Accelerating Innovation In the Era of Exponentials
Dr. Chi-Foon Chan President and co-Chief Executive Officer, Synopsys, Inc.
August 27, 2013
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 1 Accelerating Technology Innovation Exciting time to be an Engineer The Era of Electronics
Technology
The Future Ahead
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 2 $1.76B FY12 Revenue System Design ~84 Offices Worldwide
~8,195 Employees
~4,431 Masters/ PhD Degrees Verification IP Implementation
~31% R&D/Revenue
~5,129 R&D Engineers Manufacturing ~1,100 Application Consultants
~1,889 Issued Patents Advanced Technology Leadership
Delivers Benefits at Every Node © Synopsys 2013 ASQED© Synopsys 2013 3 What Happens in 204 Million Emails Sent
>2 Million Search Queries
6 Million Facebook Views
1.3 Million Video Views And the Future Growth is Exponential Today, the number of the global networked devices = population By 2017, the number of devices the global as high as connected to IP networks will be 3x population © Synopsys 2013 ASQED© Synopsys 2013 4 Source: Cisco Systems, VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update 2013 and Intel SmartTech Blog Moore’s Law Continues…
Transistor Count Trends 1.0E+12
256Gb MLC/128Gb SLC DRAM 128Gb MLC/64Gb SLC 1.0E+11 NAND Flash (SLC) 64Gb
NAND Flash (MLC) 16Gb 8Gb 1.0E+10 Intel PC MPU 4Gb "Poulson" 4Gb 2Gb Intel Server MPU "Tukwila" "Broadwell" 1Gb Itanium 2 "Ivy Bridge" 1.0E+9 "Gulftown" Core i7 "Bloomfield" 256Mb Itanium 2 Core 2 Duo 64Mb 1.0E+8 Pentium 4 "Prescott" Itanium Pentium 4 16Mb Pentium III 1.0E+7 4Mb Pentium II Pentium Pro Pentium 1.0E+6 1Mb 80486 256Kb 80386 64Kb Transistors per Die Transistors 1.0E+5 80286 16Kb 4Kb 8086 1.0E+4 1Kb 8085 8080 8008 4004 1.0E+3
1.0E+2 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14F 16F Year Source: Intel, SIA, IC Insights 2012 © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 5 Designs Are Larger and Faster
60,000 800 MHz
700 50,000
600
40,000 500
30,000 400
300 20,000 Clock Frequency Clock
Gate Count, K Count, Gates Gate 200
10,000 100
0 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Expon. (Gate Count, K Gates) Expon. (Clock Frequency, MHz)
Source: Synopsys Global User Survey, 2002-2012 © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 6 Power Is a Growing Problem
1000 Leakage Power
800 Dynamic Power
2 600 W/cm 400
200
0 90nm 65nm 40nm 28nm 20nm
Source: IBS © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 7 Functional Verification Costs Are Exploding
$6.0B Engineering Effort
IT Infrastructure for Verification $5.0B
$4.0B
$3.0B
$2.0B
$1.0B
$0.0B 2011 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 Source: VCS User Companies, Synopsys © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 8 Chip Development Costs Are Increasing
$300 Chip Design $250 Software Dev. +116% $200
$150
+82% ($M) Cost $100 +96%
$50 +44% +75% +62% +54% $0 65nm (90M) 45/40nm (130M) 28nm (180M) 22/20nm (240M) 16/14nm (310M)
Feature Dimension (Transistor Count)
Source: IBS, December 2012 © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 9 Advanced Designs at Every Node
1st to tapeout at 1st to tapeout at 1st to tapeout at 1st to tapeout at 22/20nm 500 65nm 45/40nm 32/28nm
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0 Q3'03 Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13
90nm Advanced Tapeout Counts 65nm 45/40nm 32/28nm 22/20nm 16/14nm © Synopsys 2013 10nm ASQED 10 08 09 10 11 12 Companies Working Hard to Differentiate
Recession
Recovery
Uncertainty
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED© Synopsys 2013 11 Semi Snapshot as of 7/23/2013 Source: IC Insights Report, August 02, 2013. © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 12 Source: IC Insights Report, August 02, 2013. © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 13 Buys
Buys
Forces Driving Buys - Wireless Consolidation Buys
Buys Semiconductor • Critical Mass Buys MODEM
Shaping Buys
• Differentiation the Buys Industry • Collaboration Buys Buys
Buys Accelerating Buys Buys
Innovation Buys
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 14 Accelerating Technology Innovation Differentiation The Era of Electronics
TechnologyTechnology
The Future Ahead
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 16 Prototyping Enables Earlier Software Development
Traditional Flow
Software Development
Software Stack Product Support & Maintenance Synopsys Hardware Integration Development & Test Virtual Effort Development Prototype Time to Market Time in Market
With Virtual Prototyping Higher Prototype Productivity A simulation model for the targeted hardware Software Earlier Higher Integration TTM Quality & Test
Development Effort Development Hardware Product Support & Maintenance
Time to Market Time in Market
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 17 Increasing Use of Silicon IP and Silicon IP Subsystems
Graphics Application Processors Application Application Graphic RAM RAM ROM Processor CPU CPU Core(s) LVDS, Etc
Specialty I/O Specialty I/O
Flash Flash Storage RAM RAM RAM RAM Interface Memory I/Fs
On-Chip Bus DDR DDR memory
On-Chip Bus Interface & Others RAM RAM RAM RAM Memories & Logic Libraries Basic Peripherals (UARTs/Timers) Headset Jack Analog Interfaces Audio Microphone Interface / Video Audio Codecs I/F Data Video Codecs Converters Deeply Analog embedded USB PCIe SATA HDMI MIPI processors * Small boxes are standard cell library elements. © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 18 3rd Party IP Usage Will Continue Increasing Design to Double Through 2017
Complexity 2017 2012
Consumer
Escalating Design Costs Wireless Communication
Data Processing Shorter Time Window for New Product Overall 3rd party Automotive design IP use Launch in 2012
Industrial
Overall 3rd party design IP use Strong Growth Wired Communication in 2017 in 3rd Party 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 75% 90% IP Usage Percentage of 3rd Party IP Block
Source: Gartner, Semi IP Market, March 2013
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED© Synopsys 2013 19 Evolution of Implementation Technology
2002 2005 2009 2011 2012 “Correlation” “Look-Ahead” “In-Design” “Exploration” “Co-Design”
Synthesis Synthesis Synthesis Synthesis Synthesis
Design Planning Place & Place & Place & Place & Signoff Signoff Signoff Signoff Signoff Custom Place & Route Route Route Route Route
DRC / LVS DRC / LVS DRC / LVS DRC / LVS DRC / LVS
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 20 Below 22nm Requires Advanced Solutions
FinFET Double Patterning (DPT)
• Density / • Power Integration • Performance • Performance • Power
Power Area
3D-IC Delivering • Density / Integration More Performance • Power Performance with Less Power • Performance in a Smaller Area
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 21 FinFET Technology Must Be Supported Across the Entire SoC Design Process
Process Develop. Characterization Design Implementation IP
TCAD Circuit Simulation Custom Design Implementation
>= DPT spacing
C 1
V0 C2
C 3
Trench M0 Contact
Fin C4 Gate Fin Sourc Drain e
C5 Substrate
3D Lithography Extraction Physical Verification Signoff
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 22 Low Power Design Advanced Techniques
Multi-Voltage Power Gating DVFS, AVFS SoC Design (Shutdown) Advanced multi-voltage Requires techniques
Advanced Well Biasing Clock Gating Low-VDD Mainstream Standby intent-driven
EN FF techniques LT Low Power CLK ICG
Techniques Gate-Level Opt. Architect. Opt. Multi--Threshold
a
b
THTH Synthesis-based c LowLow VV 16 bit 64 bit d optimization Ripple 90 366 CLA 100 405 THTH Leakage Current techniques Leakage Current Nominal V Carry Skip 108 437
THTH a High V c Carry Select 161 711
b DelayDelay Carry Save 218 1323
d Basic
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED© Synopsys 2013 23 The Problem in Verification Is Time & Cost
Heavy Setup and Debug Activity Heavy Regression Activity Issue is Engr. Resource and Time Issue is Compute Cost and Time
2 3 1 Verification Debug Faster Reuse Automation Simulation
Project Time Bugs Found Compute Cycles
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 24 Comprehensive SoC Verification Platform Manages Time-to-market & Verification Complexity
Technology Must Address • Performance • Digital • Capacity • Low-Power • Accuracy • AMS • Productivity • HW/SW • Standards
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 25 Accelerating Technology Innovation
Collaboration 1. Industry The Era of Electronics 2. University 3. Government Technology
The Future Ahead
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 26 Environmental Legal Ethical Technology Economics Different Disciplines
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 27 The Morals and the Machine Economist Teaching robots right from wrong
June 2, 2012 Economist.com
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 28 A Car or a Computer on Four Wheels?
California becomes latest state to OK driverless cars September 25, 2012
Sources: USA TODAY, California becomes latest state to OK driverless cars, September 25, 2012. The Economist, Look, no hands, September 1, 2012. © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 29 The New Green Hub Shifting Gears to Sustainable Development
Source: Ecofriend.com – Urban Reforestation: Sky-bridges & green connectors to give a new skyline to Kuala Lumpur © Synopsys 2013 ASQED 30 Purpose + Plan + Our Part How will we impact the future and accelerate innovation?
Economy Technology
Environmental
Legal, Ethical
Responsibility
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 31 Thank You
© Synopsys 2013 ASQED 32