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West Coast District Municipality 2017

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West Coast District Municipality 2017 West Coast District Municipality 2017 WEST COAST DISTRICT: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 2 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 33 West Coast District: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 433 445 129 862 2016 2016 Gini Coefficient 0.58 Matric Pass Rate 87.5% Human Development Index 0.70 2016 26 81.8% 0.0 8.7% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 -1.9% 7.2% 25.1% -18.6% -3.6% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 96.5% 83.4% 94.1% 92.5% 85.8% 2016 2016 Drought 73 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 92 11.7% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Wholesale and retail trade, Community, social and personal catering and accommodation services 34.6% 18.1 % 10.9% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in the West Coast District. A demographic perspective of a municipality allows the observation of not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other developments that influence the social lives of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects such as gender, race, migration and life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect, in most cases, at least one aspect of demographics. A good understanding of this area is therefore crucial. The overview of key demographic features provided in this chapter comprises of estimates of population size, the distribution of the population across age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short overview, the SEP tries to help municipalities in their planning processes by delivering credible data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 Contribution to GDP, 2015 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: West Coast District Municipality POPULATION 4 500 000 4 000 000 3 500 000 3 000 000 2 500 000 2 000 000 1 500 000 1 000 000 500 000 0 Cape Central Karoo City of Cape Overberg West Coast Winelands Eden District District Town District District District 2018 864 028 75 688 4 055 580 619 224 284 272 433 445 2019 874 413 76 354 4 094 582 625 186 287 752 439 036 2020 884 565 77 020 4 131 722 631 005 291 150 444 497 2021 894 441 77 685 4 167 003 636 682 294 466 449 847 2022 904 058 78 350 4 200 484 642 220 297 701 455 051 2023 913 391 79 014 4 232 276 647 627 300 860 460 132 The figure above shows that the total population of the West Coast District is estimated to grow from 433 445 in 2018 to 460 132 in 2023. This equates to growth of growth of 6.2 per cent across the period; or at an average annual rate of 1.2 per cent. The average annual growth for West Coast District is higher that of the Province’s 0.9 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 – 14 Years 15 – 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 99 724 268 483 23 567 45.9 2018 108 356 293 709 31 381 47.6 2023 110 780 311 395 37 958 47.8 The above table depicts the population composition of age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. In the West Coast District, the dependency ratio increases from 45.9 in 2011 to 47.8 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means greater pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: West Coast District Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: West Coast District Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 700 000 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 Cape City of Cape West Coast Overberg Central Karoo Winelands Eden District Town District District District District 2014 613 393 57 501 139 088 39 542 101 165 14 151 2015 628 048 58 909 141 263 40 501 102 412 14 182 2016 639 251 60 348 142 130 40 841 103 011 14 333 Learner enrolment in the West Coast District increased at an average annual rate of 2.4 per cent between 2014 and 2016, the fastest in the Province when compared with other Districts and the City. The high growth was mostly as a result of strong growth in Saldanha Bay (4.3 per cent) and Swartland (2.2 per cent) for this period. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner–teacher ratios in the West Coast local municipalities increased between 2014 and 2016, the biggest increase was in Saldanha Bay, which increased from 30.7 in 2014 to 48.4 in 2016. Saldanha also recorded the highest ratios across the years with Bergrivier having the lowest ratio of 31.5 in 2016. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio include the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES The drop-out rate for learners that enrolled in Grade 10 in 2014 and in Grade 12 in 2016 for the local municipalities within the West Coast area ranged from a high of 33.0 per cent in Matzikama to a low of 23.2 per cent in Swartland. Cederberg, Saldanha Bay and Bergrivier recorded rates of 28.7, 29.5 and 31.7 per cent respectively. The overall rate for the Province for this period was 32.9 per cent. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: West Coast District Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 57 129 2015 58 129 2016 61 125 The total number of schools in the West Coast District fell from 129 in 2014 and 2015, to 125 in 2016. However, the number of schools with libraries increased steadily over this period, from 57 in 2014, 58 in 2015 to 61 in 2016. Given the tough economic climate, it is expected that parents are increasingly unable to pay school fees. The figure below displays the proportion of no-fee schools within the West Coast District. 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Cape City of Cape West Coast Overberg Central Karoo Winelands Eden District Town District District District District 2014 46,2% 72,1% 77,2% 78,6% 77,4% 79,3% 2015 46,2% 72,1% 77,2% 78,6% 76,9% 79,3% 2016 46,3% 70,4% 76,3% 79,8% 75,3% 79,3% The proportion of no-fee schools declined marginally from 72.1 per cent in 2014 and 2015, to 70.4 per cent in 2016. This was the lowest proportion compared with other Districts in the Western Cape; the City however had a significantly lower proportion of no-fee schools (46.3 per cent). 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: West Coast District Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state can influence the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the labour market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economic and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section considers the matric pass rate within the West Coast District municipal area. 100,0% 80,0% 60,0% 40,0% 20,0% 0,0% Saldanha West Coast Western Bergrivier Matzikama Swartland Cederberg Bay District Cape 2014 84,1% 93,7% 88,3% 87,9% 88,2% 88,4% 82,2% 2015 91,9% 93,8% 86,5% 87,9% 89,0% 88,9% 84,7% 2016 92,6% 91,1% 89,4% 81,3% 89,5% 87,5% 86,0% With the exception of Saldanha Bay, the matric pass rates of the municipalities within the West Coast District was relatively strong, around the 90 per cent mark. Matzikama, in 2014 had a strong pass rate of 93.7 per cent, declined to 91.1 per cent in 2016. Bergrivier, Swartland and Cederberg all showed increases for the period under review. Saldanha Bay however started at 87.9 per cent in 2014 and fell to 87.9 per cent in 2015, falling to 81.3 per cent in 2016. The District average of 87.5 per cent for 2016 was just above that of Province’s 86.0 per cent. The increase in the matric pass rate improves leaners’ ability to access higher education institutions in order to broaden their opportunities.
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