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Public Opinion Monitoring of the State of the Russian Society

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Public Opinion Monitoring of the State of the Russian Society Public opinion monitoring of the state of the Russian society As in the previous issues, we publish the results of the public opinion monitoring of the state of the Russian society conducted by ISEDT RAS in the Vologda Oblast1. The following tables show the dynamics of a number of parameters indicating the social feeling and socio-political sentiment of the Vologda Oblast population on the average for the last six polls in December 2013 – October 2014. These data are compared with the data for 2013, 2011 (when D.A. Medvedev’s presidential term was due to expire), and 2007 (when V.V. Putin’s second presidency was coming to an end). We do not provide comparisons with 2012, since it was an incomplete year of V.V. Putin’s presidency (his inauguration took place on May 7, 2012). Estimation of performance of the authorities In comparison to 2013 the level of approval of the RF President’s performance has increased by 7 percentage points (from 55 to 62%), the share of negative assessments has decreased by 5 p.p. (from 29 to 24%). For reference: according to Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VCIOM) (data for the first half of October 2014), the nationwide level of approval of the RF President’s performance is 88.9%, the share of negative assessments is 6%. The approval of the Prime Minister has increased by 4 p.p. (from 49 to 53%) on average for the last 6 polls compared to 2013; the proportion of disapproving characteristics has decreased by 4 p.p. (from 33 to 29%). 1 The polls are held six times a year in Vologda, Cherepovets, and in eight districts of the oblast (Babayevsky District, Velikoustyugsky District, Vozhegodsky District, Gryazovetsky District, Kirillovsky District, Nikolsky District, Tarnogsky District and Sheksninsky District). The method of the survey is a questionnaire poll by place of residence of respondents. The volume of a sample population is 1500 people aged from 18 and older. The sample is purposeful and quoted. Representativeness of the sample is ensured by the observance of the proportions between the urban and rural population, the proportions between the inhabitants of settlements of various types (rural communities, small and medium-sized cities), age and sex structure of the oblast’s adult population. Sampling error does not exceed 3%. More details on the results of ISEDT RAS polls are available at http://www.vscc.ac.ru/. 16 5 (35) 2014 Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR V.A. Ilyin How do you assess the current performance of..? (as a percentage of the number of respondents)) Dynamics (+/-), Average Answer Dec. Feb. Apr. June Aug. Oct. the last 6 surveys 2007 2011 2013 for the last option 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 in comparison with... 6 surveys 2013 2011 2007 RF President I approve 75.3 58.7 55.3 57.3 56.1 62.8 66.6 66.4 66.8 62.7 +7 +4 -13 I do not approve 11.5 25.6 29.4 28.9 29.3 25.4 21.8 19.3 18.5 23.9 -5 -2 +12 Chairman of the RF Government* I approve - 59.3 48.9 51.1 49.3 52.5 55.8 55.2 56.2 53.4 +5 -6 - I do not approve - 24.7 32.8 32.5 32.9 30.9 26.4 26.8 23.9 28.9 -4 +4 - Governor I approve 55.8 45.7 44.4 44.1 42.8 41.6 38.5 38.8 39.7 40.9 -4 -5 -15 I do not approve 22.2 30.5 33.2 35.3 36.9 39.0 40.9 40.1 39.6 38.6 +5 +8 +16 * Included into the survey since 2008. The level of approval of the President’s performance increased in all socio-demographic categories of the population (by 5–9 p.p.) on average for December 2013 – October 2014 compared to 2013, especially among the 20% of the wealthiest people (from 64 to 73%), among the people with secondary vocational education (from 56 to 65%), and the residents of Cherepovets (from 64 to 73%). Dynamics of the level of approval of the RF President’s performance by different social groups, as a percentage of the number of respondents) Dynamics (+/-), Average Dec. Feb. Apr. June Aug. Oct. the last 6 surveys Indicator 2007 2011 2013 for the last 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 in comparison with... 6 surveys 2013 2011 2007 Sex Men 73.6 55.6 52.4 52.5 55.4 58.7 65.5 63.4 62.9 59.7 +7 +4 -14 Women 76.7 61.2 57.7 61.1 56.6 66.1 67.5 68.8 69.9 65.0 +7 +4 -12 Age Under 30 76.6 58.3 52.9 52.7 53.0 61.1 63.4 68.8 67.9 61.2 +8 +3 -15 30-55 75.1 57.6 55.4 56.5 54.9 62.4 67.3 61.8 67.3 61.7 +6 +4 -13 Over 55 74.6 60.7 57.1 61.6 59.8 64.7 67.7 71.4 65.5 65.1 +8 +4 -9 Education Secondary and incomplete secondary 70.3 54.9 51.4 55.8 51.9 58.1 60.0 60.0 56.2 57.0 +6 +2 -13 Secondary vocational 76.4 59.8 55.8 58.1 58.0 62.1 68.6 68.7 72.4 64.7 +9 +5 -12 Higher and incomplete higher 80.1 61.3 59.1 58.2 58.8 69.2 72.0 70.6 73.1 67.0 +8 +6 -13 Income groups 20% of the poorest people 65.1 45.7 49.6 62.7 46.1 48.9 54.6 59.7 57.3 54.9 +5 +9 -10 60% of the people with middle-sized income 78.0 60.4 56.1 56.4 57.9 64.4 69.4 67.0 69.0 64.0 +8 +4 -14 20% of the most prosperous people 82.6 68.9 63.6 64.6 69.4 72.6 77.7 78.0 76.8 73.2 +10 +4 -9 Territories Vologda 74.1 58.3 53.2 55.2 53.1 61.0 66.6 65.3 65.2 61.1 +8 +3 -13 Cherepovets 82.8 68.5 63.7 65.0 66.8 73.2 74.4 77.8 81.3 73.1 +9 +5 -10 Districts 72.2 53.9 51.9 54.1 51.8 58.1 62.3 60.7 59.8 57.8 +6 +4 -14 Oblast 75.3 58.7 55.3 57.3 56.1 62.8 66.6 66.4 66.8 62.7 +7 +4 -13 Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast 5 (35) 2014 17 On average for the last 6 polls in comparison with 2013 the proportion of positive assessments of the President’s performance in dealing with the key problems of the country has increased by 3 – 7 p.p., especially with regard to the issue of imposing order in the country (from 39 to 47%). In your opinion, how successful is the RF President in coping with challenging issues?* (as a percentage of the number of respondents) Dynamics (+/-), Average Dec. Feb. Apr. June Aug. Oct. the last 6 surveys Answer option 2007 2011 2013 for the last 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 in comparison with... 6 surveys 2013 2011 2007 Strengthening Russia’s international standing Successful 58.4 46.2 45.7 47.5 45.9 48.6 53.7 50.9 52.3 49.8 +4 +4 -9 Unsuccessful 24.9 33.7 36.2 35.8 35.7 35.5 31.7 30.0 31.0 33.3 -3 0 +8 Index of success 133.5 112.5 109.5 111.7 110.2 113.1 122.0 120.9 121.3 116.5 +7 +4 -17 Imposing order in the country Successful 53.2 36.6 39.4 44.5 42.7 46.7 49.5 47.5 49.4 46.7 +7 +10 -7 Unsuccessful 34.0 50.0 47.5 45.5 43.7 40.9 39.5 37.8 37.8 40.9 -7 -9 +7 Index of success 119.2 86.6 91.9 99.0 99.0 105.8 110.0 109.7 111.6 105.9 +14 +19 -13 Protecting democracy and strengthening the citizens’ freedoms Successful 44.4 32.4 31.8 32.8 32.3 36.3 40.1 37.6 38.2 36.2 +4 +4 -8 Unsuccessful 37.0 48.3 51.0 51.6 50.1 48.7 43.9 43.7 44.3 47.1 -4 -1 +10 Index of success 107.4 84.1 80.8 81.2 82.2 87.6 96.2 93.9 93.9 89.2 +8 +5 -18 Economic recovery and increase in the citizens’ welfare Successful 47.2 30.7 31.3 32.6 31.5 34.9 35.8 35.1 33.9 34.0 +3 +3 -13 Unsuccessful 39.1 56.1 56.8 59.7 57.1 54.3 53.5 50.2 54.4 54.9 -2 -1 +16 Index of success 108.1 74.6 74.5 72.9 74.4 80.6 82.3 84.9 79.5 79.1 +5 +5 -29 * Ranked according to the average value of the index of success for the last 6 surveys.
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