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Iran and the Gulf Military Balance - I
IRAN AND THE GULF MILITARY BALANCE - I The Conventional and Asymmetric Dimensions FIFTH WORKING DRAFT By Anthony H. Cordesman and Alexander Wilner Revised July 11, 2012 Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy [email protected] Cordesman/Wilner: Iran & The Gulf Military Balance, Rev 5 7/11/12 2 Acknowledgements This analysis was made possible by a grant from the Smith Richardson Foundation. It draws on the work of Dr. Abdullah Toukan and a series of reports on Iran by Adam Seitz, a Senior Research Associate and Instructor, Middle East Studies, Marine Corps University. 2 Cordesman/Wilner: Iran & The Gulf Military Balance, Rev 5 7/11/12 3 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................. 5 THE HISTORICAL BACKGROUND ....................................................................................................................... 6 Figure III.1: Summary Chronology of US-Iranian Military Competition: 2000-2011 ............................... 8 CURRENT PATTERNS IN THE STRUCTURE OF US AND IRANIAN MILITARY COMPETITION ........................................... 13 DIFFERING NATIONAL PERSPECTIVES .............................................................................................................. 17 US Perceptions .................................................................................................................................... 17 Iranian Perceptions............................................................................................................................ -
Armoured Vehicles Market Report 2017
Defence IQ ARMOURED VEHICLES MARKET REPORT 2017 sponsored by CONTENTS Executive Summary 4 Survey Analysis 5 Regional Developments 20 Europe North America Middle East Asia-Pacific Africa Latin America International Armoured Vehicle Review 66 Military Insight 68 Credits 76 About Defence IQ / Disclaimer 77 International Armoured Vehicles 23 - 26 January, 2017 2 Twickenham Stadium , London, UK Register today! “The defence market FOREWORD is becoming more sponsored by NIMR Automative sensitive to cost and value for money” In 2016 we have continued to see hotspots of unrest and conflict across the world, particularly in the Middle East and North Africa region, and there are few indications that these will abate in 2017. Conflict is unpredictable and asymmetric in nature and, in responding to these threats, armies across the globe are expecting their armoured vehicle fleets to provide the backbone of their ground based fighting capability. Versatile and flexible in use, armoured vehicles provide the protection and mobility for the deployment of troops, sensors and weapon systems. They deliver the military capability and “troops on the ground” where and when they are needed. At NIMR, we closely monitor market trends to ensure we are ready to meet the emerging demands of our customers. With this in mind, we welcome the annual Global Armoured Vehicles Market Report and are delighted to introduce the 2017 Report. Launched ahead of the series of armoured vehicle conferences, the report identifies the trends within the sector that will shape the market activity for the coming year. We expect to see continued growth in the demand for vehicles from the international market, both for new capability and to replace some ageing fleets. -
31 October 2012 What Is the Probability of an Israeli Strike Against Iran in the Six Months Following the 2012 US Presidential Election?
Intelligence brief | 31 October 2012 What is the probability of an Israeli strike against Iran in the six months following the 2012 US presi ential election? Open Briefing currently assesses an Israeli strike against Iran to be highly unlikely between the US presi ential elections in November 2012 an the Israeli elections in January 2013, an unlikely between January an the Iranian presi ential elections in June 2013. This outlook is pre icate on five key areas of consi eration, summarise below an expan e upon in the following pages. 1. Persisting regional uncertainty will oblige Israel to calculate its moves with painstaking caution. A military strike on Iran, with the possible blowback this coul pro uce, is likely to occur only in extremis, that is, if Israel believe its existence coul be jeopar ise by containment, or in the face of incontrovertible ,smoking gun- evi ence. .owever, growing signs of Iranian cooperation with al- 0ae a an international jiha ist groups, as well as the Israeli lea ership1s fluctuating views regar ing Iranian Shiite rationality, represent wil car s. 2. Israelçs military ability to eradicate or significantly disrupt Irançs nuclear programme is far from clear. Israeli military authorities assess that a strike woul , even in the best case scenario, merely elay Iran1s nuclear progress by up to two years, thereby calling into 2uestion the longer-term wisdom of such a move. In a ition, Iran has been ramping up its covert operations an asymmetric assets, emonstrating an ability to respon in kin if provoke . 3. The impact of parallel measures, especially cyber warfare and far-reaching sanctions, may persuade Israel to postpone a strike. -
2015 Program
SPRING COMMENCEMENT UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN May 2, 2015 10:00 a.m. This program includes a list of the candidates for degrees to be granted upon completion of formal requirements. Candidates for graduate degrees are recommended jointly by the Executive Board of the Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studies and the faculty of the school or college awarding the degree. Following the School of Graduate Studies, schools are listed in order of their founding. Candidates within those schools are listed by degree then by specialization, if applicable. Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studies .................................................................................................. 21 College of Literature, Science, and the Arts ............................................................................................................33 Medical School ...................................................................................................................................................... 54 Law School ............................................................................................................................................................ 55 School of Dentistry ................................................................................................................................................ 57 College of Pharmacy .............................................................................................................................................. 59 College of Engineering .......................................................................................................................................... -
Cruise Missiles and NATO Missile Defense Under the Radar? ______
PPrroolliiffeerraattiioonn PPaappeerrss ______________________________________________________________________ Cruise Missiles and NATO Missile Defense Under the Radar? ______________________________________________________________________ In collaboration with the Atomic Energy Commission (CEA) Dennis M. Gormley Spring 2012 Security Studies Center The Institut Français des Relations Internationales (Ifri) is a research center and a forum for debate on major international political and economic issues. Headed by Thierry de Montbrial since its founding in 1979, Ifri is a non-governmental, non-profit organization. As an independent think tank, Ifri sets its own research agenda, publishing its findings regularly for a global audience. Using an interdisciplinary approach, Ifri brings together political and economic decision-makers, researchers and internationally renowned experts to animate its debate and research activities. With offices in Paris and Brussels, Ifri stands out as one of the rare French think tanks to have positioned itself at the very heart of European debate. The opinions expressed in this text are the responsibility of the author alone. Thérèse Delpech (1948 – 2012) Thérèse Delpech passed away on January 18, 2012. As Director of Strategic Affairs of the French Atomic Energy Commission (CEA), Thérèse was instrumental in promoting and supporting several research programs on proliferation in France and abroad. But for her and her continuous support along the years, the Proliferation Papers would not exist. Ifri’s Security -
“The Gulf and Iran's Capability for Asymmetric Warfare” (.Pdf)
Anthony H. Cordesman, Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy The Gulf and Iran’s Capability for Asymmetric Warfare Anthony H. Cordesman Burke Chair in Strategy Working Paper: Please send comments to [email protected] January 10, 2020 Photo: ARASH KHAMOUSHI/AFP/ Getty Images Introduction 2 Much of the reporting on the clashes between Iran and the United States that began in late December 2019, that led to the strikes that killed the commander the Iran’s Quds force, Qasem Soleimani, and led to Iranian missile strikes on U.S. bases in Iran, have focused on the Quds force and treated it as the dominant element of Iraq’s military forces and Iran’s asymmetric capabilities. The Quds force is only part of a much broader and steadily growing mix of Iranian asymmetric warfare capabilities. Its role must be kept in careful perspective in evaluating the threat of any major escalation in the tensions and military exchanges between Iran and the United States and the risk of a major war in the Gulf. Furthermore, much of the recent news reporting on Iran has misstated the nature of Iran’s forces and capabilities. It is critical to assess Iran’s actual military capabilities, and the developments in its approach to asymmetric warfare, as accurately as is possible at the unclassified level and put them in the broader context of the capabilities that the U.S. and its Arab strategic partners can bring to bear in deterring and defending against Iran. This analysis focuses on both Iran’s overall capabilities for asymmetric warfare and the overall military balance in the Gulf – including U.S. -
The Iranian Drone Threat
.’[-p;u65egyuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuiop[;’]\ The Iranian Drone Threat Updated: April 2021 0 Contents Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 1 History and Capabilities of Iran’s Combat Drone Program ........................................................................ 4 Mohajer .............................................................................................................................................. 4 Ababil .................................................................................................................................................. 6 Karrar .................................................................................................................................................. 8 Shahed-129 ......................................................................................................................................... 9 Saeqeh .............................................................................................................................................. 10 Yasir .................................................................................................................................................. 12 Recent Drone Developments ............................................................................................................. 13 Iran’s Malign Drone Usage .................................................................................................................... -
Iran Nuclear Deal the Jcpoa on Geopolitical Chessboards
IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL THE JCPOA ON GEOPOLITICAL CHESSBOARDS ALEXANDER WIELGOS newdirection.online @europeanreform @europeanreform NDeuropeanreform [email protected] Founded by Margaret Thatcher in 2009 as the intellectual hub of European Conservativism, New Direction has established academic networks across Europe and research partnerships throughout the world. New Direction is registered in Belgium as a not-for-profit organisation and is partly funded by the European Parliament. REGISTERED OFFICE: Rue du Trône, 4, 1000 Brussels, Belgium. EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR: Naweed Khan. The European Parliament and New Direction assume no responsibility for the opinions expressed in this publication. Sole liability rests with the author. Iran Nuclear Deal: The JCPOA on Geopolitical Chessboards ABSTRACT hat comes next for the Joint remain today, others had been lifted with the JCPOA. Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), The post-withdrawal US sanctions that had been re- Wwill have very real consequences for the instated had also been expanded. Russia and China, global geopolitical status quo. meanwhile, have been opportunistic in their energy, infrastructure, and military hardware dealings with Part 1 covers the circularity within Iran’s autocratic Iran. As many EU firms withdrew business with Iran, governance system, and the key drivers of Iran’s the EU has made strides to give the JCPOA a lifeline foreign policy. Iran sees itself as a pillar of Shia Islam through the INSTEX Special Purpose Vehicle, as well in the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region, as beginning the tactfully delayable countdown in the the sentiment of pride and historical connection Dispute Resolution Mechanism (DRM) of the JCPOA. to the region from the Persian Empire, as well as being a revolutionary government which was able Part 4, explores the input from parties outside of the to overcome US puppeteering and manipulation. -
The Rebirth of a Latent Conflict Between Two Sovereign States: Usa and Iran
Land Forces Academy Review Vol. XXV, No 2(98), 2020 REMOVAL OF A GENERAL – THE REBIRTH OF A LATENT CONFLICT BETWEEN TWO SOVEREIGN STATES: USA AND IRAN Diana CHIȘ-MANOLACHE “Carol I” National Defense University, Bucharest, Romania [email protected] Ciprian CHIȘ “Carol I” National Defense University, Bucharest, Romania [email protected] ABSTRACT Generally speaking, the relations between different states of the world, but especially between the states that represent world powers or have a certain type of arsenal, are able to influence the stability and the state of calmness from a certain region of the world, but also the notion of peace at the globally level. The 2020 year began with such a situation, in the sense that United States of America and Iran, which have been for a long period in relations not among the most well, have arrived at a moment that could represent, to a very large extent, the starting point of a conflict that will enter in the world history. The elimination of a very important Iranian general by US troops in early January 2020, by a surprise attack amonk Iraqian teritory, markedly aggravated relations between the United States of America and Iran, but also between the great world power and Iraq or other major global players who have harshly criticized the US attack. KEYWORDS: Iranian general, security, agression, drones, ciber attack 1. Introduction state), has aggravated, in a visible way the The two states that have been for a tensions between the United States of long time in the relations, not one of the America (hereinafter referred to as the best, rather tense than peaceful, seem to USA) and Iran, which anyway were not the have reached in 2020, again, at a point that best, but also, in the same time, between the could lead, with a veru high probability, to USA and Iraq. -
Iran May Be Renewing Its Interest in Armored Warfare | the Washington
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 2777 Iran May Be Renewing Its Interest in Armored Warfare by Farzin Nadimi Mar 27, 2017 Also available in Arabic ABOUT THE AUTHORS Farzin Nadimi Farzin Nadimi, an associate fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region. Brief Analysis The Syria war will likely spur Tehran to increase the role of armor in its future military planning, but it is still years away from developing an advanced tank force of its own. n March 12, Iran unveiled the Karrar (Attacker) tank, which it called its first indigenously designed and O developed main battle tank (MBT), with series production at the Bani-Hashem Armor Factory in Dorud. In recent years, Iranian military leaders have emphasized asymmetric forms of warfare against more powerful conventional adversaries and assigned only limited roles to tanks. Yet recent events in Syria and Iraq have shown Tehran that modern armor can still be an effective force multiplier in asymmetric situations. Iranian tank crews and technicians have been working closely with Assad regime armor units during the Syria war, giving them insights into their capabilities and limitations in irregular warfare settings. At the same time, Iran lacks tanks with the protection, mobility, and firepower to survive on the modern battlefield. The Karrar may be an attempt to fill this gap, but its claimed advancements seem exaggerated. STALLED ARMOR AMBITIONS I n the 1970s, the shah of Iran envisioned a large modern tank force to defend against a possible Soviet or Iraqi invasion. -
Xidmət Ərazi Bölgüsü Təsnifatı, 2019. Azərbaycan Respublikası Dövlət Statistika Komitəsi
Azərbaycan Respublikası Dövlət Azərbaycan Standartlaşdırma İnstitutunun Statistika Komitəsi kollegiyasının 2020-ci il 03 fevral tarixli 202323400016 2019-cu il 27 noyabr tarixli 10/4 nömrəli nömrəli əmri ilə təsdiq edilərək dövlət standartı qərarı ilə təsdiq edilmişdir kimi qeydiyyata alınmış və standartlaşdırma üzrə dövlət fonduna daxil edilmişdir AZƏRBAYCAN RESPUBLİKASININ DÖVLƏT STANDARTI ___________________________________________________________________________ İNZİBATİ ƏRAZİ BÖLGÜSÜ TƏSNİFATI, 2019 AZS 882:2020 ___________________________________________________________________________ Azərbaycan Respublikasının Milli Məclisinin Aparatı ilə razılaşdırılmışdır Təsnifat T.Y.Budaqovun rəhbərliyi ilə Y.X.Yusifov, V.H.Məmmədəlizadə, L.H.Salamzadə və F.E.Qocayev tərəfindən işlənib hazırlanmışdır. XANKƏNDİ ŞƏHƏRİ - 70400002 İnzibati ərazi dairələrinin sayı: Ərazi vahidlərinin sayı: Şəhər . - Şəhər . 1 Qəsəbə . 1 Qəsəbə . 1 Kənd . - Kənd . - KODLAR ADLAR KODLAR ADLAR 70400005 1. Xankəndi şəhər ərazi vahidi 70402005 2. Kərkicahan qəsəbə iəd . 70402016 K ə r k i c a h a n q. 12 AĞDAM RAYONU – 60900001 İnzibati ərazi dairələrinin sayı: Ərazi vahidlərinin sayı: Şəhər . 1 Şəhər . 1 Qəsəbə . 13 Qəsəbə . 14 Kənd . 34 Kənd . 123 KODLAR ADLAR KODLAR ADLAR 60901005 1. Ağdam şəhər iəd 60902068 Qalayçılar k. 60901014 A ğ d a m ş. 60902048 Mollalar k. 60904005 2. Bağbanlar kənd iəd 60906005 14. Göytəpə kənd iəd 60904018 B a ğ b a n l a r k. 60906018 G ö y t ə p ə k. 60904048 İsmayılbəyli k. 60906028 Abdınlı k. 60904038 Muğanlı k. 60906048 Cavahirli k. 60904058 Pirzadlı k. 60906038 Kosalar k. 60904028 Saybalı k. 60907005 15. Gülablı kənd iəd 60924005 3. Baş Güneypəyə kənd iəd 60907018 G ü l a b l ı k. 60924018 B a ş G ü n e y p ə y ə k. -
Lack of Modern Technologies Hampers Iran's Defense Industry
Iranian tank, Karrar Wikimedia Commons/Tasnim News Agency Lack of modern technologies hampers Iran’s defense industry IranSource by Robert Czulda Iran Middle East Politics & Diplomacy Iran belongs to a relatively small group of states with an indigenous defense industry. It serves as an important element of Tehran’s official strategy of economic, military and industrial self-sufficiency. However, this defense industry is largely confined to the modernization of Cold War-era equipment. Iran’s industrial base was established under Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and later reorganized and enlarged during the Islamic Republic. While, in many countries, defense companies are private, they are state-owned in Iran. Because of the Islamic Republic’s long pariah status, interaction with the outside world has been limited. Currently, Iran can produce various systems domestically and, to a limited extent, modernize and copy by reverse engineering some advanced sub-components, such as engines, electronics, and older types of avionics. The industry’s greatest achievement has been to repair and overhaul old equipment. The majority of Iran’s military hardware was acquired during the time of the shah or in the 1980s and 1990s. To keep these systems operational has been a truly impressive accomplishment. This includes antiques such as the F-14 twin-engine variable-sweep wing fighter aircraft, known as the Tomcat, and AH-1J assault helicopters—both purchased from the United States in the 1970s. Some spare parts are produced locally, while others are, reportedly, smuggled in from other countries. Due to logistics shortfalls, an important source of spare parts is cannibalization, which is a process of removing usable parts from other systems, such as tanks and aircraft, to replace broken parts on others instead of using parts from inventory.