s
As
Today,
with
Euro
of
many of of
Africa
major
so
over
been more
head
wild
only pace also
and
The
ani one
the
the
the but
as
in is
4
Europeans. kingdom
technology.
Africa,
in
goats
never
to sion
did Egypt can
(possibly millennium thereafter, the
mounted Equatorial which
asian to little and
acquired
millennium spread
reach
oped
advance European
southern never variation
ranean
In
Egypt
cross
Similarly
wait
Africa’s
most
not
wild
little
through
or
short,
agriculture.
had
and
spread reached
Africa
around
Africa’s
south
where
crops
for no
reach
the
of
by
productive
from
from
West
Africa
mammals
of
in
or
already
colonists
North
north—south
seasonal
Africa’s
they
large-scale
Europe’s
Bantu
Pottery,
Serengeti
slow B.C., A.D.,
3000
day
Meroe,
no
by
that
the of
south
the
it
the
the
Arabia), 4
African
1800
climate
land
the
but
seasonal
was
length
did
it
in
0
equatorial
long Similarly,
African
B.C.
became
Cape
agriculture.
Mediterranean
reached
tsetse-free
tsetse
took
variation
spreading
0
Sudan,
through
recorded
brought
are
could
staples
colonization
not
B.c.
and
routes.
instead and
boat
and
after
kingdoms is
axis for writing
‘
until
resistant,
more
flies,
eminently
variation
cross
reach
Egypt’s
and
although
species
not
the
spread
the their
GUNS,
traffic
beyond
of
their
also
forest.
them
They
the
Sahel
in
around
in
brought
carrying
down
Bananas
tropical
than
grow
northern
transformed
Sahel
the
day
did
southern
the
germination.
seriously
tsetse
domestication
until
of
climate staples
across
proved
of
in
in
apparently
zone
which
in
Although
GERMS,
2,000
suitable,
not
length
Sahara
Sudan
alphabetic
Africa’s
Africa
at
an crops
livestock.
A.D.
1652,
daylight.
in
African
trypanosomes
the
the
fly
and
failed
arise
alphabetized
edge
the
require
from Africa.
at
impeded
devastating
they
years
1.
zone. were
first
Cape
adapted
and
had
other
to
North
and
the
north—south
Indian
Although and
independently
of AND
horses
Those
to
did
agriculture,
the
encountered
millennium
drive
nothing writing Sahara
The
Egypt’s
brought
in Cape
beyond
the
the
winter
While
survive itself,
which
tropical
not
Asia,
the
outside
African
to
STEEL
Ocean.
Serengeti
cows
Khoisan
crops
had
to
form the
of
summer
arrive
to
spread
thereby
around
writing
cattle, rains
which
to reached
wheat
that
the today
because
Good
by
axis
intoduced
already
rise
Asian
that
do
were
were
to
A.D.,
by
the
warfare
Bantu summer
in
until
for
and
never
of
with
the
was
in
native
of
sheep,
Arabs
rain
Hope
are
halting
and
the
8000
Bantu
developed
the
‘Ethiopia
livestock.
unable
unable
the crops
livestock
and
they
seasonal
cavalry-
Nubian
reached
the
human
expan among
rest
differ-
and
barley
Bantu
devel
third
soon
Afri
n.c.,
rains
Eur until
they
and
and
into
first
had
the
for
of
to
to
to 1j assume. plant ences
in Africa
particular,
between
and
and
Rather,
animal
Europe
HOW
to
European
it
the
was
species.
stem
AFRICA
continents’
due
ultimately
and
That
to
BECAME
African
accidents
is,
different
from
the
peoples
of
different BLACK
differences
geography
areas,
themselves,
axes, historical
•
in
and
4
real
and
0
biogeography—
as
X estate.
trajectories
suites
white
of
racists
wild
of 0)0 r)
D(D
D.
-3 (Dr+
‘I- 5:0— (Pb)
0)
Cr,
6 [19701AC1111,p 1116,
5 (1821) Nag 2 Con 371, p380
4
Allot,
AN, The
Lire qfLaw, ji 1980, London: Eutterwoeths,
pp
109—10.
p 11955] 3 All 646, ER CA, 653.
2 SeeChapter2.
Commonwealth
CarIbbean’s
Sea,
also, the exceptions
made for
‘hybild’
legal
systems.
I
See the discussion
in Chapter
2 (‘Legal
traditions types of lea1 systems — In the
most former
British
colonies
the English
common ... law
is incorporated
as
Similarly,
In
Kaadesevaren
v
AG, 6
Lord
Diplock explained that ‘in the case of
consequence
of which he may impose on them what laws he
pleases.
lives
the of
people
conquered
gains
a right and
property In
such
people;
in
When
King the of
Ongland
conquers
a country
the
Conqueror saving by ... the
affirmed by Lord StoweU in Rudling v Switck
This view
is supported
by a
1792
Memorandum by the Master of the Rolls,
because were they made to niigrate 4
this to be
the governing
metanorm. At bottom, then,
these laws migrated
is that
the metropolitan
legal
system for its own
purposes
and
reasons
declared
If
we
analyse
the
legal
reasons
why
the common law migrated in such cases, it
contends,
for
example,
that
the
common law was forced
upon the
colonies:
history
of the
Caribbean,
which
was neither peaceful nor
benevolent. Allot
description
‘imposition’
is more
in
keeping with an accurate
record of
the
example, for
Lord Denning
used the term ‘transplantation’.
Indeed,
the
doctrine of
‘Inipoaltion’
or
even
‘transplantation’ instead. In
Nyali Ltd
nAG, 3
nomenclature
of the term ‘reception’,
clhning that it should
be labelled
the
jurisprudence,
the
reader must
aware be that some writers question
the
very
Before
examining
the
applicability of the doctrine Caribbean to
which
result
from
mere contact or interplay with each other. 2
discussion
the
influences
from
other legal traditions in any particular
country
exported
to another
environment.
This definition eliminates
from
our
phenomena
which
were
developed in a given environment are
consciously
The reception
of law
doctrine
describes process the whereby legal
of the reception law. of
transplantation
process
is important,
since it is the foundation
the of doctrine
colonialism,
during
which law
was transplanted to
region.
the This
law legal
tradition. 1
These
legal
systems were born of out the
experience
of
to
the common
law legal
tradition,
with some historical linkages
to the civil
As
discussed
previously,
the legal systems in the Caribbean belong essentially
SIGNIFICANCE TO CARIBBEAN JURISDICTIONS
THE RECEPTION
OF ENGLISH LAW AND ITS
C}IAPThR 4 Commonwealth Caribbean Law end Legal Systems The Reception of English Law and its Significance to Caribbean Jurisdictions
part of the domestic law of the new independent State because It was imposed • One interesting difference is the right to land. In Levy and Wood v upon the colony ...‘. Adminisfrtitor of the Cayinan Islands,10 a case from the Cayman islands —a
- contest We see, therefore, that English law was Imposed on the Commonwealth settled territory, still a British colony the Court of Appeal held, in a Caribbean. In St Lucia and Guyana, civil law was also imposed and retained. for title to land, that ‘ownership by the Government was the natural The reader should further note that in the case of Trinidad and Tobago, consequence of the introduction of the common law of England by the first Guyana and Jamaica, traces of Indian law were also received. This mainly settlers of the Islands’.11 This was precisely because the Cayinan islands was a occurred during the time of Indian indentureship. The reception of other legal settled colony. Accordingly, there was no evidence of land being previously traditions has left some impression on Commonwealth Caribbean legal occupied by anyone. systems. For example, as we saw previously,7 Hindus are allowed to marry The settled territories of the Commonwealth Caribbean include Anguilla, according to the tradition and customs of their own law. Some of these Antigua, the Bahamas, Barbados, British Virgin Islands, Montserrat, and St traditions have even been incorporated into local legislation. In the main, Kitts.12 These countries received the English common law at the end of the however, this is of cosmetic effect only8 and the English common law 17th century. A settled colony is commonly described as one where there was tradition can be seen to be the dominant one in Commonwealth Caribbean no previous inhabitation by indigenous or ‘civilised’ peoples, or which had jurisdictions. The discussion on reception thus centres around the been inhabited by peoples from imperialist countries who had subsequently transplantation of the English common law. abandoned the territory or had been destroyed.’3 Nevertheless, when one The attitude toward the reception or imposition of English law is considers the historical reality of the Commonwealth Caribbean, which very important in deciding to what extent English law informs or should inform acknowledges the existence of indigenous Amerindian peoples, the conquered territory refers to the law of the Commonwealth Caribbean in form and substance. In particular, definition is suspect. Conversely, the concept of a was the dynamic potential of legal sources in Commonwealth Caribbean legal that which was first held by one imperialist power and which conquering power after systems is considerably influenced by the view that Commonwealth subsequently transferred to another imperialist, Caribbean judges and law makers take in relation to the reception question. battle. In the Commonwealth Caribbean, the term ‘imperialist powex’ usually who fought several battles for This is particularly so in relation to judicial precedent and the constitution, refers to the English, French and Spanish, discussed in later chapters. While the original dependency and ‘Britishness’ of ownership of the region.14 The total contempt with which conquerors biases in the our law and legal system is accurately attributed to the colonial policy of regarded ‘uncivilised’ peoples and their laws betrays the inherent imposition, it cannot fully excuse the continuance of these attitudes in reception of law doctrine. modem, independent societies. The conquered territories are Dominica, Beliae, Guyana, Grenada, St Lucia, St Vincent and Trinidad and Tobago. The status of Jamaica is • controversial, It can be considered as conquered since, at the time of the SETfl.ED COLONIES AND CONQUERED COLONIES arrival f the British, there were Spanish settlers there, albeit without any rational institutionalisation of law. However, with regard to the reception of English law, it is best regarded as settled, as discussed below, p62. Since the doctrine of reception or imposition is closely related to the historical of St background of the region, it is important to make a distinction between those The reception doctrine and process is more complex in the cases territories which were conquered or ceded and those which were settled.9 The Lucia and Guyana. There, the common law was imposed on essentially civil process of political transformation was directly related to the manner in which law systems. This was a difficult infusion as the civil law endured. This law was received and implemented. This has further implications for how law is interpreted.
10 11952—?9]CILR42. 11 Ibid,p45. 7 Chapter 1. 12 See Patchett, KW, ‘The reception of law in the West IndIes’ [19731 JLJ 17 for an of in region. 8 WIth the esception of the civil law in St Lucia and Guyana. See Chapter 3 (‘The hybrid authoritative hisloricnl account the reception of law the legal systems of St Lucia and Guyana’). 13 See Tucker, SC fed), B1ackstvne’ Cainmentnries 1803, Vol 1,1969, New York Keuey. 9 For the purposes of reception, there is no practical distinction between conquered and 14 In the case of St Lucia, ownership actually changed hands between the French end ceded territories. English 14 times.
60
61
17 RevIsed Laws of Domlntca 1961.
of In law
Jamaica’
(19791 p
2WILJ
43.
further below,
61, wluih affirmed
this
latter
rule.
22
For
further
discussion
of the
pp 16 particular Op
cit, of rage Tucker, fn
Jamaica,
13,
196-07. see See Morrison,
El,
Campbell The
v (1779)
reception Hall
1 Comp
204,
dinised
21
Jocquet
v
Edwards, 1
Jam SC p DecIsions 414. 1994, Brussels: Bruylant,
15.
(1770)1 20
Caribbean’,
Coomp in
294, J M Doucet,
p212.
and
Vanderlinden,
(eds),
La
ltde9lfion
des
Systlmcs
Juridiques,
KD,
‘The
reception
the of common p
(1769)4 19
law by
Barr law clvii
systems 2492,
in
2500. Commonwealth the
15
See Chapter
(‘The 3
hybrid
iegai
systems
St of Luda
and
Guyana’).
also, See,
Anthony,
Wray,
IC,
Commonwealth
Colonial
Law
1966,
London:
Stevens,
pl 5 1.
18 p
Op Patchelt, elf,
In 12,
18.
For
this
assertion, he relies on the legal historian, Roberts
the for
enjoyment
of the benefits of laws the of our realm
of England
Jl’
person All
inhabiting
in our
colonies may confide ...
in
our royal
prosecution
by
Crown the
and
it was to
treated be
reception as a
of
settled
colony. 2 ’ by proclamation
as
evidenced
by
the 1763
Proclamation:
the
basic
law
and
the
right
a
to
representative
(b) legislature By
way proclamation: of
could
not
be
t)ominica, altered Vincent St
and Jamaica
examples are
prerogative in
the proclamation
of
14
December
1661. From
that
time
onward,
existing
a at
particular
date, shall
Therefore,
be deemed the to
be
common in
force
law
in came the territory.
to
Jamaica
the via
exercise
of the
Crown’s
territory
makes
specific
provision power that
had the been common lost when law
of the England,
Representative
Assembly
restored
was
1620.
in
(a)
The
use
of
incorporation the
clause
government. this
is where
Afterwards, legislation the —
however, of
a the Crown
conceded that
its legislative
representative
institutions
had
been common made was law allowing achieved
a two via
form of
maia self- methods:
did
assert
the
right to
legislate
English
common
for the
and law
colony English
even
statute after law. a
This grant imposition
of
English of
was
uncertain
how
far
its prerogative
Two
types or English of royal
power
law
were extended.
imposed
The
on Crown the
Caribbean.
They were the
was
that
it was one
of the
first
colonies
be to conquered. As
own such,
the
Crown difficulty.
accepted
by the
Supreme
Court
of
Jamaica. 21
Part
the
of
problem
reception
with of the
Jamaica
common
law.
Still, we as
will
see
below, is this
without not
its
Hall, 20
the
island
was treated
as
settled
and
this
historical
fact countries
has have been
introduced
legislation
defining
the
date and scope
of
the
until
further
arrangement
could
be
made,
R lit
v
Vaughan’ 9
distinction
and
Campbell between
v
conquered
and
settled
territories
is
less important
as most
and
law.
It was
therefore
not
possible
for
this
previous
system
to These
continue the
are orthodox
English
roles
the
on reception
of In law.
practlce
the
force of
arms which
destroyed
completely the
previous
system
of goverament
date which
Jamaica
the
Crown
provides
directed a
unique English that
example, law come
since into it operation. came into
British
control
by
hybrid
system
legal
to emerge.
In such form cases,
of governmental date the
of reception
the
and is legislative
control was
set up’. 18
was
this
arrangement
of
convenience
‘some which
made adequate
it possible
communal
for the
organisation
to
for call
legal
regulation
and
some
English for
law
intnxluced. to
be
If we consider
the
term ‘established St Lucia, for
example,
colony’
it
refers to
the
situation
where
the
colony
had
system
was
retained
until
time
such as
other law or
arrangements legal
authority could
made
be during
the
interim
period.
The better
view may
be
that
only
in
so far
was
it as not
repugnant
nevertheless natural to
justice. accepted
The
existing
that
this does
not
mean that
Islands the
were
without
(b)
For
conquered
territories,
the
colonists
colonists retained
arrived existing
the in
legal 1666 system
but
the
legislature
was not
set up
until 1774.
It is
without
historical
contradiction.
was
date the For example, reception. of in
the British Virgin
Islands,
constitution
or
some
authority
condition
which
of had
the
infant the colony. power
to The
legislate. date
This the of establishment
is not of
the
colony
could
describe
a
colony much as
established
of the
English or law
settled. as was There applicable should
have to
their
own
been a situation
and
the
was It
also
necessary
(a) to
With have some
respect
to settled
semblance
colonies,
a of legislature colonists the before one carried with them
only so
of
inhabited areas must Caribbean have been by two forrnalised. methods:
Crown
authorisation,
recognition
of
The
English
unauthorised common law
settlements was introduced and
annexation into the
Commonwealth
dominion.
Secondly,
the settlement
must have
been established,
that
is,
been
received.
First,
the
territory
must
have
been brought
within
Crown’s the THE METHOD
AND DATE
OP
RECEPTION
Two
prerequisites
must
be present
before English law can be said to have
circumstances or needs of the colony.
and
further the
requirement
that law all discussed received in must a separate be
suited chapter,’ 5
to
the
that
is,
that
territory
a
may
enact legislation
endurance,
which
abrogates which
was
the the
common impetus for
law, the
creation
hybrid
of
legal
systems, is
The
reception
English of
law was, however, subject to statutory modification,
Commonwealth
Caribbean
Law
and
Legal
Systems
The Reception
of English Law and its Significance to Caribbean Jurisdictions
64
65
29 Ibidp415. the in Justice indies, West
1626, First p61. Series,
33
Report Second of the Commissions of Inquiry on Administration the and of (1966)IOWJR4r32. Civil Civil 28
case of in Chapter law (‘The common 7 and the law of
doctrine
judicial
precedent).
32 pill. Ibid. See discussion the of and this other in cases of context the bindingnature the
(1970)17WIR 31 107.
(l%3)6W1R36. 30
courts. English as statutory defined interpretation, the by
law common tradition, but law common precedent principles, both legal and
and not was what a merely binding received that accepted clearly was English law been received the in territories?
were courts, Indian on binding
court addressed. West as The not
Johnson
different are We faced still with the ultimate question, to what extent
has
law, English
the reception and that of attitude law English
accepting toward
more general matters on reception. The confusing today situation is hardly
issues yet the case, effect of the
that
on independence political
the have might
the relevant data of reception, the substance of his complaint holds true for
was
Here, post-independence Ombudsman’).
that to enough this note it
is a
founded it upon be will often contradictory’. 33 was While
he
concerned
with
(‘The Caribbean Chapter is courts, hierarchy
the of office in discussed of
17
reception ‘so vague was and so little understood in colonies, the that decisions
precedents of House as by the such courts, Lords,
lie which the outside
the 1823, Attorney General for Dominica that said rule relating the
to
Commonwealth
problem of The
Caribbean themselves binding judges
to
West Indian jurisprudence. a is debate it which still rages today. Indeed, in
example good
of
the on debate the of question the relevance of reception to here. 29
The contrast between the
above cases should,
therefore, noted be is accept must, judgment and view, our whatever its own law declaratory a of the as ...
so the ait in law prevailing we common interprets of and, England, far law it, duty.
England,
decision any and
as must of since be Lords House of regarded the the
For him, date the consequence or of
reception
was
secondary this to judicial
Act
of as which Judicature incorporates the our part
law common lalv
of
a formulate
jurisprudence
to
‘suit the needs
our ever-changing of society’. 3
In 3
the s of Against Offences of view
and of Person
a Ordinance 12 the the
found but also law, the
duty that of court a in an
independent
country
was to
I
the English defined by West on courts,
Wooding ladies. the saith
unclear as whether to the of principle unjust
enrichment
existed
English
in
as the
English imposing saw common both judge
law,
and statute
as that
J,
and Jennnot cases. Crane example, for noted that the English
courts
were
the lies decision with
was reasoning, its in
which
an based English
on case
the attitude of
the judges was clearly different to
that
exhibited
in
Johnson
the
J
a In Johnson Wooding R, 28 v of restrictive for difficulty view
trial
The murder.
Although court the decide did that the remedy th was
law of part
in
Guyana,
This view favour found always has Caribbean
with not
the Consider judges.
of a from goods recreation dub even after
club the
was
closed
down.
necessary
deviate moulding to the from,
suit common
societies. law to our
Money was being deducted from the wages employees of
to
support payment
as merely viewed should a
foundation be
upon where to build, which and
whether was the remedy of enrichment unjust of was
part the law
Guyana. of
jurisprudence
needs.
own
common reception Rather, our reflect to the
law of
this restrictive the view of of doctrine reception. The
relevant issue
case
in this
imposed
Caribbean formulation restrict us, upon
in this
a of our us not should
The court in case the Persaud of v Versailles 31 Plantation
did not
agree
with
English have although Ideally, received we has law, been It rather or
legislation.
following from abstracts by illustrated the
the cases.
statute of general application which had not been
abrogated
by local
the
law common of
any transplanted is particular was
territory, to
ably
Imperial Parliament in in force England on 1848 1 March and
that a
was
it
doctrine inherent difficulty The the
reception, of
in much in how deciding
Tobago legislation. The court found that the a was Gaming statute Act of the
constitution, the This, in see we this later shall as therefore, book. was a reception law of clause the embodied Trinidad In and
in
is precedent judicial as England. interpretation This as true
the for is of for it
been enacted and to
been in in have force Trinidad.
Rather, common principles of to are
rigid as these tied (hey law declared the
that Parliament
in
force were In England on date shall that deemed to have be
not flexibility courts
to the adept to
needs. the possess law do local common
equity of and doctrines of statutes
General
Application
of
Imperial
the
common
to Taken principles. law
conclusion, logical
its judges Caribbean
and
March 1848 end any to eoactment passed the that after
date
law
common
courts English
to judges and which find and declare the authority have
these
Subject the to provisions any of enactment operation in the on first of
day
difficulty
jurisprudence. Caribbean Intellectual is for
presumes It
only that it 1962 provides that
the While be may theory
legal a
does
present Lt fiction,
certain a
the Act apply. should Section 12 of the and Trinidad Tobago Judicature Act of
Commonwealth jurisdictions received. Caribbean Gaming of the Act applied IlK to Trinidad and Tobago. The court held that
containing
principles. immutable the is This legal law common which Consider, further, Jemmot v Phang. 0 Here the issue was whether of sIB the
Commonwealth
and Caribbean Law Systems Legal
The Reception English of its and Law Significance Caribbean to Jurisdictions DECISION
ISOLATION:
COMMERCE
TO
TRADE
THE
OR
Mat
#40703398
John
AMERICAN
A
INTERNATIONAL
TiNsAcTIoNs:
William
Michael
John
H.
PROBLEM-ORIENTED
The
Peter
Stetson
and
Ralph
COURSEBOOK
Wallace
A
BUSINESS
George
Tenth
Mary
Thomson
University
University
A.
University
Professor
Professor
WEST®
Wallace
CASEBOOK
L.
Kirkpatrick
Lou
I..
Washington
Spanogle,
H.
Reuters
By
of
Fitzgerald
Dasburg
Edition
of
of
of
San
College
Folsom
Florida
Law
Law
business
Professor
Diego
University
Professor
Gordon
of
SERIES®
Law
Jr.
of
of
Law
Law ‘36
-
beyond
were
anyone
food,
her
was
owned
different
climate
society’s Westia,
themselves.
society, Tropica,
island
had
natural
of
island
its
assist But
basis
and
remember,
people
reasonably
to
the
ocean
maximum
emerge
To
needed
South
the
Long
were
as
accumulated
housing
of
population
those
collectively
where
Egalia.
nation
the
else.
little
quite
and
resources,
tended
no
society
far
each
distribution
borders.
than
paid
after
east
of
to there
But
good
in
CoMMERcE
amount
person
more
unable
But
traveled
and
people
industrious
capacity.
individual’s
Westia
live,
stretching
in
for
different
the
made
of
there
to
the
was
natural
had
medical
than
by
more
considerable
either
Westia,
their
and
creation
provide
to
in
of
worked
DECISION
the
as
governing
of
were
involved
everyone
been
some
work.
natural in
The
each
Tropica
Westians than
efforts.
resources
locations
group.
Westia
across
resources.
and
Westia.
care,
efforts.
on
far
an
mass
of
CnAITER
for
several
hard
was
Westia. No
the
independent.
the
more
with
allocation
OR
with resources
contribute
wealth,
elite
Each
Some
those
had
one
the
or
expected
and of
third
Families,
to
Some
world,
on
and
2
small
the
poor
no
Tropica.
hundred
The
ISOLATION:
The in
survive.
middle
seemed
TO
person
ever
Tropicians;
became
the
who
major
one
Westia
population
ownership
but
of
of
than
three
were
climate
climate
scale
some
to
T1]E
planet.
ventured
the
rather
having
the
For
were
1
Tropica
was
of
to
produce
There
land
In
miles
in
quite
similar
identifiable
agriculture.
had
people
society’s
the
live
of
as
Westia.
was
Egalia,
none
entitled
was
unable
than
mass,
what
existed
In
very
of
ever
long
planet.
wealthy,
was
lay
quite
was
beyond
extremely
according
property
Westia
temperate
worked
to
had
THE
the
much
they
ventured
Tropica,
As
resources
much
was
as
everything
Westia,
to
to
mainly
well.
with
societies
ever
A
leaders
in
It
anyone
receive
Egalia. others
few
provide
produced
the
more
there
the
for
had
disease
was
ventured adequate
hot.
to
Egalians
but
and
persons
a
beyond
case
a
island.
others,
his
on
of
began
many
what
than
Most
could
large
poor.
very
poor
were
was
The
the
the
for
the
the
or
of in to CiI.1 Tm DECISION TO TnE 3
As the people of Westia became more affluent, with a significant and comfortable middle class, they had time to devote to activities other than providing for necessities. Culture and thought occupied the time of a number of Westians. New ideas of exploration caused small delegations to be sent across the oceans in search of what lay beyond. When a group of Westians arrived in Tropica, they were surprised to discover a population living in much less affluence than in Westia. Tropicians were very interested in the better quality garments and farm instruments possessed by the Westians. They asked if they might obtain some of them. It took a Tropician five days to make a garment, but the same garment of better quality could be made in Westia on something Westians called looms in only a half day. At first the Westians offered to give the Tropicians some garments; both peoples were quite friendly towards each other. The Tropicians accepted several, but said they would like to be able to obtain many more for their people. The Westians had to gather together and think what this meant. Westia would have to increase its production of garments to satisfy the demand of Tropica. If they did that they would have to stop producing something else. So they talked to the Tropicians. The Tropicians said that although the tools of the Wes tians were very useful in design and quality, the metal was very soft and they discovered that Westian tools did not last long. The Westians agreed that was a problem with their tools. The Tropicians showed the Westians some of the minerals found in many places on their island in great abundance. One mineral was very hard and after some experimentation the Westians learned that they could add it to their metal and make very strong tools. So the Westians had found something to receive from Tropica in exchange for their garments. They would take so many kilos of the Tropician mineral for each garment. And so the nations began to trade. Westia received something it did not have and Tropica received something it had not been able to produce as well as Westia. Labor costs of production might have equalized in the two societies, but people of Westia were reluctant to move to Tropica, and Tropicians generally felt the same about moving to Westia. Furthermore, each nation had placed limits on immigration. This had a tendency to preserve labor differentials in the production of goods. Later the two societies discovered that Tropica made a wonderful wine, and they did it with much less labor than the wine produced in Westia. It took a Westian ten days to produce a barrel, while a Tropician could do the same in two days. It seemed appropriate for Westia to trade some of its garments for Tropician wine. Westia had a “comparative advantage” in producing garments, Tropica in producing wine. And so they traded more. And they began to discover that Westia produced some other items more efficiently than Tropica, while the latter produced nearly as many goods more efficiently than Westia. One of the items which Westia produced more efficiently was dishes. The firing kilns were vei’y advanced in Westia. There was also a dish 4
industry
Tropica dish the
your make dish
leaders dish no pointed
in were industry. would would would finer
many some
allow thinking needed began that
quotas estimated have ports revenue
retaliate than pursue
trade really
nation.
goods
worth garments. currency.
wished support beyond But
agreed same
Westia.
restrictions. two
producers.
industry.”
producers
dishes
when When
in better
necessary
what Westia
would
the with
to
take
thousand
mature, be when
be degree of arguing countries producers
one out
for
revenue quality in and
to free
help
to what Westians
was
more
its
Westia.
against
governing
free, imported. Westian
that
Tropica.
At news
use
ten
to
But goods would the that
Westian
goods, dishes sell.
be
placed
currency limitations was
trade.
its
come
first needed
in
it So
years The gold,
the said
but and
about than
They
quota,
for for
as allowed
per the of trade. by
traded,
For needed,
each buying
would
were They the
these
they
asked
the
and officials the same quotas
Westian It
so that
into survival be
placing quota It
which a that Westians
elites When
dollah. year. the
and
Tropician referred example, was
because the
by
nation.
tariff
years
seemed
many But but
societies first
Tm
able soon
buy said
new
go the in, were officials our
number Tropicians, from Tropica
suggested
the
buying if
owned reached idea,
of
Some was
allocations.
it out responded Westians
that
but traded dish They them a DEcISION
the Tropician
to Tropica
country would
passed of of
tariffs, Tropica
Tropica seemed
minerals
believed would Tropica. tax
It
to the
a inevitable,
of
compete if
leaders Westia
Tropica
four agreed
two
that
using producers
was very would when would
critics by
its
this business. also
Westia
with
on
Westia,
nation between
that be
they relatives
the
societies but
own not
because
imported
to
very pellos pointed
access they
Central imported scarce TO
by
agreed dish
as able
Westia
it to
So
a
that said if
enter and
create be
or
in until
leaders
decided with
allow thought
it TinE
had
tariff saying
free they accumulated
currency be
however, was various hard
buying
Tropica
would
Tropica were producers
barrels
to
They did
to
the
on to each it
commodity
in
by
we of
that
that should begun
out Westia.
Bank
debated compete
Westia,
various trade.
Tropician must did the
trying dishes
would
not. dishes.
to two the each
of some
paying that
not
that
must
also the
Tropician
establish
more
that time Westian
Tropica
each
find
not
finer
when
discarded
of suggested
would best
that
areas, happy.
to
Its
trade
protect
unlike
infant
But
would Westian
of
it said
Tropica
to “We raise regulations whether
protect
from
wine
have with
a
exchange no They
the their in
goods
mined government
leaders the
could
dishes.
interests boats
build
surplus trade
the
the
the Westian
that
buy suggested they all
dish
tariff will
a
Nor
pello
dish
learn
leaders.
dishes, revenue.
the
Westia, dollahs?
for
that
also dishes
quota
other from
the
goods
that
Tropicians ground, our
to raise
thought dish.
to
them it
now
roads not
would
producers
exchanged
But were wished
Westian
industry
as
goods about would so
ought
how of be
learned
idea special to infant
of
PT.
Westia dishes’
would
allow
boats
would
nation
that would of with some The were
after
many They
pellos
that sold
back. the
limit their
They the
The
and
to
not
and
1 so
the for
of it
to
be to
-33 CH.1 Tm DEcIsIoN TO T1DE 5
‘he had long been highly prized by both nations. This currency arrangement ;he worked for a number of years, but Tropica was concerned that its gold iat reserves were diminishing. Trade was favoring Westia and it seemed that to whenever there was some accounting to be done, it was an exchange of an surplus pellos in Westia for Tropician gold reserves. Tropica had what ow they called an unfavorable trade balance. Lflt One Friday afternoon the Tropician government announced that they ;he devaluing their currency, that they would now give two pellos for ith were each dollah. Westia and its producers did not like this. Westian officials tns said it was a “beggar thy neighbor” policy, that it attempted to correct a old domestic problem by causing harm to one’s neighbor. Immediately goods ats Tropica became more attractive to buyers in Westia, and some ial from goods from Westia were now too expensive for Tropica buyers to consider. But ry over time, Westia became more efficient and the imbalance in its favor it occurred once again. This time Tropica did not devalue. It was nearly out aes of gold. It decided that it would no longer exchange gold at a fixed rate for ere its own pellos. And it would not support the pello. It would allow the aat currency to float, and if there was no confidence in the pello, it would drop so in value compared to the dollah. That is what began to happen. The pello Lild had become a “soft” currency. The dollah was “hard” ter me Sellers in Westia now wanted only Westian currency for their goods. ied Tropician pellos were not worth anything in Westia. Westian workers ers making goods to export to Tropica would not accept pellos. They could no of longer take the pellos to the Westian bank and be assured of receiving iey dollahs in exchange. And of course they had to buy their food and other ild items with dollahs. So when a Westian seller agreed to sell to a Tropica ‘he buyer, the buyer was required to obtain dollahs. Dollahs were available Lnd from the Central Bank of Tropica, but often the supply was low. Some tia times the Tropician buyer received dollahs for selling goods to Westia. It may have seemed strange to some observers, but Tropicians were • to more to willing to accept Westian dollahs for the sale of Tropician goods, than aot were Westian sellers wiffing to accept Tropician pellos for the sale of nit Westian products. .eir After a couple of years the Bank of Westia discovered that it had many pellos which it had received from its producers, who had exchanged ed the pellos for dollahs. One day the Central Bank of Tropica said it did not my have any dollahs to give to the Bank of Westia in exchange for the pellos for the latter bank had accumulated. There had never been such a problem be before. So the government of Westia began to loan dollahs to the govern ild ment of Tropica. In time the amount of dollahs owed by Tropica to Westia Ion became very high, and Westians were concerned that they might never be los paid. Some Tropician politicians suggested that the nation should default, ck. but most believed that would be very harmful to the country and that iey extensions should be sought for paying the debt. Westia agreed, but Ihe demanded that Tropica take certain steps to diminish the prospects that nd the same problem would arise in the future. 6 produced producers exchange transferred producers to
investment. entity, but passed
the when more sure ago two. from by Their still used industries, of caused tested started production Labels designated seemed different they the or Egalia. were trading areas in negotiated not and in
manufacture
comparative
Westian
Westia,
Buy
Westia
While quality
The
a
entire Tropician
an
two
But
advanced
Tropician
that
And
Westia.
tariffs
were
owned
rapidly,
the
east garment
price
but
many
locally;
had
agricultural
It
out
Tropica them
to
with
there
societies. Tropicians
of degrees.
could
this
societies was this actually in
early of reduce at
and companies of
and through difficult
as the
owned of
more
to
had goods,
goods.
and Sometimes
by
Tropica,
Westian Westia.
other Westia
life
each
certain should
had considerable a
be and officials
very was
was
traders
from
only
be advantage knowledge
the
considerable
Tropica,
various
strange
rules
deteriorated trade
quotas,
in
efficient.
in
trade.
firms.
established
produced
Westia ultimately
One began
cultural, other.
that times
particularly
government, The community
much a Tropica
to
the
were
certain Westia
was
To
be
central products
calling companies
on
which
began
were
between
obtain.
cooperative products,
society the Tm
their the importing
allowed. Often
and
they governments
it
the
now
to
All
was
in for
also
of
Tropica
jointly
harm
educational had
not
trade, Westian
cost
more
disparity
small DECISION resources.
this
the how
to produced society more
other.
of compared
Westia
amazement
national
their
a were
working.
containers
Both on
to with becoming
true
talk
the manufacturing
improved, Westia
sure
not had
only
They
time
a
them.
what
to
the
because owned
cheaply
was
society’s had
ports recently
transfer
own
project
told Permits
means
much
to or by
nations manufacture
learned of bought
that
producer
one one
of
that TO
were security.
of
several limited
State those now
And
private
the they
to and
It They
and
Westian
that
the
income
could
they
had TRADE
concerned
the
hand,
barrel
each did production
in
the in
the
of
Westia was
language
natural
they
scientific very
it of also
were not
referred
Tropica entity Trading had Westia that
Tropica.
goods.
thought
all idea have to production
discovered
price had
Egalians
free
technology.
individuals. owned
nation,
industries
be
Both
to society
and
only
meet
concerned
owned found of which
great.
trade
become
some
some required
of
used
much and a trade with explore
wine,
resources
for it
Tropicians
that
adopting temperate
trading and
cooperation goods was
to Organization of nations
that
Westian the certain
had
while
other would Only of
Tropica of
about
plants
was natural finished
were
some as
for
to
a
and gold.
goods but
protectionist
as
the
limited its
increased entire of
Later
When third
free
to
the
foreign that
from
protect
the only
two
the
Tropica on
products
ways
Westia
occasionally
regulations.
Tropicians.
distribution import, Buy now
products
goods
of
subsidizing have
in
But
producers
uncharted
climate
trade
resources
had
were
had
although
the
society—
products
Westian
Tropica,
Tropica.
entry
between
Westian Tropica
decades Tropica decades
modest
to
Westia
it
(STO). direct PT.
which
infant
it
to
basis
made to
even
been
cost
was the
had
had
not
had
but
to
be
be
as
it
in
of 1
). a a - Y S
e a d e t S 1
d a a g I I S t 1
e
employment
the Westian
locally,
Sometimes
once
which
currency industrial
tion”
feed.
cal when
remained
growth
Tropica,
other
could gaining
originally wary
much Tropica
Egalia, time
disadvantageous
They
distribution equity tured trade
of the
officials some societies.
resources determined little.
agricultural worked
shortages The decided Cii.
Everything
the
Westians.
STO
agricultural
Through
If market—forces
1
Tropica
of
ago,
were Egalian
Ultimately
and
produce
they
concerned of
country.
in
they
goods,
certain
The
in
but rates
this
where
advantages
for
producers began
thought
how
where
those
of
officials
Egalia
investments
important
been
When
of
but
production,
reduced
of
also
developed
Westian
formerly
Tropica
the
government
Westia
new
was nation.
seemed
of
certain
to
than
realized
many
the
the
kupecks,
such
items
The
the
enough
to
it
Egalia
some
agrarian
land
items.
benefit
not
be
in
the
privately
effects
society. owned
with
production.
was
nation
said
Tropica
trade
Westia
years
disliked Egalian
the
boats
only
trade
an
they
in
as
willing
products,
were
reform
made
to
of
to
capital
price
Tropicians
imported.
that
insisted
more
in
they
owned
the
But
and
their
them.
for
but
supply
need pottery
of
industrial
be
of
with
by
economies,
the
Tm
Egalia,
to provided
apparent
possessed
and
to
not
for
the
that
the
it
the followed concept
was
two
the
the centrally
Egalia
Egaiia
moved officials
were
to
tended
that
efficient
produce,
trading
would
for
difficult
three
Egalia,
It
on DECISION
products
Ega]ia,
by
while
But
that
group,
allow and
others’
profits
this
state
loss
families,
This
discussed,
always
or
making
where
the
Tropica
sorry
end.
the
said
nation,
did
for
first
benefit demand—played
the
to
of
Tropica
tools.
was
to
of beginning
societies
insisted
enter others
Westian
a
with
relationships,
Egalian
but
became
planned
forms
and
not
as
workers
reduce
for
state
from trade
their
It
import
other want
pattern
its but
all
seemed
all it
TO
barter,
to
well
the
one
it
was
to
the
there
foreign.
the
desired.
currency
But
Tropica
of
Westia the
TRADE
were
they
produce
there
and
was
the
ownership
export
of
activities.
use
also
on
products
societies
to
five
the
the
developed
known
or
family
as
individual.
exception
not
in
to
these
in
farming.
to
the
needs
were which
sales
of
trade
calling
quite it
Tropician
over-produced. how
saw
some
produce means
development
was
year
Egalia.
capital
had
each
dominate
said
satisfied
Westian
and
market
encouraging
diverted
to
could
idea
goods little
items.
could
thus
as
many
continued
to
take
no
they
in limited.
with
purchase
The
of
produce
of
in
higher
plant. it
they
in
“import
of
different
of
When
Tropica
reason
Tropica.
Often
The
to
its
not
of
role.
other
the
Egalia,
more
“countertrade”.
minimizing
within persons
goods
production
one
begin
nations
of
did
pairs
Of
with
and the
the
invest
much
owning
would
citizens
be
these
scarce
government
of Westia
Westia
Cost
province
a
course
population
one
there
items
Egalia
mouths
the
policies
plan,
to
two
to
taken
Tropician
extensive
manufac
very
substitu
economi
being
was
to
of
and
ways
Tropica
Tropica
benefit
had
to
discuss
locally
items.
of
family
meant
accept
shoes.
items
make
other
hard
then
land
were
only
long
own
who
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and eign nations Westia
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and even
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nations
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nations.
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loyalty
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port
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facilities,
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difficulties
state
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that
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and Westian
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again.
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security
to
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to
ensued.
often
group.
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progressing
parts
smaller
consider
companies,
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said
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power
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concern
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realized seize
equity.
members
nationalizing,
of
culture sat
TO
investment
and
alliances as
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was
and
area
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in adequate
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could
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of Egalian
enough.
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TIDE
of
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paid.
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of
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measures to imposing nations
large investments was concern
concerned viewed Tropician
ized.” nation’s concern Westian large upon determined that
had they wondered and alliance like
Westian own tion of organization ishing newer “rounds”
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retained
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when
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quotas, organization
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participants
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loss
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created
as
nations)
restrictions
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learn
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to
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privatization
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of
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principles.
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quickly
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began
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trade
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of how
economy
citizens
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the
damaging
a
did
nation, multilateral heritage,
in
well
of
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as Egalia. small
countervailing it.
closer
additionally
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projects nation
used
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profit
assuming to
join
centrally
national by more
an on
well
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to industries. as
always
TIlE
that
developed
nations. concern
use
considerable
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of
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of fraction
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and
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had
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by
to
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a
Westia But
the
such
making, as
a
state like to
variety in these
DECISION
affects
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to
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size
adopted often
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significant the
one
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culture.
market global Oriente
develop
planned
poor
trading the
addressed solely
Furthermore,
national
as property,
very
of
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trade
investments,
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into duty tariffs
economic
trade of
markets. (formed
of
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its
were and
success
organizations
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state TO
not free non-tariff
major
more nations.
as meetings
natural characteristics barriers,
Westian and the
made the
music
actions. little
in
wages
Westian government.
TiDE Egalian
of
and
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trade
trade language surprised
a
have
and
allowing
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trade
other
after
bureaucracies,
non-tariff
Tropician
world’s
some
recipient
new
open
philosophies
nations.
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in
role with
a
quotas,
a
and
in
Tropician
they new
Nations
resources.
reducing the
bold
especially
and
agreement, Westian
barriers
nations
and
a
society.
of
trade former
nations. most
foreign trade and
goods, in
areas
the
war
literature.
inefficient
which
was support
to
world
largest
the
foreign
were
and began
The
world
and
alliances, trade
skilled
Tropician
With
by rest
discover,
Tropician
of
principally
barrier,
policies,
of
being
previously
were
to tariffs nations
alliance
members
nations This
quite of
sometimes
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investments former
repealing But
trade such
An both
allowing
trying
were
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of
to
restrict
barriers.
of
trade, much
producer
the
investment,
the
labor
rest
the
businesses
bring
Additional
all
increasing
viewed
new
some
“Westian
dramatic
and domestic
and
alliances
organiza however,
and
they
Westian founded
nations
thought alliance
nations
largest
foreign
nations did
to world,
of
PT.
of
among
there
politi
force
called their trade
trade
some laws
very
their
abol
very
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join was
the
The still
not
of
as
in
1
3 CH.l Tm DECISION TO T1DE 11
cally impossible to consider, including agriculture, services, investment and intellectual property. Where these unilateral rules were not thought sufficient to generate sufficient free trade, smaller groups of nations formed free trade areas, generally based on geographic considerations. Trade in these areas was not always absolutely free, but the purpose of the alignments was to increase trade and move more towards the characteristics which had always distinguished Westia, and away from the collective characteristics of Egalia, or the restrictive characteristics of Tropica. A few of these mostly regional trade associations agreed to considerably freer trade than was true of the much larger world trade organization. The people of Westia and some of the Westian alliance nations seemed to have very inventive characters. They developed many products which were unlike any others. The inventors were given protection by Westian laws, so they might profit from their ideas. These laws were grouped together and called intellectual property laws, and protected a great range of creativity. But many of the Tropician and Eastian alliance nations were concerned that the Westian nations refused to allow access to some needed goods, such as pharmaceuticals, without very high and unfair payments. Tropician and Eastian alliance nations often copied the ideas from the Westians, without paying any compensation. Although the recently formed world trade organization had tried to deal with this issue, there remained many abuses. It was a continuing issue between many of the nations of the world. The changes in the world seemed to be bringing many people, regardless of their alliance affiliation, closer in thinking about trade. The centuries before had seen isolation caused by lack of communication among societies change to trade which increased as the three different societies began to think more alike. Nations increasingly felt interdepen dent, although there remained many forms of national restrictions on trade and investment. It seemed fair to say that trade had become the norm. Not free trade without restrictions, but rather a complex trade matrix which was often quite difficult to understand. There were those who sought to try to understand and to advise on matters of international trade. And they were called international business lawyers. They were not always well liked, and they sometimes seemed to function without ade quate rules of conduct. Much more admired were those lawyers who remained in the academy—the professors at the nations’ law schools.a These law schools taught courses in international business transac tions.
QuEsTIoNs AND CoMivnwrs 1. Jeffrey Garten, Under—Secretary of Commerce for International Trade in the first Clinton Administration, commented on the impact of
a. If any reader has not yet realized the fictional character of this chapter, this sentence will assuredly establish that fact. H
culture
Medici See always 12
warnings, Suggesting
worries GaLrten abroad
zation, run. “rallying but tion. more culture culture? engage
(which
Business
bought of
Rockefeller ism” Uruguay the
treaty Brussels In
legislation remain ensure
American’s
and zation,
nationalism, decisions assault,
This
this
How
cultural or
as
August, by
spread
and
when
activities
Americans
suggests in
The may abroad.
that
tradition. Disney
Garten’s point” trade
is
exporting
he spread
on time
international
do
their
countries
in Columbia
that that
insecurities
building.
Week, and
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U.S. Round
investment
nations
the
necessary not you
the
requiring invasion.
their
Canada
Center.
barriers, self-interest.
images a
addressing
for
In
the of and cultural
Washington
the
of
hands
more
protection
view
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should
should
comments
U.S.
Only the
Nov.
nations
developing
U.S.
commented:
of
culture,
need
anti-Americanism.
United
United wish
Pictures
the
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to Recall
entertainment
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business.
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same
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Amid how
chapter as
1998,
States
of
States
a reaction
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DECISION whether
citizens.
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U.S. nations and
these
magnified,
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a
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years protection the
Eisner, derailed
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national
Mitsubishi
difficulty
sometimes
anxieties
modern
might respecting negotiations
ought
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in
pg.
need
disorientation
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overwhelmed 19
the percentage
companies.
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TO
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other
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cultures,
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America. empathizing
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France
American
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Corp.
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1 TRADEAND ECONOMICGLOSSARYOF TERMS
Balance of Payments. A tabulation of a county’s credit and debit transactions with other countries and international institutions. These transactions are divided into two broad groups: Current Account and Capital Account. The Current Account includes exports and imports of goods, services (including investment income), and unilateral transfers. The Capital Account includes financial flows related to international direct investment, investment in government and private securities, international bank transactions, and changes in official gold holdings and foreign exchange reserves
Balance of Trade. A component of the balance of payments, or the surplus or deficit that results from comparing a country’s expenditures on merchandise imports and receipts derived from its merchandise exports.
Barter. The direct exchange of goods for other goods, without the use of money as a medium of exchange and without the involvement of a third party.
Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy. A course of action through which a country tries to reduce unemployment and increase domestic output by raising tariffs and instituting non-tarriff barriers that imede imports, or by accomplishing the same objective through competetive decalitation. Countries that pursued such policies in the early 1930’s found that other countries retaliated by raising their own barriers against imports, which, by reducing export markets, tended to worsen the economic difficulties that precipitated the initial protectionist action. The Smoot-Hawley Tarriff Act of 1930 is often cited as a conspicuous example of this approach.
Bilateral Trade Agreement. A formal or informal agreement involving commerce between two countries. Such agreements sometimes list the quantities of specific goods that may be exchanged between participating countries within a given period.
Comparitive Advantage. A central concept in international trade theory which holds that a country or a region should specialize in the production and export of those goods and services that it can produce relatively more efficietly that other goods and services, and import those goods and services in which it has a comparative disadvantage. This theory was first propounded by David Ricardo in 1817 as a basis for increasing the economic welfare of a popultaion through international trade. The comparative advantage theory normally favors specialized production in a country based on intensive itilization of those factors of production in which the country is relattively well endowed (such as raw materials, fertile land or skilled labor), and perhaps also the accumulation of physical capital and the pace of research.
Countertrade. A reciprocal trading arrangement. Countertrade transactions include:
A) Counterpurchase obligates the foreign supplier to purchase from the byer goods and services unrelated to the goods and servise sold, usually with a one-to five-year period. B) Reverse countertrade contracts require the importer (a U.S. buyer of machine tools from Eastern Europe, for example) to export goods equicalent in value to a specified percentage of the value of the imported goods—an obligation that can be sold to an exporter in a thrid country; C) Buyback arrangements onligate the foreign supplier of plant; machinery or technology to buy from the importer a portion of the reultant production during a 5-25 year period. D) Clearing agreements between two countires that agree to purchase specific amounts of each other’s products over a specified period of time, using a designated “clearing currency” in the transactions; E) “Switch” arrangements that permit the sale of unpaid balances in a clearing account to be sold to a third party, usually at a discount, that may be used for produ8cing goods in the country holding the balance; F) Swap schemes through which products from different locations are traded to save transportaion costs (e.g., Soviet oil may be “swapped” for oil from a Latin American producer, so the Soviet oil is shipped to a country in South Asia, while the Latin American oil is shipped to Cuba); G) Barter arrangements through which two parties directly exchange good deemed to be of approximately equilavent value without any flow of money taking place.
Countervailing Duties. Special duties imposed on imports to offset the benefits of subsidies to producers or exporters in the exporting country. GATTArticle VIpermits the use of such duties. The Executive Branch of the U.S. Government has been legally empowered since the 1890s to impose countervailing duties in amounts equal to any “bounties” or “grants” reflected in products imported into the United States. Under U.S. law and the Tokyo Round Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Duties, a wide range of practices are recognized as constituting subsidies that ay be offset through the imposition of countervailing duties. The Trade Agreements Act of 1979, through amendments to the Tariff Act of 1930, established rigorous procedures and deadlines for determining the existence of subsidies in response to petitions filed by interested parties such as domestic producers of competitive products and their workers. In all cases involving subsidized products from countries recognized by the United States as signatories to the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Duties, or countries which have assumed obligations substantially equivalent to those under the Agreement. U.S. law requires that countervailing duties may be imposed only after the U.S. International Trade Commission has determined that the imports are causing or threatening to cause material injury to an industry in the United States.
Devaluation. The lowering of the value of a national currency in terms of the currency of another nation. Devaluation tends to reduce domestic demand for imports in a country by raising their prices in terms of the devalued currency and to raise foreign demand for the country’s exports by reducing their prices in terms of foreign currencies. Devaluation can therefore help to correct a balance of payments deficit and sometimes provide a short-term basis for economic adjustment of a national economy.
Developed Countries. A tern used to distinguish the more industrialized nations—including all OECD member counties as well as the Soviet Union and most of the socialist counties of Eastern Europe—from “developing” —orless developed—countries. The developed countries are sometimes collectively designated as the “North,” because most of them are in the Northern Hemisphere. IL4
Developing Countries (LCD5). A broad range of countries that generally lack a high degree of industrialization, infrastructure and other capital investment, sophisticated technology, widespread literacy, and advanced living standards among their populations as a whole, The developing countries are sometimes collectively designated as the “South, “because a large number of them are in the Southern Hemisphere. Allof the countries of Africa (except South Africa), Asia and Oceania (except Australia, Japa and New Zealand), Latin America, and the Middle East are generally considered “developing countries, “ as are a few European countries (Cyprus, Malta, Turkey and Yugoslavia, for example). Some experts differentiate four sub-categories of developing countries as having different economic needs and interests: 1) A few relatively wealthy OPECcountries—sometimes referred to as oil exporting developing counties—share a particular interest in a financially sound international economy and open capital markets; 2) Newly Industrializing Countries (NICs)have a growing stake in an open international trading system; 3) A number of middle income countries—principally commodity exporters—have shown a particular interest in commodity stabilization schemes; and 4) More than 30 very poor countries (“least developed countries”) are predominantly agricultural, have sharply limited development prospects during the near future, and tend to be heavily dependent on official development assistance.
Exchange Rate. The price (or rate) at which one currency is exchanged for another currency, for gold, or for Special Drawing Rights (SDRs).
Free Trade. A theoretical concept that assumes international trade unhampered by government measures such as tarriffs or non-tarrif barriers. The objective of trade liberalization is to achieve “ifreer trade” rather than “free trade, “it being gfenerally recognized among trade policy officials that some restrictions on trade are likely to remain in effect for the foreseeable future.
International Monetary Fund (IMF). An international financial institution proposed at the 1944 Bretton Woods Conference and established in 1946 that seeks to stabilize the international monetary system as a sound basis for the orderly expansion of international trade. Specifically, among other things, the Fund monitors exchange rate policies of member countries, lends them foreign exchange resources to support their adjustment policies when they experience balance of payments difficulties, and provides them financial assistance through a special “compensatory financing facility” when they experience temporary shortfalls in commodity export earnings.
Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Some 36 of the world’s poorest countries, considered by the United Nations to be the least developed of the less developed countries. Most of them are small in terms of area and population, and some are land-locked or small island countries. They are generally characterized by low per capita incomes, literacy levels, and medical standards; subsistence agriculture; and a lack of exploitable minerals and competitive industries. Many suffer from aridity, floods, hurricanes, and excessive animal and plant pests, and most are situated in the zone 10 to 30 degrees north latitude. These countries have little prospect of rapid economic development in the foreseeable future and are likely to remain heavily dependent upon official development assistance for many years. Most are in Africa, but a few, such as Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Laos, and Nepal, are in Asia. Haiti is the only country in the Western Hemisphere classified by the United Nations as “least developed.” See developing countries.
Most-Favored-Nation Treatment (MFN). The policy of non-discrimination in trade policy that provides to all trading partners the same customs and tariff treatment given to the so-called “Most-Favored- Nation.” This fundamental principle was a feature of U.S. trade policy as early as 1778. Since 1923 the United States has incorporated an “unconditional” Most-Favored-Nation clause in its trade agreements, binding the contracting governments to confer upon each other all the most favorable trade concessions that either may grant to any other country subsequent to the signing of the agreement. The United States now applies this provision to its trade with all of its trading partners except for those specifically excluded bylaw. The MEN principle has also provided the foundation of the world trading system since the end of World War II. AllContracting Parties to GATTapply MENtreatment to one another under
Article I of GATT.
Multilateral Agreement. An international compact involving three or more parties. For example, GATT has been since its establishment in 1947, seeking to promote trade liberalization through multilateral negotiations.
Non-Market Economy. A national economy or a country in which the government seeks to determine economic activity largely through a mechanism of central planning, as in the Soviet Union, in contrast to a market economy that depends heavily upon market forces to allocate productive resources. In a “non- market” economy, production targets, prices, costs, investment allocation, raw material, labor, international trade, and most other economic aggregates are manipulated within a trade, and most other economic affrefates are manipulated within a national economic plan drawn up by a central planning aurthoriey, and hence the public sector makes the mahor decisions affecting demand and supply within the national economy.
Protectionism. The deliberate use or encouragement of restrictions on imports to enable relatively inefficient domestic producers to compete successfully with foreign producers.
Retaliation. Action taken by a country so restrain its imports from a country that has increased a tariff or imposed other measures that adversely affect its exports in a manner inconsistent with GATT. The GATT,in certain circumstances, permits such reprisal, although this has very rarely been practiced. The value of trade affected by such retaliatory measures should, in theory, approximately equal the valie affected by the initial import restriction.
Subsidy. An economic benefit granted by a government to producers of goods, often to strengthen their competitive position. The subsidy may be direct (a cash grant) or indirect (low-interest export credits guaranteed by a government agency, for example).
Tariff. A duty (or tax) levied upon goods transported from one customs area to another. Tariffs raise the prices of imported goods, thus making them less competitive within the market of the importing country. After seven “Rounds” of GATTtrade negotiations that focused heavily on tariff reductions, tariffs are less important measures of protection than they used to be. The term “tariff” often refers to a comprehensive list or “schedule” of merchandise with the rate of duty to be paid to the government for importing products listed.
Terms of Trade. The volume of exports that can be traded for a given volume of imports. Changes in the terms of trade are generally measured by comparing changes in the ratio of export prices to import prices. The terms of trade are considered to have improved when a given volume of exports can be exchanged for a larger volume of imports. Some economists have discerned an overall deteriorating trend in this ratio for developing countries as a whole. Other economists maintain that whereas the terms of trade may have become less favorable for certain countries during certain periods—and even for all developing countries during some periods—the same terms of trade have improved for other developing countries in the same periods and perhaps for most developing countries during other periods.
Transfer of Technology. The movement of modern or scientific methods of production or distribution from one enterprise, institution or country to another, as through foreign investment, international trade licensing of patent rights, technical assistance or training.
World Bank. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD),commonly referred to as the World Bank, is an intergovernmental financial institution located in Washington, D.C. Its objectives are to help raise productivity and incomes and reduce poverty in developing countries. It was established in December 1945 on the basis of a plan developed at the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944. The Bank loans financial resources to credit worthy developing countries. It raises most of its funds by selling bonds in the world’s major capital markets. Its bonds have, over the years, earned a quality rating enjoyed only by sound governments and leading corporations. Projects supported by the World Bank normally receive high priority within recipient governments and are usually well planned and supervised. The World Bank earns a profit, which is plowed back into its capital. SISIND 1VIDNVNIJ 1V9019 3HI JO NOIIVDI1dLAJI ]NV S3flSSI ADNEINNflD IN3NNflD §101 FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS 3
§101 FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS
[11 Money and Currency
Throughout much of human history, trade did not involvemoney or currency but occurred through barter, the direct exchange of goods and services Even today, international barter, called cou’ntertrode, is an important segment of global commerce, particularly for countries that lack a widely acceptable currency But barter and countertrade create two serious econormc inefficiencies (1) trade is limited to partners who both want and have specific commodities, and, (2) production cannot be specializedbecause many items that cannot be acquired by trade must be made locally Money, of course, has replaced barter in the vast majority of domestic and international transactions Moneyperforms three basic functions it is a medium of exchange that may be used to acquire goodsand services from anyone who is willing to accept it, it is a store of wealth that may be accumulated for future transactions, and it serves as a unit of accountfor determining the relative value of different commoditiesand services For example, the relative values of a book and a haircut is established by the fact that the book costs twenty dollars and the haircut thirty Until relatively recently, most of the money used in mternational trade consisted of metal coins — typically gold or silver — that had a measurable intrinsic value However, growing commerce involving larger transactions at longer distances required governments and banks to substitute paper bills for heavy coins that were difficult to transport and protect Over time, national governments assumed sole responsibility for issuing money, and the paper bills and coins circulated by a country’s government constitutes its currency Initially, paper money was acceptable as medium of exchange only if people were confident that the issuer would eventually convert it to gold or silver Indeed, until 1933, the U S Treasury would exchange gold coins for paper dollars upon demand The convertibility of paper dollars into gold ended, however,with the economicreforms enacted during the Great Depression Since that tune, creditors in the U S must accept paper currency in settlement of debts (t e , it is legal tender), without the abilityto convert it to gold This is true for most of the world’s monetary systems, the value of a nation’s currency is determined by government actions and policiesrather than by reference to gold or silver The institution with the sole authority to issue a nation’s currency is referred to as its centml bank Central banks also regulate the supply of credit in a country’s economy Examples of central banks are the U S Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the German Bundesbank The European Central Bank, located in Frankfurt, acts as the central bank for the European Monetary System The central bank of the United States is the Federal Reserve System (the Fed), consisting of a seven-member Board of Governorsm Washington, D C, 12 regional Reserve Banks, and national and state chartered member depository 4 MONEY,CURRENCYANDFINANCE CH.1 institutions. The Fed controls the nation’s monetary policy by managing the supply of money, setting interest rates and supervising the banking system. It also manages international monetary affairs by establishing and maintaining the value of the U.S. dollar in global markets. The Federal Reserve usually increases or decreases the domestic money supply through openmarket operationsthat are directed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC directs the New York Federal Reserve Bank to buy or sell securities (government and other kinds) to control the amount of money and credit in the economy. When the FOMC purchases securities, new money and credit are introduced into the banking system, and economic expansion is fostered. Conversely, if the FOMC sells securities, money and credit are taken out of the system and economic activity is slowed.
[2] Foreign Exchange International transactions are often complex because they involve the currencies of more than one nation. Ordinarily, this means that the transaction will require one party to convert its nation’s currency into the national currency used by the other party. For example, if a U.S. importer of Chilean wine must pay for the goods in Pesos, the importer must use its dollars to buy Pesos from a currency dealer or bank. If payment is made in dollars, the Chilean exporter must convert the dollars to Pesos if he is to spend the money in Chile. Another country’s currency is called foreign exchange and the price of one currency in terms of another currency is called the foreign exchange rate. In the U.S., the exchange rate usually is stated as how many units of a specified foreign currency will be received for a dollar. Thus, if the wine importer must pay one dollar to receive five pesos, the foreign exchange rate is 5.00.It is important to know foreign exchange rates in order to compare the international prices of goods and services. For example, if the wine importer wants to compare the prices in dollars of Chilean and Italian products quoted in their home currencies, he must know the exchange rate for Chilean pesos and Italian Euros. Foreign exchange may consist of cash, credit and debit card funds, traveler’s checks, bank deposits, and other short-term rights to funds. For larger transactions, such as those conducted by banks and foreign exchange dealers, the transactions usually are conducted by trading bank deposits denominated in different national currencies. For example, a dealer-to-dealer sale of dollars for pesos is conducted by exchanging a dollar bank deposit for a peso bank deposit.
As discussed in § 1.O1[4j[c]below,world trade now operates under a system that does not permanently fix exchange rates between currencies, but allows most currencies to fluctuate (float) in accordance with market conditions. In a floating rate system, many factors affect the exchange rate of a nation’s currency, including the relative value of imports to exports, the amount of investment capital attracted, government monetary policies, domestic political and economic stability, and inflation and interest rates. Ultimately, the value of a nation’s currency is determined by private traders in the global foreign exchangemarket. international
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a 6 MONEY,CURRENCYANDFINANCE CH. 1 sell the currencies in two different locations. This fast, low risk profit source ensures that currency rate discrepancies do not exist for long. Although hundreds of currencies are in use around the world, most exchange transactions involve only a few key currencies — the dollar, yen. pound sterling, and euro. By far, the dollar is the most widely traded currency, accounting for nearly 90 percent of foreign exchange transactions. Much of this dollar trading arises from transactions in which it is used as a vehicle for trading other currencies. For example, parties wishing to exchange Brazilian reals for Hungarian forints are likely to sell the reals for dollars and then sell the dollars for forints. This is because an active market and ready price are available between dollars and reals and dollars and forints, while a direct market and accurate price between reals and forints would be difficultto find. Although the dollar is the most used vehicle, other currencies such as they yen and euro also are used for this purpose.
[41 Eurodollars Eurodollars are bank deposits denominated in dollars held in banks outside the U.S.’ This type of deposit originally developed in Europe but is now found in major financial centers around the world, including many Asian and Caribbean nations. The deposits, which may be owned by individuals, corporations, or governments, are called Eurodollars regardless of the country where held. Eurodollars do not represent actual U.S. dollars deposited abroad, but merely change the ownership of dollar deposits located in the U.S. For example, a U.S corporation that writes a $10 million check on its U.S. bank to deposit in a foreign bank changes ownership of the U.S. deposit from itself to the foreign bank. The foreign bank treats the transaction as if it acquired the $10 million deposit in the U.S. bank as a new asset and a new liability of $10 millionto the U.S. corporation. The U.S. bank records the transaction as a shift in its $10 millionliability from the corporation to the foreign bank. The Eurodollar market has growii rapidly because it is generally free of government regulation. Eurodollar deposits are simply obligations of the banks that accept them and are not guaranteed by any government. The lack of regulation makes Eurodollar deposits more profitable for banks than deposits subject to U.S. banking requirements (such as minimum reserves and Federal Deposit Insurance premiums) and interest rates on Eurodollars generally exceed the yields of other money markets. A major portion of global financial transactions is conducted in Eurodollars. The market is huge, consisting of many trillions of dollars deposited by large corporations, central banks, supranational institutions such as the Bank for International Settlements, and wealthy individuals.The maturity on deposits is generally short term, often less than six months. Most Eurodollar loans are
Non-U.S.residents alsomay conduct Eurodollar transactions at InternationalBankingFacili ties (IBFs) in the United States. SeeGoodfriend,Eurodollars, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (1998). 1.01 FOREIGNEXCHANGETRANSACTIONS 7 quite large, going to corporations funding foreign operations, and foreign governments funding national projects or balance-of-paymentdeficits. Eurobonds. Eurobonds are bonds denominated in a different currency than used by the country in which they are issued. Most Eurobonds are issued by international syndicates and are classified by reference to the currency of denomination. For example, a Japanese company may issue a eurodollar bond (i.e., a bond denominated in U.S. dollars) in any country other than the U.S. and a Euroyen bond (denominated in yen) in any country other than Japan. Eurobonds are attractive financing instruments for several reasons. A Eurobond allows the issue to denominate its obligationin a preferred currency. The instruments also allowan issuer to offer bonds in a country without regard to many of the regulations applicable to bonds denominated in the local currency. Generally, Eurobonds have low par values that make them highly liquid. Global Bonds. Unlike Eurobonds, Global Bonds can be issued in the same currency used by the country of issuance. For example, a global bond denominated in U.S. dollars can be issued in all countries, including the U.S. Thus, Global bonds can be issued in several markets simultaneously. However, the offering must satisir the financialregulations of the currency denomination country, sothat such offerings may be quite complex.Accordingly,Globalbonds usually are issued by very large organizations with high credit ratings.
[51 Regulating Foreign Exchange Rates National and international policies and agreements that regulate the exchange rate between different national currencies are referred to as exchange rate systems.. Although many systems have been adopted over the centuries, most fall into one of two categories: fixed or floating exchangerates systems. In a fixed exchange rate system, a nation’s currency is set at a predetermined exchange rate that does not change in response to supply and demand for the currency. Usually, a country’s central bank accomplishes this by fixing the exchange rate between its currency and a commodity(such as gold),or a specific foreign currency (such as the dollar). In afloaling exchanie rate system, the central bank allowsits currency exchange rate to be determined by supply and demand through trading in the foreign exchange market. In either system, a nation’s currency will appreciate or depreciate when its value changes relative to another currency. A currency appreciates when one of its units can buy more units of another currency and depreciates when one of its unit can buy fewer units of another currency. In a floating rate system, these value changes are determined by market forces. In a fixedrate system, a nation may deliberately devalue its currency through a downward adjustment to its official exchange rate set or “pegged” to a standard such a gold or the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a government can revalue its currency by an upward adjustment of the pegged exchange rate. Freely. convertible currencies that are not expected to depreciate greatly in the near future are referred to as hard currencies. These include key currencies such as the dollar, yen, pound and euro. A currency is convertible if it can be L:,3
8 MONEY,CURRENCYANDFINANCE CH. 1 readily exchanged for other currencies without excessive government controls or restrictions. By contrast a currency that cannot be readily exchanged is a soft currency. A number of governments impose foreign exchange controls that restrict the purchase and sale of foreign currencies by residents or the purchase and sale of domestic currency by foreigners. Advocates of fixed exchange rates (like the gold standard described below) argue that history shows that they provided a long period of exchange rate stability for most trading nations. Under this view, the fixed rate standard provides a simple, automatic mechanism for adjusting trade imbalances without government interference. Supporters believe that a fixed exchange rate system:
• prevents governments from adopting inflationary monetary policies;
• promotes international coordination of monetary policies by removing the ability to adopt independent monetary policies, and; • enhances international trade and investment by eliminating exchange- rate risk. Although a dedicated band of “gold bugs” continues to argue for restoration of the gold standard, that seems unlikely to occur anytime soon. Many disagree that the fixed rate gold standard enhanced economic well being. They argue that during the Great Depression the fixed rate system prevented governments from taking economic measures to restore beleaguered economies, decrease unemployment and enhance domestic living standards. Proponents of floating exchange rates hold that these systems:
• enhance optimal resource allocation in the world economy; • allow for policies that help internal economic conditions without disrupting the balance of payments, and;
• reduce the need for unproductive foreign exchange reserves to support the fixed rate. As described in the followingsections, most of the exchange rate systems used today combine elements of fixed and floating rates. [a] The Gold Standard From the mid-1800s through the start of the First World War in 1914,most of the world’s major trading countries used the gold standard of fixed currency exchange rates. The United States began to apply the gold standard in 1879, and formally adopted it by legislation in 1900. Under the gold standard, each participating country defined the price of gold in terms of its domestic currency, and promised to convert its paper currency to gold on demand at the central bank of the issuing country. Under this system, a U.S. exporter of goods to Chile could take payment in pesos, exchange the pesos for dollars at his U.S. bank, which would then exchange the pesos for dollars at a U.S. Federal Reserve bank. The Federal Reserve would ship the pesos to Chile in exchange for gold, thus increasing the U.S. gold supply and decreasing Chile’s gold supply. § 1.01 FOREIGN EXC}IANGE TRANSACTIONS 9
Because each unit of currency was backed by a specific amount of gold, a nation’s money supply increased or decreased directly with the gain or loss of gold.A country that spent more for imports than it earned from exports (ie., a balance of payments deficit) had to ship gold abroad to cover the deficit. The decrease in the nation’s gold stock required a reduction in its money supply, resulting in lower domestic prices and wages (deflation).A nation that exported more than it imported (ie., a positive balance of payments) received additional gold and expanded its money supply, resulting in higher domestic prices and wages (inflation). Theoretically, these wage and price increases or decreases would create shifts in trade that would automatically adjust the imbalance of payments to equilibrium and restore each country’s gold and money supply. In practice, however, these automatic adjustments frequently did not occur because countries adopted policies inconsistent with a gold standard to avoid domestic unemployment or inflation. During the First World War, many European counties stopped exchanging gold for currency and adopted floating exchange rates. After the war, the exchange rate of many European currencies fluctuated widely and steeply lost value against the U.S. dollar. Because of their weakened economies and large war debt burdens, returning to the gold standard was infeasible. The dollar became an attractive currency for international transactions because it was still convertible to gold and backed by a strong U.S. economy. Although Great Britain and other European nations reverted to the gold standard for a brief period in the 1920s,the financialstrains of the Great Depression forced them to abandon it again during the early 1930s. The Great Depression upset foreign exchange markets and devastated the international monetary system, which depended upon international cooperation. Many nations adopted unrealistic measures to restrict imports and enhance exports. Thçse included high tariffs, trade restrictions, foreign exchange controls and steep currency devaluations. A breakdown of confidencein paper currency incited a demand for gold that central banks couldnot meet, requiring many nations to abandon the gold standard. As a result, trade became increasingly difficult between the many nations that abandoned the gold standard and the few, like the U.S. that continued to use it. Indeed, some governments encouraged barter arrangements as a means of avoiding international exchange transactions altogether. The resulting chaos in exchange rates contributed to a precipitous decline in international trade, which dropped by almost 65 percent between 1929and 1932.The economicrivalries of the 1930s provided the stimulus for the economicreforms and monetary cooperation that would be implemented after the SecondWorld War.
[hi The Bretton Woods Agreement Toward the end of Second World War, the U.S. and Great Britain organized an international conference at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to plan the political and economicarrangements that would govern the post-war era. The participating nations generally agreed that chaotic international monetary conditionswere causative factors in the Great Depression that subsequently led to the war. As a remedy, the U.S. and Great Britain proposed a new global t;5
16 MONEY CURRENCY AND FINANCE CM. 1
An option that grants the right to sell a currency is a put option. A seller of a put option must buy the currency at the strike price if the option is exercised. Typically, put options are purchased by holders of a currency who seek protection against a fall in its price. The optionwill be exercised if the put price is greater than the market price of the currency. Like futures, currency options are traded on organized exchanges. These include the Philadelphia Stock Exchange and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in the U.S. and a number of exchanges abroad such as in Singapore, Amsterdam, Paris, and Brussels. Exchange-traded options are traded in contracts that are standardized for the amount of currency, exercise price, and expiration date. Each exchange operates a clearinghouse which guarantees that a contract party will not sustain a loss if the other party fails to perform its financial obligations. No margin requirement is imposed on the option buyer, who must only pay a premium for the contract. However, the optionwriter does bear a financial risk on the contract and is subject to the exchange’smargin account requirements. In addition to foreign currencies, exchange-traded option contracts are written on many of the same kinds of commoditiesand financialassets involved in the futures markets. Options are also traded over-the-counter by banks and other financial institutions. The two basic forms of options are the European style option that may only be exercised on the expiration date, and the American style option that may be exercised at any tune before or on the expiration date. Most over the counter options are European style, while most options traded on exchanges are American style. The regulatory agency responsible for a currency option depend upon the exchange on which the option is traded. Foreign currency options traded on national securities exchanges are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Foreign currency options traded on other exchanges are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The regulatory agency responsible for other types of options depends on the underlying asset. Stock options and options on securities are governed by the SEC, while commodity options are regulated by the CFTC.
§ 1.02 REGULATION OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
[1] Overview
An international financial transaction occurs when some aspect of a payment, investment, or financial contract involves people or institutions located hi different countries. This occurs when loans are sought and extended, or securities are marketed and sold, across national borders. Usually, parties engage in international financial transactions to obtain bona fide economic advantages. In some cases, however, a transaction may be purposefully structured abroad to avoid a home country’s banking and securities regulations or taxation. 18 MONEY,CURRENCYANDFINANCE CR. 1 and related financial instruments these institutions owned or insured. The distress of the U.S. financialinstitutions inevitably spread to financial markets abroad. The severe losses sustained by global financial institutions, and the consequential lack of trust in debtors, limited their abifity and willingness to make new loans. Accordingly, little credit was available to businesses for conducting their operations or to consumers for houses, cars, necessities, and luxuries. The result was a massive contraction in business and investment activity, record low consumer confidence, high unemployment, and falling stock market prices throughout the world. Companies that relied on consumer credit, such as the automobile industry, fared most poorly. [a] Causes A major cause of the economic decline was the collapse of the real estate price “bubble” that began forming in the mid-1990s. The continual increase in house prices fed expectations of future increases, even in the last years of the bubble when prices had peaked. By 2006, the inflation of housing prices far exceeded the levels of household income required to make. homes really affordable.
The rapid price inflation of residential real estate was exacerbated by a vast increase in the issuance of sub-prime mortgages to home buyers that could not qualify for regular loans. Most of these loans entailed little or no down-payment, low initial interest rates that substantially increased in later years, and high prepayment penalties that made it costly to refinance when interest rates declined. Many home buyers did not understand these onerous terms or were persuaded that ever-increasing house prices guaranteed a later sale of the house for a profit. Generally, the initial mortgage lenders did not hold these sub-prime mortgages but sold them,through the banking system, to the government- sponsored institutions created to purchase mortgages. These institutions, called Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in turn sold the mortgages to investment banks that bundled thousands of such loans into a mortgage-backed security (MBS). This process continually provided the funds mortgage lenders required to make new loans. Because ever-rising property values seemed to indicate little chance of default, rating agencies such as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s generally gave high grades to these securities — mistakenly identifying them as relatively safe investments. Thus, an MBS, or parts of one, could easily be sold to institutional or private investors as a low-risk security. Commercial and investment banks also packaged pools of sub-prime mortgages with other asset-backed securities into Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO). These financial investment products divided the pool of loans into different slices or tranches having different default risks and interest rates. The tranches with the lowest default risk were assigned the highest rating by the credit rating agencies, while tranches with more risk (and higher interest rates) received lower ratings. § 1.02 REGULATIONOF INTL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS 19
This ordering of risk and ratings made CDOs attractive to different kinds of investors with different risk tolerances. The higher rated CDO tranches were considered conservative investment choices and were included in the portfolios of many asset managers, including hedge funds, insurance companies, banks and pension funds. This vast amount of funding from institutional investors provided continuing support for new subprime mortgages, further increasing housing demand and prices. To further decrease the apparent risk to CDO and MBS holders, insurance companies and other financial institutions began issuing instruments called credit default swaps (CDS) that, for a premium, guaranteed losses from a default of a CDO or MBS. The CDS, however, soon evolved from a guarantee of an existing debt to a highly speculative investment vehicle. By purchasing a CDS on securities they did not own, speculators could profit from increases in the default rate even if they sustained no loss on the default. Although this huge speculative market generated huge profits for the CDS issuers, the potential losses from a substantial increase in the default rate were far greater than they could possibly cover. In 2008, more than $60 trillion of CDSs were outstanding. The dangers posed by mortgage backed securities were not generally apparent while housing prices were increasing. Mortgage debtors could resolve any personal financial difficulty by borrowing against their home equity or selling the house at a profit. Thus, defaults on home loans were unusual and unnecessary. The rapid and unrealistic increase in house values was fueled by low interest rates and a speculative flurry of buying predicated on the assumption that prices could only go up — never down.These conditions existed in many parts of the world, so that real estate bubbles were evident in many parts of Europe, South America, and Asia. But, of cburse, the housing bubble did burst and an alarming number of mortgage borrowers began to default. Housing prices declined severely and rapidly, particularly in rapidly growing areas such as Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada. The default rate for sub-prime mortgages increased rapidly and soon spread to prime mortgages as the economy deteriorated. New buyers could not get loans or were reluctant to purchase while prices were still falling. Existing homeowners could not refinance at more favorable rates because the value of their houses were less than the amount they owed. As delinquencies and defaults on mortgages increased, the credit rating agencies downgraded their ratings of most CDOs backed by this collateral. Obviously, these agencies, as well as the CDO issuers and investors, greatly miscalculated the risks inherent in CDOs and in the CDSs that purported to guarantee them. The defaults and rating downgrades produced a massive decline in value of the CDOs held by major financialinstitutions throughout the world, drastically reducing the capital required for their lending operations and reserves. Because the depth of the financialdecline was unknown, financialinstitutions could not quantify the decreased value of the asset-backed securities they owned or guaranteed. Similarly, they could not determine the true financial condition of the other institutions they dealt with in the marketplace. This lack 20 MONEY,CURRENCYANDFINANCE CH. 1 of confidence rapidly spread through the global financiai system, freezing the flowof credit that underpins modern economies. Without credit, businesses could not fund their operating expenses and consumers could not purchase houses, cars, vacations, and other discretionary items. Thus, the problems of the housing industry rapidly spread to most other areas of business and commerce, resulting in the most severe decline in economic activity since 1929.Unemployment skyrocketed and a plunging stock market wiped out a decade of gains. The decline in stock values decimated pension plans, resulting in a huge loss of wealth by millions of baby-boomers who would soon need that wealth to fund their retirements. A perception grew that the economy was not merely in recession, but on the verge of another 1929- style Great Depression. It was the greatest loss of wealth in history.
[bi International Response The severity of the economic problems became apparent to the public when the largest, best-known fmancial companies in the U.S.began to fail. Reduced to a fraction of their value, these companies were taken over by others, went out of, business or were bailed out by massive capital infusions and guarantees from, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve Bank. Essentially, all the independent investment banks on Wall Street disappeared through merger, bankruptcy or transformation into regulated deposit-taking banking companies. These problems were not limited to the U.S., which became evident as many major European financial companies began the same process of merger, failure or government bailout. With varying degrees of severity, banks failed and credit disappeared in the U.}C, France, Spain, Ireland, Germany, Belgium, Luxemburg and Netherlands. A shocking failure of banks in Iceland led to the virtual bankruptcy of that formerly properous country. The initial response of most governments was massive intervention in their national financial systems and economies. The basic policy tools were low interest rates, expansion of the money supply, tax rebates, and enormous government spending programs. In the United States, the Federal Reserve reduced short-term interest rates to zero and pumped more than $1 trillion into the economy through purchases of securities and loan guarantees. The Treasury Department used a $700 billion allocation from Congress (initially intended for purchases of toxic assets from financial institutions) to inject capital directly into more than 200 financial institutions in exchange for ownership interests. Hundreds of billions in tax refunds were mailed to households and more billions provided through tax credits and rebates to purchasers of houses and cars. Billions more were allocated to bail out major U.S, automobile manufacturers. Similar policies were adopted across the globe. European govermnents provided hundreds of billions to buy all or part of domestic banks and to guarantee their loans. The European Central bank coordinated substantial interest-rate reductions with the central banks of most European countries. Over opposition from Germany, which called for fiscal restraint, European governments created huge public-spending programs to stimulate their economies. § 102 REGULATIONOF INTL FINANCIALTRANSACTIONS 21
Although most Asian banks did not incur major losses from investments in asset-backed securities, Asian economies suffered greatly from declining exports to the U.S. and Europe. Japan, stung by its highest unemployment rate since WW II, instituted a massive economic stimulus package. In China, a rapid decline in the rate of economic growth resulted in massive layoffs across its export-oriented industries. The government slashed interest rates and instituted a $600 billion economic stimulus program.
[ci Recovery and Reform By late 2009, the U.S. and global economies appear to have stabilized and a slow period of recovery is likely. Governments and international agencies are now considering the causes of the economic crisis and the reforms needed to prevent recurrence. The economic analysis and political debate are focused on the following issues: “Too Big to Fail.” This phrase refers to the necessity for government intervention to prevent failure of a large, interconnected financial firm that poses systemic risk — ie., its failure would cause major damage throughout financial markets. Opponents of such interventions argue that bail-outs of financial institutions create moral hazard — i.e., it encourages risky behavior by creditors and investors who believe that governments will protect them against loss. To minimize systemic risk and the need for intervention, governments will grant central banks and regulators broad authority over troubled financial companies whose failure would cause widespread harm to the entire financial system. This resolution authority will allow regulators to act to preserve these firms as going concerns or to rapidly close or wind them down. Other rules may ‘require these firms to reduce the complexity of their group structures or mandate stand-alone subsidiaries. Regulation of Credit Rating Agencies. Because of their complexity and limited public information, investors in CDOs and other asset- backed securities relied on credit rating agencies such as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s to determine the risks associated with these instruments. The fact that the high ratings afforded these securities were woefully inaccurate has led to calls for regulation of the credit rating process. These regulations would restrict conflicts of interests created when a rating agency has other business relationships with the institution seeking the rating, as well as changes to the rating methodologies. Regulation of Credit Derivatives. As noted above, the proliferation of mis-priced Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) and Credit Default Swaps (CDS) was a significant cause of the financial crisis. These instruments were specificallyremoved from regulatory oversight by the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000. New legislation and regulation will make these transactions more transparent and provide for oversight of the derivatives market. See discussion below. 22 MONEY,CURRENCY AND FINANCE CH. 1
Compensation Reform. Compensation practices at major financial institutions significantly contributed to the 2008 financial crisis by encouraging excessive risk-taking by senior executives and traders. New international compensation standards have been proposed to align compensation with creation of long-term value rather than excessive risk-taking. Specific rules may include: o Eliminating multi-year guaranteed bonuses. o Reduction in total compensation in firms that have negative financial performance, including reductions in previously earned amounts through clawback arrangements. o Compensation of senior executives and employees whose actions materially affect a firm’s risk exposure must be deferred over a period of at least 3 years and relate to their individual performance. o A substantial proportion of the compensation tb senior executives and employees must be awarded in shares or share-linked instruments whose value is aligned with the firm’s long-term growth. Risk Management and Capital Requirements. New regulations will mandate substantial increases in the amount and quality of capital maintained by banks engaged in international transactions. This will require revision of the Basel II capital framework discussed in § 1.02[4] below. The new Basel II rules will include: o Significantly higher capital requirements. o Requirements that banks build capital during profitable periods that can be drawn upon during economic downturns. o Higher quality capital reserves such as common shares and retained earnings. o Full disclosure of each bank’s capital base and risk exposure. Restructuring Global Imbalances. Many economists believe that the underlying cause of the financial crisis is the imbalance between savings arid investment in major national economies. This imbalance is reflected in the large trade deficit of the United States and the large trade surpluses of developing countries such as China. These imbalances stem from government policies that encourage unrealistic currency exchange rates, low interest rates and excess borrowing for consumption in the U.S., and excess savings and lack of domestic consumption in China and other emerging-market economies. This underlying problem must be addressed through multi-lateral agreements that encourage sustainable, balanced national growth patterns. The challenge to the international community is to avoid booms and busts in asset and credit prices by promoting balanced global supply and demand in most areas of trade. It is unclear if such global macroeconomic cooperation is feasible in the near future. § 1.02 REGULATION OF INTL FINANCLALTRANSACTIONS 23
[2] Financial Derivatives
A derivative is a financial instrument that takes its value from the value of another underlying asset such as a commodity, mortgage, corporate stock, bond, or currency. Derivatives are designed to shift some of the risk associated with the underlying asset from one party to the agreement to another. For example, assume that the buyer in an international sales contract must pay for the goods at a future date in a foreign currency. To hedge the risk that the foreign currency will increase in cost, he may purchase a futures contract that provides a right to buy the currency at a future date at a set price. The futures contract is a derivative that shifts the risk of any increased currency cost to the other party. In addition to hedging risks, derivatives often are used for speculative purposes. One class of derivatives, called swaps, are custom, privately negotiated contracts in which the parties agree to exchange an asset or cash at a future time. Because swaps are not traded on exchanges, they are called over-the- counter (OTC) derivatives. Another class of derivatives comprises standardized, exchange-traded contracts called futures. Many different kinds of contracts, with varying degrees of complexity, are available in both classes. In recent years, the huge amounts invested iii complex derivatives created substantial and misunderstood risks in financial markets. During the 1990s, some of the dangers associated with derivatives were revealed by a number of highly-publicized cases involving substantial losses on derivative investments. For example, a major British Bank, Barings PLC, was bankrupted by losses sustained by one of its traders on Nikkei index futures and options. Similarly, Orange County, California, one of the richest areas in the U.S., became bankrupt in 1994 because of a $1 billion loss on its investments in derivative instruments. These transactions reflect the overuse of derivatives as a means of speculation, rather their more appropriate role as a hedge against the risks inherent in a transaction.. The 2008Financial Crisis. Clearly, failure to understand the risks posed by financial derivatives was a major cause of the 2008 global financial crisis. Sophisticated financial institutions and investors poured trillions of dollars into complex OTC derivatives such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO), and Credit DefaultSwaps (CDS), that they thought were insured against major loss. Until the crisis emerged, this vast portion of the global fluianeialmarket was unregulated by any government agency. The true risks of these derivatives became clear in 2007, when a decline in U.S. home prices caused a concomitant decline in the value of the hundreds of billions of mortgage backed securities owned by domestic and foreign financial institutions. Although these investors believed that their hedging derivative contracts would provide protection, the huge volume of losses was far greater than the contract guarantors (“counterparties”) could cover. The lack of transparency in the unregulated derivatives market led many large, sophisticated investors to misunderstand the true risk of loss they incurred, which, in turn, created enormous systemic risk throughout global financial markets. It is likely that new international treaties and domestic legislation will 24 MONEY,CURRENCYAN]) FINANCE CR. 1 provide for regulation of OTC derivatives to prevent these transactions from creating excessive risk to the entire financial system.
[a] Futures and Swaps Futures contracts, which include most options, are always traded on exchanges anj contain standardized terms for delivery dates, volume, trading procedures and credit allowances. Although the parties bear the risk of loss on the underlying transaction, the only credit risk (i.e.,risk of non-payment) is that exchange’s clearinghouse will default. Exchanges generally reduce this credit risk by mark-to-market accounting which adjusts the value of an investors account each day to reflect profits and losses. An investor that has a loss may be required to provide an additional cash payment to ensure that the loss is not shifted to the exchange. Generally, futures transactions are regulated by the rules of the exchange and by government agencies, such as the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. By contrast, the terms of a swap contract are privately negotiated by the parties and the contracts are privately traded over-the — counter. In addition to the risk of loss on the underlying transaction, each party to a swap contract is exposed to the credit risk of the counterparty’s default on its payment obligation. Substantial lobbying by the financial industry resulted in the Commodity Futures Regulation Act of 2000, which prohibited government regulation of swap transactions. The financial crisis of 2008exposed the need for regulation of these transactions and this is likely to occur soon.
[bi Swaps A swap is a contract between two parties, called counterparties, to exchange specified cashfiows at predetermined future times. The amount of cashilowthat each counterparty will exchange usually is determined by reference to a hypothetical amount, called the national amount, and an underlying market (e.g., foreign exchange, securities, or commodities) or financial index (e.g., LIBOR or the Consumer Price Index). Although these transactions are tailor made to fit the specific needs of the counterparties, there are two basic categories of swaps: interest rate swaps (the most frequently used type), and currency swaps. A transaction that combines both of these variants is referred to as a cross currency swap. Swaps are derivatives that are frequently used by large companies to lower borrowing costs and to hedge risks associated with changing interest rates or foreign exchange rates. Most swap transactions are arranged through commercial banks, utilizing customized contracts that are not traded on exchanges. A standard form contract has been developed by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA), that establishes the parties’ responsibilities upon default or premature termination. The key contract terms, such as price, duration, and quantity are not standardized, but are written for each transaction. Generally a swap contract is not tradable or assignable without both parties’ consent. The transaction is not guaranteed by a clearinghouse so that each party bears a credit risk that the other party will not perform it financial obligations. THE URBAN CARIBBEAN: TRANSITION TO THE NEW GLOBAL ECONOMY
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regimes,
subsistence
debates:
niches
economy
market
low-income
of
of
viability
Currently,
of
understanding
construction
new
sector.
American
and
policy
services,
the
alternatives.
derived the
the
social
Asia.
of
and
policy.
derives
a
workers
services.
social
of
export-oriented
relatively
mass-produced
old
factors
informal
mainly
It
Even
extension
that
niches,
purchasing the
community
new
and because
At
of
through
through
becomes
welfare,
certainties,
and
also
from
that
various
In
governments
mainly context
security
large
the
the
permitted
population.
in
citizenship.
social
that
workers,
depends
Foreword
their
the
Informally
by
Though makes
this
enables of
economy
such
unquestioned
same
small
avoiding
formal-sector
national
subcontract
avoiding
deregulation
of
create
with
face
the
either
trends
from
perceived
latter
goods
programs,
needs
entailed
participa
the
as
footwear,
creating
time,
a
informal
regimes,
informal
them
consti
of
on
people
social
coun
major
that
studies
from
cen
These
a
more
case,
The
state
loses
oper
run
the
firms
and
new
are
the
the
the
xiii
by
of to xiv Foreword tralizedprovision of social security by governments is unlikely. In some problemsof P°’ countries,notably those ofthe Southern Cone, the fiscalburdenofexisting solvedby the in case socialsecurityobligationsis alreadya causeof seriousconcern for govern- The five ments and international development agencies.Current policies of eco- in socialpolicy nomic liberalizationweakenstate oversightof socialwelfare;thus, various Guatemala, in’ hav Latin American governmentshave adopted policiesof labor deregulation population th( to stimulate the freer movement of capital and goods.Many small- and extremeare p0] medium-scaleenterises are threatened bycompetition fromimports,cre- istotjcallY, Re] ating job lossesthat are not compensated by job increases in the large Dominican dift coorations and that add to infoal and unprotected fos of work.At how these the the same time, it is likely that noneconomic trends make social rights, explain s housi particularly those to health and adequate living conditions, a matter of affecting ofc increasingpublic concern. ment, and,
however, I As the chapters in this volume suggest,the chaos of the cities, which are, social jwctaposesrich and poor and areas of adequate infrastructurewith those extend study,c having none, underlines foreveryonethe need to find collectivesolutions. of the ployment. In The increasing presence of nongovernmental organizations throughout and Latin America, both religiousand secular,working to help local popula- cohesion familyand tions demand their rights, inevitably increasesdemandsfrom below.This of economiclibt presence also weakens the state’s ability to co-opt local populations or political patti suppresstheir demands. One impo’ In this situation, urban socialpolicyneedsto take account ofthe limita- mented in se tions and possibilitiesthat face the contemporaryurban community as a international source of informal care and as a unit of political participation. The local carryingcap residentialcommunity is,after all, the place that determines the qualityof Haiti is now accessto many socialrights,whether those ofhealth care, education,or an documer adequateenvirbnment. We knowfrommanyurban studiesthat familyand has times, organ community networks of mutual aid made the neighborhood a source of communit socialsupportand welfareduringthe period of rapid urbanizationin Latin volumemak America and the Caribbean fromthe 1950sto the early 1980s.The neigh- political borhoodalsorepresentedthe mostaccessibleunit ofpoliticalparticipation. f0 i organizatiot It wasalsoa basisofcollectivemobilization,even though that mobilization local comm wasoften of limited duration, as the literature on urban socialmovements tmsted forr makes clear (Blondet 1991;Castells 1983;Touraine 1987). It is an open mined, hov question whether the urban community continues to function in these text permit ways,given contemporary changes in the structure of urban economies, ThiS VOl urban spatial organization, and migration patterns. We thus need more paths takei studies,such as those of this volume, that look at the impact of the new to acc context ofurbanizationon the caringcapacityofthe local communityand seek encourage on local-levelpolitical participation. The urban space once availablefor project dei invasion and self-construction of housing is now less available and the
:hem
1983; made :ontemporary bility iernmental [equate )ensated )f ient y
Fhe that iity tion, n ;y r e neconomic ened y
essible period those ecular, al
sthg
l 95 0s
apacity
terature uggest,
don of
versight
adopted
the
of
place
increases
a
the
many
capital
by
needs
adequate
cause
and
political
continues
urban
agencies.
look
is
structure
by
governments
patterns.
need
Cone,
Touraine
of
even
the
to
to
unit
of
that
working
now
unprotected
urban the
of
living
competition
health
to
on
by
the
of
co-opt
of
rapid and
policies
at
neighborhood
the
take demands to
space
though
of
social
urban
serious
determines
chaos
trends
organizations
job
the
the early
partiipation.
infrastructure
less
find
political
goods.
studies
local
urban
conditions,
Current
of
We to
urbanization care,
account
1987).
fiscal
to
increases
local
impact
once
available
urban
welfare;
of
collective
function
social
of
1980s.
that
make
is
help
concern
community thus
from
forms
labor
education,
from
community
the
Many
burden
that
unlikely.
populations
participation.
available
It
policies
mobilization
the
of
local
of economies, movements
need
The cities,
a
social
is
below.
imports,
family
deregulation
thus,
throughout in
a
the
of
with
and
The
the
source
quality
in
an
for
small-
solutions.
in
matter
of
work.
the
neigh
popula
more
limita
these
open
In
Latin
new
govern
existing
or
and
which
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of
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liberalization
the
further
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participation.
of
In
have
cases
differences
Republic
by
political
space
the in
providing
spatial
clearly
of
than experiencing
community.
clear
in
course,
available
rights.
on
currently
migrants
initiative
this
the
which
and
more
political
economic
is
cases
for
been
informal
explored
by
organizations,
of provision
an
of change
for
those
that
research
countries
situation,
the
Mexicans
citizenship.
the as
a
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and
to
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incentive
popular minimal
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of
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editors
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The
References
trends
benefit
at
uanos.
fication der.” Global Sage
• Bank Studies, message Organization
Ticuani, arid Robert Sit’,’,
opment tiago:
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can
1991. • Manuel.
the
Cecilia.
structure
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affecting
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site
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and
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accessed
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of
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of
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1 1991. the
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Mexico
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Paper
Latin “Los
Transnational
in
Ph.D.
Internationalization
Foundation
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of
must
Social
Mujeres
City the
Industries.
and
Ausentes Pittsburgh:
California.
University’s Feminization
No.
and
of
American Sociales
in
diss.,
is
nature
and
take
Security
Saskia
the
the a
Prospects of 140.
the
convincing
y
Department
the
Global
region
Working
the
El
into
Siernpre
y
Community San
Internet
Washington,
Grassroots. Sassen.
of
Sistemns
University
Poder. in
others.
Development
Latin
Diego,
through citizenship account Department
Economy:
for
and
and
Presentes:
Paper
Lima:
Equity
one.
1993.
America:
Politicos at
of
policy
However,
Changing
Calif.:
Sociology, London:
between
http://www.jhu.edu/soc/ of Flexible
the
D.C.:
No. Because
“Recasting
Instituto
High Pittsburgh
in
mean
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The
Center
national en
Latin
of
Pressure 36.
Archive
World
Technology
America
Sociology. Labor.”
Definitions Edward
New
the
Imagining,
New
Columbia
of
that
America.”
de
for
similarities
differences
Press.
Women
each
Bank. Groups,
York
Estudios
York:
context.
U.S.-Mexico
World
Latina. social (in1s.iuc), Arnold.
and
country
City
of
Univer-
Making
Russell
World
in
Strati-
Devel-
Gen-
Work
and
Per- San-
and
the
in
in
The
the
ered
chapter
the
this
Foundation
tude Without
would
entire
numerous
collaboratec
hosted and
Latin
Republic,
and
of
to faculty
data-collec
study
Universit’, leagues
Robothart
auspicious
book
and
Andrew1 Man
five
the research
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for
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Page 1 of 43 Regional Studies
2. 35 6 7 8 EMPLOYMENT ANTIWAGE DYNAMICS IN ITALIAN 9 10 ii INT)USTRIAL DISTRICTS 12 13 14 15 Alessandro Muscioa and Michele Scarpinato 16 17 18 19 20 Abstract: This paper is concerned with the analysis of differences in
employment and wage growth rates inside and outside Italian industrial
districts. On the basis of national statistical data, we compare employment
2 and wage differentials in mani4facturing industries between district and
non-district areas. The aim is to investigate whether the industrial disimict
model generates better labour conditions for sustaining employment I3 pemformnance and wage levels. Keywords: industrial districts, employment, wages
JEL Classification: J21, .139,RI], R12 H42. 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Aziendali (DPTEA) — Università Luiss Guido Carli, Via 0. Tommasini, 1 - 00162 Roma (Italy), Tel: ÷ 39 06 86506530, Email: 56 57. [email protected] Università dell’Insubria — Facoltà di Economia, via Ravasi, 2 - 21100 Varese (Italy) Tel: +39 0332 215410, Email: [email protected] 60E
http:/lmc.manuscriptcentral.comlcres 1 Email: regional.studies©fm.ru.nI Regional Studies Page 2 of 43
1 2: 3
7 1 INTRODUCTION 8: 9 10 The large quantity of empirical evidence on industrial districts (IDs) has
shown that they can be highly competitive and generate steady economic
15 growth (FORTIS, 2000; GUERRIERI and TAMMARINO, 2003). Yet very 16 17 little is known about the quantitative aspects of labour dynamics arising 18 from this complex model of industrial organisation. 21 22 23 Following the conditions set by Piore and Sabel’s model of flexible
specialisation in industrial organisation (PIORE and SABEL, 1984),
underlying the district theory is the idea that this model can generate
employment and create the opportunities for good pay and optimal social
conditions (PYKE and SENGERBERGER, 1996).
However, the reasons why such a model of territorial development is better
able to mobilize human resources have not been systemically analysed in
the literature. In fact, the literature offers no clear explanation of why the
43 district environment may generate favourable employment dynamics
(BRUSCO et al., 1996; PffGO et al., 2001). Furthermore, the
48: empincal evidence on employment dynamics in districts obtained through
50 damic comparison of employment performance in firms located inside
and outside districts is very limited.
55 : 5B 57::.: 58
60
http:!Imc.manuscriptcentral.com/crL Email: regionaI.studiesfm.ru.nI :5
Page
6 4 2
3
7
20 12
21 13
14 2 58
4. 45
47 60 59
52 —
3
of
43
•
Therefore,
method analysis
know district
accompanied know finn
performance In
positive
obviously economic development
Secondly,
IDs levels on
with (ENGELSTOFT
1999;
terms
the
http
formation
may
whether
respect
constant
whether
BELUSSI
decline
areas
and
IImc
impact
of
of
not
strengthen
the
evidence
downturn,
the
employment
relevance.
manuscriptcentral
and
in
by
be
that
eventual gap
relevance or
to
of
of
would
a
IDs
different
consolidation of equipped
districts. et
1999;
the
non-clustered
we
distnct
industrial
how
of
al
the
is
generating
district
address
In
the differences introduce
generally
GAROFOLI,
of and
2006) argument
such
terms
firm
s
Some
ability
the
to
Regional
wage
employment
model
policies
face
in
differences
comIcres
subject
processes.
growth
of
However
of this new
growth,
industnes
of
in
underestimated.
method,
of
the
differentials
the
on
districts
employment
Studies
study
supporters
perspectives
we
2002)
new employment
should
trends.
literature
find
or
vary
and despite
there
is
competitive
may
at
and
to
substantive
that
regional
In
over
be
least
between
survive wage
of
is is
their
levels
other
have
the
into
more
this First,
this
providing
no
and
time.
keeping
topic
extensive
studies@fm growth potential
the model
correspond words, wage
periods
in been pressures
district
evidence in
locally
Also,
ongoing
of
some
terms
evidence
levels
employment
employment of
exaggerated
levels we
we
of
statistical
advantage
and
territorial
oriented.
contexts
of
(AIvIIN
ru general
to of do
do
debate
would
non- both
nI
new
any not that
not
are Regional Studies Page 4 of 43
7 ;.. districts may still have competitive advantage compared to isolated firms in
facing increasing compefition. In other words, in Italy and other countries,
districts may be in decline, but their growth performance might still be
14 stronger than in the rest of the economic context in which they operate.
Therefore, evidence must be provided of how non-district areas in the same 18
1g national context and in the same industry, perform over the same period of 2o: 21 time. 22 23
Given the above, the purpose of this paper is to investigate the dynamics of
employment and wages in firms located inside and outside Italian IDs. We
use Italian national statistical data to test whether distncts offer better labour I conditions in terms of employment and wage levels. The paper is organised as follows: Section 2 discusses the theoretical :4 background and the research hypothesis; Section 3 reports the empirical evidence. Concluding remarks follow.
2 THEORETICAL BACKGROUND
2.1 Definition of industrial district 53
The interest in IDs has been carned on the wave of the ability of such local
productive systems to achieve outstanding economic success and to generate
http IImc manuscriptcentral comIcrs Email regional studies@fm ru ni Page 5 of 43 Regional Studies
2. 3 4
6 7 sustained development processes (BECATTINI, 1987, 1989; BRUSCO,
1989; GAROFOLI, 1989, 1992). Over the last two decades significant
empirical evidence has shown how districts specialised in producing high
14 quality products, have become competitive players in international markets
(FORTIS, 2000; MAZZONI, 2001; NADVI id HALDER 2002;
19 RABELOTTI, 1999; SAXENLkN, 1994; STORPER, 1993). 20.: 21
By defimtion the ID is I a socioterritorial entity which is characterised by the active
presence of both a community of people and a population of
firms in one naturally and historically bounded area
(BECATTINI, 1990: 38).
District firms are generally small in size and, within one district, are 4- specialised in the production of the same product’s. They share a common
45 social and cultural background which facilitates complementanty between 46 47 activities and division of labour among local actors. In IDs technical and
socio-cultural aspec are closely inteoven with the life of the community.
52 The existence of this strong relationship between social and technical
54 factors allows the co-estence of complex dynamics of cooperation and
competition between local firms (BECATTINI, 1990). 58 *5960
5 http llmc manuscriptcentral comicres Email regional studiesfm ru ni Regional Studies Page 6 of 43
4 5
7
The competitiveness of districts relies on the collective efficiency of the
local system, in which each firm exploits dynamic competitive advantages
14: deriving from the existence of external economies and collective action 15 (BELLANDI, 1992; GAROFOLI, 1989; SCI{MITZ, 1999). A high degree
19 of production specialisation generates continuous improvements in 20 21 technology and production organisation (GOTTARDI, 2000). These
improvements have multiplicative effects on the local system and are
determined by continuous feedback effects between the increased
competitiveness of individual firms and the system as a whole
(GAROFOLI, 1989). As a result, districts are regarded as places where
close inter-finn communication, socio-cultural structures and the
institutional environment may stimulate socially and telTitorially embedded
collective learning and continuous innovation (ASHEIM and ISAKSEN,
2002). 4- 42 43 ‘--44 45 2.2 Employment dynamics in industrial districts
The results of the empirical studies on lBs have had an enormous impact on
51 regional development policies. Research on districts has led to a general 52 53 consensus among economists and policy makers that the territorial
dimension plays a key pa in economic development processes, and that
58 districts may offer new opportunities for economic growth in both 6059
6 IImc manuscriptcentral comlcres Email regional ru nI ‘1 http studles@fm Page 7 of 43 Regional Studies
2
5 6 7 industrialised and developing countries (HUMPHREY and SCHMITZ,
1996; McCORMICK, 1999; NADVI, 1999; NADVI and SCIITZ 1999;
12 SCHMITZ, 2000). 13 14
Underlying, this interest in the district model and the adoption of what in the
policy makers’ jargon is termed the ‘cluster approach’, there is the idea that 20 21 clustering of firms producing similar products may generate wealth and
offer new opportunities for policy intervention. Clustering is seen as setting
new frontiers for industrial development planning in offering new
opportunities to set ‘high roads to development’ (PYKE and
SENGEN]3ERGER, 1992). There is general agreement that the organisation
of production in districts sustains employment performance and wage
levels. According to Glaeser et al. (1992), cluster firms should exhibit
higher employment levels and higher rates of employment growth compared
4 to production that is not clustered. 4 Studies on districts have also underlined that, compared to other forms of
45 small firm orgamsation, distncts seem to have the capability of providing
47 good wages and social conditions (CASAVOLA et al. 1999; SOLINAS,
1991). This aspect of the district model has been of special interest for
52 international organisations such as the International Labour Organization 53 (ILO) (COSSENTINO et al., 1996; PYKE et a!., 1990) and more recently
the Umted Nations liidustnal Development Organization (UN1DO) (NADVI
7 - http IImc manuscripteentral comicres Email regional studles@fm ru ni Regional Studies Page 8 of 43 r7
7 and BARRIENTOS 2004 TJNIDO 2001) which have identified new a perspectives for industrial development for countries and regions with
economies essentially based on small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs). 13 14
Indeed, the ID literature puts great emphasis on the key role of human
and 19 capital in distncts’ competitiveness. According to PYKE 20 21 SENGENEERGER (1996), job creation in most Italian districts has been as
good as or better than the national average. Unemployment is generally 2 lower and wage levels are generally reported to be at least equal to, and often above national levels. Evidence from industrial clusters in other parts
of the world also seems to confirm these trends (ISAKSEN, 1996; MARTIN
3 and SUNLEY, 2003; NADVI, 1999; KARLSSON and KLAESSON, 2000).
Other authors point out the abilities of districts to quickly and efficiently
react to external challenges. This allows them to minimise the negative
4, effects of changes in market demand, or economic downturns, on district
performance and therefore on employment (GAROFOLI, 2002; NADVI and
45 SCHM1TZ 1999) 46 47 Confirming these insights, some authors argue that the efficiency of SMEs
in discts also stems from good worng conditions (BRUSCO et al., 1996;
th SIGNORINI, 2000) especially for highly skilled workers (BRUSCO, 1991; 53 54 OCCARI and TATTARA, 1997). According to BECATTINI (1987) several
mechamsms such as information sharing in relation to workers personal
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.2 3 4 5 6 7 and professional qualities, and employment as a factor of attraction to (and
retention in) the district of the best qualified workers.
Similarly, SIGNOR1NI (2000) argues that in IDs wage levels are normally 13 14 higher than in larger firms, and higher than the national average. However, 15 in the Italian context some studies have suggested that the relationship
19 between wage levels and districts is controversial (De BLASIO and DI 20 21 ADDARIO, 2002; PIflNGARO et al., 2001; TATTARA, 2001). 22 23
In summary, several studies make reference to the relevance of district
effects on employment. It is argued that the district model can and does
guarantee good socio-economic conditions in the form of higher salaries and
sustained employment performance. However, there is no conclusive view
about the factors that converge to the competitive advantage of distcts.
Similarly, there is no systematic empincal evidence of the extent to which 3 employment and wage levels are effectively higher in districts and of whether eventual differences between district and non-district areas tend to
45 - diverge or converge over time.
47
In our view there are several factors, which jointly may contribute to befter
52 employment performance and better salaries in districts: 53 - 54. 55 57r 58
http:I/mc.manuscriptcentral.comlc!L Email: regional.studiesfm.ru.nl Regional Studies Page 10 of 43
2 3 4
6 7 1. Agglomeration economies. Agglomeration economies and economies
of scale and scope (BELLANDI, 2002) generate superior
competitiveness in local systems, which in turn leads to higher
14 employment performance and better wages;
2. Near-perfect information regimes. Local knowledge spillovers
19 stimulate flows of information on available positions and available 20 21 workforce in the district area. Information flows on demand and
supply of labour in the local labour market generate the efficient
allocation of human resources and reduce the costs to finns of finding
appropriate labour (AUDRETSCH and FELDMAN, 1996);
• 3. Microeconomic effects of demand for labour. High employment
• rates increase the price of labour as companies offer higher wage
levels in order to fill vacant positions. In some cases these
employment dynamics can ‘heat up’ the local labour market and the
unemployment rate can approach near-frictional levels (MUSCIO,
2006a).
45. 4. Demand for skilled labour. Districts are knowledge intensive
47 environments where firms introduce innovative and qualitatively
advanced products (GOTTARDI, 2000; MASKELL, 2001; MUSCIO,
2006b). The competitiveness of the local system is sustained by the
use of skilled workers, who are rewarded with higher pay than they
would receive elsewhere. 5;.•58
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into
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factors
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The
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well-documented
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this 2004).
continuous inside of
its
of
work
firms
conditions
efficient
hypotheses:
of
SMEs
can
effectiveness
reduce
study
wage
the and
is
and
in
offer
work
to
systems
endogenous
the
different
circulation
provides
provide Regional
wage
outside
and optimisation flows
disparities.
extraordinary
conditions.
dynamic
is
competitiveness
as
in
disparities
help rightly
a
a
manufacturing
Italian
the
Studies
evidence
viable
systemic
of
nature
nature
Email:
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development
information
Efficient of
seen
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reduce
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recent
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of
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wages
basis
for
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labour
is
stable
(NADVI
of
dynamics
provision
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We
approach also
rates
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offered
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national
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2:. 4.3 5 6 7.::
Hypothesis]: there are ,-elevant static and dynamic differences in
employment and wage levels between ID and non-ID areas.
13 : 1 4.
Hothesis 2: the ID model sustains firms’ competition allowing better
19 employment levels. 20 21
In the following sections we analyse the differences in employment and
wage levels between ID and non-ID areas taking into consideration different
industry sectors, geographic areas (north, central and southern Italy), firm
size and employee qualifications. We also test via econometric analysis the
3 impact of the ‘district effect’ on employment growth in Italy over the period
1991-2001.
3 EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 42 43
45 3.1 Introduction to the research methodology 47 48 In the empincal evidence we refer to two different data sources: 49. 50 51 1. Employment data obtained from the Italian statistical institute, Istituto 54J Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT) and which refer to the 1991 and 2001 5&. .57 59 60
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2.
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classification districts
Table
can central 199
conditions 2 is of b) following
c) a) d) average.
The
self-contained.
employment the employment
employment employment
http:/lmc.manuscriptcentral.comIcê3s
Local
be
use Censuses.
excluded
Istituto Data
refer
collar”
period
criteria
conditions
1
Italy.
seen
reports
on
conditions:
focus
here
to
Labour on
followed
the
1994-98.’
Nazionale
four
that and
share share
share share of
wages
public
on
set
MAP
the
basis
We the
districts.
LLS,
in
the macro-
“blue
in in Systems
in
in
by
regional
1993
identifies
definition
the manufacturing
SMEs
SMEs
were
considered
institutions
of
majority
which
ISTAT
main
di
by the
collar”
manufacturing
ISTAT
in above
Previdenza
obtained
the
(LLS), are
2001 manufacturing
as the
in
RegonaI distribution
Ministry
groups
industrial
the
of
main
of
the
workers.
from
activities
data
has
identification
Census
districts
with
national
IDs
from
manufacturing
of
not
of
Studies
Sociale
our
for
neighbour districts
a
Productive
proposed
industries
activity
of
above
total
issued
the Email:
average;
data.
analysis. INPS
are
all
districts
of
Italian
those
of
the (INPS).
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IDs ISTAT above
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regional.studiesfm.ru.nI
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where
are
(MAP).
available
security
employees.2
that
classification
built
in
the
data
labour
sectors.
average;
meet northern
in
national
both
on
These
as
used
its
the
the
agency,
districts
mobility for
LLS.
“white
basis
1991
here
We
the and
of
It
•
4,
11
21 20
19
7
9 8
14
13
12
10
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total
In
3.2
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salaries
terms
Section number
and
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TABLE
1991-2001.
Provinces
2001
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IDs
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INPS
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Europe.
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employment)
of
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correspond
1
Census
the
Italy
employees
units),
firms
adopts
data
Data
The
Finally,
‘district
dynamics
data
and
there
and
average
data
to
areas
located
on
to
employing
filed
the
outside
dynamics
estimate
NUTS
productivity
employment
effect’
were
Section
on
(Table
in
same
dimension
were
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economic
1991.
outside
3
economic
IDs
1
district
units
methodology
,342,000
on
tested
2).
differences
Regional
in
3.5
a
Differences
employment
in
of
in
districts
total
In
IDs.
between
presents
performance
Italian
the
selected
and
activities
the
using sector
Eurostat
local
Section
of
Studies
Email:
manufacturing
provinces
non-district
in
5,111,930
for
the
an
the
units
manufacturing
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and
growth.
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independent
econometric
was
Italian
is
in
growth
analysis
two
presents
2,926.6
areas.
district
weighted
areas
staff
groups:
industry
administrative
of
and
Km2. In
of
industries.
(31.5%
administrative
areas
a
over
between
samples
analysis
Section
differentials
comparison
dispersion
based firms
there
the
(28.8%
of
located
3.4 district
T-test.
on
of
period
INPS
were
units
total
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we
the
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of
Page
14
of 43
Classic SFNs located in IDs Southern of Germany & Third Italy
long-term relations, avoid deceitful double-dealings
Personal trust & reputation are critical to maintain
for customized, small-batch production runs
SMEs use flexible-specialization (artisanal crafts)
goods, shoes, small machinery, toys, utensils
ceramics, clothing, cutlery, food, furniture, leather
SMEs mostly light manufacture consumer goods:
I
Charles Perrow. 1992. Firm Networks.” LLSmall
business service
firms and financial service firms.” ..
another. They are supplied by a smaller number of
personnel, and orders as even they compete with one
interact with one another, sharing information, equipment,
“The firms are usually very small say 10 people. They —
competing small-medium enterprises (SME) a in geographic area.
ID is one type of small-firm network (SFN) of cooperating and
Small-Firm Networks
attracting & stimulating new businesses to the -
driving innovations in the industry or sector -
cluster
increasing the productivity of companies the in -
A cluster can achieve competitive advantages by:
that maintain knowledge advantage over decades centuries or
Historic Know-How
Clusters based on
more traditional industrial activities -
economy, typically including universities & research centers
Techno Clusters
high technology-oriented,
well adapted knowledge to the -
particular field that compete and also cooperate.”
universities, standard agencies, trade associations) a in
in related industries, and associated institutions (e.g.,
companies, specialized ‘I suppliers, service providers, finns
Cluster: “geographical concentration interconnected of
businesses a sustainable competitive advantage over other places.
location wfth sufficient resources and competences to give its
Michael Porter identified the competitive cluster geographic as a
Clustering Competitiveness for
innovations foster cooperatives & producer associations Voluntary self-help
services business customized offer institutes Public centers research service &
guarantees loan taxes, low exemptions, give regulatory laws Governments,
IDs: Italy’s Third underpin politics & structures Institutional
Ottai (Dei district” 1994) the culture of social of
axis real the cooperation reciprocal of custom
“local a support ties capital social Extensive
-
culture familism” “amoral noncooperative
Sicily’s & Italy to Southern poorer Contrast
& workers bosses between and firms among
cooperation & trust of cultures communal ethnic
local evolved from regions historical These
Marches) Tuscany, (Emilia-Romagna, Italy Central and (Veneto., Friuli)
Northeast primarily in are located Italy” “Third districts the of Industrial
Italia Terza La
Are Italian IDs becoming less competitive in the global economy?
Such local economies very difficult to “transport from to place place”
Local society dominated by small entrepreneurs & extended families
> Global competitive advantages in org’l intelligence, innovation talent,
High & > variable demand for nonstandard goods (upscale luxury) I
Technical > division of labor plus local & external internal economies” “scale
Local territory, not firm or is industry, key the economic of analysis: unit
local government and administration.” (Sforzi 2002:442)
enterprise, influencing industrial relations activities and the
produces a cultural environment favourable to economic
like work, consumption, saving, attitudes to — uncertainty
initiative and largely reflected in the aspects principal of life,
“A system of values and norms dominated of a by spirit —
with the social and productive environment in which takes it place.”
large firm size “than on how production organized is and interacts locally
Fabio Sforzi describes how competitive advantage depends less on
IDs & the We w’ Itallan Econ Geography continent. emphasized study. presentation economy reflection tion material evolution ways curred the on nated tic ine 1970s In this The Theoretical the politics consistencies region. that in the and chapter, in basis abundant which from the and study we of of
even UrboRizatioll First, and the The of the Caribbean economies of Social seek the the they we more of Overview uniformity individual economies. later and the backdrop new literature extent first Latin review to affected ALEJANDRO variations population recent painted answer phase insertion Change American of Basin to the these which country on that is civil of This empirical principal is a the Latin cities the of fairly of the the small of society. they during central analysis, revolutionary iii project urbanization these Latin results and process extent American during coherent PORTES,
countries t[ic obey material, theoretical CARLOS A countries features America described from in the fundamental characteristics to the
had Caribbcon turn, which picture urbanization in during lsst Years and transformations acquired the of JOSÉ perspectives the into was urban sets in two theit second DORE-CABRAL such past, chapter this of becoming the the theoretical decades. ITZIOSOHN, or its development throughout of bearing period their changes international until stage phase evolution. the their that
1 Bosin to revisions that the and We Cri5is domes for rapidly on exam of domi ques are
late 2 the the the the the use oc in It
a F The gradual dwarfish urbanized, Hardoy dominant by advent glomerations migrant built with capital, ‘marginal city opposite then inexorable most Regional scarcity either rural trifiigal exodus International nism. remained fringes create urban casual lived cities absence 1976). irregular 1973; moving Second, Third, Together, (Amato migration highly compelled areas in in countries, This featured Lagos their in labor or of of from manner forces main increasingly 1975; flows caused of the work national extreme, the the the Employment informal the low mass” but welfare to classes. view took increase within unequal own and 1969; force urban the accelerating remote urban new site automobile and of was disintegration Portes Labour because the was of low nsral but city was the place in a central shelter Tokman for the the protection. modernized growing bodies—was process incressing single Hardoy, perceived (Tokman The the the economy periphery, as employment rates mid-twentieth in frequently different govemmenrs income suburban industry outmigration; and nsral an rest Office without cities the the Programme large solutions condition ciry explosive allowed Johns city of urban was 1983; of spatial population Basaldiia, urban disparity unemployment distribution that of by of 1982). (Nun the cities, tents worlds, (no) and Instead, simultaneously distorted locations. but farms Urbanization discussed creating the traditional many not primacy, 1989). rRaAcc that survived urban poor the commerce, polarization in to in influx and century 1969; of well-to-do. the and for rapid Regardless new between irregular or extend and even wealthy directions analysts ofren the urban toward could by Latin in housing second system sufficient The 1982; its by to Garcia toward spatial Moreno to typical by urban demographic the if agriculture accelerated economists produce Latin in services absorbed Latin formally combined inventing political not primacy—gigantic settlements. and to the America played the region’s of as Marshall the The led (Breese of scarcity polarization escape a generally 1982). industry. a profile the afford place 1968; largest few capacity cities American Caribbean America, countercyclical the to outcome other to classes: they the power receiving the half underdevelopment. label in associated Yet employment these it the (s’ssaAcc) with of Portes nor 1966; of did growth 1987). drove metropolitan and Latin growth The role distortions. These residence Lsrin shared opposite or unemployment to peasant to not of of rich applied but high areas. of offshoot, Basin suggested absorb more Beyer work and urban of first the the centers. these occur American American combined were the and heads the (Bairoch of political with Walton rates mecha poor classes, crowds type At of to in of a in 1967; elites to labor same rural poor cen The vast in also the the the the the the the ag the an 17 In it, to of of of a 18 Alejans-froPortes,Jose Itzigsohn, and CarlosDore-Cabral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 19 and high informal employment constituted the cento-ilfeatures of Latin contradicting the earlier assumptionthat, in the absenceof welfarecover Americas-iurbanizationprior to the l9SOs. The research literature describ age, the poor must find some form of employment. ing these featuresalsoprovided a fairly coherent explanation of their causes These trends represented not only empirical departuresfrompast theo on the basisof a common condLtiorsof external dependency.Industrializa riesbut contained important lessonsfor their revision.Eachtrend appeared tion as it tookplace in the region washighly centripetal in its consequences to reflect, in its particular way, the rapid adjustment of Latin American because the largest industries, many subsidiariesof transnational corpora countries to the debt-induced economic crisesof the mid-1970sand early tions, concentrated in the main urban centers. Added to the consistent 1980sand their changing insertion in the global economy.We summarize decline in trditional agriculture, this concentration naturally gave rise to next the specificwaysin which this societaladjustment affectedeach aspect rapid rural migration toward the few places where industrial employment of urban development and formalize the three alternative theoretical could be found. But industrialization under foreign control created a mis propositions that they suggest. match between the resource endowments of these countries, abundant in Beginning with the regionwide economic downturn prompted by the labor and short on capital, and the labor-saving character of imported increasein oil pricesin 1973,Latin American countries turned increasingly technologies (Eckstein 1977;Tokmari 1982). The inability of urban indus toward export promotion as a meansto alleviate balance-of-paymentsdefi try to absorb the mass of rural migrants gave rise in turn to a growing cits and servicea growingforeigndebt. The processacceleratedduring the segmentation between a sector of modern,” protected, and relativelywell- early1980s,when a secondmajor increaseirsoilpriceswasaccompaniedby paid employeesand a vast informal economy in which most migrantssur the resistance of international banks to cover the deficit with fresh loans. vived on the basisof invented jobs of minimal productivity (i’aeALc 1981; After the Mexican debt moratorium of 1982, country after country em Marshall 1987;Poi-tesand Johns 1989). barked in a painfulprocessof economicadjustment under closemonitoring The poverty of most rural migrants due to their lack of suitableemploy by international financial organizations.The details are well known and ment barredthem fromaccessto market-providedhousingand created the have been examined at length in the specializedliterature (Massad1986; conditions forthe emergenceof vast shantytowns on the peripheryof most Eci.Ac 1988;Inter-American Development Bank 1990).Lesswell noticed largecities. Their sheer number in turn led elite sectors to escape the city have been the effects that the rapid shift from the previous import- toward ever moreremote suburban enclaves.These twin processesacceler substitution model of development to the new export-oriented model had ated the spatialpolarization observed, with almost monotonous regularity, on civil society. in most largecities of the region (Leeds 1969; Goldrich 1970;Cornelius An unanticipated consequence of this shift was the rechanneling of 1975; Eckstein 1977). domestic migration flowstoward the new growth areas created by export During the mid-1980s,we conducted a studyof recent Latin American agriculture,export fisheries,and export platform industries.Togetherwith urban trends based on firsthand studies of three South American capitals the decline in employment opportunities in the old import-substitution plus secondarymaterial for the rest of the region (Fortes 1989).The study industries,concentrated in the largecities, the new migrationpatterns led found plenty of evidence of urban primacy,spatial polarization,and a large to the rapid growth of many secondarycities and to the slowingdown of urban informaleconomy,but along with them, it also discoverednotable growth in severalmetropolitan areas.Hence, export-orienteddevelopment departures fromconventional wisdom. First, the seeminglyinexorable in (Eoo) may reduce or even arrest urban primacyto the extent that the new creasein urbanprimacyhad decelerated and even reverseditselfduringthe export industriesare located awayfromthe majorcities and hence induce a preceding decade in a number of countries; second, the great physical centrifugalpattern ofdomesticmigration.The argumentcan be formalized distances separatingrich, middle class,and poor in mostmetropolitan areas in a first proposition: appeared to have diminished significantly in several cities as a result of novel rearrangements of the 1. Thegreater shiftfrom toward exportorientedmodel urban population; third, a number of urban the iniporr-subsdtuiion an labor markets registered vast increases in open unemployment question ofdevelopment,thegreatertheprobabilityofsecondarycitygrowthandadeclinein ing the assumed urbanprimacy. countercyclical role of the informal sector during eco nomic downturns.Open unemployment rather than informalemployment The economic adjustment programs inspired by international finance emerged as the key adjustment mechanism at the height of the crisis, organizations to deal with the debt crisis led to the exacerbation of the
record
most
ment,
27). about PREALc
turn, moat a
ment.
tions
Gambier
Rio better
of non
spatial high-income
convergence result
1990) search breached
ple,
and there urban search
income
onset
acceleration
already
20
(Iglesias
1989),
significant
programs
outcome
The the
2.
Similar
First,
de
this
odd
By
in
the
of
countries
countries
In.creases
was
20
Out of
of
distribution
levels
suggested
another
urban working
by
of
crisis
Janeiro emerged
analysts, Alejandro
order
the
contrast, São
groups
middle-class
marked
the
phenomenon
growth
percent jobbing—whose
these
1985;
Campos,
affordable
the
the
of
a
earlier events
led
role
simultaneous
crisis.
in
the
reduction
of
Paulo,
population.
of
between
poor
residential
geographic
leading
to in
but
Colombia,
twin
the according
PREALC
indicator
class
of toward
(Fortes
suwival
the
poverty
was
a
as
a
should
for
income
study
reported
open
reduction Fortes,
the
regional
of
and for The
that,
the
1980s
housing.
pattern
labeled
modest.
processes
Latin
and
income
urban
informal some
to
rich,
took
de
srraregies
outcome
and
of
did
the
contrary
1987).
urban have
1989;
relative
José
the
greater
brought
of areas.
divide
Mello
urban
to
growth disparities
Peru,
America markets
of
find in
incsnse
trend
south
sort
groups,
of
middle
the informality,
it
According
spatial
In
the
but
produced
marginalized
cities
ltzigsohn,
Kowarick,
was
unemployment
spatial
In
economy
“perverse
of
that
the
Honduras,
of
form
This
(1990),
results
separating
wages of
to
rather
information
summarized
both intermingling
disparities
of the
a
of
employment—usually
polarization
the
hard two
are
Colombian
the
contraction as
class,
during
the
the
irregular
of
in
middle-class
displacement polarization
dissimilar
large
partial
among
large
that,
magnitude by
found
previously
and
to
urban
a
pressed
who
such
city,
most
did
Gambler
and
integration”
massive
the
estimates
produced
Chile,
groups
the
cities,
them
Carlos
increases
according
not
observed
in
as
formerly
poor
available in
or in
generalized
rearrangement
informal
higher-income
increased
early
Latin
capital
Latin
of
those by
as
of
the
and a
squatter
and
from
increase
displacement
formal
(Carrier
this
second
present
unnoticed
of Montevideo,
by
Campos, Dore-Cabral
the
was
the
by
was
previous
law-income
l980s.
American
the
economic
Venezuela.
American
advanced
in
of
because
economic
the
trend poor
PSEALC,
the
sector
to
not
(Fortes
classes.
prompted
Bogoté,
rapidly
irregular
informal
economic
employment
settlements
impoverishment
proposition:
earlier
same even
significantly
preserve
1988).
Underemploy
prompted
settlements
and
suggested
processes. study
of
expanded
cities adjusrment
groups. sectors.
it
the
1989: by
phenome
before
Kowarick, of
Lima,
the
For
situation,
for
de
countries
teaching averaged
explana
employ
vending
Second, as
ILO
middle-
(Fortes
by
down
spatial
exam
Mello of
urban
Latin
an
near
by
The
24—
and
and
and
the the the
the
in
in
in
a
Rica,
some
larger people subcontracting and kets
these in theories a ular, regulation—do Portes argument provided of America
those rapidly formal neria variety ducers mechanism
these Instead,
is
l980s,
regional
the
about
As
this
Urbanization absorptive nism.
In Hence 3. When The
informal
that
the
the
1989;
the The
countries rise
14
years.
of
indicated
countries
and
and
demand
workers’
region.
are
approach
of
significant
During
the
6
infossnal
of
percent
the
as
rest
larger evidence
formal
Dominican assumed
in
formal
context
arrangements,
advanced
percent
available vendors—defined
Walton
Fortuna
Latin
a
capacity
to
The
Caribbean
open
whole,
of
two
activities
absorb
severe
and
for
do
this
agreements, not
in
firms
wages.
employnsenrfunctsons
have
argument
zero
in
firma
American in
unemployment
types
chapter
different
not of
the
against
informal
informal
growth
of
(1981)
live
and
chapter,
1984
recessions,
unemployment
originally
the
to
the
surplu
Republic, irregular as
are
been
encompass
cease
informal
Basin.
engage
as
in
labor Prates
of
Caribbean
providing
economically
a
(eclc
a
part
sectors
1,
dualistic
concerning
can
enterprises
from
of
key
world
applied
goods
we
the and
urbanization
labor,
to
activities.
supply as
open
Our
unemployment
1989).
Urbanization
by
of
be in
examine
exist
Guatemala,
source
those
sector
countries
are
the
indirectly,
1986:
observed
apart
unified
the Roberts
informal
unemployment
formalized
and
study
Its
only
goods
inte
theories
by
increased
one
vastly
Basin
as
For
failure
who
entire
gral
services the
impeifectly
would
of are
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from
23).
during
that
focuses the
informal
urban
and
selected
demand,
parts
based
outatripa operate
profound
(1976,
in
closely
activities,
Haiti,
in
validity
through of
region,
the
to
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do
wi 11
also
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1978)
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and a outside
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both
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demand.
drops.
the
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population
of
smaller
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supported
American
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that
their
to height
unweighted
reflecting
for
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Jamaica.
as
of
proposition:
experience
urban
them.
and
directly,
do
study
buying
countries
a
on
each
are
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Although
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compensating
form
hypotheses
Informal
ones,
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Basin
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so of
economies.
crises
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the
In
were
instead
other
labor
in
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regulated.
Although
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mecha
of
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limited
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such
1974
of
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partic
during formal
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of
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as of a F 7c9 22 AlejandroPortes,José Irzigsohn,and CarlosDore-Cabral U _5 , S o U • .1 9t1 cant proportion of its total population and illustrate the great diversity‘of :;ir H historical experience found in the area. -6 •-a.6 gass2 -Icc The principaldifferencesbetween these fivecountriesare summarizedin .6 .6 D ‘8 table 2.1.They include the richest and mostpoliticallystable nation in the region (Costa Rica) and the poorest and most unstable (Haiti). Politically, o ,, there are two stable democracies, albeit with different political regimes a-c--1° a (Costa Rica and Jamaica). The other counties range from a strong presi -e U) dentialist incipient democracy (the Dominican Republic) to fragilepoliti -a 9t cal systemsthat have experienced repeated military interventions (Gua g 0go 1 temala and Haiti). In terms of size, they include the largest Central 12E 5E2c8 .2c3 American country (Guatemala) and, with the exception of Cuba, the t U’ largestisland-country (the Dominican Republic). U) The urbanizedpopulations range fromlessthan one-third of the total in o o 0 U) — - 0 r— U) Haiti to mote than half in Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, andJamai a a 0 5- U) 0 ca. Given other economic and political differences,it ispossibleto expect that utbanization pattems will differacrossthe fivecountries. ‘Whatthese differencesare and how they bear on the above propositions is the purpose 0 of the study.The collaborative character of the project, described in chap 0’ — -, O I ter 1, called for the same three themes—urban primacy,spatial polariza - C tion, and the informal economy—to be covered by each report so that systematiccomparisonscould be conducted. These data findingsare cited, -C where appropriate, in ensuing sections of this chapter. They are supple — U) 0 o 0 0 au..9 mented by other secondarydata to provide the most up-to-date portrayals g e U) fl U) — 0 e 0 o g .5 w ,— ,- ,., r, of urban systetnain the region. -ta a e U) o .61 .5 2 e Urban Primacy -t e .5 U) ,- 0 0 I 0 0 0 0 0 I - D 1 The evidencefromthe fivecountries on ourfirstproposition ismixed.In U) 5- :5 5ge somenations, there has been a deceleration ofprimacy;in others, there has C sos c -C CC not. The observed intraregional differences tend to agree, however, with 0 C .6 C the logicof the hypothesis.The shifr towardcoo iscleat and isexemplified C 5 by the rapid growth of export production zones (Ens) throughout the I 6 p I I Caribbean Basin. Table 2.2 presents illustrative data for four of the five S 6-S S countries studied.The consistent growth ofcars and export assemblyplants o documented by these figuresis a direct consequenceof the search for new I S . .a -C S .9-I sourcesof foreign exchange, coupled with the favorable tariff regime cre 0 C - -a ated by the new Caribbean Basin Initiative. 9 ‘8 ‘-5 2 Without doubt, the principal stimulus for foreign industries to transfer .1 j - 0 5 a operations to the Caribbean has been low labor costs. In 1988, the hourly a a S manufacturingwagewasestimated at US$1.00 in Costa Rica, $0.61—0.88 24 AlejandroPorces,JoséIczigoohn,and CarlosDore-Cabral r Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 25 Table 2.2 Export Production Zones (cr’zs) in Selected Caribbean Countries SpanishTownto the northwest ofthe capital. Under the effectofexpanded tourism,cities like Montego Bayand Gcho Riosalsogrewat a Export Manufac veryfast clip the last decade. turing as Percent durinE age of Total With the return to puwer of the Jamaica Labour Party in 1980, under en and Ocher S,- Employment in EdwardSeaga,the islandbecametransformedinto an expurt-orienredopen Number of Number of port Manafactur- Manufatruting economy,a processcompletedunder Seaga’ssuccessor,the People’sNation Zones Plants icy Employment 1975 19901 al Parry’sMichael Manley.This led 1973 19901 cx. 1980 to growingcapital investments both in cx. 1990’ 1975 1990’ 1%) (%) tourism and export platform industrialization (Gordon and Dixon 1991). Costa Rica 0 4 0 89 0 11,470 0 7 The decentralizing potential of EPZ industries is partially neutralized be Dominican 2 26 88 419 6,900 111,000 5 43 causethe largestexport-production zone islocated in Kingston itself.How Republic ever,a second en is located in Montego Bayand, alongwith the phenome Haiti 1 1 13 154 25,000 43,000 20 35 nal growthof tourism in this and other northern cities,has ledto significant Jamaica 1 2 25 26 6,100 8,000 8 7 reductions in the former hegemony of Kingston. The Dominican Republic has experienced a similar rapid Soaeces.Schoepileand expansion of Peeer-Lopm1989;Lomnoand Duane 1991;Direction Generalde Essodisrics Cema de CoseaRica 1991, y both tourism and export industries. By 1985, receipts from tourism had Coepoexcionde Is Zoos Pmncode Espanacian 1991;bantam de EsmdiosDoroinicar,xs 1992;sod Cooseix Nacional de Zonasb’cancasde Exportation 1992. surpassedthe sumof the three main traditional agriculturalexports—sugar, I. The data foeHaiti and Jama,caare fromcx. 1986. coffee,and tobacco. About the same time, receipts from the export zones alsostarted to climb rapidly.In the Dominican case,the centrifugalpoten tial of export oriented industrializationwas not partially neutralized as in in Guatemala, $0.44—0.88in the DominicanRepublic,and $0.36 inJamai Jamaica because most of the epzs are located outside the capital city of ca. Coats of labor and overhead associatedwith the assemblyof women’s Santo Domingo. The latest census figuresindicate that the fastest urban garments were estimated at $4.75 per unit in the United States, $2.20 in growth during the last intercensal period (1970—931took place in La Ro Hong Kung, and $1.66 in the Caribbean (Schoepfleand Perez-Lopez1989: mana, the city where the first EPZ was established and that also was the 135—136).Guatemala (excludedfrom the table becauseof the absence of recipient of significant tourism investment. ens) has recently establisheda largezone in Puerto Barriosand has begun The rate of growth of Santo Domingohas declined significantlyduring fostenng the growth ofexport gannenr assemblieson the basisofextremely the same period, fallingbehind that of all three secondarycities. By 1993, low labor costs (Pdrez-Sainz1992). the capital’surban primacyhad declined to 2.0The growth rate of Domin Yetthe effectsof export-platformindustrializationon Caribbean primate can secondarycities during the 1980shasbeen explosive,driven bytourism cities are not even becausethere are three additional factors:(1) the physi and the continuing expansion of export manufacturing. Tourist develop cal location of the export zones; (2) their relative viability; (3) the growth ment has centered on a city on the north coast, Puerto Plata, in a pattern ofother foreign-oriented sectors,especiallyexport agricultureand tourism. verysimilarto Jamaica’sMontegoBay,and on all-inclusive,enclave resorts These factors determine variations of urban development around a com in La Romana. mon pattern dominated by the tendency to rechanrsel internal migration As seen in table 2.2, export-oriented industries expanded fivefoldbe toward new areas of tourism and export manufacruring.1 tween 1973 and 1990 and their labor force grewby 1,500 percent. This Of the five countries under study,Jamaica is the one that has experi rapid expansion has continued unabated during the early 1990s.By 1992, enced most clearly a reduction in primacy. As shown in table 2.3, the for example,employment in export-manufacturingplants wasestimated at primacy index declined from 7.2 in 1960 to 2.2 in 1990. This result was 134,100,a 21 percent increasein just two years.With the exception of the associatedwith the expansion of the tourist industryin the northern coast San Crisrobal export zone, located near the western fringe of the capital, of the island, the revival of bauxite production in the interior, and the most manufacturing for export and ancillary economic activities are lo growth of satellite cities in the vicinity of the Kingston metropolitan area cated in secondary cities such as Santiago, La Rumana, and San Pedro de (irMA). The latter process isexemplifiedby the rapid population increaseof Macoris (Guarnizo 1992:chap. 2). These cities have experienced a rapid s-J C,
Table 2.3 Urban Primacy
lntercental Popalarion Growth Rate Largest City Three Neet Largesr (ODDs) 1960—70 Latest4 Urban Primacyt Country (Metropolitan Area) Ciriea, 1980—90 1960_70t 1980—90 (%) (%) 1960 1970 1980 1990
Costa Rira San José 320.4 861.3 6.2 3.3 5.4 5.4 6.0 4.7 Limssn 19.4 66.1 4.8 15.8 Panta Arenm 19.6 55.7 3.1 16.0 Canago 18.0 61.4 8.4 13.4 Domintran Repablsc Santo Domingo 650 1,555.7 6.5 4.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.0 Santiago 155 488.3 6.5 5.0 San Pedro de Macotis 44 146.6 7.8 5.4 La Romona 37 141.6 5.9 6.0
Guatemala Goaremala City 587.5 940.5 4.9 1.4 6.4 7.7 7.6 — Qaetaltenango 44.2 62.7 2.2 2.3 Escointla 24.9 36.9 3.7 1.4 Puerto Barrios 22.3 24.2 0.1 0.9
.—
Haiti Port-au-Prince 458.6 1,143.6 11.5 8.8 2.7 4.7 5.1 5.4 Cap Hoitien 45.6 89.2 4.1 5.6 Gonalves 28.7 58.3 5.5 6.1 Caym 22.6 62.5 4.5 10.4 Jamaica Kingston 376.5 559.1 2.2 0.9 7.2 4.4 2.6 2.2 Spanish Town 14.7 118.8 10.3 10.1 Montego Boy 23.6 87.1 6.3 5.0 Mop Pen 14.1 50.8 6.1 5.0
Sources: Lungo, Pétes, and Piedm 1991; Lossno and Doorre 1991; Péeee-Sdtne 1991; Manigas 1991; Gordon and Dioon 1991; United Nasiom 1988: table A-l0; Encyclopaedia Beimnoicu 1991; Economic Commission fur Latin Ameeico and the Cacibbeon 1992: table 7; Panes and Walton 1976: table 2. 1. Calculated as the eutia of the largest city to the sam of the three neat largest. 2. For Costa Rica, Guatemsla, and Jamaica, estimate is for 1960; for the Dominican Republic and Haiti, 1970. 3. For Costa rico, Guatemola, and Jamaica, estimate is for 1990; foe Haiti, 1980—81; for she Dominican Repablic, 1993. 4. Poe Coasa Rica, 1984—90; she Dominican Republic, 1970—93; Goaremala, 1973—81; Hoiti, 1970—88; )amaica, 1970—90.
-J 95 28 Alejandro Portes,Joséltzigsobn,and CarlosDore-Cabral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 29 expansion of their urbanizedperimeters as wellas notable densificarion.A recent studyof Santiago, the country’ssecond largestcity concludes:“The city has grown in a chaotic way to the east in massivesettlements in the direction of Puerto Plara; to the south, advancing rapidly toward mral N zones,and to the southeast toward the mountains” (Santana 1992:44). This and similat reports indicate that, despite the dearth of officialdata, CARIBBEAN SEA urbanizationpatterns in the Dominican Republic are likelyto followthose inJamaica,with an upsurgeofsmallerurban centers and arelativedecelera tion of the capital’sprimacy. Costa Rica, too, hasbeen makingsignificantinvestments in tourism and export-platformindustrialization.Unlike in the DominicanRepublic,how ever, neither sector has yet surpassedthe dominance of traditional export agriculture.In addition, export assemblyremainsa smallpercentageoftotal Costa manufacturing, still dominated Rican by import-substitution indus PACIFIC OCEAN tries.As in other countries, these industriescluster in the largestcity,in this casethe metropolitan area of San José (AxlsJ).Despite these trends, urban primacy,which had been increasing steadily up to 1980,declined in the san Jaw Met,apalitan Aan followingdecade. As shown in table 2.3, this decline wasatcompanied bya halving of the tate of growth of San José along with veryrapid increasesin • Main Cities the population of smaller cities.Among the latter are the two port cities of Punta Arenas and Limon,suggestingthat new export-oriented investments in these areasate beginning to have significantdemographicconsequences (Lungo,Perez,and Piedra 1991).However,there isalsoa powerfulcounter- Figure 2.1 Location trend to a mote balanced urban systembecause the largestsites of export- of Costa Rican Cities in Relation to the San Jead Metropolitan Area. Seance: assemblymanufacturing are located in Costa Rica’scentral valley,in close Longo, Perez, and Piedra 1991.
Table2.4 Urban Growth in Guatemala, 1950—1981 proximity to the AM5J. Despite government efforts to locate the eras in Annual Grewrls Rate coastal cities, moat export industryconverged in the central valley,which City 1950—64 1964—73 1973—81 also concentrates a large portion of the tounat znfraattucture.As seen in table 2.3, Cartago, a central valley city, grew very rapidlyduring the last Guatemala City 7.2 2.5 1.0 decade, asdid Alajuela and Heredia,all urban areasin cloaevicinity Meoopsliran Areat 7.3 4.9 1.4 to San Qaezaltenango 4.3 2.2 2.3 José.Their relative locationsate portrayedin figure2.1.Combinedwith the Escuintla 11.1 3.7 1.4 continuoua outward expansion of the capital, the growth of these satellite Resalhalea 4.3 3.1 1.9 cities threatens to atreat the reversal of primacy,recreating it on a larger Paerre Bareies 3.4 0.1 0.9 scale. The contours of a new megacitycomptising the thirty-one central Antigua 1.9 3.3 —1.5 valley contonca,or municipalities, and concentrating the majority of the Mazarenango 5.5 2.1 —1.3 national population have begunto emerge(Lungo,Perez,andPiedra 1991). Total 7.6 Urban 3.4 0.7 Hence, despite the recent weakening of San José’sprimacyand the rapid
Saarce:Pérez-SSinz1991:table 4. growth of Costa Rican coastal towns, thete is a clear danger that the I. Oaatnmala City and maeicipalitieaaf Micra and VillaNaeva. decentralizing potential of the new export-oriented industriesmaybe lost 30 AlejandroPortes,Joséltzigsohn,and CarlosDore.Cabral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 31 I as they reinforce rather than weaken the expansionary tendency of the by the hypothesis of decelerating primacy.Political instability, lack of a capital. suitable infrastructure, and fear of AIDS have all but dismantled Haiti’s Guatemala has laggedbehind mostof itsneighbors in both the establish tourist sector. Goods assembly,the country’smain export earner, was con ment of export assemblyindustries and the development of tourist infra centrated in the late l980s in a single EPZ located adjacent to Port-au- structure. Prolonged political instability and generalized violence have Prince’sairport. This location accelerated rural migration to the capital, conspired against successfulinvestments in either Sector.The country’s alreadystimulated by land scarcity and soil erosion (Manigat 1991;Miller entry into the new export-oriented modelofdevelopmenthas depended,so 1984). The result was that Haiti continued to experience sustained in far,on the expansion of its agriculturalexports.As noted byAmaro (1990: creasesin primacyalongthe pattern typicalofearlierLatinAmerican urban 13—29),coffeeexportsgrewbyalmost 800 percent between 1950and 1981; development. Port-au-Prince’sannual rate of growthduring the 1970sand cotton also has experienced a boom, beginning midcenrury. l980s, 8.8 percent (table 2.3), is the highest of all the cities studied. Guatemalan urbanization patterns have reflected,with some lag, these The evidence in this section indicates that urbanprimacyis not declin tendencies in export agriculture.The country’surban primacyisamongthe ing everywhere,but that the underlying forcesidentifiedasresponsiblefor highest in Latin America because of the weaknessof secondarycities. In its decline in the larger Latin American countries also operate in those of 1980, the population of Guatemala City was more than seven times the the Caribbean Basin.Effectsof the new export-oriented modelofdevelop combined total of the next three cities. Nevertheless, figuresin table 2.4 ment on the urban systemare not uniform:they depend on the location of show that the second city, Quezaltenango, grew at twice the rate of the the new industries and their capacity for employment creation. When capital during the last intercensal period, correspondingto its role as the sizabletourist and export manufacturingprojects are locatedawayfromthe principal coffee center. The two cotton cities, Escuintla and Retalhuleu, primary city, the urban system responds along the lines predicted by the also grew rapidly during the period of this crop’sexpansion; afterwards, hypothesis (Jamaica and the Dominican Republic);when these same sec growth there leveled.The banana center, Puerto Barrios,stagnated during torsare located in ornear the capital city,primacyisexacerbated(Haiti); in the l970s and 1980sfollowingthe collapseof this sector. situations where export-oriented development is in its early stages, the Congruent with the absence of any significanteconomic innovation, at urban systemremains unaltered (Guatemala). least until the mid-l980s, Guatemala’surban systemhas not experienced The analysis also identified a second dynamic concerning the rapid any significanttransformation. Primacyremained unchangedand the over growthofsatellite townsand suburbs—atendencythat runs contrary to the all rate of urbanization declined during the last intercensal period (table decentralizingpotential of export growth and that maynegate its effectby 2.4). The only signs of dynamism were the relatively fast growth of Que givingrise to future largercities.The principal case in point is Costa Rica, zaltenango and the rapid increaseof the population in municipalitiesadja where the rapid expansion of the capital isfast linking with satellite towns cent to the capitalcity.The suburban towns of Mixcoand VillaNueva grew in which export assemblyplants have clustered. The two forcesaffecting froma combined total of 15,000in 1964to 186,000in 1981.These munici the evolution of the urban system reinforce each other in this instance, palities by themselvesare largertoday than the sumof the next three cities leading to the possibleemergence of a new megalopolisin the country’s outside of the Guatemala Metropolitan Area (AMcz). Without them, the central region. AMOs primacywouldhave declined froman index of7.6 to 6.1 (Pérez-Sáinz 1991: 23). These results are congruent with the subutbanization of the metropolitan population and growth of satellite towns observed in other Spatial Polarization countries. The question for the future is whether the establishmentof new EPZ5 and investments in tourism in the smaller cities would introduce a Our analysisof patterns of spatialdistribution in the capital cities of the second dynamic,so far absent in Guatemalan urban development. five countries studieddoesnot support the hypothesisof a unifotm reversal The dynamic role of export-oriented manufacturing ismuch mote visi ofclasspolarization.However,the changesobservedaccordwith the under ble in Haiti which wasone of the first countries to take advantage of the lying rationale of our second proposition. These cities were generally less Caribbean Basin Initiative (Schoepfle and Perez-Lopez1989). However, polarizedthan their largerSouth American counterpartsat the onset ofthe the effectsofthe new industrieshave been the oppositeofthose anticipated economic crisis, in part because local elites were not sufficientlylarge to 32 AlejandroPortes,José Itzigsohn,and Carlos Dore-Calsral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 33 9
occupyvast expansesof terntory. Instead, they cteated ptotected enclaves in an utban landscapedominated by low-incomeneighborhoodsand squat ter settlements.This potttayal vatied, of cootse, with the levelofeconomic development, the topographicalchatacterisrics of each city,and, aboveall, the policiesof the national government. The mostpolarizedofour fivecities isKingston,where the socialconfig uration resemblesan inverted ice-cream cone: shantytown and working- classneighborhoodsat the baseand elite settlements in the upperreachesof the Liguanea Plain, on which the city is located. This patrem—alteady observable in Cohn Clarke’s (1975) study of the city in the 1960s— remained essentiallyunchanged into the l980s. Debates amongJamaican urban specialistsduring the 1970scentered on the evolution ofKingston’s “transitionzone”ofmiddlehousing between the low lyingshantytownsand the elite high grounds(Norton 1978;Knight and Davies 1978).A second debate was on the extent to which an inner ring of popular settlements close to the wealthy foothills subverted Clarke’sportrayal of spatial polar izatiori. As shown in figure2.2, the presence of these shantytown areas in the mid-1970sdid not reallyalter the overall tendency toward spatialsegrega tion. The latter wasstronglycorrelated with different population densities. Norton (1978: 100) noted that 41 percent of Kingston’sresidential area in the early l970s was occupied by 6 percent of the population living at fIll] Irregular (squaiter) Low and medium Medium-high densities of Od jjJjJ neiilemenis esd incomes and high incomes persons per room, whereas 75 percent of the population sery low Incomes occupied only 33 percent of the residential area at average densities of 2 personsper room.Classdifferenceswere also superimposedon ethnic char Figure 2.2 ResidentialStrata in Kingston’sMetropolitan Ares, ca. 1980. Source: acteristics. As Gordon and Dixon (1991) observed, there was significant AdaptedfromGordonsod Dixon1991,bssedonofficialsources. overlapbetween the white/mulatto/black composition ofKingston’spopu lation and the elite/middle-class/poor descriptions of locationsforresiding 1991:33). The crearion of these “suburbsof the poor” (Norton 1978) has in urban space. been followedbythe still more notable displacementof middle-incomeand Since the economic crisis of the mid-1970s, two novel tendencies in impoverished groups out of Kingston proper and into the adjacent Sr. Jamaica correspond fairly well with those observed in the larger South Catherine Plain. The movement was accommodated in planned housing American cities. First, the consolidation of new elite enclaves around the estates such as Porrmore, Enson City, and others on the toad to Spanish shoppingand business districtsofNew Kingston and Constant SpringRoad Town aswell as in new, largeshantytowns.Low-lyingPortmore,acrossthe to the north has been partially counteracted by the rapid growth of inner- bay from Kingston, grewfrom a communityof 5,000 in 1970to 73,400 in ring irregular settlements around the same areas.A report bythe Statistical 1982,equivalent to an annual growthrate of 25percent. Asshown in table Institute of Jamaica summarizesthe resulting configuration as “an erratic 2.5, this new frontier of suburban projects and squatter settlements led to arrangement of residences; close juxtaposition of residences containing the absolute decline of the population of Kingstonproper,alreadyobserv opposite socioeconomicgroups and the dispersed clusters of low-income able in 1982 along with the growth of St. Catherine. residences throughout the higher income areas; an increased tendency The spread of population acrossKingston Baywas the outcome of two towards peripheral location of lowerincome residencesas they rivalhigher setsofforces.Firstwere effortsbythe poor to escapethe growingviolence in income groupsin search of accommodation” (cited in Gordon and Dixon central Kingston, caught in the throes of fscrional wsrfarebetween rival 34 Alejandro Portes, José Itzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral C’s? Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 35
Table 2.5 Growth of Urban Population in the Kingston Region the fatefuldecisionof the national government to establisha new industrial Popalasion Annaal Rate zonein the area ofHerrera, in the westem fringeof the city.This industrial Area 1970 1982 Change ofGrowth zoneand the working-classneighborhoods that grewaround it effectively bracketed the upper income residential developments, converting them KingstonMerrepolirso 473,715 524,638 50,923 0.90 thto an elite enclave in the midst of a poor city and limiting their possi Kingston 111,897 104,04t —7,856 —0.59 bilitiesof expansion. This situation had important Sr. AndrewUrban 361,818 420,597 58,779 1.35 consequencesfor urban St. Catherine Plain 63,263 207,460 144,197 18.99 development in the years that followed. As in Kingston,the economiccrisisin Santo Domingosawthe displace Sourre: JamaicaSrarisrirallnsrirure1973,1982. ment of poor populations toward high-income areas in search of em ployment and better housing.The movement took the form of increasing political parties; second was closure the of opportunities for affordable occupation of publiclyowned land in the interstices of middle- and upper- middle-incomehousing in the established northern suburbs.The firstphe income developments as well as the rapid growth of the western fringe nomgnon rsunique to Jamaica, but the second issimilarto that observedin around the Hertera industrialzone (Lozanoand Duarte 1991).The process Bogota, São Paulo,and other South American cities. In both instances,the reduced spatial polarization and, more significantly,further encapsulated impact of the economic crisis forcedlargesectorsof the urban middle class upper-incomeneighborhoodsbetween twowideringsofimpoverishedpop to seekhousingsolutionsin aressregarded previouslyasphysicallyor social ulation. The wealthier groupsresponded byseekingeven more remote and lyunacceptable.The differenceisthat, whereasin South American capitals exclusivelocations in the northwest area, in developmentssuch as Artoyo the physicaldisplacementof middle-incomegroupstook place in the direc Manzanoand Altos de Arroyo Hondo. The emergenceof these expensive tion of establishedworking-classareas, in Kingston the middle classesand suburban divisions represents a clear attempt to maintain social distance the poor moved together—both heading towardpreviouslyunsettled land. fromthe poor,but even here physicalspacehasbeen increasinglycontested Along with the cxpansion of the “suburbs of the poor” toward the north, by squatter settlements moving north fromthe settled working-classareas. this movement led to greater interminglingin urban space,and, hence, to a Figure2.3portraysthe relative location ofsocioeconomicstrata in Santo partial reversalof the pattern of class polarization. Domingo according to quality of dwellingsand relative densities in 1990. A similar trend is observablein Santo Domingo, although with other The map indicates two noteworthy features.One is the spreadof irregular variants. During the period of import-substitution industrialization (isi), squatter settlements throughout the entire urban area. Although concen the Dominican capital grewrapidly.This gaverise to a new industrial zone trated noeth and eastofdowntown,squatter settlementsarealsofoundclose and working-classsettlements toward the north and east of the Ozama to the rich suburbandevelopmentsin the city’snorthwest. A secondfeature River and the displacementofelite sectorsto the west. Sustained economic of note is the existence of a sizablemiddle-incomearea east of the Ozama growth under in during the 1960s and early 1970sgenerated new wealthy River and close to the largestpoor settlements. The rapid growth of this groups and an urban middle class capable of fueling demand for luxury area in neighborhoods such as Los Trinirarios and Villa Faro is a recent housing (Ouarnizo 1992:chapter 2). This demand ledto a rapid inflation of phenomenon that correspondswell to the trend alreadyobservedin other land prices in the northwest quadrant of the city and the emergence of Latin American cities. exclusiveresidentialneighborhoodssuch as Naco, LosJardines,and Arroyo In the Dominican case, this trend was prompted by the closure of the Hondo. South of them, toward the Caribbean Sea, grew more-affordable western fringe to middle-class expansion and by the occupation of the middle-classhousing developments such as Miramar and Mirador Norte adjacent northwest by the wealthy. Predictably,urban densities and rents (Lozanoand Duarte 1991). increased in the old established, middle-class areas. In response, some The same period wimessed the growth ofa vast conglomeration of slum middle-claasgroups breached the symbolic divide separating them from dwellings and squatter settlements north of downtown and east of the working-classareasin searchofaffordablehousing.In Santo Domingo,this Ozama River around the area of Los Mina. The apparent polarization of decisionbecameknownas“crossingthe bridge”(acrossthe Ozama)toward urban space into a westem frontier of elite and middle-income develop the new residentialdevelopmentsin the east.This processisessentiallythe ments and a northeast zone of marginalized population was interrupted by same as that observed in Bogota and other South American cities. Along
36
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1991).
1991).
such
ordec
by
Kowarick’s
running
to
this space
the
limited
offers
class
with
the
poverty.
turned settlements
ateas,
ste
classes
in
the
prevent
migration
of
above,
No
geadual
invasion.
as than
a
of
Deprived
is the
city
commonly
In
The
need
by
only
them
is
context
no
the
1989).
best
upper-class
the
Petionville,
In
even
to
sectors
water
the
into
had
city,
malcing
impoverished so
for
by
hookupa.
is
of in
It
other
counterpart
vacant
Haiti,
of
furthet
term),
most
for
urban
to
the
thtough
displacement small.
Haitian
described
Kingston
formerly
the
tepeesenes open
access
of
partially Urbanization
but
informal
public
television
a
some
of and
The
of
emergence
in
the
few.
posted
access
dramatic
industry rural
the
legal
extends
poot
prompted
declining
land
search
encroachments
space,
area,
Instead,
92
‘What
form
to
occupation
Lsboule,
services
capital,
widesptead
rural
economic
By
working-class
reversing
poor or
percent
access
markets,
but
toward
as of
electricity,
masses
to
in
an
no
cable.
Santo
1988,
of
of
Port-au-Prince’s
to
a basic has
water,
emerging
front
of
poor.
extends
example
in
of
matter
employment
extreme has new
few
by
ptoductivity the
there
reversal
rural
has
to
vast
the
emerged,
and
the
migrating
had
the
In
72
Domingo
services,
of
crisis
these blocking
not
occupation
its
pitating
islands
housing, There
drainage,
of
been
Caribbean
bidonvilles
west,
the
but
migrants
has
1988,
how
past
Tomassin, percent
by
exacerbation
to
access
urban
of
been
to
areas
case
of
of
the
services,
the
tesidencea
the
swamped
transformation
been
class
then, class
take remote
is
the
of it
of but
and
80
from
vehicular streets,
and
and
in
limited
poor.
has
of sharp
no
to
only and
majority
space
wealth
water, of
of
late
towatd
part
such
polarization. Basin
petcent
also polarization
its
“pervetse a
near
is
even
observable
it produced
employ
has
free
the
electrici
the
the
or
thorough
a
to
has
place.
increase
of
1970s
because
by several
of
by
by
silent
as
exclu
to
elec
unbe
basic
been
poor
city’s space
coun
sur
the
the
the
traf
for
Cite
ac been
the
this
the
the
of
37
of
a ‘11 38 Neither
affected the wealth the segregation was rienced most represent economic ofSan distinct ic provision response politan
been and actions ing preventing where cities.” middle-class.
cific Urban ment, tration the and through the disappeared for rium. of through
development The
This
The land
material
needs
highly a
projects,
economy electricity mid-1980s.
Oscar
socially areas
marked the
José The
wages, Alejandro existed,
two
state
shantytowns
significant
outcome economic promoted the area. of
by
elite
invaders
new to
an
exceptions
and central
of
and
Rodrigo and
Arias
polarized
led
the capitals government
new land are
the needs
innovative
because
housing integrated projects As
enclaves
and programs and
segregation .
numbers and
to spatial but,
threatening
crisis, and
quite
radical
were EPZ
During Lungo,
invasions
(1986—90), was .
Portes,
a
in
agent the These
downturn
the of (3)
reversals the relatively
Carazo in
in
the
new close
the
and to to
the the
different,
ability
this for the
combined
were extension inequalities. Central
dispersion
nor
state
of
spatial the begin of construction of
sites-and-services
Perez,
gave in José
vast the actions
result
projects, revamped
land
lower-middle subsidized
poor to of case,
the
those
through
a
the (1
patterns
to
interspersed
of
of urban investment of shantytown the administrations
homogeneous efforts
ltzigsohn, wave
978—82)
priority
with.
initiate five
invasions
America—in
spatial
and segregation
of the the
development such gravitated however.
generated
capital,
seeking of
with
three of
cities
and
state
early of
space Piedra State
the
the housing
were
The
outlined credit
these areas
new
of
a polarization,
to
state
prevention and
urban relocation types and
process
and
studied—higher
to good
1
nor
proliferated, capacity
refuge the
made reasons
intervention with belt. that In 980s,
were
rural
program.
(1991:
toward for projects
intervene
a
found
urban Carlos led
policies market
the more
low-income the
of
provision Costa
above.
of of
quality
infrastructure
the
emerged
to
those
coincided state (and to
migrants.
of
in
Luis
metropolitan
Costa city
accounting
reestablish
117) middle recuperated, space;
in spatial a homogenous of
those
Dore-Cabral them
of
Rica
in
offered throughout
contraction By
policies: are) Neither
that other invaders
in itself
A.
further housing
of
concentrating
part
note, in
Rican
of
1990,
in the
and there areas Monge much the
much
class, polarization.
levels As
sectors, with the sought
housing
the
could
because
Latin
solutions housing
of
“The spatial in
Guatemala—
city private land
for
“the (1)
development in capital—the
for
early
were where San
roads,
the resettlement
smaller greater. however,
other
of urban
the
state
of
cope
(1982—86)
this subsidized
American
to has
the
econom (2)
invasions tendency state
solutions adminis
JosC. employ
neither
neither eighties
marker. equilib
reduce
metro
which, in
water, expe sector some cities lesser
hous
lower
space with
rapid
Both
and
spe
has
Its
by
I
structure poverty hand, although poor elite Perez, percent whole, treme income Tivoli, monthly classified enclave shared proximity and middle-class that shantytowns Guatemala downtown whose family five level search ments elite any and cities, should income in
1980s
San
Kingston, The Guatemala Figure
of
squatter
upper-income means
facilitate and
residential
and of
poverty.
and is did
the anywhere
of and incomes José incomes
established 1.25 by
have
generalized
groups were
sectors.
state-sponsored in
in
characterized
a
has
incomes small,
better 2.4
as
not
the mass
low-density
twenty-five
Piedra to
its 1986—87; in
in Metropolitan
the
million is
settlements.
produced residential poor
portrays
prompted Santo middle-income
ate
low-density
the
primarily midst. a
materialize
City
defense
working
Even
to
of
did
more were employment Guatemalan
exceeding neighborhoods;
close
frequently
in
flee
impoverished
or 1991:
central of
enclaves
during
is
not
and
families Domingo,
the
in
very
800
of accessible the
administratively
the refined
and
zones by
of residential an
the
the class reach
a urban these,
zones
126). increasing
violence.
city;
poor spatial
Second,
residential quetzales its urban in Area. middle-class
the
the
city.
capital
US$300
visible
most
were
located Guatemala (83.4%
privileges, that
opportunities. society
analysis
and
or
there US$45. opposite;
late periphery. (#14) (Pérez-Sáinz
949,000(64.5%)
Port-au-Prince,
Urbanization
Most
people,
to Two landscape
distribution
zones
higher.
not comprise
deprived
city, housing this
shantytowns,
An
an
l940s presence
poverty
(US$120
is
of
with
in
developments
is
facts
combined
no
in of
of
impoverished
spatial
Even divided
entrenched
10 the
where city;
central
sharply
mostly
presents
namely, City—a
the its
frontier
these
The
(Pérez-Sáirsz
36 and
are dominated
total)
and
sectors
the
spatial
1991:53;
This in Guatemala
more in suburbs
of
of percent
mix the
in
immediately
14,
Guatemala
into Indians. others
and areas, the
socioeconomic
metropolitan divided areas
high-density
well-to-do
a
with 1985) lived the
were direct of
a
phenomenon,
situation
for population has
remarkable,
structure.
Caribbean major
elite, to
such
suburban
larger some
middle
but
feebleness
Ruiz
example,
are in of
by
not invade
classified
had a
in
1991:
consequence or For
between
City,
close
as very
well-defined
settlements
willing in
twenty-five conditions
located
challenge
South
prompted
1990).
less.
Santa City
was
the
apparent.
relatively average
neighborhoods
class”
31). In
working-class
elite
area
poor
elite on
Basin
with
proximity
strata
the country
better, are
One
as
during of
observable 1985,
to American
a
Clara This
the
develop south
could
living
wealthy
(Lungo,
middle-
actually families areas middle-
average
employ
to upper-
family
of
of
of
in of
other
zones
close First,
class
only elite 56.3
and
any as the the the the the ex
39
be
in of to
in
a
/
O) /01
Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 41 popular attempt at revind ication. Although working-classoccupations of landnear high-income neighborhoodsisan everydayaffairin other cities, it would be quite unthinkable, in the face of the violent opposition, in the elite urban zonesof Guatemala (Jonas 1991). This political simation also helps to explain the peculiar absence of t3 ,) reaidential segregation that is apparent in figure2.4. In part, there is no spatialsegregationofthe classes becausetheir socialsegregationissovastas to a render the proximity of the poor more a convenience — Egr than a threat to cc,. .a privilegedgroups.With the state’smeans a. — ofviolence at their disposaland a ‘ population intimidated by yeats of repression, there is little incentive for the well-to-doto escape a act, the city. Instead, poor settlements function mostly , asa convenient sourceofdomestic laborand personal,sei-vicesforelite areas (Roberts 1978). In sum, the •oiii fivecapital cities provideevidence in favorof the hypothesis ofreversalofspatial polarization,but there arealsoindications ofsignificant g variations and exceptions to the process. The comparison highlights the significanceof the state in countermanding the tendency of urban elites to create exclusive residentialareasand of impoverishedgroupsto try to settle near them in search of better material opportunities. In the two Central American capitals in the study, these tendencies are absent, in large part i becauseof state . action. In one case, state policy attempted to meet those basic needs that lead the urban poor to invade elite suburbs;in the other, state repression foreclosedthe possibilityof such popular actions, hence : g removing one of f the major incentives for elite flight from the city. The second rtend leadingto the reduction ofspatialpolarization (that is, the movement of middle-classgroups into formerlylow-income areas) is observablein - twoof our fivecities (Kingston and Santo Domingo). In the 5 other three, either the middle class is too small (Port-au-Prince and Gua temala City) or it , comprisesthe majority of the urban population and has been the recipient of state programsto meet its housing needs (San José).
The Informal Economy and Unemployment . a. Our analysis ofurban labormarketsand of the roleofthe informalSector seeks to understand the extent to which inegular forms of emploent played a countercyclical role at the height of the economic crisis. This analysis, guidedby hypothesis3 above, is limited to four countries. Haiti, the one excluded, is exceptional in that formal-sectoremployment barely exists;furthermore, the dearth of reliable statistics makesit impossibleto detect short-term change) in a labor market that isoverwhelminglyinfor 40 (9;L 42 AlejandroFortes,JoséIrzigsohn,and CarlosDore-Cabral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 43
Table2.6 Evolution the LaborMarketin Metropolitan of SanJosé, 1980—1989 economy. Female labor market participation grew during the decade in connection with the proliferstion 1980 1981 1982 1983 1985 1987 1988 1989 ofassembly-for-exportplants in the AM5J. Maquzkss,as these plantsareknown locally,more than tripledtheir employ GNP growth rate 0.8 —2.3 —7.3 2.9 0.7 4.9 3.8 5.0 ment between 1984and 1990,reaching 40,000 in the latter year:Most of Employment (000s) 210.9 208.4 219.5 221.9 240.2 253.5 248.6 265.7 thesejobsareunstable and paylowwages,employingmainlyyoungwomen. Formal-sector employment (%) 71.6 68.3 66.7 67.9 68.9 68.8 70.7 70.7 Part-time employmentalsogrew,tos high of37.5 Informal-sector employment 1%)’ 26.7 29.9 30.5 30.3 29.7 29.7 27.6 27.5 percent of the economi active Open unemployment (%) 5.0 8.3 11.3 8.5 7.4 4.8 6.6 2.7 cally population by the mid-1980s.While the minimum wagerecu Percentage of composition of tlse 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 perated in 1989to its fullvalue at the beginning ofthe decade, earningsof informal sector skilled and white-collar workersremained below the 1980 figure(Lungo, Informal owners (%) 11.2 8.1 9.4 9.7 7.2 11.5 7.7 8.6 Pmirez,and Piedra 1991).The informalsector registereda parallelevolution Informal workers 1%) 35.6 38.0 37.5 32.2 36.5 32.6 33.6 20.9 in its internal structure. The better remunerated and more stable category Unremunerated family workers (%) 6.0 6.1 5.3 2.4 3.5 2.9 3.2 2.9 of informal entrepreneurs by Self-employed (%) 47.2 47.8 47.8 55.7 52.3 57.3 51.7 67.6 declined 45 percent between 1980and 1986, recuperating only duringthe lastyearsofthe decade.Lessstable and lower- So,arcr1osTre 199L ruble2. paidjobs such as odd jobbing and other formsof informalself-employment 1. Includesdomesticservice.Percentagesofformaland informalemployment donot addopto 100becameof grew,however, throughout these years.As seen in table 2.6, they rose 20 eocloslonof agricultumlworkers. percent between 1980and 1989,representing two-thirds of 2. Rounded figures. all urban infor mal employment in the latter 2year. These figuressuggesta complex adjustment processof the Costa Rican mal. According to the International LabourOffice,only 7.7 percent of the urban labor market. Governmental intervention was instrumental in Haitian labor force in 1987held jobs that could be consideredin any sense checking the rise of open urban unemployment during the 1980s and regulated or formal, the bulk of the figure being formed by 32,000 state preventing the deterioration of the minimum wage.Simultaneously,how employees(Manigat 1991). ever,there wasa risein lower-paid,more unstable employment in both the Among the remaining countries, the best available information comes formal and informalsectors.Part-time work and low-paidmusquilaemploy from Costa Rica. Time-seriesdata on the evolution of the labor market in ment became more common among formal workers; whereas self- metropolitan San José are presented in table 2.6. During the crisisyearsof employment (much of it in marginalodd jobbing) became predominant in 1981—84,open unemployment rosesharply and informalemployment ex the informal sector. This development is consonant with our procyclical panded only moderately. According to the figures,unemployment in the hypothesis; it shows that the informal sector, instead of counteracting metropolitan area ofSan José (AMsJ) rose66percent in 1980/81and anoth trends in the formal economy,followedits evolution. er 36 percent in 1981/82, coinciding with art aggregatedecline of realgross In contrast to San José,the labor market in Guatemala City has always national product (GNP) of 9.6 percent in this two-yearperiod. Informal been highly informal. Among the five cities studied, only Port-au-Prince employment expanded more slowly,by 8.2 percent in 1980/81 and 2 per has a largerproportion of the economicallyactive population (EM) in the cent in 1981/82. Unemployment remained high during the next three informal sector. During the 1980s,however, figuresfor informal employ years,then declined rapidly with economic reactivation in the late 1980s. ment in Guatemala City barely moved. Estimates based on the measure By 1989, was unemployment approximatelyhalf of what it had been at the ment criteria employedby the ILO indicate that the informal sector com beginning of the decade. By contrast, informal employment remained prised 30 percent of the urban EAP in 1980 and 33 percent in 1989. steady a at about quarter of the labor force.These contrasting trends indi Alternative figures,based on the proportion of the EAP working without cate that adjustment to the economic crisis of the early 1980s occurred legallymandated coverage,yielda much higher estimate for 1980(54.3%) primarilythrough open unemployment rather than a massiveexpansionof but coincide in showinglittle change during the decade. As in San Jose, the informalsector. adjustment to the crisistook place mainlythrough4a significant risein open This is not the whole story, however. Additional evidence shows a unemployment. Two sets of estimates are presented in table 2.7. They parallel risein unstable and lower-paidjobs in both sectorsof the San José coincide in showingthat urban unemployment more than quadrupledbe- 103 44 Alejandro Portes,Joséltzigsohn,and Carlos Dore.Cabral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 45 tween 1980and 1983and then remained at a high level during the entire Yet,despite its apparent decline, in 1989,self-employment decade. still represented the majority of the Guatemalan informal labor force. Unlike the Costa Rican case, no significant government intervention The Caribbean island-nationsof Jamaica and the Dominican Republic took place to bnng down record unemployment, a pattern ofofficialpolicy experienced a similar evolution of their urban labor marketsin the 1980s. congruent with that observed for low-income housing in the preceding Estimates for both countries indicate an expansion of informal employ section. Hence, the presence of a large, urban, informal sector in which ment, especiallyin street vending and odd-jobbing, along with a contrac average wages were lower than among protected workers did not suc tion of both formalemploymentand earnings.Despite the scarcityof data, cessfullycushion the effectsof the economic downturn. The quadruplingof figuresfor the Dominican Republicare consistent in showinga significant open unemployment in Guatemala City during the l980s is alsocongruent risetn the joblesspopulation, a sharpdecline in formalsectorwages,and an with our hypothesisconcerning the limitsof the informalsector as a coun increase in self-employment. tercyclical mechanism. As shown in table 2.8, the proportion of the population entering the As table 2.7 shows, the internal structure of the informal sector in labor force rose as real industrial and public-sectorwagesdeclined steeply. Guatemala City appears to have evolved in a direction contrary to that of Most of the increase in participation was concentrated in the cities, as San Jose. In a comparison of estimates available for 1980 and 1989, the indicated by the risingrepresentation ofthe urban laborforcein the nation relative representation of informal entrepreneurs seems to have increased al EAP. Self-employmentincreasedduring the lasthalf of the 1980s,but the and that of the self-employedto have declined. As in San José, entrepre proliferationof these informalactivitiesdid not prevent a sharprisein open neurs earned incomes significantly above the officialminimum and their unemployment, which doubled between 1977 and 1991. It appears that presence led to artimprovement of average earnings in the informalsector. effortsof Dominican householdsto compensatefordecliningwageswith an increased labor offerby the primarywageearner and/or other membersof Table2.7 Evolutionofthe Labor Marketin Mertopol itan GuatemalaCity, 1980—1989 the household met with a shortageof remunerated employmentin both the formaland informalsectors.Although street-vending and similaractivities Ca. 1980 1982 1989 Total employment (000s) 323.8 — 3227 Formal-sector employment (%) i 30 0 — 33 0 Table Informal-sector employment (%)2 2.8 Evolution of the Urban Labor Market in the Dominican Republic: 1977—1991 66.9 — 53.5 Open unemployment (%)3 2.2 9.9 62 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 Open unemployment (%)4 (1980 100) 100.0 450.0 545 Percentage of composition of the informal sector Labor-force participation (%)i 32.6 33.3 34.5 35.3 35.0 39.1 40.0 41.9 Informal owners Urban 4 0 — 9 tar (%)° 56.1 58.8 59.2 60.7 63.8 64.6 65.0 64.2 Informal workers Manufacturing wagesS 27 0 — 28 7 149.0 142.0 129.4 128.4 92.1 99.1 87.6 75.6k Uriremunerated lhmily workers Export-once wages 5 0 — 3 161.2 155.2 123.2 159.0 74.0 80.8 88.5 84.8 Self-employed 64.0 — 511 Public-sector wages 57.4 83.7 85.1 74.0 72.3 68.0 54.1 41.74 Avenge wages 3 Self-employment (%)5 20.4 16.2 18.5 17.6 — — — 25.2 Formal sector (%)5 US $148.9 Unremunerated family workers 1.8 1.6 2.4 2.2 — — — 1.9 Informal sector (%)i US$102.6 Open unemployment 13.7 18.6 20.7 21.7 25.7 25.6 25.6 26.8° Soa,ros.Pérea-Sdirsa1991;Inter-America,, DevelopmentBank 1990;Mesa-L.ago1991;Economic Sosncos;National Statistical Office1987,1990;Dominican DocumentationCenter 1991. Commissio, for Latin Americaand the Caribbean 1992;pan.si.c 1986 Nate: Dash indicates that data are unavailable. Note; Dash indicates that data are unavailable. 1. Notional figures,as percentageof the total population. I. As percentage of the urban nw, maci.e 2. As proportion of total tar. 2. As percentage of the urban nap without socialsecurityprotection: 3. In cormorantpesosof 1977. 3. FromEconomicCommissionforLatin Americanand the Caribbean 1992:table 14; 4. To August 1991. unemployment. total urban 5. In Santo Domingo,as proportionof urban tan’. 4. Fromlntrr-Americun DevelopmentBank 1990: table 10. 6. 1990. 46 AlejandroPorteo,Joséltzigsohn,and CarlosDore-Cabral Urbanizationin the CaribbeanBasin 47
Table 2.9 Evolation of the Labor Msrket in Kingston, 1977—1991 Despite the scarcity and imperfectionsof officialdata, the figuresindi cate that urban labor markets in the smaller countries of the Caribbean 1977 1983 1989 Basin adjusted to the economic crisis in a manner similar to their larger Formal-sector employment 1%)’ 60.4 — 53.3 South American counterparts. In both instances, adjustment involved a Pablic sector and servicm 23.7 — 14.0 combinatson of declining wages, declining formal employment, growing — 26.0 Informal-sector employment (%)° 17.4 informality,and record levelsof unemployment.The growth of unemploy Vendon ment, in allcountries,clearlypoints to the limitationsofthe informal Males 4.1 — 5.8 sector as a Females 8.8 — 12.5 labor-absorptivemechanism. Contrary to the dualisticconceptualiza Small services and ageicalture tion ofLatin American labormarketsproposedbyanalystsofthe Ito and its Males 10.7 — 6.8 Latin American affiliatePREALC, there isno hydraulicrelationshipbetween Females 8.6 — 7.7 formaland informalsectors in which excesssupplyin one is automatically Unemployment (%)3 absorbedby the other. The overallpattern ofresultsseemsmore congruent Males 17.5 21.0 11.4 with the alternative viewofunifiedurban Females 29.9 35.3 21.8 economiesin whichboth typesof Labor-forceparticipation (%)3 activities coexist. In accordance with hypothesis 3, open unemployment Males 82.9 83.5 78.1 rises as a logical consequence of economic contraction. The contraction Females 70.1 71.1 64.0 reducesemployment opportunities and earnings in both formal and infor mal enterprise. Saarces:Gardan and Diaan 1991’rabIes 5, 9; Andenon 1987. Nose: Dash indicates that data see anavailable. I. Formal-sereneemploymentisdefinedas the sam sf gavemment, formal services,white-collar,and regulatedblae-cnllaremplnyrrsene. Summary and Conclusions 2. lnfne,nal-secrsremploymentis defined m anregolseedemplaymenein domesticservice,crafts,sod moesalaceoring,smeeee-eending,services,and Overall, these results support the conclusion of earlier studies that sabaebanagriculmee. “something”significanthas changed in Latin American urbanization 3. As percentageof the warbing-agepapalasien. dur ing the last two decades. Though the three dimensions of urbanization examined do not exhaust by any means all that there is to the topic, they rose, they could not absorba tapidly increasing labor supply.Open unem capture important aspectshighlighted bya voluminousresearch literature. ployment teached recotd levels. The Caribbean findings presented in this chapter do not support such In parallel fashion, in the Kingston Metropolitan Area during the eco simplifiedconclusions as“primacyisdeclining everywhere”or “classpolar nomic ctiaisthere weresimultaneousincreasesin informalemploymentand izationis everywherediminishing.”Indeed, the evidencefromone or more unemployment. The unemployment rate teached record levels between countries runs contrary to such assertions. Instead, what the pattern of 1983 and 1985and declined afterwards.However,this apparent improve results shows is support for the theoretical logicbehind each proposition: ment may mask a rise in the number of discouragedworkers.As shown in primacy decelerates (or does not decelerate) depending on whether the table 2.9,participation in the laborforceactuallydropped,suggestingthat a decentralizing potential of the new outward-oriented model of develop largeproportion ofprospectiveworkerssimplystoppedlookingforwork.As ment is actualized;spatial polarization declines (or does not decline) de in San José, the internal structure of the informal sector evolved in the pending on whether middle-classand poor sectors are able to implement direction of an apparent decline of small entrepreneurs and a rise in infor new strategiesto cope with economic emergencies;the informalsector can mal self-employment.Informalstreet-vendors (maleand female) increased absorb more or less labor depending on the state of the economy and the their participation in the Kingstonlabor force;meanwhile, entrepreneurial successof governmental effortsto reactivate it. activities in small-scaleservicesand agriculturedeclined.The overalltrend The contrasting empiricaltrendsobservedin the fivecountries,addedto wastoward a simultaneousdeterioration of employmentopportunities and those in our earlierSouth American research (Portes 1989),point towarda earnings in both segmentsof the Kingston labor market. second important conclusion.Earlierportrayalsofthe urban “explosion”in 48 Latin current an izacion stood er riea. site approach number of as attention
of Evana reassert
countties quality uum
otder others, ing levels tion urban others industries
José) In the South of housing ization of sensus menting
global
interaction
they
analysis
earlier they
development
the
The
other some
These
extreme
the
exacerbation
Instead,
from (Costa
America
on
to
to
(1989) Alejandro
were concentration of stem latter
American it
and these
that realities. was theories, early the of effects are
the
vigorous
reactivate
instances, programs aspects either
that stage studied their to unemployment
predorory conclusions
similarities
would
was
importance effectiveness
kept
inserted
Rica). from flawed. baaia of
a
the
ranged between
levels
1980a
has
the
proper
and combines
aaserting of own
of
fully
did
specific
at
and Contempotary of Fortes, begin nor
the of state orthodox
confronted
ptopoaed
cities
conceptual
weight of
Similarly, of
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1986,forexample the unemploymentrate in the capitalincreasedby 29 percent; Duquella,A. 1989.“LaPopul; by 1990,it stood at 20.3percent, slightlybelowthe national averagefor the year eographedreport.Port (National StatisticalOffice1990). Eckstein,Susan. 1977.The Pa Mexico.Princeton:Prir EconomicCommissionforLat: References StatisticalYearbookof L Nations. 1988.“PreliminaryC Amaro, Nelson. 1990.Descencralizacidny Participaciônen Guatemala.Ciudad de —. Guatemala:ices’. Noteson Economyand. 1992. 1992Statistical Amato, Peter.1969.An AnalysisoftheChangingPatternsofEliteResidentialAreasin —. York:United Nations. Bogoia,Colombia.Latin American DissertationSeries.Ithaca, N.Y.:Cor nell UniversityPress. EncyclopaediaBntannica. 19? cyclopaediaBritannica Anderson, Patricia.1987. ‘InformalSector or Modem LabourMarket?Towardsa Evans,PeterB.1989.“Predato: Synthesis.”SocialaridEconomicStudies36 (3): 149—76. psrativePoliticalEcon Bairoch,Paul.1973.UrbanUnemploymentinDevelopingCountries:TheNatureofthe logicalFomm4 (Decen ProblemandProposalsfor itsSolution.Geneva:International LabourOffice. Fortuna,Juan Carlos, and So Beneria,Lourdes.1989.“Subcontractingand EmploymentDynamicsin Mexico malizedLaborRelatioi City.”Pages173—88in TheinformalEconomy:StudiesinAdvancedandLess amy:Studiesin Advanc DevelopedCountries,ed.A. Portes,M.CastellsandL.A. Benton.Baltimore: Johns HopkinsUniversityPress. Castells,and L.A. Bei GarcIa,NorbertoE. 1982.“Dr. Beneria,Lourdes,and Marts I. Roldan. 1987.TheCrossroadsofClassand Gender: ment.”CEPALReview Homework,Suhcantracung,and HouseholdDynamicsin MexicaCity. Chi cago:Universityof ChicagoPress. Goldrich, Daniel. 1970. “Po Poblador.”Comparativi Beyer,Glenn H. 1967.TheUrbanExplosioninLatinAmerica.Ithaca, N.Y.:Cornell UniversityPress. Gordon, Derek, and Cheryl Yearsof Growth arid’ Breese,Gerald. 1966. Urbanizationin NewlyDevelopingCountries.New York: Prentice-Hall. Urbanizationin the C tional University,Mia Carrier,William.1988.“UrbanProcessesand EconomicRecession:Bogotdin the Guarnizo,LuisE. 1992.“One 1980s.”Paperpresentedat the seminaron Latin American Urbanization Yorkand the Dominic Duringthe Crisis.Center forLatinAmericanandCaribbeanStudies,Ron da International University. Johns HopkinsUnivet Hardoy,JorgeE. 1975.Urbam Clarke, Cohn. 1975.UrbanDecelopmentassdSocialChange,1692—1961.Berkeley: Books. Universityof CaliforniaPress. Hardoy,Jorge,RaulBasaldila,: Consejo Nacional de Zones Franctu de Exportación. 1992. Data gathered and Mecanismosparasu compiledbyJoséIraigsohn.Santo Domingo,DominicanRepublic. Rel Instinito. Cornelius, Wayne. 1975.Politicsand the MigrantPoorin MexicoCity. Stanford: StanfordUniversityPress. Iglesias,Ennique.1985.“TheL Overview.”CEPALR CorporaciondoIaZorsaFrancade Exportación.1991.Datagatheredand compiled EsrudiosDomini: byJosé ltzigsohn.San José,Costa Rica. Instituto de Dore-Cabral.Santo ID DirecciánGeneralde EstadisticayCensode CostaRica. 1991.EncuestaNacional Inter-AmericanDevelopmen de Hogares.Data compiledbyJoséItzigsohn.San José,Costa Rica. America,1990 Report. Dominican Documentation Center. 1991. Series EstadisticasSobre Empleo. JamaicaStatistical Institute. Comp. EdwinCroes.Santo Domingo,DominicanRepublic. Why Kenya’s Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Affica: KnowledgeWharton /0 (htt:l/knowledge.wharton.uenn.edu/article.cfm?articIeid=264O)
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Why Kenya’s Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Africa
Published : November 23. 2OO in KnowledgeiWharton
Africa today contributes some 1.5% to world trade and attracts little global investment. Still, the continent s future is hardly as dark as that scenario might suggest. Africa has a growing middle class; governments that are enacting laws to stem corruption, and public and private institutions that are investing heavily in infrastructure. According to Elkanah Odembo, Kenya ambassador to the US, in another decade the continent will grow into a market of one billion consumers. He notes that companies that seize these opportunities today will reap dividends in the future. Chinesefirms, for example, have recognized this potential and are investing in infrastructure projects all over Africa. Odembo visited the University of Pennsylvania recentlyfor meetings arranged by the UgA.—Keni’a(‘hainher of Gommerce and spoke with KnowledgeWharton about thepotential rewards and risks of investing in Africa, including Vision2030, Kenya’cplan to become a middle income nation in the next 20 years. Thefollowing are edited extracts from the conversation.
Part I: Part II: Knowledge@Wharton: What business opportunities does Africa offer and why do so many companies overlook them? Elkanah Odembo: At the moment, we contribute very little, about 1.5%, to global trade. For that reason, to most investors and business people, Africa doesn’t appear to be particularly active in terms of business and trade. But the fact is that in the filture all roads will lead to this continent because of some things that are happening: A rising middle class, developing African governments, and heavy investment in infrastructure. The continent also has commodities, which the world economy values and requires to keep growing. We hope that with all the resources that we have and know are precious to the world, the world will begin to turn its head toward Africa. We want to make sure that we are ready to do business with the rest of the world and grow from 1.5% to 10% in the near future, because we have a lot to offer. The fact is that those on the continent who are investing are doing very well. Knowledge@Wharton: If you were to look into Africa from the perspective of somebody outside the continent, what are the most promising regions in terms of investment? Odembo: In terms of investment, I would, of course, favor East Africa because that’s where Kenya is located. But you also must appreciate the fact that the continent is beginning to think collectively, looking at Africa as an investment destination and a trading bloc. As such, we have segmented the continent into regional economic blocs. By and large, the regional economic blocs are beginning to do very well. Some are fairly young. The East African bloc, with a population of about 150 million -- that’s Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi -- offers a significant opportunity because we have a customs protocol, which has increased trade between the countries significantly. A few
At oopynght c/ the Wnartc.n Sch of the s of Per.kana. Page 1 of 5 Why Kenyas Elkanah Odembo Believes AllRoads Should Lead Investors to Affica: Knowledge@Wharton (htto:/Iknowlede.wharton.uenn.edu/artjcle.cfm?artideid=264U) months ago, the five countries signed a free trade protocol, which now enables us to move goods, services and people across our boundaries without any hitches. We are investing heavily in infrastructure, with major roads coming from the ports on the Indian Ocean going all the way to southern Sudan, Ethiopia, Rwanda and Burundi and to eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. The Southern African Development Community (SADC) is also doing equally well in terms of building regional infrastructure, increasing trade and opening up the region. If you are doing business in one country, you have access to the rest of the region as well. By setting up shop and doing business with Kenya, you do not just have the possibility of [accessing] the East African community ... but you also have the population of all of eastern and southern Africa, some 18 countries, with a population of 400 million. KnowledgeWharton: What are the principal risks of doing business in Africa that international investors should be aware of and how can they protect themselves? Odembo: Whenever businesspeople venture outside their comfort zone, and their familiar environment, they will face an element of risk. The kinds of risks that businesses and investors have had to deal with on the African continent are related to the civil wars that we have seen come and go. We have had risks related to unreliable judiciary processes, [involving] issues pertaining to business contracts and so forth [and] the court procedures taking too long. But if you look at the continent in the last few years, there are fewer civil wars compared to 10 years ago, when at any given time, there were about 10 countries at war. The mindset [of some foreigners] about the continent is often that, if there’s war in one country, there’s war all over the continent. That’s just a geography lesson [about Africa’s] 53 countries. If you look at what has happened in the last few years in terms of improved governance, many countries are becoming more democratic. They’rehaving elections more regularly. The typical tensions that would result in risk have been minimized to a great extent -- wars around the time of elections, civil wars between different communities, fighting between one community and another over natural resources -- we’veovercome those challenges to a great extent. The continent is looking ahead to being a place where there’sa certain amount of predictability. In the past, unpredictability was another risk. Africa now has all the ingredients to minimize the risks that people feared before. One way to establish that is for a prospective investor to talk to companies already doing business on the continent. They would be able to tell you about changes that have taken place over the last five or 10years, and how much we, as countries and as regions, have managed to minimize risks to investors. We appreciate now that we’ve been left behind and we must do what is necessary to create an enabling environment for private-sector business and investment, both local and foreign direct investment. KnowledgeWharton: How do you view China’s investment strategy in Africa? What does it mean for investors from other parts of the world? Odembo: I don’t know if I can talk about the Chinese investment strategy because I’m not privy to [it], but I can discuss what I have observed. When the Chinese first appeared as investors on the continent about 10 years ago, a lot of African countries were very uneasy about the manner in which they were setting up businesses and the types of investments they were making. The Chinese have become much more sophisticated in the last 10 years. They now have a strategy. It appears to revolve around what they have studied extremely well on the continent. They know the demographics: There is a rising middle class on the continent; there’s a very dynamic, young population; and the continent is becoming increasingly urbanized. Therefore, there is a market and purchasing power on the continent. One part of the Chinese strategy is based on the fact that they are reading Africa very well in terms of where we are now and where we are likely to go to in the next few years. The Chinese also appreciate the riches that the continent has. Most other countries have known the riches that exist here. Some northern countries from North America and Europe have already extracted the valuable minerals and metals that they needed to develop their industries. The Chinese have figured out that over the next 10years or so, some of the most valuable commodities that the global economy
All : sty of Prs\-3. P?ç 2 E Why Kenya’s Elkanah Odembo Believes AllRoads Should Lead Investors to Afilca: KnowiedgeWharton (htt://knowledoe.wharton.uenn.edu/articIe.cfm?articleid=264O) requires are on this continent. The Chinese are positioning themselves to do business with African countries, and have figured out that in another 10years, the continent will have a population of one billion people. That’sa very sizable market for selling your products, not to mention the human resource capabilities for producing goods that you might want to export to your own country. Again, I’mnot sure what the strategy is, but I can imagine that they’re seeing it putting them in a very good position in terms of who will benefit the most. KnowledgeWharton: What implications will this have for investors from other parts of the world? Odembo: It’s a challenge. Investors will have to compete with somebody who already has a foot in the door, investing heavily in developing infrastructure, which is where African governments will tell you is where the greatest need has been -- infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure. In the next 10 years or so, if this infrastructure has been developed, Africa is going to be able to trade within itself quite significantly. We’ve learned this during the global recession, when our commodities didn’t have a ready market because our traditional markets were experiencing the crisis. We turned inward and started trading with each other. Because of the potential for trading within the continent with a developed infrastructure, people investing in infrastructure will stand to benefit very significantly because they will know the infrastructure very well. Part of being a good business person and investor is knowing how the infrastructure is set up and how things move from point A to point B. KuowIedgeWharton: Turning now to Kenya, what is Vision 2030 and what opportunities does it offer international investors? Odembo: Vision 2030 is Kenya’s goal of making the country a middle-income country by the year 2030. This is a plan we developed over the last three or four years. We have traditionally planned in five-year cycles, which correspond with each government in place. It occurred to us that this isn’t making sense. If we are going to get out of the poverty we are in, we need to project beyond just five years. We embarked on a national planning process involving stakeholders across the board -- government and non-government, and the private sector was very central, because our government made a commitment to make the private sector the engine of growth. We also appreciate that if there’sgoing to be a movement from poverty to becoming a middle income country, wealth will have to be created, employment will have to be created and the economy will have to grow, and the private sector has a key role to play. The strategic thinking and planning process stretched over a period of about a year and a half. Vision 2030 is Keny&svision of what a developed, middle-income Kenya would look like. We have identified a number of pillars for getting us to become a middle-income country. There’sa very strong economic pillar, [in which] the private sector very central. A good part of it was developed in partnership with a number of foreign experts as well. It is about how to position the economy, manage macroeconomics and get the economy to grow at least 10%consistently over a period of time. We have a pillar that looks at all social aspects: Food production, food security, health care, education, shelter, water and sanitation. It is very important that infrastructure development is a part of this. Then there’sthe political pillar, which is equally important because, as you asked earlier about risks that investors fear when it comes to investing in the continent, the fact is that political instability has cost us a lot. In the last 50 years of independence, the political instability that we’veseen is to a large extent very politically motivated. That’snow being managed. Kenya promulgated a new constitution on August 27, which provides a framework for governance. Within that political pillar, governance was big. We’relooking at corruption, for example -- one of the variables not conducive to good business and investment. We can’trun away from that. With the constitution, certain structures and institutions will enable a complete overhaul of the judiciary over the next 12months, because we appreciate that some of the problems with regard to prosecution, for example, and due processes in the courts were a result of [a lack of an] accountable and effective
eif copr;ght of the Schoof of the Usersty of °er’.na. Pege 3 of 5 S Vharton eraIs Why Kenyas Elkanah Odembo Believes AllRoads Should Lead Investors to Africa: Knowledge@ Wharton (httn:I/knowIedcie.wharton.uJennedu/articlecfm?articleid=264O) judiciary.
KnowledgeWharton: Will the new constitution help increase business transparency? It is a matter of tremendous concern to international investors that there should be transparency. Odembo: Absolutely. The first group of people in Kenya to react to the promulgation of the new constitution was the business community. That says something. They came out and congratulated Kenyans for this very historic achievement. They spoke about why they felt this was very important and reiterated that there had been too many things in the environment that made businesses and investors uncomfortable. A big part of it has to do with unpredictability and corruption. In the new constitution, there’s even a chapter on leadership and integrity -- what we expect of our leaders. New structures and institutions have been created to [encourage the private sector. There is a round table involving business leaders and the prime minister’s office [to enablel regular contact between the government and the private sector so concerns are continuously being communicated to the government. That wasn’t the case before. In many African countries, governments did what governments did and the private sector was busy doing what they were doing, producing goods and services. That has now changed.... For example, with Vision 2030, there is a national economic and social committee that has ministers and some key industry and private sector leaders. This is the oversight body monitoring and ensuring that our efforts for Vision 2030 and becoming a middle-income country stays on track. A lot of business people have a certain level of comfort with what the government is doing and the kind of environment that has been created -- their doors are now open. Private-sector people no longer feel like adversaries.... I’m seeing that happening in a number of other African countries. As leadership changes, you’re even having leaders and heads of government who have a business background and appreciate the business community and will do what is needed and necessary to provide an enabling environment for the business community. KnowledgeJ Wharton: You referred earlier to the social pillar. To what degree do you see micro finance and social enterprise programs being set up in Kenya and have you seen any perceptible impact on poverty as a result? Odembo: Absolutely. Micro enterprise and credit programs are mushrooming everywhere. In Kenya, we have certainly seen an impact. For the longest time, a lot of businesses and financial institutions shied away from what they perceived as the poor, the unbankable, because it was perceived that there wasn’t much business to do with that group. Because that is such a large proportion of the continent, this phenomenon we now call micro finance and enterprise was really started, interestingly, in the non-profit sector. The sector quickly appreciated that the very poor people that they were working with also needed access to credit. The first micro credit institutions is Grameen Bank model. Even that started as a non-profit organization with the appreciation that we need to get money and credit into the hands of the poor, that the poor, when they have access to credit, are able to do incredible things to improve their lot. The commercial banks and all sorts of other micro fmance institutions have come in subsequently, such that you now have a fairly significant micro finance sector. We need to make sure we maintain the focus on the poor and enabling them. It’snot just about credit. Because what [non-profits] are able to do very well that traditional commercial banks were not able to do is invest also in building the capacity of the people. It’s one thing to make credit available. It’sanother thing to make sure that the credit is going to be applied properly, that people have good business plans and projections, and that they actually are making money. The prospects are tremendous. We need to see more. I don’tthink we can get enough micro finance and micro enterprise programs on the continent. The continent must go in that direction because it is the way we will be able to grow the economy, from the bottom. Knowledge@ Wharton: I believe that Africa and Kenya are at the forefront of using mobile telephones for mobile banking. Odembo: That’s a part of liberalizing the economy. Just 10 years ago, only 300,000 or so Kenyans had access to a telephone. When we liberalized the telecommunications sector to the point where we
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IMPACT OF WTO AND IMF ON CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND GLOBAL GDP CONSIDERATIONS § 1.03 THE INTERNATIONALMONET&RYFUND 61
25 percent portion of its contribution is paid in hard currencies of other natIons or in the form of special drawing rights (SDR), a unique international reserve asset created and issued by the IMF. The SDR is a stable unit of account that is assigned a value based upon an average of the world’s major currencies. It can be used for transactions with the IMF, to settle international balances between central banks, and to meet IMF membership subscription obligations. In many cases, the IMF cannot effectively use the 75 percent of quota paid in a member’s domestic currency because that currency is not readily acceptable in international transactions. Generally, the IMP uses only 20 currencies during a year, most of that in the form of major convertible currencies such as the dollar, yen and euro. It is estimated that one half of the money contributed to the IMF cannot be utilized in its operations. When the quota contributions are insufficient to its needs, the IMF may draw on a line of credit called the General Arrangements to Borrow, that it established with a number of governments and banks.
[3] Loans and Exchange Transactions The IMF charter requires the Fund to provide temporary financial resources to members having economic difficulties related to trade imbalances. These imbalances arise in nations that do not receive enough foreign currency from exports of goods and services and from tourism to pay for their purchases from other countries. IMF help is needed by such nations to maintain a stable exchange rate for their currencies without incurring severe domestic unemployment or inflation or requiring significant reductions in imports. Quota contributions are the primary source of currencies for IMP loans. The quota contributions form a pool of currencies that can be borrowed by members who need foreign exchange to fund their international obligations and restore their balance of payments. The amount a member nation may borrow from the IMP is based upon the quota it has contributed. If the member needs more funds, the IMF has discretion to provide additional loans totaling up to three times its quota over a three-year period. Most loans are extended through IMP arrangements, which specify the amount of SDRs or foreign currency to be provided and the terms and duration of the loan. The IMP also provides concessional loans that are not related to a member’s quota that support low income members efforts to deal with long- term balance of payment issues. These low interest loans and grants are provided through an Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF) and a heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) debt initiative. In recent years, the IMF has established new discretionary loans that may exceed these limitations for member nations facing a sudden, disruptive loss of market confidence. When the IMF allows a member to draw on resources related to its quota subscription, the transaction is not cast in the form of a loan. Instead, a member “purchases” another member’s currency or SDRs from the IMF with its own currency, thereby obtaining needed foreign currencies, and agrees to later repurchase its own currency within a specified time. Because a fee is charged by the IMF and the member whose currency is borrowed, the transaction resembles 62 within rates, resources arrangements. Arrangements that credit provides resolve. links problems years arrangements. members quarter its tranches, restrictive payments draw tranche. problem. quota loan, is are time member requirements satisfied. usually demonstrate the show needs 32 Many The Borrowed resolved. When own economic commits See {aJ called [bi period. and the that public IMF of is exceeds 3 of IMF currency) SIIJELL, These established to imposes each of IMF At must all fu]i the Borrowing is up that may arising a purposes. longer it conditions 5 each credit financial not loan Lending any members. debt, applies This Conditionality to years is In amounts how IMF amount the reforms drawing. loans discussed ThE the return equai usually loans freely making a These These subject effect, time, of stated nation’s member stringent at IMF the ensures privatization from amount allows of tmnches. term the at are MONEY, a any Drawing are one against and each of assistance range the reforms draw above 1D it the extend a Second, loans most reasonable arrangements Criteria SDRs amount provided to its below. structural will time member’s disbursed quarter Tnni>.Woau loan a borrowed beginning of quota assistance fees to that drawing. reserve member upon conditions of the introduce IMF its CURRENCY upper specific These simply are on over and will disbursements lending To and and or within sufficient own reserve to the is through of the repurchase draw loans extended usually enable efforts reserve 12 problems tranche the over most currencies The contributed credit a Poimc of the to currency by loans reserve performance first to a criteria to and the nation’s allow like. draw based the stating tranche specified are 4 borrowing TMF’s 18 important, solve it AND currencies longer is to to loan tranches tranche, tranche are first (by months to In made ItsmILrry: referred to larger upon overcome tranche 5 occur that members held obligations. upon repay to effect, its as years FINANCE period that paying Extended economic remedy come subject credit in term different period. soon trade only the criteria by require only member’s is SDRs and it referred the usually two the are amounts is and the to out the Is is through the standby upper tranche, an as its upon not TsRE imbalance as repayment member required as to loan Typically, to balance available standby standards. of repaid IMF. its Fund equivalent amount loan policies. 32 balance specified or regarding such. a considered IMF the is draw payment comlition credit within A to longer hard quota. a subject Coscno? extended segments a A Facility than letter as within conditiona2ity resources must member for arrangement member of by problem of to the upon the is tranches, criteria currencies, the balance amount First, payments Since period payments exchange Stand-By which meet expected of difficulty standby describe standby to that an reserve 4 (EFF) agreed intent credit called CH. (198). to more IMF must IMF may and one and are the the the its 10 to of of
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§ rates, to economic of and comprehensive trade presumably, similar measures. conditionality effective
1.03
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63 64 MONEY CURRENCY AND FINANCE CE. 1
To illustrate how an IMF arrangement may deal with a BOP imbalance, assume that Country X has a has a BOP deficit because the amount of dollars it receives from exports to the U.S. is less than the dollars it pays for imports from the U.S. If X has reserves of dollars in its central bank, it can use these to meet the deficit until the reserves are exhausted. If the BOP deficit is persistent, the foreign currency reserves are likely to be expended fairly quickly. Instead, X can borrow dollars from the IMP by exchanging its own currency for the dollars. The IMF will extend the loan, however, only on condlitionthat X adopts specified policies that will increase its exports and reduce imports to the point that its DO? deficit is eliminated. Policies to reduce imports may include reductions in total domestic demand induced by tax increases, reduced government spending and credit limits. Policies to encourage exports may include elimination of export barriers and currency devaluations that make foreign goods much more expensive in the domestic market.
The IMF’s guidelines on conditionality require the Fund to respect its members’ domestic social and political objectives and their economic priorities and circumstances. Under these guidelines, conditionality is to be flexiblyapplied and provide for on-going review and consultation. Generally, performance criteria in standby or extended arrangement should be limited to economic variables related to satisfying IMF supported programs. The required policy changes are set forth hi a “letter of intent,” along with the performance criteria the member must meet to receive periodic loan disbursements. The IMF Executive Board regularly reviews the member’s progress toward achieving the stated objectives. Officially,a member’s assurances about economicreforms, even if expressed in a letter of intent to a standby arrangement, is not a contractual obligation. Accordingly, no legal action may be taken to enforce these assurances or commitments. However, the IMF can indirectly enforce these agreements by withholding funds to countries that do not satisfy the loan conditions and restricting their access to future loans. Usually, the IMP will attempt to persuade or pressure a wayward nation into compliance, and in extreme case, it can expel a nation. In numerous situations, however, breaches of agreement have been overlooked. [ci Criticisms of Conditionality IMF lending policies have been the object of increasingly harsh 34criticism. Some of the more common complaints about the IMF are summarized as follows: • IMF secrecy about its activities makes it difficult for outsiders to evaluate its policies. The Fund does not report the details of its standby agreements with member nations nor the status of its loans.
See TheJMF: A Record ofAddiction and Failure, in FE umo Povxan: Te Woai.aB mx IMF, n mx DEvExwa Wov (Doug Bandow & Ian Vasquez, eds., 1994). § 1.03 THE INTERNATIONALMONETARYFUND 65
The IMF voting system based upon monetary contributions does not sufficiently account for the concerns of poor countries. Many of the conditions and performance criteria the IMF imposes do not foster economic growth and therefore, do not improve long-term economic conditions. Moreover, otherwise beneficial conditions often are ineffective because other national policies are not coordinated or work at cross-purposes. IMF conditions are not really enforced. In many cases, members that violate their agreements are granted waivers, modified conditions or newly negotiated loans. Thus, large sums have been provided to nations that misspent prior loans which they are unable or unwilling to repay.
• The IMF does not monitor its performance criteria uniformly, so that great variations exist between programs.
• Free-market solutions such as high interest rates to retain capital, and currency devaluations and austerity programs to discourage imports are overemphasized. These measures often result in high unemployment and dramatic declines in living standards that weaken the nation’s political structure and prevent meaningful reform. • The entire IMF lending program creates long-term dependency rather than short-term 35assistance. Less-developed countries increasingly rely on IMF loans for longer periods.
• IMF loans cannot be shown to improve the borrowers’ economic conditions. Most borrowers of conditional loans are economically worse off than before the loan. It is unclear whether the decline is attributable to the conditions themselves or to lack of adherence to them. It may be both; most countries that meet IMF conditions outperform countries that do not, but borrowers as a whole exhibit low economicgrowth rates. • Many criticisms are ideological, maintaining that the Fund provides too little or too much support to non-market or socialist economic systems.
• The IMF (and World Bank) is a tool of capitalism that operates to maximize profits for big multinationals and maintain U.S. domination over the world economy. • The IMF conditions harm poorer people of lesser developed nations by requiring governments to privatize public assets and reduce expenditures for social services such as health care, education, and pensions. The poor bear a disproportionate burden of these policies. Of course, the issue is whether the short term distress created by the economic adjustments is necessary to achieve sustainable long term growth. In this view, the groups most affected by the economic reforms ultimately will obtain the most benefit from them. In response to this criticism, however, the IMF has begun to focus on “safety net” programs
See JowsoN u SceweR, TIlE IN’rERNAT1oN MoT FUND:OuTnTEn, INEFFECTrVE,u UNIlEcEssY (1997).
countries?
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1.03 THE INTERNATIONALMONETARYFUND 67
By making each member’s economicpolicies and conditions transparent, the IMF hopes to avoid the kind of sudden loss of confidence in a nation’s currency that led to economic crises in Mexico and Asia in recent years. Effective surveillance requires that members provide their macroeconomic and financial data to the Fund in a timely fashion. The IMF has developed standards for providing such information to the Fund and to the public. The Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) sets forth the statistical information and standards to be provided by members desiring access to international capital markets. This information is posted on the IMF’s Internet Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board (DSBB). The Fund has also established the General Data Dissemination System, which is a general standard for all IMF members in providing statistics and economicand financial indicators. The IMF consults with each of its members at least annually to ensure that their currency policies are prudent and transparent and to obtain information about their economic condition. The consultation is conducted by a team of IMF staff that first collects extensive economicdata about a member, and then meets with its government officials to discuss the effectiveness of its economic and currency policies during the past year and any new policies it intends to implement in the next year. These policy discussions also may include social, environmental, industrial, labor, and governance issues that affect the country’s economic condition. A recent focus of the consultative discussions has been the economic consequences of highly unequal income distributions. The staff prepares a report for discussion by the Executive Board and the Board forwards a summary of the discussion, with suggestions, to the member’s government. Special consultations are held with governments of members whose economic policies greatly impact the world economy. These special consultations are held to assess the global economy and forecast developments in the forthcoming year. The IMF publishes these reviews twice a year in the World Economic Outlook, which members can rely upon in setting their economicpolicies. [bi Technical Training and Assistance The IMF provides training and technical assistance to its members in the following areas:
• fiscal and monetary policies; • institution building, such as central banks, treasuries, tax and customs departments, and statistical services, and; • economic and financial legislation. Specific areas of development have included financial analysis and policy, balance of payments methodology, public finance, government finance statistics, economic management, tax reform and administration, and central bank development. The Fund also provides advice about money and capital markets, banking interest rates, and how financial instruments are used in monetary management. These technical assistance projects are becoming larger and more
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at 1 §1.04 THE WORLD BANK 69 percent vote is needed to change the Bank’s capital structure and Charter, the U.S. maintains an important veto power. Most other Bank decisions, including loans, are decided by majority vote. A portion of each government’s subscription amount is paid immediately and the rest may be called upon if required to meet the Bank’s obligations. Most of the operating funds the Bank lends to members are obtained by issuing bonds through world capital markets and directly to governments, agencies, central banks, private institutions, and individuals around the world. The bonds are highly rated (AAA)because the Bank’s member governments guarantee their repayment. The IDA part of the Bank makes concessional, low interest loans, that are financed by grants from donor nations. The bank’s lending activities are generally profitable. The bank’s main activity is to provide low interest loans to its member nations that will finance specific projects. Loans are extended after the Bank’s advisers and experts determine that the borrower can meet specified conditions ensuring productive use of the funds and ultimate repayment. The project must be feasible and economically sensible and the borrower must be unable to obtain the loan from other sources. Periodic reports to the Bank are made by the borrower and the Bank’s observers regarding the use of the funds. Under the Bank’s charter, a loan can only be made for productive purposes with due regard to the prospects for repayment. However, the Bank must ascertain that the funds cannot be obtained elsewhere on reasonable terms. Each loan must be for a specific project and guaranteed by the Government involved. The loan terms cannot restrict use of the funds to purchases in a particular country. World Bank loans are made to governments of developing nations, their agencies or to private businesses in their territories, with repayment arrangements that are most favorable to the poorest countries. A developing country with a per capita gross national 37product (GNP) of about $1,300 or more may borrow from the IBRD at an interest rate slightly above the market rate for a 12 to 15year period. These loans are funded by bonds saks. A poorer country with a lower per capital GNP, currently around $900, may borrow from the IDA interest free for a 35 to 40 year period. Essentially, these loans constitute outright grants that are financed by credits contributed by a number ofwealthier member nations. Although the terms of IBRD and IDA loans differ, both institutions apply the same standards in assessing a project’s viability. During the first years of the Bank’s operations, most of its loans were provided to fund infrastructure projects relating to electric power and transportation for large cities. More recently, Bank support has focused on projects that provide more direct benefits to poor people in developing countries. For example, many transportation projects now concentrate on bringing goods from farms to market and power projects on lighting for villages and small communities. Many recent World Bank loans relate to agriculture,
Per capita GNPis determined by dividing thevalueofgoods and services a nation produces in a year bythe numberofpeoplein the country. 70 MONEY,CURRENCYAND FINANCE CH. 1 rural and urban development, water safety, waste management, health care, family-planning, nutrition, education, housing and small enterprises.
[3] Criticisms of World Bank Activities Like the IMF, the World Bank has been subject to harsh criticism. Some of the more common complaints about the Bank are summarized as follows: • Bank funded agricultural projects often harm small farmers and favor larger producers. This occurs when projects encourage growing cash crops that require fertilizers, pesticides and contribute to soil erosion. Large irrigation projects, such as dams, usually benefit the large growers that have political power. • The Bank has funded projects that harm the environment including dams, mines, and logging ventures. Pollution control agreements often are ineffective because developing nations resent restrictions on the use of their resources that did not apply to the richer’nations during their early periods of economic expansion. • Bank policies favor the interests of the richest industrialized nations. These countries require poorer nations to deplete their natural resources, such as oil and lumber, in order to repay massive debt loads. Environmentally harmful projects are shifted from richer nations with substantial regulations to developing countries with less restrictive standards. Unemployment and low domestic wages make these activities attractive to poor countries despite the environmental hazards. • Loans to governments that violate human rights help maintain these regimes in power. In such cases, a loan to a repressive government to build a school releases other funds for the army and weapons purchases. Some critics contend that the Bank has denied loans to countries, but later approved funding for the same project when a more authoritarian regime took power. • The Bank funds projects that require forced resettlement of native inhabitants. This occurs when local populations are removed from the land required for projects such as dams or roads and when urban projects force residents to relocate. Often, the financialpromises made to induce a population to resettle are not kept. A number of dam projects funded by the Bank have been harshly criticized because of the large scale forced migrations involved.
• Bank projects disproportionately impact indigenous populations tribal land rights, ethnic identities, and cultural autonomy. Although the Bank has adopted guidelines that allow tribal people a right to veto projects that affect these matters, critics contend that there has been little compliance. • Bank funded projects do not proportionately benefit women. This may be true even for projects that have overall positive economicoutcomes. For example, a project that provides employment for women does not account for the increased burden on a typical woman who must continue §1.04
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71
to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Page 1 of3
.3ANS>. rV)N E)Nc Al. co-c T c i ow
Economy: Developing countries set to account for nearly 6o% of world GDP by 2030, according to new estimates
16/06/2010 - The rapid growth of emerging economies has led to a shift in economic power: forecasts based on analysis by late economist Angus Maddison suggest that the aggregate economic weight of developing and emerging economies is about to surpass that of the countries that currently make up the advanced world.
According to Perspectives on Global Development: Shifting Wealth, a new publication from the OECD Development Centre, the economic and financial crisis is accelerating this longer-term structural transformation in the global economy. Longer-term forecasts suggest that today’s developing and emerging countries are likely to account for nearly 60% of world GDP by 2030.
- Share of the global economy in purchasing power parity terms
2ci:U 2010
o!r
While the 1990s was a lost decade for much of the developing world, growth rates picked up significantly in the 2000s, with the number of developing countries beginning to converge strongly with the affluent OECD countries leaping from 12 to 65 (Fre 2). The strong performance of China and India has had a significant impact on the rest of the developing world.
Responding to this trend, the OECD has set out to strengthen its relations with major emerging economies. It has strengthened its links with Brazil, China, India, Indonesia and South Africa and recently welcomed Chile as its 31st member and it has extended invitations to join to Estonia, Israel and Slovenia. Russia is also negotiating to become a member.
What does the rise of large developing countries mean for development?
In converging countries Since 1990, the number of people in the world living on less than a dollar-a-day has fallen by over one quarter - approximately 500 million. So far, however, these reductions have mainly been concentrated
in one country — China. Other countries have made progress but at a pace insufficient to counter the effect of population growth. Poverty reduction still represents a major challenge for the developing world. Inequality in many rapidly growing developing economies has also been increasing. 933264htt://www.oecd.org/documentprint/O,3455,en_ 95945467980_i_i_i 1,00.html 11/1/2010 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Page 2 of 3
Thanks to the rapid growth rates in emerging economies, their governments can now afford to boost public spending on social protection. This is a powerful tool to reduce inequality.” said Angel Gurria, Secretary-General of the OECD (read the u!i sneech). “Investing in social infrastructure may also contribute to diminish the propensity to save of these economies, contributing to a more balanced global economy.” he added.
In poor and struggling countries Due to their rapid growth and sheer size, India and China influence the key macroeconomic variables that matter for poor countries: interest rates, the price of raw materials, and wage levels for ow-skill jobs. They also have major impacts on global trading and investment patterns.
Poor and struggling countries will need national development strategies which respond to these global trends to ensure that they thrive in a global economy in which China and India have greater weight. The report finds that more could be made of the economic ties between developing countries. ‘South South links” in trade, aid and investment are an increasingly important source of knowledge and finance for development. For example, lowering tariffs on trade between developing nations to the levels that prevail between northern countries would be worth almost double the gains achievable by a similar reduction on North-South trade.
rure3 - Potential gains from South-South trade liberalisation • Pryv ctc
I,IS fdL
Overall, shifting wealth is good news for development and good news for the global economy. Growth in the developing world is an opportunity for the global economy to shift up a gear, which is confirmed by the role some emerging economies are playing in the current economic recovery”, Mr. GurrIa commented.
Read more about the report: Perspectives on Global Develonment: Shifting Wealth • Does the de’/eioonq world hold the key to building a stronner olobal economy ? (Article by Angel Gurria) For more information, journalists should contact Elodie Masson, ekcbemassonWoerd am, Tel; +33 1 45 24 82 96
Also available: 2d30. scion de nouveles estfrrnOons d(;cnsn5e ; Les pcys en ddveloppement repr&;eriterod prés de 5flJc du PlO rnondial en (French) 45htto://www.oecd.org/documentprint/0,3 5,en 2649_33959454679801 111 ,00.html 11/1/2010 PART I
— ———————— CARICOM’s Total Trade with Principal Trading Partners and the Rest of the World CARICOM’s TOTAL TRADE WiTH PRINCIPAL TRADING PARTNERS AND THE REST OF TIlE WORLD: 1996 -2001
CARICOM’s TOTAL TRADE
CARICOM’s total imports expanded from ECS22.9 biUion in 1996 (twelve Member States reporting) to EC$27.O billion in 2001 (eleven Member States reporting) at an average annual growth rate of 3.4% over the period. CARICOM’s earnings from total exports moved from EC$l 5.5 billion in 1996 (twelve Member States reporting) to ECS 17.9 billion in 2001 (eleven Member States reporting) at an average annual growth rate of 2.9% over the period. Due to the different rates of growth of its imports and exports, CARICOM recorded trade dejIcits throughout the period moving from ECS7.4 billion in 1996 to EC$9.l billion in 2001 (Tables 1.1(a) & (b)).
Major Contributors
The MDCs dominated CARICOM’s total imports and accounted for an average percentage contribution of 83.8% over the period. Imports of the MDCs increased from EC$ 19.0 billion in 1996 (all five Member States reporting) to EC$23.l billion (four of five Member States reporting) which accounted for 82.8% in 1996 and 85.3% in 2001 of CARICOM’s total imports. As a result the LDCs contributed an average percentage contribution of 16.2% of CARICOM’s total imports over the period.
With regards to CARECOM’s exports, the MDCs dominated with an average percentage contribution of 93.0% over the period. Exports of this group moved from EC$ 14.4 billion in 1996 (all five Member States reporting) to EC$ 16.8 billion (four of five Member States reporting) which represented 92.7% in 1996 and 93.7% in 2001 of CARICOM’s total exports. The LDCs as such accounted for an average percentage contribution of 7.0% of CARICOM’s total exports over the period (Tables 1.1(a) & (b)).
As it relates to the performance of individual Member States, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago were CARICOM’s top importers over the period. Jamaica was the top importer for 1996, 1997 and 1999 and accounted for 34.4%, 31.4% and 30.6% respectively of CARICOM’s total imports. For 1998, 2000 and 2001, Trinidad and Tobago captured top spot with percentage contributions of 31.2%, 32.3% and 36.1% of CARICOJyI’s total imports. These two Member States together accounted for an average percentage contribution of 62.9% of CARICOMs total imports throughout the period.
3 For exports, Trinidad and Tobago was CARICOM’s leading exporter throughout the period, with percentage contributions of 44.6% in 1996 and 65.4% in 2001. Jamaica was the next highest exporter for the period, with recorded percentage contributions of 24.1% in 1996 and 18.4% in 2001. Collectively these two Member States represented an average percentage contribution of 72.9% of CARICOM’s total exports.
CARICOM’S TRADE BY PRINCIPAL TRADING PARTNERS
Major Trading Partners
CARICOM’s trade by principal trading partiers did not change significantly over this period. Its major sources of imports were the United States of America (USM, Latin American Integration ,4ssociation (LAJA), the European Union (EU) and C4RICOM Siiig1 Market and Economy (CSME), which collectively accounted for an average percentage contribution of 79.7% of CAlJCOM’s total imports over the period. For exports, the trading areas That dominated CARICOM’s exports were the United States of America (USA), CARICOM Single Market and Economy (CSME), the European Union (EU) and Other Caribbean countries which collectively accounted for an average percentage contribution of 82.1% of CARlCOMs total exports over the period (Tables 1.7 and 1.8).
Table 1 7 revealLd that ARICOM s t4 souice for its imports was the USA which on aveiage accounted for 43.6% of CARICOMs total imports over the period. The EU was next major sourãe of the Region’s imports with an average percentage contribution of 13.1% followed by LAJA and CSME with average percentage contributions of 12.4% and 10.6% of CARICOM’s total imports for the period, 1996-2001. Canada. another source of CA.RICOM’s imports on average accounted for 3.3% ofCARICOM’s total imports over the period.
For CARICOM’s exports, the USAwas the 1ding destination and on average accounted for 369% of CARICOM’s exports over the period. CSME and EU were the next major destinations for CAR1COM’s exports with average percentage contributions of 19.6% and 17.3% respectively over the period. Other Caribbean Countries and Canada were also important destinations and acouned for average percentage contributions 8.4% and 5.4% of CARJCQM’s exports (Table 1.8).
4 Cç
Table 1.9 revealed that CARICOM’s trade balance with its respective extra-regional trading partners recorded deficits as well as surpluses over the period. The destinations with which the Region enjoyed a positive trade balance throughout the period were Other Caribbean Countries, European Free Trade Association and The Bahamas while it recorded deficits with other trading blocs.
Distribution of CARECOM’s Member States Trade with Major Trading Partners
The MDCs dominated CARICOMs trade with its major trading partners throughout the period 1996 — 2001. For imports this group accounted for over 75% of CARICOM’s total imports with most of its trading areas while for exports, the MDCs registered more than 90% of CARICOM’s exports with most of its trading partners.
Imports for Selected Years
1996 Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago were CARICOM’s highest importers for 1996 and accounted for 41.0% and 31.0% respectively to CAR1COM’s total imports (Tables 1.10.1 (a)-(c)). With regards to CARICOM’s major sources of imports, Jamaica dominated CARICOM’s imports from the USA and
CSME with imports of EC$4. I billion from the USA and EC$0.8 billion from C’SME.These values represented 48.3% and 40.4% of CARICOMs imports from these respective trading partners. Trinidad and Tobago was CARICOM’s top Member State to import from the EU and LA.LAwith imports of EC$1.0 billion and EC$1.4 billion, which accounted for 37.6% and 62.7% of CARICOM’s imports from these respective trading areas.
1998
In 1998, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago continued to be CARICOM’s major importers. Jamaica ‘s percentage contribution to CARICOM’s total imports declined to 34.0% while Ii-inidad and Tobago ‘s percentage contribution expanded to 34.5% (Tables 1.10.3 (a)-(c)), Jamaica continued to dominate CARICOM’s imports from the USAand CS/vIEwith imports totaling EC$4.l billion from the USA and EC$0.8 billion from CSME. These values represented 38.0% of CARICOM’s total imports from the
USA and 34.6% of CARICOM’s imports from cSME. Trinidad and Tobago continued to be
CARICOM’s top importer from the EU and LAJA with imports from EU amounting to EC$l .3 billion
5
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of of 62.8% and 73.5% of CARICOM’s exports to USA and C’SMErespectively. Jamaica’s exports to the EU totaled EC$l .2 billion, which accounted for 50.9% of CARICOM’s exports to this market.
1998 In 1998, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica continued to be CARICOM’s leading exporters and accounted for 48.7% arid 27.4% respectively of CARICOM’s total exports. Of the Region’s major destinations, Trinidad and Tobago continued to dominate CARICOM’s exports to the USA and CSME with exports totaling EC$2.3 billion and EC$2.0 billion which accounted for 50.4% and 71.4% of CARICOM’s exports to the USAand CSME respectively. Jamaica continue to dominate CARICOMs exports to the EU with exports amounting to EC$1.0 billion which represented percentage contribution of 41.1% of CARJCOM’s exports to EU(Tables 1.10.3 (e) — (g)).
2000 In 2000, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica continued to dominate CARICOM’s exports with percentage contributions of 63.0% and 19.1% respectively. Thnidad and Tobago remained CARICOM’s top exporter to the USA and GSME markets with exports to these markets amounting to
EC$5.0 billion and EC$2.6 billion which represented 67.6% of CARICOM’s exports to the USA and 75.1% of CARICOM’s exports to the CSME. With respect to CARICOM’s exports to the EU market,
Jamaica continue to dominate with exports totaling EC$ 1.1 billion which accounted for 35.0% of
CARICOM’s exports to the EU (Tables 1.10.5 (e) — (g)).
2001 In 2001, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica maintained their positions as CARICOM’s leading exporters with percentage contributions of 69.6% and 19.6% respectively. Trinidad and Tobago continued to dominate CARICOM’s exports to the USA and the CSME with exports totaling EC$4.8 billion and EC$2.8 billion which represented 75.3% and 80.4% of CARICOM’s exports to the USA and CSME respectively. Jamaica also maintained its position with its exports to EU amounting to EC$l.0 billion which represented percentage contribution of 45.5% of CARICOM’s exports to EU
(Tables 1.10.6 (e) — (g)).
7 CARICOM’S TOTAL TRADE BY SECTIONS OF THE SITC
Machineiy and Transport Equipment was CARICOM’s highest imported commodity with average percentage contribution of 29.3% over the period. For CARTCOM’s exports, MineralJi.iels, Lubricants and related Materials and Crude Materials, inedible, except Fuels dominated the period with average percentage contributions of 29.7% and 18.5% respectively (Table 1.11).
Major SITC Sections
A closer analysis of Table 1.11 showed that for imports, Machineiy and Transport Equpinent reflected a percentage contribution of 28.0% in 1996. In 1997 the percentage contribution of this commodity strengthened to 34.1% but weakencd thereafter to 31.6%, 28.9% and 27.6% in 1998, 1999 and 2000. For 2001, its percentage contribution advanced to 29.4%, which resulted in an overall increase over the period. Manufactured Goods classified chiefly by materials was the second highest
imported commodity during the period 1996 — 1999 while Mineral ,ñtels, Lubricants and related Materials captured this position for the remainder of the period.
For exports, the percentage contribution of Mineral fuels, Lubricants and i-elated Materials to CARICOM’s total exports declined continuously &om 26.3% in 1996 to 22.2% and 20.5% in 1997 and 1998 respectively. For 1999-2001 the percentage contribution of this commodity advanced steadily to 27.9%, 39.7% and 41.7% respectively. The second highest exported commodity throughout the period was Crude materials, inedible, except fuels with increased percentage contribution from 19.7% in 1996 to 20.4% in 1997 and 20.7% in 1998. In 1999, its percentage contribution declined to 19.0% and continued to decline with recorded percentage contributions of 16.0% and 15.1% in 2000 and 2001 respectively.
Distribution of CARICOM’s trade, by SITC Sections with Major Trading Partners
Imports for Selected Years 1996 Machiney and Transport Equipment and Mamtfactured Goods were CARICOM’s highest imported commodities for 1996 and accounted for 27.3% and 16.0% respectively of CARICOM’s total imports. Analysis of Machineuy and Transport revealed that the USA was the main source with a percentage Machinery percentage Tables However 2001 lubricants percentage Selected Mineral commodity For commodity. lubricants imports to Selected trading percentage represented as CARICOM’s percentage 2000 contribution top In 19.3% CARICOM’s 1.13.3 1998 Manufactured the 1998, 2000, two major (a)-(c)). while blocs 1.13.6 of commodities fiels, Machinery Asian Asian the CARICOM’s and and 27.1% contribution contributions and contribution (Tables contribution 90.9% These Selected of sources major percentage collectively imports related related lubricants (a) Countries Countries Transport 485%, Goods, and trading of — 1.13.5 and sources of CARTCOM’s Asian of materials imported 21.4% (c) materials, to highest of the CARlCOMs Transpoi-t of of Machinery CAPJCOM’s contribution 20.6% with and accounted biocs revealed (a)-(c)). Equipment and the 43.7%, 52.1%. Countries of EU respectively. related Manufactured USA EU percentage imported with continued accounted in was L4JA Eqiiipnient 15.1% this total EU that declined further and for percentage next expanded continued imports of materials major year. and imports followed Transport Machinery 79.5% commodities and the to for contribution The line expanded Andean The top to Goods 9.6% sources and 56.7% USA of USA, with their of of contributions 19.5% CARICOM’s to with percentage 9 Machinery next Manufactured Machinery Equipinent, CARlCOMs (Tables be declined ‘ommunity were and contribution and percentage Selected to were were percentage but the of and 56.3%, 49.7% Transport the 20.3%. with USA, Machinety the 1.13.1 contribution 15.3% and to and USA, Asian of imports the USA, while of were 53.6% declined Goods contribution imports EU 31.8% Transport marginally contribution These Transport (a)—(c)). USA CARICOM’s EU, respectively. Countries Equipment and EU the the in and continued while continued LAJA and of 2001. three of two and Selected percentage percentage Selected Transport Equprnent this Equipment. to 16.6% of and major the c’SME and to trading The 20.6%. and total commodity 22.1% For CARICOM’s to to CSME. EU Asian the major Asian respectively. be dominate sources Equipment contribution Mineral with imports contribution Mineral EU areas expanded Also in CARICOM’s With followed countries. These sources 2000. Countries continued respective in together (Tables for respect of freels, with fuels, 1998, total The four this this and For its of of by to
a ‘33 declined to 17.7% in 2001. LAJA and the Andean Community continued to be the major sources of CARICOM’s imports of Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials with percentage contribution of 47.3% and 34.4% respectively. The combined percentage contribution of these two trading areas accounted for 81.7% of CARICOM’s imports of Mineraijiiels, lubricants and related materials.
Exports for Selected Years 1996 Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials and Food which accounted for 28.7% and 17.0% of CARICOM’s total exports in 1996 were the Region’s two highest commodities exported in 1996. Analysis of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials revealed that the USA, C’SMEand Other C’arihbean Countries were CARICOM’s main destinations for this commodity. These trading areas accounted for 46.5%, 22.9% and 17.3% respectively of CARICOM’s total exports of Minerals Fuels, Lubricants and related materials. For CARICOM’s exports Food, the main destinations were EU CSME and USA with percentage contributions of 52.2%, 18.0% and 14.4% respectively (Tables 1.13.1
(e) — (h)).
1998 In 1998, Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials and Food continued to he the CA.RICOM’s top two commodities exported. However, the percentage contribution of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials declined to 22.1% while the percentage contribution of Food expanded to 19.4%. With regards to MineraThFuels, Lubricants and related materials, the USA, c’SME and Other Caribbean Countries continued to be the main destinations for this commodity. The percentage contribution of USA to CARICOM’s exports of this commodity declined to 36.5% while the percentage contributions of C’SMEand Other Caribbean Countries advanced to 28.1% and 19.8% respectively. EU, CSME and USAmaintained their positions as the Region’s top destinations for Food with strengthened percentage contributions of 52.3%, 21.9% and 16.0% respectively (Tables 1.13.3 (e)-(h)).
2000 Analysis of (Tables 1.13.5 (e)-(h)) showed CARICOM’s total exports in 2000 continued to be dominated by Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materiaLs and Food. In this year the percentage contribution of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materiaLs expanded to 42.1% while the percentage contribution of Food declined to 13.7%. For exports of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and
10 35
FIGURE 1.1 BALANCE OF CARICOMS TOTAL TRADE: 1996-2001
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
0 o io,ooo 0 uJ 0 5,000 0
-5,000
-10,000
-15,000 Years
Imports Exports s- Trade 8alance
17 ______
FIGURE 1.6 MAJOR SOURCES OF CARICOM’S IMPORTS: 1996
EuropeanUnion 14%
United Slates 44%
ricsME United States Latin America European Uron OJapan 0 Rest of the World I
FIGURE 1.7 MAJOR SOURCES OF CARICOMS IMPORTS: 2001
European Union 14%
Latin America 14%
•CSME • United States • Latin America
European Union OJapan DResloithe World j
27 ‘37
FIGURE 1.8 MAJOR DESTINATIONS OF CARICOMS EXPORTS: 1996 Rest of the World CSME 12% 18%
European Union ) 18% Other Caribbean 8%
United States 39%
• CSME eOther Caribbean United States Canada 9European Union DRest of the World L. -
FIGURE 1.9 MAJOR DESTINATIONS OF CARICOMS EXPORTS: 2001
Rest of the World
European Union 12%
Other Caribbean 10%
United States 39%
•CSME • Other Caribbean • United States Canada DEuropean Union DRestof the World
29 Statement Prepared for the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Board Page 1 of 4
Dopariment ol Finance .inistèrID cbs Finances ( I Canada Canada ‘...(II(I(iJ
Home > N€.ws > Statement Prenared ¶or the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Boad of Go’.e rrc’ the internahonal Monetary tind - October 2010
Washington, DC, October 9, 2010 2010-096 STATEMENT PREPARED FOR TilE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE. INTERNATI ONAL MONET.ARY FUND The Honourable Jim Flaherty, Minister of Finance for Canada, on behalf of Antigua and Barbuda, the Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Canada, Dominica, Grenad4 Ireland, Jamaica, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
We agree that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) played an important role in helping the global economy through the financial crisis and towards recovery, particularly through fostering international economic co operation. With a new set of global economic challenges lying ahead, the Fund will have an important role to play in ensuring a healthy and well-balanced international monetary system. It will do this by promoting sound economic policy frameworks; providing financial assistance when neled that strikes the right balance between financing and adjustment; and sustaining co-operation and consultation among its members.
In doing this the IMF must ensure that the proper steps are taken to protect against another severe financial crisis. The IMF can play a critical role in promoting an open international monetary system that facilitates timely, orderly exchange rate adjustment. Future IMF reforms, particularly to the Fund’s lending instruments and resources, can help to prevent future crises, but must also encourage members to adopt sound policy frameworks. Canadian Developments The Canadian economy continues to recover from the deepest global recession since the 1930s. Real gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter of this year increased by 2.0 percent, after posting gains of 5.8 per cent in the first quarter and 4.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009. The economic recovery has been underpinned by Canada’s Economic Action Plan as well as a strong recovery in private domestic activity. As a result of this strong performance, Canada has virtually recouped real economic activity lost over the recession, the only Group of Seven (G-7) country to do so. Canada’s solid economic performance has also supported a recovery in the labour market, as all of the jobs lost during the recession have been recovered.
The priority of the Government is to complete the implementation of Canada’s Economic Action Plan—a two- year C$62—billion plan (equivalent to about 2 per cent of GDP on average per year) to support economic growth and create and maintain jobs.
To maintain and preserve Canada’s strong financial position, the Government is committed to return to budgetary balance over the medium term, consistent with the G-20 commitment to halve deficits by 2013 and stabilize or reduce government debt-to-GDP ratios by 2016. In Budget 2010, the Government set out a three- point plan to bring Canada’s finances back to balance over the medium term. First, it will end the temporary measures as scheduled in early 2011. Second, targeted measures to restrain the growth of direct program spending have been put in place. And finally, the Government is undertaking a comprehensive review of its administrative functions and overhead costs in order to secure further efficiencies and savings. Irish Developments Irish Economic Developments Turning to the Irish situation, following two exceptionally difficult years it now appears that the economy will record some marginal increase in activity this year. The exporting sector is leading the way, in part a reflection of the substantial—and necessary—competitiveness adjustments that have occurred over a relatively short timeframe. An encouraging feature has been the broadening of the export base in recent quarters, which bodes well for the future. Domestic demand, however, lags behind. Excess supply continues to weigh on residential investment and will continue to do so for some time. Household spending remains subdued, on the back of declining real incomes and weak confidence. Having said that, the latest labour market data point towards stabilization.
httrr//www.fin.gc.caJnlO/10-096-eng.asp 11/1/2010 Statement Prepared for the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Board ... Page 2 of 4
Apart from supporting the banking sector, the most pressing issue is the need to ensure the public finances remain on a sustainable path. While revenue and expenditure plans for this year are in line with expectations, the underlying deficit—that is after excluding one-off issues related to the banking sector—will nevertheless be of the order of 11.9 per cent of GDP. The Irish Government has recently reiterated its commitment to reducing the headline deficit to below 3 per cent of GDP by 2014, and will publish a four-year budgetary plan setting out the annual consolidation measures necessary to achieve this early next month. This is to be welcomed, as it will underpin confidence and credibility in the sustainability of the public finances in Ireland, and as such help support economic growth over the short and medium term. Irish Banking Developments
The Irish Government has recently reiterated its strong commitment to restoring the Irish banking system to health. This involves a number of actions, some of which have already been undertaken, with more planned by the Irish Government. A Government guarantee of banks’ liabilities has been extended to ensure the banks remain able to access the necessary liquidity. The Irish Government has worked to provide certainty on the final costs of repairing the banking system. The National Asset Management Agency provides a facility to ensure that the losses of participating institutions are recognized upfront and that the most impaired loans are removed from their balance sheets. Together with the capitalization of the banks and the resolution and reorganization of the most impaired institutions, this should allow the banking system to play its essential role in providing the finance required to underpin economic recovery and fiscal sustainability. In addition, the Central Bank of Ireland has replaced the previous dual structured Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland. The new structure has a unitary board chaired by the Governor with a specific focus on prudential regulation, protecting consumers and maintaining the financial stability of the financial system. Caribbean Developments
While the economic outlook has improved for members of my Caribbean constituency, medium-term growth is expected to be subdued and beiow the Western Hemisphere average. Meaningful strengthening is not expected until 2011, underpinned by only modest prospects for tourism and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows. There are considerable downside risks, mainly associated with lowered expectations for the primary trading partner, the United States, amid household sector deleveraging and weak employment trends. The impetus from Europe is also likely to be mild, as households adjust to fiscal austerity measures. The Caribbean region also expects greater challenges in attracting FDI inflows as global flows normalize at below pre-crisis levels. Caribbean authorities believe that structural reforms to improve the business environment can help to improve these prospects, as can effective and well-targeted public sector investment programs. They acknowledge that reforms must occur within a framework of fiscal consolidation to reduce high debt burdens and to enhance the economies’ resilience to future shocks. While three Caribbean countries have taken on IMF programs to guide the adjustment processes, the region’s engagement with the Fund has more generally intensified through the Fund’s heightened surveillance activities and the increased technical assistance being provided, particularly through the focused work of the Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Centre.
Enhancing financial sector resilience and stability is a top priority for the Caribbean. The authorities are intensifying their efforts to strengthen and consolidate the supervision of non-bank institutions, and to fortify bank balance sheets against weakened credit quality and strained liquidity conditions. Co-operation among supervisors and regulators is also advancing more vigorously, given the increasing regional connectedness of the financial system—underscored by the need for a speedy resolution to failed insurance sector operations, which spanned multiple jurisdictions. Many Caribbean authorities are also strengthening their international co operation mechanisms, having concluded a significant number of Tax Information Exchange Agreements to improve their standing with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. They continue to urge, however, that global initiatives to promote transparency and financial stability do not impinge upon the ability of legitimate jurisdictions to benefit from the provision of international financial services. IMF Reform
Since the onset of the crisis, a range of surveillance and lending reforms have been put in place. These reforms have added to the Fund’s existing tools for safeguarding the stability of the international monetary system. The challenge now is to utilize these reforms to assess the risks to global financial and economic stability arising from unsustainable global imbalances and possible financial sector vulnerabilities. Reforms to IMF surveillance and the scope of IMF lending can help to prevent future crises. In addition, complementary reforms to the Fund’s governance structure are required to ensure that these tools are used appropriately. Surveillance
We are encouraged by recent efforts to enhance the quality and substance of Fund surveillance. Last year’s introduction of the Early Warning Exercise and revamping of the Financial Sector Assessment Program should help facilitate the identification of vulnerabilities stemming from the financial sector and global imbalances in a timely fashion.
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4 1’41 Press Release:IMP and World Bank ApproveUS$12 BillionDebt Relief for Haiti Page2 of 4in continuing Its efforts and progress towards stronger public expenditure management and public procurement,” Tslkata added. Debt relief under the Enhanced HIPC Initiative amounts to US$140.3 million in end-September 2005 net present value (NPV) terms& Haiti is expected to receive the equivalent of US$265 million of debt relief in nominal terrnsZ under the HIPC Initiative and expected additionai bilateral relief. Haiti’s public debt as of end-September 2008 amounted to 36 percent of GDP, most of which— about 28 percent of GDP—isowed to external creditors. The largest share of Haiti’s external debt Is owed to the Inter-American Development Bank (41 percent of total external debt), the World Bank (27 perctnt), and bTh.tcrJ creditors (24 percent).
By reaching the HIPC completion point, Haiti now is eligible under the MDRIfor further debt relief from IDA and the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB). MDRI relief would save Haiti US$972.7 million in debt service of which US$486.7 million owed to IDA and U5S486 million• to the IADB. While the IMF is a participant In the MDRI, HaIti does not have any MDRI-eilgibie debt to the IMF. “This is a very positive development for Haiti”, said Finance Minister Daniel Dorsainvil. “The debt relief will help us Invest In growth and poverty reduction programs. Haiti has demonstrated over the past four to five ,ears that It can commit itself to a menu of reforms and respect this commitment.” “To reach the completion point under the Enhanced HIPC Initiative Is a key milestone, and the authoritIes are to be commended for this important achievement amid severe external shocks” said Corinne Deléchat, mission chief for Haiti In the IMF’sWestern Hemisphere Department. “Debt relIef will significantly reduce Haiti’s debt burden and make it possible to Increase poverty-reducing spend!ng, allowing further progress toward the MIllennium Development Goals. In spIte of the debt relIef, Haiti’s vulnerability to shocks remains high. A major challenge ahead will be to lock in the ga!ns of debt relief through prudent fiscal policy, improved quaiity and efficiency of public spending, strengthened domestic revenue mobilization, and donor grant financing.”
IMF and Haiti ANNEX The IMFapproved a first three-year Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility in November 2006 in the amount of SDR 73.71 million (about US$114.4 million); In June 2008, an augmentation of SDR 16.38 millIon (about US$25.4
httn://www.imEorg/external/nn/gec/prtlOO9/pr09243.htzn 11/1t2010 PressRelease:IMPand WorldBankApproveUS$12 BillionDebtRelieffor Haiti Page3 of 4 IN-3 million) was approved to help Haiti cope with the impact of high international food and fuel prices.
A second increase in financial assistance, of SDR 24.57 mIllion (about US$38.1 million), was approved by the Executive Board in February 2009 to help mitigate the negative effects caused by a series of hurricanes in 2008 as well as the global downturn. World Bank and Haiti Beyond debt relief, the World Bank approved a disbursement of US$13 million in June 2009 as the second instaliment of a US$ 23 million Economic Governance Reform Operation program. The grant, which was approved on January 30, 2007, supports Haiti’s efforts to increase transparency and efficiency in the use of public resources and external assistance. Since January 2005, the World Bank has provided a total of US$278 million in grants for Haiti. In addition, approximately US$20 million have been granted from trust funds. The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative In 1996, the World Bank and IMPlaunched the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative to create a framework in which all creditors, including multilateral creditors, could provide debt relief to the world’s poorest and most heavily indebted countries, and thereby reduce the constraints on economic growth and poverty reduction imposed by the debt-servIce burdens In these countries. The Initiative was modified in 1999 to provide three key enhancements: • Deeper and Broader Relief. External debt thresholds were lowered from the original framework. As a result, more countries have become eligible for debt relIef and some countries have become eligible for greater relief; • Faster Relief. A number of creditors began to provide interim debt relief immediately at the decision poInt. Also, the new framework permitted countries to reach the completion point faster; and • Stronger Link between Debt Relief and Poverty Reduction. Freed resources were to be used to support poverty reduction strategies developed by national governments through a broad consultative process. To date, 35 HIPCcountries have reached their decision points, of which 26 (including Haiti) have reached the completion poInt.
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ikhsh4sIiiLeniational ‘.S’Monetary Fund IMF Opening Resident Representative Offices in the Caribbean Press Release No. 10/174 April30, 2010 The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is opening two new ies!dent representative offices, in Jamaica and in Antigua and Barbuda, the latter to cover IMF member countries in tre Eastern Caribbean Currency Union. The establishment of these offices willfurther deepen the IMP’sdialogue with the country’s authorities and other Important regional stakeholders, Including trade unions, the private sector, academics, and non-governmental organizations. The IMP already has a Resident Representative office In Haiti.
Mr. Gene Leon has been named to serve as the IMP’s Senior ResIdent Representative In Jamaica, while Mr. Wendell Samuel will head the newly-created Regicnai Representative Office for the Eastern Caribbean, based In AntIgua and Barbuda.
A presence In the Caribbean will help the IMPto better understand local circumstances and constraints and foster the already close and productive dialogue with policymakers In the region. The resident representatives will serve as an on-the-ground resource on technical and policy matters that the authorities can tap as they implement their economic programs,” said Mr. Nicolas Eyzagulrre, Director of the IMP’sWestern Hemisphere Department. ai am confident that their presence will help the IMPto develop closer ties to the people In the region and help both sides to Improve their understandIng of each other,” Mr. Eyzagulrre added. Both new resident representatives have extensive experience in the Caribbean. Mr. Leon, a national of St. Lucia, has been In the IMPfor more than 13 years, most recently in the Middle East and Central Asia Department Key assIgnments have Included developing the first Fund program for Iraq and leading teams working on the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UnIted Arab Emirates). Mr. Leon was the head of research at Central Bank of Barbados, as well as an associate professor at the State University of New York. He hoids a PhD In economics from the University of Southampton, United Kingdom.
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BUYUSA.GOV -- U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean
BARBADOS
Overview
• Market Overview • Economic Indicators • Market Opportunity
Market Overview
Barbados, the easternmost Caribbean island, is an Englishspeaking country, 21 miles long by 14 miles wide, with approximately 275,000 inhabitants and a labor force of 142,000. Stable Democratic Government: Barbados enjoys a longstanding democratic
tradition and a strong commitment to the rule of law and political and economic freedom.
Solid Economic Performance: The Barbadian economy grew by approximately 3.5 percent in 2006. At the end of September 2006, the 12-month moving average rate of inflation was estimated at 7.6 percent, compared to 5.1 percent at the end of September 2005. The unemployment rate dropped to the lowest level ever, or 7.6 percent, in the last quarter of 2006. Net International Reserves stood at USD $1.1 billion. Tourism rose by an estimated 2.5 percent, reversing a 2.2 percent decline in 2005. The overall growth in visitor arrivals was because of greater air travel capacity, which offset the fall-off in cruise passengers during the same year. The non-traded sectors continued to provide the main impetus for growth, led by the surge in the construction industry, which increased by 20 percent, mostly due to Cricket World Cup preparations. The Central Bank of Barbados anticipates a 4-4.5 percent growth in GDP for 2007. Strong U.S. Market Share: The United States has a trade surplus with Barbados, and 40 percent of Barbados’ imports come from the United States. High Level of Development: Barbados’ per capita income is the highest in the Eastern Caribbean region at USD $17,300, and the country ranks high in the United Nations Development Programs Human Development Index. Unemployment has been declining. Poverty, corruption, and crime remain low. Stable Monetary and Fiscal Policy: The main objective of Barbados’ monetary policy is to preserve the fixed exchange rate with the U.S. dollar, which has with a debt to GDP ratio of over 70 percent in 2006.
Economic Indicators Population: 280,000 (2006 estimate) GDP Per Capita income: 17,300 GDP: 2.976 billion httn :Ilwww.buvusa.gov/caribbeanlenlbarbados .html 9/29/2010 Barbados --U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean Page 2 of 2 49 Exports: 359 million (merchandise) 1.41 billion (commercial services) Exports to the U.S.: 33.9 million Imports: 1.6 billion (merchandise) 636 million (commercial services) Imports from the U.S.: 442.5 million Exchange Rate: BDS$2 = US$1
Market Opportunity
Cricket World Cup 2007: Barbados will host several games, including the final, in the International Cricket Council (ICC) Cricket World Cup 2007. This event will attract worldwide attention.
Telecom Liberalization: Barbados has recently liberalized its telecom market, with full competition in the cellular, domestic, customer premises equipment and international sectors. Liberalization has created new opportunities for U.S. telecom companies, and should continue to bring down the relatively high long distance rates to the benefit of all international businesses.
CARICOM Single Market: Barbados is a Caribbean Community (CARICOM) leader in implementing the CARICOMSingle Market and Economy (CSME) commitments. Once fully in place, the CSME will reduce or remove restrictions on the movement of goods, services, labor, and capital throughout the region. (See www.caricom.org for more information.)
Tax Incentives: International businesses enjoy substantial tax incentives, including a maximum tax rate of 2.5 percent, and lengthy tax holidays for exporters.
Best Prospects: Barbados imports 70 percent if its food, over a third of which comes from the United States. Trade opportunities will remain for U.S. Exporters of hotel and restaurant supplies, construction materials and specialty agriculture and consumer products. If you are a Barbadian company wishing to import from the U.S., click .1here Links
1. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/61.html
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• Five Compelling Reasons to Do Business in the Caribbean Region • Best Prospects in the Caribbean Region • Your Connection to the Caribbean Region • Country Specific Information
Five Compelling Reasons to Do Business in the Caribbean Region
1. Close Proximity: The Caribbean Region is a natural commercial partner of the United States, tied closely together by geography, history and culture. 2. 3rd Largest Market in Latin America for U.S. Exports: The Caribbean Region as a whole represents a market of about 235 million people who collectively imported over $18.5 billion of U.S. goods in 2007! As a result, the Region is the 3nd largest export market for U.S. manufactured goods in Latin America behind only Mexico and Brazil. 3. Cooperative Trade Relationship: The Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI) launched in 1983 and renewed in 2000 through legislation enacted by Congress established1 trade programs to facilitate the economic development and export diversification of the Caribbean Basin economies. U.S. exports to the CBI countries have more than tripled since the CBI’s creation, from $6.5 billion in 1984 to over $25 billion in 2000. 4. Free Trade: On August 5, 2004 the United States and the Dominican Republic signed a Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) The agreement was implemented on March 1, 2007 ensuring that more than 80% of U.S. manufactured goods enter duty free to the DR. In addition to tariff reduction, CAFTA-DRalso2 provides unprecedented access to government procurement, liberalizes the services sectors, protects U.S. investments, and strengthens protections for U.S. patents, trademarks, and trade secrets. in the DR. 5. Regional Integration: The Caribbean Community (:. CARICOM is an organization of Caribbean nations and dependencies working to promote economic integration3), and cooperation among its members. The CARICOM Single Market and Economy (CSM) treaty signed on January 1, 2006 by 12 member countires, establishes deeper regional integration through harmonized tariffs and duty free trade. Currently, the CARICOM CSM member countries and the Dominican Republic are scheduled to sign an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) in July 2008 establishing free trade between the DR and the CSM member countries.
Best Prospects in the Caribbean Region
• Household Consumer Goods • Building products • Air Conditioning • Telecommunication Equipment & Services • Franchising • Computers and Peripherals • Automotive Parts and Services • Food Processing and Packaging Equip. • Cosmetics and Toiletries • Electrical Power Systems • Hotel & Restaurant Equipment & services • Drugs and Pharmaceuticals
“Your Connection to the Caribbean Region”
Whether your company is trying to enter or expand into the Caribbean Region, we can help you succeed!
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Our Caribbean Regional Office provides counseling on market entry/expansion, identification of potential business partners, matchmaking appointments, market research, due dilligence reports, promotional events and other customized services. Learn more about Our 4Services for U.S. companies, or Contact .5Us Country Specific Information
• Dominican Republic • Jamaica 6 • Trinidad7 & Tobago • Other Caribbean8 9Islands Links
1. http ://www .ustr. gov/Trade_Development/Preference_Programs/CBI/Section_Index. html
2. http ://www . buyusa gov/caribbean/en/cafta_dr. html 3. http://www.caricom.org/ 4. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/services_for_usexporters.html
5. http ://www. buyusa . gov/ca ribbean/en/caribbeanstaff. html 6. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/35.html 7. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/36.html 8. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/37.html 9. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/other_caribbean_contacts.html
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Public Information Notice: IMF Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with Barbados Page 1 of 5
i:ic Ste Man Site t cc’. International . Nloneiarv L’und Public lnlorinauon ;‘ Jiol Moae.n lund pcl1jc 1nthnai:ion Notice No 04o Notices ‘Pi 700 19th Sueci. . Ma 14. ‘- \Vashbvtton.D.C. 20331 USA Barbadosandthe I\4I: IMF Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with itcaiicn Barbados
:teceive emajis On May 5, 004. the Executive Board oi the International loauicr\ when we cost new . . . en of nterest rand (tM.f) conoluced the Article i\’ ernsalLaL:oo wiLt r aces.— you cr Background eyyo’.r aOtte TI-c maji sl.avs of the economy arc tourism and financial services. the pol:uIciion is about 275.000. per capita incorne is about and the a employment rate is sliubi iv less than Ii maccm. The [unted Nations Development i>roarams Human De clOfirnout Iflcx
ranked Barbados 27th amona 175 countries in 2003.
Barbados economy did well in the I990s, supported ny r;rudenr p01 ices and a fhvorable external erni:ronrnenl, During .1993—2000.per capa real CUP growth averaged 2.5 ercent per year. annual inflation was 2 percent or less, and unemployment ateelmed shaptis. The structure of the economy shifted from aericulture to tourism end financial services. fhisperibrrnaucc was achiexed in the aontext of small tiscal deficits (less than 2 pelcera of’GDP). a coiisec monetary policy wInch resulted tn a sttbstaattat c;rcuuan ol external reserves). and a raflge of niarket—orieniedrelbrms.
1he economy shifted. into a reeesston in 2001 . reflection the ciobal slowdown., and the impact of the September 11 events on the tourism sector, Real GOP dropped by a cumulative 4 percent in 2001—02.To mjijate the recession. the government launched a national emergency program of public investment proeets aimed at promoting econoniIc activIty and ung.radirg the tourjsm and economic infrastructure. 1iwse and other measures contributed to an increase in the eciurni - go en ineut de c I trout 2 3 ncree ot CUP in Y 20(10UI ( n March) to 9.5 percent of GOP in bY 2002/03, including extra- budgetary spending of about 4 percent of (tDP, As a result, the central government debe-to-GDP ratio rose from 63 percent in March 200 [to 76 percent:in March 2003.
Oei’ the past year, the economy recovered partially from the 2001-02 recession. as real GDP grew by an estimated 2 percent in 2003. led by a recovery in the t:ourismsector. Inflation remained low at 1.5 percent, reflectimi the currency peg. The external current aecaurit
i-itr IJ’.y,rnrxr m f nvaIvtrn 1 InriIcc/nn/2 004/nn 0456 htm 8/31/2010 • PublicInformationNotice:IMP Concludes2004Article IV ConsultationwithBarbados Page2 of 5 S3 deficit widened in 2003. as merchandiseexports declinedand imports recoveredfromtheirlow recessionlevels. The central 2ovemr’eiu deficit narrowd to 6.5 percentof GDP in FY 2O03O4.including extra-budgetaryspendingof ck,sc to 4 ptrcent of (Jl)P. T;L\reentz increasedby 1¼ percentoIGDP. on accouct of higaer -:e:pts fren the alue-acfded tax. a1’d c.:al cxpct.dituredciiced bya similar Srnt.nL More than half of the goenmcri de1eit was linancat throughpr”tt&aton pcocecdsresiliig in a rarginal dceire in the governmentdebt ratio. to 75 ccent. Notwithstanding Seit of the eurrnt tccount dcficft.the net internationalrcs:n :s stood at l:8S751 million(six monthsof importsof goods and sen ices) at the end of the year.
Broudmoneygrowthdelekratcclin 2003, althoughit wasstiUfaste” than GDP grovu.h,anc banksbecainc ne:eadrg llçiid. Inan effort to unwindthe excessivebuildupof liquk i.y. the cent’a! bankreduced the governmentsecuritiesratioto 16ptrcer4in November2002: in December2002, the centralbank reduceJthe minimumadministered interest rate on dine and savings deposits,from 3 pcrcent to 2.5 ercr.t, and discontinxicdsettingmaximumindicutie lending ‘aws for banks on Felectedloans.V!iiJe the banking system ’insrem. sound,the ratio loansto toirL4 loans has generally of nonpertbrmng increasedto about 9 pcrccnt,:nd profiwb!htybdicasc’rshave weakenedsome’ hat.
Overthe past year, importcntprogresswas made in the areaof structuralretbrnis,as stepsweretakento echance the budgetprocess. strengthenthe nztionai pensionsystem.promote ‘rat -‘ar3neyin the public sector, improvefinancialintermediation,and enlici’e the supplyresponsivene’sof the economy.
Executive Board Assessment
ExecutiveDirectorsobserved that Barbados’economy Ss startedto recoverfromthe 2001-02 recession.led by die s’zongpuformance of the tourism sectorand supportedbythe ceuntereyelica fiscalstance adoptcdin the downturn. However,this fiscalstancegaverise to a substantialincreasein the goernnicnt debt ihieh must now be nncrsed. Directorswereencouragedby the improvementin the public financesin fiscaler 2003 04and stressedthat. oer the mediumterm, debt sustainabilitywould criticallydependon the go annienCs success in fiirthcrreducingits deficit and deepening reformsto boostgrowth.They welcomedthc strengtSein of the internationalresene positionover the last threeyears. :.bich retlccts Barbados’continuedaccess to foreign financingand strong private capital inflows.
Directorsstated that. notvdthstandingthe improvementin fiscalyear 2003/04.the current level of the government’sdeficit implied continuedhigh governmentdebt ratios and has contributedto large. albeit declining,externalcurrentaccountdelicits. They cautionedthat
htt,. linnun, irnfnrnlavtern.lInnIqpeInnflAA4Innfl4i6 htni 8/31P2010 PublicInformationNotice: IMP Concludes2004 ArticleIV ConsultationwithBarbados Page3 of 5 sLt. these factorscould pose a riskto the fixedexchange ntc ancl’or.the central pillar of Rarbados’policy framework.cipechJ:y in ie event of a turnaroundin privatecapitalflows.A numberof l)irectors thereforerecon’mendedthat the fiscaldeficit be reducedto ensure adequate reservecoveranda dccliningdebt ratio, and thatgradual fiscal tighteningbe combinedwith vth-en;ancitj stricwral flflOl’flI$. Inthis regani. Directoisalsoatweccoimportanceto anchori’igthepace of fiscaladjustmenton lhrbadcs’ !cr.gxnanding &ameworkof socialconsersui. At thesamethm, otherl)!cect.’s. noting the size of the fiscal imbalancetu:dU’eSig: deti !vel. trgec tie authcrities to builddontesic consensu, for a mc’rerapd iiscal adiusmen.
Directorsagrc:d ‘withthe governnen.’s focus on expenditureconirol and siekomed the commitmentto wugerct4raintand the .cdprqj2c reductionin extra-budgetaryspending. mainly transfersto1public enterprises.whkh remains high and has diminishedthe transparency of fiscal operationsin recentyears. But they dlso saw a needto iatensit’ the revenueeffort, bothto facilitatedeficit reductionand to protect socialspending.Directorsencouragedthe aurhoritiesro consider, in particular.measuresto reducee\elnptiotsbfrtn the V41’. as well as iccreascsin the rar.csof the VAT and excises.‘l’hey commendedthe authoritie&proposalsto hanmnfre the domes!c and offshoretax regimes and supportcdthe proposedreductionof hwc,e tax rates. Dfrccors recommendedthat pthatization pmcxcs. which havebeenused to financeextra-budeLar>spending,shoL’ldin the flaure be allocatedmainlyto the rct!rementof gocr.i’z’c.’. dec.. ‘l1ie’ urgedtne authoritiesto reviewthe tailtThof mejor public enterprises. concurrently‘witha reductionin governmenttransfersto these entities.
Directorsencouragcdthe authoritiesto move to more nw,rke-hased mechanismsof monetarycontrol,to enhancecontrol of credit expansionandxduce distortionsin financiulintermedin:!oa Accordingly,theywelcomed the initialstcpsby the cetaralbankto prepare the technical nfrastructurefor open market operations,and recommendedphasingout, in due con. the adnth’!sircd raicbnu.ii interestrate on sa i:igsand time deposits. Regardingbroader financialsectorreforms.I)irectors welcomedthe actionstakento implementmost of the 2002Financial Sector AssessmentProgram recommendations,includingimprovementin the supenisory and regulatoryframeworksfor the bankingand insurancesectors. They encouragedrapid implementationof the remaining recommendations,includingincreasingthe independenceof the central bank,and the strengtheningofeliorts ‘sith regard to Ant:_ Money1aundering/Combatingthe Financingof Temrlsrn stes. Directorssupportedthe authorities’sequencedappreachto capital account liberalization,in line with the ongoing strengtbeningofthe financial sectorand the developmentof indirectinstrumentsof monetarycontrol.
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Directors shared the :i’ ethics iew on.the conilnued anproprinieness of tbc Pxed cxc ace rate tnc:imc for da:hado atthough it as also suggested that tac authori es keep the rivat regime under re\ ic. ‘i’hcynoted that the lo:xg ad ig rep. to he LS. col te a supitorteu by prudent dscal and monetary pole h. has acted as a strong anchor of price stability and i xsa.: ecczdt:ee. Directors emphasizcu. hovc ur. that the [ot2g-terr V1t fIfty of e regime requited that the public dent d) nnm;.cs be tearcerl tO :1 sustainable position. ender rohast economic policies end relbrnis to boost growth and cemetitiveness.
I)ireators noted that the decline of aadcul.ture tuid a c. ha it recent vents lughlights the aced tO inoad.en the pro,ucn- e ixise. In this rtuwrd. they welcomed the hoti ties’ recent stalciurni retlria achics ements 1\vhicl.’include the roforta of the N tiotef Iaserance Scheme: establishment ola regulator Fa’arevotrk.fbr private v’rsiall schemes: corno tuzatton of the Port. Aethori ty; r.thr :he. of rh:’ i3arb’tjos l\htional IDak: and the move toward cater ant 1 ha- in the telecommunications sect-ar. Lookirat ahead, Dh Cta
the aathot ities’ fbeus on refbrrns relati nit to the 121’cci. tax mti cv. O\ enme1:t petistoits. and enhancing the supply rcspraoi\ enn- otlhe econoin\. Dtrectors coran-eaded the atuctauttes br thete continued comm tinent to further trade tt[teralizauon in the coat ‘at of the CARJCO\l, the WiQ, and the envisaged FTA:\, and recent
1atttai:vcs to enhance labor market flrnathtllt\
Directors noted that, while the statistical informahan provided by l3arbados is hroad1 adequate ftr surveiIlancL PurPoses. there mmatins scope for substctriial improvement, particularly w ith retinal 10 the operaltons of the puN ic enterprises and the capital account of the balance of payments.
Barbados: Selected Economic Indicators
1999 200() 200.1 2002 2003
(Annual percentage changeNI Output and prices Real GDP 2.4 —3.4 -0.4 2.1 Consumer prices (12-month increase) 1.6 2.4 2.8 0.2 1.5 tourist arrivals 0.4 5.8 -6.9 -1.8 6.7
Unemployment (percent ol labor force) 10.4 9.4 9.9 10.3 10.7
Money and credit 1/ Net domestic assets 7.8 -4.2 -8.6 5.7 -2.7 Public sector credit (net) —0.4 —4.3 —8.1 12.2 3.6 Private sector credit 11.6 2.1 -0.3 2.4 0.6
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Broad monev I L6 70 5.6 10,4 6.5
In rrce1t of GDP) Public secEor operations 2/ Nonnranc:ai public sector belnace -1.2 -3.1 -5.2 -10.4 -7.5 Central uOvCt’fllnent -1.3 -2.3 -4A) -9.5 -6.5 Surplus oii\atiostal !nsurance Scheme 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.5
Public enterprises 0.0 —0.8 —0.4 —oA) —1.0
xternoi sector EXternalcUTOnt account batance -6.0 -5.6 -3.6 -6.6 -7.8 Public external debt 3/ 18.5 22.5 28.8 27.0 26.] Net international reserves (it millions of 306 184 707 683 751 U.S. dollars)
Sources: Barbadian.authorities: and IMF staff estimates. 1/ Changes in percent of begmmng—of—periodbroad money. 2/ Fiscal years (April-March). 3/ Rcfers to central government and gocrnment guarmuced debt.
1 Under A:::ole IV of the iMFs Articles of Aereement, the IMF holds hi atea discussions ith members. usually every year. A s:aft’team visits the country. collects economic and hi:anir intormetior:. arn cl;scses with offlcials the coun:ry’s economic deveiopmeus and policies. On return to bead ur:rers. the stall prepares a report, which fbrms the basis for d:seuss:on b\’ the Lxcat:’ e Board. At the cord sma of sac I c,s:on th Manam D:rctor ( ju o thc.Be d p .s s. of . I C and this summary is transmitted to the counirvs nushonties.
IMEEXTERNAI_ RELATlOb.S DEPARTMENT
Public Affhirs: 202-623—7300— Fa\: 202-623-6278 Media Relations: 202-623-71.00 - Fax: 202-623-6772
I,++,.s. I/mrnrXT ;mc nrct/cvtvnl I 4Innfl,/QpIn,I’)flfl Mm 8/31/2010 LESSON 2- WHAT IS THE TNTERNATTONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES IT DO?
ACTIVITY 2.1A CASE STUDY: BARBADOS AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF)
The Country: Barbados is a Caribbean island country located in the North Atlantic Ocean. It was uninhabited when the British settled it in 1627. Slaves worked on colonial sugar plantations until slaver was abolished in 1834. Barbados became independent from Britain in 1966 and has been politically stable since then, Historically, the econom was dependent on the production of sugar cane, but during the 1990s tourism and light manut’acturing became more important. Barbados also provides financial services for foreign businesses, which helps to bring in foreign curren cv.
The Problem; The balance of payments (BOP) is a record of’all the money coming into a country from abroad and all the money going out of a country to other countries during a specific time period, usually one year. For example. money comes into Barbados when tourists spend money there and when other countries import sugar from Barbados. Money goes out when people in Barbados buy foreign goods or make investments in other countries.
In the early 1990s the BOP deficit increased sharply; more money was going out of Barbados than coming in. This was (lue in part to a drop in tourism and a large increase in the government budget deficit. There weren’t enough foreign currency reserves to pay for the imports and other assets that people in Barbados wanted to buy from abroad. Inflation was on the rise, economic growth was stagnant and unemployment was high. Barbados sought help from the TMF.
The IMF-supported Program: Barbados requested financial assistance from the TMF,which is normally granted if the government implements an economic reform program designed to eliminate the underlying problems over time. The TMF-supported pro gram in Barbados focused on improving the economy through sound fiscal and monetary policies and on helping to make the country’s businesses more competitive in the world. The government tightened fiscal policy by drasti cally cutting its spending and improving the efficiency of the tax system. Wages of government workers were cut, and sonic government workers were laid off and encouraged to find work in the private sector. (This action was later ruled illegal, and the government had to restore wages when the economy improved.) The central hank used monetary policy to raise interest rates; this action discouraged excessive spending and reduced inflation. In the private sector a wage program which kept labor costs down was implemented. This meant that Barbados could keel) down the prices of its exports and compete better with other countries. Its low prices also attracted tour ists. All of these measures were designed to curtail inflation and improve long-term economic growth. This would attract more foreign currency to Barbados by increasing exports, tourism and fbreign investment and would help to bring an end to the unsustainable BOP deficit.
A.lthough some of’these measures sound harsh and might be unpopular, there are seldom many options for cor recting a BOP deficit. One possible alternative wOUldhave been for Barbados to devalue its currency, resulting in lowe)’ prices for tourists in Barbados and those buying Barbados’ exports. however, the government was commit ted to maintaining the value of the Barbados dollar, which was pegged to the U.S. dollar. The Outcomes: Barbados and the IMF achieved the desired goals in a relatively short period of time. The BOP deficit turned into a surplus, and reserves of international currency increased in 1993-94 due to increased tourism t’roni Europe and a drop in government spending and the associated imports A program was initiated to revive the sugar indus try t.o increase exports. Although there were initial declines in GDP (with resulting increases in unemployment) due to the decrease in the size of the government sector, GDP growth picked up by 1994-95. Inflation fell to a very manageable rate of one percent. However, there is always a possilnlity that problems will arise again in the future because the Barbados economy relies heavily on toum-isni.which has its ups and downs.
NY. (3 NVi’IO\\I, (UUNC!l. ON feOXorvile NOUCATJON, \‘ORK. WHAT IS THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES IT DO? - LESSON 2
ACTIVITY 2.1B CASE STUDY: ESTONIA AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF)
The Country: Estonia is an Eastern European country bordered by the Baltic Sea, Latvia and Russia. Estonia was forced into the Soviet Union in 1940 and remained under communist control until 1991 when the Soviet. Union broke up. Along with other former Soviet Republics, Estonia is a transition economy; it is in. the process of changing from a planned economic system to a market economic system. Estonia is considered one of the most economically free and successful former Soviet Republics, and was admitted to the European Uflion in 2004.
The Problem: The early years of transition were difficult in Estonia and the other former Soviet Republics. The economy expe rienced 900 percent inflation in 1.992, a year after the economy switched to a free market system. This means that on average what. cost 100 Estonian kroons iii 1991 cost 1000 kroons in 1992. Production fell 20 percent, resulting in declines in income. However, unemployment was not as high as expected due to em:igration to Western countries. Estonia’s problems were caused in part by the shocks associated with the break in the trade and financial links that had existed within the Soviet Union and the lag in establishing a functioning market economy. Although Estonians desperately wanted to have a free market economy. they lacked the skills, experi ence and institutions necessary for such an economy to function.
The IMF-supported Program: It has been a challenge for the IMF to help Est.onia and other former communist countries reorient their econo inies toward market systems and become integrated into the global economy. The IMF provides advice and assis tance to help liberalize and privatize the economies: to end price controls and replace government ownership with private ownership. The IMF also provides advice and assistance to help stabilize the economies by controlling inflation and unemployment and promoting economic growth. The IMF assists in restructuring the economies by guiding the process of establishing institutions such as banks that are necessary if the new markets are to func timi.
The first LMF-supported program for Estonia was approved in 1992. and was aimed at macroeconomic stabiliza tion and the establishment of institutions to ease the transition to a market economic system. The IMF provided loans, policy advice and technical assistance. Estenia established a currency board to control the money sup ply and stabilize ts new currency through a fixed link with the Deutschernark, the German currency at that time. Estonia also avoided having a government budget deficit for a number of years, and introduced a policy to restrain wage increases. ‘l’his policy kept down business costs and prices of goods for export, which encouraged other countries to import goods from Estonia.
‘Fhe second phase of the IMF-supported programs for Estonia took place from 1994 through 1998, and was directed toward increasing economic growth. After 1998 IMF assistance consisted only of advice and techmcal assistance; Estonia did not need to draw on the loan funds available. From 1999 through 2003, the goals were to continue to help the Estonian economy develop and quality for admission into the European Union.
The Outcomes: Estonia is viewed as having successfully made the transition from a planned to a market economy. while bringing inflation under control and promoting economic growth. Estonia’s rate of inflation fell to 35 percent in 1995 and as of 2004 was less than 3 percent. rI1.1esuccess in curtailing inflation is attributed to the successful operations of the currency board. Compared to other transition economies, real GDP recovered from its initial declines quickly, and as of 2004 was increasing at rates averaging 6 percent annually. Despite its successes, in 2004 the IMF was concerned about Estonia’s large current account deficit. This means that Estonia was spending more on imports than it earned by exporting goods.
ç NATIONAL couNcil. oz IiCONOiUC EDIJCA’IlON. \IW YORK. N.Y. 7 LESSON
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INTERNATIONAL were financial experienced Korea. The 2- failing loan the financial
STUDY: reserves in spending from that South of WHAT 4, financial picked some currency; Foreign them raised the Whether agreement Korea than iKorea, of under 1997, This were the Korean policy It the the crisis future Korea of
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MONETARY of in and was substantial to Singapore the Korea, It designed rate is in in the Responding as in financial to Financial request Mechanism, began chaebois, deal a The businesses its from ON there MONETARY kept War economy, needed. November difficult that by of’ economy; for I economy, freer weaknesses CONOMIC with is stock 5 the the II policies in the in was percent of to an for
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(IMF) the a supervision confidence the institutions the the to three-year the value audits the containing IMF. country little receive DOES communist-controlled southern Korea’s four IMF-supportecl Asian all to reforms. government those to winch As of other Many the by public ‘Asian domestic the with in IT a the financial fell internationally and funds stand-by G.DP inside and result, Korea half inflation countries, DO? won, The was of money into information the accounting Tigers.’ businesses the per of available pledged 1MF dominated the businesses goal to a its and the program chaehols crisis arrange severe capita keep very and 1MF. eco pro of with coun pre to icc on is VC( WHAT TS THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES i.T DO? - LESSON 2
ACTIVITY 2.1D CASE STUDY: TURKEY AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF)
The Country; Turkey is located in both Europe and Asia at the northeast end of the Mediterranean Sea. Modern Turkey was founded in 1923 from parts of the former Ottoman Empire. There were several military coups in Turkey during the twentieth century, hut civilian governments were always able to regain political power Turkey’s economy is a mix of modern industry and traditional agriculture that accounts for 40 percent of Turkish employment. As of 2005, Turkey was striving to undertake the legal and economic reforms necessary to qualify for membership in the European Union. The Problem: High and volatile inflation has been Turkeys main economic problem. Since about 1980 i.t has averaged between .40and 100 percent per year with peaks of over 100 percent. An annual inflation rate of 100 percent means that the average level of prices doubles every year.) This high rate of inflation resulted from loose fiscal policy, including overly generous social security benefits and large agricultural subsidies. These payments led to very large government budget deficits. When a government, spends more than it takes in from tax revenues, it has budget deficits, which need to be financed. In Turkey this has been done through loans from foreigners and by the central bank printing money, which causes inflation. Tn the l.990s it became evident to economists, private businesses and the IMF that a reduction in inflation would greatly benefit the Turkish economy. Lower inflation would lead to increased confidence in the economy, more foreign investment and higher and more stable economic growth.
The IMF—supported Program: Since 1980 Turkey has had a series of IMF-supported programs designed to control inflation and strengthen the economy, An ambitious set of reforms with IMF loans and assistance had good initial results. But by 1989 the problems of increasing inflation and an increasing government deficit arose again. This failure was due in part to the Turkish government’s inability to control spending as prescribed in the IMF plan. Between 1994 and 2004, Turkey and the IMF tried a number of times to agree on a program to control inflation. rfhese programs were not successful initially because they were not implemented fully, hut since 2001 results have been more positive.
These more successful refbrms have included attempts to reduce government spending by reducing the size of the government workforce, privatizing businesses formerly owned by the government, restraining government workers’ pay increases and reforming the social security system. Efforts have also been underway to reform the tax system to close tax loopholes and improve the efficiency of tax collections. In these ways, the government has lowered its deficit by decreasing spending and increasing tax revenues, in addition, the central bank has been granted independence and given price stability as its primary objective and has been freed from the obligation of printing money to finance the budget deficit. Finally, the IMF granted substantial financial assistance to support Turkey’s balance of payments.
The TMF-supported programs to improve fiscal policy and lower inflation in Turkey have been criticized because they have taken a long time to take effect. Outside events such as political turmoil in 1997 have hindered the efforts, and at times the government has not been fully supportive of the proposed reforms. However, since 2001 the reforms have been more fully implemented and appear to be working. The Outcomes: Turkey’s GDP growth averaged a healthy 6-7 percent in 2002-04, and inflation decreased from 70 percent in 2000 to less than 10 percent in 2004. This success is attributed to Turkey’s following the strong macroeconomic stabili zatiomi policies supported by the IME Concerns over fiscal policy remain, however, because Turkey’s government debt is still high.
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jtpt CASE. STUDY: BARBADOS AND JAMAICA Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados : NPR Page 1 of 5
Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados by ALEX BLUMBERG
M9?h 5. 2010 text se A A A
When it comes to economic indicators, none may be more abstract than GDP per capita. It is the measure of all goods and services a country produces, divided by its population. Take two countries that seem alike in almost every important way — from geography, climate, colonial history and government structure — but one has a much lower GDP. The differences between Jamaica and Barbados are striking.
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STEVE INSKEEP, host:
Now, let’s take a case history of sorts, comparing a country that ran up big debts and a country that did not. Each country is a Caribbean island - Jamaica and Barbados. Alex Blumberg, of our Planet Money team, visited both. He found the consequences in a change of GDP per capita - gross domestic product. That’s the total amount of goods and services produced in a country divided by the country’s population. That affected other measures, like reading, writing and arithmetic.
ALEX BLUMBERG: Iwent to two elementary schools - one in Jamaica and one in Barbados, both in working class, urban neighborhoods. Jamaica and Barbados are both former British colonies, both parliamentary democracies. But the Jamaican government made a bunch of decisions after independence that weighed it down with debt. As a consequence, its economy barely grew, and now its GDP per capita is a third of what it is in Barbados. And that difference has huge implications in a place like this.
Unidentified Children: (Foreign language spoken)
BLUMBERG: lm in a classroom in Allman Town Elementary School in Kingston, Jamaica, standing nex to a bunch of boys who high five every time they get a right answer on a multiple-choice health quiz. The principal, Kandi-Lee Crooks-Smith, is giving me a tour, and my first hint of how GDP affects the lives of kids.
A low GDP means governments dont have as much tax revenue, which means they can’t spend very much on their schools. In Ailman Town, Crooks-Smith has to find creative ways to pay for bare essentials - extra toilet paper, cleaning supplies, even the whiteboard at the front of this classroom.
Ms. KANDI-LEECROOKS-SMITH (Principal, Allman Town Elementary School): The whiteboard was actually provided by the teacher himself because the school cant afford to change the chalkboards.
BLUMBERG: GDP affects the lives of kids here in another way as well. In Jamaica, every sixth grader takes a test, and the test determines where you go to high school. Ifyou do well in the test, you go to a decent school, which prepares you for college and a professional job. But ifyou dont score near the top
htti ://www.npr.org/templates/story/story .php?storyld 124346527 8/31/2010 Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados : NPR Page 2 of 5
on this test, you go to something called a non-traditional high school, where there are far fewer resources.
Ms. CROOKS-SMITH: The odds are more against them.
BLUMBERG:And what does that mean when the odds are - what does that mean? They graduate and...
Ms. CROOKS-SMITH: For most of them in the non-traditional high schools, you have a lot of behaviora
problems, and I think most of the students just basically give up.
BLUMBERG: Ifyou graduate from one of these schools, your options are limited to low-paying non- skilled work. You might drop out of the labor force entirely and find work in the informal economy -
drugs, gangs, simply selling stuff on the side of the road. Italked to the Jamaican Minister of Education, who told me the problem is that there simply arent enough high schools in Jamaica.
He figures he needs another 150 to meet the demand, which would take about a billion dollars U.S. to
build - a billion dollars that Jamaica, with its low GDP per capita, does not have. I asked Kandi-Lee Crooks-Smith, the principal, ifthe government did have the money to give her, what would she do with it?
Ms. CROOKS-SMITH: I have hired a reading teacher, not the American history either, but lm thinking if
I could get just one extra person every classroom to focus on the reading alone, I think we would achieve way more than what were doing right now.
BLUMBERG: Now, lets head to Barbados, specifically the Lawrence T. Gay Primary School in the largest city in Barbados, Bridgetown. The principal here, Beverly Paris, walks me around from classroom to classroom. Her school, like the school in Jamaica, has lots of bright colors, lots of shapes cut from construction paper on the walls. But the Barbados government, because of the higher GDP, has access to a lot more money, which means more resources and classrooms like the one Beverly Paris is showing me.
Ms. BEVERLY PARIS (Principal, Lawrence T. Gay Primary School): Television on the wail and so and so.
BLUMBERG: Television is like a little - its like a server closet.
Ms. PARIS: Yes. Multimedia projectors, video cameras here, the whole works.
BLUMBERG: And thats funded by the minister
Ms. PARIS: (Unintelligible).
BLUMBERG: So in terms of what you wish you had versus what you actually have, its not that big a difference, right?
Ms. PARIS: Not really. As I said, in our class (unintelligible) we should accomplish.
BLUMBERG: In Barbados, almost every sixth grader can read. In Jamaica, a quarter can’t. The kids arc just as bright, the teachers as hardworking. The only difference is one little statistic.
httw I/wixiuj nnr nr/tmn1ts/stnrv/storv.nhn?storvId 124346527 8/31/2010 Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados : NPR Page 3 of 5
For NPR News, rn Alex Blumberg.
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comments for this story e now or,,.: roe the Community iAQ for more nforrrtin
Recent First Sean Leber-Fennessy (stratowhammy) wrote: QUOTE: “A low GDP means governments dont have as much tax revenue, which means they can’t spend very much on their schools. In Ailman Town, Crooks-Smith has to find creative ways to pay for bare essentials ... even the whiteboard at the front of this classroom’
I teach in the United States, which has the highest GDP in the world, and one of the largest per-capita GDPs in the world. In my classroom paper is rationed, photocopier toner is rationed
and students are not allowed to bring the textbooks home. The room I teach in has not been
updated since 1930 when the building was built, with the exception of the whiteboard that I had to install myself using shower board. This story is not atypical for inner city schools in the United States. Yes, there is toilet paper and paper towels, but where it counts students and teachers do not get what they need. My classroom probably looks more like the classroom described from Jamaica then the classroom described from Barbados. Looking at a countries
GDP is overly simplistic, although I do applaud an economic analysis of the conditions on the ground made simple for a general audience. However, unlike the very sophisticated reporting
I am accustomed to on NPR, this story fell flat. Tuesday, March 09, 2’0 11 4,u8AM Recommend (5) Report abuse
Dean Irwin (Sounbwoy) wrote: How can you justify the generalizations that are so abundant in the story? There are other
schools in Jamaica that are doing VERY well, Oh wait, I guess classrooms have to have TV’s in order for them to learn. How about going back and spending more time talking to other schools in both countries?
I’mupset because you have made what I consider to be gross assumptions and over simplifications, not because I’mJamaican. Suecay M’c 07.20109:49:53AM Recommend (4) Report abuse
Danielle Evans (DaniJane) wrote: This story is but a snipett of a 24 minute Planet Money podcast filled with facts and figures from both primary and secondary sources that are disclosed. You may look them up for
htto ://www.nor.or/temo1ates/story/story .php?storyld= 124346527 8/31/2010 A,nericcin
http:I/n’ww.ae
copyright
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VOL. 99 NO. 2 INSTITUTIONS VERSUS POLICIES. A TALE OF TWO iSLANDS 263
TABLE l—B,\ISBAE,os AND JAMAICA HAVE SIMILAR ECONOMIES
Barbados Jamaica Exports as percent GDP 58.4 50.0 Trnports as percent GDP 68.6 60.7 Agriculture as percent GDP 3.7 5.7 Tndustry as percent GDP 18.0 33.1 Services as percent GDP 78.3 61.2 Population 300,000 2.700,000 Area (square miles) 166 4,244
Turning from growth rates to levels gives a 85 percent of the populations of Barbados and tangible sense of the impact of these growth-rate Jamaica. Slavery was abolished in the British differentials on long—runstandards of living. In West Indies in 1834. and following World War 1960real GDP per capita was $3,395 in Barbados I the region began a process of “constitutional and $2,208 in Jamaica. in 2002 Barbados’s decolonization” that led the islands down a grad GDP per capita was $8,434 while Jamaica’s ual, if difficult, path toward greater se1fgovern- was $3,165. The $1,187 income gap that existed ment (Trevor Muisroe 1972). Reporting on his between Barbados and Jamaica around the time visit to the region in 1922, Major H. F. L. Wood, of independence now stands at $5,269 dollars. Britain’s Under Secreta:ry of State for Colonies Put another way, the income gal) between the wrote: two countries now exceeds Jamaica’s level of GDP per capita. “The whole history of the African popula Since their initial conditions were similar at tion of the West Indies inevitably drives the time of independence, it stretches credulity them towards representational institu to argue that Barbados and Jamaica diverged tions fashioned after the British Model. because of differences in colonial origins, legal Transplanted by the slave trade or other origins, geography. or some other exogenous circumstances to foreign soil, losing in the feature of their economies. We argue below pmcess their social system, language and that the explanation for the divergence lies not traditions... Small wonder if they look for with differences in institutions but differences political growth to be the only course and pattern that they know, and aspire to share in macroeconomic policy. in what has been the particularly British gift of representational institutions” II. Institutions (Wood 1921).
Jamaica won its independence from Britain in 1962.Barbados in 1.966.At the lime they became Three subsequent empirical observations sovereign nations, both countries possessed the demonstrate the accuracy of Wood’s predic two institutional characteristics that the litera tion that the British West Indies (Barbados and ture identifies as critical to long-run prosperity: Jamaica in particular) were destined to establish strong constitutional protection of private prop institutions that mirrored the mother country. erty and English common law. A brief review of First, as sovereign nations, both Barbados the islands’ colonial histories verifies the state and Jamaica organized their governments as ment in the preceding sentence. parliamentary democracies in the Westminster- The English settled Barbados in 1627 and Whitehall tradition (Anthony Payne 1993). wrested Jamaica from the Spanish in 1655. Since independence, Barbados and Jamaica Both islands entered the modern era as planta have maintained two-party political systems tion economies that produced sugar and other and consistently held free and fair elections with agricultural commodities using slave labor (Eric no unconstitutional transfers of power. While Williams 1970). By the end of the eighteenth sporadic violence often accompanies elections century, African slaves comprised more than in Jamaica, neither Barbados nor Jamaica has (9C1
264 4EA PAPERS AND PROCEEDINGS MAY 2009 suffered a coup or civil war, and both countries For most of their histories, both countries shared have a free and vocal press. Four postjndcpen— the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council in dence elections in Jamaica iesultecl in the ruling England as their highest court of appeals. party peacefully turning over power to the Because Barbados and Jamaica possess simi opposition. Three such transitions occurred in lar economic institutions and legal systems, nei Barbados. ther the property-rights nor legal-origins theory Second, the constitutions of Barbados and of long-run income determination can explain Jamaica explicitly protect private property. The their postindependence divergence Although joint parliamentary committee that drafted the institutional structures of Barbados and Jamaica’s constitution was chaired by Norman Jamaica are very close, the same cannot be said Manley—a lawyer. Rhodes Scholar, and father of their approaches to macroeconomic policy. of the nation’s future prime minister. Discussing the constitution in front of Jamaica’s House of III. Macroeconomic Policies Parliament on 23 January 1962. Manley says: When Jamaica gained independence in 1962 “We have put into this constitution a clause the Jamaican Labor Party (JLP) held a parlia which provides that property may not be, mentary majority. For the next ten years the JLP in effect, arbitrarily acquired. Property remained in power and GDP per capita grew at a is protected in that it can only be taken rate of 5.4 percent per year, with the lion’s share under a law which has been passed. And of growth stemming from two principal sources: when so taken, it must be taken in accor strong US growth in the 1960s created a robust dance with the terms of that law. What the bauxite; and rising law provides for compensation, you must export market for Jamaican incomes in North America boosted growth in get. . .{J.Jtis of the highest importance for a country like Jamaica to let the world know Jamaica’s tourism industry. that., people can come here to invest... But all was not well. In classic Dutch Disease fuHy protected by the laws of the land...” fashion, growth in the bauxite sector drove up (Manley 1962, 306). the relative price of nontradeables, reducing the competitiveness of Jamaica’s agricultural Barbados. which attained full independence sector and precipitating an exodus of workers four years after Jamaica, adopted a constitu from the countryside to the cities (Carl Stone tion with an effectively identical coverage of and Stanislaw Wellisz 1993). Because of strong private property. Both constitutions assert that unions, wages in other sectors did not adjust property cannot he compulsorily acquired downward to absorb the excess labor released except under written law that describes a pro from agriculture (Caribbean Policy Research cedure for determining and providing compen Institute 20(5). Consequently, during its first sation and grants claimants the right of appeal decade of independence Jamaica experienced to a court (Chapter 3, Section 16. of Barbadian the odd combination of strong growth coupled Constitution: Chapter 3, Section 18,of Jamaican with an unemployment i-ate that rose from 13 Constitution). The constitutions also delineate percent in 1962 to 23.2 percent in 1972. similar sets of exceptions to this clause, such as Rising unemployment, income inequality, cases where property is acquired in satisfaction and the attendant societal tensions proved 100 of a tax, property is in a condition dangerous to much for the JLP at the ballot box. In 1972 the the health of others, or property is acquired to People’s National Party (PNP) rose to power pay debt of the insolvent. under the leadership of Prime Minister Michael Third, Barbados and Jamaica adopted legal Manley (son of Norman) and the promise of systems based on English common law (Rose- “democratic socialism: The two cornerstones of Marie Antoine 1999). Describing the essence of democratic socialism and the PNP’s economic this adoption to the Philadelphia Bar Association policies were “self-reliance” and “social jus in 1967,Manley says: “As to the law, we took over tice.” Self-reliance translated as extensive state the English common law holus holus. But what intervention in the economy. The PNP nation was more important we took over the structure alized companies, erected import barriers, and and machinery which England built up for the imposed strict exchange controls (R. DeLisle administration of justice” (Manley 1967, 340). Worrell 1987). Social justice meant income VOL.
redistribu housing may spending basic percent to with
percent
the down of year. investment was cided 1972 Manley to 1973 onset Barbados external observer not external in First in kept 1962 an inevitable kept higher ing percent Blackman the
45 Whatever
Because
The
the
1975, Jamaica.
outward-looking
blame deticit
99
an have voted
fiscal
the
percent have
state
government
By food to
to
Jamaica’s
of
with
NO.
from of
early
energy
accommodative
inflation
of
development
1980 of
rise
1972
1987), of
shocks all, events.
1980
but to
rose
worldwide
ion been
ownership 2
by
out items.
GDP had,
deficit
makes
the
had
2006,
GDP! the
GDP retrenchment Jamaica’s
embrace
merits
Growth Fiscal 26 inflation TAmE
in
1970s,
in
Barbados
Barbados’s Predictably,
borrowing
the
inflation
of
through inflation from
prices,
expenditure.
even
oil country’s
1978.
collapsed
percent more
that it
(see
While
averaee
power.
rate
average in
deficit, spending
in 2—EcoNosmic:
390).
The
was
the
it
rate
price
hitting
23
precipitated
1973.
a
Table
to Barbados that growth
Revenue
schemes,
stagflation,
difficult
policymakers
different
PNP’s
in
reversal
of
cursory
averaged
percent
a
was
job expensive. avoided PNP many percentage
Second,
in
stance
directly
GDP
minimum,
shock
policy
conclusion.
Barbados fiscal
fiscal (to
downward
needed
inflation by
a
2).
under 1972),
INSTITUTIONS
creatIon 27
From
economic
peak
strategy
per 14 tinanced Pot.tcv
have
1978
did
in
for comparison and percent
of of
did
of
from that
deficit deficit
percent
capita
nationalization, response
4.4
the of
from instead
contrast,
it control.
not
GDP
fortune and
1962 of
1973
Government
an GDP
subsidies to
done
climb
that AND
and
in also
rose. is
percent
delayed
spike
programs,
39
keep Jamaica’s.
(Courtney
spiral
Barbados the
adjust
was
program tempting obiective much per the
was
through PErmt’OtmMANCE
in
of adopted
and
number percent
so
VERSUS 1966—1972 of
spiked
While
to
From
Bank could
to
from coin
GDP year, pace 1972
PNP
with
15.5
(see
tak
6.0 6.0 2.3 2.7 per
the
the on
the
on 7.7
of
to
Barbados
1973
POLICIES:
extension, cit was
policy IN periods. ship net
came
deep per in US to from 1973—1980 things, with full ernment stimulate ers, ity recommendation. real their moderate increases workers tripartite parties ductivity the wage-cut demonstrations to maintained bargaining. BARBADos
In
Under
To
14,8 financing base
1991, redluest.
of
result 2.7
dollar 5.3
employment. capita down
unions,
way wages
than
recession
1975
demands
the
thei:r
1989 .4
under
be in
agreed
the TALE
future
and
began
Barbados
protocol
up
hoard
production Barbados International
the
of
proposal Barbados
their
at IV. AND sure, in Barbados
to Jamaica.
of currency,
contracted
to
financial
IMF
and
the
utmions
to
a
OF When the
threat
comes
about
2.9
productivity. JSMAI(’A Exchange
negotiations.
1993
1992.
parity 962—1972
to a in for
the price
TWO
to
broke parity
workers
set
difference the
4.2
4.4 2.3
percent.
recommended the the
Deeply
instead
on
future
provide
entered
9
Privy
was
of assented .larnaica
when
negotiations
antI also
Wage
from
iSLANDS
the pegged
Table
In
and wages
percent
increases, early creation
of Divr.sc;tt protocol
assistance.
negotiations
out
by
of
Monetary
challenged
the Rate
l3$2: Barhadians
Jamaica
ran
that
1973—1980 return pay
attached
of
Council
and the 5.1 ihc Barbados
Since
better
antI
1990s
—4.3
2 Firms and
formal 23.0
in 15.5
midst
devaluing,
a
to
its
and
Policies AfTER
culminated raises
US$1.
of
percent central
currency, tighter
the summarizes
macroeconomic
a
involved
currency prices
the Price
the
one-time
a devaluation much
agreed
data Among
began.
and
over government’s
with
Fund to national
of
promised
(Alvin
negotiations
economy in
government
in
resisted
The
suffered
monetary
the
real
the bank,
Protocol. in
on court,
line
per
the the
employ of
to
and
1993. (IIVIF) parity
to stabil public with
costly
which
crisis cut
other
GDP
defi
Wint
keep
year
gov with
two
pro
265
the
the
the
by
all all
to to
in
to
a
a
70 266 AEA PAPERS AN!) PROCEEDINGS MAY2009
2004, ch. 3). Nevertheless, the center held. in the global economy. On the contrary, we The fall in real wages helped restore exter think that important general lessons lie at the nal competitiveness and profitability, thereby heart of this Caribbean parable. Recent work achieving the same result as a devaluation but focuses on the very long-run effects of insti without the risk of triggering an inflationary tutions to the point of exclusion of almost all spiral. The economy recovered quickly. From other factors. But the macroeconomic deci 1993 to 2000 GDP per capita grew by 2.7 per sions of governments can exert just as much cent per year. influence on the trajectory of the economy Linlike Barbados, Jamaica devalued its cur as the. institutional framework within which rency several times between 1975 and 2002. those decisions take place. Countries have no From this fact, many observers draw the spe control over their geographic location, colo cious conclusion that the difference in exchange nial heritage, or legal origin, hut they do have rate policy accounts for Barbados’s superior agency over the policies that they implement. economic perfornianc&. But Barbados’s fixed Of particular importance for small open econ exchange rate did not cause its economy to omies (i.e., most countries in the world) is the outperform Jamaica’s. Rather, the proximate response of policy to macroeconomic shocks source of Barbados’ superior performance was such as a fall in the terms of trade. Pedestrian a set of growth-facilitating policies—monetary as it may seem, changes in policy, even those restraint, fiscal discipline, openness to trade. that do not have a permanent effect on growth and ultimately wage cuts to restore competi rates of GDP per capita, can have a significant tive unit labor costs—that had the side effect impact on a country’s standard of living within of enabling the monetary authority to maintain a single generation. the exchange-rate parity without losing external competitiveness. in contrast. Jamaica’s policies were never consistent with maintaining commt REFERENCES ment to any parity the government might have wanted to adopt. Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and Tames The differences in exchange rate policy do, A. Robinson. 2001. “The Colonial Origins however, raise an important issue. Faced with a of Comparative Development: An Empirical scenario like that of Barbados in 1991. would Investigation.” American Econoinic Review, Jamaica he able to achieve the social consen 9l(5): 1369—1401. sus needed to adopt the measures required to Antoine, Rose-Marie. 1999. Commonwealth avoid a competitive devaluation? As stated in (.uribbea,i Law and Legal Systems. London: the previous paragraph. we think the Jamaican Cavendish Publishers. record speaks for itself. Answering the deeper Blackman, Courtney. 2006. The Practice of Eco question—why do some democratic societies nonzic Management. A Caribbean Perspec (of which Barbados is just one example) manage tive. Kingston: Ian Randle Publishers. to reach constructive policy compromises while Caribbean Policy Research Institute. 2005. Thking others (such as Jamaica) do not?—remains an Re.cponsibilits:The .!amnaicanEconomy Since important research challenge. Independence. http:llwww.takingresponsibil 2 ity.org/. V. Conclusion La Porta, Rafael. Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Amlrei Shleifer. 2008. “The Economic Conse It may he tempting for readers to regard this quences of Legal Origins.” Journal of Ecu paper as a quaint tale of two exotic islands nommcLiterature, 46(2): 285—332. better known for their beaches, music, and Lewis, W.Arthur. 1955. The Theory of Econonuc Olympic sprinters than their significance Growth. 1-fomewood,Illinois: Unwyn Hyman. Manley, Michael. 1987. lip the Down Escalator: Del’elopmentandthelnternationalEcononm)cA Hon. Edward Seaga, “The Caribbean Single Market: ./amaican C’aseStud’.London: AndreDeutsch. Beneficial Path or Wayward Journey.” Jamaica Observer, Manley, Washington. February 10, 2006. Norman 1962. “The mdc See Donald Robothani (1998) for clues about answers penclenceConstitution.” In Norman Washington to this question for Barbados and Jamaica. Manle’ and the New Jamaica: Selected VOL. 99 NO. 2 INSTITUTIONS VERSUSPOLICIES: .4 TALE OF TWO ISLANDS 267
Speeches and Writings /938—68, ed. Rex Net the Western World, Encyclopedia Britianica. ileford, 1971.London: Longnian Caribbean. Stone, Carl, and Stanislaw Wellisz. 1993. Munroc, Trevor. 1972. The Politics of Decoloni “Jamaica.” In The Political Economy of Pot’ zation: Jamaica, 1944—1962.Jamaica: Univer errv, Equity, and Growth: Five Sinai! Open sity of the West Indies Institute of Social and Economies, ed. Ronald Findlay and Stanislaw Economic Research. Wellisz, 140—218.New York: Oxford Univer North, Douglass C. 1990. institutions, Institu sit)’Press. tional Change, and Economic PerJirinance. Williams, Eric. 1970. From Columbus io Cos Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. ta,’: The History of the Caribbean 1492—1969. Payne, Anthony. 1993. “Westminster Adapted: New York: Random House. The Political Order of the Commonwealth Wint, Alvin. 2003. C’omnpetitii’enessin Small Caribbean.” In Democracy in the Caribbean: Developing Economies: Insights from the Political Economic, and Social Perspectives, Caribbean. Kingston: University of the West ed. Jorge I. Dominguez, Robert A. Pastor, and Indies Press. R. DeLisle Worrell. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins Wood, Hon. E. F. L., M.P. 1921.Report of a Visit University Press. to Certain West Indian Colonies and to Brit Robotham, Donald. 1998. “Transnationalisrn in ish Guiana, as cited in Anthony Payne (op. cit.) the Caribbean: Formal and Informal.” Ameri 1993. 58—59. can Ethnologist, 25(2): 307—21. Worrell, R. DeLisle. 1987. Sinai! Island Econo Smith, Adam. 1776. An inquiry into the Nature mnies:Structure and Perfbrmunce in the Eng and Causes of the Wealth of 1”Jations. In lish Speaking Caribbean Since 1970. New Mortimer Adler red.), 2005, Great Books of York: Praeger. Doing Business in the Caribbean Region -- U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean Page 1 of 2 \13
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[Print] [Email] C • ‘:: 6 relweet Subsidies on trial in Caribbean rum rumble By: TIMOTHY P. CARNEY Senior Examiner Columnist November 18, 2009 If you drink Captain Morgan rum, you probably don’t care where it came from. But to the governments of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands -- and to the top- shelf K Street lobbyists they have hired in recent months -- where to distill Captain Morgan is a billion-dollar question.
Diageo is a multinational liquor giant that hires a Puerto Rican distillery to make Captain Morgan rum. Puerto Rico’s next-door neighbor, the U.S. Virgin Islands, however, is trying to lure the Captain away with a raft of subsidies. The special arrangement these two territories have with the U.S. government ropes Washington into their cutthroat competition for more booze business -- which means more K Street lobbyists.
This column obtained a copy of a June 2008 agreement between Diageo and the government of the Virgin Islands. In the contract, the Virgin Islands promises Diageo a handful of generous tax credits and direct subsidy payments if the company builds a new Captain Morgan distillery in St. Croix, the main island, thus cutting ties with the Puerto Rican distillery. The agreement specifically states, “Absent such financing, tax, production and marketing incentives, Diageo would not locate the Project in the Virgin Islands.”
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5 News Release Ex-Im Bank Approves $250 Million in Export Financing for 211,000 For... Page 1 of 1 r1r]
News from the Export-Import Bank of the United States
August 5, 2010 Contact: Phil Cogan, (202) 565-3200
EX-IMBANK APPROVES $250 MILLIONIN EXPORT.FINANCING FOR 211,000 FORD MOTOR COMPANYVEHICLES Ford, Small Business Suppliers and Workers in 41 States to Benefit
WASHINGTON, DC - The Export-Import Bank of the United States (Ex-Im) has approved a $250 million working capital loan guarantee for Ford Motor Company in Dearborn, Michigan. The loan facilitywillfinance $3.1 billionof export sales for over 200,000 vehicles being sold to buyers in Canada and Mexico. These exports represent 15 percent of Ford’s 2009 production and the vehicles willbe manufactured in plants located in Chicago, Illinois.;Dearborn and Wayne Michigan; Kansas City, Missouri; Louisville, Kentucky; and Avon Lake, Ohio. The Private Export Funding Corporation (PEFCO) willprovide the funding for the revolving $250 million loan backed by Ex-Im’s guarantee. The loan, fees and interest willbe paid off in one year.
“Ex-Im’sworking capital loan guarantee enables both Ford and hundreds of its small business suppliers to maintain their competitiveness in the global marketplace,” said Fred P. Hochberg, chairman and president of Ex-Im Bank. “This transaction alone willsupport thousands of high paying export-related American jobs by exporting superior goods and services to international buyers.”
“Ford is committed to using our U.S. manufacturing plants as a growing source of exports to regions all over the world,” said Mark Fields, Ford Motor Company president of the Americas. “Our partnership with Ex lm Bank highlights a public-private relationship that supports American jobs and the economy.’
Models to be exported using the Ex-Im loan guarantee facilityinclude the F-150 pickup, Explorer SUV, Focus, Escape, Expedition, E-Series Van, Taurus, and Lincoln MKSand Navigator. Of particular note is that the loan facilitywillsupport the export of the new, highly fuel-efficient crossover Ford Explorer SUV. Itis scheduled to go into production at the Chicago assembly plant later this year. Ford’s investment in the Chicago assembly plant is adding 1,200 new jobs there.
Ford reports that key suppliers to the Explorer alone are investing in new facilities and hiring for more than 600 jobs in Michigan, Indiana and Illinois.According to Tony Brown, group vice president, Ford Global Purchasing, more than 650 companies in 41 states produce parts and components for the vehicles being exported. At the same time thousands of other indirect suppliers provide other services to Ford.
This is an innovative transaction and the first of its kind at Ex-Im Bank. The loan is formula-based and secured by vehicles in transit to Canada and Mexico. The flexibilityof the formula-based loan facilitywillfacilitate the continued growth of Ford’s exports.
Ex-Im Bank is an independent, self-funding federal-government agency that operates entirely on the proceeds of the fees and interest that it charges. Ex-lm fillgaps in export financing, strengthens U.S. export competitiveness, and helps creates and maintain U.S. jobs. The Bank provides a variety of financing mechanisms, including working capital loan guarantees to help U.S. businesses acquire the capital needed to produce goods and services for export, export-credit insurance to protect against nonpayment by foreign buyers, and loan guarantees and direct loans to assist foreign buyers of U.S. goods and services.
In fiscal 2009, overall Ex-Im Bank financing totaled $21 billion.In the first nine months of fiscal 2010 (through June 2010), Ex-Im Bank authorized $17.4 billionin loans, guarantees and insurance - more than the total authorizations for all of fiscal 2008. For more information, see Ex-Im Bank’s Web site at www.exim.gov.
Original URL: http:Ilwww.exim.govlpressrelease.cfm42BEO2AO-DFB9-2BCO-36C4F6788D7222301
Export-ImportBankofthe UnitedStates 811 Vermont Avenue, N.W. Washington,DC20571 Tel: 1 (202) 565-3946(EXIM)or 1 (800)565-3946(E)(IM)
http://www.exim.gov/pressreleaseprint.cfmI428E02A0-DFB9-2BC0-3 6C4F678 8D7222BO 11/1/2010 Overseas Private Investment Corporation Page 1 of 1
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OPIC assists U.S. companies by providing financing (from large structured finance to small business loans), political risk insurance, and investment funds. OPIC complements the private sector in managing risks associated with foreign direct investment and supports U.S. foreign policy.
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25 1 FREETRADEAGREEMENT IMPLICATIONS FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT The Trade Stimulus Fact Sheet - October 27, 2008 Page 1 of 2
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Helping u.s. businesses by Download printer friendly version Promoting Trade and October 27 2008 Investment Strengthening Industry The Trade Stimulus Competitiveness Trade is an engine of economic growth -- Approval of the Ensuring Fair Trade Colombia, Panama, and South Korea Free Trade Agreements Browse by organization (FTAs) would help stimulate further growth. U.S. Commercial Service U.S.-Colombia FTA Manufacturing and Services 1. u.s. exports are expected to increase by $1.1 billion under the Market Access and FTA. Compliance 2. 10,000 U.S. companies export to colombia; 8,500 of these are Import Administration small- and medium-sized firms (SMEs). 3. U.S. GDP is expected to increase by approximately $2.5 billion, according to the usrrc.
U.S.-Panama FTA
1. The Panama canal expansion, valued at $5.25 billion, is an historic opportunity for U.S companies. The FTA will level the playing field for U.S. firms eager to compete for canal projects. 2. 6,400 U.S. companies export to Panama, of which 5,200 are SMEs. 3. American SIIEs would directly benefit from the FTA as 39 percent of total U.S. merchandise exports to Panama are Shipped by SME5.
IJ.S.-Korea FTA
i. U.S. exports are expected to increase by $10.3 billion. 2. Korea is a $1 trillion economy. Within the first 3 years of the FTA, 95 percent of U.S exports of consumer and industrial goods will enter this huge market duty-free. 3. U.S. GDP is expected to increase as much as $20 billion, according to studies.
Free Trade Works — Trade Stimulates the American Economy
• From January to August 2008, U.S. exports totaled $850.5 billion -- a huge economic stimulus that kept America growing1 despite the effects of the domestic housing market. • Net exports contributed 2.9 percentage points to total GDP growth in the 2nd quarter of 2008, and are the MAIN reason that America’s economy had positive growth in the first half of the year. • Exports of goods and services grew by 18 percent to $1.3 trillion in the first eight months of 2008. • 706 days have passed since the U.S-Colombia FTA was signed. In that time, U.S. exports to colombia have faced tariffs over $1.3 billion, which the FTA would eliminate. U.S. exporters face more unnecessary tariffs as they wait for approval of the Panama and South Korea FTA5.
• The United States has a $10.3 billion trade SURPLUS with itsl4 FfA partners. ETA5 work. • The U.S. manufactured2 goocs trade balance improved 158 percent with our 14 FA partners, but only 7 percent with non-FTA partners in the first eight months of 2008. • About 59 percent of the U.S. trade deficit is due to petroleum imports. 3
http://trade.gov/press/press releases/2008/fta-factsheet 102708.asp 11/ 1/2010 The Trade Stimulus Fact Sheet - October 27, 2008 Page 2 of 2
1 Exports of non-petroleum goods 2 For manufactured goods only Trade deficit of goods and services
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Helping U.S. businesses by Free Trade Agreements Promoting Trade and Free trade agreements (FTAs) have proved to be one of the best Investment ways to open up foreign markets to U.S. exporters. Today, the Strengthening United States has FTA5 with 14 countries. In 2006, six new ETA5 Industry were implemented: with Bahrain, El Salvador, Guatemala, Competitiveness Honduras, Morocco, and Nicaragua. Last year, trade with countries Ensuring Fair Trade that the United States has FTAs was significantly greater than their Browse by organization relative share of the global economy. Although comprising 7.5 percent of global GDP (not including the United States), those ETA U.S. Commercial Service countries accounted for over 42 percent of U.S. exports. Manufacturing and Services Market Access and Compliance U.S. Free Trade Agreement Partners in the Global Economy Import Administration Percent of World GDt 2006 Percent of U.S. Exports 2006 1 To ErA FTA Countries: Countries: 7.5% 42.6%
Non-FT — Countries:2S%
EtA = free trade agreement GDP = gross domestic product Note: World GDP excludes the United States. GDP percentage shares are based on GDP figures on a purchasing power parity basis. Export figures are for total U.S. Exports. Free trade agreement countries include all countries with free trade agreements with the United States (Australia, Bahrain, canada, chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Israel, Jordan, Mexico, Morocco, Nicaragua, and Singapore). Sources: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2007); U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administrations, and Bureau of the Census
Pending Free Trade Agreements Colombia NEW! U.S-Colombia TPA Fact Sheet A Partnership to Prosperity Why a Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement? case for Colombia: Giving American Products a Fair Shake State by State Impact Reports Industry Sectoral Reports United States Trade Representative (USTR) Information Korea Why a Korea Trade Promotion Agreement? State by State Impact Reports Industry Sectoral Reports USTR Information Panama Why a Panama Trade Promotion Agreement? State by State Impact Reports USTR Information
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