Promoting the Diffusion of Technology to Boost Productivity and Well-Being in Korea
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Transportation Beginning of Restructuring: Supply Is the Key Variable
2020 Outlook Transportation Beginning of restructuring: Supply is the key variable Jay JH Ryu +822-3774-1738 [email protected] Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Korea but not in any other jurisdiction, including the U.S. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT. Contents [Summary] 3 I. Airlines 4 II. Mobility 17 III. Logistics 32 IV. Shipping 37 [Conclusion] 45 [Top picks] 46 [Summary] Momentum to diverge based on supply management OP vs. P/B: Amid market down cycle, earnings momentum to diverge based on each company’s supply management (Wbn) (x) OP (L) P/B (R) 1,500 2.5 Oil price decline; Air cargo Minimum Global Global High oil prices; greater Oil rebound; wage hike; Slowdown in Inventory housing financial shipping market logistics price LCC growth; economic Chinese stimulus restocking bubble crisis restructuring momentum rebound M&As slowdown 1,000 2.0 500 1.5 0 1.0 -500 0.5 -1,000 0.0 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15 1Q16 1Q17 1Q18 1Q19 Source: Datastream, Mirae Asset Daewoo Research 3| 2020 Outlook [Transportation] Mirae Asset Daewoo Research I. Airlines: Weak demand to prompt restructuring Economic slowdown and • Outbound demand on Japan routes has declined, hurt by a slowing economy and the Korea-Japan diplomatic row. bottoming out of Japan • Japan routes appear to be bottoming out; declines in load factor should stabilize in early 2020, supported by supply cuts. route demand Sharp decline in outbound demand on Japan routes Passenger traffic growth on Japan routes ('000 persons) (%) (%, %p) 3,500 Korean outbound travelers (L) YoY (R) 35 20 YoY passenger growth L/F indicator 30 3,000 10 25 0 2,500 20 Week of -10 Chuseok 2,000 15 -20 1,500 10 5 -30 1,000 0 -40 500 -5 -50 0 -10 14 15 16 17 18 19 Source: Bloomberg, KTO, Mirae Asset Daewoo Research Source: Air Portal, Mirae Asset Daewoo Research 4| 2020 Outlook [Transportation] Mirae Asset Daewoo Research I. -
Domestic Ride-Hailing Services: Potential W10tr Valuation?
Kakao (035720 KS ) Domestic ride -hailing services: Potential W10tr valuation? Internet High valuations of Uber/Lyft Company Update US ride-hailing companies Uber and Lyft have filed for IPOs with the Securities and January 8, 2019 Exchange Commission (SEC) in December 2018. Of note, Uber provides a wide range of services, including ride-hailing (with options like Standard, Luxury, and SUV), shared rides, food delivery (Uber Eats), a shipping platform (Uber Freight), ride-hailing exclusively for healthcare organizations (Uber Health), and a staffing platform (Uber Works). (Maintain) Buy In 2018, Uber recorded an estimated US$46.8bn in total gross bookings and US$10.8bn in net revenue. However, the company is still incurring huge losses, with a net loss of Target Price (12M, W) 130,000 US$1.07bn in 3Q18. Meanwhile, Lyft controls 29% of the North American market as of October 2018, up from 22% in October 2017. US media reports suggest Uber and Lyft Share Price (01/07/19, W) 103,000 could be valued at US$120bn (W135tr) and US$15.1bn (W17tr), respectively, in their IPOs. Success will depend on traffic and revenue growth Expected Return 26% We believe the success of Uber’s and Lyft’s IPOs will be tied to the pace of growth of their user traffic and revenue around the time of their listings. In addition, we think OP (18F, Wbn) 102 these two companies’ stock market performances will be reflected in the Korean stock Consensus OP (18F, Wbn) 102 market by their effect on growth expectations on the domestic ride-sharing market. -
Exploring Potential Cooperation Opportunity Between Ride-Hailing Operator and Automotive Battery Supplier
Iowa State University Capstones, Theses and Creative Components Dissertations Fall 2019 Exploring Potential Cooperation Opportunity between Ride-Hailing Operator and Automotive Battery Supplier Jingwen Zhang Follow this and additional works at: https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/creativecomponents Part of the Business Intelligence Commons Recommended Citation Zhang, Jingwen, "Exploring Potential Cooperation Opportunity between Ride-Hailing Operator and Automotive Battery Supplier" (2019). Creative Components. 442. https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/creativecomponents/442 This Creative Component is brought to you for free and open access by the Iowa State University Capstones, Theses and Dissertations at Iowa State University Digital Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Creative Components by an authorized administrator of Iowa State University Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Exploring Potential Cooperation Opportunity between Ride-Hailing Operator and Automotive Battery Supplier Creative Component presented to the faculty of Management Information Systems in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science by Jingwen Zhang Iowa State University Ames, Iowa 2019 Abstract With the growing popularity of ride-hailing services like Uber in recent years, many industries are looking for opportunities to cooperate with ride-hailing companies. Similarly, ride-hailing platforms are also looking for potential opportunities to cooperate with other service providers or product industries to bring more comprehensive, convenient, and personalized services to their customers. This research is dedicated to studying potential cooperation opportunities between ride- hailing platforms and automotive battery suppliers. There are extensive studies and research focuses on the topic of ride-hailing companies' future growth and direction as well as some studies on the impact of the ride-hailing market. -
Kakao T Taxi in March 2015, Kakao Mobility Corp
Report 20 18 CEO’s Message After the first publication last year, Kakao Mobility Corp. issued the second kakaomobility Report. Since its launch of Kakao T Taxi in March 2015, Kakao Mobility Corp. established its independent entity in August 2017, and introduced Kakao T by consolidating Kakao Taxi, Kakao Driver, Kakao Navi, and Kakao Parking. A large amount of travel data has been collected while Kakao Mobility Corp. has been committed to pursuing innovation. This Report shows our society’s dynamic aspects based on our collected mobility data. Many people have contributed to the publication of this Report. First of all, I would like to express my sincere appreciation to Kakao T users who have provided real time travel data. I also would like to thank taxi drivers and designated drivers for responding to surveys and interviews for this Report. Such valuable information will become a meaningful foundation for Kakao Mobility Corp. to improve customer services and constantly pursue innovation. With the age of digital transformation, the mobility industry worldwide has been experiencing a big change. In particular, travel innovation is considered as a meaningful innovation that can make many people’s life safer and more convenient and create more chances for a happier life by broadening the sphere of living. This mobility business is rapidly growing in a world of borderless competition. However, I am very worried that Korea may fall behind global competition and lose a chance to take the lead in innovation due to several regulations and conflicts. It’s time to make a bold leap forward to innovative growth at the national level. -
2018 SAC Korea Unofficial Guide.Pdf
THE RICHARD U. LIGHT FELLOWSHIP UNOFFICIAL SAC GUIDE 2018 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS 내용 A. What should I bring? ...……………………………..…………………………………………………………..4 B. You’re in Seoul…now what?………………………………….………………………………………….……6 a. Getting from Incheon to Sinchon b. Finding Housing i. Goshitel/Goshiwon ii. Hasukjib iii. One‐Rooms iv. Homestays v. Dormitories vi. Arrival Housing c. Recommendations from Past Fellows d. Getting around Seoul i. Subway ii. Taxis iii. Buses C. Daily Life…………………………………………………………………………….………………………….…..15 a. Korean Food 101 i. Staple Foods ii. Korean Barbeque iii. Cooling Foods for the Summer iv. Street Food v. On the Interesting Side vi. Foreign Food vii. Being Vegetarian in Korea viii. Eating Alone b. Korea’s Café Culture c. Electronics i. Yongsan ii. Cell Phone d. Laundry e. Medical Care f. Korean Etiquette i. House Etiquette ii. Mealtime Manners iii. Paying the Bill iv. Appropriate Dress g. The Year‐Long Fellow: What You Should Know i. Visa ii. Alien Registration Card iii. Bank Account iv. Mobile Phone Contract 2 v. Mail D. Traveling and Sightseeing…………..……………………………………………………….………………….35 a. Weekday/Weekend Trips b. Longer Trips E. Useful Vocabulary……………………………………………………….…………………….………….………..39 a. Food/Dining b. At the Post Office c. Housing d. Etiquette e. Healthcare F. Only in Korea…………………………………….…………………………………….…………….……….….…..43 a. Bangs b. Bars, Clubs, and Hofs c. Saunas, Bathhouses, and Dr. Fish d. Movie Theaters G. Miscellaneous Information………………………………………………………………………………….……47 a. Weather b. Mosquitoes c. Shopping for Souvenirs d. Online Resources H. Language Study Advice…………………………………………………………………………………….…….51 a. Advice for Sogang University b. Advice for Yonsei University c. Advice for Korea University d. Advice for Ewha Womans University e. Advice for Seoul National University f. -
Transportation the Inexorable March of Innovation
2H19 Outlook Transportation The inexorable march of innovation Jay JH Ryu +822-3774-1738 [email protected] Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Korea but not in any other jurisdiction, including the U.S. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT. Contents [Summary] Shares to rebound on earnings improvements in 2H 3 I. Logistics 4 II. Mobility 10 III. Airlines 21 [Conclusion] Market share expansion holds the key 27 Top picks 28 CJ Logistics, Jeju Air Global peer group valuations 30 [Summary] Shares to rebound on earnings improvements in 2H OP of the transportation sector vs. P/B: Valuations have declined amid economic slowdown (Wbn) (x) OP (L) P/B (R) 1,500 2.5 Oil price decline; Air cargo Minimum Global Global High oil prices; greater Oil wage hike; Slowdown in rebound; housing financial Inventory shipping market logistics price oil price Chinese stimulus LCC growth; bubble crisis restocking restructuring momentum rebound M&As growth 1,000 2.0 500 1.5 0 1.0 -500 0.5 -1,000 0.0 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15 1Q16 1Q17 1Q18 Source: FnGuide, Mirae Asset Daewoo Research 3| 2H19 Outlook [Transportation] Mirae Asset Daewoo Research I. Logistics: Easing of oversupply Over the past 15 years, • In the five years following the Asian financial crisis (1998), the domestic logistics market saw annual average regulations have supply growth of more than 10%, as many laid-off workers became independent delivery truck drivers. -
Internet/Game/Advertising Market Changes Spurring Shifts in Business Strategy
2018 Outlook Internet/Game/Advertising Market changes spurring shifts in business strategy Jee-hyun Moon +822-3774-1640 [email protected] Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Korea but not in any other jurisdiction, including the U.S. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT. Contents [Summary] 3 I. 2017 review 4 II. 2018 outlook 7 III. [Internet] Commerce, voice interface, cloud 12 - NAVER, Kakao, NHN Entertainment, Interpark IV. [Game] Overseas revenue growth, new titles 101 - NCsoft, Netmarble Games, Com2uS, Pearl Abyss, Webzen V. [Advertising] Inorganic growth, stable affiliate billings 144 - Cheil Worldwide, INNOCEAN Worldwide, Nasmedia [Conclusion] 162 [Summary] Shifts in business strategy coming into focus Market changes call for strategic shifts; Only those that are able to adapt and create new markets will survive Shifts in strategy [Internet] Online commerce [Game] New titles based on existing intellectual [Advertising] Strengthening ties property (IP), global expansion with affiliates, M&As Source: Mirae Asset Daewoo Research Source: Mirae Asset Daewoo Research 3 | 2018 Outlook [Internet/Game/Advertising] Mirae Asset Daewoo Research I. 2017 review In 2017, game stocks and • In 2017, game stocks and Kakao delivered robust share performances among internet/game/advertising plays. Kakao delivered robust • Kakao: Recovery in ad revenue and expectations for expansion in the value of subsidiaries share performances • Game: -