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Document of The World Bank Public Disclosure Authorized Report No.: 67882-CN PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT REPORT PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA A Cluster Assessment of Forest Projects and Analytic and Advisory Activities FORESTRY DEVELOPMENT IN POOR AREAS PROJECT Public Disclosure Authorized (CN039; L4325) SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY DEVELOPMENT PROJECT (L4659) FOREST POLICY DIALOGUE (ESW) (P107885) COLLECTIVE FOREST TENURE REFORM (TA) Public Disclosure Authorized (P102694) FORESTRY SUPPLY (TA) (P090719) June 28, 2012 IEG Public Sector Evaluation Independent Evaluation Group Public Disclosure Authorized ii Currency Equivalents (annual averages) Currency Unit = Yuan (Y) 1998 US$1.00 Y8.278 1999 US$1.00 Y8.278 2000 US$1.00 Y8.278 2001 US$1.00 Y8.278 2002 US$1.00 Y8.278 2003 US$1.00 Y8.278 2004 US$1.00 Y8.278 2005 US$1.00 Y8.190 2006 US$1.00 Y7.974 2007 US$1.00 Y7.605 2008 US$1.00 Y6.916 2009 US$1.00 Y6.831 2010 US$1.00 Y6.770 2011 US$1.00 Y6.475 2012 (01/19) US$1.00 Y6.316 Abbreviations and Acronyms AAA Analytic and Advisory Activities (comprising ESW and TA) CAS Country Assistance Strategy ESW Economic and Sector Work EU European Union GEF Global Environment Facility GEO Global Environment Objective ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IEG Independent Evaluation Group IEGPS IEG Public Sector Evaluation M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MTR Mid-term Review NFPP Natural Forests Protection Program PAD Project Appraisal Document PDO Project Development Objective PMC World Bank Loan Project Management Center, State Forestry Administration, Beijing PMO Project Management Office, Provincial and County PROFOR Program on Forests QAG Quality Assurance Group SFA State Forestry Administration TA Technical Assistance TVE Township and Village Enterprise Fiscal Year Government: January 1 – December 31 Director-General, Independent Evaluation : Ms. Caroline Heider Director, IEG Public Sector Evaluation : Mr. Emmanuel Jimenez Manager, IEG Public Sector Evaluation : Ms. Martha Ainsworth (Acting) Task Manager : Mr. John R. Heath iii Contents Principal Ratings ................................................................................................................. v Key Staff Responsible....................................................................................................... vii Preface................................................................................................................................ ix Summary ............................................................................................................................ xi 1. Background ..................................................................................................................... 1 Country Context .............................................................................................................. 1 World Bank Intervention ................................................................................................ 4 2. Forestry Development in Poor Areas Project ................................................................. 7 Objectives, Design, and Relevance ................................................................................. 7 Objective ..................................................................................................................... 7 Design ......................................................................................................................... 7 Implementation arrangements ..................................................................................... 8 Implementation ............................................................................................................. 11 Achievement of the Objective ...................................................................................... 12 Project outputs .......................................................................................................... 12 Poverty reduction ...................................................................................................... 13 Forestry development................................................................................................ 15 Environmental management ..................................................................................... 15 Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 15 Ratings .......................................................................................................................... 16 3. Sustainable Forestry Development Project ................................................................... 21 Objective, Design and Relevance ................................................................................. 21 Objective ................................................................................................................... 21 Design ....................................................................................................................... 22 Implementation arrangements ................................................................................... 23 Implementation ............................................................................................................. 26 Achievement of Objective ............................................................................................ 28 Sustainable development and management of forest resources ................................ 28 Protection of the natural environment ....................................................................... 30 Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 34 This report was prepared by John R. Heath, who visited China in November-December 2011. The report was peer reviewed by Andre Rodrigues Aquino and panel reviewed by Christopher D. Gerrard. Marie Charles provided administrative support. iv Ratings .......................................................................................................................... 36 4. Analytic and Advisory Activities on Forestry .............................................................. 43 Strategic relevance and ownership................................................................................ 43 Quality........................................................................................................................... 46 Dialogue and dissemination .......................................................................................... 49 Results ........................................................................................................................... 50 5. Lessons .......................................................................................................................... 51 References ......................................................................................................................... 55 Annex A. Basic Data Sheet ............................................................................................... 57 Annex B. Other Data......................................................................................................... 62 Annex C. Criteria for Rating Bank Economic and Sector Work ...................................... 68 Annex D. Assessment Template for the 2010 Forestry Analytic and Advisory Activities ........................................................................................................................................... 69 Annex E. List of People Met............................................................................................. 79 Annex F. Borrower Comments ......................................................................................... 82 Boxes Box 1: World Bank Forest Strategies Applicable to the Assessed Activities..................... 5 Box 2: Findings and Recommendations of the 2010 China Forest Sector Report ........... 44 Tables Table 1: China—Growth in Key Forestry Indicators ......................................................... 1 Table 2: Geographic Scope of Forestry Development in Poor Areas Project .................... 9 Table 3: Geographic Scope of Sustainable Forestry Development Project. ..................... 23 Table 4: Re-estimated rate of return for selected plantation species. ............................... 35 Figures Figure 1: Area in Plantation Forest Added Each Year, 2000-2009 .................................... 1 Figure 2: China—Growth in Volume of Sawnwood Produced and Imported.................... 3 Figure 3: China: World Bank Disbursements on Forestry and Other Agriculture ............. 6 Figure 4: China: World Bank Administrative Spending on Forestry and Other ................ 6 v Principal Ratings Projects Forestry Development in Poor Areas Project (CN039; L4325) ICR* ICR Review* PPAR Outcome Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Risk to Development _ _ Negligible to Low Outcome** Sustainability** _ Highly Likely Likely Institutional _ Substantial Substantial Development*** Bank Performance Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Borrower Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Performance Sustainable Forestry Development Project (L4659) ICR* ICR Review* PPAR Outcome Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Risk to Development Negligible to Low Moderate Moderate Outcome Bank Performance Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Borrower Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory