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World Bank Document Document of The World Bank Public Disclosure Authorized Report No: ICR0000506 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IBRD-47630) ON A Public Disclosure Authorized LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 35.0 MILLION TO THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN FOR A SECOND AGRICULTURAL POST-PRIVATIZATION PROJECT Public Disclosure Authorized September 14, 2012 Sustainable Development Department Central Asia Country Management Unit Europe and Central Asia Region Public Disclosure Authorized CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Exchange Rate Effective December 31, 2011 Currency Unit = Kazakhstan tenge (KZT) KZT 1.00 = US$ 0.0068 US$ 1.00 = KZT 148.04 FISCAL YEAR January 1- December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ABTC Almaty Bank Training Center ACC Agrarian Credit Corporation AMFOK Association of Microfinance Organizations of Kazakhstan AMP Automatic Meteorological Post AMS Automatic Meteorological Station APPAP-1 First Agricultural Post-Privatization Assistance Project APPAP-2 Second Agricultural Post-Privatization Assistance Project CPS Country Partnership Strategy FY Fiscal Year IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IRR Internal rate of return ISR Implementation Status and Results KZT Kazakh tenge M&E Monitoring and evaluation MFI Microfinance institution MP Meteorological Post NPV Net present value PAD Project Appraisal Document PDO Project Development Objective PFI Participating financial institution SME Small and medium enterprise TOC Team of Consultants TTL Task Team Leader US$ United States dollar Vice President: Philippe H. Le Houerou Country Director: Saroj Kumar Jha Sector Manager: Dina Umali-Deininger Project Team Leader: Sandra Broka ICR Team Leader: Sandra Broka ii REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN Second Agricultural Post-privatization Assistance Project CONTENTS Data Sheet A. Basic Information B. Key Dates C. Ratings Summary D. Sector and Theme Codes E. Bank Staff F. Results Framework Analysis G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs H. Restructuring I. Disbursement Graph 1. Project Context, Development Objectives, and Design .............................................. 1 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .............................................. 6 3. Assessment of Outcomes .......................................................................................... 13 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome: Significant ..................................... 20 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................... 21 6. Lessons Learned ....................................................................................................... 24 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners .......... 25 Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .......................................................................... 26 Annex 2. Outputs by Component ................................................................................. 27 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................. 39 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............ 42 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................... 44 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ................................................... 45 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ..................... 46 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................... 62 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents ...................................................................... 63 MAP iii A. Basic Information Agricultural Post- Privatization Assistance Country: Kazakhstan Project Name: 2 Project (APL Phase 2) Project ID: P058015 L/C/TF Number(s): IBRD-47630 ICR Date: 09/14/2012 ICR Type: Core ICR REPUBLIC OF Lending Instrument: APL Borrower: KAZAKHSTAN Original Total USD 35.00M Disbursed Amount: USD 6.52M Commitment: Revised Amount: USD 6.52M Environmental Category: F Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Agriculture Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: N/a B. Key Dates Revised / Actual Process Date Process Original Date Date(s) Concept Review: 01/10/2004 Effectiveness: 02/28/2006 12/16/2008 Appraisal: 04/27/2004 Restructuring(s): 11/09/2010 11/18/2011 Approval: 12/13/2004 Mid-term Review: 10/31/2007 Closing: 12/31/2009 12/31/2011 C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Unsatisfactory Risk to Development Outcome: Substantial Bank Performance: Moderately Unsatisfactory Borrower Performance: Moderately Unsatisfactory C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR) Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Moderately Quality at Entry: Government: Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory iv Moderately Implementing Moderately Quality of Supervision: Unsatisfactory Agency/Agencies: Unsatisfactory Overall Bank Moderately Overall Borrower Moderately Performance: Unsatisfactory Performance: Unsatisfactory C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation QAG Assessments Indicators Rating Performance (if any) Potential Problem Project Quality at Entry No None at any time (Yes/No): (QEA): Problem Project at any Quality of Yes None time (Yes/No): Supervision (QSA): DO rating before Moderately Closing/Inactive status: Unsatisfactory D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing) Agro-industry 89 30 Micro- and SME finance 11 70 Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing) Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise support 50 85 Rural markets 50 15 E. Bank Staff Positions At ICR At Approval Vice President: Philippe H. Le Houerou Shigeo Katsu Country Director: Saroj Kumar Jha Dennis N. de Tray Sector Manager: Dina Umali-Deininger Joseph R. Goldberg Project Team Leader: Sandra Broka Eustacius N. Betubiza ICR Team Leader: Sandra Broka ICR Primary Author: Talaibek Torokulovich Koshmatov F. Results Framework Analysis Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) APPAP-II's principal objective was to enhance the access to commercial financial services by farmers and small/medium size rural enterprises. v Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) (a) PDO Indicator(s) Original Target Formally Actual Value Values (from Revised Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value approval Target Completion or documents) Values Target Years Indicator 1 : Growth in rural lending 10 % growth per year in commercial bank 10% growth in Value lending rural lending quantitative or 0 Not available due to the Qualitative) 15% growth in project aggregate lending by MFI Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 10/04/2010 12/31/2011 Comments Not achieved. The PDO indicator was not monitored by the project. Only a small (incl. % fraction of the originally planned lending amount was implemented. achievement) (b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s) Original Target Actual Value Formally Values (from Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value Revised approval Completion or Target Values documents) Target Years Indicator 1 : Number of farmers using the private advisory services consultants Value (quantitative 0 17,000 11,800 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 12/31/2011 Comments Partially achieved. The target number is taken from three Supplemental Letters (incl. % #2 all of which consistently used 17,000 as the target. The percentage of achievement) achievement is 69.4%. Number of individual consultants and firms trained for providing rural financial Indicator 2 : advisory services Value (quantitative 0 600 603 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 12/31/2011 Comments (incl. % Achieved. achievement) Indicator 3 : Number of crop insurance contracts issued Value 0 14,500 Dropped 0 vi (quantitative or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 11/15/2011 12/31/2011 Comments (incl. % Not achieved. The indicator was dropped. achievement) Number of oblasts where the insurance scheme is analyzed and recommendations Indicator 4 : provided Value (quantitative 0 8 8 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 11/15/2011 12/31/2011 Comments (incl. % Achieved. This is a new indicator introduced by 2011 restructuring. achievement) Indicator 5 : Number of rayons where agricultural weather stations are equipped and upgraded Value (quantitative 0 6 6 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 11/15/2011 12/31/2011 Comments (incl. % Achieved. This is a new indicator introduced by 2011 restructuring. achievement) Indicator 6 : Number of contracts traded on the Commodity Exchange Value (quantitative 0 33,000 Dropped 0 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 11/15/2011 12/31/2011 Comments Not achieved. The price risk management activity and, accordingly, this indicator (incl. % were dropped in 2011 restructuring. achievement) Indicator 7 : Number of loans/leases issued by PFIs from the Credit Facility Value (quantitative 0 750 100 83 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 11/15/2011 12/31/2011 Comments (incl. % Partially achieved. The percentage of achievement of the revised target is 83%. achievement) Indicator 8 : Volume of IBRD support to lines of credit for SME, USD Value (quantitative 0 30,000,000 6,500,000 6,390,500 or Qualitative) Date achieved 11/17/2004 12/15/2004 11/15/2011 12/31/2011 Comments Partially achieved. This is a core indicator added in 2010 restructuring and (incl. % further revised in 2011. achievement) Indicator 9 : Volume of IBRD
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