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BMGF Malaria 2-10-14 (Public)
A conversation with the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation malaria team on December 9, 2013 Participants • Alan Magill — Director, Malaria program, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • David Brandling-Bennett — Senior Advisor, Malaria program, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Bruno Moonen - Deputy Director, Malaria program, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Alexandra Farnum — Program Officer, Global Program Advocacy, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Meg Halverson — Consultant, Global Program Advocacy, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Adrienne DiCasparro — Associate Program Officer, Giving Partnerships, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Cari Tuna — Co-Founder, Good Ventures • Holden Karnofsky — Co-Founder, GiveWell Note: This set of conversation notes was compiled by GiveWell and gives an overview of the major points made by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation malaria team. Summary GiveWell and Good Ventures spoke with members of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF) malaria team about gaps in global malaria funding, BMGF’s strategy and projected timeline for malaria eradication, and other BMGF malaria activities. Gaps in global malaria funding GiveWell and Good Ventures asked the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF) malaria team whether there is a need for funding of better data on bed net durability and bed net usage. There is not as much knowledge and data about bed net usage and bed net durability as there should be. A potential source of variability in bed net durability is that, currently, there are no globally established criteria for measuring the durability of bed nets, so it is possible that net durability standards differ between producers. The Results for Development Institute (R4D) is doing very good work on studying bed net durability. -
Givedirectly
GiveDirectly GiveDirectly provides unconditional cash transfers using cell phone technology to some of the world’s poorest people, as well as refugees, urban youth, and disaster victims. They also are currently running a historic Universal Basic Income initiative, delivering a basic income to 20,000+ people in Kenya in a 12-year study. United States (USD) Donate to GiveDirectly Please select your country & currency. Donations are tax-deductible in the country selected. Founded in Moved Delivered cash to 88% of donations sent to families 2009 US$140M 130K in poverty families Other ways to donate We recommend that gifts up to $1,000 be made online by credit card. If you are giving more than $1,000, please consider one of these alternatives. Check Bank Transfer Donor Advised Fund Cryptocurrencies Stocks or Shares Bequests Corporate Matching Program The problem: traditional methods of international giving are complex — and often inefficient Often, donors give money to a charity, which then passes along the funds to partners at the local level. This makes it difficult for donors to determine how their money will be used and whether it will reach its intended recipients. Additionally, charities often provide interventions that may not be what the recipients actually need to improve their lives. Such an approach can treat recipients as passive beneficiaries rather than knowledgeable and empowered shapers of their own lives. The solution: unconditional cash transfers Most poverty relief initiatives require complicated infrastructure, and alleviate the symptoms of poverty rather than striking at the source. By contrast, unconditional cash transfers are straightforward, providing funds to some of the poorest people in the world so that they can buy the essentials they need to set themselves up for future success. -
Charitable Infidelity: When Donors Lose Control of Donor-Advised Funds Page 32
CHARITABLE INFIDELITY: WHEN DONORS LOSE CONTROL OF DONOR-ADVISED FUNDS PAGE 32 ALSO IN THIS ISSUE: 3 Congress learns about the long history of Russian election meddling 7 How the name “hate crime” designation breeds even more hate 15 Do you know how millions in refugee resettlement funds are being spent? www.CapitalResearch.org The communist movement known as Antifa (short for Anti-Fascist Action) has sparked violence across the nation. In the wake of their battling white supremacist in Charlottesville, Antifa has begun to gain mainstream popularity. But unbeknownst to much of the public, the vast majority of Antifa violence isn’t targeted at genuine fascists, but mainstream conservatives and civilians. With help from those who have encountered Antifa, Trevor Loudon guides us through the history and ideas behind the Antifa movement, starting with Leon Trotsky and going all the way through the events in Berkeley, CA and Charlottesville, VA. WATCH AT: DangerousDocumentaries.com/film/America-Under-Siege-Antifa/ ISSUE 8, 2018 CONTENTS 3 ORGANIZATION TRENDS 7 Weaponizing “Hate” COMMENTARY By Renee Nal CRC’s Research into History of Russian Meddling Takes the House Floor SPECIAL REPORT By Christine Ravold Is the U.S. Refugee Resettlement 15 System Broken? By James Simpson Capital Research is a monthly publication of the Capital Research Center (CRC), a nonpartisan education and research organization, classified by the IRS as a 501(c)(3) public charity. CRC is an independent, tax-exempt DECEPTION & MISDIRECTION TM institution governed by an independent The Politically Incorrect Guide board of trustees. We rely on private 25 to “21st Century Socialism” financial support from the general public—individuals, foundations, AKA communism and corporations—for our income. -
November 15, 2016
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES TIME-INCONSISTENT CHARITABLE GIVING James Andreoni Marta Serra-Garcia Working Paper 22824 http://www.nber.org/papers/w22824 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 November 2016 We are grateful to Menusch Khadjavi, David Reiley, Charlie Sprenger, and Bertil Tungodden for very helpful comments. This research was conducted under IRB #140762. We would like to thank the National Science Foundation, grant SES-1427355, the Science of Philanthropy Initiative, the John Templeton Foundation, and internal funds from UCSD for financial support. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2016 by James Andreoni and Marta Serra-Garcia. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Time-Inconsistent Charitable Giving James Andreoni and Marta Serra-Garcia NBER Working Paper No. 22824 November 2016 JEL No. C91,D64,D9 ABSTRACT This paper examines the interaction between moral contradictions and time in charitable giving. Applying a simple theoretical framework to two longitudinal experiments with actual charitable donations, we show that moral contradictions become the source of a new kind of time inconsistency linked to a demand for flexibility, rather than the more typical demand for commitment. This kind of time inconsistency coexists with the opposite of kind of time inconsistency arising from temptation to give, which is exhibited by a substantial minority of individuals. -
GPI's Research Agenda
A RESEARCH AGENDA FOR THE GLOBAL PRIORITIES INSTITUTE Hilary Greaves, William MacAskill, Rossa O’Keeffe-O’Donovan and Philip Trammell February 2019 (minor changes July 2019) We acknowledge Pablo Stafforini, Aron Vallinder, James Aung, the Global Priorities Institute Advisory Board, and numerous colleagues at the Future of Humanity Institute, the Centre for Effective Altruism, and elsewhere for their invaluable assistance in composing this agenda. 1 Table of Contents Introduction 3 GPI’s vision and mission 3 GPI’s research agenda 4 1. The longtermism paradigm 6 1.1 Articulation and evaluation of longtermism 6 1.2 Sign of the value of the continued existence of humanity 8 1.3 Mitigating catastrophic risk 10 1.4 Other ways of leveraging the size of the future 12 1.5 Intergenerational governance 14 1.6 Economic indices for longtermists 16 1.7 Moral uncertainty for longtermists 18 1.8 Longtermist status of interventions that score highly on short-term metrics 19 2. General issues in global prioritisation 21 2.1 Decision-theoretic issues 21 2.2 Epistemological issues 23 2.3 Discounting 24 2.4 Diversification and hedging 28 2.5 Distributions of cost-effectiveness 30 2.6 Modelling altruism 32 2.7 Altruistic coordination 33 2.8 Individual vs institutional actors 35 Bibliography 38 Appendix A. Research areas for future engagement 46 A.1 Animal welfare 46 A.2 The scope of welfare maximisation 48 Appendix B. Closely related areas of existing academic research 51 B.1 Methodology of cost-benefit analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis 51 B.2 Multidimensional economic indices 51 B.3 Infinite ethics and intergenerational equity 53 B.4 Epistemology of disagreement 53 B.5 Demandingness 54 B.6 Forecasting 54 B.7 Population ethics 55 B.8 Risk aversion and ambiguity aversion 55 B.9 Moral uncertainty 57 1 B.10 Value of information 58 B.11 Harnessing and combining evidence 59 B.12 The psychology of altruistic decision-making 60 Appendix C. -
CJR Job Description.Doc.Docx
PLEASE NOTE: THIS POSITION HAS BEEN FILLED We're keeping this PDF online so that links we've previously posted to it do not break, but we are no longer accepting applications for the role described below. Program Officer, Criminal Justice Reform The Open Philanthropy Project is looking for a founding Program Officer to lead our criminal justice reform work. We hope to contribute to a future in which the U.S. massively reduces incarceration while maintaining or improving public safety. We’re open to doing so by supporting strong advocacy and research institutions for the long run, capitalizing on political windows of opportunity, or pursuing other high-risk high-reward approaches, such as exploring how to change prosecutors’ incentives. The Program Officer will be responsible for developing our strategy and making grants, starting in the range of $5 million per year, with significant room to grow. About the Open Philanthropy Project The Open Philanthropy Project is a collaboration between Good Ventures and GiveWell in which we identify outstanding giving opportunities, make grants, follow the results, and publish our findings. Good Ventures is a philanthropic foundation whose mission is to help humanity thrive. Good Ventures was created by Dustin Moskovitz (co-founder of Facebook and Asana) and Cari Tuna, who have pledged to give the majority of their wealth to charity. GiveWell is a nonprofit that finds outstanding giving opportunities and publishes the full details of its analysis to help donors decide where to give. Criminal Justice Reform Program The United States incarcerates a larger proportion of its residents than almost any other country in the world and still has the highest level of criminal homicide in the developed world. -
A R E S E a R C H Agenda
Cooperation, Conflict, and Transformative Artificial Intelligence — A RESEARCH AGENDA Jesse Clifton — LONGTERMRISK.ORG March 2020 First draft: December 2019 Contents 1 Introduction 2 1.1 Cooperation failure: models and examples . .3 1.2 Outline of the agenda . .5 2 AI strategy and governance 8 2.1 Polarity and transition scenarios . .8 2.2 Commitment and transparency . .8 2.3 AI misalignment scenarios . 10 2.4 Other directions . 10 2.5 Potential downsides of research on cooperation failures . 11 3 Credibility 12 3.1 Commitment capabilities . 13 3.2 Open-source game theory . 13 4 Peaceful bargaining mechanisms 16 4.1 Rational crisis bargaining . 16 4.2 Surrogate goals . 18 5 Contemporary AI architectures 21 5.1 Learning to solve social dilemmas . 21 5.2 Multi-agent training . 24 5.3 Decision theory . 25 6 Humans in the loop 27 6.1 Behavioral game theory . 27 6.2 AI delegates . 28 7 Foundations of rational agency 30 7.1 Bounded decision theory . 30 7.2 Acausal reasoning . 31 8 Acknowledgements 35 1 1 Introduction Transformative artificial intelligence (TAI) may be a key factor in the long-run trajec- tory of civilization. A growing interdisciplinary community has begun to study how the development of TAI can be made safe and beneficial to sentient life (Bostrom, 2014; Russell et al., 2015; OpenAI, 2018; Ortega and Maini, 2018; Dafoe, 2018). We present a research agenda for advancing a critical component of this effort: preventing catastrophic failures of cooperation among TAI systems. By cooperation failures we refer to a broad class of potentially-catastrophic inefficiencies in interactions among TAI-enabled actors. -
The Future of AI: Opportunities and Challenges
The Future of AI: Opportunities and Challenges Puerto Rico, January 2-5, 2015 ! Ajay Agrawal is the Peter Munk Professor of Entrepreneurship at the University of Toronto's Rotman School of Management, Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, MA, Founder of the Creative Destruction Lab, and Co-founder of The Next 36. His research is focused on the economics of science and innovation. He serves on the editorial boards of Management Science, the Journal of Urban Economics, and The Strategic Management Journal. & Anthony Aguirre has worked on a wide variety of topics in theoretical cosmology, ranging from intergalactic dust to galaxy formation to gravity physics to the large-scale structure of inflationary universes and the arrow of time. He also has strong interest in science outreach, and has appeared in numerous science documentaries. He is a co-founder of the Foundational Questions Institute and the Future of Life Institute. & Geoff Anders is the founder of Leverage Research, a research institute that studies psychology, cognitive enhancement, scientific methodology, and the impact of technology on society. He is also a member of the Effective Altruism movement, a movement dedicated to improving the world in the most effective ways. Like many of the members of the Effective Altruism movement, Geoff is deeply interested in the potential impact of new technologies, especially artificial intelligence. & Blaise Agüera y Arcas works on machine learning at Google. Previously a Distinguished Engineer at Microsoft, he has worked on augmented reality, mapping, wearable computing and natural user interfaces. He was the co-creator of Photosynth, software that assembles photos into 3D environments. -
Download (PDF)
What you get for your dollar January 2019 “Effective Altruism” — What it is, how philanthropic foundations use it and what are its risks and side-effects by Karolin Seitz In parallel to the debate on ‘Aid Effectiveness’ among Ensuring that charitable giving is used for the maximum donor and recipient countries, a new approach, labeled good, is a worthy goal. However, from a human rights “Effective Altruism” (EA) has gained traction in the de- perspective, several concerns arise concerning the un- bate on the impact of development aid. Unlike Aid Ef- derlying assumptions, the methodology and the conse- fectiveness, which involves donor and recipient govern- quences of the practical application of EA. ments, the new approach involves philanthropic institu- tions and their chosen (non-)governmental recipients and This briefing paper provides an overview of the approach explores ways in which funding can be used most effi- underlying EA, how and by whom it is applied and its ciently to have the greatest impact. Its proponents, in- problems and consequences. It concludes that policy cluding new philanthropic entities and so-called ‘venture makers, rather than be guided by its assumptions and philanthropies’ such as the Bill & Melinda Gates Founda- conclusions, must instead concentrate on understand- tion, claim that their funding decisions are based on evi- ing the confounding structural causes of interdependent dence-based results. However, such decisions are primar- global challenges and aim at their long-term solution, ily grounded in cost-benefit considerations, neglecting within an overarching human rights framework. social and cultural considerations and looking at prob- lems in isolation from the wider context. -
Norms and Narratives That Shape US Charitable and Philanthropic Giving Benjamin Soskis March 2021
CENTER ON NONPROFITS AND PHILANTHROPY RESEARCH REPORT Norms and Narratives That Shape US Charitable and Philanthropic Giving Benjamin Soskis March 2021 ABOUT THE URBAN INSTITUTE The nonprofit Urban Institute is a leading research organization dedicated to developing evidence-based insights that improve people’s lives and strengthen communities. For 50 years, Urban has been the trusted source for rigorous analysis of complex social and economic issues; strategic advice to policymakers, philanthropists, and practitioners; and new, promising ideas that expand opportunities for all. Our work inspires effective decisions that advance fairness and enhance the well-being of people and places. Copyright © March 2021. Urban Institute. Permission is granted for reproduction of this file, with attribution to the Urban Institute. Cover image by Tim Meko. Contents Acknowledgments iv Executive Summary v Norms and Narratives That Shape US Charitable and Philanthropic Giving 1 The Rise of Large-Scale Philanthropy 3 Narratives of Mass Giving’s Decline in the United States 9 Megaphilanthropy and Everyday Giving during the COVID-19 Crisis 13 The COVID-19 Crisis, Mutual Aid, and the Revitalization of Everyday Giving 16 The Surging Popularity of Cash Transfers during the COVID-19 Crisis 21 The Development of Norms around Time-Based Giving 26 Time-Based Norms and Narratives during the COVID-19 Crisis 32 Giving Norms and Narratives in a Postpandemic World 36 Notes 39 References 46 About the Author 49 Statement of Independence 50 Acknowledgments This report was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, with additional support from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation. We are grateful to them and to all our funders, who make it possible for Urban to advance its mission. -
Beneficial AI 2017
Beneficial AI 2017 Participants & Attendees 1 Anthony Aguirre is a Professor of Physics at the University of California, Santa Cruz. He has worked on a wide variety of topics in theoretical cosmology and fundamental physics, including inflation, black holes, quantum theory, and information theory. He also has strong interest in science outreach, and has appeared in numerous science documentaries. He is a co-founder of the Future of Life Institute, the Foundational Questions Institute, and Metaculus (http://www.metaculus.com/). Sam Altman is president of Y Combinator and was the cofounder of Loopt, a location-based social networking app. He also co-founded OpenAI with Elon Musk. Sam has invested in over 1,000 companies. Dario Amodei is the co-author of the recent paper Concrete Problems in AI Safety, which outlines a pragmatic and empirical approach to making AI systems safe. Dario is currently a research scientist at OpenAI, and prior to that worked at Google and Baidu. Dario also helped to lead the project that developed Deep Speech 2, which was named one of 10 “Breakthrough Technologies of 2016” by MIT Technology Review. Dario holds a PhD in physics from Princeton University, where he was awarded the Hertz Foundation doctoral thesis prize. Amara Angelica is Research Director for Ray Kurzweil, responsible for books, charts, and special projects. Amara’s background is in aerospace engineering, in electronic warfare, electronic intelligence, human factors, and computer systems analysis areas. A co-founder and initial Academic Model/Curriculum Lead for Singularity University, she was formerly on the board of directors of the National Space Society, is a member of the Space Development Steering Committee, and is a professional member of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). -
Giving While Living Chuck Feeney, Founding Chairman of the Atlantic Philanthropies
Atlantic Insights Giving While Living Chuck Feeney, founding chairman of The Atlantic Philanthropies. Foreword 3 Introduction 7 Chuck Feeney’s Good Fortune 10 The Roots of Feeney’s Philanthropy 12 Feeney the Entrepreneur 13 Too Much Wealth 14 The Journey Begins 15 Ireland Beckons 16 The Perfect Project 18 Testing 18 Feeney’s Philanthropic Process 21 Big Bet + Leverage = Changed Landscape 23 Philanthropy Lessons 27 Making Money and Giving It Away: 29 Straddling the Divide Giving While Living Leads to Limited Life 31 The Founder and the Foundation 33 The “New Atlantic” in Ireland 35 The Final Phase 36 Conclusion 37 A Revolution in Philanthropy 38 The Atlantic Philanthropies Atlantic Insights Giving While Living BY HEIDI WALESON Chuck Feeney, Helping people — that’s been founder, The Atlantic Philanthropies, Atlantic’s work and Christopher G. Oechsli, president and CEO. 3 Atlantic Insights: Giving While Living Foreword BY CHRISTOPHER G. OECHSLI PRESIDENT AND CEO, THE ATLANTIC PHILANTHROPIES he common quest of all who seek to achieve lasting improvements in our communities and in our world — whether we are individual Tdonors, foundations, nonprofits or government agencies — is to make the highest and best use of our resources. It requires us to ask questions like: What are our best opportunities to make a difference? What impact can we have and how do we know what impact our grants are having? What are grantee organizations accomplishing? What’s working… what’s not? Or, as Chuck Feeney, founder of The Atlantic Philanthropies, never hesitated to ask, starting with the foundation’s first grants in 1982: What will we have to show for it? As we near the end of our organization’s life, and have fully committed our endowment and will close our doors for good by 2020, we’re not asking those questions to guide our work.