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Combined Final Evaluation for “'I Love My Country': Strategic

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Combined Final Evaluation for “'I Love My Country': Strategic Combined Final Evaluation for “‘I Love My Country’: Strategic Communications for Peace Building in South Sudan” & Baseline Evaluation for “‘I Love My Country’: Promoting Localized Understanding and Peaceful Coexistence in South Sudan May 2017 Legal Notice and Disclaimer Photo courtesy of Search for Common Ground, https://www.sfcg.org/communicating-for-peace-in-south-sudan/ This report is not a legally binding document. It is a collaborative informational and assessment document and does not necessarily reflect the views of any of the contributing partners or funding agencies in all of its contents. Any errors are the sole responsibility of the authors. Copyright 2017 Forcier and Search for Common Ground. Forcier thanks our colleagues at Search for Common Ground for their cooperation and support with the Acknowledgments baseline evaluation of “‘I Love My Country’: Promoting Localized Understanding for Peaceful Coexistence” and the final evaluation of “‘I Love My Country’: Strategic Communications for Peace Building in South Sudan” as well as local residents from Bor, Juba and Mingkaman who took part in the research as survey enumerators and participants. 2| SFCG: Strategic Communications for Peace Building in South Sudan Table of Contents Table of Contents ........................................................................................................................................... 3 Acronyms ....................................................................................................................................................... 4 List of Figures ................................................................................................................................................. 5 List of Tables .................................................................................................................................................. 6 Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................ 8 1. Project Overview ...................................................................................................................................... 12 1.1 Background ....................................................................................................................................... 12 1.2 Purpose ............................................................................................................................................. 16 1.3 Methodology ..................................................................................................................................... 19 1.4 Desk Review ...................................................................................................................................... 19 1.5 Quantitative Interviews ..................................................................................................................... 19 1.5.1 Enumeration Areas and Sample Allocation ................................................................................ 20 1.5.2 Household and Respondent Selection ....................................................................................... 21 1.6 Qualitative Interviews ....................................................................................................................... 21 1.7 Data Quality Control .......................................................................................................................... 22 1.8 Limitations ......................................................................................................................................... 23 2. Baseline Evaluation of “‘I Love My Country’: Promoting Localized Understanding and Peaceful Coexistence in South Sudan” ............................................................................................................................................ 25 2.1 Conflict Context ................................................................................................................................. 26 2.1.1 Conflict Trends ........................................................................................................................... 26 2.1.2 Dispute Resolution Trends ......................................................................................................... 31 2.1.3 Present Context ......................................................................................................................... 34 2.2 Establishing Baseline Indicators ........................................................................................................ 38 2.2.1 Dispute Resolution ..................................................................................................................... 38 2.2.2 Peacebuliding Dialogue .............................................................................................................. 43 2.2.3 Hiwar al Shabab Listenership ..................................................................................................... 46 2.3 Risk Assessment ................................................................................................................................ 48 2.4 PLUPC Baseline Conclusions and Recommendations: ....................................................................... 50 3. Endline Evaluation of “‘I Love My Country’: Strategic Communications for Peacebuilding in South Sudan” ..................................................................................................................................................................... 54 3.1 Relevance .......................................................................................................................................... 55 3.1.1 Radio for Peace Building ............................................................................................................ 55 3.1.2 Participatory Theater Programs ................................................................................................. 57 3.2 Effectiveness ..................................................................................................................................... 60 3.2.1 Radio for Peace Building ............................................................................................................ 60 3.2.2 Participatory Theater Programs ................................................................................................. 65 3.3 Efficiency ........................................................................................................................................... 66 3.4 Impact ............................................................................................................................................... 68 3.4.1 Radio for Peace Building ............................................................................................................ 68 3.4.2 Participatory Theater Programs ................................................................................................. 68 3.5 Sustainability ..................................................................................................................................... 74 3.5.1 Radio for Peace Building ............................................................................................................ 74 3.5.2 Participatory Theater Performances .......................................................................................... 74 3.6 SCPB Endline Conclusions and Recommendations: ........................................................................... 75 4. Annex – Regression Results ...................................................................................................................... 81 3| SFCG: Strategic Communications for Peace Building in South Sudan ARCSS Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in the Republic of South Sudan CRN Catholic Radio Network EU European Union FGD Focus group discussion KAP Knowledge, Attitude, and Practices KII Key informant interview ODK Open Data Kit Acronyms OECD-DAC Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development-Development Assistance Committee PLUPC “I Love My Country”: Promoting Localized Understanding and Peaceful Coexistence PoC Protection of Civilian PPS Probability proportionate to size PSOPS Peace and Stabilization Operations Program SFCG Search for Common Ground SCPB "I Love My Country": Strategic Communications for Peace Building UN United Nations UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization UNICEF United Nations Children's Fund 4| SFCG: Strategic Communications for Peace Building in South Sudan List of Figures Figure 1: Perceptions of Country's Conflict Status by Wave ........................................................................ 27 Figure 2: Perceptions of Community's Conflict Status by Wave .................................................................. 28 Figure 3: Perceptions of Conflict Status by Gender ..................................................................................... 30 Figure 4: Perceptions of whether Country is at War by Gender .................................................................. 35 Figure 5: Perceptions of whether Community is Becoming More or Less Peaceful, by Location ................ 35 Figure 6: Perceptions of whether Country is at War by Location ................................................................ 36 Figure 7: Perceptions
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