West Mackay Drainage Study
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Mackay Regional Council 11-Sep-2019 Doc No. M031-19 West Mackay Drainage Study Volume 1 Report Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report West Mackay Drainage Study Volume 1 Report Client: Mackay Regional Council ABN: 56 240 712 069 Prepared by AECOM Australia Pty Ltd Level 1, 162 Victoria Street, PO Box 11176, Mackay QLD 4740, Australia T +61 7 4965 9800 F +61 7 4957 6097 www.aecom.com ABN 20 093 846 925 11-Sep-2019 Job No.: 60589930 AECOM in Australia and New Zealand is certified to ISO9001, ISO14001 AS/NZS4801 and OHSAS18001. © AECOM Australia Pty Ltd (AECOM). All rights reserved. AECOM has prepared this document for the sole use of the Client and for a specific purpose, each as expressly stated in the document. No other party should rely on this document without the prior written consent of AECOM. 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Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report Quality Information Document West Mackay Drainage Study Ref 60589930 Date 11-Sep-2019 Prepared by Matthew Buckley Reviewed by Sally Williams Submitted by Trevor Corney Revision History Authorised Rev Revision Date Details Name/Position Signature Sally Williams A 11-Sep-2019 Final Associate Director (RPEQ – 19353) Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report Table of Contents Executive Summary i 1.0 Introduction 1 1.1 Project Background 1 1.2 Study Objectives 1 1.3 Methodology 2 1.4 Notes on Flood Frequency 2 1.5 Limitations and Exclusions 3 1.5.1 Interpretation of Results 4 1.6 Report Structure 4 2.0 Study Area and Key Characteristics 5 2.1 Study Area 5 2.2 Catchment Characteristics 7 2.3 Climate Characteristics 7 2.3.1 Rainfall Regime 7 3.0 Available Data 9 3.1 General 9 3.2 Previous Reports 9 3.2.1 West Mackay Drainage Study (Ullman & Norman Pty Ltd, 2003) 9 3.3 Rainfall Data 9 3.4 Tidal Data 10 3.5 Topographical Data 10 3.5.1 Aerial Photography 10 3.6 Event Recorded Data 10 3.6.1 2008 Flood Levels 10 3.7 Existing Stormwater Drainage Infrastructure 10 3.7.1 Pipe and Pit Network Details 10 3.7.2 Culverts 11 3.8 Proposed Stormwater Drainage Infrastructure 11 3.9 GIS Data 11 4.0 Hydrologic Assessment 11 4.1 Overview 11 4.2 Adopted Methodology 11 4.2.1 Design Rainfall Intensity-Frequency Duration (IFD) Data 12 4.2.2 Temporal Patterns 12 4.2.3 Areal Reduction Factors 12 4.2.4 Probable Maximum Precipitation Event 12 4.3 Hydrologic Model Validation 13 5.0 Hydraulic Model Development 14 5.1 Overview 14 5.2 Adopted Methodology 14 5.2.1 Modelling Cross Drainage Structures 16 5.2.2 2D Modelling Roughness 16 5.3 Critical Duration Assessment 16 5.4 Calibration and Validation 20 5.4.1 Comparison of Results to 2008 Flood Levels 20 6.0 Basecase Hydraulic Modelling 23 6.1 Overview 23 6.2 Basecase Peak Flood Depths, Extents and Velocities 23 6.2.1 Basecase Peak Water Surface Elevation 26 6.2.2 Basecase Peak Discharges 27 6.2.3 Basecase Underground Network Capacity 28 6.2.4 Basecase Property Impacts 28 6.2.5 Hospital Stormwater Drainage Infrastructure 29 6.3 Sensitivity Analysis 32 6.3.1 Hydraulic Roughness 32 6.3.2 Continuing Losses 32 Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report 7.0 Effects of Climate Change 33 7.1 General 33 7.2 Adopted Approach 34 7.3 Hydraulic Model Results 34 7.4 Planning Scheme Flood Mapping 34 8.0 Structural Mitigation Options 35 8.1 Overview 35 8.2 Design Peak Flood Depths, Extents and Discharges 38 8.2.1 Mitigated Case Peak Water Surface Elevations 38 8.2.2 Mitigated Peak Discharges 39 8.3 Difference in Peak Water Surface Elevation 40 8.4 Mitigated Property Impacts 42 8.4.1 Mitigated Case Underground Network Capacity 43 9.0 Tangible Flood Damages Assessment 46 9.1 Objectives 46 9.2 Estimating Flood Damages 46 9.3 General Methodology 47 9.3.1 Council 2018 Stage-Damage Curves 47 9.3.2 Alternative Approaches 48 9.3.3 Actual and Potential Damages 49 9.4 Building Digitisation and Classification 49 9.4.1 Building Footprint Digitisation 49 9.4.2 Classification 49 9.5 Terrestrial LiDAR Data 50 9.5.1 Ground Levels 51 9.6 Consumer Price Index Adjustment 51 9.7 Damage Categories 53 9.8 Classifications and Damage Curves 53 9.8.1 Residential 53 9.8.2 Commercial 53 9.9 Infrastructure Damages 53 9.10 Average Annual Damages (AAD) 54 10.0 Flood Damages Assessment Results 54 10.1 Present Case – Flood Damages Estimate 55 10.2 Mitigation Case - Flood Damages Estimate 56 10.3 Comparison 57 10.4 Mitigation Case - Other Improvements 59 11.0 Indicative Mitigation Infrastructure Costs 59 11.1 Structural Mitigation Costs 59 12.0 Cost Benefit of Stormwater Mitigation 59 13.0 Conclusion and Recommendations 60 13.1 Key Findings 60 14.0 References 61 Appendix A Hydraulic Model Development A Model Setup Parameters A-1 One Dimensional Model Development A-1 Model Topography A-1 Hydraulic Roughness and Losses A-1 Initial Conditions A-3 Appendix B Damage Categories and Curves B-6 Residential Property Sub-Categories B-1 Commercial Categories B-1 Building Footprint Size B-3 Fully Detached Residential Damages B-3 Indirect Fully Detached Residential Damages B-6 Multi-Unit Residential Damages B-6 Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report Indirect Multi-Unit Residential Damages B-8 Commercial Damages B-8 Indirect Commercial Damages B-10 Appendix C Property Impacts Assessment C Property Floor Levels and Classification C-1 Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report List of Tables Table 1 Flood Frequency Classification 2 Table 2 BOM 2016 IFD Design Rainfall Depth (mm) 10 Table 3 Intensity Frequency Duration (IFD) Data for West Mackay (BOM, 2016) 12 Table 4 Adopted PMP Parameters 13 Table 5 TUFLOW model Parameters 14 Table 6 Summary of Baseline Peak Water Surface Elevations and Critical Duration 20 Table 7 Summary of Baseline Peak Water Surface Elevations 26 Table 8 Peak Discharges at Select Locations for Basecase Design Events 27 Table 9 Modelling Scenario – Basecase 1d Network Capacity 28 Table 10 Modelling Scenario – Basecase Building Inundation Numbers in Study Area 1 28 Table 11 Projected Sea Level Rise (SPP 3/11, 2012) 33 Table 12 Summary of Mitigated Case Peak Water Surface Elevations 38 Table 13 Peak Discharges at Select Locations for Mitigated Design Events 39 Table 14 Summary of Difference in Peak Water Surface Elevations (Base Case – Mitigated Case) 40 Table 15 Basecase Property Impacts 42 Table 16 Mitigated Case Property Impacts 42 Table 17 Difference in Property Impacts 42 Table 18 Modelling Scenario – Mitigated Case 1d Network Capacity 43 Table 19 Example Flood Damages Terrestrial LiDAR Attribute Table 51 Table 20 Council Stage-Damage Curves CPI Adjustment Summary (Mar 2019 $) 52 Table 21 Historical Stage-Damage Curves CPI Adjustment Summary (March 2019 $) 52 Table 22 Comparative Tangible Flood Damages Assessment Results - Present Case (, 000’s March 2018 $) 55 Table 23 Comparative Tangible Flood Damages Assessment Results - Mitigated Case (, 000’s March 2018 $) 56 Table 24 Comparative Tangible Flood Damage Assessment Results – Change in Flood Damages (%) (Basecase vs Mitigated Case) 57 Table 25 Indicative Structural Mitigation Construction Costs 59 Table 26 Adopted Roughness Values A-2 Table 27 Adopted Initial and Continuing Loss Values A-2 Table 28 Differences in Water Level at Selected Locations for 1% AEP Storm Events for 1987 pattern A-4 Table 29 Differences in Water Level at Selected Locations for 1% AEP Storm Events for 2016 patterns A-4 Table 30 Assignment of Commercial Damage Class Curves Based on Council Land Use Dataset B-2 Table 31 Property Floor Levels and Classifications C-1 Revision A – 11-Sep-2019 Prepared for – Mackay Regional Council – ABN: 56 240 712 069 AECOM West Mackay Drainage Study – Volume 1 Report List of Figures Figure 1 Study Methodology 2 Figure 2 Catchment Characteristics and Topography – Study Area 1 5 Figure 3 Catchment Characteristics and Topography – West Mackay 6 Figure 4 Mackay Aero Meteorological Office Rainfall Statistics (BoM, 2019) 8 Figure 5 Model Setup and 1D Network Map 15 Figure 6 Hydraulic Roughness Delineation 17 Figure 7 Baseline Critical Duration Map 1987 Temporal Patterns 18 Figure 8 Baseline Critical Duration Map 2016 Temporal Patterns 19 Figure 9 Locations of 2008 Observed Flood Heights 22 Figure 10 Model Key Points of Interest – Lines 24 Figure 11 Model Key Points of Interest – Points 25 Figure 12 Crowley Drive – Lack of Pit and Pipe data within Hospital Precinct (1% AEP shown).