The Colombia-US Experience
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Colombia: Current and Future Political, Economic and Security Trends
Colombia: Current and Future Political, Economic and Security Trends By Stephen J. Randall, FRSC Fellow of the Canadian Defence & Foreign Affairs Institute and Director, Institute for United States Policy Research Jillian Dowding, MA Assistant Director, Institute for United States Policy Research December 2006 Prepared for the Canadian Defence & Foreign Affairs Institute 1600, 530 – 8th Avenue S.W., Calgary, AB T2P 3S8 www.cdfai.org © Canadian Defence & Foreign Affairs Institute Introduction For some analysts Colombia is seen to be at a crossroads, with the capacity to move beyond more than thirty years of internal conflict and realize its potential, especially in the economic sector. This paper outlines the current political, economic and security situation in the country and explores some of the possible scenarios for the next five to ten year period.1 The authors suggest that it is critically important to examine the ways in which the political and strategic environment has evolved over the past decade in order to understand the current situation and predict where the country will likely move in the near future. Most analysts of Colombia concur that Colombia has not realized its economic potential in the past fifty years because of the internal conflict, a conflict that has its roots in both ideological differences as well as socio-economic inequalities, but which have been greatly exacerbated since the emergence of the narcotics industry in the 1970s. That internal conflict has defeated government after government in its effort to develop a broader vision of the role that Colombia could play in inter-American relations or economically to move into the developed world. -
The Future of US-Colombia Relations
Florida International University FIU Digital Commons Jack Gordon Institute Research Publications 2019 The Future of US-Colombia Relations Christopher Sabatini Sofia Mateu-Gelabert Brian Fonseca Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/jgi_research Part of the International and Area Studies Commons, and the Public Affairs, Public Policy and Public Administration Commons Recommended Citation Sabatini, Christopher; Mateu-Gelabert, Sofia; and onseca,F Brian, "The Future of US-Colombia Relations" (2019). Jack Gordon Institute Research Publications. 30. https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/jgi_research/30 This work is brought to you for free and open access by FIU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Jack Gordon Institute Research Publications by an authorized administrator of FIU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. THE FUTURE OF U.S.- COLOMBIAN RELATIONS The Future of U.S.-Colombian Relations Table of Contents 3 Introduction 4 Politics and Public Opinion 7 Security 9 Shifting Security Challenges 11 Economy 14 U.S.— Colombia Diplomatic Relations Multilateral Relations 15 An Outlier: Venezuela’s Future and Venezuelan Refugees 17 The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: Scenarios for Colombia by 2030 18 Recommendations The following report is part of the Florida International University—United States Southern Command Academic Partnership. United States Southern Command provides funding to support this series as part of its academic outreach efforts. Academic outreach is intended to support United States Southern Command with new ideas, outside perspectives, and spark candid discussions. The views expressed in this findings report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the United States Government, United States Southern Command, Florida International University, or any other affiliated institutions. -
The Drug Trade in Colombia: a Threat Assessment
DEA Resources, For Law Enforcement Officers, Intelligence Reports, The Drug Trade in Colombia | HOME | PRIVACY POLICY | CONTACT US | SITE DIRECTORY | [print friendly page] The Drug Trade in Colombia: A Threat Assessment DEA Intelligence Division This report was prepared by the South America/Caribbean Strategic Intelligence Unit (NIBC) of the Office of International Intelligence. This report reflects information through December 2001. Comments and requests for copies are welcome and may be directed to the Intelligence Production Unit, Intelligence Division, DEA Headquarters, at (202) 307-8726. March 2002 DEA-02006 CONTENTS MESSAGE BY THE ASSISTANT THE HEROIN TRADE IN DRUG PRICES AND DRUG THE COLOMBIAN COLOMBIA’S ADMINISTRATOR FOR COLOMBIA ABUSE IN COLOMBIA GOVERNMENT COUNTERDRUG INTELLIGENCE STRATEGY IN A LEGAL ● Introduction: The ● Drug Prices ● The Formation of the CONTEXT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Development of ● Drug Abuse Modern State of the Heroin Trade Colombia ● Counterdrug ● Cocaine in Colombia DRUG RELATED MONEY ● Colombian Impact of ● Colombia’s 1991 ● Heroin Opium-Poppy LAUNDERING AND Government Institutions Involved in Constitution ● Marijuana Cultivation CHEMICAL DIVERSION ● Opium-Poppy the Counterdrug ● Extradition ● Synthetic Drugs Eradication Arena ● Sentencing Codes ● Money Laundering ● Drug-Related Money ● Opiate Production ● The Office of the ● Money Laundering ● Chemical Diversion Laundering ● Opiate Laboratory President Laws ● Insurgents and Illegal “Self- ● Chemical Diversion Operations in ● The Ministry of ● Asset Seizure -
Assessing the US Role in the Colombian Peace Process
An Uncertain Peace: Assessing the U.S. Role in the Colombian Peace Process Global Policy Practicum — Colombia | Fall 2018 Authors Alexandra Curnin Mark Daniels Ashley DuPuis Michael Everett Alexa Green William Johnson Io Jones Maxwell Kanefield Bill Kosmidis Erica Ng Christina Reagan Emily Schneider Gaby Sommer Professor Charles Junius Wheelan Teaching Assistant Lucy Tantum 2 Table of Contents Important Abbreviations 3 Introduction 5 History of Colombia 7 Colombia’s Geography 11 2016 Peace Agreement 14 Colombia’s Political Landscape 21 U.S. Interests in Colombia and Structure of Recommendations 30 Recommendations | Summary Table 34 Principal Areas for Peacebuilding Rural Development | Land Reform 38 Rural Development | Infrastructure Development 45 Rural Development | Security 53 Rural Development | Political and Civic Participation 57 Rural Development | PDETs 64 Combating the Drug Trade 69 Disarmament and Socioeconomic Reintegration of the FARC 89 Political Reintegration of the FARC 95 Justice and Human Rights 102 Conclusion 115 Works Cited 116 3 Important Abbreviations ADAM: Areas de DeBartolo Alternative Municipal AFP: Alliance For Progress ARN: Agencies para la Reincorporación y la Normalización AUC: Las Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia CSDI: Colombia Strategic Development Initiative DEA: Drug Enforcement Administration ELN: Ejército de Liberación Nacional EPA: Environmental Protection Agency ETCR: Espacio Territoriales de Capacitación y Reincorporación FARC-EP: Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia-Ejército del Pueblo GDP: Gross -
Sustainability of Colombian Military/Strategic Support for "Democratic Security"
SUSTAINABILITY OF COLOMBIAN MILITARY/STRATEGIC SUPPORT FOR “DEMOCRATIC SECURITY” Thomas A. Marks July 2005 Visit our website for other free publication downloads http://www.carlisle.army.mil/ssi To rate this publication click here. ***** The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** Comments pertaining to this report are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 122 Forbes Ave, Carlisle, PA 17013-5244. ***** All Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) monographs are available on the SSI Homepage for electronic dissemination. Hard copies of this report also may be ordered from our Homepage. SSI’s Homepage address is: http://www.carlisle.army. mil/ssi/ ***** The Strategic Studies Institute publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the research of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming conferences sponsored by the Institute. Each newsletter also provides a strategic commentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please subscribe on our homepage at http://www.carlisle.army.mil/ssi/newsletter.cfm. ISBN 1-58487-212-8 ii FOREWORD A sea-change has occurred in troubled Colombia, as detailed in this monograph. For the first time in 40 years, cautious optimism pervades discussions of Bogota’s seemingly intractable situation. Drugs, terrorism, and insurgency continue in their explosive mix, but the current government of President Alvaro Uribe has fashioned a counterinsurgency approach that holds the strategic initiative and has a chance of negating a long-standing security threat to the state. -
Colombia Collisions with “Unforeseeable Events,” and in Terms of Economic Opportunities Lost to Rivals Who Are Consistently Pursuing Winning Strategies
FUERTH system, a networked approach to the management of complex priorities, and a formal feedback system to help it learn from experience. The consequences are visible in terms of an increasing number of Colombia collisions with “unforeseeable events,” and in terms of economic opportunities lost to rivals who are consistently pursuing winning strategies. This pattern is feeding an increasing conviction at home and abroad that the United States is in irreversible decline. Such a conviction feeds on itself and becomes a Updating the Mission? negative force in and of itself. The truth is hard to face. For decades, we have acted as if American primacy was the natural order of things rather than a legacy built on the vision and the sacrifices of our predecessors. We have been encour- aged to think of ourselves as fortune’s favored children, and the sad consequences of that are all too appar- BY CARLOS ALBERTO OSPINA OVALLE ent. We must now learn to govern ourselves more intelligently. The first step is to accept that, in a complex universe, the only true constants are surprise and change. Success goes to those who anticipate. PRISM The author acknowledges the work of Evan Faber, whose substantive expertise, critical comments, and organizational skill were of great value in the preparation of this article. ith the emergence of the so-called new threats, the world’s perspective on the use of force has changed, and new challenges have developed. Alternative roles for the Notes military have been proposed, and even new philosophies have been developed with 1 W The term anticipatory governance first came to the author’s attention when it was used in an email written concepts such as population-centric warfare and network-centric warfare. -
The Internal Dynamics of a Non-State Conflict Actor
The Internal Dynamics of a Non-State Conflict Actor: The Organisational Resources and Internal Legitimacy of the FARC-EP in Colombia by Guri Waalen Borch Master’s Program in Peace and Conflict Transformation The Internal Dynamics of a Non-State Conflict Actor: The Organisational Resources and Internal Legitimacy of the FARC-EP in Colombia by Guri Waalen Borch Master’s Program in Peace and Conflict Transformation 2 ABSTRACT Being the largest guerrilla group in Colombia and entitled the richest guerrilla group of the world, the FARC-EP constitutes the most important non-state conflict actor of the Colombian internal conflict. In recent years it has been recognised in conflict research that non-state actors must be taken seriously if we want to understand today’s internal conflicts. This is the starting point for my analysis of the FARC-EP. Whereas much contemporary research focuses on the economic agendas of conflict actors, the attention in this thesis is on how different organisational resources together reflect a social order of violence beyond the state that embraces both political, economic and symbolic elements. It asks the question of how organisational resources relate to and define internal legitimacy. Drawing upon Christopher Clapham and his notion of organisational effectiveness, indicators such as a clearly defined political project, effective structures and educated leaders will be employed as guiding lines in the empirical study of the FARC-EP. The grounds of the internal legitimacy of the FARC-EP will be established by combining these indicators with insight on the role of self-legitimation of rebels and Max Weber’s typology of domination. -
The Untold Story of the Workers' Revolutionary Party in Colombia
The Untold Story of the Workers’ Revolutionary Party in Colombia The PRT’s Transformation from a Clandestine Party into a Legal Political Actor David Rampf IPS Paper 4 Abstract In armed conflicts that follow heterogeneous regional patterns, negotiated solutions must respond to the characteristics of the sub-national level and take regional power relations into account. The fate of the little known Workers' Revolutionary Party (PRT) – one of four Colombian insurgent groups that demobilised in the early 1990s, participated in the National Constituent Assembly in 1991 and subsequently sought their way into legal politics, illustrates the risks that may emerge if peace negotiations do not follow this principle. This paper seeks to draw lessons from one of the untold stories about the Colombian armed conflict by analysing both the roots, the ideological foundations and the characteristics of the PRT, as well as its process of negotiation and transformation into a legal political actor. These lessons may be of high value in light of the ongoing peace negotiations between the Colombian government and the FARC-EP. © Berghof Foundation Operations GmbH – CINEP/PPP 2015. All rights reserved. About the Publication This paper is one of four case study reports on Colombia produced in the course of the collaborative research project ‘Avoiding Conflict Relapse through Inclusive Political Settlements and State-building after Intra-State War’, running from February 2013 to February 2015. This project aims to examine the conditions for inclusive political settlements following protracted armed conflicts, with a specific focus on former armed power contenders turned state actors. It also aims to inform national and international practitioners and policy-makers on effective practices for enhancing participation, representation, and responsiveness in post-war state-building and governance. -
A Comparison of the Democratic Security Policy in Colombia and Provincial Reconstruction Teams in Iraq
Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive DSpace Repository Theses and Dissertations 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items 2009-09 A comparison of the Democratic Security Policy in Colombia and Provincial Reconstruction Teams in Iraq Walker, James A. Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/4597 Downloaded from NPS Archive: Calhoun NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS A COMPARISON OF THE DEMOCRATIC SECURITY POLICY IN COLOMBIA AND PROVINCIAL RECONSTRUCTION TEAMS IN IRAQ by James A. Walker September 2009 Thesis Co-Advisors: Douglas Porch Sophal Ear Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED September 2009 Master’s Thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE A Comparison of the Democratic Security Policy in 5. FUNDING NUMBERS Colombia and Provincial Reconstruction Teams in Iraq 6. AUTHOR(S) James A. Walker 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. -
Colombia's New Armed Groups
COLOMBIA’S NEW ARMED GROUPS Latin America Report N°20 – 10 May 2007 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................. i I. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 II. MORE THAN CRIMINAL GANGS?.......................................................................... 2 A. THE AUC AS PREDECESSOR ..................................................................................................3 B. THE NEW ILLEGAL ARMED GROUPS ......................................................................................6 III. CASE STUDIES.............................................................................................................. 8 A. NORTE DE SANTANDER .........................................................................................................8 1. AUC history in the region..........................................................................................8 2. Presence of new illegal armed groups and criminal organisations ..............................8 3. Conflict dynamics....................................................................................................10 4. Conclusion ...............................................................................................................11 B. NARIÑO ..............................................................................................................................11 1. AUC history in the region........................................................................................11 -
FARC, Shining Path, and Guerillas in Latin America
FARC, Shining Path, and Guerillas in Latin America Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Latin American History FARC, Shining Path, and Guerillas in Latin America Marc Becker Subject: History of Latin America and the Oceanic World, Revolutions and Rebellions Online Publication Date: May 2019 DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780199366439.013.218 Summary and Keywords Armed insurrections are one of three methods that the left in Latin America has tradition ally used to gain power (the other two are competing in elections, or mass uprisings often organized by labor movements as general strikes). After the triumph of the Cuban Revolu tion in 1959, guerrilla warfare became the preferred path to power given that electoral processes were highly corrupt and the general strikes too often led to massacres rather than a fundamental transformation of society. Based on the Cuban model, revolutionaries in other Latin American countries attempted to establish similar small guerrilla forces with mobile fighters who lived off the land with the support of a local population. The 1960s insurgencies came in two waves. Influenced by Che Guevara’s foco model, initial insurgencies were based in the countryside. After the defeat of Guevara’s guerrilla army in Bolivia in 1967, the focus shifted to urban guerrilla warfare. In the 1970s and 1980s, a new phase of guerrilla movements emerged in Peru and in Central America. While guer rilla-style warfare can provide a powerful response to a much larger and established mili tary force, armed insurrections are rarely successful. Multiple factors including a failure to appreciate a longer history of grassroots organizing and the weakness of the incum bent government help explain those defeats and highlight just how exceptional an event successful guerrilla uprisings are. -
Capitán De Navío Ricardo Alberto Rosero Eraso / 29-121
Informativo virtual Unidos por el mar para integrar la familia y exhaustos por N° 170 naval colombiana www.cyber-corredera.de el último poste Director: Jorge Serpa Erazo • Editor: TFES(r) Francisco Rodríguez Aguilera mailto:[email protected] EN ESTA EDICIÓN: CYBER-ENTREVISTA: CAPITÁN DE NAVÍO RICARDO VELERO DE LA ESCUELA NAVAL OBTIENE PRIMER ALBERTO ROSERO ERASO / 29-121 PUESTO EN REGATAS SABATINAS 2015 LA INFANTERÍA DE MARINA DEL POSCONFLICTO CRISTINA FELFLE, REINA DE LOS MARINOS 45 AÑOS DEL PRIMER AVISTAMIENTO AL INSCRIPCIONES ABIERTAS PARA EL PROGRAMA DE CONTINENTE AUSTRALIANO, POR PARTE DE LA “GRUMETE POR UNA SEMANA” TRIPULACION COLOMBIANA DEL “GLORIA”. ÚLTIMO POSTE: Denuncio a todos mis instructores ASESORES DE GENERAL (R) MORA RENUNCIAN CYBER ZAFARRANCHO GRAFICO Segunda actividad de la Fuerza Naval del Caribe en el CYBER-CORREO DE LA ARC LULU marco del mes de la Mujer: MARINOS FIRMARON PACTO DE RECHAZO A LA VIOLENCIA CONTRA LA CYBER MASCARON DE PROA MUJER CYBER-ENTREVISTA: CAPITÁN DE NAVÍO RICARDO ALBERTO ROSERO ERASO / 29-121 Señor Capitán de Navío Ricardo Alberto Rosero Eraso: ¡Cuéntenos! ¿Cómo fueron sus primeros años, su niñez, adolescencia y cómo estaba conformado su núcleo familiar? Desafortunadamente mi madre murió siendo yo muy niño. Pero tuve muchas mamás: mis cinco tías, mi hermana mayor y mis catorce primas mayores que yo. Fui muy feliz ya que por ser hijo de Oficial del Ejército, viví los continuos traslados de guarnición todos como una aventura; estuve de niño y joven en Pasto, Cali, Barranquilla, Bucaramanga y Tunja. Estudié siempre en colegios de los Padres Jesuitas y tengo muchísimos amigos regados por el país.